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6:00 am, May 6th, 2024 - 46 comments
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The current rise of populism challenges the way we think about people’s relationship to the economy.We seem to be entering an era of populism, in which leadership in a democracy is based on preferences of the population which do not seem entirely rational nor serving their longer interests. ...
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With this government preparing to pass legislation barring Auckland Council support for Auckland's Watercare, as an alternative to Labour's Three Waters Reform, the smaller weaker councils across New Zealand will only wonder what hostile takeovers they will be subjected to from larger water entities and councils nearby.
Pretty sad to hear the mayor of Whangarei Council this morning wondering aloud about who or what will support Kaipara and Far North Council, when Whangarei is debt free for water infrastructure and could do the actual work of bringing the Northland water assets together into a cooperative water entity. Standard National divide-and-rule stuff.
Still, this Auckland deal is a win for the government achieved with little grief or debate.
https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/national/516051/district-mayors-welcome-auckland-s-new-water-deal-with-govt#:~:text=Auckland%20Council%20has%20struck%20a,spread%20over%20a%20longer%20period.
I heard Kieran McAnulty say that 3 Waters would have meant a 2% increase in water charges. Here is what he said.
"Labour’s local government spokesperson Kieran McAnulty said the Government’s plan will still cost Aucklanders more in rates than if the Hipkins-era Affordable Water Reforms had not been repealed.
That plan would have seen the establishment of 10 regionally owned and led public water entities based on existing local authority boundaries.
McAnulty said water charges would increase by 7% under the coalition’s plan, as opposed to 2% if they had followed through with Labour's affordable water plan.
"This is because the Auckland/Northland entity would’ve had a credit rating of AA, while Watercare will be BBB at best, so the cost of borrowing will be larger."
He said Auckland was always going to be the easiest region to resolve as it had the largest population.
"What the Government has put forward today is a solution for Auckland, but it will not work anywhere else in the country."
The cost of repealing affordable water was already hitting ratepayers across the country, McAnulty said.
https://www.1news.co.nz/2024/05/05/govt-avoids-akl-258-water-rate-hike-in-local-water-done-well-deal/
The link (Three Waters reset: Mega-entities scrapped as new model proposed (1news.co.nz)) references the April 2023 rewrite of the 3 Waters proposals, which was a political response to Labour's slump in the polls. They new entities would not have been 'regionally owned', and the regional representative groups would "continue to sit below the governance board" (from the same reference). The 2% claim is fiction.
"The 2% claim is fiction." Or is your claim fiction? The paper reported him as saying it, so it's not that fact that he claimed it. You dispute his claim? Can you offer more than a counter claim? McAnulty would have some figures at his disposal since he was involved in the 3 Waters proposal as the Local Bodies minister in 2023.
"Can you offer more than a counter claim?"
Yes.
Eight fold variation in water charges – depending on where you live : Water New Zealand (waternz.org.nz)
"The NPR’s author, Water New Zealand’s insights and sustainability advisor, Lesley Smith says that the average New Zealand residential property paid $960 for water and wastewater services in the 2020/21 fiscal year…"
'Rates will not increase' more under National's 3 waters model – MP (1news.co.nz)
"The Department of Internal Affairs (DIA) estimates households could be looking at additional costs of between $1900 to $9000 a year if the maintenance of three waters infrastructure isn't reformed. With the Government's reform programme, the DIA has said the costs would instead be between $800 to $1640 a year."
$800 is not 2% of $960.
"“However in the regions with the highest water service charges, the average was $2,237 per year. "
$800 is not even 2% of $2,237.
The DIA information paper where the one news article you cite obtained those estimates says that the $800 to $1640 increase is over 30 years. In other words what the increase is estimated to be in 30 years for the average household.
McAnulty wasn't talking about in 30 years but next year.
( Because standard moderators expect sources, here's a link to the DIA paper
https://www.tasman.govt.nz/document/serve/Key%20reform%20questions%20and%20essential%20facts%2026%20Aug.pdf?DocID=32143 )
The figures in the One News link are present values, per year.
I was sad to hear last night that Peter Franks has died in Wellington. Peter worked for working people all his life, in the student activist movements, the Labour Party, NZUSA, NZCTU, as a mediator, among many others.
He was a thoroughly decent chap and a good friend to many.
Sad to hear that. He seemed to pop up as a member or attendee at many of the events I was interested in. I remember one fascinating weekend(?) or one day(?) on Trade Union history run by WEA.
