US Election 2020
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- Date published:
6:36 pm, November 3rd, 2020 - 137 comments
Categories: us politics -
Tags: US election 2020
Last polls close 1am EST Weds 5 Nov, which is 7pm NZT Weds 5 Nov.
Fivethirtyeight have the closing times for all states,
There’s a good chance we won’t know who won the presidential election on election night. More people than ever are voting by mail this year due to the pandemic, and mail ballots take longer to count than ballots cast at polling places. But because each state has its own rules for how votes are counted and reported, some will report results sooner than others. Those disparate rules may also make initial returns misleading: The margins in some states may shift toward Democrats as mail ballots (which are overwhelmingly cast by Democrats) are counted, while states that release mail ballots first may experience a shift toward Republicans as Election Day votes are tallied.
Here’s a general picture of how much of the vote we expect to be counted on election night in all 50 states and Washington, D.C. If you click on a given state, it’ll take you to a more detailed description of when to expect results and whether to expect a red or blue shift in the vote count.
NZT timeline from TNVZ journo @lukeappleby
Basically – a result could be called by a major US news outlet any time from 5pm NZT
Mobile version (thanks Fitz Bunny)
Coverage
The Guardian’s US Election page and live update page
NYT live updates (free login)
Aljazeera election pages and info graphic explainer
270toWin (nonpartisan American political website that projects who will win United States presidential elections)
Rachel Maddow on twitter
Democracy Now election pages and livestream
Post any addition links in comments (twitter follows would be good too).
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Prime Minister Christopher Luxon held a bilateral meeting today with the President of the Philippines, Ferdinand Marcos Jr. The Prime Minister was accompanied by MP Paulo Garcia, the first Filipino to be elected to a legislature outside the Philippines. During today’s meeting, Prime Minister Luxon and President Marcos Jr discussed opportunities to ...11 hours ago - Government commits $20m to Westport flood protectionThe Government has announced that $20 million in funding will be made available to Westport to fund much needed flood protection around the town. This measure will significantly improve the resilience of the community, says Local Government Minister Simeon Brown. “The Westport community has already been allocated almost $3 million ...17 hours ago
- Taupō takes pole positionThe Government is proud to support the first ever Repco Supercars Championship event in Taupō as up to 70,000 motorsport fans attend the Taupō International Motorsport Park this weekend, says Economic Development Minister Melissa Lee. “Anticipation for the ITM Taupō Super400 is huge, with tickets and accommodation selling out weeks ...18 hours ago
- Cost of living support for low-income homeownersLocal Government Minister Simeon Brown has announced an increase to the Rates Rebate Scheme, putting money back into the pockets of low-income homeowners. “The coalition Government is committed to bringing down the cost of living for New Zealanders. That includes targeted support for those Kiwis who are doing things tough, such ...20 hours ago
- Government backing mussel spat projectThe Coalition Government is investing in a project to boost survival rates of New Zealand mussels and grow the industry, Oceans and Fisheries Minister Shane Jones has announced. “This project seeks to increase the resilience of our mussels and significantly boost the sector’s productivity,” Mr Jones says. “The project - ...20 hours ago
- Government focused on getting people into workBenefit figures released today underscore the importance of the Government’s plan to rebuild the economy and have 50,000 fewer people on Jobseeker Support, Social Development and Employment Minister Louise Upston says. “Benefit numbers are still significantly higher than when National was last in government, when there was about 70,000 fewer ...23 hours ago
- Clean energy key driver to reducing emissionsThe Government’s commitment to doubling New Zealand’s renewable energy capacity is backed by new data showing that clean energy has helped the country reach its lowest annual gross emissions since 1999, Climate Change Minister Simon Watts says. New Zealand’s latest Greenhouse Gas Inventory (1990-2022) published today, shows gross emissions fell ...1 day ago
- Earthquake-prone buildings review brought forwardThe Government is bringing the earthquake-prone building review forward, with work to start immediately, and extending the deadline for remediations by four years, Building and Construction Minister Chris Penk says. “Our Government is focused on rebuilding the economy. A key part of our plan is to cut red tape that ...1 day ago
- Thailand and NZ to agree to Strategic PartnershipPrime Minister Christopher Luxon and his Thai counterpart, Prime Minister Srettha Thavisin, have today agreed that New Zealand and the Kingdom of Thailand will upgrade the bilateral relationship to a Strategic Partnership by 2026. “New Zealand and Thailand have a lot to offer each other. We have a strong mutual desire to build ...2 days ago
- Government consults on extending coastal permits for portsRMA Reform Minister Chris Bishop and Transport Minister Simeon Brown have today announced the Coalition Government’s intention to extend port coastal permits for a further 20 years, providing port operators with certainty to continue their operations. “The introduction of the Resource Management Act in 1991 required ports to obtain coastal ...2 days ago
- Inflation coming down, but more work to doToday’s announcement that inflation is down to 4 per cent is encouraging news for Kiwis, but there is more work to be done - underlining the importance of the Government’s plan to get the economy back on track, acting Finance Minister Chris Bishop says. “Inflation is now at 4 per ...2 days ago
- School attendance restored as a priority in health adviceRefreshed health guidance released today will help parents and schools make informed decisions about whether their child needs to be in school, addressing one of the key issues affecting school attendance, says Associate Education Minister David Seymour. In recent years, consistently across all school terms, short-term illness or medical reasons ...2 days ago
- Unnecessary bureaucracy cut in oceans sectorOceans and Fisheries Minister Shane Jones is streamlining high-level oceans management while maintaining a focus on supporting the sector’s role in the export-led recovery of the economy. “I am working to realise the untapped potential of our fishing and aquaculture sector. To achieve that we need to be smarter with ...2 days ago
- Patterson promoting NZ’s wool sector at International CongressAssociate Agriculture Minister Mark Patterson is speaking at the International Wool Textile Organisation Congress in Adelaide, promoting New Zealand wool, and outlining the coalition Government’s support for the revitalisation the sector. "New Zealand’s wool exports reached $400 million in the year to 30 June 2023, and the coalition Government ...3 days ago
- Removing red tape to help early learners thriveThe Government is making legislative changes to make it easier for new early learning services to be established, and for existing services to operate, Associate Education Minister David Seymour says. The changes involve repealing the network approval provisions that apply when someone wants to establish a new early learning service, ...3 days ago
- RMA changes to cut coal mining consent red tapeChanges to the Resource Management Act will align consenting for coal mining to other forms of mining to reduce barriers that are holding back economic development, Resources Minister Shane Jones says. “The inconsistent treatment of coal mining compared with other extractive activities is burdensome red tape that fails to acknowledge ...3 days ago
