Trump will be President until 2024

Written By: - Date published: 8:00 am, June 21st, 2018 - 61 comments
Categories: China, Deep stuff, Donald Trump, Europe, immigration, International, Politics, us politics - Tags:

It’s time to see the strong possibility of a second term of Donald Trump as United States President. There are no other Republican or Democrat competitors who currently have a remote chance.

What Would The World Look Like?

There may be nothing New Zealand can do about it, but Donald Trump is degrading so many norms so fast it’s important to track them six years into the future. A second term under President Trump will mean quite a lot to us.

Trade

We should expect to see disruptive and extensive trade wars from the United States against the European Union and China. I’m not even daring to think about the vulnerability of a small trading nation such as ourselves at this prospect – it’s hard to imagine because we’ve never been anything except pro-trade and this degree of belligerent protectionism from the U.S. hasn’t been seen in living memory. Suffice to say that this is the highest rising sea we have seen on the horizon since the U.K. cut us adrift in the 1960s.

Defence

We may yet see the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation dissolved. Who knows maybe a specific European defence force will arise from the pieces, but that is no certainty in such a mood of E.U. distrust of cooperation. The Balkan nations, Ukraine, Finland, and Georgia would again be vulnerable to greater Russian predation. The British Defence Forces view Russia as their most serious threat.

The head of NATO views the United States belligerence as the most pressing threat to the existence of NATO.

The European Union

President Trump’s hostility to the E.U. is hardly a secret. We know he has no idea what the European project is fundamentally about. His policies leave little doubt that he wouldn’t care if it disintegrated altogether. After Britain leaves the E.U. in expected total disarray, we should expect to see a full-throated attack from the U.S. on the unity of the European Union as a whole including weaponising the U.S. dollar against the Euro. Although the United States should be careful how it operates with respect to China.

Immigration

President Trump declared in his 2017 Warsaw speech that the fundamental question of our time is “whether the West has the will to survive.” He declared that question the “most important of his presidency.” That speech contained nothing less than a redefinition of the west as a nationalist, Christian entity pitted against the barbarians.

He doesn’t often do big set-piece speeches, so it’s worth reminding ourselves of his view of western civilisation broadly through the full text.

In particular, the policy area President Trump and most European nations agree on is stopping illegal immigration. In a few years of repetition most will be inured to footage of children in cages.

President Trump and so many European leaders have for nearly a decade hit the voter-cornucopia of immigration, and no political figure on the left has yet generated any popular response.

Climate Change

The only leaders who will engage or really care about climate change will be corporations and a few NGOs. The issue is of no consequence to Trump, and he has successfully eradicated it from U.S. politics and hence from the discourse of most of the global mainstream media.

Human Rights

We should expect to see the United States mutate. It will aim to defeat tolerant and univeralist values such as those within the U.N. Declaration of Human Rights. We should expect the U.S. to withdraw quickly from membership of the U.N. Human Right Council. [MS – and it has] Many other countries openly flaunt these values, and some of them are sitting members of this council, but the United States used to be more reliable. Some may say good riddance, until they remember that the U.S. was the primary country that formed the United Nations itself together with those universal declarations of human rights.

China

President Trump will try all he can to check the rise of China, and he will fail. Prime Ministers Helen Clark and John Key have situated New Zealand particularly smartly there. It is the rise of China and all who support China, that may enable New Zealand survive and prosper away from the United States era of Trump.

May.

This is a leader generating the most powerful global disruptions to politics since Gorbachev.

The remains of the left in politics – until they can form a leader or set of leaders who successfully challenge Trump – need to support the international cooperation, the institutions built on that cooperation, and the good that they have on balance achieved, against Donald Trump and all those who support him.

Because right now Donald Trump is going to be politically effective as far as the eye can see.

61 comments on “Trump will be President until 2024 ”

  1. Sanctuary 1

    Trump will lose in 2020. Why? Because his opponents will crawl over broken glass to vote against him, and the anti-Trump vote is bigger than his base by quite a lot.

    The only way he will win re-election will be if the Democrats are completely tin eared and pick another terrible candidate like Hillary.

    • dukeofurl 1.1

      Sanders would have been a terrible candidate in a general election and Trump would have won by a big margin rather than the narrow win in the EC and big loss in the popular vote.

      • Sanctuary 1.1.1

        2016 was a change election, the Dems picked the most establishment possible candidate from a previous era. Saunders would have beaten Trump.

        The biggest “problem” for the Democrats is internal division, with a vigorous “Progressive Democrat” insurgency happening against the establishment Democrats.It is not so much that American punish internal dissent – the two main US political parties are nowhere like as disciplined as Westminister ones (although the GOP is now basically extrmist, captured by a disciplined insurgency minority of a minority) – but how the Dems handle the inner conflict. If the establishment stomp to hard on the progressive, they’ll disillusion them and that would confound my turnout prediction…

        • Ad 1.1.1.1

          What evidence do you have of any current Democrat doing better against Trump in a Presidential Head to Head?

          That’s where to look.

          If the election were held today, Joe Biden would crush President Trump. Few others would come within a bulls roar.

          • Sanctuary 1.1.1.1.1

            It is a bit far out to pick, but my money would be on either a Bernie Saunders & Elizabeth Warren or a Cory Booker and Kamala D. Harris, with the latter being most likely as the first two are just too old and the Democrat insiders have a bad case of ABBA (Anyone But Bernie Anytime).

            The Booker/Harris team in particular would smash Trump.

            • dukeofurl 1.1.1.1.1.1

              “Democrat insiders have a bad case of ABBA – ( Bernie)

              The primary popular vote for Sanders was well behind Clinton. The
              ordinary registered Democrats didnt like him as much either.

              And ignoring the reality , it was democratic elites/activists at caucuses who most supported Sanders.

              Its only been 2 years or so and yet there is a farrago of nonsense about what happened in the democratic primaries.- Look it up.

