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UK’s hung parliament?

Written By: - Date published: 7:06 am, June 1st, 2017 - 131 comments
Categories: uk politics - Tags: , ,

Remember First Past the Post? The UK election has largely been reported on the total percentage of people wanting to vote for various parties. But in the election itself, the only vote Brits get is for their local candidate, they don’t get to vote for the party. The party with the most candidates wins, not the party with the biggest national percentage. Where no party has an outright majority (i.e. more than 50% of the total seats), parties can form coalitions. So I haven’t really understood why the pre-election coverage focusses on national polling rather than electorate polling (anyone?).

Major market research firm Yougov have just released their electorate by electorate analysis results 9 days out from the General Election and it shows that on current voter intentions there would likely be a hung parliament.

YouGov projection for The Times predicts Tories will be 16 seats short of a majority, leading to hung parliament

From The Times (registration required for full article, 2 reads per week)

The Conservative Party could be in line to lose 20 seats and Labour gain nearly 30 in next week’s general election, according to new modelling by one of the country’s leading pollsters.

YouGov’s first constituency-by- constituency estimate of the election result predicts that the Tories would fall short of an overall majority by 16 seats, leading to a hung parliament.

The central projection of the model, which allows for a wide margin of error, would be a catastrophic outcome for Theresa May, who called the election when polls pointed to a landslide result. Her support appears to have plunged after the poor reception of the party manifesto, including plans to make more elderly voters pay for home care.

YouGov’s model puts the Tories on course to win 310 seats, down from the 330 they held when the election was called. Labour would get 257 seats, up from 229, the Liberal Democrats ten, up from nine, the SNP 50, down from 54, the Greens one and Plaid Cymru three. This would leave the Tories 16 seats short of the 326 they need for an overall majority in the Commons.

The projection allows for big variations, however, and suggests that the Tories could get as many as 345 seats on a good night, 15 more than at present, and as few as 274 seats on a bad night.

YouGov acknowledged that the predictions were controversial and pointed to significant “churn” in voting intentions. But Stephan Shakespeare, its chief executive, said that the model had been publicly tested during the EU referendum campaign last year, when it always had Leave ahead.

The model is based on 50,000 interviews over the course of a week, with voters from a panel brought together by YouGov. This allows the pollster to assess the intention of every type of voter, from where they live to how they voted in the EU referendum, their age and social background, to weight the results.

I don’t know enough about UK politics but I’m guessing that a potential Labour government could be made up from Labour, Scottish National Party, Liberal Democrats, and Plaid Cymru. I don’t know how the Northern Ireland seats fit into that.

Some brief commentary from Sam Coates The Times’ reporter,

Reliable commenter Martin Baxter from Electoral Calculus still predicts a comfortable win for the Conservatives, but also commends Yougov for their new research methods, acknowledges they might be right, and gives a brief explanation.

Whatever happens on June 8th, Corbyn has proved that the electorate is interested social democratic policies and governance. The Tories’ supposed landslide has been reduce to at best a bit of a rockfall, and is potentially disastrous given they had another 3 years to govern before the next mandatory election and instead chose a mid term snap election based on opinion polls.

Maybe it also had something to do with the sentiment of this music video which topped the UK iTunes charts this week,

 

131 comments on “UK’s hung parliament?”

  1. tc 1

    Interesting times, unlike here there’s still remnants of independent media in the U.K. and a massively pissed off middle/lower class who see Maggie v2.0 in May.

    Trust the Tories is a hard sell after johnsons brexit behaviour.

  2. Carolyn_nth 2

    Conservatives on Twitter calling the left a “coalition of chaos” – and getting a bollocking for it. The replies are fun.

    Conservatives @Conservatives tweeted:

    More taxes, higher immigration, and a Brexit shambles – tonight has made it clear what a coalition of chaos would look like #BBCDebate

    • weka 2.1

      Do you have a link to the full debate? All I’m getting is analysis.

      • Carolyn_nth 2.1.1

        I don’t think the video is available outside the UK.

        Oh, parts of it seem to be on youtube.

        And in 4 parts.

        • weka 2.1.1.1

          Thanks!

        • ianmac 2.1.1.2

          Thanks for the link Carolyn. I watched the 90 minutes in its two parts. Fascinating. Don’t know how the audience was chosen but there seemed to be strong support for the Socialist/Left ideas and ridicule for the Conservatives and scorn heaped on the absent Theresa May.
          A very interesting election and the venom being poured on Jeremy from Conservatives suggest that he has them very worried.

  3. ianmac 3

    Who will create a delicious song like “Liar, Liar, Liar” for us?

    • The decrypter 3.1

      Joyce could probably supply a “pretty legal” copy ianmac.

    • weka 3.2

      any luck Darren Watson will be on the case.

    • saveNZ 3.3

      Can you imagine Liar liar with Key, it would have to be an album because it could not fit on a single.

      I’m sure double dipping, pizza innovater and fitness ‘walk/run’ vids can show the mediocre, characterless, bean counting bore that the Natz are trying to pass off as an Prime Minister who as finance minister has managed to plunge 35% of the country into poverty while giving away free water to foreign billionaires and that’s not even getting into the escalating debt… Dick Smith, Cadbury, Silver Ferns farms, PSA virus, not exactly been good for jobs, just selling off public and private companies cheap and then allowing the new owners to asset strip and close down factories, offshore jobs etc….

      • WILD KATIPO 3.3.1

        ‘ I’m sure double dipping, pizza innovater and fitness ‘walk/run’ vids can show the mediocre, characterless, bean counting bore that the Natz are trying to pass off as an Prime Minister ‘

        HAHAHAA – maybe I’m in a jocular mood today but some of these comments are striking me as quite humorous .

        🙂

      • weka 3.3.2

        Lol, the Key Album.

        Blinglish is tricky because he’s bland. Go for the Nats as a whole, the nasty party (cue Bennett and Collins).

        • gsays 3.3.2.1

          you are forgetting the rest of the right horrible mob.
          rimmer, yes no yes no Dunne and our caramel cousins in the maori party.

          plenty of material for a rock opera.

          • weka 3.3.2.1.1

            I don’t know whether to laugh or cringe at the idea of a pointed anti-RW rock opera 💡

    • adam 3.4

      Like planet key, it will get banned by the electoral commission. The corrupt little hand puppets of the national party.

      • saveNZ 3.4.1

        Nope, didn’t planet Key, win in court. I think freedom of speech still ok?

        • dukeofurl 3.4.1.1

          At first it was banned, not till long after the election was that idiocy removed

          • WILD KATIPO 3.4.1.1.1

            You are quite correct – and typical of this gutless govt to defer, deflect and diffuse by hiding embarrassing critiques of their feckless dishonesty’s.

            • weka 3.4.1.1.1.1

              National didn’t ban it.

              And yes, Darren Watson eventually won, so presumably that sets a precedent for this year.

              • There was a stink with the Electoral Commission or something similar if I recall, … and also a few implications from certain corners of ‘ stoogery ‘ going on, which , after years and years of equally as obvious but not provable ‘ stoogery ‘ under Keys National govt led many to suspect there was a few phone calls being made to get the video off the airways.

  4. mikesh 4

    Looks like SNP would be kingmakers. What price would they demand? Scottish indpendence? A new brexit referendum?

    • weka 4.1

      I wouldn’t call the SNP kingmakers because there is no way in hell they would go with the Conservatives. Libdems on the other hand, have gone into a coalition with the Conservatives and got hammered after hence their low polling. So I’m assuming they wold support Labour this time, but who knows.

      • Bill 4.1.1

        The Democratic Unionist Party of N. Ireland currently has 8 MPs at Westminster. I’ve no idea what they’re currently polling. They’re hard core, protestant throw backs and somewhat natural bed fellows of the Tories.

        BREXIT complicates their allegiance somewhat

        • weka 4.1.1.1

          Yougov has NI with 18 seats spread out over a number of parties I think, but I didn’t understand who all the parties were.

      • Yeah, it’s virtually criminal how much the UK media has been ignoring Northern Ireland in the run-up to the snap election. The winners of those seats could absolutely determine who governs, especially if there’s a strong showing for DUP and the conservatives don’t get an outright majority, but do win enough that Labour can’t effectively govern.

  5. james 5

    Its really interesting poll result.

    Time will tell if they are right or not – but despite corbyn (imho) being a walking disaster, he seems to be doing a lot (and I mean a lot) better than a lot of the experts predicted, and I most certianly was waaaaay out in where I thought he would be now.

    In fact I think I said he would be the death of the labour party. Seems I might have gotten that one significantly wrong.

    I guess we will find out next week.

    • The decrypter 5.1

      james. Ya can’t win em all is what I say.

    • Adrian Thornton 5.2

      In what way would you say he is a walking disaster for Labour UK?

      • WILD KATIPO 5.2.1

        I would say Corbyn is walking the UK into a new era of reevaluation of political and social reform, if anything.

        And its his growing popularity that is scaring the pants off those who prematurely thought he was a has been – particularly the neo liberal camp.

    • While imagine you’re being philosophical because of your political leanings rather than as a good approach to polling in general, you’re quite correct that it’s difficult to tell whether this is a better methodology than traditional polling in the UK. (my guess is that it is much more reliable, but we’ll see at the general election. We would really have needed a few of these sorts of polls run over a periods of months to get a better idea, but if Corbyn wins I predict this model will be seeing a lot more use!)

      I’ve actually been waiting to see if the coin would turn on Corbyn. While he’s not a very rah-rah my Party Will Win type of leader, he’s actually a very good listener who really cares about making things better for the average person, and has left-wing credibility like Bernie Sanders. The left haven’t really had a place to go to vote in a while in the UK elections, so it’s genuinely possible that if he doesn’t alienate the swing voters too hard, but does push hard to his base at the same time, that he could simply win by turning out disenfranchised left-wing voters. The hard part is that he would have to do it with a significant faction of his party hoping he fails, and with a significant amount of those left-wing voters not wanting to support his opponents within his own party.

      Right now, I’m calling a narrow Conservative win, possibly even relying on DUP and the LibDems to get into government, which would remove their margin for a hard brexit they wanted to argue they had a “mandate” for.

      • weka 5.3.1

        Have the Libdems said if they will do what they did last time, in supporting whichever party gets the most seats (or votes)?