- McClay reaffirms strong NZ-China trade relationshipTrade, Agriculture and Forestry Minister Todd McClay has concluded productive discussions with ministerial counterparts in Beijing today, in support of the New Zealand-China trade and economic relationship. “My meeting with Commerce Minister Wang Wentao reaffirmed the complementary nature of the bilateral trade relationship, with our Free Trade Agreement at its ...3 days ago
- Prime Minister Luxon acknowledges legacy of Singapore Prime Minister LeePrime Minister Christopher Luxon today paid tribute to Singapore’s outgoing Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong. Meeting in Singapore today immediately before Prime Minister Lee announced he was stepping down, Prime Minister Luxon warmly acknowledged his counterpart’s almost twenty years as leader, and the enduring legacy he has left for Singapore and South East ...4 days ago
- PMs Luxon and Lee deepen Singapore-NZ tiesPrime Minister Christopher Luxon held a bilateral meeting today with Singapore Prime Minister Lee Hsien Loong. While in Singapore as part of his visit to South East Asia this week, Prime Minister Luxon also met with Singapore President Tharman Shanmugaratnam and will meet with Deputy Prime Minister Lawrence Wong. During today’s meeting, Prime Minister Luxon ...4 days ago
- Antarctica New Zealand Board appointmentsForeign Minister Winston Peters has made further appointments to the Board of Antarctica New Zealand as part of a continued effort to ensure the Scott Base Redevelopment project is delivered in a cost-effective and efficient manner. The Minister has appointed Neville Harris as a new member of the Board. Mr ...4 days ago
- Finance Minister travels to Washington DCFinance Minister Nicola Willis will travel to the United States on Tuesday to attend a meeting of the Five Finance Ministers group, with counterparts from Australia, the United States, Canada, and the United Kingdom. “I am looking forward to meeting with our Five Finance partners on how we can work ...4 days ago
- Pet bonds a win/win for renters and landlordsThe coalition Government has today announced purrfect and pawsitive changes to the Residential Tenancies Act to give tenants with pets greater choice when looking for a rental property, says Housing Minister Chris Bishop. “Pets are important members of many Kiwi families. It’s estimated that around 64 per cent of New ...4 days ago
- Long Tunnel for SH1 Wellington being consideredState Highway 1 (SH1) through Wellington City is heavily congested at peak times and while planning continues on the duplicate Mt Victoria Tunnel and Basin Reserve project, the Government has also asked NZ Transport Agency (NZTA) to consider and provide advice on a Long Tunnel option, Transport Minister Simeon Brown ...4 days ago
- New Zealand condemns Iranian strikesPrime Minister Christopher Luxon and Foreign Minister Winston Peters have condemned Iran’s shocking and illegal strikes against Israel. “These attacks are a major challenge to peace and stability in a region already under enormous pressure," Mr Luxon says. "We are deeply concerned that miscalculation on any side could ...4 days ago
- Huge interest in Government’s infrastructure plansHundreds of people in little over a week have turned out in Northland to hear Regional Development Minister Shane Jones speak about plans for boosting the regional economy through infrastructure. About 200 people from the infrastructure and associated sectors attended an event headlined by Mr Jones in Whangarei today. Last ...7 days ago
- Health Minister thanks outgoing Health New Zealand ChairHealth Minister Dr Shane Reti has today thanked outgoing Health New Zealand – Te Whatu Ora Chair Dame Karen Poutasi for her service on the Board. “Dame Karen tendered her resignation as Chair and as a member of the Board today,” says Dr Reti. “I have asked her to ...7 days ago
- Roads of National Significance planning underwayThe NZ Transport Agency (NZTA) has signalled their proposed delivery approach for the Government’s 15 Roads of National Significance (RoNS), with the release of the State Highway Investment Proposal (SHIP) today, Transport Minister Simeon Brown says. “Boosting economic growth and productivity is a key part of the Government’s plan to ...7 days ago
- Navigating an unstable global environmentNew Zealand is renewing its connections with a world facing urgent challenges by pursuing an active, energetic foreign policy, Foreign Minister Winston Peters says. “Our country faces the most unstable global environment in decades,” Mr Peters says at the conclusion of two weeks of engagements in Egypt, Europe and the United States. “We cannot afford to sit back in splendid ...7 days ago
- NZ welcomes Australian Governor-GeneralPrime Minister Christopher Luxon has announced the Australian Governor-General, His Excellency General The Honourable David Hurley and his wife Her Excellency Mrs Linda Hurley, will make a State visit to New Zealand from Tuesday 16 April to Thursday 18 April. The visit reciprocates the State visit of former Governor-General Dame Patsy Reddy ...7 days ago
- Pseudoephedrine back on shelves for WinterAssociate Health Minister David Seymour has announced that Medsafe has approved 11 cold and flu medicines containing pseudoephedrine. Pharmaceutical suppliers have indicated they may be able to supply the first products in June. “This is much earlier than the original expectation of medicines being available by 2025. The Government recognised ...7 days ago
- NZ and the US: an ever closer partnershipNew Zealand and the United States have recommitted to their strategic partnership in Washington DC today, pledging to work ever more closely together in support of shared values and interests, Foreign Minister Winston Peters says. “The strategic environment that New Zealand and the United States face is considerably more ...1 week ago
- Joint US and NZ declarationApril 11, 2024 Joint Declaration by United States Secretary of State the Honorable Antony J. Blinken and New Zealand Minister of Foreign Affairs the Right Honourable Winston Peters We met today in Washington, D.C. to recommit to the historic partnership between our two countries and the principles that underpin it—rule ...1 week ago
- NZ and US to undertake further practical Pacific cooperationForeign Minister Winston Peters has announced further New Zealand cooperation with the United States in the Pacific Islands region through $16.4 million in funding for initiatives in digital connectivity and oceans and fisheries research. “New Zealand can achieve more in the Pacific if we work together more urgently and ...1 week ago
- Government redress for Te Korowai o WainuiāruaThe Government is continuing the bipartisan effort to restore its relationship with iwi as the Te Korowai o Wainuiārua Claims Settlement Bill passed its first reading in Parliament today, says Treaty Negotiations Minister Paul Goldsmith. “Historical grievances of Te Korowai o Wainuiārua relate to 19th century warfare, land purchased or taken ...1 week ago
- Focus on outstanding minerals permit applicationsNew Zealand Petroleum and Minerals is working to resolve almost 150 outstanding minerals permit applications by the end of the financial year, enabling valuable mining activity and signalling to the sector that New Zealand is open for business, Resources Minister Shane Jones says. “While there are no set timeframes for ...1 week ago
- Applications open for NZ-Ireland Research CallThe New Zealand and Irish governments have today announced that applications for the 2024 New Zealand-Ireland Joint Research Call on Agriculture and Climate Change are now open. This is the third research call in the three-year Joint Research Initiative pilot launched in 2022 by the Ministry for Primary Industries and Ireland’s ...1 week ago
- Tenancy rules changes to improve rental marketThe coalition Government has today announced changes to the Residential Tenancies Act to encourage landlords back to the rental property market, says Housing Minister Chris Bishop. “The previous Government waged a war on landlords. Many landlords told us this caused them to exit the rental market altogether. It caused worse ...1 week ago
- Boosting NZ’s trade and agricultural relationship with ChinaTrade and Agriculture Minister Todd McClay will visit China next week, to strengthen relationships, support Kiwi exporters and promote New Zealand businesses on the world stage. “China is one of New Zealand’s most significant trade and economic relationships and remains an important destination for New Zealand’s products, accounting for nearly 22 per cent of our good and ...1 week ago
