The latest Roy Morgan poll is out.
Support for government parties is up 1% to 56%:
National Party 51% (unchanged),
Maori Party 3.5% (up 2%),
ACT NZ 1% (down 1%)
United Future 0.5% (unchanged),
Support for Opposition Parties is down 1% to 44%:
Labour Party 32% (up 0.5%)
Greens 8%, (unchanged),
New Zealand First 3% (down 2%),
Progressive Party 0.5% (up 0.5%),
Others 0.5% (unchanged).
The sample size is 991, with 6% (down 1%) don’t know. On Government Confidence: 53.5% (down 1%) say New Zealand is ‘heading in the right direction’, 32.5% (up 3%) that say New Zealand is ‘heading in the wrong direction’.
Given the consistency of the Roy Morgan polling it’s pretty clear that the TV3 poll that had Labour on 27% (and that got some of the more vacuous righties so over stimulated) was a rogue.
And with respect to polls in general, here’s some sage advice from an unexpected source — see if you can work out who said it before you click the link:
He did not put much stock into poll results that show that Mr Hide’s grip on the Epsom seat is in jeopardy. “I wouldn’t want to read too much into that. I’ve seen that polling in the paper a month or so ago. It’s a wee way out til [the general election on] November 26.”
Indeed.
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