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Election 2017: the battle lines are drawn

Written By: - Date published: 8:57 am, July 17th, 2017 - 77 comments

The 2017 election campaign has been set alight by the Greens adopting brave policies that Jeremy Corbyn would be proud of and NZ First adopting policies that would meet with Donald Trump’s approval.

Nats’ poll fall 2014 2017

Written By: - Date published: 7:26 am, July 12th, 2017 - 141 comments

Toby Manhire on The Spinoff has an interesting analysis of the recent Colmar Brunton poll. Comapred to the same poll in 2014 National are 5% down, with the Labour/Green alliance unchanged. The fall in the preferred PM rating from Key to English is huge. The Nats are highly vulnerable.

Narratives out of noise

Written By: - Date published: 7:13 am, July 11th, 2017 - 189 comments

Another poll, another round of narratives out of noise.

Roy Morgan poll (please no not Winston)

Written By: - Date published: 6:47 am, May 27th, 2017 - 61 comments

The chronically erratic Roy Morgan poll is out again, with Nat vs Lab/Green in a dead heat.

Stuff – online survey on NZ direction

Written By: - Date published: 10:28 am, May 23rd, 2017 - 10 comments

Stuff is running an online survey – Is New Zealand on the right track?

Hickey’s chart of the week

Written By: - Date published: 3:32 pm, April 28th, 2017 - 16 comments

Dog’s Breakfast.

Written By: - Date published: 12:40 pm, April 23rd, 2017 - 17 comments

If politicians are meant to represent people, then shouldn’t they explore ways to ensure that the people they represent get represented in government?

Pity the RWNJ (for they are going to be spinning in pain)

Written By: - Date published: 6:04 pm, April 3rd, 2017 - 60 comments

If you are one of the right wing nut jobs that read this site, then Horizon puts out some truly scary polls. But if you aren’t an idiot and actually take the time to read material before criticizing it (unlike Hooton on ‘Hit and Run’) then this points to a tight election as is usual under MMP. But with all of the swing in the direction of a Labour led coalition. But I am sure the simpleton spinners will have another explanation.

RNZ poll of polls

Written By: - Date published: 10:46 am, March 31st, 2017 - 22 comments

RNZ: “Labour and the Green Party have closed the gap slightly on National in the latest Poll of Polls”.

Clifton: Nat MPs getting nervous

Written By: - Date published: 6:42 pm, March 26th, 2017 - 79 comments

English is down 6% in the latest Colmar Brunton. Jane Clifton sees Nat MPs getting nervous. “For the Nats, having so long taken a fourth term as read, the possibility that their own leader may soon be less secure in his job than Labour’s will be a toughie.”

Reid poll

Written By: - Date published: 10:26 am, March 22nd, 2017 - 67 comments

The latest Newshub / Reid poll shows nothing dramatic on the party preference, but has talking points for both left and right on the (largely nonsense) preferred PM question.

Unpopular PM

Written By: - Date published: 2:04 pm, March 21st, 2017 - 46 comments

Bill English has premiered at 25% in TV3’s preferred PM poll. Even incumbency can’t make Bill look popular.

A fan grieves Key’s popularity bubble

Written By: - Date published: 10:08 am, February 26th, 2017 - 24 comments

Today’s news, tomorrow’s fish and chip wrapper. Tracy Watkins grieves. Max Rashbrooke explains.

Colmar Brunton poll

Written By: - Date published: 6:20 pm, February 19th, 2017 - 111 comments

1 News: “The gap between National and the centre left block of Labour and the Greens has tightened in the wake of John Key’s departure as leader, according to the first major poll since his shock resignation.”

Nats take a plunge on the Roy Morgan roundabout

Written By: - Date published: 4:27 pm, December 21st, 2016 - 128 comments

The erratic Roy Morgan poll has swung around again, Nats down 4.5% to 45% and Labour/ Greens up up 5.5% to 43%. Worryingly for the B-team, government confidence fell a “whopping” 10 points.