- Freshwater farm plan systems to be improvedThe coalition Government intends to improve freshwater farm plans so that they are more cost-effective and practical for farmers, Associate Environment Minister Andrew Hoggard and Agriculture Minister Todd McClay have announced. “A fit-for-purpose freshwater farm plan system will enable farmers and growers to find the right solutions for their farm ...1 week ago
- New Fast Track Projects advisory group namedThe coalition Government has today announced the expert advisory group who will provide independent recommendations to Ministers on projects to be included in the Fast Track Approvals Bill, say RMA Reform Minister Chris Bishop and Regional Development Minister Shane Jones. “Our Fast Track Approval process will make it easier and ...1 week ago
- 20,000 more on jobseeker benefits than this time last year
The government’s plan to get 50,000 people off jobseeker support by 2030 has had a rocky start, writes Catherine McGregor in this excerpt from The Bulletin, The Spinoff’s morning news round-up. To receive The Bulletin in full each weekday, sign up here. Beneficiary numbers are up – and so are ...2 hours ago - All of the Raglan Roast cafes in Wellington, ranked from worst to bestRaglan Roast is a staple of Wellington coffee culture. But with five branches across the capital, which one is the best? I am a die-hard Raglan Roast fan. It’s consistently the most affordable cafe in Wellington, and one of the only places you can get a coffee after 3pm. So, ...4 hours ago
- Auckland uni students threaten rent strike over rising accommodation feesResidents of University of Auckland halls are being urged to withhold their accommodation fees from May 1, in a bid to force the university to take student concerns over rent hikes seriously. The University of Auckland is facing a strike from students over the cost of on-campus accommodation. The Students ...4 hours ago
- Wellington’s ebb and flow of public servants
The thousands of government “back-office” job cuts are causing widespread pain in the capital city. In today’s episode of The Detail, we speak to three journalists and a think tank researcher, looking at the larger picture around the cuts and what effect it will have on Wellington, a city that’s ...4 hours ago - New Zealand transport planning has gone off the railsOpinion: The famed American architect and urban designer Daniel Burnham once said, “Make no little plans. They have no magic to stir men’s blood!” Burnham wouldn’t have been referring to the transport plans in Aotearoa New Zealand over the past five years; projects so big they hadn’t the credibility to ...4 hours ago
- Daily crossword, Friday 19 AprilThe post Daily crossword, Friday 19 April appeared first on Newsroom. ...4 hours ago
- Brakes on transport and logistics sector as demand for freight slowsThe transport sector is currently in the slow lane The post Brakes on transport and logistics sector as demand for freight slows appeared first on Newsroom. ...4 hours ago
- Newsroom daily quiz, Friday 19 AprilLoading…(function(i,s,o,g,r,a,m){var ql=document.querySelectorAll('A[quiz],DIV[quiz],A[data-quiz],DIV[data-quiz]'); if(ql){if(ql.length){for(var k=0;k<ql.length;k++){ql[k].id='quiz-embed-'+k;ql[k].href="javascript:var i=document.getElementById('quiz-embed-"+k+"');try{qz.startQuiz(i)}catch(e){i.start=1;i.style.cursor='wait';i.style.opacity='0.5'};void(0);"}}};i['QP']=r;i[r]=i[r]||function(){(i[r].q=i[r].q||[]).push(arguments)},i[r].l=1*new Date();a=s.createElement(o),m=s.getElementsByTagName(o)[0];a.async=1;a.src=g;m.parentNode.insertBefore(a,m)})(window,document,'script','https://take.quiz-maker.com/3012/CDN/quiz-embed-v1.js','qp'); Got a good quiz question? Send Newsroom your questions. The post Newsroom daily quiz, Friday 19 April appeared first on Newsroom. ...4 hours ago
- Financial literacy should be on all of usOpinion: With maths understanding at 42 percent for Year 8 students, there’s no doubt something has to be done. But how? The post Financial literacy should be on all of us appeared first on Newsroom. ...4 hours ago
- Missy rustles to stardom in CanadaHineaupounamu ‘Missy’ Nuku has been scaling mountains in Canada for her college basketball team, the Lakeland Rustlers. Alberta is currently home for the 20-year-old point guard, who is in her first year of a scholarship at Lakeland College, where she is studying for a business degree. She has certainly made ...4 hours ago
- Emissions fall again – now NZ needs to up the paceOfficial figures confirm New Zealand produced less climate pollution in 2022 than in any other year in the 21st century The post Emissions fall again – now NZ needs to up the pace appeared first on Newsroom. ...4 hours ago
- Warning of death from a million cuts as Oceans Secretariat dissolvedShane Jones says people voted for change, but opponents say small cuts such as ending a special oceans secretariat are starting to add up The post Warning of death from a million cuts as Oceans Secretariat dissolved appeared first on Newsroom. ...4 hours ago
- Defence deal to counter Beijing’s aggression in South China SeaNew Zealand and the Philippines have signed a new maritime security agreement and stated their concerns over activity in the South China Sea, as Chinese vessels continue to flout international law. Prime Minister Christopher Luxon and Philippines President Ferdinand “Bongbong” Marcos committed to signing a Mutual Logistics Supporting Arrangement by ...4 hours ago
- Grattan on Friday: Ethnic tensions will complicate the Albanese government’s multicultural policy ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Michelle Grattan, Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra When ASIO boss Mike Burgess delivered his annual threat assessment earlier this year, he stressed the rising danger posed by espionage and foreign interference. “In 2024, threats to our way of life have surpassed ...10 hours ago - Group plans work to improve safety of female MPs
New research shows harassment of elected officials - especially women - is on the rise. ...11 hours ago - Ukraine warns of WW3 ahead of long-stalled Congress aid voteUkraine's Prime Minister says his country desperately needs the US to approve long-stalled security assistance. ...13 hours ago
- PSA astonished Education Minister expects hiring of contractors to review curriculumHiring contractors is an appalling solution when people who could do the work are losing their jobs, the PSA says. ...14 hours ago
- Crown lawyers attempt to block Waitangi Tribunal summons to Minister for ChildrenThe Tribunal had called on Minister for Children Karen Chhour to provide evidence at an urgent inquiry into the repeal of Section 7AA of the Oranga Tamariki Act. ...15 hours ago
- Luxon refuses to guarantee public consultation on AUKUS Pillar 2Prime Minister Christopher Luxon says it's "far too premature" to be confirming whether the public would be consulted on joining AUKUS Pillar 2. ...16 hours ago
- Visualising the 1800s or designing wedding invitations: 6 ways you can use AI beyond generating textSource: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By T.J. Thomson, Senior Lecturer in Visual Communication & Digital Media, RMIT University Midjourney image by T.J. Thomson As more than half of Australian office workers report using generative artificial intelligence (AI) for work, we’re starting to see this technology affect every ...16 hours ago
- Falls, fractures and self-harm: 4 charts on how kids’ injury risk changes over time and differs fo...Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Lisa Nicole Sharwood, Injury epidemiologist | Expert Witness, UNSW Sydney Sergey Novikov/Shutterstock Injuries are the leading cause of disability and death among Australian children and adolescents. At least a quarter of all emergency department presentations during childhood are injury-related. Injuries can ...16 hours ago
- Choice and control: will NDIS reforms mean people with disability don’t get to decide who they liv...Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Di Winkler, Adjunct Associate Professor, Living with Disability Research Centre, La Trobe University Shutterstock/Ground Picture Many Australians with disability feel on the edge of a precipice right now. Recommendations from the disability royal commission and the NDIS review were released late ...17 hours ago
