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Will there be a Brexit?

Written By: - Date published: 11:37 am, September 19th, 2018 - 33 comments
Categories: capitalism, class war, Economy, Europe, Free Trade, International, Left, liberalism, Media, political alternatives, political education, Propaganda, uk politics - Tags: , ,

When Ireland voted “the wrong way” on the Lisbon Treaty in 2008 and on the Nice Treaty in 2001, on both occasions, Irish voters were sent back to the polls for a second shot at coming up with the “correct” answer. The same “opportunity to learn” had previously been extended to Danish voters who had rejected the Maastricht Treaty in 1992 , though in that instance an “opt-out” provision for Denmark (The Edinburgh Agreement) was included in the 1993 re-vote.

Would it be reasonable to include the 2015 bailout referendum in Greece that ‘inspired’ the Greek government to disregard the recorded political will of the Greek electorate and negotiate a bailout package anyway?

The European “project” doesn’t tend to take “no” for an answer. That said (and this is just reading tea leaves), if the EU had sent the British back to the polls, or if the UK government had sent the public back to the polls in short order, then the vote for ‘Leave’ would likely have increased.

So I’m thinking a longer game was entered into. A game that would allow the European establishment to turn the screws on the UK’s political class. I’m coming around to thinking that the basic idea is to have Britain on its knees begging for a second go at things. The UK had (in political terms) a very favourable arrangement with the EU. But any advantage the UK might have had before the Brexit vote, won’t survive a second vote – their relationship with Europe will be “brought into line”. They will. go. backwards. in relation to what they had before.

And (initially at least) the British people will be immensely grateful for having been given the chance to make good on their mistake. The dawning, that they’ve been placed ‘properly’ under the heel of Eurocrats and technocrats will come later.

And Jeremy Corbyn’s UK Labour Party’s social democratic ambitions will be dead in the water. That’s important, but not something that gets any oxygen whatsoever in mainstream media. There is no ability within the European framework to re-nationalise industries or sectors of the economy that have been privatised. None. Europe is a liberal project, and that means (broadly) freeing the private sector to do as it will, and ensuring that once free, there is no capacity for a government who might want to gear the economy to serve (to steal Jeremy Corbyn’s phrase) ‘the many and not the few’, from slipping a leash on it and pulling it to heel.

In short then, Europe will simply continue to say “no” to whatever Teresa May might cobble together by way of a negotiating position for a post Brexit relationship with Europe. The press will keep hammering on that voters have realised the error of their ways and want to recant. Alongside that, a Project Fear on the dire straits to be expected from exiting Europe will keep doing the rounds – stuff like this or any number of other pieces I could pick from that overstuffed barrel of fish marked “Brexit Stories”.

People will vote again.

And the result – the ‘proper’ one this time – will be against their better interests, though absolutely in the better interests of corporate business interests and fellow travelers.

 

33 comments on “Will there be a Brexit? ”

  1. RedLogix 1

    That’s an interesting analysis from an angle I really hadn’t considered before. Clearly the treatment of Greece turned out to be optically counterproductive; other member states (specifically Italy, Spain and Portugal) would have looked upon that coercive ugliness with deep misgivings. A different strategy with Britain was clearly called for.

    At the same time the Brits are not entirely helpless; a Norwegian Brexit (in but not out) is the probable outcome of the Eurocrats just saying no to every suggestion. Because ultimately the Brexit vote had the same logic as Trump; a really bad idea for very understandable reasons.

    The current EU lacks democratic accountability and this will eventually lead to a major re-shaping of the institution. The Greek and Brexit crisis may well be eventually seen as preliminary steps in that process. Going back to a divided Europe is not going to happen, at least not permanently.

    • Dukeofurl 1.1

      ” Norwegian Brexit (in but not out) is the probable outcome”

      Thats incorrect as Norway was trying to join ….not leave, no wonder they agreed to EU terms for their ‘out but not in’.

  2. Brutus Iscariot 2

    Better for both parties if Britain leaves.

    A Britain crawling back in Europe now would be diminished with no international credibility, and Europe itself would find it harder to integrate in the way they ultimately want.

    Europe should have started with a core of countries committed to federalism, making the task of unification a lot easier. The dog’s breakfast they have now will be almost impossible to cohesively unite.

    • RedLogix 2.1

      The dog’s breakfast they have now will be almost impossible to cohesively unite.

      I agree; but given Germany’s central role and powerful dominance it’s hard to see how it can be unravelled without a lot of pain. In reality I suspect what we will get is a buggers muddle of reforms as the years go by.

    • Kereru 2.2

      “A Britain crawling back in Europe now would be diminished with no international credibility” .. that’s already happened, the question now is of degree. Thatcher had the Falklands, and conservative minds are doubtless concentrated on finding a distraction of the same magnitude .. another Crimean war ? Would it work in a more critical and highly connected world ?

  3. Dennis Frank 3

    “The British government will have to experience its “darkest hour” and stare into the abyss of a no-deal Brexit before it will cave in to Brussels demands, senior EU diplomats have predicted.” https://www.theguardian.com/politics/2018/sep/17/uk-needs-darkest-hour-in-brexit-talks-before-giving-ground

    Let’s assume May is encountering a distasteful set of terms as an alternative. Classic devil & deep blue sea binary. Which is worse? Well, if she agrees to the deal and it later turns out to be something that Brits dislike enough, she’ll lose the next election. Corbyn will become PM. If she rejects it, the aftermath of Brexit may be so much discontent that she loses due to that. Looks like a win/win scenario for Corbyn. Why do you disagree Bill?

