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Posts Tagged ‘polls’

Colmar Brunton poll

Written By: - Date published: 11:03 am, June 2nd, 2015 - 53 comments

I’ll cautiously call the previous Roy Morgan, which caused so much angst, an outlier.

Colmar poll

Written By: - Date published: 6:21 am, April 20th, 2015 - 142 comments

No significant changes in yesterdays TV1 / Colmar Brunton poll, with National unchanged on 49%, Labour unchanged on 31%, and all changes within the margin of error.

Dim-Post tracking poll

Written By: - Date published: 8:35 am, March 27th, 2015 - 58 comments

dim-post-traking-oll

March Roy Morgan

Written By: - Date published: 7:13 am, March 21st, 2015 - 61 comments

National down again and Labour up again in the latest Roy Morgan poll.

Public support for the Iraq deployment (In which the insightful and knowledgable Mike Hosking springs to the defence of the embattled PM!)

Written By: - Date published: 7:11 am, February 27th, 2015 - 89 comments

Despite the best efforts of Mike Hosking, the poll numbers tell us that Kiwis have lost their historical appetite for this kind of misadventure.

Three polls is a trend

Written By: - Date published: 7:05 am, February 23rd, 2015 - 79 comments

That’s the third poll this year to have Labour well up to 30% range.

Another Roy Morgan

Written By: - Date published: 7:20 am, February 21st, 2015 - 79 comments

Another Roy Morgan poll out late last night makes decent reading for Little, Labour and the left.

How does Labour keep the momentum?

Written By: - Date published: 7:11 am, February 2nd, 2015 - 216 comments

Labour have bounced back well from the disastrous election result. But how do they keep up the momentum?

Key’s support ebbing

Written By: - Date published: 6:45 am, September 12th, 2014 - 67 comments

National have gambled everything on “Team Key”. They may yet wish that they hadn’t.

The Big Lie in action

Written By: - Date published: 12:30 pm, September 5th, 2014 - 13 comments

This morning Rob Salmond did a great post about the “big lie” – the spin coming from the Right that Labour hasn’t concentrated on policy, just dirty politics.

Like clockwork, David Farrar has a post up about the latest polls, suggesting “Their focus on hacked e-mails instead of policy  is backfiring.”

I think that most New Zealanders…

Written By: - Date published: 12:35 pm, August 28th, 2014 - 17 comments

Our PM is fond of telling us all what we think. In the wake of Dirty Politics he is working it overtime, telling us all that we believe his spin. Interesting then to get some actual data on what (extrapolating from a sample) most New Zealanders really do think. Many thanks to the Horizon polling people for putting this up on line.

Roy Morgan bounces left

Written By: - Date published: 6:12 am, August 20th, 2013 - 76 comments

National 44 (down 7), Labour 34 (up 5), Greens 14 (up 4).

Mixed news

Written By: - Date published: 6:48 am, July 19th, 2013 - 151 comments

The latest Roy Morgan poll is mixed news for the Left. A second high result for National, but Labour’s vote holding steady after difficult weeks.

Informal GCSB poll

Written By: - Date published: 11:20 am, July 14th, 2013 - 42 comments

gcsb-poll

Polls and rogues

Written By: - Date published: 6:13 pm, April 21st, 2013 - 99 comments

Two polls tonight with very different numbers. They can’t both be right – so which one?

Polling merry-go-round

Written By: - Date published: 8:52 am, March 20th, 2013 - 28 comments

The Roy Morgan polls continue their mad merry-go-round, and we bloggers continue to get too excited about it. The latest RM projects a win for Labour / Greens.