- Asbestos in playground mulch: how to avoid a repeat of this circular economy scandalSource: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Salman Shooshtarian, Senior Lecturer, School of Property, Construction and Project Management, RMIT University Salman Shooshtarian Asbestos has been found in mulch used for playgrounds, schools, parks and gardens across Sydney and Melbourne. Local communities naturally fear for the health of their ...17 hours ago
- Could Albanese’s bet on homegrown green industries be the boost our regions deserve?Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Madeline Taylor, Senior Lecturer, Macquarie University Cloudy Designs/Shutterstock Right now, there’s a global race underway. The goal: bring back manufacturing and energy jobs as the energy transition speeds up. In 2022, America launched its mammoth Inflation Reduction Act and the ...17 hours ago
- Watch: Prime Minister Christopher Luxon won't say if government will consult public on joining ...Asked multiple times if the public will be consulted on joining the defence pact, Luxon repeatedly said that was yet to be worked through. ...17 hours ago
- Watch live: Prime Minister Christopher Luxon speaks in PhilippinesPrime Minister Christopher Luxon is speaking to reporters on the third leg of his Southeast Asia trip, from Manila in the Philippines. ...17 hours ago
- Māori lawyers call Shane Jones' Waitangi Tribunal comments 'inappropriate'The Māori Law Society says his comments breach the principle of the separation of powers and the Cabinet Manual. ...18 hours ago
- Abortions Increase 25% Since Law Change
Family First says that the latest abortion statistics make grim and upsetting reading, with a 25% increase in abortions since the decriminalisation of abortion in March 2020. According to an Official Information Act request received by Right to Life ...19 hours ago - Over Half Of New Zealanders Feel That The Country Is In Decline And That Our Society Is BrokenIpsos New Zealand's inaugural participation in a global study on populism reveals a pervasive sense of societal and economic decline among New Zealanders. MORE DETAILS AND FULL REPORT HERE Ipsos New Zealand's inaugural participation in a global study ...19 hours ago
- Australia’s new defence strategy is big on ideas, but lacks one key ingredient: well-trained soldi...Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Peter Layton, Visiting Fellow, Strategic Studies, Griffith University There have been a lot of defence announcements recently about buying new equipment, building up Australia’s manufacturing capabilities, creating local jobs, new legislation to support AUKUS and even a new defence chief. In ...19 hours ago
- What does Steve Smith’s Stateside signing mean for cricket in the US – and Australia?Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Tim Harcourt, Industry Professor and Chief Economist, University of Technology Sydney Steve Smith, one of this generation’s finest batters, has conquered much of the cricketing world during his career, and he now has set his sights on a new frontier: the United ...19 hours ago
- A love letter to Wellington: when i open the shop by romesh dissanayake, reviewedMadeleine Ballard reviews the debut novel from romesh dissanayake. when I open the shop, the debut novel by Naarm-based Aotearoa writer romesh dissanayake (Sri Lankan, Koryo Saram), is a narrative of grief. Devendra loses his mother, opens a noodle shop on The Terrace, grieves, and emerges changed. But just as ...19 hours ago
- Minister Concedes Contractors Will Be Hired To Do Work Of Axed Ministry Of Education StaffThe PSA can’t believe that the Minister of Education is happy for her ministry to hire contractors at the same time it is dismissing 565 workers. ...19 hours ago
- Attempt to bar diplomat from Myanmar military junta failsMyanmar community members applied to the courts to bar the diplomat from attending the Association of Southeast Asian Nations. ...20 hours ago
- LGNZ Welcomes Govt Earthquake-prone Buildings DecisionLGNZ has advocated for this decision as part of a remit led by Manawatū District Council. ...20 hours ago
- AUKUS Pillar 2 a 'fragrant, methane-wrapped bull***' – Bob CarrThe former Australian Foreign Minister has continued to warn New Zealand against joining the defence pact. ...20 hours ago
- Enforceable undertaking issued to abc accounting services limited after continued non-compliance.The Department of Internal Affairs (DIA) has accepted an enforceable undertaking agreement from ABC Accounting Services Limited (ABC) under section 81 of the Anti-Money Laundering and Countering Financing of Terrorism Act 2009 (AML/CFT Act). ...21 hours ago
- REVEALED: RNZ’s Hypocrisy Over Fair Digital News Bargaining BillThe Taxpayers’ Union can reveal that Radio New Zealand (RNZ) spent $71,842.53 on Facebook advertising over the past 12 months, despite earlier this year coming out in support of the Fair Digital News Bargaining Bill , which would force the likes ...21 hours ago
- Police rejected 'very good offer' – Mark MitchellPolice Minister Mark Mitchell says the pay offer rejected by police was the best the government could put forward under difficult financial circumstances. ...21 hours ago
- How can we have truth-telling without the Voice? Our research shows a way forwardSource: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Heidi Norman, Professor, Faculty of Arts, Design and Architecture, Convenor: Indigenous Land & Justice Research Group, UNSW Sydney Shutterstock The Uluru Statement from the Heart set out the aspirations of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander peoples for “Voice, Treaty, Truth”, in ...21 hours ago
- NZ education scores must improve – but another polarising ideological pivot isn’t the answerSource: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Bronwyn E Wood, Associate Professor in Education, Te Herenga Waka — Victoria University of Wellington Getty Images You don’t need to look hard right now to see concerns about Aotearoa New Zealand’s education system. Declining performance in international testing has been ...21 hours ago
- An updated tally of the public sector job cutsThe coalition government has made it well known it expects departments to cut roles. We break down the numbers as they currently stand. Updated: 12pm, April 18 Before last year’s election, both National and Act made it clear that the public service was squarely in their crosshairs. Both parties, now ...21 hours ago
- Confessions of an unlikely petrolheadCheckered Flag director Natalie Wilson on her lifelong love of motorsport, and the allure of Pukekohe Park Raceway. One childhood summer when my world revolved around winning stuff off the radio, I bagged tickets to Western Springs Speedway and then to Waikaraka Park in what was a dream season for ...21 hours ago
- 'Ambitious' trade pledge headlines Luxon's Thailand stopThe Prime has announced a commitment to triple two-way trade with Thailand by 2045, but it only requires maintaining current growth. ...22 hours ago
- ‘The right person’: What did Solomon Islanders vote for?By Koroi Hawkins, RNZ Pacific editor in Honiara After a relatively well organised and peaceful day of voting in Solomon Islands yesterday, the electoral commission is working with donor partners to safely transport ballot boxes from polling stations all over the country to centrally located counting venues. It is a ...22 hours ago
- What it’s like to be made redundant by the Ministry of EducationI was one of hundreds of people who lost my government job this week. Here’s exactly how it played out. It is a Friday. I’m in the middle of an online Teams hui working out the finer details of a series of workshops we’ll be presenting next week. It’s a ...23 hours ago
- What are ‘Ozempic babies’? Can the drug really increase your chance of pregnancy?Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Karin Hammarberg, Senior Research Fellow, Global and Women’s Health, School of Public Health & Preventive Medicine, Monash University Joshua Rodriguez/Unsplash Hundreds of thousands of people worldwide are taking drugs like Ozempic to lose weight. But what do we actually know about ...24 hours ago
