The latest Reid Research Poll result

Written By: - Date published: 8:30 am, August 2nd, 2021 - 134 comments
Categories: act, climate change, covid-19, ETS, greens, human rights, labour, national, polls - Tags:

Last night’s Reid Research poll provided an interesting result.  The normal caveats apply, an individual poll should not be relied on and we need to see a few more polls before we can ascertain a trend.  But it suggests that Labour’s historic high support has declined to more traditionally realistic levels.

The results were:

  • Labour at 43% down 9.7
  • National at 28.7% up 1.7
  • Act at 11.1% up 4.2
  • Greens at 8.5% up 1.4
  • There is still life in the corpse, NZ First at 3.4% up 1.5
  • And the Maori Party was at 1.9% up 0.7.

I cannot say I am surprised at the general direction.  The previous Reid Research poll results seemed to be overly optimistic.  And winter is sometimes the time of discontent, too many wet days and not enough sunshine.

In terms of what has been happening recently the unrelenting negativity of the Herald and talkback radio appears to be causing a response.  In particular elements of the media have attacked the Government’s competence on the handling of Covid.  I would still rate it extraordinarily high, best in the world, but there is a general fatigue among the community after 15 months of response and suddenly it feels like news of every slight misstep is being amplified.

The Herald in particular has not been helpful.  As an example this weekend’s mass vaccination event in Manukau has concluded and by all accounts has been highly successful.  By all accounts except from the Herald point of view who chose to amplify news of delays on Friday and catastrophise the event as the system bedded in but then posted somewhat muted commentary as the system righted and worked perfectly.

The Government is still being hammered about the pace of the vaccine roll out even though the pace and design of the system is based on us remaining covid free.  We have the luxury of an orderly roll out, not the accelerated roll out of other nations fighting to keep the virus under control.

The consultation on changes to the hate speech law has been somewhat ham-fisted.  Official comments have lacked clarity and into the vacuum have rode the opposition pushing a variety of conspiracy theories.

And climate change is the other issue that is having an effect.  The big responses needed and which the Government is foreshadowing are driving up fear and this is a potent emotion for the right to use.  The left do best when they campaign using hope, the right do best when they campaign on fear.

Also kiwis always spread the love around but tend to trust Governments for three terms unless they are performing exceptionally well or exceptionally poorly.  Four of the past five governments have survived for three terms and only the fourth Labour Government, blighted by Rogernomics, lasted for a shorter period.

National is still in the doldrums.  There is no respite in sight for Judith Collins.  And David Seymour is obviously favour of the month right now.

But this result will shine a light on some of his MPs who so far have not been tested.

I don’t think too much should be read into this.  But it is a reminder that the Government needs to be more nimble, clearer in its communication and competent in its management.  And remember to campaign using hope which is the perfect antidote to fear.

134 comments on “The latest Reid Research Poll result ”

  1. Time for the natz to rethink the sweetheart deal with Seymour, I think.

    • Gosman 1.1

      Ummm…. you are aware of the 5% threshold are you? Even if he was to lose Epsom it would have no impact on the ACT party total number of MP's. However the chance of him losing Epsom is incredibly low. He is extremely popular in the electorate.

  2. mikesh 2

    I see that the Opportunities Party was at 3%. Significant enough for a mention, i would have thought.

  3. Gosman 3

    ACT has managed it's introduction of the new MP's incredibly well. They have kept their heads down for the first 6 months of their time in Parliament learning the ropes and now they are starting to slowly increase their profiles but within a framework of the collective ACT party rather than as individuals. During the current three week break groups of MP's have been holding meetings with the public and David Seymour has not been present for much of them. I attended one event in Whitby on a Wednesday at lunch time and the venue was packed and the speakers were Nicole McKee and James Mcdowall who were both very impressive speakers. Some more observant people may also have noted that David Seymour is not fronting all the policy release either. Nicole McKee was the face of the justice policy release for example.

    • Tiger Mountain 3.1

      Mrs McKee is a reasonably prominent face of NZ warm gun lovers–COLFO (Council of Licensed Firearms Owners Inc) which is classic astro turfing–proclaiming to be for sports shooters but with various arms industry links. Strangely enough COLFO’s online presences seem to have been cleansed of their previous US NRA affiliation references (via international sports shooting associations–you had to dig to find them even back then), and local firearm retailers, since the linkage with ACT.

      https://www.colfo.org.nz

      https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/christchurch-shooting/111482578/nra-calls-for-stop-to-nzs-socialist-disarmament-alongside-appeal-for-donations

      ACT certainly seems to be going for the Trump style vote in NZ. Provincial ute drivers, Incels, and gun lovers!

      • Gosman 3.1.1

        Nicole McKee is no longer affiliated to COLFO. She does focus on firearm issues in the ACT caucus but as a result of her expertise and experience.

        I'm not sure where you got the idea that ACT was attempting to attract incels from. What ACT party policy specifically targets this community?

        • lprent 3.1.2.1

          If you ever look at the history of police clampdowns here and overseas, you’ll find that when the police do a big push against organised crime and weapons use, you also find an increase in gun crime – especially against the police.

          The reason is in your first link and second link (they are the same article).

          In total, 1862 firearms were seized under sections 6 or 18 of the Search and Surveillance Act, more than double the 860 that were seized a decade earlier.

          In a statement, police said there is a strong focus on stopping violence and the impact of organised crime groups and gangs, where a high number of the firearms incidents take place.

          They said emphasis had been placed on disrupting the manufacture, modification and supply of firearms to these groups.

          Of course you can be a simpleton and just look at headlines, but it often pays to dig down a little further and read the links that you post. I don’t think you even read the articles you linked because it is pretty obvious that the first two links were from RNZ.

          Personally I suspect that you’re just another moronic troll with barely enough intelligence to be a useful parrot.

          • Gypsy 3.1.2.1.1

            "…you’ll find that when the police do a big push against organised crime and weapons use, you also find an increase in gun crime – especially against the police"

            1. The increase in gun crime is before the government announcement about a crackdown on gangs (in May) and Operation Trojan Shield (in June).
            2. The links don't include any analysis of the gun crimes by intended or actual victim. Of the 5 examples given in the third article, only one (the July 10th incident) appears to be directed specifically at Police, the others all appear to have been sourced from civilian incidents.

            That said, here’s what the police are facing:

            https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/outbreak-of-gun-violence-warning-for-public-to-be-vigilant-as-criminals-increasingly-ready-to-pull-the-trigger/N4HXTX7L4LFD6DHO6QZBA22IQM/
            "Figures obtained by the Herald showed there were 18 cases where a gun was fired, or pointed in the direction of, a police officer, police car or a police dog, in the 10 months following Hunt's death. That didn't include other cases where firearms have been found at an incident but not used as weapons. rontline officers say those statistics are only the tip of the iceberg, as it's increasingly common to find guns in cars they pull over."

            What was the purpose of the policy if not to reduce gun crime, and get guns off the streets?

            • lprent 3.1.2.1.1.1

              What was the purpose of the policy if not to reduce gun crime, and get guns off the streets?

              Of course when the government does a policy of cutting off certain types of weapons, then everyone with a weapon hands them in. They don't sell them on the black market?

              When the police do a crackdown, that the everyone that they target is peaceable.

              Of course changing the rules is going to cause more aggravating chaos in the short to medium term before we reach a new equilibrium. It is what happens in almost every process from social to climate to mundanities like boiling a jug.

              I guess you believe in fairy tales as well. That the viruses don't evolve? Or everyone voluntarily following the law because it is the right thing to do? Or economists being able to make accurate forecasts of future events?

              • Gypsy

                "Of course when the government does a policy of cutting off certain types of weapons, then everyone with a weapon hands them in. They don't sell them on the black market?"

                Perhaps you've unwittingly nailed it. The policy has led to some people (people honest enough to comply) handing in their weapons. Not the gangs or any other bad bastards. They seem have just got even more.

                “Of course changing the rules is going to cause more aggravating chaos in the short to medium term before we reach a new equilibrium.”
                As I have already noted, the data is from before recent police action.

                • lprent

                  Joining the dots because you don't seem to get the obvious linkages.

                  A: More weapons sold by 'responsible' gunowners avoiding complying with handing their weapons in == more weapons floating around in the black market means more dickheads wanting to play with their toys == more chaos and more weapons offenses in the interim.

                  This was obviously expected by police because they're going hard out on illegal weapons. Probably because so many of the 'responsible' gunowners spent months saying that was what they would be doing on the net and elsewhere.

                  B: The alternative (aka the previous status quo) == not constraining semi-automatics == more 'lawful' gun owners and gun shop willing to sell massacre weapons to dickheads == repeated massacres on innocents.

                  Basically 'responsible' gunowners and gunshop owners are the irresponsible fuckwits who, over decades, lobbied for reducing the licensing requirements, traded weapons at gun clubs, have been importing increasing military style weapons and who are now whining about the consequences of their actions.