    • Dukeofurl 3.1

      Please ignore anything the Guardian says…. its not giving an independent view, as its clearly just promoting the ‘intellectual-bureaucratic’ class who benefited most from the EU.
      It will be like Y2K come the day…. everyone will wonder what the fuss was about.

  4. Dukeofurl 4

    The problem with using instances of revotes is that it was to stay within the EU framework.
    leaving is completely different. Closest example I can think of was Singapore exiting the Malaysian Federation.

    “Europe will simply continue to say “no” to whatever Teresa May might cobble together by way of a negotiating position for a post Brexit relationship with Europe.”

    Britain isnt a small country like Greece , who cant be easily pushed around. Britain is far too important a market for those countries nearby. Ireland, Netherlands, Denmark, Northern France and german manufacturing. ( 20% of German made cars go to Britain). The fishing is a major issue as of course UK waters would be close to EU boats if theres no deal.
    of course the EU bureaucracy wants what it wants, but at some point the political masters will step in. The EU just cant do with out the UK money as they write a new budget only every 5 years.

    Much is made of the London financial centre but of course the actual money is made mostly in Dublin for the Irish minuscule corporate tax deals. The dealers may be in London but that screen connects to computers elsewhere.

    Im inclined to think back at the end of WW1, The Germans wanted talks about an armistice, but dragged it out until they were given an ultimatum- sign here.
    Which is a repeat of what happened with the Bolshevik government talks with Germany a year earlier over ending the war. It was again deliberate Russian policy to drag the talks out , in the end they were given an ultimatum. Sign this.

    Im not surprised at all that the talks are being dragged out by the EU with fairly impoosible conditions. Thats a deliberate strategy…..

    of course reading the partisan British press for the Pro EU side such as Guardian and the even more pro EU Independent you would think a new referendum is right around the corner …for at least 6 months they have been saying that after they gave up on the idea parliament would stop the Brexit ..

    • Sanctuary 4.1

      Check out this dozzey of from the radical centre, hopelessly out of touch middle class liberal waves her fist at the clouds.

      https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2018/sep/18/labour-peoples-vote-brexit-conference

      • Dennis Frank 4.1.1

        This bit: “Sajid Javid – regarded as a “moderate” – regaled the last cabinet meeting with a 10-minute leadership pitch worthy of his Ayn Rand spirit-guide. He called for “shock-and-awe” tax cuts for business, deregulation of workers’ rights, abolishing automatic enrolment in pension schemes and scrapping environment controls.”

        “That should knock sense into any Labour sectarians. So too should the success John McDonnell has had in recent weeks laying out policies and principles with the vigour of a man who seriously wants to win. Good to see him espouse the long-needed Robin Hood tax, which Britain has blocked the EU from imposing on financial transactions. He is making surprising friends: Lord O’Neill (ex-Goldman Sachs chief economist) told the Sunday Times: “I find myself struggling to be that scared by the prospect of a Corbyn government. They have captured the mood of the times.” The goal is wide open – if Labour avoids being its own worst enemy.”

        Seemed good reasoning to me. The current Home Secretary, Sajid Javid, was managing director at Deutsche Bank – born in Lancashire, one of five sons of parents of Pakistani descent.[3][4] His father worked as a bus driver. Self-made man.

    • Dennis Frank 4.2

      Yeah, I’m with you on the historical hard-bargaining parallels & am aware of the Guardian agenda.

  5. Sanctuary 5

    The near hysterical demands for a second referendum from the middle class Liberal UK establishment is a terrible idea, entirely driven by the same completely out of touch Blairite Guardianista pundits who predicted Remain would win at a canter and that Corbyn would lead Labour to it’s lowest vote since the Great War and who think that a new centre party made up of “sensible” Labour “moderates”, Tory remainers and the detritus of the Lib-Dems would be an election winning master stroke. A second referendum would smack of voting until you get the “right” result and would anyway settle nothing, since the political conditions that created Brexit in the first place would continue and the Brexiteers are not going anywhere.

    People wonder why Corbyn is a moderate Brexiteer, but the reality is much of Labour’s nationalisation agenda cannot be easily enacted within the EU’s neoliberal straightjacket.

    The best option is probably a soft Brexit negotiated by a Corbyn led Labour government, but that won’t happen, because the European commission is run by unelected bureaucrats of towering arrogance who think that – like they did with the Greeks – they can make an object lesson out of the British on the consequences of trying to leave (which, by the way, kinda proves some of the Brexiteers points). The British are not the Greeks, for a start they have a huge economy and most importantly they never entered the currency union. They can leave – just – and survive, but the EU autocrats will have none of anyone else trying if they can help it and their supposed elected masters are currently paralysed by the impact of the excesses of the EU immigration policies on domestic politics across Europe.

    I love the idea of the EU, but it is so badly run and undemocratic at the moment you have to wonder if it is worth preserving in it’s current form.

  6. SaveNZ 6

    Interesting post. I’m inclined to think they should get another chance at a vote mainly because a lot of people did not vote and there was a lot of propaganda and discrepancies like Cambridge Analytica scandals.

    If Britain could vote again they would get a much higher turn out of voters in my view so it would be a more democratic demonstration.

    With the US imploding, non democratic countries coming into increasing power, Europe for all it’s dysfunction and bureaucracy seems to be one of the countries that treat their nationals the best and have the best outcomes for it’s people so a stronger Europe with Britain might be best for world stability in general.

