Down to the wire

Two new polls were released last night and they both confirm a tightening of the race with the right slumping and the left improving.

From Radio New Zealand:

The latest opinion polls show the political left is making gains in the final stretch of the election campaign.

Both the 1News and Newshub polls show rising support for the Labour and the Greens.

On the right, National is up slightly in 1News poll with ACT numbers falling, while the Newshub poll shows a sharp drop for National, with ACT steady.

Neither the left nor right has enough support to form a majority without New Zealand First, which in both polls is above the 5 percent threshold needed to enter Parliament.

No recent poll has National and Act in a position to form a government.  The Guardian and Newshub polls both showed Labour-Greens-Te Pati Maori ahead of National-Act.

There is clearly a surge on.  If progressive activists can get turnout up this could go right down to the wire.

And as a reminder in 2005 the final Colmar Brunton poll had National 5 points ahead of where it ended up and Labour 3 points behind.  And the last Fairfax Media poll had National 4 points ahead and Labour 4 points behind of where they ended up.  That sized change could see Labour returned to power.

Do your country a favour.  Triple your vote by getting two friends or whanau members to vote.  And volunteer to help with the turn out the vote effort.  Every vote will count.

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