John Armstrong, Tracy Watkins, and Fran O’Sullivan all write today about National’s plunging polls and the growing likelihood that this will be the first two-term National government. They take different approaches – Armstrong: there’s nothing for Key to worry about, Watkins: there was a problem but the tide’s turning back, O’Sullivan: yeah, Key’s fucked.
The fact that they’re all talking about it gives the game away. As the polls continue to show a Labour-Greens win, and more of the Nats’ deadwood is retired in preparation for a reduction in their number of MPs, expect more such punditry.
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