          • mauī 1.1.1.1.2

            Um, Bernie had rallies with 5,000 or 10,000 people attending while Hillary was struggling to pack out a room.

            Nationwide polls were showing he was massively popular and the most trusted politician even while getting minimal lamestream media coverage.

            • Ad 1.1.1.1.2.1

              The nostalgia is strong in you.

              What evidence do you have that Bernie Sanders would win against Trump in the 2020 Presidential head to head?

              • adam

                Sanders still has at last count, a 68% approval rating as a senator.

                https://morningconsult.com/2018/01/23/senator-rankings-jan-2018/

                • Bill

                  Chis Hedges has a piece over on “Truthdig” entitled “Et tu, Bernie?” that suggests Sanders has shifted to accommodate the Democratic Party establishment.

                  I don’t know whether Hedges is doing an unfortunate re-dux of his anarchist number from a few years back, or if he’s fairly on the money.

                  Besides that, the intercept has a series of posts on grassroots challenges to establishment Democratic nominees for the upcoming elections that are worth the read.

                  And I’d like to see Tulsi run in 2020 🙂

                • dukeofurl

                  Vermont voters who elected Sanders in 2013?

                  207,848. Vermont being one of the smallest states

                  Pleeeeeeze.
                  Just taking approval ratings in their own state doesnt mean much on national stage.

              • mauī

                Intuition, data, polling, policy, trustworthiness, a feeling maybe. Certainly evidence from a range of areas.

              • RedLogix

                Ad,

                Your OP pivots on this assertion There are no other Republican or Democrat competitors who currently have a remote chance.. On the face of it this seems reasonably plausible; if nothing else Trump is sucking the oxygen from the room, leaving little room for moderate voices to be heard.

                Until both the Republicans and Democrats take full ownership for the role they BOTH played in the Trump disaster, nothing much can change. Twenty years earlier an extreme and flawed candidate such as Trump would not have gotten past the first primary rounds; but the ground has shifted and it stranded the two major parties, both increasingly frozen into polarised, ideological stances the mass of American voters have come to distrust.

                1: Washington gridlock; political point scoring plays and the decline of bi-partisan negotiation has terminally undermined the credibility and prestige of their Senate, tipping the balance of power and effective action toward the Presidency.

                2. Both major parties succumb to increasingly radical activist voices, articulating ideologies that exclude the interests of most voters, generating distrust and alienation from the political process.

                3. The power of lobbying and campaign funding finally overwhelms any rational democratic accountability and becomes undeniably obvious to everyone.

                4. In the aftermath of the 2008 GFC no-one serious is held accountable; only the little people are hurt, the workers who lose jobs, home and more. More than anything else this fatally wounds the core American ideal of personal responsibility. Plainly it has become one rule for the rich, and other rules for the rest of us.

                5. Globalisation and seemingly out of control immigration diminishes the US middle class, increasingly it is plain the game is rigged; no-one in their political game effectively represents their interests.

                A more astute observer could easily extend this list; 2016 was the election where US voters were of a mood to pull the rug out from under an establishment that they perceived, had done the same to them, at so many different levels. Once Sanders was knocked out, Trump was the man left standing and the result is history.

                Can this ongoing process of ideological polarisation and corrosive failure of democratic accountability be reversed? Or will the USA Republic slide on into an age of Emperors? Will the three largest states, the USA, Russia and China descend into their own competing brands of totalitarianism?

                On the numbers Trump should lose the mid-term election, but for this to happen there should be at least several plausible Democrats in the public eye by this time. Sanctuary has put up four names who might run well, but even as a staunch Sanders supporter I suspect his time may have passed by 2020. The others I know less about; but all seem under-mined by one core problem … the Democrat party itself.

                After her loss Clinton should have done a crystal clear mea culpa, fallen on her sword and passed responsibility back to the party to both reject a failed campaign and re-invent themselves. Instead we’ve had endless meandering justifications and far too much energy mis-directed onto attempts to impeach Trump. Instead of taking responsibility for losing to such a flawed and dangerous man as Trump, they’ve effectively indulged in a massive display of victim-hood mentality; and the American public don’t find it the least bit attractive.

                Which still leaves the door open for Trump in 2020. When will we stop underestimating him? He has already done a dozen ‘impossible’ things. Not liking them is not a reason to assume he is incapable of repeating the same feats in future. Nor can the Republicans reasonably run a candidate with the serious intention of defeating their own President. The onus lies on the Democrats to understand, and openly accept what happened in 2016, reject the creeping polarisation and demonisation rampant in the current political landscape, and go back to middle America with a candidate and campaign that wins back their trust.

                Not easy.

                • Richard McGrath

                  You are right RL, in that the Democratic Party (and the media for that matter) needs to rid itself of the poisonous Clinton influence if there is to be a serious challenge to Trump Keeping America Great in 2020.

            • dukeofurl 1.1.1.1.2.2

              17 million votes for Clinton

              13.2 mill votes for Sanders

              Why rely on ‘polls’ to chose candidate, when they have primaries.

              Sanders lost there and would have lost massively to Trump

          • Bill 1.1.1.1.3

            Ad, Biden is just another recognised establishment figure who would drag along all the same type of debilitating baggage that Clinton dragged to the contest last time.

            If Trump was pitted against someone with the calibre of a Corbyn, he’d be toast. (So maybe Sanders, maybe Warren, maybe Tulsi…)

            But against any figure associated with the very establishment that was rejected in lieu of Trump (yes, it was wrongheaded on the part of US voters and blah, blah) he’s, at worst, got a punt.

      • Siobhan 1.1.2

        https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/us/general_election_trump_vs_sanders-5565.html

        Bernie had a better chance against Trump than Clinton.

        However The DNC would rather see America burn in a flaming heap than have a President with a Progressive agenda

      • Tricledrown 1.1.3

        Dukeoferl
        Sanders didn’t have baggage pizzagate
        The Russians weren’t targeting sanders

        • Dukeofurl 1.1.3.1

          Trump didn’t have baggage?
          Russians really wanted Trump so would have done same ops against Sanders

  2. roy cartland 2

    Why stop at 2024?

