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Pollwatch: Colmar Brunton, 16/4/18

Written By: - Date published: 4:00 pm, April 18th, 2018 - 78 comments

An arc chart of seats in the latest Colmar Brunton poll: Greens 7, Labour 53, New Zealand First 6, National 54, ACT 1.

In this third edition of Pollwatch, we note Simon Bridges’ leap out of the gate to a hiss and fizzle, and with Roy Morgan still on an unexplained hiatus, our second poll of the year has arrived from Colmar Brunton, with the government’s support down very slightly, but its support partners both in a much more stable position.

The political honeymoon that keeps on ending

Written By: - Date published: 9:01 am, April 18th, 2018 - 43 comments

Media pundits are claiming on the evidence offered by one poll that the Government’s political honeymoon is over. But the same claim was made four months ago.

The Northcote by-election

Written By: - Date published: 7:59 am, April 17th, 2018 - 86 comments

Labour and National have both selected their candidates for the Northcote by election.  Labour’s candidate is Shanan Halbert who cut significantly into Jonathan Coleman’s majority at the last election.

Labour aims to make transport system more sustainable

Written By: - Date published: 1:03 pm, April 4th, 2018 - 89 comments

The Government has released a draft Government Policy Statement on Transport for consultation.  A radical shake up of the Transport system is being proposed.

Local Bodies: NZ Politics, a rocky road ahead.

Written By: - Date published: 6:25 am, March 27th, 2018 - 29 comments

Dave Kennedy at Local Bodies looks at the tough task ahead for Labour, and where retired MPs are landing.

Golriz Ghahraman in the House on the TPPA

Written By: - Date published: 6:04 am, March 1st, 2018 - 177 comments

“As Greens, what’s particularly chilling to us is that we know elsewhere in the world where ISDS clauses have been accessed to sue Governments, corporates have used them to stop environmental protection.” … “The Indonesian environmental Minister had to admit, ‘If we shut them down, they will need compensation and Indonesia can’t afford it.’ That is chilling.”

It’s Our Future: Complete U-Turn by Labour and NZ First on TPP

Written By: - Date published: 11:37 am, February 21st, 2018 - 131 comments

The TPP might have been re-branded as the CPTPP but it’s still the same bad deal says Professor Jane Kelsey, New Zealand’s expert on international economic regulation.

“Calling it “Comprehensive and Progressive” doesn’t make it any better.

Poll Watch: Colmar Brunton Poll 2018-2-19

Written By: - Date published: 8:30 am, February 20th, 2018 - 47 comments

In this second edition of Pollwatch, we note the impact of Jacinda Ardern at the height of her powers, track the likelyhood of current government support partners of clearing our high Party Vote threshold, and note the small likelyhood that English’s eventual successor will have of sneaking into the Beehive even if we held a snap election right now.

TPPA-11 update and actions

Written By: - Date published: 6:23 am, February 16th, 2018 - 70 comments

The TPPA-11 is set to be signed on March 8. There are still huge problems with the agreement for NZ. Jane Kelsey provides an update.

National claims credit for Waitangi Day

Written By: - Date published: 8:21 am, February 7th, 2018 - 58 comments

National is claiming some credit for the success of Waitangi day. But the things they claim credit for are because of decisions of others, not the National Government.

The 2017 General Election electorate expense returns

Written By: - Date published: 12:49 pm, February 4th, 2018 - 25 comments

Last year’s electorate expense returns have now been made public.

Poll Watch: Reid Research Poll 2018-1-31

Written By: - Date published: 8:00 am, February 1st, 2018 - 158 comments

Newshub recently released the latest poll they commissioned from Reid Research. Let’s dive into some analysis of what this means.

National’s drug conscience

Written By: - Date published: 7:06 am, January 31st, 2018 - 34 comments

Helen Kelly championed the liberalisation of drug law to allow those suffering from significant ill health to have access to cannabis for medicinal purposes. National is still struggling with the concept despite it having overwhelming public support.

Employment Relations changes announced

Written By: - Date published: 1:28 pm, January 25th, 2018 - 20 comments

The Government has announced changes to the Employment Relations law which on the whole are positive and beneficial for workers.  But following New Zealand First lobbying the 90 day fire at will provision will be retained for small firms.