So it would appear I was right, we are about to get a economic melt down of epic proportions.
And we do not have a city of London to drag us out of it.
The coming budget is the trigger, and all hell is going to break out. The far right and the collection of clowns it has as supporters, is going to sell everything. Including the health system and police.
Far right wet dreams of ann randy crowed from the roof tops, as normal kiwis suffer.
Going through the RNZ Business section is definitely depressing: Not a single positive headline… all doom and gloom.
Who was talking pre-election about the negativity in the country… Chris Luxon:
The arrival of National (and the Coalition of Destruction) hasn't improved anything. The problem is the big group of "negative, wet and whiny" people is now in government and hasn't shown any sign how to "get the country back on track". There's only one hope for them… lower inflation – much of it comes from external supply chain and oil price issues plus some greedy profit taking of essential industries (mainly out of their control) – and the related lower interest rates.
satty you get we stuck with inflation for the next 10 years or so whilst the baby boomers retire. That inflation is probably going to head back to double figures by the end on June start of July. Inflation is not going away.
Inflation has let some industries in this country gouge workers and farmers – way above what inflation really is.
Not if we organise, mobilise and fight back Adam. I'm doing what I can trying to make connections where I live with people with the same values. What are you doing?
This week? Only day off from organiseing I have is Tuesday. Need a day off. Lot of discussions and work-shopping about alternative forms of trade and labour in a wreaked economy. Lots of keeping peoples heads afloat in the open class war we have called austerity. And lots of times just letting people talk out the shit they are going through.
So Grey Area, what you doing?
The good news is that the free speech debate is back on at Victoria University:
https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/national/515928/free-speech-debate-back-on-as-victoria-university-expands-diversity-on-panel
The bad news is that the formerly balanced panel has been replaced by a "more diverse" panel that apparently will now include only one committed defender of free speech (FSU representative Jonathan Ayling), plus "a Māori political commentator, rainbow community and inclusivity advocates and additional academic speakers." I'm guessing the Māori political commentator won't be Haimona Gray (let alone Shane Jones). Similarly, I'm guessing the "rainbow" rep won't be Ani O'Brien or Rachel Stewart. And I wonder what the "inclusivity advocates" will have to say.
Recall the debate was postponed in late April because the sub-editor of VUW student mag Salient alleged the participation of a Free Speech Union representative "compromised the safety of marginalised groups on the campus", and criticized the "lack of diversity" of the proposed panellists:
https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/national/515322/free-speech-vs-hate-speech-victoria-university-postpones-debate-after-student-backlash
That's debating – win some, lose some – good call by Vic Uni management, imho.
"https://www.salient.org.nz/post/nic-smith-freedom-of-speech-crusader“"
Opinion piece from Henry Broadbent (He/Him), "Freedom of speech crusader"
His argument: any speech is free, except the ones Henry doesn't agree with and then plays the person and not the ball. Tabletennis (no-religion/adult)
The title of that Broadbent (He/Him) opinion suggests Smith is a "Freesom of Speech Crusader". Well-aimed sarcasm? I couldn't possibly comment.
https://www.wgtn.ac.nz/about/governance/senior-leadership/prof-nic-smith
The Maaris are coming, the Maaris are coming! We'll all be murdered in our beds!
"Ayling himself explicitly supported Julian Batchelor during his anti-co governance roadshow."
Broadbent is not being truthful. Ayling did not 'support' anything Batchelor said, he supported Batchelor's right to say it.
Free Speech Union lays complaint with Human Rights Review Tribunal against Taupō District Council over political discrimination – Free Speech Union (fsu.nz)
The FSU also acknowledges that freedom of speech "is not an absolute right."
So the event goes ahead with more speakers and a greater diversity of views – a win for free speech and possibly (if some more moderate views are on offer) depolarisation. After all, who really benefits from increased polarisation?
Disinformation and cancelling fuel polarisation, and increased polarisation breeds still more disinformation/cancelling – where/how does that end?
Yes, one of the people added to the 'diversity of views' is one Khylee Quince, who wrote this:
"I suppose it was inevitable that one of the old racist dinosaurs would make a pathetic squeal in an attempt to preserve the status quo….
Mr Judd and his “matauranga Maori is not science” friends can go die quietly in the corner…"
A law school to be avoided – by Gary Judd KC (substack.com)
Diversity is the new code for 'only what I agree with', it seems.
Still, free speech eh.
Quince seems frightfully different – still, diversity and free speech eh.