- Why the kookaburra’s iconic laugh is at risk of being silencedSource: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Diana Kuchinke, Lecturer in Ecology, Federation University Australia Linda Robertus/Shutterstock Once, while teaching a class of environmental science students in China’s Hebei University of Science and Technology, I asked who knew what a laughing kookaburra was. There were many blank faces. ...24 hours ago
- Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Claire Breen, Professor of Law, University of Waikato smolaw11/Getty Images School truancy has been a concern across the political spectrum for years. But proposed solutions have largely failed to address the core reasons for unexplained school absences. Despite the apparent ...24 hours ago
- ‘Listening is the most important part’: 10 things students with disability and their families wa...Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Melissa Cain, Senior Lecturer in Inclusive Education and Arts Education, Australian Catholic University Agence Olloweb/Unsplash, CC BY About 90% of Australian students with disability attend mainstream schools. Equitable access and participation in education is a fundamental human right. But as last ...24 hours ago
- Will global oil supply be at risk if Iran and Israel pull the Middle East into war?Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Flavio Macau, Associate Dean – School of Business and Law, Edith Cowan University Tensions in the Middle East have escalated following Iran’s weekend missile and drone attacks on Israel, heightening concerns of a wider conflict. As with the Russian invasion of Ukraine, ...24 hours ago
- No, getting your boyfriend to peel an orange won’t prove his loyalty. Why TikTok relationship ‘t...Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Edith Jennifer Hill, Associate Lecturer, Learning & Teaching Innovation, Flinders University Shutterstock Have you ever wondered if your partner really loves you? Well apparently so have thousands of TikTok users, who are testing their theories for the world to see. In ...24 hours ago
- New Zealand’s Annual Emissions Fell In 2022, For Third Successive YearThis is the third successive decrease year-on-year. New Zealand’s gross emissions for 2022 were 78.4 Mt CO2-e. ...1 day ago
- Oranga Tamariki job cuts: 'We can't establish what their endgame is'Oranga Tamariki has failed to explain how hundreds of job cuts will achieve a better outcome for children, a children's advocate says. ...1 day ago
- Help Me Hera: My parents won’t help out with my kidsThey pressured me to have children, and I had two. Now they won’t lift a finger. Want Hera’s help? Email your problem to helpme@thespinoff.co.nz Hi Hera, I suspect it’s a familiar pattern. Back in the day, as a single gal, I was plagued with questions from my parents about when I would find ...1 day ago
- Care Workers Call For Fairness On Pay Equity Anniversary“The Government has an opportunity here to really correct the course for the care and support workforce, and the people they look after. This cannot be just another area left in the cold, we need real leadership to ensure the proper quality of care ...1 day ago
- First evidence of ancient human occupation found in giant lava tube cave in Saudi ArabiaSource: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Mathew Stewart, Research Fellow, Australian Research Centre for Human Evolution, Griffith University The western passage of the Umm Jirsan lava tube. Green Arabia Project If you look from above, you can see thousands of stone structures dotting the landscape of the Arabian ...1 day ago
- Teachers worry about curriculum, NCEA changes amid staff cutsMore than 500 jobs are likely to be cut at the Education Ministry with concerns about how the curriculum and NCEA changes will now be managed. ...1 day ago
- Government IT systems need a $800m overhaulThe government is facing a bill of more than $800 million to overhaul back-office IT systems, and attempts to lessen its impact have hit delays. ...1 day ago
- Over 3,000 public service jobs now proposed to goThe Ministry of Education confirmed a proposal to reduce headcount by 565, while Oranga Tamariki’s proposal would result in a loss of 447 jobs, writes Anna Rawhiti-Connell in this excerpt from The Bulletin, The Spinoff’s morning news round-up. To receive The Bulletin in full each weekday, sign up here. Ministry of ...1 day ago
- Kāinga Ora delays building projects ahead of reviewKāinga Ora is unable to say how many new KiwiBuild developments have been delayed as it waits for the outcome of the government's independent review of the state housing agency. ...1 day ago
- Owners of earthquake prone buildings given four extra years to complete strengtheningA review into the regulations was also being brought forward. ...1 day ago
- Corrections Accepts Recommendations Following Auckland Prison InspectionThe Inspectorate made three overarching recommendations following the inspection, all of which have been accepted in full by Corrections. ...1 day ago
- Auckland’s dumped Commonwealth Games bid has lessons for ChristchurchThe crippling cost and complexity of Christchurch’s Commonwealth Games ambitions have become clearer The post Auckland’s dumped Commonwealth Games bid has lessons for Christchurch appeared first on Newsroom. ...1 day ago
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https://twitter.com/search?q=%23Election2020&src=trend_click&vertical=trends
I don't see how Biden can win now. Only five states really at play now for the 35 further EC votes he needs & Trump ahead in every one. For Biden to win he needs to swing three of them but swing is in Trump's favour. Biden's vaunted 8 point lead has disappeared in a puff of smoke …another broken polling situation. Biden might even come of worse than Hillary did in terms of overall vote/electoral college vote. Sad toi say but it looks like another 4 years of Trumptardism.
It pays to remember that Republicans vote on the day…democrats do mail-in…they are yet to be counted in key states ..so a trump call is a tad premature..
Hey weka – pop it up the top when you finished editing (actually I just did it).
I know that watching, hoping and probably getting rid of dimwitted tangerine codpiece is going to be very high on my wish list for the next couple of days.
I also want to have a close look at the low to nonexistent morality of the Republican party as they attempt to legally disenfranchise voters.
Yep, it's a twofer. Who wins, and how far will the right go to steal the election.
From NY Times summing up the basics of what to look for. The election day polls start opening in about 5 hours (GMT-5) (sometime eastern states at 6am), and then keep opening for about 5-7 hours later out to Honolulu. They close anywhere from 7pm to 9pm…
Just as interesting as the presidential election are going to be the senatorial races..
Let's hope all 3 branches go Democrat.
House/Senate/President.
Then Trump goes bust and ends up behind bars.
Perfect ending to all the grift of the Orange Menace and the GOP.
Next time around hopefully voter suppression will be cleaned up.
Wishfull thinking.
Do not forget the local races to enable redistricting. What a complicated system, seems like to many fingers in the pie.
OK I'm calling it for Biden
https://twitter.com/DixvilleVote/status/1323495738026921984
Nah – two people ‘left’ town. The Trump supporters…
And you always have to remember the larger urban centers like Millsfield NH
https://twitter.com/reidepstein/status/1323495626999500806?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw%7Ctwcamp%5Etweetembed%7Ctwterm%5E1323495626999500806%7Ctwgr%5Eshare_3&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.abc.net.au%2Fnews%2F2020-11-03%2Fus-election-2020-live-updates-trump-biden-president%2F12841266
ABC in aussie has a pretty good live coverage. Mostly waffling like a cricket announcers at present. But actually pretty amusing nonetheless.
https://www.abc.net.au/news/2020-11-03/us-election-2020-live-updates-trump-biden-president/12841266
The state of that white board. Uppercase mixed with lowercase. Looks like it was done by a child. And the fact they're writing results on a white board.