    Europe should not be twats and welcome them back or that reason above.

  7. SPC 7

    What the UK wanted under Cameron was to move to the way Oz treats our migrants – no right to welfare (to ease pressure on the UK budget post GFC). But the EU would not budge in negotiations.

    The UK could have leveraged the Brexit vote to realise this, but chose to honour Brexit.

    Then it could have chosen to remain in the single market and customs union after leaving the EU provided it did not have to pay welfare and housing support to EU citizens in the UK (an up front cost in the leaving payment to the EU balanced by the annual saving on the EU budget input), but it chose a hard Brexit.

    The Boris line is that maintaining a close connection to the EU while not being in the EU decision-making was a loss of sovereignty (little more than WTO trade rules or FTA trade rules by the way). The not so young Turk island nationalist in him.

    It is really just a form of the Buchanan/Trump isolationism that has infested the Anglo-American world of late, if the PNAC designed Bush-Blair NWO should fail retreat to the laager. It is an era or regime coming to an end – Anglo-American world dominance.

    Little England is coming, the game of imperial thrones is at its end.

    • SPC 7.1

      That said, the May or post May Tory Brexit form could be undone – first by by the next Labour government to a softer form and then later by the impact of younger voters – who support remaining in the single market.

      Politically the Scottish independence movement is going to get renewed impetus (using the Ireland border arrangment as a precedent), and the young are going to look for a vehicle for protest votes. Given their FPP it might not be LD, except as a protest vote, but supporting Labour and Tory MP’s sympathetic to their point of view.

  8. cleangreen 8

    Lets be honest here;

    The EU project has benefited only a very few powerful countries in the EU.

    https://www.msn.com/en-ie/news/other/germanys-huge-trade-surpluses-are-a-burden-on-its-eu-partners/ar-BBLz0RT

    • Dukeofurl 8.1

      thats the gist of it. German manufacturing and French agriculture is real reason s for the EU growing. Oh they wanted the euro as a world currency as well to not be forced to use the US dollar.

      one by one you can see you the EU began as a french and german coal and steel cartel in the early 50s into the first ‘common market’ from the Treaty of Rome in 1957 with ‘ Belgium, France, Italy, Luxembourg, the Netherlands and West Germany’ which added agriculture to the coal and steel at frances insistence

  9. AB 9

    Yes – being out of the European framework may allow Corbyn to re-nationalise essential infrastructure.
    But it would also allow the Tories to carry out Trump-like vandalism of the environment, or working conditions, etc. That, as much as the little Englander hatred of brown/black immigrants, is what motivated so many Tories to support Brexit.
    Varoufakis otoh recommends staying in Europe and trying to reform it.
    God knows – but it will be fascinating to see which way the stalemate breaks. Interesting piece – thanks.

    • RedLogix 9.1

      Yes. By instinct I would prefer to see a united Europe, but under a properly accountable federation. The intention of the EU is admirable; but the technocrat implementation and German bank dominance has deeply undermined the entire enterprise.

  10. Bearded Git 10

    No.

  11. James 11

    Will there be a berxit? Yep.

    • Muttonbird 11.1

      Is it even possible for dyslexia to overcome a basic proof read? It’s spelled for you at the top, ffs.

      I find it difficult to believe you can screw up a sentence containing just 5 words. But apparently you can…

    • Tricledrown 11.2

      James no business is against Brexit.
      Backwards thinkers in rural areas like Brexit.
      Well educated are against Brexit white uneducated for.

  12. Ad 12

    The loss of the U.K. from the E.U. diminishes the economic strength of the E.U. by one sixth. The E.U. will fall in economic ranking from just below the U.S. to smaller than China on current exchange rates. Brexit diminishes the whole of Europe.
    Corbyn knows it, but would prefer to remain opaque and watch May slowly roast for pure political reasons. I’m sure there’s some tactical upside to that, but I would prefer a leader to have a few principles and actually lead.

    With so much interdependent trade between BeNeLux, Germany, France, and the U.K., slowing and diminishing trade between the two is going to decrease the GDP of both the U.K. and the E.U. Cumulatively this will be large enough to slow global growth for some time. Christine Lagarde at the IMF is but one of many to issue clear warnings with just 6 months to go before it’s a reality. https://www.reuters.com/article/us-britain-eu-imf/uk-economy-will-shrink-without-brexit-deal-imf-warns-idUSKCN1LX0T4

    London will shrink as a financial centre because capital will see no advantage to using the U.K. as a base into the E.U. But that won’t benefit the E.U. either. The patriotic dream of English self-sufficiency is a total mirage. Slower global growth and consequently lower oil process are no good for either Russia, or Iran, or any OPEC country.

    As for renationalisation of any kind, it went great after WW2 in France when the state directly controlled 98% of coal production, 95% of electricity, 58% of banking, 38% of automobile production, and 15% of the entire GDP. But the last European leader to try that was Francois Mitterand, egged on by the Communists, and it was a total political and economic disaster. Chirac’s Gaullists then came in and sold them all off super-fast.

    In geopolitical terms the U.S. is the biggest winner from the disintegration of the E.U. The U.S. rose to prominence as Europe fought each other in two world wars. Their only trade bloc rival will remain China and its allies. The day after the Brexit vote, the Dow fell 610 points, the Euro fell 2%, the Pound fell. That was just the vote, not the actuality.

    Prosperity is based on people and ideas. Who can attract the most talented people, educate them and their children, and give as many individuals as possible the opportunity to work productively? Whoever shuts people and ideas off, shuts down opportunities for personal upward mobility.

