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The Bullshit

Written By: - Date published: 8:37 pm, September 12th, 2017 - 84 comments
Categories: democracy under attack, election 2017, elections, making shit up, Media, Politics, Propaganda - Tags: ,

There seems to be a fair amount of gnashing teeth over that Newshub poll.

Now, pause for a second. The numbers being reported tally 100%.

In other words, in an environment that obviously has a lot of undecided flux on the “not National” side of the voting ledger, and bugger all on the pro- National side of the ledger, what’s being reported is going to bump National’s polling numbers quite markedly.

I honestly don’t know why NZ allows such poll reporting. Polls ought by law to include and exclude ‘undecideds’. And both tallies ought to be reported side by side. Otherwise, reporting isn’t so much a measure of voting intentions as it is very much a means to influence voting. (I can’t find the number of undecideds for that poll)

How many people wavering between The Greens and NZ Labour will now vote NZ Labour (possibly by as early as tomorrow morning) on the basis that the Green Party are dead in the water? We need to be told how many of the 1000 respondents said they were undecided, or how many people were canvassed to get 1000 decided responses.

As it is, any shift that might have been underway from NZ Labour to the Greens (perhaps by way of signalling discontent for Liberal economic settings) translates, not as a shift on “the left” resulting in more “undecideds”, but as a rise of support for National. And when people buy into the lie, it becomes a determining factor – an absolute blight on whatever measure of democratic agency people in NZ have.

 

84 comments on “The Bullshit ”

  1. lurgee 1

    Toughen up, lad, it’s only an effin’ poll. They go one way, they go the other.

    Did anyone expect Labour would gain ground in every single poll?

    If you can keep your head when all around you are losing theirs …

    • John Long 1.1

      Exactly do not panic, get the young ones out to vote. I do think Labour need to think about blunting the attack lines around the Tax review thing like promise not to raise the total tax take without going back to the electorate, or say the focus will simply be on speculative house trading and everything else off the table .
      Labour will be much stronger irrespective and if it can’t form a government it can harras and attack

    • Bill 1.2

      Think you’re missing the point Lurgee.

      There really is a lot of flux on “the left”. The reality is that most of any rise in the Green vote is going to come at the expense of NZ Labour.

      But any people currently humming or hah-ing between NZ Labour and Greens get ‘disappeared’ by that kind of poll reporting, meaning that an entirely false picture of how things are is presented back to us.

      Overseas polls report percentages both with and without undecideds included in calculations (UK comes to mind) . It makes a big difference in a presentation and any accompanying commentary/analysis.

      Given the somewhat unique situation in NZ right now, I’d suggest the difference between the two styles of poll reporting essentially results in the voting public being ‘led by the nose’

      • lurgee 1.2.1

        I don’t recall any ‘Don’t Knows’ being reported in UK polling. The information is generally included in the data sheets that are released alongside the poll, but most companies don’t include Don’t Knows alongside the poll results, at least not for political polls – that I recall seeing, at any rate.

        Dunno if Reid research release their data sets alongside the polls, but to be honest I don’t think it is worth getting agitated about. Polling, let’s face it, has not been enjoying a purple patch. Clinton by miles, May by light years, and all that.

        I think the simplest explanation is that people have had a look at Ardern, and aren’t quite as enthused as they were a fortnight ago. She’s pleasant enough, but at the end of the day she’s just another politician, and she’s still banging the same old drum that Andrew Little and David Cunliffe and David Shearer and Phil Goff were banging, and the electorate didn’t feel the urge to march behind them, so why would they do it for her?

        • Bill 1.2.1.1

          And your last paragraph, that I believe to be “on the money”, would throw up an increase in “undecideds” as they lose ‘enthusiasm’ for so-called ‘Jacindamania’.

          What would (say) a 10% increase in undecideds between the last Reid poll and this one indicate? Certainly not a “the Greens might not make parliament” story line, yes?

          edit – the poll presentations I had in mind were all those independence ones from 2014. I’m reasonably sure it’s par for the course to include both calculations.

          • lurgee 1.2.1.1.1

            Depends on who the new undecideds are, really.

            If they are the soft Nats or NZ 1sters, they’ll probably go back to the donor party quite happily.

            If they are former Greens, it’s likely some won’t go back to the Greens, if they were angered over the treatment of Turei. Some will probably stay at home.

            If they are new voters, Heaven only knows.

            AS for declaring undecideds, it would be a bit interesting (for spods like us) to look at how the British pollig companies treated undecideds prior to the election earlier this year, to see if there was a difference in how they were allocated or not allocated. That might – might – account for some of the wildl different polls that prefaced that fiasco.

  2. mosa 2

    GREAT TIMING THIS POLL TO COINCIDE WITH EARLY VOTING. !!!!!!

  3. One Anonymous Bloke 3

    Seriously? One bad poll result and you’re concerned the electorate might be manipulated into choosing a Liberal government?

    • Bill 3.1

      Nope. I’ve commented on this kind of bullshit poll reporting before and how it skews shit. But one difference with this one is that people are currently casting their votes.

    • weka 3.2

      You don’t think there is a risk that some people will vote Labour instead of Green on the basis of this? Or not vote at all? It’s not one poll, it’s a series of them.

  4. Glenn 5

    The chart that boggis the cat put up on the “gnashing of teeth” thread should be compulsory reading when these polls come up….
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_New_Zealand_general_election,_2017#Party_vote_and_key_events

    It just doesn’t fit any pattern. It smells like the turd in the picture.

    • Bill 5.1

      From your link.

      Refusals are generally excluded from the party vote percentages, while question wording and the treatment of “don’t know” responses and those not intending to vote may vary between survey organisations

      It’s this that needs to be included in all polls instead of being smudged or discarded.

  5. … ” How many people wavering between The Greens and NZ Labour will now vote NZ Labour (possibly by as early as tomorrow morning) on the basis that the Green Party are dead in the water ? ” …

    Good spotting . We have all noticed lately how certain RWNJ’s have been obliquely attacking Labour by attacking the MOU , in particular , by attacking the Greens. I would say that’s what this is all about.

    You knock out the Greens you decrease Labours ability to form a govt.

    I suspect this is the chosen angle of attack. And we will get more and more of this from MSM , – particularly from anything to do with TV3 . This from DOUGAL over at The Daily Blog :
    …………………………………………….

    DOUGAL says:
    SEPTEMBER 12, 2017 AT 7:26 PM
    Mediaworks.

    The same company that Steven Joyce used to run.
    The same company that there National govt bailed out.
    The same company that kicked John Campbell of air.

    Hmmm do I trust their poll? Just like an 11bn hole, no I do not.

    Now, as for the fact Labour announced new competition to three and tvnz today, I think there is some extra incentive to put out a fake poll to try and prevent Labour from getting in.

    ………………………………………………

    It would appear a way was found to jerry rig the poll and influence public preferences…

    • lurgee 6.2

      Is there any reason to doubt Reid Research’s integrity?

      As opposed to their methodology, which may or may not be honestly inaccurate.

