Four of the six labour affiliates have now come out in favour of David Cunliffe. Between them they represent a little under nine percent of the total vote.
There has also been a second proper poll showing substantial support for Cunliffe both from the public, and from Labour supporters – however it must be noted that, at 500, the sample sizes of this poll was quite small – especially once it divides down to Labour supporters (at a guess that would be a sample size of around 200).
The caucus vote is more opaque. I’ve heard conflicting stories about numbers, but from what I’ve picked up around the traps it’s most likely MP’s votes are currently split about 50/50.
At the moment it looks very likely it’ll be Cunliffe, but it’s very hard to get a clear read on any of the voting blocks (although it just got easier to gauge the affiliate vote). The good news is there’s only another week to wait to know for sure.
One thing that is certain is that this democratic process has energised the party and put it on a campaign footing as we head into election year.
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