Latest polls

Not much to say on these two polls. Roy Morgan is moving around:

The latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll shows support for John Key’s National-led Government has weakened to 55.5% (down 2%), comprising National Party 50.5% (down 2%), Maori Party 3% (down 0.5%), ACT NZ 1% (unchanged) and United Future 1% (up 0.5%). Support for Opposition Parties has risen to 44.5% (up 2%); Labour Party 33% (up 3%), Greens 9.5% (unchanged), New Zealand First 1.5% (down 1%), Others 0.5% (up 0.5%) and the Progressive Party with 0% (down 0.5%).

The fall in support for National (50.5%, down 2%) mirrors a slight fall in the Government Confidence Rating (136.5, down 1pt) and also a fall in June’s ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence measure (122.0, down 4pts) — driven lower by decreasing confidence about the year ahead.

TV3 enthusiastically links poll movements with the credit card story – bit soon to call I would have thought. TV3 said:

National are up 3.2 percent to 55.3 percent, Labour are down 3.3 percent to 30.5 percent and the Greens are down to 7.7 percent. John Key still holds a huge lead as preferred Prime Minister, with 49.6 percent of the votes, Phil Goff has just 5.1 percent, down 7.5 percent. Mr Goff is only just holding off Helen Clark – on 4.9 percent.

What does it all mean? That the world of politics is never certain, and there’s always more work to be done!

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