      • gsays 6.2.1

        I have no reason to distrust property valuers integrity.
        When in a business many moons ago, the restaurant had to be valued because a partner was leaving it.
        When the numbers came in, the client (me) expressed concern about how high the business was valued. Next day valuer back with a revised set of numbers, far more conducive to the client.

      • WILD KATIPO 6.2.2

        Is there any reason to doubt Reid Research’s integrity?

        I’m more worried about the ample reason to doubt both Dildo Joyce and Dipper English’s integrity,… what , … with magical ‘ fiscal holes’ , and police giving Dipper a say in whats released to the public over the Todd Barclay affair…

        Frankly , … when you have a former owner of a TV station , and who has financially bailed out the same, with many media contacts, – , and who now is a senior minister in an ailing government coming up to an election , it would very , very easy to whisper in someones ear just what sort of results you desired…

        And as has been discussed, – by NOT including the ‘undecideds’ … will skew the results in favor of that govt to influence public opinion .

        I’d say that’s kind of dirty.

        Dirty Politics, … in fact.

        • mary_a 6.2.2.1

          WK @ (6.2.2) … As a former owner of the company, is it possible Joyce still has an investment, shares etc in Mediaworks? He has contacts, so still does have some influence. But it would be interesting if he’s retained a monetary interest as well.

  6. boggis the cat 7

    One poll, that may be anomalous, doesn’t mean much.

    I would expect the Greens to bounce back: from their present polling around five to six percent to around eight to ten percent of votes. If they crashed out below five percent, then that would be a problem for Labour — but Winston would probably be very pleased.

    Ultimately it is up to each party to sell their policies and vision.

    • Bill 7.1

      How many soft NZ Labour voters who are contemplating a vote for The Greens replied “don’t know” and got excluded from that polls calculations?

      By contrast, how many potential National voters do you think are in any position to be ‘undecided’?

      And what impact do you think those two factors might have on the headline figures being reported?

      You’re aware it’s entirely possible that poll could be produced with those numbers and those headlines even if the combined Green and NZ Labour vote has not actually gone down, and even if both parties are experiencing an increase in solid or committed voter numbers, yes?

      • boggis the cat 7.1.1

        My view is that this is the second outlier poll in sequence from them.

        So, either their methodology is significantly better or significantly worse. They were pretty good in 2014, but all polls were fairly close then. Boring election, with low turnout.

        What will change this year (I hope) is more motivated people turning up at the booths. That should scuttle National, unless Winston gets offered something exceptionally blingy (f.e. ‘Prime Minister Peters’ for at least a year). Of course, even NZF’s eventual vote share could get watered down if enough younger people can be bothered to get off their arses.

  7. Pete 8

    Where is Paula Bennett when you need her? Surely she must soon come riding into the scene on her white charger to save the world.

  8. Macro 9

    Totally support your comment there Bill, such reporting is disingenuous in the extreme. Furthermore, Reid Polling tends to over poll the “conservative” vote – note that the Conservative party gets an upward tick as does Act in this poll as opposed to other polls – and this particular poll is no exception.

    • boggis the cat 9.1

      This particular polling organisation does appear to have a bias toward National, if you review their polling.

      I would wait for the Roy Morgan poll results, before accepting this one at face value. My guess is that Newshub / Reid Research have changed methodology, and ended up with skewed results.

      Also, it is a good point about ‘undecideds’. Polling isn’t complete without including that group. These people are what determines turnout — and turnout is a big factor.

      High turnout is always bad for Tories. Ardern has, I think, helped here by giving impetus for the marginal voters to bother turning out. The Greens have been stumbling, and I think this is what has drawn their polling down.

      • lprent 9.1.1

        Problem with this upcoming RM is because it covers 2 weeks, essentially over the same period as the last 4 polls, it probably isn’t going to tell us much. If it agrees with this last poll, then it either invalidates the other three or they picked up most of their data in the second week. If it agrees generally with the earlier three – well we don’t know if they picked up their data in the first week. If it does neither – then who in hell could tell.

  9. Hanswurst 10

    I don’t understand the reaction to this poll. Even assuming the numbers are 100% accurate, and comparing it to the previous Newshub poll, it looks as though National may have picked up some support from both Labour and NZ first, and Labour probably picked up some from the Greens. Allowing for the margins of error in both iterations of the poll, the poll could equally support there having been only a very small change, if any. The same goes for the two most recent Colmar Brunton polls. People seem to be reacting to tonight’s poll as though a four-point lead for Labour had suddenly morphed into a ten-point deficit, when in fact, all four polls are equally consistent with there having been very little shift at all.

    The reporting is another issue, of course, but that’s within the wider context of MSM reporting, and there is nothing extraordinary about how this poll is being reported. The reporting of polling always seems to be a case of looking at the numbers, asking the question, “If these numbers were accurate, what could they conceivably provide evidence for?”, and then trying to weave a dramatic narrative out of that.

  10. ES Sceptic 11

    Prior to the news, you lefties were congratulating yourselves in winning.

    After the news you Lefties are screaming “the polls wrong, the polls wrong”.

    Losers.

    [Uh-huh. You got a link to comments where I was being either congratulatory before the news or saying the actual poll numbers are wrong? I’ll save you the trouble. There are no such comments. Now either up your game or fuck off. Only warning] – Bill

    • L0L !

      Yes we are screaming THIS poll is wrong , – or at least conducted in a dubious manner , – but the rest of the polls are about right.

      And so yes, we are still congratulating Labour and the Greens on their soon to be magnificent win against a corrupt and lying govt. And congratulating Kiwis on their wise choice as STILL being a decent lot that knows corruption and corporate cronyism when they see it. 🙂

    • Roy 11.2

      Nah, Bill’s cleared it up. Not worried any more, we’ll see you twerps out.

      • lurgee 11.2.1

        Nah, Bill’s cleared it up. Not worried any more, we’ll see you twerps out.

        The polls we like have the same methological flaw (if that is not putting it too strongly) as he identifies in the Reid Research poll, I believe.

        So that is false comfort.

    • Ben 11.3

      Indeed, and gone full retard by stating that the poll is fake and rigged by TV3.

      The Green vote would be split and allow National + Act to govern. Oh the irony.

    • Robert Guyton 11.4

      Yours has been a fleeting and somewhat pointless visit to TS, ES Sceptic – spray and walk away, as they say.

  11. Roy 12

    Ahhh! So you’re saying if a responder hasn’t decided, they don’t get counted… And there’s more likely to be an undecided between LP and GP than NP and someone else.

    If the question was between {LP or GP} and {NP or ally}, the result would be way closer.

    Right?

    • Bill 12.1

      Undecideds aren’t counted.
      Likely to be reasonably high proportion of undecideds contemplating between LP or GP, yes.

      No need to change the question. Just include the undecideds in the calculations that yield the headline percentages. It would paint a very different picture.

    • There is a wider choice available in voting for the left, ‘progressive’ through to ‘center left’ ,… and also the left bloc party’s such as the Greens are larger than Nationals small satellites , so any movement among the left will see a more dramatic increase/decrease of %’s. The wild card was NZ First , but even they have had voters splinter off to either of the large party’s.

