The Spinoff: Housing crisis costing Nats

Written By: - Date published: 7:23 am, August 27th, 2016 - 14 comments
Categories: housing, national, polls, useless - Tags: , , , , ,

The Spinoff should be on your daily reading list. Here’s another excellent piece:

Housing crisis uselessness costing National in Auckland – Spinoff poll

One intriguing result from this week’s Spinoff-SSI poll of voters is that the Government’s lead in the party vote has fallen considerably from the general election 21 months ago. In November 2014, National won 48.6% of the party vote in Auckland, to Labour on 27.7, the Greens on 9.7 and NZ First on 6.8%. In last week’s SSI poll, National was all the way down to 42.6% of decided voters, with Labour up at 32.7, the Greens on 11 and NZ First on 10.4.

What’s driving National’s malaise in Auckland? Well, you could hazard a guess or two and you’d be right.

The Auckland housing affordability and availability controversy was deemed a ‘crisis’ by 84% of Spinoff-SSI respondents. In some ways it was amazing that 10.3% said no to that question, unless they were signed-up members of the Young Nats’ Ostrich branch. Even within National voters, 73% declare it a crisis – 3 in 4 of them rejecting National’s refusal to accept the word.

And asked why we have a housing crisis, those polled opted for foreign investors at 55.7% and then, critically, government inaction at 39.6. … Put another way, the government’s failings on this most important issue were blamed by Aucklanders more than the dreaded ‘developers and speculators’ at 38.5%.

“Lose the top of your party vote in Auckland, with Labour making ground, and the picture for the general election in 2017 looks like, walks like and quacks like a crisis.” …

National has no answers and the issue is not going away. Read on for plenty more on The Spinoff.

14 comments on “The Spinoff: Housing crisis costing Nats”

  1. Herodotus 1

    Just seen our minister Nick Smith on TV 3 saying that he expects in the future that housing will drop to single figure increases, how can this be a success when the reserve bank is to maintain a CPI increase in a 1-3% band?
    single figure increases in housing is still a failure given our wage growth and the RB’s policy target. I am sure that the Nats are hoping that time will solve this problem; time either they will not be in power at a time when this crap hits the fan or somehow without their intervention solves itself, as if

  2. Siobhan 2

    Stop with the Housing Crisis.
    The only way we can be sure of saying “e noho rā” to National is if people wake up to everything the National Government have done, and the significant things they have not done, to make our country and society a place so much less than what it should be.

    Workers Rights, wages, free market and free market labour policy, Health care policy, Education, and the cornerstone issue world wide TAX POLICY both internal and external. Even some the old school style National voter business owners have serious doubts about Nationals neocon policies.

    The ‘fix’ to these issues is not building more houses, though that is a no brainer step in the right direction.
    What is required is a “Massive New Vision” of how we operate.
    Third Way Labour cannot deliver the change we need.
    They are part of the reason we are in this mess to start with.

    • Leftie 2.1

      Disagree Siobhan, I think a Lab/Green coalition government can and will bring the change we need. Despite the nice little speech there that most would agree with, I get the impression you would rather the nats remain in power.

    • coffee connoisuer 2.2

      Thats exactly it. a massive new vision is exactly whats required.
      These guys are in the business of what system we live life by and right now its only getting worse.
      It is the hours of a persons life and how they get to spend it that are important. and right now most will have to work until the day they drop dead
      We do need a new paradigm
      We need to shift from a system of profit that enables person to BUY his or her life to a system of delivery that enables a person to LIVE his or her life.
      What we have now is simply another form of slavery debt slaverty, economic slavey.
      Automation should be for the benefit of all mankind instead it is simply being diverted to the corporate bottom line and this when it has the ability to free us from having to simply work in order to survive.
      The reality is changing the paradigm would only affect a very small minority and they would benefit from the shift anyway like everyone with more time and more access
      We may also need a way to transition

      • Pat 2.2.1

        “Automation should be for the benefit of all mankind instead it is simply being diverted to the corporate bottom line and this when it has the ability to free us from having to simply work in order to survive.”