                  As a group they failed to live up to the responsibility they were given. I have zero sympathy.

                  The police are slowly removing the remaining (now) illegal weapons from circulation which is why there is a increased seizure rate (approx 3-4 times what it was a few years ago). They can do this because no-one can now argue that they have those weapons legitimately. This is a process that will probably take most of a decade.

                  Overall and over time, the current policies will make it so innocents are less susceptible to 'responsible' gunowners flogging off massacre weapons to dickheads who then misuse them. As far as I am concerned it is something that shouldn't have happened – and I directly blame the group of 'responsible' gunowners and gun importers for causing it to be able to happen.

                  I'd point out that I trained as military, have spent a lot of time around weapons at various times in my life, and now have an extensive history of being involved in military training.

                  I also have little sympathy for apologists for those indirectly responsible for massacring unarmed civilians.

                  • Gypsy

                    There are two problems with your argument:

                    1. The new gun laws, as written and implemented, would not have stopped the massacre of unarmed civilians such as occurred in Christchurch.
                    2. You have provided no evidence that what you describe as "more chaos and more weapons offenses" are confined to an 'interim'. Only time will tell.
                    • lprent
                      1. What in the hell do you mean? Do you mean that not having easy access to hi-fire rate semi-automatic weapons or large ammo capacity magazines and weapons would not reduced the death and injury rate.

                      FFS Don't be a dumbarse fool.

                      2. If you go and have a look at the countries that have instituted constraints on weapons with buybacks – like Australia after their massacre in Tasmania, read their statistics. You will see a nearly identical pattern of behaviour.

                      FFS perhaps you should read some history for examples of what actually happens rather than what you think could happen. It may be enlightening.

                    • Gypsy

                      1."Do you mean that not having easy access to hi-fire rate semi-automatic weapons or large ammo capacity magazines and weapons would not reduced the death and injury rate."

                      Correct. It only takes one person to access such weapons to repeat a Christchurch, and there is no evidence any nutter would find it any harder to access them now. Meanwhile, since the restrictions came into place, gun crime, and the incidence of gun carry by people whom the police pull over, has increased.

                      2. "If you go and have a look at the countries that have instituted constraints on weapons with buybacks – like Australia after their massacre in Tasmania, read their statistics."

                      I have.

                      https://www.latimes.com/science/sciencenow/la-sci-sn-australia-gun-law-deaths-20180926-story.html

                      Their difference-in-difference analysis revealed that although the rate of gun-related suicides fell steadily after the NFA went into effect in 1997, that decline was part of a larger trend that began in the late 1980s — and wasn’t altered by the new law.

                      Likewise, homicides in Australia were already dropping when the National Firearms Agreement went into effect. The rate of gun-related homicides fell in the wake of the NFA, but the law had no effect “over and above a broad decline” in homicides involving all kinds of weapons

                      The facts are that the laws haven't worked in terms of reducing gun crime. You're trying to argue they will over time. You may well be right, but then Labour may still build 100,000 kiwibuild homes and National may still get above 30% in the polls.

    • Gypsy 3.2

      Hi Gosman. I am not an ACT voter, but I recently had a face-to-face meeting with Simon Court on behalf of an environmental organisation I am involved with. I came away impressed – he's a good operator who was well informed and genuinely interested.

      • Gosman 3.2.1

        The whole caucus is like that I assure you. None of them are blow hard ideologues who are looking to use their position to get ahead. They are genuinely interested in developing good policy.

  4. Sanctuary 4

    "…the speakers were Nicole McKee…"

    Who is a crazy gun nut, but apart from that I am sure she is lovely.

    • Gosman 4.1

      Why do you think she is a crazy gun nut? Is it because you have made assumptions about her because she disagrees with you on issues like gun control or do you have any hard evidence that she promotes a policy that could be seen as radically freeing up gun control legislation ?

    • Jimmy 4.2

      I don't think you have to worry about her being a crazy gun nut, as I can't imagine her being involved in shooting at police or car jacking people in Penrose etc. There are plenty of other gun nuts out there unfortunately with the guns as evidenced by all the shootings lately in the news.

      • bwaghorn 4.2.1

        It would be very interesting to dig into the history of the guns in these latest shootings to see if they were sold legally before the crack down or if the are illegal imports, ?

        • Ngungukai 4.2.1.1

          Highly likely they are illegal, quite a few weapons getting through our porous borders and some getting through via traditional shipping routes.

    • left for dead 4.3

      Sanctuary .Well do you. "crazy gun nut" do you realize how stupid you sound,is their an adult about you somewhere,please put on. This sort of rubbish does the issue no good,wake up,your dragging the left further towards no-mans land.

  5. Gabby 5

    RNZ seem to have been careful to avoid mentioning Ardern's preferred PM rating in the same breath as Jadee's and Seemore's. I'm assuming that it may not fit the resurgent right narrative.

  6. Indeed. I am heartily sick of our RW media calling everything a shambles. MIQ is a S, the vaccination roll out is a S, housing is an S. Even the dawn raids apology has its critics highlighted.( Evidently Pacifica people all go to Church on a Sunday Afternoon!) I have had my 2 jabs with no problems and a minimum wait of no more than 10 minutes. What I find a shambles is my private sector health primary health care computer system.

    • mac1 6.1

      Yes, another useful word has lost its meaning by wrong and over-usage. "Shambles" now joins such vocabulary as "nice, awful, OMG, awesome, amazing". Standardistas probably can add many more to this list. Shambles by the way originally was a slaughter house and an old district in York. Now, it's no more than a minor mix-up.

  7. Tiger Mountain 7

    Sure, one poll is one poll if you are a regular politics follower. Everyone knows the headline issues–COVID being a bit of a world stopper! But there are literally hundreds of significant, incremental, and more minor positive reforms enacted so far by this majority Labour Gov. If only they would tell the country about it–! loudly beyond the PM’s well done social media. $20 min wage, pay equity for care workers, extending PPL, free school meals, Fair Pay Agreements, Matariki public holiday, commitments to EVs, re-centralising Health from DHBs etc. Weekly, millions are spent in Northland where I reside–Kawakawa Hospital, Kaitaia Solar Farm, Kaikohe Business Park, revitalised rail, marine transport for the Kaipara…Kelvin, Willow Jean and Emily are permanent fixtures with good news for locals in the media.

    But I maintain Labour have squandered a once in a generation majority MMP Govt because of two things that the Labour Party and Labour Caucus are not ideologically and organisationally equipped to handle…
    1. Coming up 40 years of neo liberal hegemony (thanks Roger’n’Ruth) whereby penetration of public infrastructure by private capital–contracting out, managerialism, fifth columnists at senior public service level etc. WINZ/MSD is punitive and rotten as are other departments–pay a basic income to all citizens via IRD and be done with it. We still have some of the freest in and out flows of capital in the world, the banks and other corporates export their profits relentlessly. Capital needs to be challenged decisively with a national shipping line set up, electricity generation and supply put in full public ownership and so on.
    2. Failure to deal decisively with housing

    This majority Govt should have put state houses and apartments and emergency and homeless tiny houses on a “war footing” with a mega build of modular houses. Urgent non degree training programmes for their implementation. Solving supply would have a heavy effect on housing demand and the finance capital market element of it that has divided this country into owners and renters.

    • Gosman 7.1

      Your last point would be the final seal on the demise of the Labour government as the ineviatable failure to deliver due to capacity constraints (Land, Labour, and Material) would mean Labour would sink further in the voters perception of competency.

      • Descendant Of Smith 7.1.1

        Yeah building industry labour is much more of a constraint than people realised. Without good solid investment in training over the next 10 years it will get worse.

        Entirely predictable though – we have known and forecast this for the last 30 years. All the OECD countries are affected predominantly by an older European aging work-force. The Christchurch rebuild had to be the biggest lost opportunity of all time to increase our current / future capacity.

  8. AB 8

    So the centre to left (Lab/Gr) is about 50%, while the right to far right (Nat/ACT) is about 40%. Sounds fairly accurate – our political spectrum is still skewed horribly to the right, but the 40% is probably softer that the 50%.

    • Tiger Mountain 8.1

      2023 and 2026 General Elections will be good tests, as with every boomer funeral the replacement voter generations grow in number.

      Will the old assertion by various pundits hold–“don’t assume previous non voters or younger voters will vote left…” we are going to find out soon. My take is that as long as NZ remains a tale of two cities with 50% owning just 2% of the wealth, and student loan debts and exploitative rents applying to hundreds of thousands the political balance can change further.

    • Gosman 8.2

      A lot of politics is about momentum. The right have some on at the moment. Given the fact governments usually struggle to increase support during and after their second term Labour has a lot to do to make 2023 a safe bet. They certainly can't rely on The Greens alone to get them over the line.

      • McFlock 8.2.1

        At a combined strength of sub-40%, the Right need all the momentum they can get. And yet the nats have barely moved since the election, according to Reid research.

        They're a funnel to Act support.