    • RedLogix 12.1

      Ad. Perfect summary. Brexit should not happen, but neither can the EU ignore the reasons why the Brits voted for it.

      • Draco T Bastard 12.1.1

        Actually, it should happen as all FTAs should also be dropped. Such things are simply not needed and unnecessarily removes people’s right of self-governance.

        Set up good education and social support within a nation. Set standards that ensure people have a fulfilling life and then say that nation will not trade with any other nation that doesn’t meet those standards with trade being defined as an exchange of products.

        • RedLogix 12.1.1.1

          The why stop at ‘nation states’? Why not prevent all trade between cities and towns? Why not insist that each village be self-sustaining? Or each family return to subsistence hunter-gathering? What is so special about the nation-state as the fundamental trading unit as you seem to be insisting?

          As usual you’re identifying a problem (unfair global trading agreements) and then throwing the baby out with the bathwater. The correct answer involves hard work and effort to negotiate fair trade agreements and practises.

          • Draco T Bastard 12.1.1.1.1

            The why stop at ‘nation states’?

            It’s a question of levels and the rules that are applied at each.

            Global
            National
            Regional
            City

            I suggested elimination of trading agreements – not trade. Don’t need trading agreements to trade – just the same standards. International trade is, of course, a national decision and not an individual one (Collective rights over rule individual). Although sustainability does mean that international trade will need to be minimised and local development maximised.

    • Dukeofurl 12.2

      “E.U. diminishes the economic strength of the E.U. by one sixth”

      fall in rankings …… which mean what exactly. China would overtake EU anyway if Britain stays in.

      You got the dates wrong about the last great nationalisation, it was during the GFC when a string of UK Banks were nationalised, and a swath of US banks were ‘ recapitalised’ by the Federal Reserve with a modern twist , they didnt get shares as security for the loans. EU has provided much the same sort of recapitalisation.

      As for the slower UK growth – thats just spreadsheets saying a reduction in migration will produce a proportional reduction in GDP.
      Per capita GDP might actually rise for a change ( we had the same idolisation of total GDP rather than per capita GDP in NZ with the rapid rise in migration)

      Check back in how Singapore, sank beneath the waves because it left a larger economic grouping to do things its own way. All your rankings and economic strength palava come to nothing when the reality is compared.

