Written By: nickkelly - Date published: 6:01 am, September 20th, 2023 - 15 comments
From the outside, the New Zealand 2023 General Election seems both lacklustre and slightly strange. The Labour Government, having won a huge majority in 2020 is now fighting for its political life. Yet National, the main centre-right opposition party is still on average polling significantly worse now than they were when it lost power in 2017.
Written By: weka - Date published: 12:34 pm, August 31st, 2023 - 44 comments
Now is not the time to give up, now is the time to work harder at winning.
Written By: advantage - Date published: 7:47 am, July 30th, 2023 - 163 comments
We need to recognise our risk to the capital flight risk of the 1%, but also recognise the benefit to the 99% of us.
Written By: mickysavage - Date published: 10:53 am, July 28th, 2023 - 87 comments
National’s Nicola Willis has claimed that Labour will soon announce policy to take GST off fresh fruit and vegetables.
Written By: mickysavage - Date published: 6:25 pm, July 12th, 2023 - 92 comments
Chris Hipkins today stated that for any future Government he leads after the next election there will be no wealth or capital gains tax implemented. End of story.
Written By: mickysavage - Date published: 9:02 am, May 31st, 2023 - 36 comments
National is blowing hard on the racist dog whistle by claiming that replacing signs with a Te Reo English version will affect the number of potholes that can be repaired.
Written By: advantage - Date published: 8:05 am, May 12th, 2023 - 174 comments
Since they’re touted as 2023’s electoral ‘Kingmakers’, it’s time to understand what the Maori Party really want.
Written By: advantage - Date published: 8:52 am, May 6th, 2023 - 8 comments
Last minutes of this parliamentary term and all teams are subbing out.
Written By: mickysavage - Date published: 10:15 am, May 3rd, 2023 - 138 comments
Meka Whaitiri has quit Labour and confirmed that she will stand for the Maori Party in this year’s election. She intends to stay on as an MP and sit with the Maori Party.
Written By: mickysavage - Date published: 6:18 pm, March 13th, 2023 - 57 comments
The latest One News Kantar Poll result has been released and it is a doozie.
Written By: mickysavage - Date published: 11:38 am, February 17th, 2023 - 31 comments
Chris Hipkins has so far not put a foot wrong. Since he became PM he has quickly and competently reformed the Cabinet and jettisoned policies that were for one reason or another causing problems. And he has quickly asserted control over two massive storms, the first which pummeled the country’s major city and the second which has caused massive floods to much of the East Coast of the North Island.
Written By: mickysavage - Date published: 11:32 am, February 12th, 2023 - 30 comments
It is really difficult trying to appear to be Prime Minister material and inclusive and to appeal to racists at the same time. Christopher Luxon this week has shown how difficult it is.
Written By: mickysavage - Date published: 6:24 pm, January 30th, 2023 - 78 comments
This evening two new political polls have been released both putting Labour ahead of National.
Written By: weka - Date published: 9:59 am, May 23rd, 2022 - 95 comments
What if instead of waiting for a new left wing party to arise, the left worked with the three progressive parties we already have in parliament?
Written By: advantage - Date published: 5:43 pm, March 25th, 2022 - 118 comments
Can Labour win a third term? Here are some pathways up, and some pathways down.
Written By: weka - Date published: 6:05 am, March 11th, 2022 - 98 comments
Chloe Swarbrick, the cost of living crisis, and what the economy is for.
Written By: lprent - Date published: 10:49 am, October 7th, 2021 - 30 comments
The latest Roy Morgan poll was run between August 30th and September 26th. The headline results of Labour/Greens with 55% (increase by 3.5%) against opposition National/Act/Maori parties on 41% (up 0.5%) were good enough. But they also showed the gender split.. Women are deserting the right.
Written By: mickysavage - Date published: 7:43 am, May 13th, 2021 - 113 comments
There were dramatic scenes in Parliament yesterday. Judith Collins chose to again attack Jacinda Ardern about the He Puapua report. And Māori Party Co leader Rawiri Waititi expressed his disgust at her race baiting in a uniquely New Zealand way.
Written By: mickysavage - Date published: 8:08 am, April 13th, 2021 - 14 comments
The Electoral laws about donations are pretty clear. Receive a donation over $30,000 and you should tell the Electoral Commission about the report within the next ten working days. But the Maori Party and the National Party have both managed to recently breach this simple requirement.
Written By: mickysavage - Date published: 7:29 am, February 10th, 2021 - 90 comments
Not wearing a tie in Parliament is a weird issue for the Maori Party to get ready to die in a ditch about. But the rules should be changed.
Written By: mickysavage - Date published: 10:16 am, January 3rd, 2021 - 95 comments
The stand off at Waikeria Prison between inmates and Corrections staff has attracted two responses from opposition parties, one being constructive and helpful and the other being complete and utter grandstanding.
Written By: Mike Smith - Date published: 1:45 pm, December 3rd, 2020 - 20 comments
Colin James and Councillor Tamatha Paul will discuss Colin’s paper “Beyond Jacinda” on Monday 7 December at 5:30pm at Baptist Church, 46-48 Boulcott Street Wellington. It will also be shown on Zoom and available on YouTube. Registration links below. All Welcome.
Written By: mickysavage - Date published: 2:26 pm, November 6th, 2020 - 56 comments
The Electoral Commission has released the final results of the 2020 election and if election night was a shocker for National the final result is even worse.
Written By: mickysavage - Date published: 7:42 am, October 21st, 2020 - 99 comments
Tova O’Brien has suggested that a Labour Green joined at the hip coalition is not going to happen. So what will the next Government look like?
Written By: weka - Date published: 12:32 pm, October 18th, 2020 - 135 comments
What kind of government might New Zealand have?
Written By: Matthew Whitehead - Date published: 2:33 am, October 18th, 2020 - 58 comments
On the preliminary results, we have our expected MPs. While Parliament may change a little, we now know its shape, and its likely members- with about three exceptions.
Written By: Matthew Whitehead - Date published: 10:46 pm, October 16th, 2020 - 10 comments
We’ve had three recent pre-election polls. While we wait for results on election day, let’s have a look at where things might be headed.
Written By: mickysavage - Date published: 9:23 am, October 12th, 2020 - 52 comments
With six days to go to election day the campaigns have reached interesting stages although the underlying trends and events appear to be good for the left.
Written By: mickysavage - Date published: 12:03 pm, June 13th, 2020 - 28 comments
Yesterday saw two back bench National MPs unintentionally set National’s position on the Government response to Covid 19 and on Hamilton City’s decision to take down a statute that was repugnant to Waikato Tainui. What has happened to their messaging discipline?
Written By: mickysavage - Date published: 10:48 am, February 7th, 2020 - 86 comments
The repercussions from Simon Bridges’ disastrous Waitangi performance continue to reverberate. His suggestions that Māori seats and the Waitangi Tribunal should be done away with have resulted in the Māori Party indicating it is more likely to support Labour after the election.
Written By: Matthew Whitehead - Date published: 10:12 pm, February 12th, 2019 - 18 comments
Kia ora koutou readers, and welcome back to the first Pollwatch of 2019, and as our official Worst News™ will tell you, (okay, maybe that’s my opinion of their recent coverage rather than an official thing) it’s a doozy. Part of the reason I started modelling elections probabilistically myself is that looking at just the […]
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