  3. dukeofurl 3

    I knew Advantage would be writing something like this when I saw the headline.

    Reality, he doesnt have the approval numbers to be a second term president. having your base love him isnt enough as the electorate is democrats, republicans, independents.

    • dukeofurl 3.1

      CNN POLL
      Presidential Approval Rating
      Dec of First Year

      Bush, 2001 86%
      Kennedy, 1961 77%
      Bush, 1989 71%
      Eisenhower, 1953 69%
      Nixon, 1969 59%
      Carter, 1977 57%
      Obama, 2009 54%
      Clinton, 1993 54%
      Reagan, 1981 49%
      Trump, now 35%

      Trump may be up a bit since then ( low 40s), its steep climb.
      Looking at details of headlines maybe ok for policy freaks, but headlines pass and voters think what about me.
      Trumps strongest point is economy, what happens if there is a downturn , as eventually must happen. Will he double down on his trade war ?

      • Ad 3.1.1

        Definitely a long way to go, but check the polling trend line and don’t be too sure:

        https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/?ex_cid=rrpromo

        • Andre 3.1.1.1

          What sort of polling reaction do you think you would have got in mid 2006 about a black dude named Barack Hussein Obama for the next presidential election?

          • Ad 3.1.1.1.1

            Do you see anything resembling President Obama in the entire Democrat field right now?

            Maybe only Biden could stand up to Trump, and gain the necessary independent voters. Can’t see anyone else.

            • dukeofurl 3.1.1.1.1.1

              Big mistake to stoke the fire of presidential ambition too early. Not until after mid term elections will those come forward.
              While the rest of the world sees a 2 year election grind as absurd, it does mean otherwise no bodys can get public recognition.
              Im thinking Dems will pick a State governor, choosing someone from the ‘swamp’ has big disadvantages

        • dukeofurl 3.1.1.2

          “check the polling trend line and don’t be too sure:”

          I did , and checked down the page for the polling trend for Trump and previous presidents, its still looks dire for Trump.

          Trumps numbers most look like …..Gerald Ford !!

      • Tricledrown 3.1.2

        The Midterms will be his last stand
        This backdown at the border.
        His own wife criticising him initially now with the T shirt directly castigating him.
        Trump lack of loyalty to Melania has
        Come home to roost a woman scorned!
        Trumps health is not as good as he makes out.
        It’s a very demanding job for a sane healthy person?

  4. Pat 4

    Theres every chance Trump will longer be with us come 2020…..Melania has probably already picked out a nice little number in black.

  5. Puckish Rogue 5

    Most people are generally turned off by Hollywood elites preaching especially when the unemployment rate is falling

    https://www.cnbc.com/2018/01/05/black-unemployment-rate-falls-to-record-low.html

    The Bureau of Labor Statistics reports 6.8 percent unemployment rate for black workers in December, the lowest in the 45 years the data has been tracked.

    https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/unemployment-rate

    The US unemployment rate fell to 3.8 percent in May 2018 from 3.9 percent in the previous month, and below market expectations of 3.9 percent. It was the lowest rate since April 2000, as the number of unemployed decreased by 281 thousand to 6.07 million and employment rose by 293 thousand to 155.47 million. Unemployment Rate in the United States averaged 5.78 percent from 1948 until 2018, reaching an all time high of 10.80 percent in November of 1982 and a record low of 2.50 percent in May of 1953.

  6. Chris T 6

    Wouldn’t be surprised to see him win again

    Especially if he flashes his Nobel peace prize around

  7. Draco T Bastard 7

    We should expect to see disruptive and extensive trade wars from the United States against the European Union and China. I’m not even daring to think about the vulnerability of a small trading nation such as ourselves at this prospect – it’s hard to imagine because we’ve never been anything except pro-trade and this degree of belligerent protectionism from the U.S. hasn’t been seen in living memory.

    For us we pretty much only have one choice and that is to stop being trade dependent.

    We should expect to see the United States mutate. It will aim to defeat tolerant and univeralist values such as those within the U.N. Declaration of Human Rights.

    That’s not a mutation – that’s been US policy since forever.

    Noam Chomsky: First, it is important to remember that the US does not accept the Universal Declaration of Human Rights — though in fact the UDHR was largely the initiative of Eleanor Roosevelt, who chaired the commission that drafted its articles, with quite broad international participation.

    The UDHR has three components, which are of equal status: civil-political, socioeconomic and cultural rights. The US formally accepts the first of the three, though it has often violated its provisions. The US pretty much disregards the third. And to the point here, the US has officially and strongly condemned the second component, socioeconomic rights, including Article 25.

    The rich do not believe in human rights – just the rights of property holders and the US is run by the rich.

    The remains of the left in politics – until they can form a leader or set of leaders who successfully challenge Trump – need to support the international cooperation, the institutions built on that cooperation, and the good that they have on balance achieved, against Donald Trump and all those who support him.

    Those institutions have failed. It’s doubtful that they ever truly worked – as the actions of the US since WWII show. We still had an effective empire in the way that the US rode roughshod over any and all international law at will and usually with the backing of other powerful countries.

    The solutions that we’re looking for don’t exist in the past. If they did they’d already exist and we wouldn’t need to be clinging on to the failed system of the past as you suggest we need to do.

    We need to find better solutions and, IMO, we need to start by being independent nations again rather than the inter-dependent nations that globalisation of the last century has brought about.

  8. marty mars 8

    He could do it – for Ivanka’s bid after him, thus dynasty creating, 4 horsemen trotting etc

    • Bill 8.1

      4 horsemen trotting etc

      Why?

      Have they lost their horses or something? And are they really trotting, or is that sound just the “clip clop” of coconut shells?

