And voilà! An excellent summary of voter enthusiasm appears. It's important to note that Democratic voters aren't as enthusiastic about Biden as Republicans are about Trump, but they are more enthusiastic about voting. And that's what we are seeing by all ...
And voilà! An excellent summary of voter enthusiasm appears. It's important to note that Democratic voters aren't as enthusiastic about Biden as Republicans are about Trump, but they are more enthusiastic about voting. And that's what we are seeing by all ...
Here's a handy summary of likely reporting times and what it likely means... https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-results-timing/
Best to start watching around 1.30pm on Wednesday. I'll be turning to fivethirtyeight.com's online feed, with a large number of regional experts analysing data at county level.
Agree with most of what you say, but... "The polls cannot predict turnout." The polls can and have measured levels of excitement around, and perceived importance of, the election, and intention to vote, and all of these are well up this election. We know ...
Meaningful results from around 1.30pm. I'll be watching the live feed on fivethirtyeight.com closely, as they will be looking at trends at county level.
"It seems to me a lot of workers now see joining a union as purchasing a service, not being part of a group. Whereas the ‘traditional' view of unions is that the workers are the union ... the increasingly common conception of the union among workers is ...
Chris's new blog is intended to be more reflective, as he explains at length in the first post. As he puts it, "I intend Bowalley Road to be a much quieter, and certainly a more respectful, place." My own experience suggests that it's not too hard to ...
No threshold?? Then you'd get Poland in 1991, despite the argument that people wouldn't vote for joke parties. (Where's the evidence for that people wouldn't vote for joke parties?) In the first totally free elections the Poles didn't have a threshold. 29 ...
"However, what McCarten pointed to was the fact that Goff has not developed much of a relationship with Maori. I tend to agree." True, but then Goff never developed much of a relationship with any group. While Clark was assiduously building networks in the...
On Goff's ideological bent, my take is that he was more of a pragmatic rogernome than an ideological fanatic. At the time (late 1980s), he tried to convince me that TINA, what with the terrible state of the economy in 1984, our inability to compete with ...
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