I know, they’re inaccurate and out of date. And it’s only three days until the only poll that counts. But I’m curious!
It’s now been ten days since the last public poll, which strikes me as a bizarre gap at the high of the electoral campaign. I guess they’re all saving up their final poll until Friday. Apart from denying us the fun of knowing which way the momentum is going, this silence does have more material effects. If Labour or the Greens’ numbers are still rising, having polls showing that could further invigorate their campaigns. If people are turning off Key polls might help swing others. Potential New Zealand First voters are probably those with the most interest in seeing a number of polls; they need to know whether a vote for NZF would be wasted (as I suspect it would be) and whether they’re better off voting for their second preference.
Both sides’ internal polls are said to be good news for the Left – a Labour, Greens, Progressive, Maori Party government looks like the most viable outcome at the moment. Hence, Key’s continued whining directed at the Maori Party that they have to let him govern if National is the top polling party.