  9. Richard McGrath 9

    The Democrats will have a chance if they can pick someone without links to The Swamp and the Clinton/Kennedy crime families, who isn’t a Sanders-type LWNJ, is under 80 years old, is not a career trougher and has some business experience.

    • Wayne 9.1

      Joe Biden.
      It is now only 2 years to the selection of the next Democratic nominee. I would have expected two or three obvious front runners to emerge by now. They haven’t.
      Maybe a complete surprise, someone like Bill Clinton in 1991/92.

      • Richard McGrath 9.1.1

        Biden may yet stage a run, but he’ll be 78 in 2020. Elizabeth ‘Pocahantas’ Warren may also run, but will be relentlessly mocked by Trump over her claim to have American Indian ancestry and her refusal to undergo DNA testing to see whether she’s lying. Then there’s Nancy Pelosi, who sneered at the “crumbs” being thrown to American workers in the form of tax cuts – I’d love to see her run, but I suspect she’ll be dead by 2020.

      • Tricledrown 9.1.2

        Oprah Wayne.
        Trump continues to self destruct.

  10. Stuart Munro 10

    Michael Moore reckons Trump is doubling down on the baby snatching:

    “Flight from Houston that was scheduled to land at LaGuardia did not land and we were told was “rerouted” to Newark Airport. Online it says “rerouted.” Hundreds of protesters had shown up at LaGuardia. One final flight from Houston supposed to land at LGA in 15 minutes, Terminal C. People are here standing by. We learned a few hours ago that over 300 of these Trump-kidnapped children have already arrived in NYC and have been placed in foster homes, with some being held at an ICE-contracted facility in Harlem. The mayor also just found this out and is furious that they’ve been sent nearly 2,000 miles away from their parents. Don’t be fooled by Trump’s executive order on Wednesday. He has no intention of halting his master plan. The bill he’s going to try to get passed in the next few days has been called “the worst immigration bill in a century.” Of the children he’s already snatched, the White House said today they will NOT be reunited with their parents. Everyone— please do NOT halt the protests. We are fighting a sociopath and a liar.”

  11. Cemetery Jones 12

    Well, I can certainly say that when Peter Fonda made the hastily deleted tweet yesterday about wanting to respond to the scenes from the border by ripping Barron Trump from Melania’s arms and putting him in a cage full of pedos, I only wished I had twitter so I could have replied, “Oh yeah, got a few Hollywood mates who’d be keen for it, have you?”

    https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-44555828

    And I’m not even a full-fledged shitlord, let alone any kind of conservative. The increasingly shrill, deranged, and out of touch personal attacks on his family (Ivanka being called a ‘feckless cunt’ by a not-fired or even particularly widely criticised comedienne, etc.) from the people who are about to be going around trying to convince the electorate that nice people vote Democrat are an extreme exemplification of self-sabotage.

    DeNiro’s on-stage meltdown the other week suggests that the increasingly fervent petulance they are exhibiting will only get worse as the mid-terms approach, and will go into overdrive if, like the Mueller investigation, they don’t deliver what they hoped for. The American people might not re-elect Trump. But at this rate, Hollywood will.