      • weka 5.3.2

        “The hard part is that he would have to do it with a significant faction of his party hoping he fails, and with a significant amount of those left-wing voters not wanting to support his opponents within his own party.”

        Hadn’t thought about that. So people voting in electorates that have anti-Corbyn Labour candidates, and not wanting to vote for them because they support Corbyn? Crikey.

        • Yep, UK Labour essentially has a Momentum wing, (ie. real leftists and other Corbyn supporters) and an establishment wing, and they’re basically a coalition of two parties in how far the two factions are apart. (I often say that thinking of National as two different parties (one of primarily right-wing candidates with some right-wing liberals thrown in, and one of conservative right-wingers) is helpful in understanding the NZ right wing, but UK Labour has taken that situation to a whole new level)

          So establishment Labour is going hard for the centre, being skeptical of Corbyn, and essentially playing to lose but lose small. Momentum Labour is trying to win by going a populist left-wing route with real criticisms of tory policy, and polling is indicating that it’s actually working, despite what prominent anti-Corbyn naysayers have been claiming about his electability, it’s always the way with left-wing figures that they become much more popular in the campaign than they are at the start.

          So some of the old guard that back Corbyn will get a new constituency of voters, as will the new guard that came in after the leadership election. But a lot of the seats are old guard establishment Labour, and in those cases it will be really interesting to see what happens- I suspect the Lib Dems will do better than establishment candidates in areas where Remain did well, and that establishment Labour will do better in areas where Brexit did well, but of course it’s always more complicated and more about personality, charisma, and campaigning for electorates, so we’ll need to wait and see if that trend eventuates. As for the new guard, I’m honestly not sure where they’ll do well, England is actually pretty conservative, and Scottish Labour is going to have a hard time unseating the SNP, so I suspect their chances are more down to their own campaigning ability than the vagarities of the electorate’s mood for certain large-level policy concerns. (as a lot of the reason that England has been so conservative is that they’ve had centrist Labour, centrist LibDems, and right-wing Conservatives to choose from, so there’s a certain appeal to picking a real Tory over a triangulator)

          Basically, we’re in a similar scenario for UK Labour to what NZ Labour would have been in if Cunliffe hadn’t stepped down after the last General Election. The Party really likes Corbyn and nobody will win without the support of the new Momentum bloc from here on in, but much of the senior caucus members hate him and are causing strife within the party now that it’s clear they’ve lost control. A lot of it is simply going to come down to how strongly Corbyn’s ideas connect and manage to turn out voters for Labour. If they get a lot of new voters or swing a lot of centrists, Momentum will likely take over the party in the long term and the government will change, and will probably go for a soft Brexit in coalition with the SNP. But if Labour lose, it could go very badly for Corbyn, even if it’s closer than expected.

          • weka 5.3.2.1.1

            If Corbyn wins and gets new voters, what will happen to the establishment in Labour. He’s offered them jobs and they’ve turned him down, right? So he will lead with the backstabbers on the backbencher still backstabbing?

            • Matthew Whitehead 5.3.2.1.1.1

              He doesn’t have a choice unless their local committees de-select them next election, so yes, they’ll get to be back-benchers.

              • weka

                Can the party censure MPs?

                • I honestly don’t know.

                  Obviously they can unofficially do so if they don’t have any official power in the bylaws anyway, the issue is whether it would make any difference.

                  I expect things would change in that regard if Corbyn is Prime Minister rather than leader of the opposition, and that there will be some desire to work together constructively, and you know, deliver things to their districts so that they don’t get de-selected.

    • One Anonymous Bloke 5.4

      Eight days out, momentum becomes an issue, too. If it’s a high turn-out election I’d say there’ll be a change of government.

      Wishful thinking is a wonderful thing 🙂

  6. outofbed 6

    So if the parliamentary wing of the Labour party in the UK hadn’t been so fucking disruptive and anti Corbyn, how far in front would they be now ?

    • weka 6.1

      Yep. Which suggests that it’s not a two way battle between the old left and right, but a three way battle between conservatives, lefties and neoliberals, with overlap between them all.

      • Adrian Thornton 6.1.1

        I think the UK conservatives are just as infiltrated and captured by the neoliberal ideology as UK Labour had been (and Labour NZ still is), so I would say it really just a battle of two ideologies that is being played out, any overlap is really a side issue at this stage (in my view).

        Neoliberalism in Britain: From Thatcherism to Cameronism…
        http://www.triple-c.at/index.php/tripleC/article/view/750/795

        I am living for the day when we can participate in that same battle here…it’s coming that much is for sure.

        • weka 6.1.1.1

          still makes it threeway not two-way, and that’s the stuff that creates political confusion. If Corbyn does nothing else, making that shit visible is a huge service.

          Conservative
          Neoliberal
          Social democrat.

          And that can’t be understood on a line. For too long it’s been Conservative neoliberal vs Centre left neoliberal. It’s not enough to take the neoliberal out, we actually have to replace the centre left with something that has its own identity.

          • Adrian Thornton 6.1.1.1.1

            JC has always maintained publicly that he is proudly Socialist, so assume Labour UK is essentially running on a Socialist platform?
            So if it is a three way battle ( I think it is a two) wouldn’t that be..
            Conservative
            Neoliberal
            Socialist.

            Not that it really matters…we both know we like what he stands for, and that’s what is important.

            • weka 6.1.1.1.1.1

              Socialist/social democrat, a bit too subtle for me sorry.

              • McFlock

                Even more subtle is the distinction between “democratic socialists” and “social democrats” 🙂

                My understanding is that when you’re getting to that level the distinction is mostly in how much government ownership there is:

                Social democrats believe in things like the welfare state, reductions in inequality, healthcare, and representative democracy.

                Socialists are more concerned with the means of production being commonly owned to greater or lesser degrees, alongside social welfare and inequality.

                Democratic socialists overlay that with a representative democracy rather than eg a ruling council that is promoted on merit, or the other direction of more local communalism (as opposed to communism, which is 100% state ownership).

                And, in the great tradition that is still maintained here at TS, the most vicious fighting and dirty tricks committed by left wing groups in periods of change were mostly aimed within the clump of leftist groups whom nobody else could tell apart, rather than aimed at the tories or fascists.

                Hope that’s all as clear as mud 🙂

                • weka

                  That’s great. I actually like learning that stuff outside of the Pythonesque wars.

              • Bill

                Both social democracy and liberalism are concerned with how best to manage a capitalist market economy.

                Socialism isn’t.

                If social democracy becomes ascendant, it must not be allowed to ‘bed in’. If it is (and putting AGW aside) we’ll just wind up right back *here* eventually.

                Put AGW back into the picture, and we don’t wind up back *here*, but in a world dominated by calamity and abject misery.

                • McFlock

                  Thing is, I reckon we’ll always end up here again (or a bit worse, or a bit better), regardless.

                  I never really bought the idea that once we hit peak socialism everything would be better forever. Humanity’s ability to snatch itself out of the fire at the last minute is matched only by its ability to fuck up a good thing.

                  • Bill

                    Don’t know what you mean by ‘peak socialism’. There is either socialism or there isn’t. The idea that socialism could be delivered through parliament (social democracy) was ridiculed by more than just a few socialists at the time it was first mooted.

                    But sure, Labour Parties formed anyway and eventually got voted into power (did some very worthy things too). That alongside the idiocy of Leninist ‘communist’ parties forming and working to infiltrate Labour Parties with the idea of ‘capturing the state’ led to socialists being marginalised for a long, long time.

                    Hopefully, we’ll be seeing things coming to a head over the next few years and socialism coming in from the cold at last. It has to if we’re going to have any chance of extricating ourselves from this mess we’re in.

                    • weka

                      Leaving aside how things get organised for a moment, there’s alway the issue of how you get everyone to believe roughly the same thing i.e. that socialism is desirable.

                    • One Anonymous Bloke

                      there’s alway the issue of how you get everyone to believe roughly the same thing

                      Yeah.

                      Good luck with that.

                      That said, in a sense you’re describing the Overton Window.

                      And that said, we know from complex system analysis that major changes are often preceded by a lengthy period of apparent stasis.

                    • McFlock

                      Overton window: the range of ideas the public will accept.

                      Sort of the problem, but not in the “people will never accept it” way. Even in a socialist society, a certain percentage of the people will support capitalism: the overton window will be too wide. So in a democratic system, capitalists will always have a chance to gain power again. In a non-democratic system, capitalists will be driven underground as a rot.

                      Either way, even a socialist society is doomed to eventually repeat the problems of the past, including falling for neoliberalism again.

                    • weka

                      What’s lengthy in that situation OAB?

                      I was thinking about what McFlock had said, about swinging back and forth. Unless everyone wants socialism I can’t see how that wouldn’t happen. And I can’t see how to make everyone want socialism, unless we devolve to small groups where socialism becomes naturally more attractive. Even then it’s likely that some of those groups will remain a dominating system because that’s how most of us are socialised, and then we have to protect ourselves, and now we’re back at the dawn of civilisation starting all over again with that shit.

                      Douglas Adams had right, it was a mistake coming down from the trees in the first place 😉

                    • Bill

                      the issue of how you get everyone to believe roughly the same thing i.e. that socialism is desirable..

                      You don’t. It’s an idea that gets held in mind and expressed at opportune moments or junctures. You want to “get” people to believe, then your stepping off down the road of various authoritarianisms.

                    • Bill

                      @ McFlock.

                      A certain percentage of people supporting ideas of capitalism is neither here nor there. It’s only a problem when those people have power. In a democratic scenario (and others) their power is zip.

                • weka

                  what would you call Corbyn? And Corbyn Labour’s manifesto?

                  • DoublePlusGood

                    Given how everything has departed far from what it originally was, and everything is now neo-, I think it has to be considered to be neo-democratic neo-socialism…

                    • McFlock

                      Well, the vibe it creates in the population as a reaction to blairites, so maybe post-modern post-quasi-ternary-liberalist neo-democratic neosocialist? With bells on? 👿

                    • One Anonymous Bloke

                      Only in the sense that the right will consistently, relentlessly invent new ways to tell old lies.

                      The interests expressed by the lies are the same lazy knuckledragging bunch that resist the Magna Carta and the UDoHR and the abolition of slavery (when it occurs).