How backward is the US?
Well, at least it looks like the Hillary-hating Bernie-Bro from 2016 could choke down voting for Biden this time around.
I support(ed) the policies of bernie sanders…so I guess I am by default a 'bernie-bro'…but I have never 'hated' Hillary clinton…I opposed her because to me she was/is the personification of all that is wrong with the democrat party establishment…and how right wing that party actually is…the last time I looked at an international political ideology spectrum the new zealand national party was more 'left' than the american democrat party.,.so really..to be in america and opposing the dysfunction engineered by both parties…hardly makes that opponent a radical/'hillary-hater'…eh..?..and of course the democrats have done it again..what they did in 2006..and have shafted all the progressives ..and picked biden..whose main quality/campaign theme is..that he is not the orange carbuncle..
The world will be thankful when the US go back to having a right-wing government.
Don't be suprised if Trump wins tomorrow. Because I will not be.
Don't worry the specials will not bring National to victory (you were the one suggesting we should not be surprised if National won our election
).
It's either, the Brexit and then Trump or the pandemic syndrome at work – activating the what is going to happen next centre in the brain.
PS The only known what next (for now at least), is how bad is the period from Nov 3 to inauguration in January next year going to be? What sort of relationship between Trump's personal denial/reluctant acceptance state and normal processing of election results is it going to be. Will the now normal distance between his narrative and that of others grow even further, or not? And with what impact to that nation and its governance?
Trump spending the next three months in Florida setting up a reality show to replace the Kardashians (disappearing from DC to play the role of The new Invisible Man only out and about on twitter) while Pence is acting POTUS is not the worst.
There's no MMP in the US.
There's no Guy Fawkes Day in the USA.
The bad ones often make it back.
Nor would Bob of the Cahally (Irish group dedicated to making halloween alive)
https://www.nytimes.com/article/trafalgar-group-poll.html?action=click&module=Spotlight&pgtype=Homepage
I paid quite a bit of attention to the 2016 election…and I called it for trump…this time I reckon biden will become the anti-trump president…only there because he isn't trump..
Polls are now open in every state.
Looks like the usual long snake lines in many places despite the early voting. FFS for a country that talks incessantly about freedom and democracy, they certainly dying on providing the infrastructure to provide it.
The contrast with the efficient and uncrowded election here is startling.
Trump did his usual dithering, boasting and whining on Fox and Friends. Just reading it sounds incoherent.
Biden visited his dead family.
Looks like the turnout on the day will be high despite the 100 million who have already voted early.
Does anyone know the eligible population? 100m early sounds like a pretty good turnout induction, compared to earlier years maybe?
Voting eligible population is about 240 million. Haven't seen any numbers for how many are actually registered.
Estimates for total turnout this year range from 150 million to 180 million (yeah, right). 2016 turnout was around 135 million.
100 million early votes is indeed unprecedented. In some states, early votes in 2020 exceed total votes cast in 2016. Most notably in Texas, where the polls are close enough that if the massive early vote is from a demographic that is often low turnout, then there may be a surprise result.
102 million early votes is said to be more than 48% of registered voters, suggesting around 210 million registered voters.
from: https://edition.cnn.com/politics/live-news/election-results-and-news-11-03-20/index.html
RNZ just reported that millions of robo calls had been made urging people to stay home and not vote. Failed democracy …
Robocalls. Threats. KKK calling cards hand delivered to mailboxes of houses with Biden signs.
"We know where you live, we'll know how you vote" letters.
Even without considering the 'official' voter suppression techniques, it's been a filthy cesspool for weeks.
There are crazy people making, generally anonymous, threats in many countries.
Not as many perhaps in New Zealand as the US but they still happen.
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/author-receives-death-threats-after-offensive-comments-about-nanaia-mahutas-moko-kauae/EI6ELNK2IJMXWR7GD5YBCJFYPI/
This is an eternal blind spot for US election analysts, who assume by default that their country is the most perfect democracy. It's a social fault that the confused pollsters always neglect to take that into account.
Hmmm, it's Repugs that have a higher propensity for that kind of dirty trick. But it's also Repugs that are believed to be waiting for election day to vote, rather than early vote.
Maybe the robocalls are targeted at registered Democrats?
Or laying further groundwork for discrediting the results?
Candace Owens gets honest.
https://twitter.com/justinbaragona/status/1323438772990709760
Reason #3281 the failed used-hate salesman is desperate to stay behind the shield of the preznitcy: Deutsche Bank probably needs to be nicer to him while he's still PEEOTUS.
https://www.salon.com/2020/11/03/deutsche-bank-wants-to-dump-trump-if-he-loses-may-seize-assets-if-he-fails-to-repay-debts-report/
Tonight is just going to be a scream.
Much more fun than Labour in the Town Hall I expect.
Rise up Democrats.
Ok
Trump looses on the night.
Who runs the US until inauguration?
The Mandarin Mugabe retains all powers until noon on January 20, 2021. Including the bigly red button that really works tremendously.
The existing Congress retains all their powers until noon on January 3, 2021, when the new Congress gets sworn in. Expect a frantic push to confirm all open judge slots, and pressure on old reactionary judges to step down in time for new replacements to be appointed and confirmed.
Thanks Andre.
GEEZ I can see Trumps doing all sorts of fuckery in that period!!
Yeah, it's a worry.
Best case, he'll spend that eleven weeks alternating between blind raging ineffectual tantrums and consoling himself with hamberders.
But we should all be ready for the "if I can't have it, nobody can" moment.
His malevolent narcissistic disorder together with his sociopathy means your last sentence is a distinct possibility. Their only course of action if he tries would be to declare him insane (which he is) and lock him up somewhere for a deep psychological clean.
Yeah, but who is gonna do that?
The only people with the constitutional power and authority to do it have surrendered any vestige of spine and principle they may have once possessed, and are now mere jellyfish quivering in fear of being on the wrong end of a mean tweet.
The cocaine helps keep his hamburger-appetites at bay..
Ya reckon?
Imagine how he would be without the cocaine..?
Do tell.
please don't do the fat phobia thing. Lots of reasons why some people gain weight, including chronic stress. When you make it a reductionist body fat = diet thing, it opens the door for blaming and shaming fat people.
Now I know why my golf clubs have mouldered unused in the garage for 20+ years. As a game, it's quite a challenge to hit the ball straight and long, plus all that finesse stuff around the green. But the sort of people who play it make you want to run into the carpark screaming. Greg Turner in 2000 (tongue in cheek) blamed professional golfers for the election of George W. He said professional golfers are all rich, right-wing and live in Florida…
I once worked for company whose main business was making golf club shafts. When I was interviewing for the job, they asked if I played golf. I told 'em as far as I was concerned, golf was the only sport stupider than tennis.
It might have been just as well they had already got a back-channel informal reference from someone at the tennis company I had previously worked at.
How does one be ready for that? :-/
Assume the position and pucker up, so as to be able to kiss one's ass goodbye at short notice.
If one is not in possession of a survivalist bunker in a remote location, that is.
