How many centrist votes go to Labour?

At midday, it sounds like Judith Collins lost a vote of confidence after apparently angrily pulling the trigger for a preemptive shot using junk from someones dirty politics file.

I heard David Farrar on RNZ speculating on the movement of vote to Act. I very sure that has already happened – but really more?

I don’t think so – the rump must mostly be voters of the center . The right of National went to Act as did their large nutter fringe.

The latter was reflected in the ACT MPs selected last election. A bigger selection of nutbars would be hard to find.

So wouldn’t surprise me to see National’s remaining vote to go to parties in the centre or centre-left. There isn’t much choice here at present. NZ First or Labour or something else?

At the last election, a similar self-inflicted mutilation by National caused a large movement to Labour in the absence of a better alternative. I suspect it will happen again.

What do readers think?


Updated: Shane Reti is a interim leader.. That means at least one more destabilising leadership vote?

It is hard for this (usually) Labour voter to see Judith Collins to go. She has been the present that kept giving.

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