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    New Zealand is said to be suffering from ‘serious populist discontent’. An IPSOS MORI survey has reported that we have an increasing preference for strong leaders, think that the economy is rigged toward the rich and powerful, and political elites are ignoring ‘hard-working people’.  The data is from February this ...
    Democracy ProjectBy bryce.edwards
    23 hours ago
  • Clearing up confusion (or trying to)
    Foreign Minister Winston Peters is understood to be planning a major speech within the next fortnight to clear up the confusion over whether or not New Zealand might join the AUKUS submarine project. So far, there have been conflicting signals from the Government. RNZ reported the Prime Minister yesterday in ...
    PolitikBy Richard Harman
    1 day ago
  • How to Retrieve Deleted Call Log iPhone Without Computer
    How to Retrieve Deleted Call Log on iPhone Without a Computer: A StepbyStep Guide Losing your iPhone call history can be frustrating, especially when you need to find a specific number or recall an important conversation. But before you panic, know that there are ways to retrieve deleted call logs on your iPhone, even without a computer. This guide will explore various methods, ranging from simple checks to utilizing iCloud backups and thirdparty applications. So, lets dive in and recover those lost calls! 1. Check Recently Deleted Folder: Apple understands that accidental deletions happen. Thats why they introduced the Recently Deleted folder for various apps, including the Phone app. This folder acts as a safety net, storing deleted call logs for up to 30 days before permanently erasing them. Heres how to check it: Open the Phone app on your iPhone. Tap on the Recents tab at the bottom. Scroll to the top and tap on Edit. Select Show Recently Deleted. Browse the list to find the call logs you want to recover. Tap on the desired call log and choose Recover to restore it to your call history. 2. Restore from iCloud Backup: If you regularly back up your iPhone to iCloud, you might be able to retrieve your deleted call log from a previous backup. However, keep in mind that this process will restore your entire phone to the state it was in at the time of the backup, potentially erasing any data added since then. Heres how to restore from an iCloud backup: Go to Settings > General > Reset. Choose Erase All Content and Settings. Follow the onscreen instructions. Your iPhone will restart and show the initial setup screen. Choose Restore from iCloud Backup during the setup process. Select the relevant backup that contains your deleted call log. Wait for the restoration process to complete. 3. Explore ThirdParty Apps (with Caution): ...
    1 day ago
  • How to Factory Reset iPhone without Computer: A Comprehensive Guide to Restoring your Device
    Life throws curveballs, and sometimes, those curveballs necessitate wiping your iPhone clean and starting anew. Whether you’re facing persistent software glitches, preparing to sell your device, or simply wanting a fresh start, knowing how to factory reset iPhone without a computer is a valuable skill. While using a computer with ...
    1 day ago
  • How to Call Someone on a Computer: A Guide to Voice and Video Communication in the Digital Age
    Gone are the days when communication was limited to landline phones and physical proximity. Today, computers have become powerful tools for connecting with people across the globe through voice and video calls. But with a plethora of applications and methods available, how to call someone on a computer might seem ...
    1 day ago
  • Skeptical Science New Research for Week #16 2024
    Open access notables Glacial isostatic adjustment reduces past and future Arctic subsea permafrost, Creel et al., Nature Communications: Sea-level rise submerges terrestrial permafrost in the Arctic, turning it into subsea permafrost. Subsea permafrost underlies ~ 1.8 million km2 of Arctic continental shelf, with thicknesses in places exceeding 700 m. Sea-level variations over glacial-interglacial cycles control ...
    1 day ago
  • Where on a Computer is the Operating System Generally Stored? Delving into the Digital Home of your ...
    The operating system (OS) is the heart and soul of a computer, orchestrating every action and interaction between hardware and software. But have you ever wondered where on a computer is the operating system generally stored? The answer lies in the intricate dance between hardware and software components, particularly within ...
    1 day ago
  • How Many Watts Does a Laptop Use? Understanding Power Consumption and Efficiency
    Laptops have become essential tools for work, entertainment, and communication, offering portability and functionality. However, with rising energy costs and growing environmental concerns, understanding a laptop’s power consumption is more important than ever. So, how many watts does a laptop use? The answer, unfortunately, isn’t straightforward. It depends on several ...
    1 day ago
  • How to Screen Record on a Dell Laptop A Guide to Capturing Your Screen with Ease
    Screen recording has become an essential tool for various purposes, such as creating tutorials, capturing gameplay footage, recording online meetings, or sharing information with others. Fortunately, Dell laptops offer several built-in and external options for screen recording, catering to different needs and preferences. This guide will explore various methods on ...
    1 day ago
  • How Much Does it Cost to Fix a Laptop Screen? Navigating Repair Options and Costs
    A cracked or damaged laptop screen can be a frustrating experience, impacting productivity and enjoyment. Fortunately, laptop screen repair is a common service offered by various repair shops and technicians. However, the cost of fixing a laptop screen can vary significantly depending on several factors. This article delves into the ...
    1 day ago
  • How Long Do Gaming Laptops Last? Demystifying Lifespan and Maximizing Longevity
    Gaming laptops represent a significant investment for passionate gamers, offering portability and powerful performance for immersive gaming experiences. However, a common concern among potential buyers is their lifespan. Unlike desktop PCs, which allow for easier component upgrades, gaming laptops have inherent limitations due to their compact and integrated design. This ...
    1 day ago
  • Climate Change: Turning the tide
    The annual inventory report of New Zealand's greenhouse gas emissions has been released, showing that gross emissions have dropped for the third year in a row, to 78.4 million tons: All-told gross emissions have decreased by over 6 million tons since the Zero Carbon Act was passed in 2019. ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 day ago
  • How to Unlock Your Computer A Comprehensive Guide to Regaining Access
    Experiencing a locked computer can be frustrating, especially when you need access to your files and applications urgently. The methods to unlock your computer will vary depending on the specific situation and the type of lock you encounter. This guide will explore various scenarios and provide step-by-step instructions on how ...
    2 days ago
  • Faxing from Your Computer A Modern Guide to Sending Documents Digitally
    While the world has largely transitioned to digital communication, faxing still holds relevance in certain industries and situations. Fortunately, gone are the days of bulky fax machines and dedicated phone lines. Today, you can easily send and receive faxes directly from your computer, offering a convenient and efficient way to ...
    2 days ago