Might a step to depolarisation be making a genuine attempt to understand why not everyone thinks like you – a step too far for Quince and Judd?
Naturally, not everyone wants or is able to take that, or any step towards depolarisation – sometimes the 'What's in it for me?' mud is just too deep. The question remains – who really benefits from increased polarisation?
https://www.nzepc.auckland.ac.nz/pasifika/mila6.asp
I would very much doubt the presence of KQ will depolarise the conversation. But unlike the VSU, I won’t be trying to cancel her😀
Certainly that greater diversity will provide opportunities for (more) views to be aired, and differences (potentially) ironed out. What depolarisation opportunities did the original panel offer?
Vic Uni management came to the conclusion that the original 'debate' panel was perhaps a little too 'pure'. Of course it's natural that some would view the imposition of greater diversity (expanding the panel) as tainting the 'debate', but imho diversity of opinion and other things is a net good in Aotearoa.
Mockery and denigration of others is fine – free speech 'n' all – but who benefits from stoking polarisation?
Btw, did those Jonathan Rauch links @4.1.1.1.1.1 appeal? He is, after all, a strong proponent of free speech on University campuses, and imho makes a good case for decreasing disinformation, cancelling and particularly polarisation. The approaches he advocates seem pretty good too.
Tbh, I didn't know the VSU was trying to cancel her
"Certainly that greater diversity will provide opportunities for (more) views to be aired, and differences (potentially) ironed out. "
You are assuming that the additional participants add diversity of opinion.
Just as I assumed that each of the original five panellists had distinct views/perspectives/opinions/knowledge to contribute. Of course, you might assume that the original five panellists possessed just the right amount of diversity of opinion for an ‘optimal’ debate, and (if so, then) you'd be entitled to that assumption. In this case the managers of the venue came to a different view – eventually
However, since you've already opined that "I would very much doubt the presence of KQ will depolarise the conversation", it's just possible that ‘KQ’ will add to the diversity of opinions held by the original five, and I certainly couldn’t rule that out.
"In this case the managers of the venue came to a different view – eventually "
No, they were bullied into that view by effectively 2 people. There's a big difference.
Anyone can have a belief about why the VU managers came to a different view, but come to a different view they did – it's just a fact.
Btw, did those Jonathan Rauch links @4.1.1.1.1.1 appeal? He is, after all, a strong proponent of free speech on University campuses, and imho makes a good case for decreasing disinformation, cancelling and particularly polarisation. The approaches he advocates seem pretty good too.
But why have we been led to believe this, and by who – who benefits?
"Btw, did those Jonathan Rauch links @4.1.1.1.1.1 appeal? He is, after all, a strong proponent of free speech on University campuses, and imho makes a good case for decreasing disinformation, cancelling and particularly polarisation. The approaches he advocates seem pretty good too."
Yes, thanks DMK. Jonathan is an excellent source, so I appreciate the quotes. This particularly caught my eye (about disinformation) "We have severe stresses on the epistemic environment, our ability to sort truth from falsehood". That conversation (protecting free speech in an era of disinformation) is going to be very inetersting indeed.
According to the FSU (What happens if we don't defend free speech at universities? – Free Speech Union (fsu.nz)), the "draft principles for what discourse Victoria University intends to allow on campus" includes this:
"We should not provide a platform for, nor invite, individuals or groups to speak on campus that have previously demonstrated or are expected to express hate speech as the current law defines…"
Rather than defend free speech, Universities like Vic are now putting themselves on a self-righteous pedestal and declaring their own precognition.
"or are expected to express hate speech as the current law defines…"
Are we still in NZ ? Than what is NZ's hate speech law?
I'm not a lawyer, AFIK there is no specific hate speech law in NZ. The closest would be section 61 of the Human Rights Act (although that is a 'civil' provision).
Othe legislation does deal with 'harmful' speech, including the Summary Offences Act 1981, the Broadcasting Act 1989, the Harmful Digital Communications Act 2015, the Harassment Act 1997 and the Films, Videos, and Publications Classifications Act 1993.
What Vic University seem to want to do is to deplatform a speaker if they (VU) 'expect' the speaker may engage in an act that is according to them (VU) hate speech.
Yes, sadly. University administrators all around the country are running scared of the the possibility of brand damage by student activists denouncing their university as "racist", "transphobic" etc. If a staff member publicly criticizes the university, s/he stands to be sacked. But students are paying customers, and the eight(?) universities are competing for a finite pool of students. Just one of the problems with the current university funding model, but nevertheless it's disappointing that university administrators don't show more backbone.