That ‘ol margin of error

Written By: - Date published: 8:52 am, February 20th, 2013 - 32 comments

There is no sensible “political narrative” that makes sense of the two most recent polls, it’s just noise – the margin of error. But the underlying trend is still good for the Left…

Poll of polls looking good

Written By: - Date published: 7:53 am, February 14th, 2013 - 137 comments

Yesterday’s Roy Morgan poll looks good for Labour, but individual polls are noisy. Much more importantly, better measures such as the Pundit poll of polls are also looking good for the political Left. Let’s see Labour and the Greens extend their lead to establish a clear majority, without NZF or any other party holding the balance of power…

And Fairfax makes three

Written By: - Date published: 11:03 am, December 9th, 2012 - 56 comments

After good news for Labour in the most recent TV1 and 3 News polls, the latest Fairfax poll is the third in the set confirming that the party has emerged from the recent media circus in OK shape. As far as I know that’s the last big poll of 2012, and with the Left / Right gap halved since the election, a reasonable place for Labour to be sitting at the end of the year.

Two good polls for Labour and Shearer

Written By: - Date published: 6:07 pm, December 2nd, 2012 - 122 comments

Individual polls are nothing to get too excited about, it is the trend over time that matters. That said, the TV1 and 3 News polls tonight were both good news for Labour and Shearer.

Encouraging polls

Written By: - Date published: 2:53 pm, September 24th, 2012 - 69 comments

Encouraging polls in both NZ and America.

Coincidence?

Written By: - Date published: 8:37 am, July 30th, 2012 - 90 comments

Yet more evidence that women are the smarter sex.

Trendy polls

Written By: - Date published: 7:21 am, June 11th, 2012 - 121 comments

The last three polls have all been good for the Left. I’d like to be able to point you to a poll of polls to have a look at the trend, but both Curia and Pundit are stuck in an April time warp.

Update: Great to see the Pundit poll of polls up to date again – check it out.

Polls and elections

Written By: - Date published: 9:14 am, May 19th, 2012 - 21 comments

Another poll to add to current mix. Not a big shift, but in the right direction, and getting the right kinds of headline.  And here’s another headline that isn’t going to help the Nats – the wage gap with Australia is growing at the rate of $1 a month.

Will the Greens lead the next government?

Written By: - Date published: 9:20 am, April 8th, 2012 - 195 comments

Two recent pieces in The Herald draw opposite conclusions from recent polls (one of them, alas, is drivel). Matt McCarten asks if National’s free fall, and the rise of the Greens, foreshadows a Green led government in 2014…

TV1 Poll

Written By: - Date published: 9:40 am, April 2nd, 2012 - 40 comments

A TV1 poll yesterday had Key falling as preferred PM, but no significant change for the major parties.

The long slide

Written By: - Date published: 6:34 am, February 20th, 2012 - 66 comments

According to the latest 3 News poll. National’s long slide has begun. Key’s popularity has also fallen to its lowest level yet as PM…

Bugger the polls

Written By: - Date published: 9:48 am, November 28th, 2011 - 141 comments

Pundit’s poll of polls tracked 57 individual polls this year, four of them appearing just a day or so before the election.  Every single poll predicted National with the seats to govern alone.  Didn’t happen.  The polls over estimate Nat support to the tune of about 4%.  They need to rethink their methods.

Main parties down minor parties up

Written By: - Date published: 7:07 am, November 18th, 2011 - 26 comments

The two TV polls last night had both major parties down, and The Greens on the rise to 13%.  The Herald poll has NZF on 4.9%.  I would expect the Nats to fall as the bungled and aggressive handling of the teapot tape fiasco has time to impact the polls.  It’s going to be an interesting week.

Good news bad news polls

Written By: - Date published: 7:25 am, November 11th, 2011 - 44 comments

Labour is down in two recent polls (albeit margin of error), but over all the news is good!

TVNZ and Herald polls

Written By: - Date published: 8:35 am, November 4th, 2011 - 53 comments

Two polls out yesterday show no significant changes, with National well in front.   Don’t panic!  The campaign has only just started. Events always take a while to show up in the polls.  The Left needs to see movement soon – time’s running out fast – but it isn’t a surprise not to see it yet.

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