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notices and features - Date published:
5:30 pm, May 21st, 2024 - 16 comments
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The current rise of populism challenges the way we think about people’s relationship to the economy.We seem to be entering an era of populism, in which leadership in a democracy is based on preferences of the population which do not seem entirely rational nor serving their longer interests. ...
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September last year.
https://x.com/bIockhousebay/status/1792807856275951685
If only they knew what was actually happening.
The report, led by former Prime Minister Sir Bill English, found Kāinga Ora exploited its easy access to Government credit, bingeing on borrowing without giving sufficient heed to the fiscal discipline taking on such immense debts would require.
PM Christopher Luxon announces Kāinga Ora changes, new board refresh, KiwiBuild to be scrapped – NZ Herald
Bishop also released years’ worth of documents from Treasury showing the former Government was aware of criticisms from officials of Kāinga Ora’s financial management and had undertaken its own review after concerns were raised in 2022. Bishop released Treasury’s damning assessment of Kāinga Ora’s performance when it briefed Finance Minister Nicola Willis on the situation in December. Treasury warned Kāinga Ora’s performance would contribute $4b towards the Government’s overall obegal [operating balance before gains and losses] deficits over the four-year forecast period and $13.2b to its debt position. Those documents show Treasury warning Willis that despite spending billions of dollars each year, it was “unclear that value-for-money [was] being achieved from Kāinga Ora’s operating activities”, and that Treasury considered Kāinga Ora’s forecasting of its own debt to be inadequate and intransparent. The documents found there had been “significant growth in the operating costs of providing public housing” including a 145 per cent growth in staff at Kāinga Ora, but “little assessment of the impact or value of the increased investment in tenancy services”.
Government puts all public housing programmes under review after damning report into Kāinga Ora – NZ Herald
It's undeniable KO was an organisation with serious governance shortfalls, and a culture of poor financial discipline.
It is undeniable that renovating/maintenance of stock costs money. So when there is building sector cost inflation at a rate of increase higher than income related rent there is a financial impact – for the same reason it is harder for people to own homes (if incomes are rising slower than building cost etc).
More generally the former government wanted more provision of stock and this required access to debt funding. Assets rise in value (though not fully until the project is completed). So the books will improve from the completion of existing projects.
That the current government has no intention of increasing state or social housing stock levels (National has not done so for over 40 years) is also a factor in the sort of financial governance arrangement being used.
So when there is building sector cost inflation at a rate increase higher than income related rent there is a financial impact
Building sector cost inflation is a factor over time that is built in to budgets. KO simply didn't have the fiscal discipline to stay within their budget allocations.
More generally the former government wanted more provision of stock and this required access to debt funding.
Of course. But debt increased, and was expected to grow from $12.3 billion to $23 billion by 2028. This debt arose not just from increaed stock but from deficits, which were forecast to grow from $520 million in 2022/23 to $700 million by 2028. Independent Review of Kainga Ora.pdf (beehive.govt.nz). These deficits were driven by interest on the debt-financed capital investment programme and a significant uplift in other expenses including staffing and maintenance.
All organisations are facing increased costs, not all display the kind of poor governance displayed by KO.
Yes there is a growing deficit when maintenance and renovation costs rise faster than income based rent.
Until that problem is resolved in the wider economy, a cost to government in provision of social housing.
I would again make the point that KO should have been ahead of that, and reflected that in their work program.
Not do maintenance, or defer renovation work? For how long?
Before confronting that decision, here are some other options they could have pursued: (in no particular order):
1. Deferred the renovation of its own offices (Revealed: Kāinga Ora spent over $24m of taxpayer money in four years on its own office renovations | Newshub).
2. Investigated why Kāinga Ora redevelopment costs were $35,000 per home more than developer-led acquisitions when
the cost of land is excluded. (Independent Review of Kainga Ora.pdf (beehive.govt.nz) page 19).
3. Avoided the “significant growth in the operating costs of providing public housing” including a 145 per cent growth in staff at Kāinga Ora, but “little assessment of the impact or value of the increased investment in tenancy services”. (From Treasury documents released to the previous and current government) Government puts all public housing programmes under review after damning report into Kāinga Ora – NZ Herald
4. Managed rental debt more effectively – "rental debt owed to Kāinga Ora increased from $1 million in 2017 to $21 million in 2023, with more than 450 Kāinga Ora tenants each owing more than $10,000 in rent at the end of 2023." Independent Review of Kainga Ora.pdf (beehive.govt.nz) page 21).
That's just a few options.
In the end, however, this is a crown entity allocated a budget to perform certain activities and functions. If they could not perform those tasks within that allocation, they should have lobbied government for more, cut costs, or resigned. Instead, they allowed the deficit and debt to rise to unsustainable levels, and expected the tax payer to simply pay up.
https://newsroom.co.nz/2023/09/15/kainga-ora-ups-the-ante-in-race-to-build-more-homes/
It took a directive from Government? In 2020? Project Velocity wasn't even piloted until March 2022, and wasn't in testing until February 2023.
Housing-delivery-system-OI-23-137-response-letter-2-June-2023.pdf (kaingaora.govt.nz)
The government looks set to end first home grants they introduced in 2017.
Most likely to social housing providers to take stock of Kainga Ora. Not to increase social housing stock.
https://www.newshub.co.nz/home/politics/2024/05/budget-2024-newshub-reveals-government-set-to-scrap-first-home-grants.html
I was just reading on this on the RNZ website.
https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/political/517434/government-expected-to-scrap-first-home-grants-in-favour-of-funding-social-housing
I expect there will be upward pressure on rentals and thus on rental prices and one guess who will benefit from this …
"one guess who will benefit from this …"
The National Party from grateful landlord donors, to join the mine-owners, fishing industrialists, truck operators, corporate farmers, tobacco companies and others to whom National is beholden?
This is starting to sound like a Woody Guthrie or Pete Seeger song.
https://www.kennedy-center.org/education/resources-for-educators/classroom-resources/media-and-interactives/media/music/story-behind-the-song/the-story-behind-the-song/this-land-is-your-land/
Without wanting to detract from yr comment, I have recently become aware of what a top drawer socialist Pete Seeger was.
500Songs.com is looking at the history of rock in 500 songs.
Seeger appears to be a highly principled man who wasn't afraid to take a stand even when it cost him personally.
Test..
[Take two weeks off, one for each link you refused to provide. I was thinking you could use this time learning to link, but you can actually do this already: https://thestandard.org.nz/open-mike-05-02-2024/#comment-1988165!? So, you have no excuse, at all.
Linking serves a number of purposes: 1) courtesy to other readers; 2) self-check on what you think you may have heard sometime, somewhere, from somebody, about something. Our memories are notoriously unreliable and yours is no exception.
I hope I don’t have to moderate you again for this, but if you refuse again and again act like you did this time, your time off will be considerably longer. At the end of the day this is your choice – Incognito]
Mod note