        • lprent 8.2.1.1

          At a combined strength of sub-40%, the Right need all the momentum they can get.

          That is basically my read of this poll as well.

          Roughly 1 year in on a second term. With all of the concerted media slagging of the current government from those who'd like them to do more and those who just want them to fail regardless of the cost…

          Labour / Greens at ~51% down from ~58% at the election
          National / ACT AT ~40% up from ~33% at the election
          ~9% floating around in protest parties up from ~8% at the election

          A 7% swing isn't too bad at this phase of the electoral cycle – if you believe that any polls reflect reality at this stage (this is the protest signalling and low hit rates part of the cycle).

          Act are being parasitical on the National vote bleeding off protest votes on their right. The Nats are clawing back a bit of support from their supporters who deserted them after the unstable clusterfuck of have 3 leaders in an election year. But those are the easy capture votes. Rather meaningless because it mostly means that the right has just stemmed the bleeding without making any significiant gains.

          Remember that at the start of 2020 the Reid poll was showing National alone on 43% – slightly more than 42% for Labour. Act on 1.8%, Greens on 5.6%, and NZF on 3.6%.

          In other words the Lab/Grn on about ~45% and Nat/Act on ~44%. The National strategy at that point was pretty much targeted at killing off NZF collecting some of their vote on the way through

          But basically the right vote isn't moving much at all. Certainly makes it unlikely to be capable of getting the kind of momentum being able to form a government.

          I think that voters are looking more at what they see themselves than listening to the remaining talking heads and self-inflated opinion makers.

          I know that I am.

          • Gosman 8.2.1.1.1

            You are once again very wrong. ACT is attracting people who voted Labour in 2020 not mainly taking support directly from National.

            • McFlock 8.2.1.1.1.1

              lol so in your worldview the nats are doing so badly people are going from Labour straight to Act.

              Where'd you get that from? Farrar?

              • Incognito

                Apparently, Bomber is quite popular with ACToids and quite the anti-hero.

              • Jimmy

                I thought the last people to go straight from Labour to Act were Roger Douglas and Richard Prebble.

                • McFlock

                  Maybe Labour's done so well that a whole bunch of their voters in 2020 have become landlords and hospo business owners?

                • Incognito

                  You’re 100% correct: there’s no such thing as the average voter.

              • Gosman

                Listen to Stephen Mills on the Politics segment on RNZ this morning.

            • Incognito 8.2.1.1.1.2

              Those people who voted for Labour in 2020 and who allegedly are now drawn to ACT what did they vote previously? Are you suggesting that they used to be ACT voters who are now returning to the ACT vault?

            • Drowsy M. Kram 8.2.1.1.1.3

              Genuinely curious – do you know that for a fact, and, if so, how do you know?

              Seems unlikely voters would leap-frog over National from Labour to ACT en masse; maybe a few self-interested turncoats à la Douglas and Prebble?

        • Ngungukai 8.2.1.2

          National are still bleeding votes to ACT

    • Lab/Gr/MP 69 seats Nat/ACT 51 seats

      Looks pretty comfortable to me.

      Nobody seems to be talking about how well the Greens are polling.

      • Sabine 8.3.1

        When is election day?

        • Bearded Git 8.3.1.1

          It is over a year away.

          • alwyn 8.3.1.1.1

            It is actually over two years away.

            Yes the last election really was on 17 October, 2020. That is just nine and a half months ago. It seems much longer doesn't it?

            • Drowsy M. Kram 8.3.1.1.1.1

              Would be even longer than "just nine and a half months" without the pandemic-induced delay. Mind you, it could have been much less than "just nine and a half months" if the opposition National party had had their way – frustrating!

              Collins calls for election to be pushed back to late November or 2021

              Watch the eyebrows at 34 mins – good turnout (~82%) at the last GE though.

            • Bearded Git 8.3.1.1.1.2

              oops…yes Alwyn sorry. It feels longersmiley

              ….oh and I’m wrong about the Greens too because apparently Claire Trevett has done an article saying they are the big winners in this poll. This is Granny paywalled however….maybe somebody who has access could cut and paste some elements?

  9. Anne 9

    …weekend’s mass vaccination event in Manukau has concluded and by all accounts has been highly successful. By all accounts except from the Herald point of view who chose to amplify news of delays on Friday and catastrophise the event as the system bedded in…

    Yep. After all the negative publicity, I went online Sunday evening to get the final figures. Not a sausage! Now we know why. It was such a huge success the media deemed it no longer newsworthy. 🙄

    My own view is that a lot of voters fell for the constant barrage of negative stories about the slow Covid roll-out while the reason was largely ignored… slow start to vaccine arrival due to our Covid-free status. We paid a price for that, but the vaccines are rolling in now so I wonder what the next media created "catastrophe" will be.

      • Tiger Mountain 9.1.1

        The RNZ show sounded positive regarding just about anything from target numbers, to waiting times to customer satisfaction–roll out is happening.

        Even in the Far North in my local community on Karikari Peninsula, hundreds have been vaccinated on schedule at local hall for several months now.

        • Incognito 9.1.1.1

          Bugger that, what a shambles wink

        • lprent 9.1.1.2

          Vaccinations are pretty much running to plan from what I can see. The encouraging thing is that they have pre-trained the vaccinators prior to the big wind up over August and September.

          The plan was always based around vaccine supply and making sure that they'd have the people to wind up in an orderly manner. It was based around maintaining a secure border, defense in depth based on rapid decisions about containment, and trying to learn lessons from the inevitable mistakes.

          In other words it was never going to be perfect – which is why you concentrate on depth.

          From the various detractors, all I hear are Chicken Little idiots crying about MIQ rationing (what did did the dimwits expect – expanding too fast means increasing risks), wanting rescues on industries that were unsustainable without cheap imported labour, wanting bulk traffic to sustain tourism, and above all privileged exceptions to MIQ on compassionate grounds or 'responsible' self-isolation for reduced quarantine – the most dangerous risk there is.

          Screw them all – none of those things are very safe in a pandemic and that should have been obvious to anyone with any brains. Clearly most of those inflated egos just need to learn some common sense.

          What has been interesting is the depth of dependence in our low productivity economy on cheap offshore labour and skill sources. The goods transport issues were an inevitable consequence on being far from anywhere, and provide the point of proof about why we continue to use government support for AirNZ – our backup air-freight system.

      • Anne 9.1.2

        Oops: I had an early night last night. I was thinking more of the tabloid press and the right-wing whingers who stretch across the media spectrum. No need to name them. We all know who they are.

    • Drowsy M. Kram 9.2

      I wonder what the next media created "catastrophe" will be.

      Expect many more attacks of chaos in Auckland Wellington New Zealand this month, to be reported using the well-established 'absolute/complete/utter shambles' template.

      Coronavirus: Delays at Auckland mass vaccination event cause frustration for Aucklanders
      Aucklanders attending a mass vaccination event on Friday have complained it's an "absolute shambles", with reports there were delays of up to an hour this morning.

      We don’t know how lucky we are…

  10. infused 10

    You really are delusional.

    Talkback isn't driving this narrative. The governments failings are.

    • The year of delivery?
    • The year of the vaccine?

    I mean come on. What have they actually delivered?

    • More poverty
    • More debt
    • Increase is social housing waiting

    I mean shit, I can't actually be assed listing everything.

    What you are seeing is the public getting tired of in-action – pissing around with hate laws which go too far, building 800m bridges for cyclists, etc.

    Quite a few lefties I know have had enough – and you just have to listen to Bomber to see where things are at.

    Don't get me wrong. National have no answers. National is a shit show. But this govt isn't any better.

    • Incognito 10.1

      Yeah, Bomber is the quintessential Lefty and speaks for all Lefties, obviously. \sarc

      • infused 10.1.1

        He's expressing how fucked off a lot of Labour voters are. Why do you think Labour lost almost 10% of the soft vote?

        • Incognito 10.1.1.1

          Sure, he personally knows tens of thousands of Labour voters but is not actually one himself. As I said, a quintessential Lefty and one that you love to cite here because it suits your biased narrative.

          • infused 10.1.1.1.1

            I don't think I've ever cited him lol. I just find it hilarious that he was praising Labour when they won, almost god like, now he's shitting on them almost daily.

            • Incognito 10.1.1.1.1.1

              But you did exactly that here (https://thestandard.org.nz/the-latest-reid-research-poll-result/#comment-1806475):

              … and you just have to listen to Bomber to see where things are at. [my bold]

              Such short memory or is it just selective and convenient amnesia? Seems that Righties are particularly prone to it.

            • GreenBus 10.1.1.1.1.2

              TDB has gone bonkers over hate speech laws and has attracted zillions of right wing nutjobs only too happy to have there say when Bomber sticks the knife in everything that moves in the red corner.

              • Gosman

                When you have people like Sue Moroney saying stuff like if you fear you are going to be prosecuted for hate speech you should keep quiet it is understandable why they are so annoyed at the proposed Hate speecxh law changes.

