Ok sure, they won’t. You list why.
But here’s the top five things National could do to give themselves a better shot.
1. Cut Ardern Down
Get as many one-on-one Collins v Ardern matchups as possible. Collins is a highly experienced and combative politician and an excellent litigator. There is a reasonable chance that the same would occur in a tv debate match-up as occurred between Helen Clark and John Key: stolid competence got outmatched by charm and guile, and shifted 5% that got the win. Everyone’s afraid to go after the sugar-rush saint and wipe off her smile. Collins doesn’t need to be afraid to do so, and won’t be.
2. An Aggressive Plan For New Zealand
Labour don’t appear to have one except the aforementioned money-printing sugar rush and the smile. Promise that x jobseekers will get jobs by y date (it’s an election promise). Promise a timetable for a GST tax cut down to 10% or to 5% on the lowest bracket. Roll the Red Line test back to two years. 0% tax for export companies. Something with fresh-killed juicy red bleeding meat.
Also we are getting creamed by Australian taxes (the 29% Wine Equalisation Tax) on our wine imports. Take the fight to Australia. A headline of eradicating an alcohol tax would be Nordmeyer- massive.
Burn the ban on foreign investment. Regional tax havens for Southland and Whangarei.
Those will open the coffers of the donors through their trust-wrinsing outfits like magic. Leave all the covid negativity to this current lot: make mere survival Labour’s brand.
3. Aggressive Prosecutions
Simply support the Serious Fraud Office or any other office to hunt down political funding fraud wherever it is. Put a stake through the heart of the old Peters vampire. Crush a party if there’s not a car available.
4. Attack the Labour Urban Middle Class Support
Promise Something Green – like A Remarkables National Park to outflank both the Greens and Labour on a conservation. Steal Act’s Employment Insurance idea and integrate it into ACC’s income compensation policy. Wipe the Auckland Fuel Tax, and bring down fuel taxes to promise 91 below $1.80, and diesel down to a buck.
5. Promise to Make People Rich.
It’s the promise Labour can never make. Tell us we deserve nothing less. Tell them we want more and it’s a right. It’s the one chimera we should expect from National. It’s the Show Me The Money line, delivered from National right over the head of Ardern.
It won’t be enough. But it would be a recovery.