      And that shows a certain amount of consolidation and also as – yet undecideds,… and its the undecideds – particularity among the left bloc- that hasn’t been taken into consideration by this poll. However, when those undecideds finally vote on September 23rd , that is when we will see true consolidation. Up until then , – leaving out undecideds skews this poll’s result to look like something that isn’t in reality.

  12. Colville 13

    Have Labour woken up to the fact that life will be so much easier if the Greens slide under 5 percent?

    • Hanswurst 13.1

      No, because the Greens over 5% is >5% for a Labour-led govt., whereas the Greens slightly below is approx. 5% left-wing vote down the gurgler. Life potentially gets easier for Labour if NZ First drops out of Parliament (which is also an outside possibility at this stage), but only if Labour + Green polls higher than National.

      • Colville 13.1.1

        Hans
        I hope everyone on the left is as stupid as you

        • Incognito 13.1.1.1

          No, not everyone; I’m more stupid than Hanswurst.

          Sorry to dash your hope – nothing personal – but the truth needs to be told more often after 9 years of truthiness by Sir John and Squire Joyce from National’s Roundtable.

    • DoublePlusGood 13.2

      Why, because they’ll be in opposition again and won’t have to do any work for another 3 years?

    • Bill 13.3

      Go back to my post of Oct 1. It was the argument being made back then on Jacinda’s first day as leader. I think they “get” that.

  13. Delia 14

    Last time National needed NZFirst it was a complete disaster and lead to nine years of a Labour govt, so good luck with that Bill and they say history never repeats.

    • Colville 14.1

      Delia
      That is exactly why most Nat supporters would rather see a Labour government than a nat/nzf coalition

  14. Glenn 15

    The Spin-off believes the BS..

    “..Perhaps the recent Colmar Brunton polls, including the latest which gave Labour a four-point lead over National, were rogue (or “rouge” as National Party operative Bill Ralston put it earlier today). Maybe the truth is somewhere in between. It certainly seems safe to say that the momentum has ceased; those already getting suited up for a Labour victory parade have been stopped in their tracks.”

    https://thespinoff.co.nz/politics/12-09-2017/dramatic-yes-it-bloody-is-national-surge-back-to-lead-in-new-paddy-poll/

    Thought they had more sense.

  15. Bryan 16

    Chill – Not a huge difference from last Reid poll. Another couple of polls will really show if the momentum for change continues. The Greenysteria about missing out is predicated on the mantra being preached that the Greens are a necessity for Labour to govern.

  16. cleangreen 17

    Wait till Morgan Poll comes out in a day or two.

    National have proven they will do anything to win including sending out false claims.

    National have done it – as many times this week that i cant remember.

    MSM doesn’t pick them up so their is some collusion here.

    I would not doubt if these national thugs would like to rig the electoral process also.

    So the polling practices of this ‘Reid’ poll represents’ those aged between mid 30’s & mid 40’s we have been told now by Wild Katipo as he was called by them recently so that is significant here.

    A generational targeted poll is a form of rigging the poll I venture to believe now, so we await the morgan poll now.

    National = masters of deception.

    • Pat 17.1

      “So the polling practices of this ‘Reid’ poll represents’ those aged between mid 30’s & mid 40’s ”

      I hope you are not thinking that this poll was only taken of those in that particular demographic

      • lurgee 17.1.1

        cleangreen appears to hail from the paranoid / conspiratorial end of the spectrum.

        His / her assumption is based on a phone call from a polling company that asked to speak to someone in a particular age band. Ergo, conspiracy!

        Alas, there are plenty of LWNJs out there alongside the RWNJs.

    • And , … even if that was not a misleading poll , … after 9 years there has just been far , far too many incidents of this govt and its lying dirty politics. The mere fact they are indulging in so many mind games and treating the general public as fools should be enough reason for them to go. For this govt , kicked off by John Key , … I have never seen so much blatant political skulduggery in this country before . Ever.

      • Ian 18.1.1

        the economy has never been better. National has committed to reducing poverty, houses are being built as we speak and all the rivers in my patch of paradise are drinkable and swimmable. Perhaps labour and the greens have overcooked their campaign ? Attacking the people that grow your food so that you can govern them seems like something out of the dark ages. Particularly when you know jack shit about growing food.

        • WILD KATIPO 18.1.1.1

          * ‘ The economy has never been better ‘.

          And yet there are around 42,000 homeless, family’s sleeping in cars because they cant afford rent, and wages so low that even the OECD reported on it. All of that as National arrogantly boasts of a ‘ Rockstar Economy ‘ .

          * ‘ National has committed to reducing poverty ‘.

          After 9 years they finally admitted their policy’s caused it.

          * ‘ Houses are being built as we speak ‘ .

          After 9 years they actually admitted there was a housing crisis and because its coming up to an election and wanted to look good so threw some lollies around.

          * ‘ All the rivers in my patch of paradise are drinkable and swimmable ‘.

          Yet indisputably others are far from swimmable and it was only until National were forced to admit it ( like most of their failings ) that again , because it is election year , … they make noises about cleaning them . Thus admitting they were lying about the true state of our waterways .

          * ‘ Attacking the people that grow your food so that you can govern them seems like something out of the dark ages ‘ .

          And so does carrying on like a rip shit and bust pioneer thinking you can cut trees and pollute even more waterways like you are still in the dark ages , -without a modern management plan in place acting and thinking the frontier will never end.

        • Pat 18.1.1.2

          “Do we really think for instance, that we can address climate change without including farmers – the country’s main source of emissions – in the emissions trading scheme which, for all its imperfections, is the main way we currently have of addressing man-made changes to the climate. Even if right now, there is no absolute surefire solution for farm-generated emissions, a price signal would – arguably – motivate farmers to reduce them further in the meantime. After all, a tax on cigarettes isn’t expected to cure nicotine addiction overnight either, but it helps reduce the incidence of it. And yes, the price signal will cause some pain. It won’t work otherwise.”
          http://gordoncampbell.scoop.co.nz/2017/09/12/gordon-campbell-on-the-likely-path-of-hurricane-jacinda/

          well Ian do you think the rural sector should be exempt?

        • lprent 18.1.1.3

          FFS Ian – you really are a romantic and probably intellectually retarded.

          The Nats have had 9 years to reduce poverty. The only thing that they have succeeded in doing is increasing it massively. That is why they refuse to measure it by any normal standards.

          The Nats have had 9 years to fix the housing issues that they were complaining about in 2007. The only thing that they have succeeded in doing is increasing house prices massively. They have also managed to reduce the housing build rate to a fraction of what it was in 2007. Plus they increased nett migration. It means that they have dramatically increased overcrowding and homelessness. Again they don’t measure it because National ministers prefer to lie sure in the knowledge that they can’t be gainsayed.

          At present all the indications are that in the city with the biggest housing issues, this years residence builds are falling compared to last year.

          I last went down south 2 years ago. The rivers had largely disappeared down by the coast through most of Canterbury. The anglers I know say that it has been getting rapidly worse over the last 6 years. The hikers are saying the same about the rivers and streams that they used to go to. I see it in the rivers and streams that I used to know up here.

