Labour cannot generate a national strategy or a new version of a Keynesian accommodation because they do not have the internal or intellectual capacity. They definitely have the intellectual capacity among the membership. Whether the output would be ...
There are definitely currently members of the Labour Party who could put together a coherent manifesto, not least because Labour has done so in the past and at least some of the members involved are still members. Whether such a manifesto would survive the...
Agree with wanting 50+% but 47-48% is probably enough to win since there are always some votes for parties that don't make to Parliament e.g. TOP. TPM at 3% but 6 seats would also produce a favourable overhang, so even 30/15/3 would easily be enough to ...
Labour campaigned on CGT again in 2014 under Cunliffe. I joined Labour after the 2014 election defeat and was at my regional conferences in 2015-16 where it was pretty clear that even the activists who go to conferences to debate policy remits had ...
There has been a survey sent out with a lot of room for free text, so that was a start. I'm not sure if that went to members or campaign email recipients since I'm both.
Members were surveyed including a lot of room for free text, so that was a good start.
Sure, but that still has to be put into a document so it can be considered and some findings and recommendations can be made. Otherwise everyone turns up to whatever meeting(s) with reckons and makes it up.
I'm not sure how else Labour are supposed to find out what people think went wrong without asking them, and what went wrong generally without reviewing what they did and considering what else they could/should have done.
The Green Party are buzzing to represent the cities where they can. Can you find an enthusiastic Labour electorate close to the centre of town anywhere? Where the volunteers are as excited about their candidate and party? Christchurch and Dunedin.
Close to 1 out of every 4 eligible and enrolled voters chose not to vote. I don't know if they have any stats for number of eligible voters who aren't enrolled but would imagine that if these 2 groups are combined we might be getting somewhere close to ...
The law doesn't care about the reason (can be any reason or no reason), it just provides the option for candidates.
Everyone's a fixed term employee, nobody to sack. The main reason for miscounts is the judge decides differently to the counter on 'informal' ballots.
There are a lot more people available to be hired for one Saturday (the public service encourages public servants to do it) plus some people for advance voting, than people for 2-3 weeks.
After election day, there was 1 overhang seat, held by TPM - 121 instead of 120. In the official results, there are currently 2 overhang seats, both held by TPM - 122 instead of 120. TPM was entitled to 3 seats by party vote, hence the 1 seat overhang in ...
Not yet - the Electoral Commission expects that to be available from 27 November: Detailed information to be presented to the House of Representatives (E9), including allocation of list seats, voting place information and special vote statistics, is ...
Hannah Tamaki (independent), Darleen Tana (Greens), Hinurewa Te Hau (National).
I don't think it had much to do with either candidate, and a lot to do with dissatisfaction with Labour generally.
That will be straight away as Little has advised he will not be taking up the seat at all, but obviously the official results can't reflect post-election decisions.
Damien O'Connor was the other 2017 Labour minister with previous experience (Ruth Dyson had experience as well but wasn't a minister).
The time commitment is absolutely brutal, particularly for constituency MPs who are ministers.
While it's unlikely that the specials will change the result that much other than making NZ First necessary rather than nice to have, it's theoretically possible - enjoy a dream about that until the results are released. Also remember that the last time NZ...
That was the case regardless of the outcome as the return of the writ isn't until 9 November.
It seems unlikely that the final result will change that much, but one can dream until 3 November. In theory there are enough special votes to completely change the election result, but can't see that happening. Even if NAct finish with 60/120 which ...
I had look back via Wikipedia at lists from Helen Clark's time as leader: 1996 1999 2002 2005 2008 All of them have some new MPs via the list (e.g. Shane Jones in 2005 and Jacinda Ardern in 2008) and some electorates being won by MPs lower on the list (e.g...
Stats NZ have reasonable population statistics - if you mean how many people will turn 18 in time to vote at the next general election, about 195,000 going by Infoshare.
2017 and 2020 For detailed figures, they can be derived from various results because the specials are usually available separately.
Certainly wasn't the case this time.
I live in Christchurch East, one of the safest Labour seats in NZ so am well aware of the importance of good MPs in safe seats. Obviously there is a job to be done, so selecting a dud isn't useful to anyone. And which carpet-baggers? Nash, Wood, Allan and ...
Sounds great until bugs cause incorrect results or worse, it gets hacked. However unlikely people think that is, it only has to happen once to be awful.
Mostly we do it because the other side does it, and some of our supporters get demoralised if we don't have at least some visibility in a sea of blue.
A lot of people do quite well out of the status quo and major change is scary. Throw in fearmongering at all attempts at change once real proposals appear, and it becomes very hard.
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