  13. Timeforacupoftea 13

    Will not happen

  14. Timeforacupoftea 14

    Done and dusted

  15. Timeforacupoftea 15

    Hang on

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    The government introduced a new Data and Statistics Bill today to modernise and replace the 45-year old Statistics Act. Part of the Bill re-enacts the existing confidentiality regime (with one exception), which while a secrecy clause isn't an especially controversial one. Another part is aimed at removing "outdated" (inconvenient) limits ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    6 days ago
  • Graham Adams: The debate over the $55 million media fund erupts again
    RNZ’s Mediawatch and a video clip viewed 42,000 times keep the topic of the Public Interest Journalism Fund fizzing. Graham Adams reports.   A week ago, the NZ Taxpayers’ Union posted a short video clip of the exchange in Parliament between Jacinda Ardern and Judith Collins in which the National ...
    Democracy ProjectBy bryce.edwards
    6 days ago
  • Multiple sclerosis: the link with earlier infection just got stronger – new study
    Scott Montgomery, UCL For most of the time since the first description of multiple sclerosis (MS) in 1868, the causes of this disabling disease have remained uncertain. Genes have been identified as important, which is why having other family members with MS is associated with a greater risk of developing ...
    SciBlogsBy Guest Author
    6 days ago
  • Hit hard by the pandemic, researchers expect its impacts to linger for years
    Sora Park, University of Canberra; Jennie Scarvell, University of Canberra, and Linda Botterill, University of Canberra   The impacts of COVID-19 on Australian university researchers are likely to have consequences for research productivity and quality for many years to come. According to an online survey of academics at the University ...
    SciBlogsBy Guest Author
    6 days ago
  • Covid and free speech
    by Don Franks Some commentators have likened the struggle against Covid 19 to the world war experience. To those of us not alive in those times, that comparison can only be academic. What the anti virus battle reminds me of much more is an industrial strike. In my twenties and ...
    RedlineBy Admin
    6 days ago
  • “Angry Blowhards”
    In today’s Herald, their excellent columnist, Simon Wilson, takes to task those “shouty” people whom he further describes as “angry blowhards”. They are those whose prime reaction to the pandemic is anger – an anger they seamlessly (and perhaps unwittingly) transfer from the virus to the government. The basis for ...
    Bryan GouldBy Bryan Gould
    6 days ago
  • Looking Forward To 2022.
    Future Tense? Okay, so that’s where we are in 2022. Living in a New Zealand where all the usual rules of politics once again apply. And, guess what? Jacinda’s government, once again, isn’t doing very well – not very well at all.LET’S PLAY A GAME. Let’s pretend we’re half-way through ...
    6 days ago
  • Gordon Campbell on Covid mandates, and the Covid pill
    The cliché about “living with Covid” will not mean life as we’ve known it, Jim. Vaccination is fast becoming a condition of employment, and also a requirement to participate in aspects of social life, such as travel, attending bars, cafes, and concerts etc. These protective measures enjoy a high level ...
    6 days ago
  • NZ Politics Daily: 12 October 2021
    Today’s NZPD testimonial from Prof Alan Bollard, Professor of Practice at the School of Government, Victoria University of Wellington; Chair of the Infrastructure Commission: “NZ Politics Daily” provides a great public service – a quick and unbiased way to check policy announcements and analysis every morning.” Anyone can sign up to NZPD ...
    Democracy ProjectBy bryce.edwards
    6 days ago
  • Legal Beagle: A submission on the COVID-19 Public Health Response Amendment Bill (No 2)
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    6 days ago
  • Hard News: More tales from the Medicinal Cannabis Scheme
    You may have read last week that two years after the publication of regulations for medicinal cannabis – and three years after the enabling legislation – two local products from a local manufacturer have finally met the minimum quality standards for prescription. You may also be interested to know that ...
    6 days ago
  • Climate Change: Real action requires government
    Over the weekend someone pointed me at a journal article on "The Poverty of Theory: Public Problems, Instrument Choice, and the Climate Emergency". Its a US law journal article, so is a) very long; and b) half footnotes (different disciplines have different norms), but the core idea is that the ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    7 days ago
  • Climate Change: Not doing our bit
    Last month the US and EU announced they would push an agreement to cut methane emissions by 30% (from 2020 levels) by 2030 at the upcoming climate change conference in Glasgow. The good news is that New Zealand is looking at joining it. The bad news is that that won't ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    7 days ago
  • Delta’s Week Of Doom.
    Classic Shot: Are the Prime Minister’s formidable communication skills equal to the task of getting her government’s anti-Covid campaign back on track?IF JACINDA ARDERN thought last week was bad, the week ahead promises to be even worse. Sixty community cases of Covid-19, one of the highest daily totals so far ...
    7 days ago
  • Urgent measures needed to allow the safe re-opening of Auckland schools
    Dr Rachel Webb, Dr Jin Russell, Dr Pip Anderson, Dr Emma Best, Dr Alison Leversha and Dr Subha Rajanaidu* In this blog we describe the range of urgent measures that are needed to facilitate a safe return to schools in Auckland and other regions of the country where there is ...
    SciBlogsBy Public Health Expert
    7 days ago
  • Children live online more than ever – we need better definitions of ‘good’ and ‘bad’ scree...
    Kathryn MacCallum, University of Canterbury and Cheryl Brown, University of Canterbury   The pandemic has fundamentally altered every part of our lives, not least the time we spend on digital devices. For young people in particular, the blurred line between recreational and educational screen time presents new challenges we are ...
    SciBlogsBy Guest Author
    7 days ago
  • Putting Aotearoa on the map: New Zealand has changed its name before, why not again?
    Claire Breen, University of Waikato; Alexander Gillespie, University of Waikato; Robert Joseph, University of Waikato, and Valmaine Toki, University of Waikato   Our names are a critical part of our identity. They are a personal and social anchor tying us to our families, our culture, our history and place in ...
    SciBlogsBy Guest Author
    7 days ago
  • Speaker: Yes, of course festival organisers will follow the law on vaccination
    On Tuesday 5 October the New Zealand Government announced that proof of COVID-19 vaccination would be a requirement to attend large events this summer.It took a few days for event owners to absorb the information and understand the implications. By the end of the working week, most of the big ...
    7 days ago
  • NZ Politics Daily: 11 October 2021
    Today’s NZPD testimonial from Jim Hubbard, Cartoonist “NZ Politics daily is a go to for cartoonists, or should be.  Political reporting enmasse like this gives cartoonists and political junkies a smorgasbord to get their teeth into. Essential and I daresay vital reading for those who care about the future of NZ.” Anyone can sign ...
    Democracy ProjectBy bryce.edwards
    7 days ago
  • 2021 SkS Weekly Climate Change & Global Warming News Roundup #41
    Listing of articles linked to on the Skeptical Science Facebook Page during the past week: Sun, October 3, 2021 through Sat, October 9, 2021 The following articles sparked above average interest during the week: VFX Artist Reveals how Many Solar Panels are Needed to Power the ENTIRE World, Will you fall ...
    1 week ago
  • The Night of Parmenides: accepted
    A bit of good news on the writing front. My 3900-word short story, The Night of Parmenides, has been accepted by SpecFicNZ for their upcoming Aftermath anthology, to be published in early 2022. This is my first published short story to be explicitly set in my home-town of ...