                • Incognito

                  My guess is that no more than 5% of those oh-so-annoyed and fearful folks will exercise their democratic right and make a constructive submission before 6 August. Much easier for those lazy loudmouths to rave and rant on a free platform and exercise their God-given right to ‘free speech’.

    • Jimmy 10.2

      I agree. Of course it is the govt failings causing the reduction in popularity. "The year of delivery" has that actually started yet? Or did I miss it. IMO there is a fair share of left leaning media that are assisting the government or dissing National eg. Tova O'Brien. Labour were always going to struggle to maintain that high level of popularity. They are lucky that currently the opposition are in such a mess that there is no alternative.

    • Patricia Bremner 10.3

      Infused, stop drinking at the right wing tap lol
      We on the left know how fickle and self serving the “soft middle” are. “what’s in it for me?” Seldom are they talking community, oh no “freedom” “progress” and “personal responsibility”. That is until it is someone else’s freedom and progress, then they won’t accept personal responsibility for any of the current problems. They come out with “well you have had FOUR whole years!!”
      Yes, 4 years to overcome pernicious neglect… but it is happening.

  11. Ad 11

    Sarah Palin's "How's all that hopey changey stuff working out for ya?" is the question and the 9-point drop is the answer.

    Labour have so few opinion leaders supporting them right now, it's going to need a major reset to start tilting it the other way.

    Labour are already at a point where they need to kill a few big policy initiatives and start showing ordinary people how their lives have changed for the better.

    This 3rd election doesn't have to be as tight as the Clark-Cullen one.

    • lprent 11.1

      Most of the opinion leaders are just reactive nut-bars talking to each other as far as I can see. Hard to find anyone who actually even seem to repeat them these days.

      I think that the number of people watching or listening to broadcast media is crunching out as people increasingly shift to streamed. Much of the print media opinion are hiding behind subscription firewalls and getting steadily more targeted to their focused and small subscription audiences. The longer they stay there, the more out of touch they seem to be.

      I read them in the Herald, but these days I have a look at the end of the article first to see how unhinged they are like to be. For instance – reading anything from NZ Initiative is a complete waste of time. None of it has any relationship to the business world that I have been working in for decades.

      There are very few that seem to have any useful depth of knowledge to draw on. They're either PR folls or talking about business economics models that rely on a normality that doesn't exist any more.

      • Ad 11.1.1

        Most opinion leaders are nutbars in both msm and social media.

        As for the msm, the most reliable voters are old, still watch the news each nigh, and listen to the radio.

        Ardern needs to find some friends beyond her Facebook count.

        • lprent 11.1.1.1

          I know a few of them. Pretty much my age or older. They are a significant voter block. However they aren't exactly an increasing voter block. And over the years, their grandkids are educating them about why watching network TV and radio is so so last century.

          If they are younger, then they’re usually very conservative – as in don’t like change. Even the ones on the left of politics. They like clinging to things that simply don’t work well any more, regardless of how they suited the 80s or 90s. The talking heads are redolent of their views.

          In which case they aren’t going to like the upcoming 3 decades or so. The world is going to do nothing for a slow life and it rapidly changes on almost every front from climate to technology to economics to politics.

    • Patricia Bremner 11.2

      Ad, A better question is "Where is Sarah Palin now?"

      Answer living quietly in Alaska, divorced, kids have all left and she won’t do interviews.

      • Ad 11.2.1

        Peter Dunne for example is on air every weekday.

      • arkie 11.2.2

        Not really though:

        Sarah Palin hints at Alaska Senate run against Republican Lisa Murkowski

        Sun 1 Aug 2021 14.10 BST

        “I would say you guys better be there for me this time, because a lot of people were not there for me last time,” Palin told her Christian audience, referring to her spell as running mate to John McCain in 2008.

        Palin has appeared with Trump over the years but has not been a consistent national political presence since she resigned as governor of Alaska in 2009.

        Speaking to Ahn, she claimed to have been persecuted by her political enemies and said: “There’s a difference between quitting and saying enough is enough.”

        Palin said she would pray about a possible Senate run. She also said “America was dedicated to God” and said the US left was attempting to “fundamentally transform the nation that does belong to God”.

        “How dare we take from God what is his and say we’re going to do what we want to do with it?” she asked.

        https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2021/aug/01/sarah-palin-senate-run-republican-lisa-murkowski-trump

  12. Rapunzel 12

    Seymour barely let's anyone get a look at the majority of his MPs for good reason – no one can name more that one or two. They cost $1.4m per annum – the chances of another five on those figures being much use are slim to non-existent

    The Opposition has thrown around baseless claims on anything they can think of for weeks with no traction – based on that the shifting around the base doesn't surprise.

    Apparently "kiwiblog" is writing it off as the PM's personal popularity – IMO he's wrong it's the overall direction that middle NZ is interested in & will vote for. They won't vote in sufficient numbers for people they don't trust

    • Gosman 12.1

      Ummm… Labour has dropped 9 points in this poll. That is not a "shifting around of the base" but more an indication that many people are starting to be concerned about certain areas of government policy. The left bloc is still comfortable at this stage but 2023 isn't going to be the walk in the park you suggest it will be.

      • Rapunzel 12.1.1

        NZF also registered a 3 or so points – National barely shifted & Seymour is the beneficiary of dissatisfaction there.

        That's a long, long way from a govt under "threat" and an even longer way out from where NZers view performance again and then vote next in 2023.

      • McFlock 12.1.2

        Labour dropped 9 points from 52. A level that no other poll has had them at since July 2020.

        where did the support go? Apparently half to Act, the other half to everyone else.

        2023 shouldn't be a walk in the park for anyone – Act needs to cement its gains from a single-person-party, the nats need to maintain their position as the main tory party (governing would be nice, but Act has the momentum), Labour need to stay in government, and the Greens need more leverage to drive the government left.

        • bwaghorn 12.1.2.1

          It would be nice if labour found a way to drag seymours minions into the light to see if they explode into flames or if they actually have some substance.

          • McFlock 12.1.2.1.1

            They seem to have learnt from the NZ1 crowd, and unlike the likes of Prosser have managed to keep their traps shut. Good for them.

            Lots of time between now and the election, though. They can't suppress their political beliefs forever lol

            • Gosman 12.1.2.1.1.1

              Ummmm… they were prominent in the recent Honest conversations tour of the country by the ACT caucus and in the associated policy announcements. They aren't hiding from the media or from scrutiny by the public.

              • Incognito

                Hard to scrutinise a couple of bullet points and a few slogans.

                • Gosman

                  As opposed to what exactly? Care to use an example of the sort of scrutiny you would like to see more of ? Use a National, Labour, or Green party politician to illustrate your point please.

                  • Incognito

                    LOL!

                    There’s just nothing to scrutinise there and setting up a strawman made of apples & oranges is not going to change this fact. I see you also like to move the goalposts laugh

  13. Enough is Enough 13

    Where is ACT's support coming from?

    It would be good to find out who they voted for in 2017 and 2020. My suspision is they are disgruntled Nat and NZ First voters. Which would mean National is picking up voters from Labour.

    Its a trand we need to be concerned with if it continues over the next few polls. A 6% swing over the next 12 months and its game on.

    • Gosman 13.1

      That makes little sense given National is actively trying to appeal to the right and NZ First bounced back to 3.4 % in this poll. Centre voters seem to be warming to ACT's messaging and approach to politics at the moment. They are appealing to people who previously switched between the two major political parties.

      • Enough is Enough 13.1.1

        Its all guess work though isn't it.

        I just wish Tova was less sensationalist and actualy explored those questions in a bit more depth. It is only one or two more question to answer. Who did you vote for in 2017 and who did you vote for in 2020.

      • Robert Guyton 13.1.2

        Sometimes, things said here leave me bereft of the will to go on 🙂

        "Centre voters seem to be warming to ACT's messaging and approach to politics at the moment."

  14. coreyjhumm 14

    Majority of labours vote change going to act nzf and nats is hilarious 🤣

    These are labour voters. This is exactly what people have been warning but we've been called cranks and heretics.

    The left defends free speech it debates speech we hate it doesn't cancel and ban art and ideas we fine repulsive we destroy those ideas. We've been infiltrated by a bunch of liberal tories kids who can't articulate and argument other than "my feels".

    In the last few months all I've seen from the left is defending failure and incompetence that would have seen us on the streets if nats were in, sneeringly judge and look down on working class, tradies, regional nz and basically shut down any debate on hate speech, He puapua, etc but the chickens are starting to come home.

    The pm and minister of justice moronically handling the hate speech laws in media where the refused to rule out criminalizing opinion and offense was mind numbing.

    People just want this govt after four years to focus on health specially mental health, housing, poverty and vaccine not anything else. Stop blaming national. It's four years get to it.