                      Tories don’t change.

                • You do know that Social Democracy is basically the modern Labour Party philosophy, right? You’re probably not going to move either the UK or NZ labour party on that, so if you’re voting left, your options at that point are Mana or Greens. (who despite not outwardly looking super socialist and having a lot of liberal types in there, do actually have socialism written into their values and their approach to environmentalism)

                  That said, I agree that a more purely socialist approach without any elements of a command economy would be pretty ideal both politically and in terms of preventing climate change.

          • Matthew Whitehead 6.1.1.1.2

            It’s also worth considering that there’s another major axis to this election- that of Brexit. Most of the large parties are pro-brexit, they just disagree about the how. If we see a strong Libdem, green, and regional party showing, that will mean a lot of people were voting for a chance to back out of Brexit, too.

      • SpaceMonkey 6.1.2

        Exactly… the neoliberals have bought a foot in both camps.

      • WILD KATIPO 6.1.3

        Which is a pretty accurate summation of the same basic trend in many western govts unfortunately ,… with slight nuances on the theme.

        • RedLogix 6.1.3.1

          A vivid little picture going on here.

          Fundamentally the neo-libs were never all that interested in left/right politics. At least with the old conservative/socialist divide both parties could more or less agree on the objectives of governance; they merely disagreed on how to get there. Negotiating through this was largely a matter of trading off various self-interests and outcomes.

          Whereas the neo-libs never really believed in government at all. They’re a different beastie with quite incompatible values. Their goal is to stall the process of political compromise and discredit the very idea of a social contract.

          • WILD KATIPO 6.1.3.1.1

            Excellent .

            The small govt of the neo liberals ( one where you need a microscope to detect it ) pretty much says it all , – that and aiming to privatize everything to the point where a govt does nothing much of anything of relevance barring having to field off the obvious question of ‘ why do we need a government at all , then ? ‘.

          • Adrian Thornton 6.1.3.1.2

            @ RedLogix+1 Well put.
            Which is why I can’t understand why they still hang on to the traditional Left parties that they have infiltrated,that worked very well as a vehicle for their project for a time, that is undeniable, but it is also plainly obvious that that time is over, and the institutions of the western Left are no longer a effective delivery vessel for their ideology.

            • WILD KATIPO 6.1.3.1.2.1

              Well , barring running off and creating an ACT party , perhaps remaining in those party’s is more advantageous in keeping them pinned down,… recalling that NZ was the guinea pig test nation for the neo liberal experiment, … and the UK’s population size makes it that much harder to herd the sheep , so to speak…

          • Halfcrown 6.1.3.1.3

            Agree with you there Red, I was very comfortable voting for the old National party who had members of integrity and values and were concerned for NZ. like Sir Keith and later members like Mike Minogue, who managed to keep the likes of Richardson in here place, But this fucking lot with no values who are stuffing this once great little country with their neo ideas I would not cross the road to piss on them if they were on fire.

  7. Adrian Thornton 7

    Check out this slip from Damian Green, where he pretty much he acknowledges that the conservatives are under a real threat from a coalition.
    The conservatives internal polling must be real bad if they are now giving public credibility to the real chance of a Corbyn win.

    What a disaster for May’s campaign, it reminds me a lot of Clinton’s own train wreck, the more the public get to see and hear from them the more they dislike them.

    • saveNZ 7.1

      The public want change but they want a certain type of change…. a vote for Democrats and Labour UK under Miliband was just going to keep the same old neoliberal models going…… the public don’t want that.

      Corbyn and Bernie got peoples imagination going because they come across as people of integrity, not just manufactured careerist politicians. They have stood for what they believe in, for most of their lives and that is something to deeply admire, these days.

      Integrity and bravery in a politician is hard to find. As is someone who can stomach the gross level of attacks from all areas that politician’s like them find themselves in, often being stabbed in the back from their own side, which in itself can be the down fall of the party.

      Look at Little in NZ under attack with litigation from Scenic Hotels, disgusting attacks constantly in MSM and so forth.

      Last election, Cunliffe absolutely disgustingly smeared, and even neoliberal Goff, framed by the SIS. Not really easy to win, in this climate of big money and organised attacks, controlling everything.

      • WILD KATIPO 7.1.1

        I’ll not forget that marvelous speech Cunliffe gave right at the beginning when he was voted in – pretty much a Mickey Joseph Savage speech. Something that I thought I’d never ever hear again.

        And those bastard neo liberals in both Labour ( the ABC’s ) and National inline with the MSM teamed on him.

        It was a disgraceful display of the fetid influence that ideology has on this country.

        • RedLogix 7.1.1.1

          NZ has a history of getting virulent and persistent strains of bad ideas. Neoliberalism is going to be with us long after it’s been shit-canned everywhere else in the world.

          Working overseas this past four years has really opened my eyes to just how shitty the class war has been back home. NZ is an expensive place to live, yet wages are low and employers have far too much power. A few doing very nicely thank you, the rest are fucked.

          Yes our still relatively low population density mitigates the worst aspects of this inequality, socially and environmentally … but ultimately we fall so very short of what we could and should be. Like you I felt a surge of pride when I saw that speech from Cunliffe, a moment of hope in an adult life of bleakness.

          It was a piece of work watching them snuff him out.

        • Stunned Mullet 7.1.1.2

          “It was a disgraceful display of the fetid influence that ideology has on this country.”

          Oh the irony !

        • Halfcrown 7.1.1.3

          Wild @ 7.1.1

          I agree with there mate 100% Don’t really watched much of the media these days except Aljazeera, and as soon that lying ugly fucking arsole called Gower appears I change channels. It is a pity that the Labour party don’t remind the punters of the fucking lies this arsole along with that other twat called Armstrong said about Cunliffe at the last election, and question more this fucking arsoles integrity everytime he appears on the TV.

    • dukeofurl 7.2

      Clinton got 3 mill more votes than trump because they disliked her more ?

      Oh that must be the reason she got 3.5 mill more votes than Sanders, because they disliked her ( that was in a smaller total too).

      Is this how you get around the problem that your views are shared by a very tiny minority.

      Corbyn is a terrible leader, even in France Jean-Luc Mélenchon was streets ahead, if it was a presidential race in UK he wouldnt even be in top 3.
      Fortunately its a parliamentary system, where he isnt a dictator

      • Adrian Thornton 7.2.1

        @dukeofurl What the hell are you talking about, Clinton lost the most winnable election in US history, against a baboon, and even with pretty much all media in her pocket, or has that fact evaded you?

        Oh and she and the DNC had to cheat to beat Sanders….

        Is this how you get around the problem that your political ideology is being consigned to the dustbin of history as we speak (where it belongs I might add).

        Corbyn will be a very good and inclusive leader, showing quite clearly the way forward for all western democracy’s who want fair and equal societies for ALL their citizens.

        BTW Bernie Sanders is now the most popular politician in the USA, except inwith the corrupt DNC establishment it seems, where as Clinton’s popularity in the USA is at it’s ALL TIME low…lower than Trump for fucks sake….
        https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2017/mar/17/everyone-loves-bernie-sanders-except-democratic-party

        http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2017-03-08/new-poll-shows-hillary-favorability-sinking-all-time-low-35-trump-soars

        SO if there is anyone around here beating a dead horse…that would be you pal.

        • McFlock 7.2.1.1

          but didn’t she get more votes than the baboon?

          And how precisely did the dnc cheat?

          • Adrian Thornton 7.2.1.1.1

            “And how precisely did the dnc cheat?”

            Are you actually serious?

            • dukeofurl 7.2.1.1.1.1

              Apparently the DNC cheated 3.5 mill times !
              Each state democratic organisation runs its own caucuses, nothing to do with the DNC. [ where Sanders did quite well]
              While primaries are run by the state government.
              Clinton was supported by most major democratic leaders and virtually all unions. Most have cheated to get that as well.

              Back to Corbyn, if he wasnt the leader ( and if he wasnt so bad at it) May wouldnt have dared call an early election ( but I think she”ll win as the UK polls have a problem getting the right numbers let alone for a FPTP type election)

              • The DNC did cheat in that it is supposed, according to its bylaws, to be a neutral arbiter in the primaries that doesn’t support any one campaign. They pre-concluded that Hillary was the likely winner and backed her. (that’s not to say that if, say, Biden were also running, they wouldn’t have backed both Biden and Clinton. But they bias candidates who can win a traditional campaign rather than simply letting the primaries sort themselves out)

                It’s also very likely that key Party figures were doing a campaign of backroom whispers and leaning on the scale, not just the DNC itself. That’s not really appropriate in my book, but hey, the DNC’s defense of these allegations is basically that if they wanted, they could totally have chosen the candidate in a smoky back room. Yeah.

                • dukeofurl

                  You still havent explained how the DNC in Washington got Clinton to be 3.5 mill votes ahead, spread across something like 30+ states.
                  leaning on a scale doesnt give 3.5 mill more votes

                  In each state Clinton and Sanders have to run their own campaigns with their own money.
                  That was Clintons advantage, shes been running and raising money since 2012. Sanders started late, has no background organisation in Democratic party ( because he wasnt a democrat!)

                  • Clinton started off with a name recognition lead and looked like she was heading for a coronation. Sanders’ performance in the primary is practically record-breaking, closing a huge gap and turning a one-woman race into a real competition, however he failed to make up ground in large states after Clinton’s win in the south on Super Tuesday, and he had several votes stolen from him by rogue committtees.

                    I’m not saying definitively that the cheating swung the election, it’s entirely possible Clinton’s lead was too large for Sanders to close in a single primary campaign no matter what he did. (I’m inclined to think that in some ways he could have actually campaigned more effectively and closed the gap, but you may be right, it was certainly a ridiculous ask for him to win given all the initial odds against him and the right-wing bent to media in the US) But I am saying that there was undeniably cheating (whatever you think of the motivations of the people who initially leaked those stories, they were pretty well corroborated after the fact) and it is unacceptable that the DNC broke its own rules, which is why they’re being sued by Sanders supporters for breaking their own bylaws.

