The crime stats are not good news. Homicides are up, violent offences are up, sex offences are up, harassment and related offences are up, drug offences are up, public order offences are up. Oddly, though, the total number of offences is down (by 0.1%). The decrease is entirely due to a 25.6% decrease in recorded fraud offences. What’s up with that?
All the other categories of offences have small movements of a few percent (except homicide, which has large annual fluctuations because of the small number of offences) but we’re supposed to believe that there’s been 3,000 fewer fraud offences, a quarter less in one year for no apparent reason?
I suspect that the result has been caused by some change in policing practice, not Kiwis suddenly becoming 25% less fraudulent. maybe the government cut funding to the people who detect frauds (hey, they cut Customs funding eh? I bet false import declarations are a major source of fraud offences)
So, lets put fraud to one side and look at the rest of the crime stats. They’re up from 427,775 last year to 430,971, just a touch below population increase.
Whether you count fraud offences or not, crime is up since National took power. All their tough on crime showboating hasn’t changed a thing because the driver of changes in the crime rate is unemployment.