    1 week ago
  • The Virus, the Politician, and the gang member
    . . . . . References Newshub Nation: Gang leader Harry Tam denies Winston Peters’ claims he helped infected woman breach COVID boundary, sparking Northland lockdown Te Ao News: ‘Apologise!’ Mob leader slams Peters’ Covid, Northland allegations Stuff media: Covid-19 – Search for contact of Northland case ‘extraordinarily frustrating’ CNBC: ...
    Frankly SpeakingBy Frank Macskasy
    1 week ago
  • Rapid kits, responses, and openings: watch motivations, or catch something worse with Covid…
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    exhALANtBy exhalantblog
    1 week ago
  • Bollocks
    It would appear we have an unwelcome presence in town.Positive wastewater results had been detected in Hamilton and Palmerston North on October 6 and 7. There are 26 cases in hospital, seven of these are in ICU or high dependency units (HDU).One of the people in hospital is in Palmerston ...
    1 week ago
  • World-leading?
    So, the Herald has found someone, as we can see from today’s issue, who is able to explain why we should not claim to have been “world-leading” in our response to the covid epidemic. It seems that we have been kidding ourselves when we celebrated our low total number of ...
    Bryan GouldBy Bryan Gould
    1 week ago
  • Why Is Labour So Frightened Of “Mr Stick”?
    Force Multiplier: Why are Ardern and her ministers so loathe to put a bit of stick about? The “emergency” legislation eventually enacted to authorise the measures needed to combat the Covid-19 pandemic failed to confer upon the New Zealand Government the unequivocal authority that subsequent events showed to be so ...
    1 week ago
  • The Need for an Updated Strategic Approach to Covid-19 Control in Aotearoa NZ
    Prof Nick Wilson, Dr Jennifer Summers, Prof Michael Baker* The NZ Government appears to have drifted into an unclear strategic approach to Covid-19 control. In this blog we outline one potential way forward: a regional strategic approach that considers “regional suppression” and “regional elimination”. To maximise the success of this ...
    SciBlogsBy Public Health Expert
    1 week ago
  • Mairon: The Actual Source for the Blasted Name
    Long-time Tolkien geeks – or those bemused enough to run across a certain internet phenomenon – might know that ‘Sauron’ is not actually the real name of the Lord of the Ring. ‘Sauron’ is just an abusive Elvish nickname, meaning ‘the Abhorred.’ Sauron’s actual name, at least originally, ...
    1 week ago
  • Forced Re-entry
    The elimination of Covid strategy is not so much defeated but changing circumstances means that policy has to evolve. Our elimination stance was never sustainable or at least it would not be until the rest of the world also eliminated Covid-19. Elimination of the virus was a strategy we adopted ...
    PunditBy Brian Easton
    1 week ago
  • Repeal this unjust law
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    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Climate Change: Preparing for the flood
    The Christchurch City Council has published new "coastal hazards" data, indicating which places are under threat from sea-level rise. And its not good news: Parts of Christchurch and Banks Peninsula are likely to become unhabitable [sic] as the city council figures out how to adapt to sea level ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • The Virus, Not The Government
    I wonder if Mike Hosking ever reads the paper in which he appears so regularly? If he does, he might have noticed a report in today’s Herald about the problem that could face churches in Auckland if a vaccine passport becomes mandatory for those wishing to attend church services. The ...
    Bryan GouldBy Bryan Gould
    1 week ago
  • NZ Politics Daily: 8 October 2021
    Today’s NZPD testimonial from Bill Ralston, Media consultant and columnist: “NZ Politics Daily provides an invaluable service for journalists, politicians, businesspeople, decision makers and the public at large by providing an easily accessible, exhaustive, link to every significant political story in the country’s media that day. It’s a gem of a service ...
    Democracy ProjectBy bryce.edwards
    1 week ago
  • Open letter to Michael Barnett, Julie White, et al
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    Frankly SpeakingBy Frank Macskasy
    1 week ago
  • Introducing Mr Stick.
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    1 week ago
  • Skeptical Science New Research for Week #40, 2021
    "Old" research There's little point in trying to best this excellent article describing the 2021 Nobel Prize in Physics by Ars Technica authors Jennifer Ouelette and John Timmer, each having a gift for concisely on-target, accessible science journalism. Here at New Research we'll punt and quote the The Royal Swedish Academy of ...
    2 weeks ago
  • Standing on one leg is a sign of good health – and practising is good for you too
    Dawn Skelton, Glasgow Caledonian University Research shows that people’s ability to stand on one leg is an indicator of health and that getting better at standing on one leg can add to fitness and potentially lifespan. Being able to stand on one leg is linked to increased levels of physical ...
    SciBlogsBy Guest Author
    2 weeks ago
  • Climate Change: More dishonesty over the CCR
    Last month the Emissions Trading Scheme turned into a farce, when the government flooded the market with credits in a failed and wasteful attempt to Keep Carbon Prices Low. When I asked about the background of this policy Climate Change Minister James Shaw sent me one of the most egregious ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 weeks ago
  • Schrödinger’s Wraith: The Status of the Witch-King of Angmar, 15th-25th March, T.A. 3019.
    My recent re-read of The Lord of the Rings reminded me of one of the vaguer head-scratchers in Tolkien. The status of the Witch-King of Angmar between his death at the Battle of Pelennor Fields and the Destruction of the One Ring ten days later… was he, in the ...
    2 weeks ago
  • How rainbow colour maps can distort data and be misleading
    Philip Heron, University of Toronto; Fabio Crameri, University of Oslo, and Grace Shephard, University of Oslo   The choice of colour to represent information in scientific images is a fundamental part of communicating findings. However, a number of colour palettes that are widely used to display critical scientific results are ...
    SciBlogsBy Guest Author
    2 weeks ago
  • Gordon Campbell on Korea’s march to global cultural domination, plus a K-pop playlist
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    2 weeks ago
  • In a lockdown, where does work end and parenting begin? Welcome to the brave new world of ‘zigzag...
    Candice Harris, Auckland University of Technology and Jarrod Haar, Auckland University of Technology   All parents work. The difference lies in the breakdown between their paid and unpaid workloads. That equation is influenced by many things, including education, qualifications, age, ethnicity, financial status, number and age of dependants, gendered and ...
    SciBlogsBy Guest Author
    2 weeks ago
  • Using Rapid Antigen Tests to Improve COVID-19 Control in Aotearoa NZ
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    SciBlogsBy Public Health Expert
    2 weeks ago
  • NZ Politics Daily: 7 October 2021
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    Democracy ProjectBy bryce.edwards
    2 weeks ago
  • Bryce Edwards: Political Roundup – Will electoral and political finance law reform succeed this ti...
    It’s welcome news that the Government has announced this week that they intend to improve how elections work in this country, including fixing the political finance rules. Justice Minister Kris Faafoi has announced that major reforms will be investigated in the areas of political donation rules, promising changes that will ...
    Democracy ProjectBy bryce.edwards
    2 weeks ago
  • Will Jacinda Stand? Or, Has She Already Fallen?
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    2 weeks ago

