Written By: - Date published: 9:55 am, January 12th, 2019 - 51 comments
A new poll shows solid support for legalising cannabis. Is the 2020 referendum a done deal?
Written By: - Date published: 8:50 am, January 10th, 2019 - 67 comments
Another day, another humiliating defeat for Theresa May. Surprisingly, the news is no better for Jeremy Corbyn.
Written By: - Date published: 6:21 pm, December 2nd, 2018 - 189 comments
The latest Colmar Brunton poll result is out suggesting a slight rebound in National’s fortunes.
Written By: - Date published: 8:30 am, August 6th, 2018 - 40 comments
The Return of the Pollwatch: Are Labour getting a baby bump? Are National in decline? Are the Greens in existential danger? And do all the previous questions have the same answer?
Written By: - Date published: 7:38 pm, May 28th, 2018 - 59 comments
Hot on the heels of Reid Research, TVNZ has also been doing post-budget polling, and this one paints a bit of a different picture.
Written By: - Date published: 4:00 pm, April 18th, 2018 - 78 comments
In this third edition of Pollwatch, we note Simon Bridges’ leap out of the gate to a hiss and fizzle, and with Roy Morgan still on an unexplained hiatus, our second poll of the year has arrived from Colmar Brunton, with the government’s support down very slightly, but its support partners both in a much more stable position.
Written By: - Date published: 8:30 am, February 20th, 2018 - 47 comments
In this second edition of Pollwatch, we note the impact of Jacinda Ardern at the height of her powers, track the likelyhood of current government support partners of clearing our high Party Vote threshold, and note the small likelyhood that English’s eventual successor will have of sneaking into the Beehive even if we held a snap election right now.
Written By: - Date published: 1:08 pm, December 10th, 2017 - 88 comments
The latest Colmar Brunton results just released suggests that support for the Government parties is stable and support for Jacinda Ardern is surging.
Written By: - Date published: 7:03 am, November 23rd, 2017 - 154 comments
The first post election Roy Morgan poll result has been released. Labour and the Greens have surged and National has gone backwards.
Written By: - Date published: 12:18 pm, November 15th, 2017 - 21 comments
Australian electors have voted overwhelmingly in favour of allowing same sex marriages.
Written By: - Date published: 8:27 am, November 14th, 2017 - 34 comments
One of the things that I like about the Horizon poll is that it is unashamedly qualitative and highlights data beyond what is required for idiot talking heads needing a soundbite. Horizon breaks down some of the demographics to look at who is giving the government their honeymoon.
Written By: - Date published: 8:16 am, September 21st, 2017 - 107 comments
Poll results! And, the most important thing we can do now is vote, and get out the vote, and remind people that only Labour and the Greens have committed to changing the government.
Written By: - Date published: 7:00 am, September 13th, 2017 - 93 comments
Somewhere between complacency and losing hope there’s the mahi that still needs doing.
Written By: - Date published: 6:05 am, September 8th, 2017 - 70 comments
Labour has overtaken National in the RNZ poll of polls. Last night’s TVNZ poll had National 4 points behind and falling below 40% for the first time in a decade. Labour have the momentum, and 2 weeks to go…
Written By: - Date published: 7:01 am, September 1st, 2017 - 76 comments
Labour has polled ahead of National for the first time in 12 years. It is only one poll and others may differ, but it has shattered a huge psychological barrier. We’re in a new political world. Time to go hard.
Written By: - Date published: 8:27 am, August 20th, 2017 - 58 comments
Labour rising, National falling in the latest poll. Greens steady at 8%. Jacinda Ardern buries Bill English in the “favourability” rating. Will Labour overtake Nats before the election?
Update: Live Labour launch video.
Written By: - Date published: 11:29 am, August 19th, 2017 - 68 comments
Can we please get on with the real mahi now?
Written By: - Date published: 4:09 pm, August 18th, 2017 - 86 comments
Matthew Whitehead on MMP and the threshold, along with some commentary on the current polling situation.
Written By: - Date published: 9:12 am, August 18th, 2017 - 87 comments
What Jacinda Ardern has accomplished here is nothing short of astonishing. As a one-off bump in the polls it rivals Brash’s infamous Orewa speech. But Ardern’s rise is based on optimism and positivity rather than racist dog whistles.
Written By: - Date published: 7:05 pm, August 9th, 2017 - 94 comments
Two polls out tonight show a big surge for Labour and Jacinda Ardern. But we need a strong Green vote too. To those whom Metiria inspired – please don’t give up on voting. The Greens need you now more than ever!
Written By: - Date published: 10:38 am, August 8th, 2017 - 45 comments
The missing Newshub poll question has appeared at last, showing that Bill English has been damaged by his handling of the Barclay scandal. 56% of Kiwis (even 36% of Nats) have lost some trust in English. Updated: The texts have been “deleted”. English refusing to answer questions.