        +1

  3. AmaKiwi 3

    Follow the money.

    Why is National prepared to risk an election loss rather than deal with the housing problem? I can only guess but here are some of my speculations. Please do NOT argue about my list of things I would change. My point is not the worth of these changes but the huge moneyed interests that would be hurt by these types of changes.

    Follow the money.

    If I were the sovereign King of NZ (i.e., the PM), some of the things I would do are: ban foreign ownership of property and require divestiture, require Warrant of Fitness inspections for all rental properties, put a capital gains tax on property sales (perhaps excluding one family home), not allow tax deductions from losses on rental properties to apply against other taxable income, use public land (like golf courses) to build government owned “rent to buy” small houses and flats in the $150,000 to $200,000 price range, ban campaign contributions by anyone except NZ individual citizens (no companies, no trusts, no foreign donations allowed).

    Follow the money.

    How would changes like these impact National’s financial support base? Banks, developers, foreign speculators, landlords, real estate agents, etc.?

  4. Keith 4

    A very illuminating example of how deceptive National is came about early last year in response to housing unaffordability and the damage foreign speculators were doing. Key fronted with much fanfare the set of initiatives that included amongst other things the limp 2 year “Brightline test”, the weak 20% minimum deposit and IRD numbers for foreign property buyers. Done properly this would have had an impact on property, but as it transpires, that was never it’s intent.

    In every case this new regime was a failure and anyone can see that in 2016, but most especially the IRD number system was designed to be a failure from the outset because what National and Key never told us was that any foreigner, who by way of being a student visa holder or work visa holder, could buy and sell properties without an IRD number. Worse is that property transfers could take place without an IRD number at all. And to this day they hide that in our notoriously unreliable official statistics.

    National did what National do, set up a system to profit the few, in this case selling off New Zealand property and then when the polls start telling them the public become increasingly unhappy and alienated by this system, tell us they are listening and promptly set up a facade claiming to address their concerns but with so many loopholes and outs that it will be tantamount to no change at all.

    This would have to be, by a massive margin, the most untrustworthy government in the history of this country.

    • Leftie 4.1

      +1 keith, agreed, and that’s it isn’t it? National pretending to do something when in reality National are doing nothing at all, but to maintain the status quo for it’s supporter base AmaKiwi outlined in his post.

  5. AmaKiwi 5

    @ Keith

    Keith, thanks for this example. All opposition parties need to keep a complete list of similar National b.s. “solutions.”

    “The devil is in the detail.”

    For the election National will roll out an extravagant list of housing proposals. Opposition parties will need to say, “You’re lying. What you actually would send to parliament will have holes big enough to drive an oil tanker through. It’s what you have always done.”

  6. Stuart Munro 6

    It has to come down to punishment. A dishonest government must be punished well beyond the ballot box. I didn’t sign up to have my country wrecked by thieves.

    • AmaKiwi 6.1

      Hi, Stuart.

      Power corrupts. Absolute power corrupts absolutely.

      Power to the people . . . not the politicians of any of the parties.

  7. Paul 7

    Fran O’Sullivan questions the government’s inaction.

    Property prices – Canada acts, NZ waits

    Here’s an idea for the New Zealand Government: slap a foreign property buyers’ tax on all transactions they make in Auckland, to take the top off the housing market.

    That’s exactly what has happened in Canada, where a 15 per cent transfer tax has been applied to all residential property sales to foreign nationals in Vancouver. Google “Vancouver” and most high-rating news stories are now focused on the impact of this tax in cooling the red-hot real estate market.

    There’s plenty more besides, including outrage from some foreign investors over the provincial Government’s determination to look after its own.

    Like Auckland, Vancouver has been a magnet for offshore investors.

    And like Auckland, offshore demand combined with speculative pressure has resulted in home affordability now being impossible for ordinary Vancouverites.

    Predictably, there have been squeals from foreign buyers and realtors since the tax went into effect.