    If there was a credible opposition those numbers would be lower. The people are actually sick of the government. There's just nowhere to go I'd like to see the results for "noone/not going" because that's where many on the ground seem to be…

    Please get it together labour. You cannot just write off 9.7% (12-13 seats) that's enough to get most leaders rolled and if the polls keep going this way there will be a lot of nervous backbenchers.

    Housing.mental health. Poverty. Vax. Nothing else. You can't even get that done you can't be trusted with anything else until you sort that out.

    • McFlock 14.1

      I suspect it's a combination of a large poll result not reflected by other polls, with some votes apparently going left and right broadly equally, but a chunk of nat voters see Act being less fundy-chicago school and more hunty/shooty/shittywaterways than national is at the moment.

      To put it another way, if someone is jumping straight from Labour to Act… they should have done it 20-odd years ago.

      • Gosman 14.1.1

        I can confirm that people jumping straight from Labour to ACT is exactly what is happening in many cases. Even Stephen Mills acknowledged that today on RNZ's Politics segment on Nine to noon.

      • RobbieWgtn 14.1.2

        I've voted Labour since Kirk, with 2 exceptions: Bob Jones NZ Party to get Muldoon out & Key 2008 to get Helen out – both incumbents well past their used by date.

        I won't be voting Labour again in 2023. Ask yourself why.

        • McFlock 14.1.2.1

          Well, there's an obvious answer, but I'm not sure you'd agree with it as an explanation.

        • bwaghorn 14.1.2.2

          Really you voted for key despite it being obvious to anyone paying attention that they were doing anything they could to destroy Winston with there dirty tricks.

        • Patricia Bremner 14.1.2.3

          Well Robbie who cares? This government is one and a third through two terms, and will get a third as people usually want to see plans completed. They are annoying the far left and the far right who voted for them, so probably pretty balanced. They can not please everyone.

          • RobbieWgtn 14.1.2.3.1

            Jacinda had a once in a generation mandate from NZdrs to unilaterally deliver real change to the real things that matter most to real people (eg. Housing, Health, Jobs, Education, Environment, Justice…). Instead of building competence & voter confidence in these core functions of good government we have had this total sideshow for 4 years of implementing the woke hysteria and racial separatist agendas because she & Labour have been captured by the squeaky wheels they should be ignoring. Her demonstrable success in Covid management to keep NZdrs safe was only as good & as complicated as locking down the border on our islands 4000kms away from the nearest neighbour & even that simple task has been consistently mismanaged & compromised throughout the last year.

  15. Patricia Bremner 15

    Well this has "outed" the negative nellies. Just rewatch Dancing with the stars, or bring up all the statements made by Seymour. He is an opportunist, and Judith is presenting him with an opportunity. The support Labour/Greens have now in such difficult times is excellent. As programmes roll out, people will relax. Awaiting the immigration reset.

  16. Jenny how to get there 16

    The Labour Govt. will get a fourth term.

    If they can fix the housing problem.

    If they can keep covid out until we can achieve herd immunity. (another world first).

    If they can keep unemployment low.

    If they can fix the public health system.

    Richard Seddon dominated the early part of the last century as our longest serving Prime Minister .

    Jacinda Ardern may yet dominate this part of the 21st Century to overtake King Dick

    • Jenny how to get there 16.1

      Oops meant to say King Dick dominated the last part of the 19th and early 20th.

      As Ardern will likely dominate this part of the 21st

      Labour won't have to be distracted by endless media gossip and trouble making speculation about succession for a, very, very, long time.

  17. bwaghorn 17

    Nurses striking, farmers and some Maori protesting over the sna land grab , housing getting worse,slow vaccine rollout (not sure if that's labours fault personally) ,fucking around with with minor shit ike free speech and gender politics, spin it how you like were one covid out breack away from those right wing douches polling ahead. .

    • You forgot the cycle bridge announced because a 1000 cyclists tried to cross the harbour bridge illegally.

    • WeTheBleeple 17.2

      Remember when Key ignored the 300 000 signatures against selling assets. Well, protest is fine, and a govt that acknowledges some at least will be remembered a lot more fondly than a govt that sold our (taxpayer paid for) stuff to their mates.

  18. bwaghorn 18

    Taxing utes to subsidize evs and killing off coal mining jobs in nz while importing more and more coal from overseas.

  19. Koff 19

    Good analysis of the rise in ACT and lacklustre performance of Labour since October 2020 by Gordon Campbell (http://werewolf.co.nz/2021/08/gordon-campbell-on-populisms-changing-of-the-guard-plus-a-soul-music-playlist/). Campbell accounts for the rise in ACT as due to Seymour taking over Winnie's mantle and appealing to the same section of the electorate. Personally think the prospect of an ACT led government far more depressing than a NZF led one, however impossible either scenario might seem.As Campbell points out Seymour's principles are more resonant of 40 years ago when neo liberalism was in its first full flush and Thatcherism was becoming dominant. The MSM as usual when it comes to these polls seems to convey a picture of the parties as opposing 'sports teams' without bothering to analyse the policy differences between them.

    • Robert Guyton 19.1

      "The rise of ACT" puts me in mind of methane-inflated algae breaking the surface of a sewerage pond – don't know why…

    • Gosman 19.2

      Gordon Campbell quite obviously did no research on ACT party policies here and just assumed he knew what they were. Very poor journalism.

  20. RP Mcmurphy 20

    Basically its all media twaddle. Jacinda is still accelerating and will become New Zealands Angela Merkle. The two bob tories and the die hard tories will flake off and everybody knows that but the substantive issue is none of the other parties have a leader with any credibility and the PM is still accelerating. The media hav e a fixation with fairness and taking turns but the reality is that nationals are immoral and venal and the rest are all noise and the country knows that.

  21. WeTheBleeple 21

    Funny anecdote from last night.

    Todd Muller – you remember him right? Mr Hat. Anyway, he's on Facebook complaining about his recycling bin not being big enough… and literally hundreds of people started giving him waste reduction advice.

    And here's a historic joke I wrote that many will enjoy.

    Todd's MAGA hat is causing controversy. This was a gift by the Republican Party to Todd. He's not displaying it to upset people, but to not upset the people who gave him the gift.

    You know this one. It's like when your nephew paints you a terrorist manifesto and you have to stick it on the fridge.

  22. Jenny how to get there 22

    Labour will win a fourth term if they can change this reality.

    The Side Eye

    Two New Zealands

    …..The point is, it is a system: we didn't get where we are now by accident.

    It's the result of a complex interweaving set of decisions – interest rates, immigration levels, the RMA, rental rules, regulations around buying and selling property for profit, infrastructure spending.

    But knowing we've created this means knowing we can alter it too. It doesn't have to be like this, if we have the will to make changes…..

    https://thespinoff.co.nz/society/the-side-eye/04-08-2021/the-side-eyes-two-new-zealands-locked-out/?

    • Jenny how to get there 22.1

      It is my opinion that what is dragging Labour Government's numbers down is their inability to get on top of the housing catastrophe.
      (Economist Bernard Hicky, says housing has gone beyond crisis to catastrophe).

      The Jackal writes a good post on the Ghost House epidemic. Here

      (Ghost Houses is an ongoing issue that has been given extensive coverage over several years at The Standard. with several posts on this issue.)

      My main critique of the Jackal's latest offering on this issue is when they speculate on the reason the government are hesitant legislate to rein in Ghost Housing:

      "…..with a considerably larger percentage of the voting public owning property compared to those renting, it really just comes down to a numbers game."

      The Jackal

      The statistic supplied by Side Eye is that there are 1.4 million renters, compared to 7,100 landlords owning more than four properties. A little confusing in that Side Eye didn't provide the figure for landlords who own less than four rental properties or only just one rental property compared to the 1.4 million renters.

      What ever that figure is, if it is a numbers game as the Jackal claims then renters out vote landlords. Admittedly a large number of low income New Zealanders have become alienated from the political system by years of neo-liberal policies that negatively impact them which ever Party they voted for. Even then I still think renters still out vote landlords.

