This is a scene from West Wing about that all important attribute in campaigns, momentum in the polls.
For a long time this campaign has looked, at least superficially, like a foregone conclusion. National and Act’s polling was far too good. They had far too much money. And Labour’s vote was declining.
With recent polls showing a reversal of Labour’s fortunes and with Act crashing things are turning around. And with doubts about the accuracy of the polls, shown by the results in 2020 and 2005, anything can happen.
I did some door knocking yesterday. Some of the people I spoke to were very negative about Labour. It is not difficult to understand why, the country has been through a one in one hundred year pandemic, an economic downturn due to overseas factors and has been hit by really wild weather. We are all grumpy.
And National with its huge war chest and incessantly negative advertising is doing its best to bring everyone down. It must be really hard on your mental health to be negative 95% of the time.
On the doorstep however there was real incredulity at National’s tax plans and its deceptive advertising about the size of its tax cuts. People are reviewing what they are going to do.
This election is not over. With an undecided figure of 10% anything is possible.
And Christopher Luxon raising the possibility of a further election is an unbelievable show of weakness.
Do the right thing and get three of your family or friends to vote. The country’s future depends on it.
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