- Date published:
3:36 pm, August 12th, 2020 - 34 comments
Categories: act, class war, Dirty Politics, election 2020, greens, jacinda ardern, Judith Collins, labour, nz first, Politics, same old national, the praiseworthy and the pitiful - Tags: judith collins, labour, national, polls, UMR poll
Yet another rogue poll, this time from UMR, has Labour on 52%, National 28%, Act 5.9%, Greens 5.4% and NZ First steady on 5.1%.
That would give Labour 65 seats, the Greens 7, NZ First 6 and ACT 7, National 35.
I stand by my earlier suggestion that if all 3 Government parties make it back, Labour will be inclined to invite both partners to join them around the cabinet table. That would provide the largest majority under MMP and one of the biggest ever in NZ political history.
Michael Appleton’s poll of polls (RR, CB, RM, UMR) reads as follows:
Polling average: :
Labour – 55%
National – 28%
Greens – 6%
Act – 5%
NZ First – 3%
Left – 78 seats, Right – 42 seats.
Those seat numbers don’t change significantly whether or not NZF are in or out, due to seat re-distribution.
One bright spot for the Tories in the UMR poll is that Judith Collins is their most popular leader since Bill English, snagging 20% support, only a tiny 41 points behind Jacinda Ardern.
Collin’s apparent response to the poll is a petulant call a few minutes ago for the election to be delayed till November.
Fat chance of that happening.