                    As for him not being a Democrat, he’s caucused with them his entire national political career and is now part of the senior senate democratic leadership team, and is campaigning with the DNC’s new chair, but yes, he’s still technically an independent because he’s proud of having won even with an establishment democrat who was acting as a spoiler against him. Yes, he was an outsider candidate, but the DNC doesn’t need to put its thumb on the scale against outsiders. It can just let what happens happen, that’s the whole point of internal party democracy, weak candidates will almost always lose when there’s a competitive field. Whatever you think of the sources of information, it is absolutely credible that for instance the DNC was passing information to Clinton’s campaign, as Donna Brazil lost her job with CNN because of that story breaking about how she abused her position regarding her conflict of interest.

                    Also, have a look into current polling on Sanders and Clinton. Clinton is underwater with a mid-30s approval rating now, whereas Sanders is literally the most popular politician in the entire US, according to Fox, (outpolling even some key democratic achievements like Obamacare, and with mid-sixties approval ratings) who don’t exactly have an incentive to pump up his popularity. This isn’t a pushover politician, if he had gone on to the general election he likely would have won in a landslide, (three-way polling during the primary predicted he would start out with at least a six point lead on Trump, and he had much more effective populist talking points against him, wheras that same polling predicted Clinton was pretty much tied with Trump and was relying on his campaign self-destructing) and brought in new Democrats to Congress with him.

                    • RedLogix

                      I don’t usually go in for this … but yes, +++++1

                      Whichever way you cut it the difference on the ground was palpable. Clinton could barely fill photo-ops using long tele-lens’, while Sanders was filling halls and stadiums to capacity with enthusiastic crowds.

                      It was a simple as that.

                    • McFlock

                      Interesting thing is how much she also gave to Sanders’ campaign. Was her conflict with CNN because she tilted the debates for Clinton to look good, or the democrat candidates in general?

                      As for the current polling – well, yeah. Bernie’s a socialist politician in office facing one of the more regressive presidents in fifty years. Clinton’s largely back with private charity work now.

                      DNC folks didn’t like Sanders, but what actual biased things did they do?

                    • McFlock- Donna Brazil did not pass any information to the Sanders campaign. That’s the whole point, not only was what she was doing unethical in terms of compromising the rules of the debate, but she did it specifically to favour one candidate.

                      If there had been multiple establishment candidates in the race, I am sure she and other DNC candidates would have cheated in favour of all the establishment candidates. But that’s not the race that happened.

                      I’m not sure how it’s valid to dismiss polls both before and after the election- my point was that he polled better in both situations, so it’s clear that neither was an outlier.

                      As to other biased things that they did, let me condense it by omitting anything we don’t actually have hard evidence of and listing only the most offensive:

                      * The DNC didn’t attempt to compromise between the Hillary campaign’s preferred debate schedule and her competitor- they scheduled a very few debates when she was running a low-presence strategy in the primaries, and then suddenly added more when it was clear that it was hurting her not debating and the extra media was benifitting Sanders.

                      * The DNC disabled the Bernie campaign’s access to their database because the campaign reported that it was insecure and showing other campaigns’ data, which is what you are supposed to do if you gain inappropriate access to data.

                      * DNC officials accused the campaign of condoning violence after their friends in Nevada stole votes from Bernie, taking video out of context.

                      * The DNC had a donation-laundering process worked out that gave money indirectly to Hillary that was supposed to be spent on local state contests.

                    • Excuse me, when I said “she and other DNC candidates”, I of course meant “she [Donna Brazil] and other DNC staff”.

            • McFlock 7.2.1.1.1.2

              Totally.

              I’m not doubting that several in the DNC preferred Clinton over Sanders. But actual evidence of cheating? They didn’t rig a vote in caucus. Even the hacked debate prep emails never showed that Sanders wasn’t given equivalent prep information. Any primary irregularities would have been under the purview of the state, not party, electoral commissioners, many of whom were republican.

              I mean, I get that you take the statement “the DNC rigged the primaries” as being as self evident as “we need air to breath”, but what actually are you basing that on? That someone maybe said mean things about Sanders behind his back? That we saw what the DNC told Clinton but not what they told Sanders?

              And yes, Clinton lost the election, but she got 1% more votes than Trump. Does that say as much about Clinton as it does the electoral college, seriously?

              • adam

                So the court case against the DNC where they have admitted they picked Clinton – I’m guessing you missed it? The DNC did rigged the game, and have admitted it.

                As for your popular vote argument, it’s painful, you sound like a whinging broken record. The real world meant that the democrat’s went into the election knowing they had to win the colleges. They did not do that – so the DNC rigged it, only to pick a loser.

                So seriously enough of you defense of the loser h.r.c. She cheated and she lost, we know it – time to move on.

                • McFlock

                  Ok, how did they rig the game? That’s what you never answer. Matthew said they were biased, but how did that actually manifest itself?

                  As for the court case, if it’s the one you just linked to – where did they say they rigged it?

                  Sure, they said that there was nothing legal stopping them from rigging it, and described the case the Sanders crowd would have to prove if indeed there had been rigging going on, but when you read the transcript of the hearing did you notice all the times the DNC lawyers used the word “purportedly” or variants thereof?

                  • adam

                    So now you did not miss the case?

                    So now you accept that they can run an election in a impartial and unfair manner, is that what you are saying?

                    Or that impartiality can’t be defined?

                    Because that was my reading of the primary material presented by the DNC, and by the way the case is not settled yet. My link was to why the DNC wanted the case to be dismissed, which the judge agreed there was no case to dismiss. So the case is playing out as we speak, and the DNC are on trial over impartiality, or in other words – gaming the game.

                    • McFlock

                      The judge is considering whether the case should be dismissed.

                      I googled it after your link, so see if your statement ” The DNC did rigged the game, and have admitted it” was accurate. It wasn’t.

                      You seem to have basically misunderstood the position. The DNC lawyers didn’t admit there was rigging, they simply said that the plaintiff’s case is bullshit because even if rigging occurred, it wouldn’t be litigable for a variety of reasons.

                      They also argued that if rigging had occurred and if rigging were litigable, the plaintiffs haven’t presented anyone actually harmed by it so no damages were incurred. It’s a standard defense in depth, like lawyers do all the time.

                      And at the moment the litigants are waiting to hear if the case will go to trial.

                    • McFlock is correct that the DNC haven’t admitted to cheating in the primary, even though on its face several of the actions taken by DNC officials were obviously cheating from an organisation whose purpose is to help run the primaries in a neutral fashion, and is, according to the Democratic Party bylaws, not supposed to be partisan until a candidate is selected in the convention.

                      What their lawyer is effectively saying is that there’s no legal requirement that the Democratic Party run a competitive primary, they could simply select the candidate in a backroom if they wanted. He’s wrong of course, the bylaws require a competitive primary, and they are contractually enforceable even if you accept his argument that the DNC is a corporation, not a political party. They would have to change the bylaws first, and even then, if they solicited any donations in a way that promised a primary before that change, they would either be obliged to return the money or run the primary.

                      Essentially, he’s arguing that even if the facts are as the Bernie supporters claim, there’s no case because the DNC is a private corporation that can do whatever it wants. (which also makes no sense because then it would be accountable to shareholders and possibly a board, neither of which it has)

                      This is good legal strategy, although it’s completely moronic PR and probably not worth winning the case if they end up getting soundbites like that trumpeted out over the media.

          • RedLogix 7.2.1.1.2

            They did it by the book, but the super delegates unquestionably skew the process right from the outset.

  8. Venezia 8

    Bernie arrives in the UK today, so watch him light up their young!

  9. Adrian Thornton 9

    Yes that is exactly right, here is Dennis Skinner saying in 2015 that we are entering an era of non spin…..I believe he is right.
    He also has some pretty insightful comments on Cobyns future.

    The propaganda model of manufacturing consent is now plainly on it’s last legs, it worked extremely effectively for a long time, but most people have been pushed too far for too long by this same method, that they are now (rightly) very suspicious and untrusting of established media, and the politicians they seem to support.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Manufacturing_Consent

  10. SpaceMonkey 10

    Great news! Who woulda thunk it, eh? That policies putting people first might actually resonate with the people… 😀

    • Johan 10.1

      To SpaceMonkey,
      Me thinks that greed and power will not be relinquished easily;-))

  11. swordfish 11

    It’s not only Conservative Central Office where nerves are jangling.

    The entire UK polling industry also seems to be in a state of collective nervousness … both in the shadow of the 2015 debacle … and because it’s currently producing an unusually wide range of results, one extreme of which is suggesting a hung parliament that many felt was unthinkable even just a week or so ago.

    Latest Tory poll leads:

    YouGov: 3pt
    Survation: 6pt
    SurveyMonkey 6pt
    FT poll of polls: 9pt
    Kantar: 10pt
    ICM: 12pt
    ComRes: 12pt
    Panelbase: 15pt

    At least they can’t be accused of deliberately ‘clustering’ as they were at the 2015 election.

    All down to ‘house effects’ (ie systematic methodological differences between polling companies). The key point of difference being how aggressively they weight for turnout.

    ICM, Kantar and ComRes take a particularly ruthless approach (in response to the 2015 poll failure).

    ICM’s 12 point Tory lead, for instance, would have been a mere 3 points (with all its normal demographic and political weights) before they applied their aggressive turnout model, which significantly down-weights younger and more working class voters on the assumption that the 2015 pattern of turnout will be repeated.

    • weka 11.1

      What’s a turnout model?

      I assume most of them aren’t polling constituencies and then adding up the seats? How come?

      I liked the word ‘churn’.

      Also, it’s not without precedent for elections to move significantly, right? Isn’t that what landslide actually means?

      • swordfish 11.1.1

        turnout model = how pollsters deal with turnout in their weighting

        Do they base it more on respondent demographics – essentially ignoring respondent’s self-reported likelihood to vote and instead aggressively down-weighting younger and poorer C2DE voters on the assumption that the 2015 pattern of turnout will be repeated (ICM, Kantar and ComRes)

        or

        do they continue to use self-reported likelihood to vote (albeit with variations) – Opinium, MORI and YouGov, for instance, still base their turnout models on people’s answers rather than their demographics, but they’ve also made post-2015 changes. YouGov and MORI now weight-down people who didn’t vote in past elections as likely non-voters (as opposed to specifically targeting younger and more working class respondents) while Opinium down-weights people who say they will vote for a party but disapprove of its leader.