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    Mariupol, on the Azov Sea coast, was one of the first cities to suffer almost complete destruction after the start of the Ukraine War started in late February 2022. We remember the scenes of absolute destruction of the houses and city structures. The deaths of innocent civilians – many of ...
    1 day ago
  • Babies and benefits – no good news
    Lindsay Mitchell writes – Ten years ago, I wrote the following in a Listener column: Every year around one in five new-born babies will be reliant on their caregivers benefit by Christmas. This pattern has persisted from at least 1993. For Maori the number jumps to over one in three.  ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    1 day ago
  • Should the RBNZ be looking through climate inflation?
    Climate change is expected to generate more and more extreme events, delivering a sort of structural shock to inflation that central banks will have to react to as if they were short-term cyclical issues. Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāMy pick of the six newsey things to know from Aotearoa’s ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    1 day ago
  • Bernard's pick 'n' mix of the news links
    The top six news links I’ve seen elsewhere in the last 24 hours, as of 9:16 am on Thursday, April 18 are:Housing: Tauranga residents living in boats, vans RNZ Checkpoint Louise TernouthHousing: Waikato councillor says wastewater plant issues could hold up Sleepyhead building a massive company town Waikato Times Stephen ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    1 day ago
  • Gordon Campbell on the public sector carnage, and misogyny as terrorism
    It’s a simple deal. We pay taxes in order to finance the social services we want and need. The carnage now occurring across the public sector though, is breaking that contract. Over 3,000 jobs have been lost so far. Many are in crucial areas like Education where the impact of ...
    1 day ago
  • Meeting the Master Baiters
    Hi,A friend had their 40th over the weekend and decided to theme it after Curb Your Enthusiasm fashion icon Susie Greene. Captured in my tiny kitchen before I left the house, I ending up evoking a mix of old lesbian and Hillary Clinton — both unintentional.Me vs Hillary ClintonIf you’re ...
    David FarrierBy David Farrier
    1 day ago
  • How extreme was the Earth's temperature in 2023
    This is a re-post from Andrew Dessler at the Climate Brink blog In 2023, the Earth reached temperature levels unprecedented in modern times. Given that, it’s reasonable to ask: What’s going on? There’s been lots of discussions by scientists about whether this is just the normal progression of global warming or if something ...
    1 day ago
  • Backbone, revisited
    The schools are on holiday and the sun is shining in the seaside village and all day long I have been seeing bunches of bikes; Mums, Dads, teens and toddlers chattering, laughing, happy, having a bloody great time together. Cheers, AT, for the bits of lane you’ve added lately around the ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    2 days ago
  • Ministers are not above the law
    Today in our National-led authoritarian nightmare: Shane Jones thinks Ministers should be above the law: New Zealand First MP Shane Jones is accusing the Waitangi Tribunal of over-stepping its mandate by subpoenaing a minister for its urgent hearing on the Oranga Tamariki claim. The tribunal is looking into the ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 days ago
  • What’s the outfit you can hear going down the gurgler? Probably it’s David Parker’s Oceans Sec...
    Buzz from the Beehive Point  of Order first heard of the Oceans Secretariat in June 2021, when David Parker (remember him?) announced a multi-agency approach to protecting New Zealand’s marine ecosystems and fisheries. Parker (holding the Environment, and Oceans and Fisheries portfolios) broke the news at the annual Forest & ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    2 days ago
  • Will politicians let democracy die in the darkness?
    Bryce Edwards writes  – Politicians across the political spectrum are implicated in the New Zealand media’s failing health. Either through neglect or incompetent interventions, successive governments have failed to regulate, foster, and allow a healthy Fourth Estate that can adequately hold politicians and the powerful to account. ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    2 days ago
  • Matt Doocey doubles down on trans “healthcare”
    Citizen Science writes –  Last week saw two significant developments in the debate over the treatment of trans-identifying children and young people – the release in Britain of the final report of Dr Hilary Cass’s review into gender healthcare, and here in New Zealand, the news that the ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    2 days ago
  • A TikTok Prime Minister.
    One night while sleeping in my bed I had a beautiful dreamThat all the people of the world got together on the same wavelengthAnd began helping one anotherNow in this dream, universal love was the theme of the dayPeace and understanding and it happened this wayAfter such an eventful day ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    2 days ago
  • Texas Lessons
    This is a guest post by Oscar Simms who is a housing activist, volunteer for the Coalition for More Homes, and was the Labour Party candidate for Auckland Central at the last election. ...
    Greater AucklandBy Guest Post
    2 days ago
  • Bernard's pick 'n' mix of the news links at 6:06 am
    The top six news links I’ve seen elsewhere in the last 24 hours as of 6:06 am on Wednesday, April 17 are:Must read: Secrecy shrouds which projects might be fast-tracked RNZ Farah HancockScoop: Revealed: Luxon has seven staffers working on social media content - partly paid for by taxpayer Newshub ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    2 days ago
  • Fighting poverty on the holiday highway
    Turning what Labour called the “holiday highway” into a four-lane expressway from Auckland to Whangarei could bring at least an economic benefit of nearly two billion a year for Northland each year. And it could help bring an end to poverty in one of New Zealand’s most deprived regions. The ...
    PolitikBy Richard Harman
    2 days ago
  • Bernard's six-stack of substacks at 6:26 pm
    Tonight’s six-stack includes: launching his substack with a bunch of his previous documentaries, including this 1992 interview with Dame Whina Cooper. and here crew give climate activists plenty to do, including this call to submit against the Fast Track Approvals bill. writes brilliantly here on his substack ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    3 days ago
  • At a glance – Is the science settled?
    On February 14, 2023 we announced our Rebuttal Update Project. This included an ask for feedback about the added "At a glance" section in the updated basic rebuttal versions. This weekly blog post series highlights this new section of one of the updated basic rebuttal versions and serves as a ...
    3 days ago
  • Apposite Quotations.
    How Long Is Long Enough? Gaza under Israeli bombardment, July 2014. This posting is exclusive to Bowalley Road. ...
    3 days ago
  • What’s a life worth now?
    You're in the mall when you hear it: some kind of popping sound in the distance, kids with fireworks, maybe. But then a moment of eerie stillness is followed by more of the fireworks sound and there’s also screaming and shrieking and now here come people running for their lives.Does ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    3 days ago
  • Howling at the Moon
    Karl du Fresne writes –  There’s a crisis in the news media and the media are blaming it on everyone except themselves. Culpability is being deflected elsewhere – mainly to the hapless Minister of Communications, Melissa Lee, and the big social media platforms that are accused of hoovering ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    3 days ago
  • Newshub is Dead.
    I don’t normally send out two newsletters in a day but I figured I’d say something about… the news. If two newsletters is a bit much then maybe just skip one, I don’t want to overload people. Alternatively if you’d be interested in sometimes receiving multiple, smaller updates from me, ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    3 days ago
  • Seymour is chuffed about cutting early-learning red tape – but we hear, too, that Jones has loose...
    Buzz from the Beehive David Seymour and Winston Peters today signalled that at least two ministers of the Crown might be in Wellington today. Seymour (as Associate Minister of Education) announced the removal of more red tape, this time to make it easier for new early learning services to be ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    3 days ago
  • Bryce Edwards: Will politicians let democracy die in the darkness?
    Politicians across the political spectrum are implicated in the New Zealand media’s failing health. Either through neglect or incompetent interventions, successive governments have failed to regulate, foster, and allow a healthy Fourth Estate that can adequately hold politicians and the powerful to account. Our political system is suffering from the ...
    Democracy ProjectBy bryce.edwards
    3 days ago
  • Was Hawkesby entirely wrong?
    David Farrar  writes –  The Broadcasting Standards Authority ruled: Comments by radio host Kate Hawkesby suggesting Māori and Pacific patients were being prioritised for surgery due to their ethnicity were misleading and discriminatory, the Broadcasting Standards Authority has found. It is a fact such patients are prioritised. ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    3 days ago
  • PRC shadow looms as the Solomons head for election
    PRC and its proxies in Solomons have been preparing for these elections for a long time. A lot of money, effort and intelligence have gone into ensuring an outcome that won’t compromise Beijing’s plans. Cleo Paskall writes – On April 17th the Solomon Islands, a country of ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    3 days ago
  • Climate Change: Criminal ecocide
    We are in the middle of a climate crisis. Last year was (again) the hottest year on record. NOAA has just announced another global coral bleaching event. Floods are threatening UK food security. So naturally, Shane Jones wants to make it easier to mine coal: Resources Minister Shane Jones ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    3 days ago
  • Is saving one minute of a politician's time worth nearly $1 billion?
    Is speeding up the trip to and from Wellington airport by 12 minutes worth spending up more than $10 billion? Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāTL;DR: The six news items that stood out to me in the last day to 8:26 am today are:The Lead: Transport Minister Simeon Brown announced ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    3 days ago
  • Long Tunnel or Long Con?
    Yesterday it was revealed that Transport Minister had asked Waka Kotahi to look at the options for a long tunnel through Wellington. State Highway 1 (SH1) through Wellington City is heavily congested at peak times and while planning continues on the duplicate Mt Victoria Tunnel and Basin Reserve project, the ...
    3 days ago
  • Smoke And Mirrors.
    You're a fraud, and you know itBut it's too good to throw it all awayAnyone would do the sameYou've got 'em goingAnd you're careful not to show itSometimes you even fool yourself a bitIt's like magicBut it's always been a smoke and mirrors gameAnyone would do the sameForty six billion ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    3 days ago
  • What is Mexico doing about climate change?
    This is a re-post from Yale Climate Connections The June general election in Mexico could mark a turning point in ensuring that the country’s climate policies better reflect the desire of its citizens to address the climate crisis, with both leading presidential candidates expressing support for renewable energy. Mexico is the ...
    3 days ago
  • State of humanity, 2024
    2024, it feels, keeps presenting us with ever more challenges, ever more dismay.Do you give up yet? It seems to ask.No? How about this? Or this?How about this?When I say 2024 I really mean the state of humanity in 2024.Saturday night, we watched Civil War because that is one terrifying cliff we've ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    4 days ago
  • Govt’s Wellington tunnel vision aims to ease the way to the airport (but zealous promoters of cycl...
    Buzz from the Beehive A pet project and governmental tunnel vision jump out from the latest batch of ministerial announcements. The government is keen to assure us of its concern for the wellbeing of our pets. It will be introducing pet bonds in a change to the Residential Tenancies Act ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    4 days ago
  • The case for cultural connectedness
    A recent report generated from a Growing Up in New Zealand (GUiNZ) survey of 1,224 rangatahi Māori aged 11-12 found: Cultural connectedness was associated with fewer depression symptoms, anxiety symptoms and better quality of life. That sounds cut and dry. But further into the report the following appears: Cultural connectedness is ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    4 days ago
  • Useful context on public sector job cuts
    David Farrar writes –    The Herald reports: From the gory details of job-cuts news, you’d think the public service was being eviscerated.   While the media’s view of the cuts is incomplete, it’s also true that departments have been leaking the particulars faster than a Wellington ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    4 days ago
  • Gordon Campbell On When Racism Comes Disguised As Anti-racism
    Remember the good old days, back when New Zealand had a PM who could think and speak calmly and intelligently in whole sentences without blustering? Even while Iran’s drones and missiles were still being launched, Helen Clark was live on TVNZ expertly summing up the latest crisis in the Middle ...
    4 days ago
  • Govt ignored economic analysis of smokefree reversal
    Costello did not pass on analysis of the benefits of the smokefree reforms to Cabinet, emphasising instead the extra tax revenues of repealing them. Photo: Hagen Hopkins, Getty Images TL;DR: The six news items that stood out to me at 7:26 am today are:The Lead: Casey Costello never passed on ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    4 days ago
  • True Blue.
    True loveYou're the one I'm dreaming ofYour heart fits me like a gloveAnd I'm gonna be true blueBaby, I love youI’ve written about the job cuts in our news media last week. The impact on individuals, and the loss to Aotearoa of voices covering our news from different angles.That by ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    4 days ago
  • Who is running New Zealand’s foreign policy?
    While commentators, including former Prime Minister Helen Clark, are noting a subtle shift in New Zealand’s foreign policy, which now places more emphasis on the United States, many have missed a key element of the shift. What National said before the election is not what the government is doing now. ...
    PolitikBy Richard Harman
    4 days ago
  • 2024 SkS Weekly Climate Change & Global Warming News Roundup #15
    A listing of 31 news and opinion articles we found interesting and shared on social media during the past week: Sun, April 7, 2024 thru Sat, April 13, 2024. Story of the week Our story of the week is about adults in the room setting terms and conditions of ...
    5 days ago
  • Feline Friends and Fragile Fauna The Complexities of Cats in New Zealand’s Conservation Efforts

