According to the Colmar/Brunton poll, 50% of Kiwis don’t believe National is being open about its plans vs 37% who believe the Nats are being upfront (presumably, the other 13% offered no opinion).
That’s got to be worrying for National. As I’ve said time and again, the three grounds that politicians are ultimately judged on (or, at least should be judged on) are policy, competency, and trust. People who don’t trust National, don’t believe they are being open, outnumber people who do trust them 4 to 3. And that was before the secret agenda tapes had their full impact – the Colmar Brunton poll was conducted from Tuesday the 5th, just as the story was beginning to break and long before its impact on voters could be reflected in a poll.
To make matters worse, National has failed on policy too. Its flagship policy is to increase borrowing to pay for tax cuts (oh yeah, I mean ‘infrastructure’). 52% of respondents opposed that policy vs 39% who supported it; again a 4:3 ratio against.
Now, with the polls turning against them*, National will be hoping voters believe an ex-currency speculator has the competency to lead our country. Otherwise, that’s three strikes and a victory that once looked inevitable may be out of reach.
(*note Labour is up 8% and National down 4% in the last two months in Colmar Brunton. In Roy Morgan, Labour is up 3.5% in two months and National down 3.5%)
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