  12. Tony Veitch (not the partner-bashing 3rd rate broadcaster 12

    I think Jeremy will win – and by a landslide – as many as 300 seats!

    But the big question is then – how will the right, the neoliberals react?

    Just as if Bernie had won the nomination and the presidency, how would the right have reacted?

    They sure as hell won’t like to see all their ‘hard won’ gains being given back to the people!

    • Stunned Mullet 12.1

      You think he’ll win by a margin of 300 seats ? I think that’s a little bit optimistic.

      • Wayne 12.1.1

        Presumably Tony actually meant that Labour would get 300 seats, not that they would have a margin of 300 seats. It would be a comfortable majority in a coalition with SNP.

        We will know in a week.

        Me, I am still betting on a May win.

        The Yougov poll seems more like a survey, not a snapshot poll. So is it really reliable given it is so much out of line with other polls?

        It just seems highly unlikely that 20% of voters would change from the Conservatives to Labour in just a few days. In my experience voters are not that fickle.

        • Halfcrown 12.1.1.1

          Yes you are right there Wayne

        • Tony Veitch (not the partner-bashing 3rd rate broadcaster 12.1.1.2

          Well, we shall certainly see in just a few days!

          Perhaps it’s wishful thinking on my part, but I think there is a real groundswell of change in the UK which will be as startling to the establishment as the Atlee win in 1945.

          And of course I mean that Labour would get 300 seats, not a 300 seat majority – they’ll have to go into coalition with probably the SNP – which itself will cause some problems.

          But Halfcrown is right – expect some pretty grubby deeds from the right – their sense of entitlement will drive them to new lows!

          Just like the National Party, in fact!

        • weka 12.1.1.3

          “The Yougov poll seems more like a survey, not a snapshot poll. So is it really reliable given it is so much out of line with other polls?”

          Did you read Martin Baxter’s opinion (linked in the post). He’s a pretty reliable commentator as far as I can tell and does his own analysis.

          “It just seems highly unlikely that 20% of voters would change from the Conservatives to Labour in just a few days. In my experience voters are not that fickle.”

          That’s not what’s happened though. The change has been over a long period of time and you’re not accounting for the previous non-vote.

        • dukeofurl 12.1.1.4

          They cant be compared with other ‘phone polls’ which sample a new group of 2000 each time.
          Its a survey panel which they follow all the way through- much like the LA Times poll technique which did predict Trump would win

          “Every day YouGov interviews approximately 7,000 panellists about their voting intentions in the 2017 General Election. Over the course of a week, data are collected from around 50,000 panellists. ”
          “YouGov is using a recently developed technique called Multilevel Regression and Post-stratification (or ‘MRP’ for short) to produce estimates for small geographies (local authorities for the EU referendum, states in the 2016 American Presidential election, and Parliamentary constituencies for the 2017 General Election).”
          https://yougov.co.uk/news/2017/05/31/how-yougov-model-2017-general-election-works/

          The benefits seem to be able to give constituency level data, which is of course what matters in UK.
          Does it work and are they drawing the right conclusions ?

          next week we will find out

        • swordfish 12.1.1.5

          Thing is, Wayne, the latest conventional Yougov poll has precisely the same tiny 3 point Tory lead as this experimental 2017 General Election model.

          As a former pollster for the UK Labour Party has tweeted

          This (3 point Tory lead in conventional poll) much riskier from Yougov than their model. Bread & butter of their biz is representative samples. Must think race fundamentally changed.

          I agree, however, with your general scepticism , Wayne, – though I’m not too sure where you get the “20% of voters would change from the Conservatives to Labour in just a few days” from. I don’t think any pollster has suggested anything of the sort.

        • Macro 12.1.1.6

          The real cruncher for the Tories has been their dispicable Manifesto – not only hitting hard the older generations with their “dementia tax” – and pensioners have been turning off the Tories in droves by all accounts – but also attacking the younger generations with their cuts on school lunches in favour of school breakfast. This is calculated to affect around 100,000 school children from working poor families as well. Plus May has not fronted up to the media or opposition leaders and the Corby Textor Slogan “Strong and Stable” has gone down like a lead ballon. The populace are waking up to the obvious fact that the Tories frankly don’t care about the average person. The comments from some Tory MP’s have been appallingly insensitive. I’ve just returned from two months in the UK and from my observations this has been the most appauling campaign by the Tories who went into this snap election with an arrogance that was palpable.
          I’m not surprised in the least as to the current polling. J C has run an outstanding campaign and whilst the media have tried to trip him up and the drive a wedge between him and the rest of his Party – overall they have been very disciplined and he has shown himself to be a man of the people. The Labour manifesto actually offers hope to a country that over the past decade has been in steady decline. If you don’t believe me – leave the motorways and just take drive down any A road you like and count the potholes. As for the towns! Walk down any High Street and count the number of empty shops and the number of people forced into begging. Ask any person who is not a CEO or official of some form or other (there are two economies in the UK – the haves and the have nots) They will tell you quite plainly the the country is in a state of decay – and it shows.

    • Halfcrown 12.2

      You have a very valid point there Tony, They won’t give up without a fight and we must remember their war chests will be bottomless. Stand by for a massive campaign by the media and there is certainly going to be a lot of dirty bloody tricks and politics by the rightwing arsoles.
      I doubt if Corbyn will win with a 300 seat majority, if at all.

  13. Michael 13

    I’d wait until the votes are counted before cheering the Tories’ defeat. I also note that UK Labour is refusing to collaborate with the SNP after the election – although I suppose that could change rapidly if Corbyn and comrades see the keys to Number 10 remaining within Tory grasp. But if Labour wins this election, and if it can form a government, it will mean a real defeat for the Tories and neoliberalism too (some might say it represents a defeat for common sense and sanity but vox populi, vox dei and all that). Whatever happens, it’s certainly exciting for a political junkie like me (and helps divert my attention from the moribund political landscape here in NZ).

  14. james 14

    It will be interesting – But it wouldn’t surprise me if Corbyn still loses badly.

    No doubt anything other than a mammoth thrashing will be hailed as a win by the left.

    Excused will include but not be limited to

    Bloody Blairrights.
    Bloody media was stacked against him
    Bloody neolibs
    Bloody tories told lies and people believed them
    Bloody voting public are idiots.

    • The decrypter 14.1

      Bloody james,—–He started this bloody post yesterday, Got me all excited it did.

      • weka 14.1.1

        Lol. I noticed James’s angst yesterday too. I was already intending to write the post from when Coates first tweeted a few days ago what was about to be released. James does seem worried though. He’s right, because I’ll take that worry as a win too 😆

    • Ed 14.2

      You seem a bit worried, James.

      • James 14.2.1

        A little hit for sure. But happy to admit it and also that my predictions were wrong

        I know it’s a strange concept for some on here who think they are intellectual goliants who can never be wrong.

        As a mortal – I’m happy to admit when I make a call that’s proven wrong as opposed to making excuses.

        But before you get too much joy from the poll results- remember – actual results may vary.

  15. weka 15

    Alastair Thompson reckons the critical parts of the electorate are moving away from the Conservatives (pensioners, men)


    I doubt there has ever been such a rapid change in political fortunes in the course of a contemporary election campaign. /6

    It’s helpful to observe that in this case there is a clear ratonale and narrative that explains the spectacular movements. /7

    Alastair Thompson‏ @althecat 8m8 minutes ago

  16. All Jeremy Corbyn has to do is keep polishing up the handle of the big front door and he will get there. And I don’t mean that he has to be a yes man lackey such as the one Gilbert and Sullivan mentioned in their lyrics.

    Hehehe I loved Gilbert and Sullivan as a kid ( strange childhood lol !) so here’s two of my favs 🙂

    Gilbert & Sullivan – When I Was A Lad/HMS Pinafore (Martyn Green …
    Video for martin green polished up the handles youtube▶ 2:49

    • Lol ! – so delightfully stuffy and so very English – ahaahahaha ! This one should be Corbyn’s victory anthem – except Corbyns not into pompous old elitist gits l0l !

      Gilbert and Sullivan – “I Am the Very Model of a Modern Major-General …
      Video for very model of a modern major general you tube▶ 2:54

  17. left_forward 17

    Whatever – this Labour rally in the polls is incredibly encouraging.
    Perhaps the globally exposed Trump madness is finally waking people up – a rejection of the utter selfishness of the right – can’t resist such a thought!

  18. web-developer 18

    The best part of all of this is the small moves to Labour on an aggregate level masks a huge shift at a constituency level.

    UKIP registered 12.6% of the vote there in 2015, but only got one seat. What happened was the majority in a large number of Labour seats and Liberal Democrat seats were hobbled by UKIP (mainly Labour seats, the LDs separately didn’t do themselves any favours).

    Now that those pro-leave Labour voters have got what they want out of UKIP, they are going to be filtering back to Labour. Erstwhile LD voters disappointed with the relationship their party had with the Conservatives may also be as well as their tally continues to drop.

    So a +5pp gain overall may be unlocking dozens of electorates at a time. I did some math and there are 63 electorates where a combined Labour + UKIP tally from 2015 would flip Conservative seats.

