Trends and results will come through today and tomorrow about the mid-term elections in this second largest democracy in the world.
It’s a system designed not to change too much too fast; lots of devolved power to its constituent states, which are steered by governors. Plenty of really interesting races there.
Also balancing against strong change is just 35 out of 100 seats in the upper house or Senate are up for the taking this time.
The great big unruly and not hugely powerful House of Representatives has all its seats going for free this time. Although (ahem) nothing in the United States is free.
Will Beto make it against the truly serpentine Cruz in Texas?
Will #MeToo and #TimesUp and #Emily’sList get rewarded with more women getting up there?
Will any pundit or candidate mention climate change in the next 48 hours?
As with LBJ’s rise in Texas so long ago, will we get some juicy ballot box conspiracies to make it all seem so coded, so unreal?
Have the Democrats really commanded the messaging and the values to compel those few unpartisan families to change their vote?
Will stunning economic performance in the economy overrun the vile President Trump’s targeting of migrants – from Central America and elsewhere?
Will Florida overcome its coded racist elements and elect a black man?
Who will be the first pundit on Fox or CNN or MSNBC to say “told ya so”?
Can the United States Constitution still usefully check and balance the functioning of the executive, or is the United States in for a real questioning of its own structures?
Is there enough renewal in the lower ranks of the Democrats, either this time or for next?
Who is starting to look a bit presidential towards a run?
Will Fivethirtyeight get its mojo back, or is RealClearPolitics going to be the Go-To for stats?
All of this, writ large, live before a studio audience, is unfolding over the next 24 hours.
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