    Cats, with their independent spirit and beguiling purrs, have captured the hearts of humans for millennia. In New Zealand, felines are no exception, boasting the highest national cat ownership rate globally [definition cat nz cat foundation]. An estimated 1.134 million pet cats grace Kiwi households, compared to 683,000 dogs ...

    5 days ago
  • Or is that just they want us to think?
    Nice guy, that Peter Williams. Amiable, a calm air of no-nonsense capability, a winning smile. Everything you look for in a TV presenter and newsreader.I used to see him sometimes when I went to TVNZ to be a talking head or a panellist and we would yarn. Nice guy, that ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    5 days ago
  • Fact Brief – Did global warming stop in 1998?
    Skeptical Science is partnering with Gigafact to produce fact briefs — bite-sized fact checks of trending claims. This fact brief was written by Sue Bin Park in collaboration with members from our Skeptical Science team. You can submit claims you think need checking via the tipline. Did global warming stop in ...
    6 days ago
  • Arguing over a moot point.
    I have been following recent debates in the corporate and social media about whether it is a good idea for NZ to join what is known as “AUKUS Pillar Two.” AUKUS is the Australian-UK-US nuclear submarine building agreement in which … Continue reading ...
    KiwipoliticoBy Pablo
    6 days ago
  • No Longer Trusted: Ageing Boomers, Laurie & Les, Talk Politics.
    Turning Point: What has turned me away from the mainstream news media is the very strong message that its been sending out for the last few years.” “And what message might that be?” “That the people who own it, the people who run it, and the people who provide its content, really don’t ...
    6 days ago
  • Mortgage rates at 10% anyone?
    No – nothing about that in PM Luxon’s nine-point plan to improve the lives of New Zealanders. But beyond our shores Jamie Dimon, the long-serving head of global bank J.P. Morgan Chase, reckons that the chances of a goldilocks soft landing for the economy are “a lot lower” than the ...
    Point of OrderBy xtrdnry
    6 days ago