          Basically I think that you are probably simply lying. Both to yourself and to everyone else. Do you think that people don’t observe what has been happening around them?

        • Ross 18.1.1.4

          Ian, did you take the time to see the doco on TV3 last night? It was very illuminating and an indictment of this government. But I guess if you’re doing OK it doesn’t really matter if others are struggling. That was one of the conclusions of the doco – a lot of people seem to have a “me, me, me” mentality. It’s sad.

          https://www.stuff.co.nz/life-style/homed/latest/96755666/housing-crisis-documentary-pulls-no-punches-on-eve-of-election

        • Hongi Ika 18.1.1.5

          … and the pigs are flying ?

    • Hongi Ika 18.2

      100%

  17. boggis the cat 19

    Something else to consider, when evaluating polls.

    Note that this particular poll also has NZF significantly down compared to the trend:

    Newshub Reid Research 6–11 Sep 2017 Nat 47.3 Lab 37.8 Grn 4.9 NZF 6.0
    Newsroom-SSI 4–6 Sep 2017 Nat 30 Lab 45 Grn 6 NZF 11
    One News Colmar Brunton 2–6 Sep 2017 Nat 39 Lab 43 Grn 5 NZF 9
    Listener: Bauer Media Insights 1-5 Sep 2017 Nat 38.9 Lab 41.1 Grn 6.7 NZF 8.9
    One News Colmar Brunton 26–30 Aug 2017 Nat 41 Lab 43 Grn 5 NZF 8
    Newshub Reid Research 22–30 Aug 2017 Nat 43.3 Lab 39.4 Grn 6.1 NZF 6.6
    (Polls in date order with most recent first. Previous Newshub / Reid Research poll last.)

    So there has been a consistent mismatch with both the National-Labour vote split and NZF being low. The latest poll seems to be even more anomalous than the previous, where it was not greatly aberrant.

    Edit: tried to get the data lined up, but this forum doesn’t seem to do tabs. Sorry.

    • ianmac 19.1

      Tis fine boggis. Trends help.

      • boggis the cat 19.1.1

        Maybe a simplification is better.

        Ignoring the Newsroom-SSI data (as that also looks aberrant), here is the Labour – National trend across the polls:
        -4, +2, +2, +4, -10 (earliest and latest data is from Newshub / Reid Research).

        Here is the NZ First trend across the same:
        7, 8, 9, 9, 6.

        That swing to National within a week seems infeasibly large, and the NZ First polling seems off. I think it is just an outlier poll.

    • lprent 19.2

      Whitespace issues are a problem with non-proportional fonts anyway. The HTML ‘code’ tag ( https://www.w3schools.com/tags/tag_code.asp ) will give a monospaced font. But all HTML removes sequential whitespace down to a single space.

      You can use non-breaking spaces ( https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Non-breaking_space ) between ‘code’ tags, but to make it work you’d need to do a lot of typing and it will be unreadable.

      HTML tables work ( https://www.w3schools.com/html/html_tables.asp ). But it is a lot of work unless you do it in an editor that allows you to paste tables as HTML text into these comment boxes.

  18. Katipo 20

    Q: On election night last time when the counting started and all the advanced votes were shown (I’m pretty sure it was in one big whack), how much then did the party percentages differ from the final result?

  19. Sanctuary 21

    The purpose behind the reporting of last night poll was to bump the ratings of TV3 and give Patrick Gower something “dramatic” to rant about.

  20. cleangreen 22

    If this poll was ‘doctored’ by Joyce, (I have assessed) there is no way to confirm accuracy .
    We contacted some of these polling companies last year after we looked into the methods used by requesting details from them.

    Results of several polling companies was disturbing.

    We found, it is all based on trust that they are accurate nothing else.

    They confirmed there is no ability for them to conduct any rechecks of voters stated choices on any with these ‘polls’ they told us.

    The same applies to the general election, the electoral commission sent us an email confirming “there no no way we can confirm voters choice was recorded accurately.

    Overseas now many countries are using a ‘Voter Verified Audit Paper Trail’ (VVPAT) voting systems (even with the manual paper voting system we still use) as they use electronic counting of paper votes after we surrender our paper vote at the polling centre, and we have confirmed that is where false recording of votes can take place.

    Here in NZ they only do a sample manual rechecking of a fraction of all votes taken during our General Election System, so there are many flaws left inside our voting system today.

    https://www.verifiedvoting.org/resources/vvpr-legislation/

    So we asked the NZ Electoral Commission to switch to VVPAT and they refused so we are left to take their word for any poll conducted, so we must be wary of this lack of verification from any poll conducted now.

    James Shaw today on TV one said their ‘internal’ polling showed the election will be very tight and every vote will count for them’, so they will re-double their door knocking if able.

  21. Stan Blanch 23

    LOL Jacindas take on water tax was ,”Er?…3 to 6 cents per lb of butterfat, I think?”
    …Farmer in ChCh on TV News rapidly translated it to $47,000.00 on his farm ‘…. LALA Land stuff. Wondering if Taxinda will get a make over…Pink cardigan twin set, few elocution lessons…a real briefing on tax matters?…

    • Psych nurse 23.1

      Well, said farmer must have a turnover of some 50 million then, can therefore afford to pay to clean up his pollution.

  22. gsays 24

    Great analysis Bill.
    This stuff can partially explain what went wrong with the polling around brexit and trumps election.
    Fairly irrelevant to me anyhows, I voted yesty.

  23. Phil 25

    Haha, someone got up on the wrong side of the bed.

    Now, pause for a second. The numbers being reported tally 100%.

    In other words, in an environment that obviously has a lot of undecided flux on the “not National” side of the voting ledger…

    I’ll type this slowly so that even you can keep up, Bill:

    If… someone… is… genuinely… undecided… this… close… to… an… election… there’s…a pretty… good… chance… they… won’t… vote.
    And… pollsters… don’t… just… shrug… their… shoulders… and… move… on…to… the… next… question… after… the… respondent… says… they’re… undecided.

    They probe further about the respondent’s propensity to vote, whether they voted in previous elections, whether there is a party they ‘lean’ in favour of, and so on, to help refine and narrow down the level of undecideds.