Trump scooped up the white vote that Democrats abandoned

Written By: - Date published: 12:05 pm, November 11th, 2016 - 83 comments

Trump laid siege to the Democrat’s “Blue Wall” and they didn’t respond to or recognise his strategem until far too late.

Trumped

Written By: - Date published: 10:55 am, October 8th, 2016 - 173 comments

It looks all its over for Donald Trump. On the eve of the second Presidential debate, his polling has tanked, the Russians have come out in support of him and his team have run out of money for TV ads. Plus, truly awful video has emerged overnight of him admitting sexual assaults. Has there ever been a worse candidate? And will he still be the right’s candidate in a month’s time?

UPDATE: Trump says he will be a better man. Pearl Jam sue.

Polls

Written By: - Date published: 8:22 am, September 28th, 2016 - 61 comments

While politicos were watching Hillary defeat Donald in the first debate, Roy Morgan released their latest poll, showing Labour massively up and National down a chunk. Is the media narrative broken?

Latest Roy Morgan Poll – Labour surges

Written By: - Date published: 9:18 pm, September 27th, 2016 - 191 comments

The latest Roy Morgan poll result has support for National plunging and support for Labour surging.

Clinton vs Trump; Debate 1

Written By: - Date published: 8:52 am, September 27th, 2016 - 274 comments

The first Presidential kicks off this arvo. Who will win? Do we care? Should we care? Stay tuned Standarnistas, it’ll be a doozy!

National 0, Christchurch 1

Written By: - Date published: 1:49 pm, September 21st, 2016 - 97 comments

Did Lianne Dalziel just prove how economically challenged the National Party are? It appears Christchurch will be able to pay its quake bill without flogging off the family silver. Why are the right so wedded to asset sales when they make no financial sense?

Latest Colmar Brunton: NAT 48%, LAB+GR 39%

Written By: - Date published: 6:08 pm, September 12th, 2016 - 315 comments

National stays steady as she goes on 48%. Labour is down 3% to 26%.

Roy Morgan August; Nat’s Down 7%

Written By: - Date published: 7:50 pm, August 29th, 2016 - 268 comments

The latest Roy Morgan is out. A solid 7% drop for National.

The Spinoff: Housing crisis costing Nats

Written By: - Date published: 7:23 am, August 27th, 2016 - 14 comments

The Spinoff: “Lose the top of your party vote in Auckland, with Labour making ground, and the picture for the general election in 2017 looks like, walks like and quacks like a crisis.”

Labour’s Kiwibuild is popular

Written By: - Date published: 9:49 am, August 9th, 2016 - 81 comments

More good news for the political left in the fine print of yesterday’s Newshub-Reid Research poll.

Newshub Poll: Key Stuffed

Written By: - Date published: 6:50 pm, August 8th, 2016 - 113 comments

The latest Reid Research poll is grim reading for the Nats. Labour and the Greens are closing fast.

Roy Morgan

Written By: - Date published: 6:40 am, July 22nd, 2016 - 359 comments

Time to move to Planet Key?

RM: National Party support falls 2.5% to 43%

Written By: - Date published: 7:02 pm, June 20th, 2016 - 138 comments

National support is down 2.5% to 43% in the latest Roy Morgan, just ahead of LAB/GR at 42.5% (up 1%).

Labour Green MOU well received in poll

Written By: - Date published: 9:28 am, June 8th, 2016 - 148 comments

A modest bump for the Labour Green block in the latest Colmar Brunton. And what appears to be a shift from NZF to Labour after the MOU announcement. That might wipe the smile off Winston’s dial.

Newshub poll – Key’s government has failed on housing

Written By: - Date published: 3:10 pm, May 25th, 2016 - 46 comments

Quite apart from falling to his lowest level ever as preferred PM, the Newshub poll had more bad news for King John.

Newshub poll – Key falls to lowest popularity

Written By: - Date published: 3:13 pm, May 24th, 2016 - 146 comments

Latest Newshub poll shows little change in the party standings and Winston still kingmaker. It also shows that Key “plummets” to his lowest level ever.

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