  • Super Māori turnout for Super Saturday
    Māori have put a superb effort into mobilising to get vaccinated over Super Saturday, with thousands rolling up their sleeves to protect themselves, their whānau and communities from COVID-19, Associate Health Minister Peeni Henare says. “It was absolutely outstanding that 21,702 Māori got vaccinated on this one day alone with 10,825 ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    14 hours ago
  • Language assists Tagata Niue to thrive
    Despite the uncertain times we face with the challenges of COVID-19, our cultural knowledge, values and language remain constant, helping us progress towards goals in life, said  the Minister for Pacific Peoples Aupito William Sio. This year, the Niuean community in New Zealand decided on the theme, “Kia tupuolaola e ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    17 hours ago
  • New Zealand Ambassador to France announced
    Foreign Affairs Minister Nanaia Mahuta today announced the appointment of Caroline Bilkey as New Zealand’s next Ambassador to France and the OECD. “Aotearoa New Zealand and France have a shared history, and enjoy a strong, collaborative partnership. This includes a strong trade and economic relationship, a shared commitment to support ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Govt welcomes nurses’ pay settlement
    The Government is welcoming news that a new employment agreement for nurses working in public hospitals has been settled. “I am very pleased that the hard work of the Nurses Organisation and District Health Boards has led to a settlement that both can support,” Health Minister Andrew Little said today. ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Judge of the High Court appointed
    Māori Land Court Judge Layne Harvey has been appointed a Judge of the High Court, Attorney‑General David Parker announced today. Justice Harvey graduated with an LLB from the University of Auckland in 1992 and commenced employment as a law clerk with Simpson Grierson in Auckland that same year. In 1997 ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Kiwis to have their say on plan to reduce waste
    New Zealanders are invited to have their say on proposals for a new waste strategy and options for new waste legislation. “Reducing waste is one of the issues all New Zealanders – especially younger Kiwis - care deeply about,” Environment Minister David Parker said today “New Zealand is one of ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Next steps in action plan for indigenous rights kicks off
    Minister for Māori Development Willie Jackson has today meet with more than 30 national Māori organisations in an online hui, kicking off the process to develop a plan for New Zealand to implement the United Nations Declaration on the Rights of Indigenous Peoples (the Declaration). The previous National Government signed ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Iwi-led housing solutions build homes for the future
    Whai Kāinga, Whai Oranga will open on 20 October, to receive applications for investment through Te Tūāpapa Kura Kāinga – Ministry of Housing and Urban Development and Te Puni Kōkiri The $730m fund combines investment from Budget 2021 ($380m) and the Māori Infrastructure Fund ($350m) - the largest investment seen ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • E whakarite ana Te Kāwanatanga i ngā tūāpapa mō twhakamaumahara ki Te Petihana Reo Māori ka t...
    I te rā nei, i pānuihia e te Minita mō Manatū Taonga, ko Carmel Sepuloni, rāua ko te Minita Whanaketanga Māori, ko Willie Jackson, ā tērā tau, ka whakanuia rawatia te 50 o ngā tau mai i te whakatakotoranga o te petihana mō te Reo Māori me te huanga mai ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • E whakarite ana Te Kāwanatanga i ngā tūāpapa mō tewhakamaumahara ki Te Petihana Reo Māori ka t...
    I te rā nei, i pānuihia e te Minita mō Manatū Taonga, ko Carmel Sepuloni, rāua ko te Minita Whanaketanga Māori, ko Willie Jackson, ā tērā tau, ka whakanuia rawatia te 50 o ngā tau mai i te whakatakotoranga o te petihana mō te Reo Māori me te huanga mai ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Government green lights rapid antigen testing
    Some of the country’s largest businesses have put in an order for 300,000 approved rapid antigen tests for their workforce, after working at pace with the Government on a new scheme unveiled by Associate Minister of Health and Research, Science and Innovation Ayesha Verrall. A coalition of around 25 businesses ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Government lays foundations as Māori Language Petition commemorations take shape for 2022
    Taiaha hā! Taiaha hā! - Te kairangi o te reo hoki mai ki taku tikanga, ki taku taumata, ki taku reo, ki taku ao. He reo whai tikanga, he reo whai mana, he reo whai tangata koe. Ki te whāngaihia te reo Māori he ao tēnā, ki te kore he ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Major contract awarded to power NZ Battery investigation
    A consortium of specialist firms has been awarded a major contract to advance the New Zealand Battery Project’s feasibility investigation into a pumped hydro storage scheme at Lake Onslow, the Minister of Energy and Resources Megan Woods has announced. “This contract represents a major milestone as it begins the targeted ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Additional Funding for Foodbanks and Social Agencies
    The Government has approved $13.55m from the Covid Response and Recovery Fund to support foodbanks and social sector agencies, Minister for Social Development Carmel Sepuloni has announced. “Foodbanks and social agencies across Auckland are doing a great job supporting their communities and the Government is today providing them with more ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Generating a new generation of guardians
    The Government is supporting a Whakatōhea-led project undertaking landscape scale restoration in forests and around vulnerable rivers within the Eastern Bay of Plenty, Minister of Conservation Kiri Allan says. “The Whakatōhea Tiaki Taiao project will employ four people to undertake pest and weed control, ecosystem restoration and monitoring over three ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Parts of Waikato, Northland staying at Alert Level 3
    The parts of Waikato that have been in Alert Level 3 and Northland will remain in Alert Level 3 for a few more days, COVID-19 Response Minister Chris Hipkins said today. Auckland remains at Alert Level 3, Step 1. “Based on the latest public health information, ministers have decided that ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • New courthouses for Tauranga and Whanganui