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  • The Fog Of Economic Policy Is Starting To Clear…
    Bryan Bruce, https://www.facebook.com/www.redsky.tv, 19 September 2020 National’s economic policy of temporary tax cuts yesterday proved, if proof be needed, that they are unapologetic neoliberals. While their claim that with more money in their pockets people will spend more might sound attractive, the reality is that tax cuts always benefit the ...
    Closing the GapBy Tracey Sharp
    7 hours ago
  • Skeptical Science New Research for Week #38, 2020
    Highlighted article: Carbon pricing and planetary boundaries  Engström et al take what might be called a systems approach to evaluating carbon pricing, taking into a account various economic sectors affected by and affecting paying for emissions. The conclusions are overall a rare pleasant surprise— a feature predicated on cooperation.  Abstract: ...
    11 hours ago
  • Humans ignite almost every wildfire that threatens homes
    Nathan Mietkiewicz, National Ecological Observatory Network and Jennifer Balch, University of Colorado Boulder CC BY-ND Summer and fall are wildfire season across the western U.S. In recent years, wildfires have destroyed thousands of homes, forced hundreds of thousands of people to evacuate and exposed tens of millions to harmful ...
    SciBlogsBy Guest Author
    13 hours ago
  • Climate Change: China steps up
    China has increased its climate change ambition, and set a target to be carbon-neutral by 2060: China will reach carbon neutrality before 2060 and ensure its greenhouse gas emissions peak in the next decade, Xi Jinping has told the UN general assembly. “China will scale up its intended nationally ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    15 hours ago
  • Humans have dealt with plenty of climate variability
    Climate Explained is a collaboration between The Conversation, Stuff and the New Zealand Science Media Centre to answer your questions about climate change. If you have a question you’d like an expert to answer, please send it to climate.change@stuff.co.nz How much climate variability have humans dealt with since we ...
    SciBlogsBy Guest Author
    16 hours ago
  • Indigenous perspectives on unrestricted access to genomic data
    By Genomics Aotearoa researcher Maui Hudson, University of Waikato It is vital that genomics research respects genomic data and genetic heritage from indigenous communities. Genomics research is a rapidly growing field of study, and there is a strong push to make the huge amount of data being produced open ...
    SciBlogsBy Genomics Aotearoa
    18 hours ago
  • Terrible luck: lockdowns on learning and youth job prospects
    What is bad luck? Bad luck is spilling spaghetti sauce down your shirt right before an important meeting. When the person in front of you gets the last seat on the bus, that’s bad luck. Bad luck is when it’s sunny outside, so you leave the house without a coat, ...
    SciBlogsBy Guest Author
    18 hours ago
  • Ian Powell: Does private healthcare threaten public healthcare in New Zealand?
    Is the private health system impacting negatively on the public health system? Health commentator Ian Powell evaluates a recent NZ Herald article by Natalie Akoorie (“Public v private healthcare: Moonlighting, skimming, duplication – should NZ do better”), and looks at how the dual system works, and concludes that the answer ...
    Democracy ProjectBy bryce.edwards
    22 hours ago
  • A rabbit-hole election debate: So do you want more avocado orchards?
    We live in strange and unusual times. It’s been a century since we’ve endured a global pandemic like this, more than half a century since we’ve had economic woes like this. So maybe we got an opening election debate for the times - because that was a strange and unusual ...
    PunditBy Tim Watkin
    1 day ago
  • LIVE: Jacinda Ardern vs. Judith Collins, First Debate
    Tonight, The Civilian will be live-blogging the first of too many debates between Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern and National Party leader Judith Collins, and also the last fifteen minutes of the news. Be sure to tune in from 6:45pm for regular updates, which can be accessed by refreshing this page ...
    The CivilianBy admin
    1 day ago
  • Hundreds of Aucklanders arrested after illegal mass gathering on Harbour Bridge
    An enormous drive-in party, shown here, was held this morning on Auckland’s Harbour Bridge, where police were forced to intervene. Hundreds of Aucklanders were arrested this morning on public health grounds, after an apparent illegal mass gathering on the city’s Harbour Bridge. Police say hundreds of Aucklanders gathered in their ...
    The CivilianBy admin
    1 day ago
  • The Looming Fight.
    Social Distancing Be Damned - It's Jacinda! Shortly after ascending to Labour’s leadership, Jacinda described herself as a “pragmatic idealist”. It was an inspired oxymoron – packing into just two words the essence of the social-democrat’s dilemma. It was good to know that she knew what lay ahead of her. ...
    2 days ago
  • Climate Change: Moving faster
    Back in 2017, the UK announced that it would ban the sale of new fossil fuel vehicles by 2040. Its a basic climate change measure, aimed at reducing emissions by shifting the vehicle fleet to cleaner technologies. Now, in the wake of the pandemic, they're planning to bring it forward ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 days ago
  • The Australian courts have had enough of refugee detention
    For the past decade, Australia has had a racist, anti-refugee policy. Those claiming refugee status are imprisoned without trial and left to rot in the hope they would "voluntarily" return to be tortured and murdered. When the courts have granted them visas, the government has immediately revoked them on racial ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 days ago
  • Friction and the Anti-lock Braking System
    Yesterday afternoon I had to call on my car’s anti-lock braking system (ABS). For reasons best known to its driver, a car pulled out of a side road right in front of me while I was driving home after work, and I needed to stop in a hurry. I rather ...
    SciBlogsBy Marcus Wilson
    2 days ago
  • The Inside Word: New Zealand Quarantine
    There are a fair few misconceptions about conditions within New Zealand’s Quarantine Hotels. Madeline Grant’s misplaced accusations being one prominent example, though she is not alone. Today, I thought I’d share the inside word, so to speak. A friend of mine has recently returned to New Zealand from overseas, and ...
    2 days ago
  • Hard News: ASA: Let’s not talk about this
    Last week, major newspapers carried a full-page ad as part of the campaign for a "No" vote to the referendum question about supporting the Cannabis Legalisation and Control Bill. The ad was authorised by the SAM NZ Coalition, which takes its name from a controversial American anti-cannabis group and includes ...
    2 days ago
  • This is not kind
    New Zealand has a serious homelessness problem, due to skyrocketing rents and a lack of state houses. One of the ways we stick a band-aid on it is to put people up in motels. Previously, they were charged full commercial rates, saddled with odious debt due to the government's failure ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 days ago
  • Wokies are the establishment
    by Ani O’Brien In the absence of a better word with which to refer to the rabid activists who claim progressivism while demanding adherence to an increasingly prescriptive set of political beliefs, I call them “woke”. With its roots in Black American slang, the term originally denoted a person or ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    2 days ago
  • How to strengthen the post-isolation Covid rules
    Over the weekend, the Ministry of Health reported a case of Covid-19 in Auckland that is not related to the current Auckland cluster. Before we start to panic, here’s how I think the case happened and how we can strengthen our current border controls. The new Covid-19 case is someone ...
    SciBlogsBy Siouxsie Wiles
    3 days ago
  • Neuralink and You: A Human-AI Symbiosis
    Becky Casale Elon Musk reckons his Neuralink brain implant is much more than a medical device–that one day it will drive a symbiosis between humans and artificial intelligence. “Good morning! I’m Dr Benedict Egg and I’ll be supervising your Neuralink insertion today. Do you have any questions?” “Yes, Doc. ...
    SciBlogsBy Guest Author
    3 days ago
  • Liam Hehir: Our obsession with American politics
    Many New Zealanders take a strong interest in US politics, with the death of Supreme Court Judge Ruth Bader Ginsberg being the latest example. Liam Hehir wonders if it very wise for New Zealanders to get so worked about it.   Many politically engaged New Zealanders are now furiously ...
    Democracy ProjectBy bryce.edwards
    3 days ago
  • COVID: Back to Level 1
    After stamping the Coronavirus out via strict lockdown between March and May, New Zealand went through a good three months without any community cases. Then a local outbreak in Auckland rather buggered things up last month. Auckland’s been in level 3 and level 2.5 for the past six weeks. ...
    3 days ago
  • Climate Change: Climate injustice
    Who's causing our skyrocketing emissions? As with most of our other problems, It's the rich: The wealthiest 1% of the world’s population were responsible for the emission of more than twice as much carbon dioxide as the poorer half of the world from 1990 to 2015, according to new ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    3 days ago
  • Good riddance
    The border closure and resulting lack of foreign slave-workers is driving the fishing industry out of business: One fishing company is effectively out of business while others are bracing for large financial hits as the deepwater New Zealand industry, unable to get skilled foreign workers into the country, have ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    3 days ago