He can't do too much more damage than he's already done!!! However, I've said that before about Trump and the one thing he does deliver on is chaos ;-(
Wonder if he'll step down, Pence becomes president for a short time pardons Trump.
Worryingly I suspect Bidens far more Hawkish than Trump so we will see an escalation in US military involvement off shore.
Well, yes, if he loses, Twitterfinger J. Putinpussy's rational course would be to negotiate a pardon from Pence and resign.
But rationality doesn't seem to enter the decision-making. Not sure there would be enough in it for Pence. He may look back at Ford, and decide that issuing a pardon would be too much of a skidmark on his 2024 prospects. Being 46 for a few weeks might not be enough reward for that trade-off.
I am more afraid of pence than of trump..two reasons:..he has 'known' since he was a child that one day he would be president…that God would help him get there ..that and the fact that he is an 'end-times/second coming believer…now..I dunno about you ..but that mix scares me…pence is a table-leg chewing religious freak…and he may see engineering the end times as his god-given/directed destiny…and that's a bit of a worry….and really..the one good thing you can say about the orange carbunkle..is that he hasn't invaded anyone…unlike..say..obama..?
Trump may not have militarily invaded another country but he sure as hell has set about devastating some, along with attempting to engineer attacks on US forces so he can retaliate with the world's most expensive and extensive ever military. So far, only Bolivia has handed him is rear end but ironically, he appears ready to use the same coup strategies on his own country. How will the Organisation of American States will react if/when he declares he has won the Presidency on the basis of early votes?
Which countries has he 'devestated'..?…I must have missed that..
I understand the Kurds have cause to reproach Trump.
He becomes caretaker president till Jan 20.
He can't do anything unless someone declared War on the US.
As far as I know, in the US the idea that a post-election outgoing government acts just in a caretaker capacity is just a norm. I'm not aware of anything in the constitution or statute law that codifies this. If there is anything stronger than just a norm, please rectify my ignorance by linking to the actual statute or section in the constitution.
If it is just a norm, hasn't the mandarin manutang done enough to convince you that he has no boundaries? Are you not yet convinced that norms and common decency and respect for others simply do not exist in his world, except as weaknesses in others that he can take advantage of?
So far I have yet to see reports of attempted intimidation or other fuckery at polling places today. So that's reassuring.
The US Postal Service has been ordered to conduct sweeps at all their facilities to find all ballots in their system and ensure they are delivered today. That's also reassuring.
https://thehill.com/regulation/court-battles/524228-federal-judge-orders-usps-to-rush-delivery-of-mail-ballots-as
Trump will go golfing at
Malargo and be looking for a new reality show like sore loser.
What will happen if Trump does not concede should he loose. This from Van Jones.
https://boingboing.net/2020/11/02/van-jones-explains-what-to-do-if-trump-refuses-to-concede.html
Any progressive government in South America knows how it goes down: allegations of 'irregularities' from the state department, a hastily-organised press conference in which veiled threats are murmured, furious editorials in the Wall Street Journal, the inevitable protests followed by an intervention from the 'proper authorities' to restore order.
https://twitter.com/EluraNanos/status/1323683288779808768
https://www.huffpost.com/entry/trump-most-innocent-man-us-history_n_5fa1a6d4c5b68695003328ba
Will it be a rightwing America, or, will it be a right of right wing America. One thing for sure, it will not be a leftwing America. For the rest of the World it will be just the same, the American military regime murdering some poor countries civilians in order to steal the natural wealth.
The merely disgusting is always better than outright obscenity. And who knows, maybe Biden's past record is no guide to his future actions. Maybe he's improving with age, or something. Hang on to that hope – however slim.
I found this interesting and even-handed report at the state of US society last night. It appears a well-researched and nuanced view. I've C&P'ed the into:
This very much aligns with my own experience of US society, that it's a highly diverse, complex mix of people, yet from the outside it's too easy to only hear the noisy voices on the extremes. Yet according to the number the author puts up, some 67% of people belong to a value group that is largely ignored in the media or online discourse, whose views and values are routinely scorned and discounted, to the point where they're increasingly retreating into a form of exhaustion.
For the large part many of them must wish this whole damned circus would just fuck off and leave some adults to take charge again. And how they vote will be crucial to which way this plays. My bet is on Biden, but it could well be too close for comfort, because I don't think the polls are really capturing the full range of people's intentions.
One of the more interesting collections of random adjectives I've seen in a while.
When do you plan on handing in your homework then?
I think I tick all of those boxes on any given weekend and any given number of drinks down.
I'll put you down as manngled middle then.👍
Aljezeera (if you can get it) is giving non-stop coverage, interviews, stats etc and is very helpful if anybody is interested.
Great I will tune in to it.
Interesting the surge in younger voters:
https://www.npr.org/2020/10/29/928641949/within-the-early-voting-boom-evidence-of-youth-turnout-surging
A lot of college people not physically in class (on-line), deciding on some practical engagement by voting.
Something a bit lighter:
https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/juliareinstein/2020-election-day-electoral-maps-meme-biden-trump
wait and see game.
https://twitter.com/NateSilver538/status/1323772788549836801
Associated Press Politics: https://twitter.com/AP_Politics
A little too much like 2016. Trump winning Florida. And competitive in NC and Georgia.
If he takes those – it looks like its either Arizona/Nevada/2nd district or Pennsylvania for Biden to win.
Fox however says GOP operatives think they will do well in Minnesota, which mixes that up. But Biden is leading and on the way to being favourite in NC. And is competitive in Ohio. Relaxes.
Yeah this is way closer than I thought it would be. I mean this should be a slam dunk. Who would vote for Trump after all that has happened in the past 4 years?
Dumb bunny Americans that's who. They make up on average 50% of their population on a good day. On a bad day it goes higher. When the pandemic hits a death toll of 2 million some of them might be capable of figuring out the reason why.
Orange45 is coming in big time on betting markets from a long shot to evens in the last hour apparently.
They got 2016 correct so gridlock, lawyers, twitter meltdowns here we come.
Like Hitler was so good at…he is giving people who feel ostracised by society..their voice….trump does it with the racist/ignorant/economically ignored of america ..he voices all their prejudices for them…and like south islanders 'hate' aucklanders…they also hate metropolitan america…this was why I called trump last time…reading all that..and of course hitler had the German people..beaten/bruised by the versailles treat forced on them at the end of ww2..+ a massive social program..
Ahem..!..ww1 of course.
Who would vote for Trump after all that has happened in the past 4 years?
Americans. I heard a teacher interviewed post-voting who had voted for Trump. She said she was afraid for her country. Why was she fearful? Socialism.
I heard that too. Unbelievable coming from a teacher who are supposed to represent the brighter bulbs in society. Its an indication what an abysmally poor over-all set of educational standards exist in the US.
Like my father said back in the 60s and 70s… they are deliberately dumbing down the American population. And now we are seeing the end result.
Much the same could be said of New Zealand!
Nonsense. No equivalence whatsoever.
Biden is doing OK in Arizona. So the Arizona, Nevada, 2nd district path is still open. So he can win without waiting for the Pennsylvania votes – providing he wins back Michigan and Wisconsin and holds Minnesota.