Jacinda to attend Waitangi day ceremony at Waitangi

Written By: - Date published: 9:03 am, January 23rd, 2018 - 29 comments

Jacinda Ardern has announced that she will spend five days at Waitangi leading up to Waitangi day to make full use of the time when people are gathered there to meet together as a government that wants to form open transparent relationships.

Can This Government Regain Power on Its Policies?

Written By: - Date published: 11:46 am, January 17th, 2018 - 82 comments

The sixth Labour led Government has made a good start to its term. But what policy results will New Zealand have to vote for and campaign on in 2020?

What will 2018 bring for National?

Written By: - Date published: 8:00 am, January 4th, 2018 - 179 comments

What are National’s prospects this year?  Will Bill English survive as leader?  Will there be resignations and a clean out of the front bench?  Stay tuned …

The Medicinal Marijuana Bill

Written By: - Date published: 8:00 am, December 21st, 2017 - 40 comments

Will the Medical Marijuana Bill just introduced into Parliament be as effective as proponents wish?

The Herald is obsessed with the latest Colmar Brunton poll

Written By: - Date published: 10:17 am, December 17th, 2017 - 47 comments

The Herald’s weekend political comment includes detailed analysis of the Colmar Brunton poll, now a week old, but ignored the details of the mini budget.

National needs a friend

Written By: - Date published: 8:30 am, December 12th, 2017 - 43 comments

National is pondering one of the realities of MMP.  Without friends its chances of becoming Government are very limited.

Latest Comar Brunton poll result

Written By: - Date published: 1:08 pm, December 10th, 2017 - 88 comments

The latest Colmar Brunton results just released suggests that support for the Government parties is stable and support for Jacinda Ardern is surging.

Shane Jones and work for the dole

Written By: - Date published: 11:24 am, December 4th, 2017 - 94 comments

Shane Jones has muddied a perfectly good job creation policy by talking about work for the dole.

Once again: National lost the election

Written By: - Date published: 9:17 pm, November 26th, 2017 - 154 comments

A rebuttal of Nick Smith’s claim to have “won the 2017 election, but lost the coalition negotiations.”

Latest Roy Morgan Poll – Labour and Greens surge as National flounders

Written By: - Date published: 7:03 am, November 23rd, 2017 - 154 comments

The first post election Roy Morgan poll result has been released. Labour and the Greens have surged and National has gone backwards.

Can Ben Mack please make his mind up

Written By: - Date published: 7:35 am, November 12th, 2017 - 83 comments

Herald lifestyle columnist has published two recent opinion pieces, the first wondering if Jacinda Ardern will be able to address the many and varied problems the country faces and the second suggesting that the Government is under the control of the extreme right.  Can he please make up his mind.

This TPP…

Written By: - Date published: 11:19 am, November 8th, 2017 - 68 comments

Some aspects of the TPP no-one’s mentioning.

Suck it up political sleazers.

Written By: - Date published: 8:22 am, November 8th, 2017 - 113 comments

Winston Peters has launched a legal fishing expedition to identify who exactly breached privacy on his superannuation over payments. A problem that he shares with about 50 thousand other pensioners. Unlike them, his problem wasn’t trying to find money to repay it. It was that the breach was deliberately timed to be a classic dirty politics ploy, almost certainly by National, in the leadup to the  recent election. I wish him good fishing.

 

Let’s do this

Written By: - Date published: 2:42 pm, November 3rd, 2017 - 11 comments

With a change of Government it is a time for a change in the public entities that run New Zealand.

The new cabinet

Written By: - Date published: 12:07 pm, October 25th, 2017 - 41 comments

Details of the new cabinet have been announced.

Say goodbye to roads of national significance

Written By: - Date published: 7:29 am, October 25th, 2017 - 55 comments

National’s roads of national significance programme looks to be no more with an early casualty being the East West Link in Auckland, which per kilometre was destined to be the most expensive transport project the world has ever seen.

Labour – NZFirst deal details announced

Written By: - Date published: 3:54 pm, October 24th, 2017 - 60 comments

Details of the Labour – NZ First coalition agreement have just been announced.

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