  • 2020 SkS Weekly Climate Change & Global Warming Digest #38
    Story of the Week... Toon of the Week... Coming Soon on SkS... Climate Feedback Claim Review... SkS Week in Review... Poster of the Week... Story of the Week... The tipping points at the heart of the climate crisis Many parts of the Earth’s climate system have been destabilised by ...
    3 days ago
  • Anyone for Collins?
    In the absence of national public opinion polls, we have had to make do in recent weeks with other guides to voter intentions. Those guides, such as the Auckland Central poll, the incidence of google enquiries and the responses to Vote Compass questions, have suggested, not unexpectedly, that Labour is ...
    Bryan GouldBy Bryan Gould
    3 days ago
  • Crusher’s fiscal malfunction
    Crusher Collins - National Party leaderWe all know that the National Party is desperate to gain some traction during this election campaign and have been throwing pretty much everything at the Labour Party in order to try and undermine Jacinda Ardern and what the Coalition Government has achieved. But unfortunately ...
    3 days ago
  • Much of the commentariat’s reporting of the most recent GDP figure was misleading and unhelpful. The prize for the stupidest remark about the GDP figure for second quarter 2020 (2020Q2) released on Thursday (17 Sept) goes to Judith Collins, whose response to Grant Robertson’s comments indicated she did not ...
    PunditBy Brian Easton
    3 days ago
  • Love and Hate as Complementary Revolutionary Acts
    by Gearóid Ó Loingsigh goloing@gmail.com (19/09/2020) Che Guevara said that a true revolutionary is motivated by love i.e. love of the oppressed, the poor, the children dying from preventable illnesses. This phrase of his is true but has been used by reformists and their more hippy wing have taken advantage ...
    RedlineBy Admin
    4 days ago
  • 2020 SkS Weekly Climate Change & Global Warming News Roundup #38
    A chronological listing of news articles linked to on the Skeptical Science Facebook Page during the past week: Sun, Sep 13, 2020 through Sat, Sep 19, 2020 Editor's Choice Get to Net-Zero by Mid-Century? Even Some Global Oil and Gas Giants Think it Can Be Done A report by a ...
    4 days ago
  • Tax cuts for all!!! (except you, you, and you)
    With the National Party this week announcing a new policy of tax cuts to spice up the election campagin. MyThinks went along to the launch and afterwards we spoke to the party’s finance spokesperson Paul “Golden Touch” Goldsmith. MT: Thanks for speaking to us Mr Goldsmith. PG: No. Thank you. ...
    My ThinksBy boonman
    5 days ago
  • Great Waves Washing Over New Zealand
    Always to islanders danger Is what comes over the seas ‘Landfall in Unknown Seas’ (Allen Curnow)Six economic issues external to New Zealand, which will greatly impact upon us. 1.         The Diminishing Global Dominance of the US. Since 1941 America has dominated the world economically and politically. Probably it could ...
    PunditBy Brian Easton
    5 days ago
  • New Zealand has role to play in resolving crisis on ‘geopolitical fault line’, Helen Clark says
    By Geoffrey Miller New Zealand should continue to champion human rights in Belarus amidst an ongoing crackdown on protests by the country’s regime, former Prime Minister Helen Clark says. Protests in the country often referred to as ‘Europe’s last dictatorship’ erupted after the country’s disputed presidential elections on August 9 ...
    Democracy ProjectBy Geoffrey Miller
    6 days ago
  • Euthanasia referendum: How to cut through the emotions
    Jacqui Maguire, registered clinical psychologist This podcast episode highlights how difficult it is to have effective conversations about euthanasia due to how polarised people’s views are. I’m a clinical psychologist, with a passion for science communication. In early 2020 I founded the podcast Mind Brew, with an aim to make psychological ...
    SciBlogsBy Guest Author
    6 days ago
  • Why we need cameras on boats
    In case anyone needed further convincing, there's another example today of why we need cameras on fishing boats: reported seabird bycatch doubled during a camera trial: Commercial fishers operating off Auckland's coast around vulnerable seabirds are twice as likely to report accidentally capturing them when cameras are on ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    6 days ago
  • Graham Adams: The religious right’s campaign to spike the euthanasia referendum
    In the leadup to the euthanasia referendum, an array of conservative Christian political organisations is running an expensive campaign to sow doubt about the safety of assisted dying. Graham Adams argues that these religious forces know that Christian arguments aren’t convincing the public, but that it is in the public ...
    Democracy ProjectBy bryce.edwards
    6 days ago
  • Opportunistic looting
    The National Party has spent the last six months acting horrified at the cost of supporting people through the pandemic and banging on about how the debt must be repaid. So what was their economic policy released today? Massive tax-cuts for the rich, of course! National has walked back ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    6 days ago
  • Uncomfortable Choices.
    Dangerous Times: This will be the choice confronting those coming of age in the 2020s. Embrace Neoliberalism’s belief in racial and sexual equality; adopt its secular and scientific world view; and cultivate the technocratic, multicultural, global outlook required of those who keep the machinery of hyper-capitalism humming. Or, throw your ...
    6 days ago
  • Tony Burton: Covid and benefit payments
    It would be a great time to reform the benefit system, according to former Deputy Chief Economic Advisor at the Treasury, Tony Burton. He argues the complexity of benefit system means that it’s failing to achieve its difficult three core objectives, which form an “iron triangle”.   New Zealand’s benefit ...
    Democracy ProjectBy bryce.edwards
    6 days ago
  • Talking tax: How to win support for taxing wealth
    Tax Justice UK, September 2020 Serious tax reform is on the political agenda for the first time in decades due to the coronavirus crisis. As this debate hots up it is important to understand what people think about public spending, wealth and tax. Tax Justice UK, along with Survation and ...
    Closing the GapBy Tracey Sharp
    6 days ago
  • Getting Tough.
    Not Mucking Around: With upwards of 800 dead from the virus’s resurgence in the Australian state of Victoria, leniency is not on Premier Daniel Andrews’ agenda. The Victorian Police are cracking down hard on the protesters the Australian press has labelled "Covidiots".IMAGES OF POLICE, some in riot gear, others on ...
    6 days ago
  • Media Link: Nuclear strategy, then and now.
    Although I had the fortune of being a graduate student of some of the foremost US nuclear strategists of the day (1970s) and later rubbed shoulders with Air Force and Naval officers who were entrusted with parts of the US nuclear arsenal, I seldom get to write or speak about ...
    KiwipoliticoBy Pablo
    7 days ago
  • The Chinese List.
    News that Zhenhua Data, an arm of China Zhenhua Electronics Group, a subsidiary of the military-connected China Electronic Information Industry Group (CETC), maintains a list of 800 New Zealanders on a “Overseas Key Information Database” that contains personal information on more than 2.4 million foreign individuals, has caused some consternation ...
    KiwipoliticoBy Pablo
    7 days ago
  • Things that grow fast, and things that surprise us
    Marie Becdelievre January 2020. The number of news article mentioning coronavirus exploded and anxious voices whispered about a global pandemic. Whisper? To me, it was only a whisper. I tend to learn about the world through non-fiction books, conferences, and academic research rather than news and social media, so ...
    SciBlogsBy Guest Author
    7 days ago
  • Skeptical Science New Research for Week #37, 2020
    2,082,476,000,000,000 Viability of greenhouse gas removal via the artificial addition of volcanic ash to the ocean  (not open access, unfortunately) walks us through the numbers on a particular means of CO2 removal, addition of volcanic tephra to the ocean. The mechanism is straight chemistry and the cost is fully an order of ...
    1 week ago
  • Barbados to become a republic
    Barbados is planning to remove the queen as head of state and become a republic in time for the 55th anniversary of its independence in 2021: Barbados has announced its intention to remove the Queen as its head of state and become a republic by November 2021. [...] Reading ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Party Like It’s 1989: Bait and Switch is a Bad Look, Mr Hipkins
    At the 2017 election, the New Zealand Labour Party promised a Fees Free Policy for tertiary students. Basically, it would make the first year of university education free in 2018, with a second year in 2021, and a third in 2024. It also promised to restore Post-Graduate access to the ...
    1 week ago
  • Will the tropics eventually become uninhabitable?
    Climate Explained is a collaboration between The Conversation, Stuff and the New Zealand Science Media Centre to answer your questions about climate change. If you have a question you’d like an expert to answer, please send it to climate.change@stuff.co.nz What is the impact of temperature increases in the tropics? ...
    SciBlogsBy Guest Author
    1 week ago
  • A first-hand look: What it’s like to live in a 2020 California wildfire evacuation zone
    This is a re-post from Yale Climate Connections by Daisy Simmons It felt like 100 degrees in my in-laws’ Grass Valley, California, kitchen, but at least the lights were on and for the moment we were safely “distanced” from the Jones Fire. We’d just finished dessert, after pizza and a movie ...
