Does the caucus not vote for people into the cabinet. Like is that not a thing anymore?
Hmm strangely Nationals vote is going up (well slightly) as more votes are counted. Use to it going the other way.
Labour now up in Papakura
National typically loses 1% after specials and with such a landslide result likely more this time. So National could well end up with 23% or so.
Labour leads National in every electorate except for Papakura. Dreadful. OK currently Nats lead in Epsom too. So 2 electorates at this stage.
But it was better than the week prior.
Works now. Samsung Something
Are you aware on mobile version some of these articles are not readable. I cant read either this one or Mickeys about Labour being better economic managers without switching to desktop version. [TheStandard: A moderator moved this comment to Open Mike as ...
Polls are only as accurate as what side it goes in your favour. Trend is ultimately not going Nationals way. Such a poll result/trend ultimately opens up way more electorate seats potentially going Labour's way. Most North Island provincial seats will be ...
Right move bad targetting. People losing their jobs due to circumstances beyond their control should receive money for a period of time that is higher than a longterm benefit. Just like benefits should not be dependent on the household income. Some thing ...
How would Goff have stopped Key in 2008 if he couldnt in 2011? And replacing Clark would have reeked as desperation
Interesting but why do you have National retaining both Hamilton seats. I think they're likely to swing Labour's way as will Waimakariri and East Coast. Those are seats Labour held up till the momentum changing 2005 onwards. Even Invercargill and New ...
Simon Bridges chances are over. To be honest they were probably always over. National was always a possibility as long as its main vote held up. That was the case for a while despite Jacinda Ardern doing a good job. The support was with her rather than ...
Yes solid National voting there. Not sure the electorate should be called Invercargill anymore. Would have been better with a new name.
The number of MPs is fine. I realise we lose a proportion of list MPs but this only affects the major parties since they get the electorate seats.
Jacinda/Cabinet did the right thing going to Level 3 starting Tuesday 28 April. It was always the right time to shift things as things needed to stay Level 4 during Anzac weekend. I think Level 3 is overall a good move. I would have preferred more retail ...
National ran a shit campaign until the last few weeks. Those last two weeks Jacinda started to look tired and English looked reinvigorated.
If they haven't voted this time when will they vote? Labour+Greens should not be working on the bloc that just don't want to vote. Focus on the provinces and Auckland because they still went with National.
Wellington and Dunedin went to Labour. Christchurch just still with National and Auckland split with a very strong centre-north vote for National and a south-west vote for Labour. Rural went National, provincial went National though softer.
Interestingly the bellweather seats no longer have relevance. Hamilton East, Hamilton West, Northcote and Waimakariri have all gone for National. Only Hamilton West goes to Lab+NZF+GRN.
National down to 46% and Labour edging towards 36%. The Greens vote dropping from earlier is not a surprise either since they don't do well in big urbans seats in Auckland.
National hedging their bet on being the larger voting bloc. National greater than Labour+Greens. Even with specials National will be great than Labour+Greens. That will be their argument to Winston Peters.
Labour getting their votes off NZ First and Greens. Not seeing National bleeding votes
National has consumed the whole of the right-bloc. Labour when the tide moves fully and National lose support need to ensure they don't consume the Greens.
National leading urban, provincial, rural, Auckland and Christchurch votes. Haven't looked at right and left blocs yet though.
They were also celebrating the Colmar Brunton poll till the last one. Polls have held up well. I guess Labour need to look at what happened late in the campaign for many people to go back to National.
Auckland have very large booths that take longer to count than provincial and rural voting booths. So it is a factor. That was why in 2005 the lead reversed so sharply at the end of the night.
Quite good to be back. I've been brutally bored by politics the last three years. I told my partner the day Andrew Little waivered, that Labour should make a leadership change. Could be a risk but was their only choice. Well it worked. Invigorated my ...
Yes but maybe we have seen a more permanent change in Christchurch where it is no longer traditionally Labour.
National has done very good in advance voting. Still 50% of votes still to come. Too much pessimism by the left. 50% of votes to go and National's party vote has typically gone down from this point.
Jacinda Ardern was interviewed by John Campbell where she indicated the party with most party votes should be given first choice in forming a new government. Labour is still stuck in FPP thinking. The left bloc (Labour + Greens) are very close to right ...