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    The University of Waikato and New Zealand Law Foundation have released a report today on the law around encryption in New Zealand. There's stuff in there about principles and values, and how proposed government policies to provide for "lawful access" by creating backdoors would destroy the trust which makes encryption ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    4 days ago
  • Drawn
    A ballot for two Member's Bills was held today, and the following bills were drawn: Insurance (Prompt Settlement of Claims for Uninhabitable Residential Property) Bill (Stuart Smith) Social Security (Exemption for Ex Gratia and Compensation Payments) Amendment Bill (Willow-Jean Prime) Neither bill seems likely to be particularly controversial. This is ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    4 days ago
  • Bougainville votes for independence
    Earlier in the month, Bougainvilleans went to the polls in a landmark referendum to decide on whether they would remain part of Papua New Guinea or become independent. Yesterday, the results came in, with over 97% support for independence. The referendum wasn't binding - instead it means negotiations with the ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    4 days ago
  • Bus strikes, suspensions and solidarity
    by Daphna Whitmore This week 800 unionised bus drivers in Auckland were suspended from work after they refused to collect fares as part of a campaign of industrial action. Drivers working for Auckland’s largest bus company NZ Bus are asking for more pay and better working conditions after being offered ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    4 days ago
  • How to support after the Whakaari/White Island volcanic eruption
    As details emerge about what unfolded on Whakaari / White Island two days ago, my thoughts go out to all the families affected by this terrible event. My thoughts are also with the first responders who worked in perilous circumstances to assist and protect those affected. Both local and ...
    SciBlogsBy Sarb Johal
    4 days ago
  • Final BMG poll – nothing to see here
    BMG research have unleashed their final poll of the 2019 campaign:Westminster voting intention: CON: 41% (-)LAB: 32% (-)LDEM: 14% (-)GRN: 4% (-)BREX: 3% (-1)via @BMGResearch , 06 - 11 Dec Chgs. w/ 06 Dec That's a bit of a "Dunno why we bothered" sort of poll. "Phillip, I'm afraid I've been a ...
    4 days ago
  • Grant Robertson Spends Up Large – On The Establishment!
    Grant Keeps On Trucking: Out of the $12 billion Robertson has announced for infrastructure investment, $8 billion will be allocated to specific projects, with the balance of $4 billion held in reserve. What does it say about this Government's "transformational" ambitions that 85 percent of that $8 billion is to ...
    4 days ago
  • Boris Johnson … Hides … In a Fridge
    I am not making this up.First few lines of the Dail Mail write up:Boris Johnson's exasperated media minder swore on live TV today as the PM refused to speak to Good Morning Britain before trotting into a fridge as he started an early milkround in Yorkshire. Piers Morgan was visibly ...
    5 days ago
  • Shy Labour Voters?
    In previous elections pollsters have bemoaned the 'shy Tory' - the respondent who is so fearful of being judged as a cruel and heartless bastard by an anonymous pollster, or their spouses, workmates and friends, that they lie about their intention of voting Conservative, skewing the poll figures in Labour's ...
    5 days ago
  • Seven reasons to be wary of waste-to-energy proposals
    Climate Explained is a collaboration between The Conversation, Stuff and the New Zealand Science Media Centre to answer your questions about climate change. If you have a question you’d like an expert to answer, please send it to climate.change@stuff.co.nz I was in Switzerland recently and discovered that they haven’t ...
    SciBlogsBy Guest Author
    5 days ago
  • Reviewing the whitewash
    Back in 2015, then Ombudsman Beverley Wakem conducted a review of the OIA, Not a game of hide and seek. The "review" was a whitewash, which found no need for legislative change, and instead criticised the media and requesters - which destroyed Wakem's reputation, and undermined that of the Office ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    5 days ago
  • You Gov MRP Poll Out
    So, You Gov's MRP poll - the weird one that tries to reflect what will happen at a constituency level and which pretty much nailed the hung parliament in 2017 - is not looking too good for Labour:
    UK #GE2019 MRP seat projection:CON: 339 (-20)LAB: 231 (+20)SNP: 41 (-2)LDEM: 15 ...
    5 days ago
  • Climate Change: Accountability?
    We've known about climate change for over forty years now,and it has been a major political issue for twenty. And yet fossil fuel companies have kept polluting with impunity, while government have looked the other way and twiddled their thumbs and refused to do anything because "the economy", or just ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    5 days ago
  • Delusional And Irrational: The Rise Of Paranoid Politics In New Zealand.
    Sheer Loopiness: Many of those expressing bemusement at the antics of these #turnardern effacers, were convinced that they were yet another expression of the National Party’s increasingly spiteful anti-government propaganda campaign. They marvelled at the oddness of the perpetrators’ mindset and questioned the common-sense of allowing the rest of New Zealand ...
    5 days ago
  • Things to know about Whakaari/White Island
    Brad Scott, GNS Science VolcanologistThis post was originally published by GeoNet. Following the 9 December devastating eruption at Whakaari/White Island we have put together some information about the island. New Zealand’s most active volcano Whakaari/White Island is currently New Zealand’s most active volcano, it has been since an eruptive episode ...
    SciBlogsBy Guest Author
    6 days ago
  • Status quo supports status quo
    The Justice Committee has reported back on its Inquiry into the 2017 General Election and 2016 Local Elections, with a host of recommendations about how to improve our electoral systems. Some of their recommendations are already incorporate din the Electoral Amendment Bill currently before Parliament, but there's also a recommendation ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    6 days ago
  • The Greens abandon NeoLiberalism
    Back in 2017, in order to make themselves "electable" in the eyes of rich people who oppose everything they stand for, the Greens signed up for NeoLiberalism, adopting a restrictive set of "Budget Responsibility Rules" which basicly prevented them from using government to make things better. Now, they're finally abandoning ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    6 days ago
  • Lying about a failed war
    Since invading in 2001, the US has consistently claimed that their war in Afghanistan has been going well, even when it continued year after year after year. Of course, they were lying, and thanks to the Washington Post and the US Freedom of Information Act, we get to see just ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    6 days ago
  • Artificial Intelligence and You
    How should we think about artificial intelligence and the implications that it has for our work and leisure? There are many articles on artificial intelligence and its potential impacts on jobs, and the ethics of applications. These are important topics, but I want to focus on some less discussed aspects, ...
    SciBlogsBy Robert Hickson
    6 days ago
  • Statistical manipulation to get publishable results
    I love data. It’s amazing the sort of “discoveries” I can make given a data set and computer statistical package. It’s just so easy to search for relationships and test their statistical significance. Maybe relationships which ...
    6 days ago
  • More lies on the Twitter (Dan Hodges edition)
    The other big story concerning Leeds Hospital is Boris Johnson's bizzare behaviour at Leeds Hospital, where he was confronted by a journalist and challenged about a four year old boy with suspected pneumonia who was left sleeping on the floor, rather than getting  abed like a sick kid would in ...
    6 days ago
  • LabourActivistPunchedMattHancock’sSPADGate
    So, for a brief period of history, it was alleged that a protester had punched Matt Hancock's SPAD (not a euphemism; special adviser) when Hancock visited Leeds Hospital.This was reported by the likes of Robert Peston and Laura Keunssberg, as well as the less credible Guido Fawkes.  It also quickly ...
    6 days ago
  • France’s anti-Zionism is anti-liberté
    by Daphna Whitmore Last week France passed a law that equates anti-Zionism with anti-Semitism. It is based on a definition of anti-Semitism that includes criticism of Israel such as: “Denying the Jewish people their right to self-determination, e.g., by claiming that the existence of a State of Israel is a racist ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    7 days ago
  • Another bus lockout
    Over the past year we've seen major bus problems in Hamilton and Wellington, as drivers have sought better wages and an end to the bullshit of split shifts, which basicly see them "married to the job". And now its Auckland's turn. When NZBus's drivers planned low-level strike action of not ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    7 days ago
  • Climate Change: Showing us how its done
    The government has been congratulating itself over the passage of the Zero Carbon Act, which sets out long-term emissions targets. But those targets are insufficient. Meanwhile, Denmark is showing us how its done:Denmark’s parliament adopted a new climate law on Friday, committing to reach 70% below its 1990 emissions in ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    7 days ago
  • New Fisk
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    7 days ago
  • Public sector dysfunction should not be allowed to undermine freedom of information
    Another day, another piece of legislation with a secrecy clause. This time its the innocuous-seeming Mental Health and Wellbeing Commission Bill, which (after establishing a new body and making it subject to the OIA in three different ways) includes the rapidly-becoming-standard clauses enabling it to request information from other public ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    7 days ago
  • “This is England, this knife of Sheffield steel…”
    The state of the United Kingdom is fractured, torn up, shredded. The Empire is gone, it died a long time ago. And yet, the country is still tracking with a lead in favour of the ones who play to the ingrained, class-bound division for political gain. It is a disgrace ...
    exhALANtBy exhalantblog
    1 week ago
  • CORSIA, coming soon to an airport near you
    On 27 September, Greta Thunberg addressed a crowd of 500,000 at the School Strike for Climate in Montreal, saying: “You are a nation that is allegedly a climate leader. And Sweden is also a nation that is allegedly a climate leader. And in both cases, it means absolutely nothing. Because ...
    SciBlogsBy Robert McLachlan
    1 week ago
  • Cloaking hate speech and fake news in the right to free expression.
    It should be obvious by now but let’s be clear: The same folk who regularly traffic in disinformation, misinformation and “fake news” are also those who most strongly claim that their freedom of expression rights are being violated when moves are made to curb hate speech (as opposed to protected ...
    KiwipoliticoBy Pablo
    1 week ago