    The Government is moving ahead with new courthouses in Tauranga and Whanganui, which the Justice Minister says provide an opportunity to redesign court facilities that help put victims at the heart of the justice system. “These courthouses are part of the 10-year infrastructure investment plan to restore and modernise Ministry ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Speech on the launch of the consultation on the development of the Emissions Reduction Plan
    Tēnā koutou katoa. Ngā mihi o te ata. Earlier this month Save the Children wrote to me with their most up to date analysis on the impact of climate change. What they said was that children born in Aotearoa today will experience up to five times as many heatwaves and ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Opportunity to shape NZ’s first Emissions Reduction Plan
    The Government is inviting New Zealanders to inform the country’s first Emissions Reduction Plan with the release of a consultation document containing a range of policy ideas to decrease the country’s emissions, Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern and Climate Change Minister James Shaw announced today. The Emissions Reduction Plan will set ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Convention on Biological Diversity COP 15, Virtual High-Level Segment
    Kia ora koutou katoa. I want to thank China for hosting this critically important Conference of the Parties. We are all here for the same reason. Biodiversity loss, and the ongoing degradation of nature, are accelerating at an unprecedented rate. These losses are causing irreparable harm to our planet’s ability ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Government books show resilient and strong economy
    The end of year audited Crown accounts released today show the Government’s health led approach to the COVID-19 pandemic has protected New Zealand’s economy. “On almost every indicator the accounts show that the New Zealand economy has performed better than forecast, even as recently as the Budget in May. It ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • ​​​​​​​Health system is ready for assisted-dying law
    The health system is ready for the implementation of the End of Life Choice Act when it takes effect next month, making assisted dying legal in New Zealand, Health Minister Andrew Little said today. The law received 65.1 per cent support in a public referendum held alongside last year’s general ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • Taking a lead in threat to curious kea
    Reducing lead poisoning of kea, the world’s only alpine parrot and one-time New Zealand bird of the year winner, is the goal of a two year project being backed by the Government’s Jobs for Nature programme, Minister of Conservation Kiri Allan says.  “Lead poisoning is a serious threat to this ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • Government provides certainty to working holiday and seasonal visa holders and employers for summer
    The Government will extend Working Holiday visas and Supplementary Seasonal Employment (SSE) work visas for six months to provide more certainty to employers and visa holders over the coming summer period, Immigration Minister Kris Faafoi has announced. “This offers employers and visa holders the certainty they’ve been asking for going ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • Lower card fees good for businesses, consumers
    The Bill to help lower the cost of the fees retailers get charged for offering contactless and debit payment options is another step closer to becoming law, Commerce and Consumer Affairs Minister Dr David Clark said today. “COVID-19 has changed the way we spend our money, with online and contactless ...
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    7 days ago
  • Mandatory vaccination for two workforces
    High-risk workers in the health and disability sector to be fully vaccinated by 1 December, 2021, and to receive their first dose by 30 October School and early learning staff and support people who have contact with children and students to be fully vaccinated by 1 January, 2022, and to ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    7 days ago
  • Fund allows more Pacific community led vaccinations
    The Government has made $1.1 million available through ‘The Prepare Pacific Community Vaccination Fund’ to directly support Pacific community-led initiatives towards increasing vaccinations, said Associate Minister of Health, Aupito William Sio. “The best way to protect our communities from COVID-19 is through vaccination. “We need to explore every avenue to ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    7 days ago
  • Small business at heart of economic recovery across APEC region
    The Minister for Small Business says support for small and medium enterprises will remain ongoing as the Asia-Pacific region moves through response and recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic. Stuart Nash today chaired a virtual summit from Wellington for the APEC Small and Medium Enterprises Ministerial Meeting (SMEMM). “APEC Ministers responsible ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Restrictions on abortion medication lifted for health practitioners
    Abortion services can now be provided in primary care, meaning people can access this care from someone like their trusted GP and in a familiar setting, Associate Minister of Health Dr Ayesha Verrall announced today. “By lifting some restrictions on the funded medications used for early medical abortions, more health ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Record day for Māori vaccinations
    More than 10,000 vaccinations were administered to Māori yesterday, the highest number in the vaccine campaign so far, Associate Minister of Health (Maori Health) Peeni Henare announced. There were 10,145 doses administered across the motu yesterday this is almost equivalent to the population of Hāwera. The doses are made up ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Statement on Joint Cooperation in Agriculture between Ireland and New Zealand
    8 October 2021 - Dublin, Ireland Agriculture plays an important role in the economic, social, environmental, and cultural wellbeing of Ireland and New Zealand. We are focused on increasing the productivity, inclusivity, and resilience of our respective primary sectors. As agri-food exporting nations, we also share a commitment to a ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Northland to move to Alert Level 3 tonight
    Northland will move to Alert Level 3 restrictions from 11:59pm tonight following recent information on the risk presented by the positive case initially tested in Whangarei earlier this week and confirmed in Auckland yesterday, COVID-19 Response Minister Chris Hipkins said. The person is now in an Auckland Managed Isolation Quarantine ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
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  • Prime Minister's Christmas Card Competition
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