    1 week ago
  • COVID-19 is not the only infectious disease New Zealand wants to eliminate, and genome sequencing is...
    Nigel French, Massey University Genome sequencing — the mapping of the genetic sequences of an organism — has helped track the spread of COVID-19 cases in Auckland, but it also plays an important role in the control of other infectious diseases in New Zealand. One example is Mycoplasma bovis, a ...
    SciBlogsBy Guest Author
    1 week ago
  • A flaw in our electoral transparency regime
    A key part of our electoral funding regime is a requirement for some transparency around donations, on the basis that if we can find out who has bought our politicians (typically after we have voted for them) then everything is alright. There are a lot of problems with that regime ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Don’t Steal This Book
    On “In Defense of Looting” Matt Taibibi takes an entertaining look at this generation of woke activists and how they compare with Abbie Hoffman the iconic anti-Vietnam war counter-culture figure of the 1960s On Thursday, August 27th, the same day Donald Trump formally accepted the Republican nomination, National Public Radio ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    1 week ago
  • Climate Change: Carbon prices must rise
    When Parliament introduced the Emissions Trading Scheme, it was worried that carbon prices might get too high. So it introduced a "fixed price option", allowing polluters to pay the government $25 in the place of surrendering credits. The result was predictable: after we were thrown out of international carbon markets ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Climate Change: Disclosure
    The government will finally be requiring large New Zealand companies to disclose their climate change risks: New Zealand finance companies will be made to report on climate change risk, Climate Change Minister James Shaw has announced. The policy will force around 200 large financial organisations in New Zealand to ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Tackling the hard issues – trust and relationships
    By Claire Grant, Genomics Aotearoa Communications Manager Community consultation is becoming an increasingly important aspect of research programmes in New Zealand, and with that comes the art of relationship building. Engagement between scientists and user-groups is certainly nothing new. But as stakeholder involvement becomes more of a requirement for science, ...
    SciBlogsBy Genomics Aotearoa
    1 week ago
  • Equality Network – September Newsletter
    Read the Equality Network newsletter here ...
    Closing the GapBy Tracey Sharp
    1 week ago
  • The Left’s Lost Allies.
    Rebels In A Wrong Cause: The truly frightening thing about Jami-Lee Ross’s and Billy Te Kahika’s success in persuading thousands of New Zealanders that Covid-19 is just another trick, just another way of stealing away their power, is realising just how many of them once marched at the Left’s side. ...
    1 week ago
  • Legal Beagle: Low-Hanging Fruit
    In a couple of months, the 53rd Parliament will meet in Wellington, and approximately 120 MPs will be sworn in, many of them for the first time.They will all have political goals, some aligning with their party platforms, some not, some complex, and some simple, but they will gain one ...
    1 week ago
  • Closing the Gap thinks that Labour’s proposal to raise the top tax rate is great but………
    Media Statement For Immediate Release 10th September 2020 The income and wealth inequality lobby group, “Closing the Gap” thinks the Labour proposal a great start says Peter Malcolm, a spokesperson for the group. But they need to be aware of what many of the rich do and of what do ...
    Closing the GapBy Tracey Sharp
    1 week ago
  • Climate Change: No nonsense
    ACT is pushing a "no-nonsense climate change plan". What does it involve? Repealing the Zero Carbon Act and Emissions Trading Scheme, reversing the fossil-fuel exploration ban, and allowing mining on conservation land. In other words, repealing any policy which might actually reduce emissions. Which is the very definition of nonsensical. ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • My Climate Story: Coming full Circle
    This blog post is a follow up to my recap of Al Gore's Climate Reality Leadership Training I recently participated in. One of the exercises we were asked to complete was to write about our respective "Climate Story". This is a slightly updated version to the one I had submitted during ...
    1 week ago
  • A bill to criminalise wage theft
    Wage theft is a problem in New Zealand, with a widespread practice of forcing employees to work without pay, and regular cases of underpayment and exploitation. One reason why its such a widespread problem is impunity: rather than a crime, wage theft is merely a tort, dealt with by the ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Liam Hehir: What the voting age debate tells us about our disconnected political media
    New Zealand’s media and online politics often reflect the values of liberal and progressive agendas. According to Liam Hehir, the current proposals to lower the voting age to 16 years – which the media overwhelming supports – is indicative of a wider mismatch with society, which is not good for ...
    Democracy ProjectBy bryce.edwards
    1 week ago
  • Why Pay Taxes?
    My wife and I, through a combination of good luck and good management, have managed to retire in comfortable circumstances. We celebrate our good fortune by making relatively small but regular donations to a range of good causes – to rescue services like the rescue helicopters, St John’s Ambulance and ...
    Bryan GouldBy Bryan Gould
    1 week ago
  • Now everyone’s a statistician. Here’s what armchair COVID experts are getting wrong
    Jacques Raubenheimer, University of Sydney If we don’t analyse statistics for a living, it’s easy to be taken in by misinformation about COVID-19 statistics on social media, especially if we don’t have the right context. For instance, we may cherry pick statistics supporting our viewpoint and ignore statistics showing we ...
    SciBlogsBy Guest Author
    1 week ago
  • More timid bullshit from Labour
    Over the weekend, Labour released its welfare policy: an increase in benefit abatement thresholds. And that's it. Faced with clear evidence of ongoing hardship among beneficiaries and a call from its on Welfare Expert Advisory Group to raise core benefits by between 12 percent and 47 percent, Labour's response is ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • The Police Kill as Part of their Social Function
    by Gearóid Ó Loingsigh (Bogota; 09/11/2020) The murder of Javier Ordoñez in the neighbourhood of Villa Luz in Bogotá, Colombia at the hands of two policemen brings to the fore the issue of police violence and its function in society. First of all we should be clear that we are ...
    RedlineBy Admin
    1 week ago
  • 2020 SkS Weekly Climate Change & Global Warming Digest #37
    Story of the Week... La Niña Update... Toon of the Week... Quote of the Week... Coming Soon on SkS...  Poster of the Week... SkS Week in Review... Story of the Week... Humans exploiting and destroying nature on unprecedented scale – report Animal populations have plunged an average of 68% ...
    1 week ago
  • The 2019 measles epidemic in Samoa
    Gabrielle Po-Ching In November 1918, the cargo and passenger ship Talune travelled to Apia, Samoa from Auckland, carrying a number of passengers who had pneumonic influenza. From these passengers stemmed the biggest pandemic Samoa had ever seen. With around 8,500 deaths, over 20% of the country’s population at the ...
    SciBlogsBy Guest Author
    1 week ago
  • Shifting all Isolation/Quarantine Facilities to a Single Air Force Base: The Need for a Critical Ana...
    Prof Nick Wilson*, Prof Michael Baker In this blog the arguments for and against shifting all COVID-19 related isolation/quarantine facilities to a single air force base at Ōhakea are considered. The main advantage would be a reduction in the risk of border control failures, which can potentially involve outbreaks ...
    SciBlogsBy Public Health Expert
    1 week ago
  • The difference between Green and Labour: a tale of two Finance Ministers
    So the Greens co-leader James Shaw recently made a mistake. In his role as Associate Finance Minister approving funding for “shovel-ready” projects, he fought hard for a private “Green school” to get funding to expand their buildings and, therefore, their student capacity. There are many problems with what he did: ...
    Cut your hairBy calebmorgan
    1 week ago
  • Bryce Edwards: Political Roundup – The missing election policy on free dental visits
    Over the last three years there have been growing calls for the government to provide dental services under the health system – universal free dental care. This is because at the moment there’s an anomaly in which teeth are regarded as different from the rest of the body which means ...
    Democracy ProjectBy bryce.edwards
    2 weeks ago
  • 2020 SkS Weekly Climate Change & Global Warming News Roundup #37
    A chronological listing of news articles linked to on the Skeptical Science Facebook Page during the past week: Sun, Sep 6, 2020 through Sat, Sep 12, 2020 Editor's Choice With California ablaze, Newsom blasts Trump administration for failing to fight climate change Trinity River Conservation Camp crew members drown ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Letter to the Editor
    Dear Sir, As we head into the run up to the upcoming election I feel it is my duty to draw your attention to the lack of fun we are currently forced to ensure by the Adern regime. In their efforts to keep the nation’s essential workers, health compromised people, ...
    My ThinksBy boonman
    2 weeks ago