  • The Physics (and Economics, and Politics) of Wheelchairs on Planes
    Michael Schulson When Shane Burcaw flies on an airplane, he brings along a customized gel cushion, a car seat, and about 10 pieces of memory foam. The whole arsenal costs around $1,000, but for Burcaw it’s a necessity. The 27-year-old author and speaker — who, alongside his fiancée, Hannah ...
    SciBlogsBy Guest Author
    1 week ago
  • To Advance Civil Rights, Oppose Transgender Extremism
    We are very pleased to publish this submission is from Lucinda Stoan. She is a social justice activist, mother, and educator, based in Washington State in the  US.   This detailed and comprehensive source-linked overview of trans issues and what is at stake will be useful for many people, especially in ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    1 week ago
  • Faafoi should be fired
    Newshub last night reported that Broadcasting Minister Kris Faafoi had apparently promised to help out a mate with an immigration issue. While its normal for people to approach MPs for assistance in this area, when you're a Minister, the rules are different: as the Cabinet Manual says, Ministers must "at ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Adrian Orr – The Reserve Bank’s Revolutionary Governor?
    New Zealand's Underarm Banker: It bears recalling that the “independence” of the Reserve Bank Governor was for decades held up by neoliberal capitalists as the most compelling justification for passing the Reserve Bank Act. Interesting, is it not, how the ruling class’s support for the Bank’s independence lasted no longer than ...
    1 week ago
  • Driving Us Up The Poll.
    Rubbish In, Rubbish Out: Put all this together, and it’s difficult to avoid the conclusion that anyone who responds positively to a pollster’s request to “answer a few questions” is just ever-so-slightly weird. Desperately lonely? Some sort of psephological train-spotter? Political party member primed to skew the poll for or against ...
    1 week ago
  • Jordan Williams, Colin Craig podcast series announced
    “Free at last, Free at last, Thank God almighty we are free at last.” ― Martin Luther King Jr. A long and bitter court feud between former Conservative Party leader Colin Craig and Jordan Williams has been settled, with an apology and compensation from Williams. On Tuesday, Craig sent out ...
    The PaepaeBy Peter Aranyi
    2 weeks ago
  • How plant-based meat is stretching New Zealand’s cultural and legal boundaries
    Samuel Becher, Victoria University of Wellington and Jessica C Lai, Victoria University of Wellington Earlier this year, the New Zealand-based pizza chain Hell Pizza offered a limited-edition “Burger Pizza”. Its customers weren’t told that the “meat” was plant-based. Some customers complained to the Commerce Commission, which enforces consumer law in ...
    SciBlogsBy Guest Author
    2 weeks ago
  • Scientific integrity requires critical investigation – not blind acceptance
    Some people seem to want to close down any critical discussion of the current research into the relationship between water fluoride and child IQ. They appear to argue that claims made by researchers should not be open to critical review and that the claims be accepted without proper consideration ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Climate Change: The shameful reality
    The government has been congratulating itself over the passage of the Zero Carbon Act, which sets out long-term emissions targets. Meanwhile, Climate Action Tracker has the shameful reality: those targets are insufficient:While New Zealand is showing leadership by having passed the world’s second-ever Zero Carbon Act in November 2019, under ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • More secrecy
    The government introduced a Racing Industry Bill today. As an urban who horse racing as pointless-to-cruel, and gambling as a tax on stupidity and/or hope, this isn't normally a bill which would interest me in the slightest, beyond grumpiness at more government money for a dying industry. But there is ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • Unlikely online bully, Liam Hehir
    Check. Check. One, two, three, four. Is this thing ON? Hello readers, I logged in last night (yeah, it’s been a while) to mark THE END of the landmark legal case, Jordan Williams v Colin Craig, which (gulp) reached The Supreme Court, in which New Zealand’s most-defamed man was suing the politician he ...
    The PaepaeBy Peter Aranyi
    2 weeks ago
  • The Birth Of Israel: Wrong At The Right Time.
    Before The Birth: Israel’s most fervent supporters set their clocks ticking in Biblical times. They cite the kingdoms of David and Solomon as proof that, in the words of the Exodus movie’s theme-song: “This land is mine.” The majority of Israel’s backers, however, start their clocks in 1933 – the year Adolf ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Hard News: Public Address Word of the Year 2019: Korero phase
    In an unreliable, strange and confusing world, Public Address is proud to present a measure of comfort and stability by annually asking everyone what words or phrases sum up the year that's been – and then giving some of them consumer goods as prizes for being clever or simply lucky.Well, ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Generalist to specialist
    Both my parents are pretty handy – and they seem to have the right tools for most jobs in the garage and they know how to fix practically anything. A similar story could be told about their generation’s experience in the workforce – being a generalist was not unusual and ...
    SciBlogsBy Guest Author
    2 weeks ago
  • A “coincidence”
    When it was revealed that NZ First had tried to enrich itself from public office via the Provoncial Growth Fund, the Prime Minister assured us that everything was OK as Shane Jones, the Minister responsible for the fund, had recused himself. Except it seems that that recusal came very late ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • Member’s Day
    Today is a Member's Day, and probably the last one of the year. After the marathon of the End of Life Choice Act, most of the bills up for debate today are uncontentious. First up is the second reading of Chlöe Swarbrick's Election Access Fund Bill. This will be followed ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • Worse than I thought
    The Foreign Affairs, Defence and Trade Committee has reported back on the government's odious and tyrannical control orders bill. As expected, the fraudulent select committee process has made no significant changes (partly because they couldn't agree, but mostly because it was a stitch-up from the start, with no intention of ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • The cannabis bill and the referendum
    Yesterday, the government released its draft Cannabis Legalisation and Control Bill, which will be put to a non-binding referendum at the next election. I'm not a drug policy expert, but Russell Brown is, and he thinks its pretty good. And pretty obviously, it will be a massive improvement on the ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • Hard News: The Cannabis Legalisation and Control Bill: pretty good so far
    As you're probably aware, the draft bill outlining the proposed legal cannabis regime to be put to a referendum late next year was published yesterday, and has already attracted a flurry of comment. It's notable that a good deal of the comment is about proposals that aren't actually new.A minimum ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Climate Change: Alignment
    One of the big problems in New Zealand climate change policy is the government working at cross-purposes with itself. It wants to reduce fossil fuel use, but encourages oil and gas exploration. It wants to reduce transport emissions, but then builds enormous new roads. The problem could be avoided if ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • How climate change will affect food production and security
    Climate Explained is a collaboration between The Conversation, Stuff and the New Zealand Science Media Centre to answer your questions about climate change. If you have a question you’d like an expert to answer, please send it to climate.change@stuff.co.nz According to the United Nations, food shortages are a threat ...
    SciBlogsBy Guest Author
    2 weeks ago
  • More bad faith
    Last year, the government announced it was ending offshore oil exploration by no longer issuing new permits. The idea was that the industry would then die off as permits expired. Except almost immediately the government revealed its bad faith, by saying they would extend permits and alter conditions to keep ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • Banning foreign money from our elections
    The government has said it will ban foreign donations to political parties and candidates, and will be introducing legislation to be passed under all-stages urgency this afternoon. While I agree with the goal, I don't see a particular case for urgency, unless the government is concerned about a flood of ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • Reforming the Education Acts
    The government introduced the Education and Training Bill to Parliament yesterday. Its a massive bill, which replaces both existing Education Acts, as well as various other bits of legislation (including some which are still proceeding through the House). I'll leave the serious analysis to teachers and people who actually know ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • Bite-sized learning
    Amelia SharmanThere’s no one-size-fits-all when it comes to micro-credentials, those bits of bite-sized learning that can help workers stay on top of technological change.  What’s a micro-credential? While definitions vary, micro-credentials can be understood as short courses that allow people to learn new skills or have an existing competency recognised. ...
    SciBlogsBy Guest Author
    2 weeks ago
  • “Not The Labour Party We Once Knew.”
    All Smiles Now: Claire Szabo is taking up her presidential role after serving as the CEO of Habitat For Humanity. Which is absolutely perfect! After KiwiBuild was so comprehensively mismanaged by Phil Twyford, the party has not only elected a new president from a thoroughly respectable not-for-profit, but one who ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Marxist versus liberal methodology on transgender ideology/identity politics
    While much of the NZ left has transitioned to postmodern and identity politics in relation to transgender ideology, there are some very good articles about that deploy Marxist methodology in relation to this subject.  The one below is from the British marxist group Counterfire and appeared on their site here ...
    RedlineBy Admin
    2 weeks ago
  • Book review: The Farm by Joanne Ramos
    by Daphna Whitmore At Golden Oaks, a luxurious country retreat in the Hudson Valley, pregnant women have the best care money can buy. From the organic food, personalised exercise programmes, private yoga instruction and daily massages Golden Oaks looks like a country lodge for the upper class. Set some time ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    2 weeks ago
  • Loosening the purse strings
    When Labour was running for election in 2017, it felt it needed to demonstrate "fiscal responsibility" and signed itself up to masochistic "budget responsibility rules". It was a fool's errand: the sorts of voters who demand fiscal responsibility are also the sorts of voters who believe that labour can never ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago

