Aussie Aussie Aussie, oi oi oi …
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7:00 pm, July 2nd, 2016 - 51 comments
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A general post for discussion of the Australian Election results as they come in tonight. Will be updated with events. Results should start to filter through after 8 pm local time when the booths close. The opinion polls are neck and neck …
Update: 2 and a half hours in and the Liberals are looking rattled. They are complaining that Labour told lies about Medicare and ran a frighten campaign. Seats are Libs 61 Labour 60 Greens 1 and independents 4 …
Update 2: When I went to sleep at about midnight the ABC was estimating the seat count at 73:67 with the Libs in front. This morning it is 67 all …
Update 3: The Electoral Commision has ended the count for the time being, with Labor being called ahead in 72 seats, the Lib’s ahead in 67, Greens 1, and others 4. 7 seats are too close to call and a further 2 may change, including one where the Greens are neck and neck with Labor. Malcolm Turnbull gave a weird speech around midnight and has already faced a call for his resignation because of the 3% + swing against his coalition Government. Some Conservatives believe Tony Abbott would have done better.
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The Government has done the right thing in moving to ban greyhound racing. ...2 weeks ago
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Isn’t Penny Wong on the ABC a totally class act?
agreed +1000 Scott…I watched her on the ABC for 5 and a half hours yesterday; superb. Incisive, informed, intelligent, took no shit from the Liberal wanker to her left and when she called the result an “aubergine” I just cracked up.
Channel 9 exit poll has a 50/50 split on preferred vote and a 3.4% swing to Labor in marginals.
Channel 7 exit poll 51% Coalition to 49% for Labor.
What’s the chance the Governor General has to choose between one coalition and another?
Can,t see anything but a coalition win thanks to the media especially Sky News stacking their panels with ignorant right wingers.If Turnbull gets in they are going to roll the same out of date policies that this incompetent regime over here have.
Don’t blame Sky News. Sky News in the UK didn’t stop Corbyn being elected Leader, despite the best efforts of the Murdoch press.
A bit of a false dichotomy implied there. If it is true that the outcome would have been different in the absence of Sky’s bias, then it would be entirely appropriate to level blame at their coverage, regardless of whether other factors might have been involved. Your general approach to these things, here as well as in general recently, has been a bit like blaming someone for being kicked in the teeth, despite the fact that someone had deliberately distracted her attention at that precise moment, someone else had kicked her, and yet another person had set her feet in concrete beforehand, preventing her from taking effective action to evade the blow. Sure, maybe she was a bit drunk at the time, but that would hardly have been the main contributing factor.
Queensland looks difficult for Labor. Tasmania, however, may have delivered 2/3 seats to Labor above expectations.
Greens ahead in Bateman.
Not much from NSW yet where Labor’s fortunes may be determined. The swing to Greens in Bateman is about 12%.
Eden-Monaro in NSW which is famously a bellwether seat in Australian elections (not so much now with redistribution) looks to be heading to Labor.
ABC currently forecasting 54 seats Coalition, 53 labor and Independents 4.
ABC has 55/55 with 4 independents and 36 in doubt.
WA polls will close shortly.
Anthony Albanese has won Grayndler.
ABC has LNP at 58, ALP at 57, Other at 5.
30 in doubt.
ABC currently forecasting 58 Labor, 57 Coalition, 5 Ind, 30 in doubt.
ABC saying a hung parliament is ‘more likely’.
ALP is winning big in states with Liberal State Govts while the swing is more muted in states with Labor State Govts.
Julie Bishop pretty fatalistic in the face of Labor’s Medicare scare.
More than a hint of bitterness about her speech. Labor does it too …
Indeed Micky. it’s fair to say the Coalition didn’t expect this broadside from Labor.
Penny Wong launching into Turnball on the ABC. It’s getting pretty gritty now folks.
Julie Bishop saying the Xeno team can’t do anything – wonder if Xeno will wind up in the balance of power team.
Labour Vote up 1.4%, Green up 1.6% Libs down 3.5% …
Tanya Plibersek is returned in Sydney. What wouldn’t you give to have her as deputy PM?
Grant Robertson for DPM
CV can you just put it to one side for a moment?
sorry bad habits
Why? Every opportunity is fair enough, I say. The guy’s a pillock and importantly (for lots of reasons) we need to be reminded of that – hence every opportunity.
Not only are you a charmer Chris, but the kilogram of CO2 you’ve added to the Earth’s atmosphere today by wasting our time breathing has been a disappointing and callous waste of carbon budget.
Sarcasm is the lowest form of wit CV.
Which guy is a pillock again please? CV or Robertson. The audience needs to know 😇
Ha clever perhaps I was being thin skinned
Queensland may be be better for ALP than expected.
Victoria will likely be a disappointment for Labour in the wake of the Labour State govt having being embroiled in a long running dispute with the CFA that turned ugly and political.
The Liberal opposition ran with a flat-out lie campaign very successfully. The whole story is quite long and involved, but the short version is they played very dirty.
Well if the ABC predictions are correct then it looks like 75 for the liberals.
In the Higgins & Wills seats who would the Liberals be most likely to preference?
Linda Burney, becomes the first Aboriginal woman to be elected into the House of Representatives (lower house of Parliament). The first Aboriginal woman to be elected into Parliament was only back in 2013…
Liberals have won 42% of the vote compared to Labour 35% so far.
So that’s it as far as the popular vote is concerned.
Thats coalition which is a mix of about 4-5 parties on 42% primary vote.
There is no nationwide Liberal party, nor is there a nationwide national party. Strangely in Queensland where they are combined into one party, elected Mps then split into Libs or Nats when it comes which caucus to join.
Here is party by party vote so far Sunday
labour 35.3%
liberals 28.3
greens 10.0%
Liberal nationals 8.3% ( QLD only)
nationals 5%
The crocodile picked Turnbull – typical reptilian inside job.
It’s a monstrous business:
http://www.bbc.com/news/world-australia-36680838
Because of double dissolution half of Senate HAS to be relected in about two years time ( newly elected senators with short terms have their time in office ‘backdated’)
While not essential for practical purposes it means HR will also be voted on at the same time.
So whoever takes office will only have a bit over two years in office before facing relection
Correction, its only backdated to previous 1 July, because of the date yesterday was 2nd July they dont go back to July 2015.
So no short term !
http://blogs.abc.net.au/antonygreen/2016/04/how-long-and-short-terms-are-allocated-after-a-double-dissolution.html
Seems like a tight result.
http://www.news.com.au/national/federal-election/the-tally-whos-winning-the-vote/news-story/84ee253bb9ecc0855aca8aa93b1fba3a
These are the 12 seats in doubt that will settle it-watch the count! (Some are in WA so will not start for a few hours)
http://www.abc.net.au/news/federal-election-2016/results/list/?selector=indoubt&sort=az
SkyNews – Albanese looking to stick the knife into Shorten.
They are dreaming-Shorten is safe on those results. Turnbull on the other hand….