Big Hairy News covered the issues regarding the initial meeting with this interview with VUSWA President Marcail Parkinson. BHN FB 30 Aril 21:00.
The calls were not to 'cancel' the debate, but to make the podium panel more representative. And free speech is not academic freedom, which is the ability to debate your ideas within an evidence-based framework.
Traveller and Dolomedes seem to be posting on the wrong forum. Who is Traveller travelling alongside? Not commies and socialists for sure. And what is Dolomedes the fishing spider really fishing for? Seems like these days The Standard is a testing ground for right-wing apologists to hone talking points. Boring, when the debate is pushed to minor league topics, away from the more serious political debates we need to be having.
right wing people are welcome to comment in TS so long as they play by the rules like everyone else. Having right wing and centrist people stops use from becoming an echo chamber. It’s not these days, this has always been true.
Well – what happen when you don't even get to present your argument within an evidence based framework because adherents to an ideological point of view have decided that any alternative to that ideology is "hate speech"?
You're confusing 'cancelling' the event and 'deplatforming' a speaker(s).
The call was to deplatform participants that didn't reflect the beliefs of a select few. The targets were the FSU and Jonathan Ayling personally. It is an indictment on VicU that they blinked.
But the irony in your comment is this – there was a time when it was the left that stood up most strongly for freedom of expression. Now some (including you) have chosen to criticise those of us not of the left for picking up that mantle.
Coming soon to a motu near you:
We pay a lot more for a lot less, and people know it. That’s why Sunak’s Tories were thrashed in these elections
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/article/2024/may/05/rishi-sunak-tories-local-elections-thurrock-tory-council
National's crime-free paradise
Ponsonby Road shooting: Man shot dead, local leaders ‘shocked and saddened’ – NZ Herald
Time for Mark Mitchell to resign.
National's Mark Mitchell accuses Chris Hipkins of personal responsibility for crime, will resign if it doesn't improve under him | Newshub
Give him a chance. He's hasn't even been in six months yet. Need to get the judges giving out proper sentences to offenders (no more home D for rapists or violent offenders). Prison population will likely start to increase, but I do not see this as a bad thing.
The single biggest issue in the rise in violent or gang-related crimes is the 501s from Australia. National talked big and achieved nothing under Key. Ardern got results.
Analysis: Ardern scores a win in 501 discussions with Albanese (1news.co.nz)
But of course Key, like Luxon, was the go-getting guy from business who Gets Things Done, while Ardern only went across the Tasman for photo-ops … right?
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/politics/australias-501-deportations-to-nz-continue-to-slow-after-policy-change/LD52WZEKP5CQVOXQBCP3FXVNNM/
But 501 deportations, even of people with only the most tenuous connection to NZ, continue.
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/501-deportee-was-born-to-australian-parents-and-left-new-zealand-at-age-2-in-1960s/QAYN3MYAOZBEDDS3UUB4Z7MOA4/
It seems as though the connection with Australia test only applies to those with minor convictions; not to those with significant criminal convictions and/or backgrounds.
The problem still exists, sure. But there has been progress, where before there was none at all.
The essential point here is the difference between rhetoric and action. Now Luxon is PM we get the return of the rhetoric … as illustrated here, saying "Gang crime bad", with no further specific action on 501s beyond what "soft" Labour had already achieved.
It plays well (always has) but the slogans don't survive scrutiny.
Luxon wants 'tough on crime' approach to 501 deportees (1news.co.nz)
Hmm. I'm not sure that NZ is better of because we are only receiving hardened, violent or recidivist criminals from Australia in the 501 deportations (with the ones who have realistic potential to turn their lives around, remaining in Australia).
Realistically, we can't do anything about this (apart from futilely protest). Australia is legally entitled to deport non-citizens at any point.
You could equally well illustrate the difference between rhetoric and action, with the assertion that Ardern got the headline, while Albanese got to continue the policy of deporting the really bad guys. Rhetoric: We're controlling the 501 deportations by making the Aussies consider length of residence; Reality: the really bad criminals continue to be deported, regardless of their length of residence in Oz.
Yes, it changed. The second link gives details but is paywalled.
See any article on 501s in the last year, e.g.
Australian Prime Minister implements ‘fairer’ 501 deportation policy – NZ Herald
Australia signs off on major 501 deportation changes (1news.co.nz)
etc
(meant as reply to above, sorry)