  • Protecting Your Home Computer A Guide to Cyber Awareness
    In our increasingly digital world, home computers have become essential tools for work, communication, entertainment, and more. However, this increased reliance on technology also exposes us to various cyber threats. Understanding these threats and taking proactive steps to protect your home computer is crucial for safeguarding your personal information, finances, ...
    2 days ago
  • Server-Based Computing Powering the Modern Digital Landscape
    In the ever-evolving world of technology, server-based computing has emerged as a cornerstone of modern digital infrastructure. This article delves into the concept of server-based computing, exploring its various forms, benefits, challenges, and its impact on the way we work and interact with technology. Understanding Server-Based Computing: At its core, ...
    2 days ago
  • Vroom vroom go the big red trucks
    The absolute brass neck of this guy.We want more medical doctors, not more spin doctors, Luxon was saying a couple of weeks ago, and now we’re told the guy has seven salaried adults on TikTok duty. Sorry, doing social media. The absolute brass neck of it. The irony that the ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    2 days ago
  • Jones finds $410,000 to help the government muscle in on a spat project
    Buzz from the Beehive Oceans and Fisheries Minister Shane Jones relishes spatting and eagerly takes issue with environmentalists who criticise his enthusiasm for resource development. He relishes helping the fishing industry too. And so today, while the media are making much of the latest culling in the public service to ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    2 days ago
  • Again, hate crimes are not necessarily terrorism.
    Having written, taught and worked for the US government on issues involving unconventional warfare and terrorism for 30-odd years, two things irritate me the most when the subject is discussed in public. The first is the Johnny-come-lately academics-turned-media commentators who … Continue reading ...
    KiwipoliticoBy Pablo
    2 days ago
  • Despair – construction consenting edition
    Eric Crampton writes – Kainga Ora is the government’s house building agency. It’s been building a lot of social housing. Kainga Ora has its own (but independent) consenting authority, Consentium. It’s a neat idea. Rather than have to deal with building consents across each different territorial authority, Kainga Ora ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    2 days ago
  • Coalition promises – will the Govt keep the commitment to keep Kiwis equal before the law?
    Muriel Newman writes – The Coalition Government says it is moving with speed to deliver campaign promises and reverse the damage done by Labour. One of their key commitments is to “defend the principle that New Zealanders are equal before the law.” To achieve this, they have pledged they “will not advance ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    2 days ago
  • An impermanent public service is a guarantee of very little else but failure
    Chris Trotter writes –  The absence of anything resembling a fightback from the public servants currently losing their jobs is interesting. State-sector workers’ collective fatalism in the face of Coalition cutbacks indicates a surprisingly broad acceptance of impermanence in the workplace. Fifty years ago, lay-offs in the thousands ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    2 days ago
  • What happens after the war – Mariupol
    Mariupol, on the Azov Sea coast, was one of the first cities to suffer almost complete destruction after the start of the Ukraine War started in late February 2022. We remember the scenes of absolute destruction of the houses and city structures. The deaths of innocent civilians – many of ...
    2 days ago
  • Babies and benefits – no good news
    Lindsay Mitchell writes – Ten years ago, I wrote the following in a Listener column: Every year around one in five new-born babies will be reliant on their caregivers benefit by Christmas. This pattern has persisted from at least 1993. For Maori the number jumps to over one in three.  ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    2 days ago
  • Should the RBNZ be looking through climate inflation?
    Climate change is expected to generate more and more extreme events, delivering a sort of structural shock to inflation that central banks will have to react to as if they were short-term cyclical issues. Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāMy pick of the six newsey things to know from Aotearoa’s ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    2 days ago
  • Bernard's pick 'n' mix of the news links
    The top six news links I’ve seen elsewhere in the last 24 hours, as of 9:16 am on Thursday, April 18 are:Housing: Tauranga residents living in boats, vans RNZ Checkpoint Louise TernouthHousing: Waikato councillor says wastewater plant issues could hold up Sleepyhead building a massive company town Waikato Times Stephen ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    2 days ago
  • Gordon Campbell on the public sector carnage, and misogyny as terrorism
    It’s a simple deal. We pay taxes in order to finance the social services we want and need. The carnage now occurring across the public sector though, is breaking that contract. Over 3,000 jobs have been lost so far. Many are in crucial areas like Education where the impact of ...
    2 days ago
  • Meeting the Master Baiters
    Hi,A friend had their 40th over the weekend and decided to theme it after Curb Your Enthusiasm fashion icon Susie Greene. Captured in my tiny kitchen before I left the house, I ending up evoking a mix of old lesbian and Hillary Clinton — both unintentional.Me vs Hillary ClintonIf you’re ...
    David FarrierBy David Farrier
    2 days ago
  • How extreme was the Earth's temperature in 2023
    This is a re-post from Andrew Dessler at the Climate Brink blog In 2023, the Earth reached temperature levels unprecedented in modern times. Given that, it’s reasonable to ask: What’s going on? There’s been lots of discussions by scientists about whether this is just the normal progression of global warming or if something ...
    2 days ago
  • Backbone, revisited
    The schools are on holiday and the sun is shining in the seaside village and all day long I have been seeing bunches of bikes; Mums, Dads, teens and toddlers chattering, laughing, happy, having a bloody great time together. Cheers, AT, for the bits of lane you’ve added lately around the ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    3 days ago
  • Ministers are not above the law
    Today in our National-led authoritarian nightmare: Shane Jones thinks Ministers should be above the law: New Zealand First MP Shane Jones is accusing the Waitangi Tribunal of over-stepping its mandate by subpoenaing a minister for its urgent hearing on the Oranga Tamariki claim. The tribunal is looking into the ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    3 days ago
  • What’s the outfit you can hear going down the gurgler? Probably it’s David Parker’s Oceans Sec...
    Buzz from the Beehive Point  of Order first heard of the Oceans Secretariat in June 2021, when David Parker (remember him?) announced a multi-agency approach to protecting New Zealand’s marine ecosystems and fisheries. Parker (holding the Environment, and Oceans and Fisheries portfolios) broke the news at the annual Forest & ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    3 days ago
  • Will politicians let democracy die in the darkness?