  • Maori voice to help shape tertiary education
    Education Minister Chris Hipkins has announced the members of Te Taumata Aronui, a group to work with Government on tertiary education policy from a Māori community and employer perspective. “Te Taumata Aronui is an opportunity for Māori and the Crown to work more closely on changes to the tertiary education ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    22 mins ago
  • Courthouse redesign a model for the future
    The Government will invest $100 million on a new courthouse in Tauranga which will be a model for future courthouse design for New Zealand, Justice Minister Andrew Little has announced. The courthouse will be designed in partnership with iwi, the local community, the judiciary, the legal profession, court staff and ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 hours ago
  • Government enables early access to 5G spectrum
    The Government has given the go ahead to enable further development of 5G networks by making appropriate spectrum available. The Broadcasting, Communications and Digital Media Minister, Kris Faafoi, has confirmed Cabinet approval for the allocation of short-term rights to an unused portion of 3.5 GHz spectrum. 3.5GHz is the first ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 hours ago
  • Record export highs picked for primary sector
    Sustained high growth in primary industry exports looks set to continue over the next two years with strong prices predicted for farmers, fishers, growers and rural communities. Minister of Agriculture and Minister of State for Trade and Export Growth Damien O’Connor today released the latest Situation and Outlook report for ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • New partnership to boost screen sector job opportunities
    Auckland’s growing screen sector is the catalyst for a new partnership between the Ministry of Social Development and Auckland’s economic development agency Auckland Tourism, Events and Economic Development (ATEED). The launch today at FilmFX in Henderson, is to celebrate the partnership which looks to capitalise on the social and economic development opportunities ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • A minute’s silence for Whakaari White Island victims
    A minute’s silence will be observed at 2.11pm on Monday 16 December in honour of the victims of the Whakaari White Island eruption, Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern has confirmed. “Wherever you are in New Zealand, or around the world, this is a moment we can stand alongside those who have ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • NZ to help fund fight against measles in the Pacific region
    Foreign Minister Winston Peters has announced New Zealand will contribute NZ$1 million of funding towards the joint United Nations Fund for Children (UNICEF) and World Health Organisation (WHO) Pacific Regional Action Plan for Measles.   “Prevention through vaccination is the most effective way of avoiding illness and a costly health emergency. ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • New Zealand remembers Sir Peter Snell
    New Zealand is today remembering one of our true sporting heroes, triple Olympic gold medal winner Sir Peter Snell. “He was a legend, here and around the world,” Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern said. “Our thoughts are with Sir Peter’s wife Miki and their family.” “Sir Peter is recognised as New ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • PM congratulates Boris Johnson on election victory
    Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern has congratulated United Kingdom Prime Minister Boris Johnson on his election victory.  “New Zealand and the United Kingdom are close friends and despite our distance we are strongly connected by our history and people,” Jacinda Ardern said.  “I look forward to continuing to work with Prime ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Building a platform for the future of rail
    The Government has released its long term vision for a sustainable 21st Century rail network that gets our cities moving, connects our regions and gets more freight off the roads.   Deputy Prime Minister and State Owned Enterprises Minister Winston Peters said the Government is committed to rebuilding New Zealand’s ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Prime Minister statement Whakaari White Island recovery operation
    I want to start by acknowledging the families who have experienced such grief and such loss since the extraordinary tragedy on Monday. Today was all about reuniting them with their loved ones. We've just come from the airport where many of them were gathered and in amongst what you can ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • New Zealand medical specialists to provide further support to Samoa
    Foreign Minister Winston Peters today announced further support for Samoa’s longer term needs as it continues to respond to a devastating measles epidemic. “Samoa’s health system has experienced massive strain in the wake of the measles epidemic. The volume of patients needing care during this outbreak, and the number of ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Discounted electric-bikes offered to public sector workers
    Discounted electric bikes will be offered up to public sector staff across the country as part of the Government’s work to reduce transport emissions and support healthier transport options.  Associate Minister of Transport Julie Anne Genter officially launched the new initiative at Wellington Hospital today.  “The Government has negotiated bulk-purchase ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Australia and New Zealand confirm joint bid for FIFA Women’s World Cup
    The Australian and New Zealand Governments today launch an historic joint bid to bring the FIFA Women’s World Cup to the Southern Hemisphere for the first time. Australian Minister for Youth and Sport, Richard Colbeck and New Zealand Minister for Sport and Recreation Grant Robertson will announce the bold campaign, ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Blackwater gold mine gets PGF boost
    The Provincial Growth Fund (PGF) has approved a $15 million loan to help re-establish a gold mining operation at Blackwater Gold Mine, near Reefton, Rural Communities Minister and local MP Damien O’Connor announced at an event on the West Coast today. “This is great news for the Coast that could ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Papakāinga model inspires whānau well-being
    Papakāinga model inspires whānau well-being A housing project by Kohupātiki whānau in Hastings is an outstanding example of a Māori-led housing initiative that can reduce financial pressure and reconnect whānau to their whakapapa says the Minister for Māori Development Hon Nanaia Mahuta.  Minister Mahuta officially opened the Aroha Te Rangi ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Government provides more funding for major community wetland restoration project
    Restoration efforts for a significant wetland in the Hawke’s Bay are getting more support announced Associate Minister for the Environment Eugenie Sage. “Wetlands are vital to healthy landscapes and ecosystems. They function as nature’s ‘kidneys’, filtering and protecting water quality, acting as nature’s sponges after rain and are home to ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Housing First to help Nelson Tasman homeless
    Nelson has today seen the launch of Housing First Nelson Tasman. Today’s launch marks the expansion of the Government’s homelessness programme, Housing First, to the top of the South Island. “Housing First is a proven programme that puts people who are experiencing homelessness and multiple, high and complex needs into ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • New funding to support Environment Centres working for sustainable local solutions
    New Government funding announced today will help communities make a difference in tackling environmental issues Associate Minister for the Environment Eugenie Sage announced in Hawkes Bay today. The Ministry for the Environment’s Community Environment Fund is dedicating $243,101 to growing the capacity and capability of the Environment Hubs Aotearoa’s (EHA) ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Government takes bite out of loan sharks
    The days of vulnerable consumers falling victim to loan sharks, truck shops and other predatory lenders are numbered, following the Credit Contracts Legislation Amendment Bill passing its third reading tonight. “Too many Kiwis are being given loans that are unaffordable and unsuitable, trapping them in debt and leaving their families ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • New Zealand safer as Terrorism Suppression (Control Orders Bill) becomes law
    A Bill that prevents terrorism and supports the de-radicalisation of New Zealanders returning from overseas has passed its third reading, Justice Minister Andrew Little says. The Terrorism Suppression (Control Orders) Bill is a carefully targeted response to manage the risk posed by a small number of New Zealanders who have ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Foreign Minister and Pacific Peoples Minister to visit Samoa
    Foreign Affairs Minister Winston Peters and Minister for Pacific Peoples Aupito William Sio will travel to Samoa on Friday, where New Zealand medical teams are helping Samoa respond to an outbreak of measles. “New Zealand has been working closely with the Government of Samoa and offering our assistance from the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • New Pastoral Care Code will support tertiary students in 2020
    The Government has changed the law to improve student safety and welfare in university halls of residence and other student accommodation. The Education (Pastoral Care) Amendment Bill passed its third reading this afternoon and details of an interim Code of Practice setting out the Government’s expectations of tertiary providers have also been released. ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • New infrastructure funding tool to build housing developments faster
    A new tool to help councils fund and finance infrastructure could mean some housing developments happen a decade earlier than currently planned, Urban Development Minister Phil Twyford said today. “This new tool, developed by the Government in partnership with industry and high-growth councils, will allow councils to access private debt ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Vision to unite the primary sector launched today
    Agriculture Minister Damien O’Connor has welcomed the release of a bold new vision for the country’s vital food and fibre sector. “I’m delighted that New Zealand’s major farmer and grower organisations are today supporting the Primary Sector Council’s vision – Fit for a Better World,” he said. “The international consumers ...
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    4 days ago
  • NZ congratulates PNG and Autonomous Bougainville Government on referendum
    Foreign Minister Winston Peters has congratulated the Government of Papua New Guinea and the Autonomous Bougainville Government for completing a well-conducted referendum on the future political status of Bougainville. “New Zealand supported the referendum process by providing technical advice through the New Zealand Electoral Commission and leading a Regional Police ...
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    4 days ago
  • Next steps for Upper North Island logistics
    In light of Cabinet’s position that freight operations on prime land in downtown Auckland are no longer viable, the Government will now embark on a short work programme to enable decision-making in the first half of next year, Associate Transport Minister Shane Jones says. Minister Jones is today releasing the ...
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    4 days ago
  • Surgical mesh restorative justice report received
    Associate Health Minister Julie Anne Genter has received the report back from a surgical mesh restorative justice process undertaken by Victoria University. The process heard stories, either in person or online submission, from more than 600 people affected by surgical mesh. “The report made for heart-breaking and confronting reading,” says ...
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    4 days ago
  • The Water Services Regulator Bill – Taumata Arowai a milestone for drinking water safety
    The Water Services Regulator Bill – Taumata Arowai , introduced to Parliament today, is a milestone for drinking water safety in New Zealand and will help improve environmental outcomes for urban waterways, rivers and lakes.  “This is a breakthrough for New Zealanders in terms of providing safe drinking water throughout ...
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    4 days ago
  • Speech to new direction for criminal justice reform announcement
    Kia ora koutouE ngā mana, e ngā reo, e ngā matā wakaTēnā koutou katoaHaere ngā, moe maiKoutou ma ngā Rangatira Ko Anaru ahauKo au te Minita mo ngā TureHe Honore tino nui kei roto I ahau No reira tena koutou katoa Today, we are releasing two reports that are the ...
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    4 days ago
  • New direction for criminal justice reform
    The Government is looking to turn around the long-term challenges of criminal justice by taking a new approach to break the cycle of offending to ensure there are fewer victims of crime. Justice Minister Andrew Little released two reports today, Turuki! Turuki! from Te Uepū Hāpai I te Ora, and ...
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    4 days ago
  • New law sets up $300m Venture Capital Fund
    New Zealand firms expanding beyond the start-up phase are set for more support after today’s passage of the Venture Capital Fund Bill, Associate Finance Minister David Parker said. The Bill, which establishes a $300 million Venture Capital Fund, puts in place a key initiative of the Wellbeing Budget’s economic package. ...
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    5 days ago
  • New Zealand’s National Statement to COP25
    E ngā mana, e ngā reo, e ngā iwi, e ngā rau rangatira mā. Tēnā koutou, tēnā koutou, tēnā koutou katoa. Señora Presidenta, Excellencies, Delegates. International action A common thread that runs through the Paris Agreement is the commitment we have made to each other to do what we can to ...
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    5 days ago
  • Strong economy, careful spending gives $12bn of surpluses
    The Government is forecast to run $12 billion worth of surpluses across the four years to 2023/24 as the economy continues to grow. The surpluses will help fund day-to-day capital requirements each year. These include fixing leaky hospitals, building new classrooms to cover population growth and take pressure off class ...
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    5 days ago
  • Priorities for 2020 Wellbeing Budget outlined
    Budget 2020 will continue the Coalition Government’s focus on tackling the long-term challenges facing New Zealand while also investing to future-proof the economy. When the Government took office in 2017 it was left with crumbling infrastructure, severe underinvestment in public services, degraded rivers and lakes, a housing crisis and rising ...
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    5 days ago
  • $12 billion in extra infrastructure investment
    The Government is lifting capital investment to the highest level in more than 20 years as it takes the next step to future-proof New Zealand. Finance Minister Grant Robertson has announced $12 billion of new investment, with $8 billion for specific capital projects and $4 billion to be added to ...
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    5 days ago
  • Minister welcomes data-rich coastline mapping tool
    The Minister responsible for the Marine and Coastal Area (Takutai Moana) Act 2011 (te Takutai Moana Act 2011), Andrew Little has welcomed the launch of an online geospatial tool that provides data-rich, dynamic coastline maps that will significantly boost research and evidence-gathering under the Act. Te Kete Kōrero a Te ...
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    5 days ago
  • Chief Victims Advisor reappointed for a further two years
    The Chief Victims Advisor to Government Dr Kim McGregor, QSO, has been reappointed in her role for a further two years. Dr McGregor has held the role since it was established in November 2015. She provides independent advice to government on how to improve the criminal justice system for victims. ...
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    5 days ago
  • New Zealand tsunami monitoring and detection system to be established
    Foreign Affairs Minister Winston Peters and Civil Defence Minister Peeni Henare have today announced the deployment of a network of DART (Deep-ocean Assessment and Reporting of Tsunami) buoys. “New Zealand and the Pacific region are particularly vulnerable to natural disasters. It is vital we have adequate warning systems in place,” ...
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    5 days ago
  • DART Buoys Announcement
    DART Buoys Announcement Aotea Wharf, 9.30am 11 December 2019   Acknowledgements Acknowledgements to Minister for Civil Defence Hon Peeni Henare also here today. White Island It is with regret that this event shadows the tragic natural disaster two days ago. The volcanic eruptions on White Island have claimed 5 lives, ...
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    5 days ago