Written By: - Date published: 8:37 pm, September 12th, 2017 - 83 comments
Categories: democracy under attack, election 2017, elections, making shit up, Media, Politics, Propaganda - Tags: bullshit, spin
There seems to be a fair amount of gnashing teeth over that Newshub poll.
Now, pause for a second. The numbers being reported tally 100%.
In other words, in an environment that obviously has a lot of undecided flux on the “not National” side of the voting ledger, and bugger all on the pro- National side of the ledger, what’s being reported is going to bump National’s polling numbers quite markedly.
I honestly don’t know why NZ allows such poll reporting. Polls ought by law to include and exclude ‘undecideds’. And both tallies ought to be reported side by side. Otherwise, reporting isn’t so much a measure of voting intentions as it is very much a means to influence voting. (I can’t find the number of undecideds for that poll)
How many people wavering between The Greens and NZ Labour will now vote NZ Labour (possibly by as early as tomorrow morning) on the basis that the Green Party are dead in the water? We need to be told how many of the 1000 respondents said they were undecided, or how many people were canvassed to get 1000 decided responses.
As it is, any shift that might have been underway from NZ Labour to the Greens (perhaps by way of signalling discontent for Liberal economic settings) translates, not as a shift on “the left” resulting in more “undecideds”, but as a rise of support for National. And when people buy into the lie, it becomes a determining factor – an absolute blight on whatever measure of democratic agency people in NZ have.