  • Education Minister heads to major teaching summit in Singapore
    Education Minister Erica Stanford will lead the New Zealand delegation at the 2024 International Summit on the Teaching Profession (ISTP) held in Singapore. The delegation includes representatives from the Post Primary Teachers’ Association (PPTA) Te Wehengarua and the New Zealand Educational Institute (NZEI) Te Riu Roa.  The summit is co-hosted ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    55 mins ago
  • Value of stopbank project proven during cyclone
    A stopbank upgrade project in Tairawhiti partly funded by the Government has increased flood resilience for around 7000ha of residential and horticultural land so far, Regional Development Minister Shane Jones says. Mr Jones today attended a dawn service in Gisborne to mark the end of the first stage of the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 hour ago
  • Anzac commemorations, Türkiye relationship focus of visit
    Foreign Affairs Minister Winston Peters will represent the Government at Anzac Day commemorations on the Gallipoli Peninsula next week and engage with senior representatives of the Turkish government in Istanbul.    “The Gallipoli campaign is a defining event in our history. It will be a privilege to share the occasion ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 hour ago
  • Minister to Europe for OECD meeting, Anzac Day
    Science, Innovation and Technology and Defence Minister Judith Collins will next week attend the OECD Science and Technology Ministerial conference in Paris and Anzac Day commemorations in Belgium. “Science, innovation and technology have a major role to play in rebuilding our economy and achieving better health, environmental and social outcomes ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 hours ago
  • Comprehensive Partnership the goal for NZ and the Philippines
    Prime Minister Christopher Luxon held a bilateral meeting today with the President of the Philippines, Ferdinand Marcos Jr.  The Prime Minister was accompanied by MP Paulo Garcia, the first Filipino to be elected to a legislature outside the Philippines. During today’s meeting, Prime Minister Luxon and President Marcos Jr discussed opportunities to ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    15 hours ago
  • Government commits $20m to Westport flood protection
    The Government has announced that $20 million in funding will be made available to Westport to fund much needed flood protection around the town. This measure will significantly improve the resilience of the community, says Local Government Minister Simeon Brown. “The Westport community has already been allocated almost $3 million ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    21 hours ago
  • Taupō takes pole position
    The Government is proud to support the first ever Repco Supercars Championship event in Taupō as up to 70,000 motorsport fans attend the Taupō International Motorsport Park this weekend, says Economic Development Minister Melissa Lee. “Anticipation for the ITM Taupō Super400 is huge, with tickets and accommodation selling out weeks ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    22 hours ago
  • Cost of living support for low-income homeowners
    Local Government Minister Simeon Brown has announced an increase to the Rates Rebate Scheme, putting money back into the pockets of low-income homeowners.  “The coalition Government is committed to bringing down the cost of living for New Zealanders. That includes targeted support for those Kiwis who are doing things tough, such ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    24 hours ago
  • Government backing mussel spat project
    The Coalition Government is investing in a project to boost survival rates of New Zealand mussels and grow the industry, Oceans and Fisheries Minister Shane Jones has announced. “This project seeks to increase the resilience of our mussels and significantly boost the sector’s productivity,” Mr Jones says. “The project - ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • Government focused on getting people into work
    Benefit figures released today underscore the importance of the Government’s plan to rebuild the economy and have 50,000 fewer people on Jobseeker Support, Social Development and Employment Minister Louise Upston says. “Benefit numbers are still significantly higher than when National was last in government, when there was about 70,000 fewer ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • Clean energy key driver to reducing emissions
    The Government’s commitment to doubling New Zealand’s renewable energy capacity is backed by new data showing that clean energy has helped the country reach its lowest annual gross emissions since 1999, Climate Change Minister Simon Watts says. New Zealand’s latest Greenhouse Gas Inventory (1990-2022) published today, shows gross emissions fell ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • Earthquake-prone buildings review brought forward
    The Government is bringing the earthquake-prone building review forward, with work to start immediately, and extending the deadline for remediations by four years, Building and Construction Minister Chris Penk says. “Our Government is focused on rebuilding the economy. A key part of our plan is to cut red tape that ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • Thailand and NZ to agree to Strategic Partnership
    Prime Minister Christopher Luxon and his Thai counterpart, Prime Minister Srettha Thavisin, have today agreed that New Zealand and the Kingdom of Thailand will upgrade the bilateral relationship to a Strategic Partnership by 2026. “New Zealand and Thailand have a lot to offer each other. We have a strong mutual desire to build ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Government consults on extending coastal permits for ports
    RMA Reform Minister Chris Bishop and Transport Minister Simeon Brown have today announced the Coalition Government’s intention to extend port coastal permits for a further 20 years, providing port operators with certainty to continue their operations. “The introduction of the Resource Management Act in 1991 required ports to obtain coastal ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Inflation coming down, but more work to do
    Today’s announcement that inflation is down to 4 per cent is encouraging news for Kiwis, but there is more work to be done - underlining the importance of the Government’s plan to get the economy back on track, acting Finance Minister Chris Bishop says. “Inflation is now at 4 per ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • School attendance restored as a priority in health advice
    Refreshed health guidance released today will help parents and schools make informed decisions about whether their child needs to be in school, addressing one of the key issues affecting school attendance, says Associate Education Minister David Seymour. In recent years, consistently across all school terms, short-term illness or medical reasons ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Unnecessary bureaucracy cut in oceans sector
    Oceans and Fisheries Minister Shane Jones is streamlining high-level oceans management while maintaining a focus on supporting the sector’s role in the export-led recovery of the economy. “I am working to realise the untapped potential of our fishing and aquaculture sector. To achieve that we need to be smarter with ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Patterson promoting NZ’s wool sector at International Congress
    Associate Agriculture Minister Mark Patterson is speaking at the International Wool Textile Organisation Congress in Adelaide, promoting New Zealand wool, and outlining the coalition Government’s support for the revitalisation the sector.    "New Zealand’s wool exports reached $400 million in the year to 30 June 2023, and the coalition Government ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Removing red tape to help early learners thrive
    The Government is making legislative changes to make it easier for new early learning services to be established, and for existing services to operate, Associate Education Minister David Seymour says. The changes involve repealing the network approval provisions that apply when someone wants to establish a new early learning service, ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • RMA changes to cut coal mining consent red tape
    Changes to the Resource Management Act will align consenting for coal mining to other forms of mining to reduce barriers that are holding back economic development, Resources Minister Shane Jones says. “The inconsistent treatment of coal mining compared with other extractive activities is burdensome red tape that fails to acknowledge ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • McClay reaffirms strong NZ-China trade relationship
    Trade, Agriculture and Forestry Minister Todd McClay has concluded productive discussions with ministerial counterparts in Beijing today, in support of the New Zealand-China trade and economic relationship. “My meeting with Commerce Minister Wang Wentao reaffirmed the complementary nature of the bilateral trade relationship, with our Free Trade Agreement at its ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Prime Minister Luxon acknowledges legacy of Singapore Prime Minister Lee
    Prime Minister Christopher Luxon today paid tribute to Singapore’s outgoing Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong.   Meeting in Singapore today immediately before Prime Minister Lee announced he was stepping down, Prime Minister Luxon warmly acknowledged his counterpart’s almost twenty years as leader, and the enduring legacy he has left for Singapore and South East ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • PMs Luxon and Lee deepen Singapore-NZ ties
    Prime Minister Christopher Luxon held a bilateral meeting today with Singapore Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong. While in Singapore as part of his visit to South East Asia this week, Prime Minister Luxon also met with Singapore President Tharman Shanmugaratnam and will meet with Deputy Prime Minister Lawrence Wong.  During today’s meeting, Prime Minister Luxon ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Antarctica New Zealand Board appointments
    Foreign Minister Winston Peters has made further appointments to the Board of Antarctica New Zealand as part of a continued effort to ensure the Scott Base Redevelopment project is delivered in a cost-effective and efficient manner.  The Minister has appointed Neville Harris as a new member of the Board. Mr ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Finance Minister travels to Washington DC
    Finance Minister Nicola Willis will travel to the United States on Tuesday to attend a meeting of the Five Finance Ministers group, with counterparts from Australia, the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom.  “I am looking forward to meeting with our Five Finance partners on how we can work ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Pet bonds a win/win for renters and landlords
    The coalition Government has today announced purrfect and pawsitive changes to the Residential Tenancies Act to give tenants with pets greater choice when looking for a rental property, says Housing Minister Chris Bishop. “Pets are important members of many Kiwi families. It’s estimated that around 64 per cent of New ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Long Tunnel for SH1 Wellington being considered
    State Highway 1 (SH1) through Wellington City is heavily congested at peak times and while planning continues on the duplicate Mt Victoria Tunnel and Basin Reserve project, the Government has also asked NZ Transport Agency (NZTA) to consider and provide advice on a Long Tunnel option, Transport Minister Simeon Brown ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • New Zealand condemns Iranian strikes
    Prime Minister Christopher Luxon and Foreign Minister Winston Peters have condemned Iran’s shocking and illegal strikes against Israel.    “These attacks are a major challenge to peace and stability in a region already under enormous pressure," Mr Luxon says.    "We are deeply concerned that miscalculation on any side could ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Huge interest in Government’s infrastructure plans
    Hundreds of people in little over a week have turned out in Northland to hear Regional Development Minister Shane Jones speak about plans for boosting the regional economy through infrastructure. About 200 people from the infrastructure and associated sectors attended an event headlined by Mr Jones in Whangarei today. Last ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    7 days ago
  • Health Minister thanks outgoing Health New Zealand Chair
    Health Minister Dr Shane Reti has today thanked outgoing Health New Zealand – Te Whatu Ora Chair Dame Karen Poutasi for her service on the Board.   “Dame Karen tendered her resignation as Chair and as a member of the Board today,” says Dr Reti.  “I have asked her to ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    7 days ago
  • Roads of National Significance planning underway
    The NZ Transport Agency (NZTA) has signalled their proposed delivery approach for the Government’s 15 Roads of National Significance (RoNS), with the release of the State Highway Investment Proposal (SHIP) today, Transport Minister Simeon Brown says.  “Boosting economic growth and productivity is a key part of the Government’s plan to ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Navigating an unstable global environment
    New Zealand is renewing its connections with a world facing urgent challenges by pursuing an active, energetic foreign policy, Foreign Minister Winston Peters says.   “Our country faces the most unstable global environment in decades,” Mr Peters says at the conclusion of two weeks of engagements in Egypt, Europe and the United States.    “We cannot afford to sit back in splendid ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • NZ welcomes Australian Governor-General
    Prime Minister Christopher Luxon has announced the Australian Governor-General, His Excellency General The Honourable David Hurley and his wife Her Excellency Mrs Linda Hurley, will make a State visit to New Zealand from Tuesday 16 April to Thursday 18 April. The visit reciprocates the State visit of former Governor-General Dame Patsy Reddy ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Pseudoephedrine back on shelves for Winter
    Associate Health Minister David Seymour has announced that Medsafe has approved 11 cold and flu medicines containing pseudoephedrine. Pharmaceutical suppliers have indicated they may be able to supply the first products in June. “This is much earlier than the original expectation of medicines being available by 2025. The Government recognised ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • NZ and the US: an ever closer partnership
    New Zealand and the United States have recommitted to their strategic partnership in Washington DC today, pledging to work ever more closely together in support of shared values and interests, Foreign Minister Winston Peters says.    “The strategic environment that New Zealand and the United States face is considerably more ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Joint US and NZ declaration
    April 11, 2024 Joint Declaration by United States Secretary of State the Honorable Antony J. Blinken and New Zealand Minister of Foreign Affairs the Right Honourable Winston Peters We met today in Washington, D.C. to recommit to the historic partnership between our two countries and the principles that underpin it—rule ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • NZ and US to undertake further practical Pacific cooperation
    Foreign Minister Winston Peters has announced further New Zealand cooperation with the United States in the Pacific Islands region through $16.4 million in funding for initiatives in digital connectivity and oceans and fisheries research.   “New Zealand can achieve more in the Pacific if we work together more urgently and ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Government redress for Te Korowai o Wainuiārua
    The Government is continuing the bipartisan effort to restore its relationship with iwi as the Te Korowai o Wainuiārua Claims Settlement Bill passed its first reading in Parliament today, says Treaty Negotiations Minister Paul Goldsmith. “Historical grievances of Te Korowai o Wainuiārua relate to 19th century warfare, land purchased or taken ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Focus on outstanding minerals permit applications
    New Zealand Petroleum and Minerals is working to resolve almost 150 outstanding minerals permit applications by the end of the financial year, enabling valuable mining activity and signalling to the sector that New Zealand is open for business, Resources Minister Shane Jones says.  “While there are no set timeframes for ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Applications open for NZ-Ireland Research Call
    The New Zealand and Irish governments have today announced that applications for the 2024 New Zealand-Ireland Joint Research Call on Agriculture and Climate Change are now open. This is the third research call in the three-year Joint Research Initiative pilot launched in 2022 by the Ministry for Primary Industries and Ireland’s ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago

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