    Bryce Edwards writes  – Politicians across the political spectrum are implicated in the New Zealand media’s failing health. Either through neglect or incompetent interventions, successive governments have failed to regulate, foster, and allow a healthy Fourth Estate that can adequately hold politicians and the powerful to account. ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    3 days ago
  • Matt Doocey doubles down on trans “healthcare”
    Citizen Science writes –  Last week saw two significant developments in the debate over the treatment of trans-identifying children and young people – the release in Britain of the final report of Dr Hilary Cass’s review into gender healthcare, and here in New Zealand, the news that the ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    3 days ago
  • A TikTok Prime Minister.
    One night while sleeping in my bed I had a beautiful dreamThat all the people of the world got together on the same wavelengthAnd began helping one anotherNow in this dream, universal love was the theme of the dayPeace and understanding and it happened this wayAfter such an eventful day ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    3 days ago
  • Texas Lessons
    This is a guest post by Oscar Simms who is a housing activist, volunteer for the Coalition for More Homes, and was the Labour Party candidate for Auckland Central at the last election. ...
    Greater AucklandBy Guest Post
    3 days ago
  • Bernard's pick 'n' mix of the news links at 6:06 am
    The top six news links I’ve seen elsewhere in the last 24 hours as of 6:06 am on Wednesday, April 17 are:Must read: Secrecy shrouds which projects might be fast-tracked RNZ Farah HancockScoop: Revealed: Luxon has seven staffers working on social media content - partly paid for by taxpayer Newshub ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    3 days ago
  • Fighting poverty on the holiday highway
    Turning what Labour called the “holiday highway” into a four-lane expressway from Auckland to Whangarei could bring at least an economic benefit of nearly two billion a year for Northland each year. And it could help bring an end to poverty in one of New Zealand’s most deprived regions. The ...
    PolitikBy Richard Harman
    3 days ago
  • Bernard's six-stack of substacks at 6:26 pm
    Tonight’s six-stack includes: launching his substack with a bunch of his previous documentaries, including this 1992 interview with Dame Whina Cooper. and here crew give climate activists plenty to do, including this call to submit against the Fast Track Approvals bill. writes brilliantly here on his substack ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    3 days ago
  • At a glance – Is the science settled?
    On February 14, 2023 we announced our Rebuttal Update Project. This included an ask for feedback about the added "At a glance" section in the updated basic rebuttal versions. This weekly blog post series highlights this new section of one of the updated basic rebuttal versions and serves as a ...
    3 days ago
  • Apposite Quotations.
    How Long Is Long Enough? Gaza under Israeli bombardment, July 2014. This posting is exclusive to Bowalley Road. ...
    4 days ago
  • What’s a life worth now?
    You're in the mall when you hear it: some kind of popping sound in the distance, kids with fireworks, maybe. But then a moment of eerie stillness is followed by more of the fireworks sound and there’s also screaming and shrieking and now here come people running for their lives.Does ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    4 days ago
  • Howling at the Moon
    Karl du Fresne writes –  There’s a crisis in the news media and the media are blaming it on everyone except themselves. Culpability is being deflected elsewhere – mainly to the hapless Minister of Communications, Melissa Lee, and the big social media platforms that are accused of hoovering ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    4 days ago
  • Newshub is Dead.
    I don’t normally send out two newsletters in a day but I figured I’d say something about… the news. If two newsletters is a bit much then maybe just skip one, I don’t want to overload people. Alternatively if you’d be interested in sometimes receiving multiple, smaller updates from me, ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    4 days ago
  • Seymour is chuffed about cutting early-learning red tape – but we hear, too, that Jones has loose...
    Buzz from the Beehive David Seymour and Winston Peters today signalled that at least two ministers of the Crown might be in Wellington today. Seymour (as Associate Minister of Education) announced the removal of more red tape, this time to make it easier for new early learning services to be ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    4 days ago
  • Bryce Edwards: Will politicians let democracy die in the darkness?
    Politicians across the political spectrum are implicated in the New Zealand media’s failing health. Either through neglect or incompetent interventions, successive governments have failed to regulate, foster, and allow a healthy Fourth Estate that can adequately hold politicians and the powerful to account. Our political system is suffering from the ...
    Democracy ProjectBy bryce.edwards
    4 days ago
  • Was Hawkesby entirely wrong?
    David Farrar  writes –  The Broadcasting Standards Authority ruled: Comments by radio host Kate Hawkesby suggesting Māori and Pacific patients were being prioritised for surgery due to their ethnicity were misleading and discriminatory, the Broadcasting Standards Authority has found. It is a fact such patients are prioritised. ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    4 days ago
  • PRC shadow looms as the Solomons head for election
    PRC and its proxies in Solomons have been preparing for these elections for a long time. A lot of money, effort and intelligence have gone into ensuring an outcome that won’t compromise Beijing’s plans. Cleo Paskall writes – On April 17th the Solomon Islands, a country of ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    4 days ago
  • Climate Change: Criminal ecocide
    We are in the middle of a climate crisis. Last year was (again) the hottest year on record. NOAA has just announced another global coral bleaching event. Floods are threatening UK food security. So naturally, Shane Jones wants to make it easier to mine coal: Resources Minister Shane Jones ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    4 days ago
  • Is saving one minute of a politician's time worth nearly $1 billion?
    Is speeding up the trip to and from Wellington airport by 12 minutes worth spending up more than $10 billion? Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāTL;DR: The six news items that stood out to me in the last day to 8:26 am today are:The Lead: Transport Minister Simeon Brown announced ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    4 days ago
  • Long Tunnel or Long Con?
    Yesterday it was revealed that Transport Minister had asked Waka Kotahi to look at the options for a long tunnel through Wellington. State Highway 1 (SH1) through Wellington City is heavily congested at peak times and while planning continues on the duplicate Mt Victoria Tunnel and Basin Reserve project, the ...
    4 days ago
  • Smoke And Mirrors.
    You're a fraud, and you know itBut it's too good to throw it all awayAnyone would do the sameYou've got 'em goingAnd you're careful not to show itSometimes you even fool yourself a bitIt's like magicBut it's always been a smoke and mirrors gameAnyone would do the sameForty six billion ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    4 days ago