    But what is important is that the British Columbia provincial Government – with backing from Ottawa – has had the courage to put their own citizenry first.

    http://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/news/article.cfm?c_id=3&objectid=11700890

    We need a Trudeau, not a Key.

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    When National was in government and fucking over the poor for the benefit of the rich, foodbanks were a growth industry. And now Labour is in charge, nothing has changed: A huge demand for emergency food parcels means the Auckland City Mission is struggling to prepare for the impending arrival ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • Ardern attempts to vaccinate Clarke Gayford live on television to prove that it’s safe
    Gayford, pictured here on The Project, before things got wildly out of control. A bold public relations move by the Government to encourage parents to vaccinate their children has gone horribly wrong. Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern appeared on tonight’s episode of Three’s The Project, where the plan was for her ...
    The CivilianBy admin
    2 weeks ago
  • Has Mr. Whippy gone too far by parking on our front lawns?
    Mr. Whippy’s business model has driven it down a dark road of intimidation. Residents in major centres around the country are becoming disgruntled by the increasingly aggressive actions of purported ice cream company Mr. Whippy, who have taken to parking on people’s front lawns and doorsteps in a desperate attempt ...
    The CivilianBy admin
    2 weeks ago
  • Cleaning up the water
    Today the government released its Action Plan for Healthy Waterways, aimed at cleaning up our lakes and rivers. Its actually quite good. There will be protection for wetlands, better standards for swimming spots, a requirement for continuous improvement, and better standards for wastewater and stormwater. But most importantly, there's a ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • Fronting up
    Today I appeared before the Environment Committee to give an oral submission on the Zero Carbon Bill. Over 1,500 people have asked to appear in person, so they've divided into subcommittees and are off touring the country, giving people a five minute slot each. The other submitters were a mixed ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • Politics of science – making a silk purse out of a sow’s ear
    Anti-fluoride activists have some wealthy backers – they are erecting billboards misrepresenting the Canadian study on many New Zealand cities – and local authorities are ordering their removal because of their scaremongering. Many New Zealanders ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Democracy – I Don’t Think So
    So, those who “know best” have again done their worst. While constantly claiming to be the guardians of democracy and the constitution, and respecters of the 2016 referendum result, diehard Remainers (who have never brought themselves to believe that their advice could have been rejected) have striven might and main ...
    Bryan GouldBy Bryan Gould
    2 weeks ago
  • Government says it will now build just one really nice home
    Following publication of this article, the Ministry has requested it to be noted that this supplied image is not necessarily representative of what the final house will look like, and it “probably won’t be that nice.” As part of today’s long-anticipated reset of the Government’s flagship KiwiBuild policy, Housing Minister ...
    The CivilianBy admin
    2 weeks ago
  • Imperialism and your cup of coffee
    Over the next week or two we will be running three synopses of parts of the opening chapter of John Smith’s Imperialism in the 21st Century (New York, Monthly Review Press, 2016).  The synopsis and commentary below is written by Phil Duncan. Marx began Capital not with a sweeping historical ...
    RedlineBy Admin
    2 weeks ago
  • Still juking the stats
    The State Services Commission and Ombudsman have released another batch of OIA statistics, covering the last six months. Request volumes are up, and the core public service is generally handling them within the legal timeframe, though this may be because they've learned to extend rather than just ignore things. And ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • Hard News: Time for a New Deal: 25 years on
    In 1994, I was editing an ambitious street mag called Planet, from a fabled office at at 309 Karangahape Road. The thirteenth issue of the magazine was published in the winter of that year and its cover embodied a particularly ambitious goal: the end of cannabis prohibition.I wanted to do ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Not impressed
    KiwiBuild was one of the Ardern government's core policies. The government would end the housing crisis and make housing affordable again by building 100,000 new homes. Of course, it didn't work out like that: targets weren't met, the houses they did build were in the wrong place, and the whole ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • Solar beats coal
    As the climate crisis escalates, it is now obvious that we need to radically decarbonise our economy. The good news is that its looking easy and profitable for the energy sector. Wind is already cheaper than fossil fuels, and now solar is too:The levellised cost of solar PV has fallen ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago

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