Who will be the next National leader?

With John Key’s resignation only hours old the question will be who will take over as National leader?

The timing is interesting. Nominations for Helensville’s candidate slot are no doubt open and Key had a limited time to indicate what he will do. I thought he would go list only so that if he lost the next election he could bail out quickly. But clearly he has had enough. He has looked very out of sorts lately and maybe he reached the stage where he could no longer stomach working with the National Caucus week in week out.

He has attempted to ordain Bill English as his successor.  The short time before the vote occurs  (7 days) means that English’s chances are good but I question the wisdom of this decision.  English led the party to 21% party vote in the 2002 election and clearly did not resonate with the electorate.

Other contenders will include Paula Bennett, Steven Joyce, Simon Bridges and perhaps even Amy Adams.  No one else should have a chance.  But there is one member of the caucus who is already doing the numbers and who not rest until her ambition of becoming leader has been satisfied …

 

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