So GOP lawyers are fighting hard in Clark county Nevada.
My pick – Dems pick up 4 and lose 1 in the Senate.
Nope, it looks a pick up of 2 and a loss of one and a toss up.
That would be Collins vs Gideon in Maine. If Collins holds, it's 50-50. If Gideon wins its R 49 D 48 and two left of centre Independents.
There will be a run off in Georgia, but that will end up with GOP.
With Biden coming back in Michigan, Peters might win that Senate race – it and the Maine vote (Gideon picks up preferentials from Savage vs Collins). Both close.
That was some ride overnight (538 and NYT) as Biden pulled ahead to take the lead in Wisconsin and then Michigan. And now looks likely to take both.
It tightened a little in Arizona and Nevada and the risk now is there. But Biden is favoured. But with Nebraska's 2nd district this gives him an alternative to winning in Philadeplphia (vital as Trump was always going to lawyer up to prevent vote completion – Biden is a slight favourite to win if and once all votes are counted).
It's possible Biden can take Georgia (Fulton County vote count obstructed by the water pipe) and not need Arizona and Nevada or Pennsylvania.
North Carolina is probable for Trump.
It ain't over till it's over.
https://twitter.com/SalehaMohsin/status/1323839724063252483
https://twitter.com/HotlineJosh/status/1323842809758158848
btw, the NYT's door is open
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2020/11/03/us/elections/results-president.html
While can't get past weed is bad, m'k….
https://twitter.com/doubleblindmag/status/1323848274042785793
Arizona voted to legalise marijuana
https://www.vox.com/2020/11/3/21514867/arizona-marijuana-legalization-proposition-207-results
https://twitter.com/MarijuanaPolicy/status/1323895224867921920
https://twitter.com/MarijuanaPolicy/status/1323862494054670337
https://twitter.com/MarijuanaPolicy/status/1323815101384871937
amidst the madness some sense is made
Still penalties and mandated treatment that may or may not be available, but Oregon is making lotsa sense.
.
https://twitter.com/Oregonian/status/1323842240590958593
Pretty restrained and tense here at Democrats Abroad event.
For what it's worth, I've just had a look at county by county results in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. In these three states, there's metric buttloads of votes still to be counted in strongly Dem cities, but the Repug stronghold counts appear mostly complete. For instance, there's still around half a million votes to be counted in Philadelphia County alone, not to mention the Dem leaning surrounding suburb counties. But jeez, it sure would be helpful to my sphincter muscles and liquor cabinet to not have quite so much to make up.
Man that comment summarises how I have felt over the last few hours!
Respect, Andre
I just wanna puke.
I kinda expect there's a whole lot of pollsters questioning their choices rightabout now.
yep. Groundhog Day.
Well – not all over yet, but this one's for the Dems.
On a positive note, 19 out of 22 of the DSA DSA-endorsed candidates were elected.
And Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez absolutely thundered her way to victory in New York after the Republicans spent millions of $$$ on a doomed campaign to topple her.
Ilhan Omar by 150K.
https://twitter.com/IlhanMN/status/1323866214897209345
Wrong it's all over-4 more years.
Mauree Turner got on the Oklahoma legislature, and must get the 2020 Woke Bingo prize as the first gay, black, female, under 30, Muslim to do so.
Is it just me or is it looking like Trump 293 to Biden 244? Am I missing something?
Most of the votes that might affect the result that are still to be counted appear to be in Philadelphia and its close-in suburb counties, Detroit and close in counties, and Milwaukee.
So Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin are still strongly in play, despite Biden currently being quite a way behind at the moment in those states.
It looks like a Trump win to me. Been watching the NYT site mainly, with 538 as back-up. NYT has a cool feature: poise the cursor over each state on the map, you get the details come up in a small window automatically.
Just eye-balling those states not yet decided, I couldn't find numbers for Biden to win. Most look like they will fall to Trump…
By crikey this is too close to call. Either way I predict trump won't stand down.
Shit! Trump has taken Ohio, which has picked the president since Nixon!
Leaving aside Wisconsin (10), Michigan (16) and Pennsylvania (20) which are still in play, everything else looks reasonably settled – which would make it Biden 244, Trump 248. The ultimate winner therefore has to take any two of these three states to reach 270. However, Trump currently leads in all three – Wisconsin by 4%, Michigan by 8%, Pennsylvania by 14%. If mail-ins or late-counting districts start to change this in favour of Biden over the next day, expect fun and games.
Things not going too well..
https://twitter.com/aayoub/status/1323875483407290370
Are there hanging chads?? Are partisan people allowed to barge in where they wish? Sounds like the wild west to me.
Repug fuckery. Trump's calling fraud on delays in vote counting.
https://twitter.com/GovernorTomWolf/status/1323896672137732098
for those that want some hope for the rest of the evening.
https://twitter.com/GeorgeTakei/status/1323870554080817152
https://twitter.com/ezralevin/status/1323876307453857793
Backwards they go.
https://twitter.com/CatSzeltner/status/1323830985394425857
Can I go out on a limb and say watch Georgia?
On what grounds?
Just on votes counted this year compared to 2016, it appears Atlanta and surrounding suburbs are more or less fully counted. I don't see any areas that appear to have a lot fewer votes counted compared to 2016, where a 120,000 vote deficit might be made up.
Atlanta only 72% counted. Margin narrowing. Lots of early and special votes …
The mail votes for Atlanta got disrupted by a broken pipe. The votes were ok. The counters got disrupted and are now asleep.
Tomorrow….
Orange Julius doing a victory lap..
https://twitter.com/fran_chambers/status/1323885817799057410
..and declaring victory..
https://twitter.com/nzherald/status/1323878506674196480?ref_src=twsrc%5Egoogle%7Ctwcamp%5Eserp%7Ctwgr%5Etweet
Oh dear……
Sorry our borders are closed because of diseased people spreading around the globe.
Mitch McConnel and Linsday Graham re-elected despite all the damage they have wrought. The former probably a bigger psychopath than Trump. Dems taking control of the Senate is the more important outcome.
Are Dems looking as if they might….. have a majority in the Senate! Be still my heart.
Very disappointing to see.
I’m also stunned to see that Trump has seemed to increase his vote share in the counties most affected by COVID.
It shouldn’t be this close.
called
https://twitter.com/AP_Politics/status/1323895993142808576
The proper link for the above tweet:
https://apnews.com/article/election-2020-joe-biden-donald-trump-race-and-ethnicity-legislature-218ad4d596e87c6b1a223f19f817776e
FYI Al Jazeera had a cool map that shows the state size by number of electoral delegates, as well as geographic size:
https://interactive.aljazeera.com/aje/live-results-us-election-day-2020/index.html?utm_campaign=mapwidget&utm_medium=internal&utm_source=aljazeera
Biden now reported as 0.5% ahead in Wisconsin according to Decision HQ (change from Trump +4% a few hours ago). Also they have Trump's lead in Michigan down to 4% from 8% over the same period. Pennsylvania still Trump + 12%
Trump wants to stop the voting/counting.
As Biden is ahead doesn't that mean he would win?????
No, because as he, Donald, said he's already won. No need to count any more, or confirm; just declare him the winner.