  • $41m to support clean energy in South East Asia
    New Zealand is demonstrating its commitment to reducing global greenhouse emissions, and supporting clean energy transition in South East Asia, through a contribution of NZ$41 million (US$25 million) in climate finance to the Asian Development Bank (ADB)-led Energy Transition Mechanism (ETM). Prime Minister Christopher Luxon and Climate Change Minister Simon Watts announced ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    14 hours ago
  • Minister releases Fast-track stakeholder list
    The Government is today releasing a list of organisations who received letters about the Fast-track applications process, says RMA Reform Minister Chris Bishop. “Recently Ministers and agencies have received a series of OIA requests for a list of organisations to whom I wrote with information on applying to have a ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    16 hours ago
  • Judicial appointments announced
    Attorney-General Judith Collins today announced the appointment of Wellington Barrister David Jonathan Boldt as a Judge of the High Court, and the Honourable Justice Matthew Palmer as a Judge of the Court of Appeal. Justice Boldt graduated with an LLB from Victoria University of Wellington in 1990, and also holds ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    16 hours ago
  • Education Minister heads to major teaching summit in Singapore
    Education Minister Erica Stanford will lead the New Zealand delegation at the 2024 International Summit on the Teaching Profession (ISTP) held in Singapore. The delegation includes representatives from the Post Primary Teachers’ Association (PPTA) Te Wehengarua and the New Zealand Educational Institute (NZEI) Te Riu Roa.  The summit is co-hosted ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    17 hours ago
  • Value of stopbank project proven during cyclone
    A stopbank upgrade project in Tairawhiti partly funded by the Government has increased flood resilience for around 7000ha of residential and horticultural land so far, Regional Development Minister Shane Jones says. Mr Jones today attended a dawn service in Gisborne to mark the end of the first stage of the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    17 hours ago
  • Anzac commemorations, Türkiye relationship focus of visit
    Foreign Affairs Minister Winston Peters will represent the Government at Anzac Day commemorations on the Gallipoli Peninsula next week and engage with senior representatives of the Turkish government in Istanbul.    “The Gallipoli campaign is a defining event in our history. It will be a privilege to share the occasion ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    18 hours ago
  • Minister to Europe for OECD meeting, Anzac Day
    Science, Innovation and Technology and Defence Minister Judith Collins will next week attend the OECD Science and Technology Ministerial conference in Paris and Anzac Day commemorations in Belgium. “Science, innovation and technology have a major role to play in rebuilding our economy and achieving better health, environmental and social outcomes ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    20 hours ago
  • Comprehensive Partnership the goal for NZ and the Philippines
    Prime Minister Christopher Luxon held a bilateral meeting today with the President of the Philippines, Ferdinand Marcos Jr.  The Prime Minister was accompanied by MP Paulo Garcia, the first Filipino to be elected to a legislature outside the Philippines. During today’s meeting, Prime Minister Luxon and President Marcos Jr discussed opportunities to ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • Government commits $20m to Westport flood protection
    The Government has announced that $20 million in funding will be made available to Westport to fund much needed flood protection around the town. This measure will significantly improve the resilience of the community, says Local Government Minister Simeon Brown. “The Westport community has already been allocated almost $3 million ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Taupō takes pole position
    The Government is proud to support the first ever Repco Supercars Championship event in Taupō as up to 70,000 motorsport fans attend the Taupō International Motorsport Park this weekend, says Economic Development Minister Melissa Lee. “Anticipation for the ITM Taupō Super400 is huge, with tickets and accommodation selling out weeks ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Cost of living support for low-income homeowners
    Local Government Minister Simeon Brown has announced an increase to the Rates Rebate Scheme, putting money back into the pockets of low-income homeowners.  “The coalition Government is committed to bringing down the cost of living for New Zealanders. That includes targeted support for those Kiwis who are doing things tough, such ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Government backing mussel spat project
    The Coalition Government is investing in a project to boost survival rates of New Zealand mussels and grow the industry, Oceans and Fisheries Minister Shane Jones has announced. “This project seeks to increase the resilience of our mussels and significantly boost the sector’s productivity,” Mr Jones says. “The project - ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Government focused on getting people into work
    Benefit figures released today underscore the importance of the Government’s plan to rebuild the economy and have 50,000 fewer people on Jobseeker Support, Social Development and Employment Minister Louise Upston says. “Benefit numbers are still significantly higher than when National was last in government, when there was about 70,000 fewer ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Clean energy key driver to reducing emissions
    The Government’s commitment to doubling New Zealand’s renewable energy capacity is backed by new data showing that clean energy has helped the country reach its lowest annual gross emissions since 1999, Climate Change Minister Simon Watts says. New Zealand’s latest Greenhouse Gas Inventory (1990-2022) published today, shows gross emissions fell ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Earthquake-prone buildings review brought forward
    The Government is bringing the earthquake-prone building review forward, with work to start immediately, and extending the deadline for remediations by four years, Building and Construction Minister Chris Penk says. “Our Government is focused on rebuilding the economy. A key part of our plan is to cut red tape that ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Thailand and NZ to agree to Strategic Partnership
    Prime Minister Christopher Luxon and his Thai counterpart, Prime Minister Srettha Thavisin, have today agreed that New Zealand and the Kingdom of Thailand will upgrade the bilateral relationship to a Strategic Partnership by 2026. “New Zealand and Thailand have a lot to offer each other. We have a strong mutual desire to build ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Government consults on extending coastal permits for ports
    RMA Reform Minister Chris Bishop and Transport Minister Simeon Brown have today announced the Coalition Government’s intention to extend port coastal permits for a further 20 years, providing port operators with certainty to continue their operations. “The introduction of the Resource Management Act in 1991 required ports to obtain coastal ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Inflation coming down, but more work to do
    Today’s announcement that inflation is down to 4 per cent is encouraging news for Kiwis, but there is more work to be done - underlining the importance of the Government’s plan to get the economy back on track, acting Finance Minister Chris Bishop says. “Inflation is now at 4 per ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • School attendance restored as a priority in health advice
    Refreshed health guidance released today will help parents and schools make informed decisions about whether their child needs to be in school, addressing one of the key issues affecting school attendance, says Associate Education Minister David Seymour. In recent years, consistently across all school terms, short-term illness or medical reasons ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Unnecessary bureaucracy cut in oceans sector
    Oceans and Fisheries Minister Shane Jones is streamlining high-level oceans management while maintaining a focus on supporting the sector’s role in the export-led recovery of the economy. “I am working to realise the untapped potential of our fishing and aquaculture sector. To achieve that we need to be smarter with ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Patterson promoting NZ’s wool sector at International Congress
    Associate Agriculture Minister Mark Patterson is speaking at the International Wool Textile Organisation Congress in Adelaide, promoting New Zealand wool, and outlining the coalition Government’s support for the revitalisation the sector.    "New Zealand’s wool exports reached $400 million in the year to 30 June 2023, and the coalition Government ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Removing red tape to help early learners thrive
    The Government is making legislative changes to make it easier for new early learning services to be established, and for existing services to operate, Associate Education Minister David Seymour says. The changes involve repealing the network approval provisions that apply when someone wants to establish a new early learning service, ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • RMA changes to cut coal mining consent red tape
    Changes to the Resource Management Act will align consenting for coal mining to other forms of mining to reduce barriers that are holding back economic development, Resources Minister Shane Jones says. “The inconsistent treatment of coal mining compared with other extractive activities is burdensome red tape that fails to acknowledge ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • McClay reaffirms strong NZ-China trade relationship
    Trade, Agriculture and Forestry Minister Todd McClay has concluded productive discussions with ministerial counterparts in Beijing today, in support of the New Zealand-China trade and economic relationship. “My meeting with Commerce Minister Wang Wentao reaffirmed the complementary nature of the bilateral trade relationship, with our Free Trade Agreement at its ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
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  • Prime Minister Luxon acknowledges legacy of Singapore Prime Minister Lee
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