  • Support for innovative Pacific education responses to COVID-19 needs
    Supporting new and creative Pacific education practices as part of our COVID-19 response and recovery is the focus of a new $28.5 million Pacific Education Innovation Fund announced today by Associate Minister of Education Jenny Salesa.  “There is already an incredible amount of innovative and creative work going on in ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    17 hours ago
  • Eligibility expanded for COVID-19 leave support
    The expanded scheme will cover: People who have COVID-19 like symptoms and meet the Ministry of Health’s criteria, and need to self-isolate while awaiting the results of a COVID-19 test. People who are directed to self-isolate by a Medical Officer of Health or their delegate or on advice of their ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Seasonal work visa available to more people
    The Government is putting in place a range of immigration policy changes to help fill labour shortages in key industries while ensuring New Zealanders, who have lost jobs due to COVID-19, have the chance to find new employment. “Two key sectors we are moving to help are horticulture and wine ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • More border exceptions for critical roles
    The Government has established class exceptions for border entry for a limited number of veterinarians, deep sea fishing crew, as well as agricultural and horticultural machinery operators. “Tight border restrictions remain the backbone of the Government’s border strategy to protect New Zealand against COVID-19 and ensure New Zealand citizens and ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Crown will not appeal Dodds v Southern Response decision
    The Crown will not appeal the Court of Appeal decision in the Dodds v Southern Response case, Grant Robertson announced today. “Southern Response will be paying the damages awarded by the Court to Mr and Mrs Dodds shortly. The Crown was already meeting their legal costs for this appeal. “The ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Crucial PGF investments for Northland
    The Provincial Growth Fund is investing nearly $30 million in a diverse range of projects that will create immediate and long-term jobs and lift economic and social outcomes for Northland and its people. Deputy Prime Minister Winston Peters and Regional Economic Development Minister Shane Jones made the announcement today in ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • $27million investment in global vaccine facility
    The Coalition Government has committed to invest $27 million in COVID-19 vaccine development through the global COVAX Facility, Foreign Minister Winston Peters announced today. “The COVAX Facility is a key part of our COVID-19 Vaccine Strategy to obtain safe and effective vaccines. It allows us to invest in a high-quality, ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Government backing Māori landowners
    The Government will provide up to $1.69 million through the One Billion Trees programme to Māori landowners to make their whenua more productive through the planting of forests, both native and exotic, and improve economic and environmental outcomes, Forestry Minister Shane Jones has announced. “Around 1.5 million ha of land ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • New tools to make nature more accessible
    People planning to head outdoors now have a resource that lets them know how accessible an area is for people with varying levels of mobility, Minister of Conservation Eugenie Sage announced today. The Halberg Foundation, Sensibel, and the Department of Conservation (DOC) have launched Accessibel, a new tool which helps ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • PGF makes Māori history more accessible
    One of the most significant battle sites of the 1860s Land Wars will receive $2.96 million from the Provincial Growth Fund to improve the site and help tell the New Zealand story to visitors, Māori Development Minister Nanaia Mahuta and Regional Economic Development Minister Shane Jones have announced. Nanaia Mahuta ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • Making it official: The journey of te reo Māori | Kia whakapūmautia: Ngā piki me ngā heke o te r...
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