National must be very afraid

Written By: - Date published: 4:30 pm, September 1st, 2014 - 75 comments
Categories: john key, Judith Collins, national - Tags:

Rawshark has continued his or her terrorism of the John Key government by a further dump of screenshots of emails.

Something interesting struck me about the latest dump which contains a series of emails which were collected in a folder called “Mark Hotchin”.

The emails are fascinating and justify Matt Nippert’s articles on the subject. But Judith Collins is not mentioned once in any of the emails, at least as far as I can see.

When the story was raised National obviously feared the worst and went looking for it. But I wonder if the Cathy Odgers email had not been released to National if they would have dumped Collins. From the look of the emails in the latest whaledump I do not think so. Although the behaviour is sleazy and worthy of a police prosecution there appeared to be no link to Collins in what was happening.

It probably would not have saved her. The Herald has just reported that Collins communicated with Slater via facebook about the impending release of the SFO SIS information concerning the Goff interview to Slater.  Obviously she should be considered as a potential witness in the intelligence inquiry. You get the feeling that there is further information to come out about her and at some stage her tenure would have been untenable. Maybe Mike Smith is right and this particular email was a pretext for Key to get rid of Collins.

They must also be worrying if there is anything to directly leak Key to Slater.

But this does put National in a terrible bind. Either it anticipates what information is going to be released, proactively does something so that Key can show he is in charge, and potentially does more than it could have got away with once the actual information has been released. Or it waits for Whaledump and the media to break a story, loses control of the framing of the issue and looks disorganised and reactive.

It must be a real bugger knowing that there is someone selectively feeding information to the media who can then present the story in the worst possible light. This is the sort of thing that National through Slater has been doing for years. Karma really is a bitch sometimes.

The simple solution of course is to engage in ethical politics, not the sort of politics which is currently being broadcast to the nation leak by leak by leak.

Edit: took a bit of text out of a paragraph that did not make sense.

75 comments on “National must be very afraid ”

  1. weka 1

    Recapping the theories on Collins’ resignation

    1. It’s a distraction, Collins will be found to not have been involved in the SFO affair, and Key will come out vindicated for not sacking her earlier, and will then be able to refocus the election back on Brand Key (Bill’s theory, not sure how that works with the timing of the inquiry)

    2. The email was used as a way of getting rid of Collins because internal polling showed she was a liability.

    3. The email was released by Key’s office because they were afraid that the story was bigger than it was and they wanted to stay ahead of it (their mistake, but you have to wonder what else they thought was going to come out).

    4. It’s all a big right wing conspiracy to make Hooton have a meltdown and/or play all his cards, so they can finally take him out.

    5. Key is really a reptile and we’ve all been brainwashed. The real story is going on behind the screen we can’t see.

    • emergency mike 1.1

      I think its 1, 2, 3, and 5 together. 4 sounds a bit far fetched.

    • Anne 1.2

      No. 2 – in the main.

      • disturbed 1.2.1

        Why did John Key not inform the citizens of this Country in 2011 when he attended a NAZI founded organisation called the Bilderberg group, in Europe?

        This group is well known as one of the most secretive clandestine organisations globally, that specialises in weakening Governments with Black Ops special forces.
        Below he was in attendance as John Key Prime Minister of New Zealand.

        Attended by most the biggest industrial and richest elite globally their aim is to dominate the globe and control all activities.

        http://twochurchesonly.com/supmat/03/most_influential/bilderberg_group/
        list_of_bilderberg_attendees.pdf

        List of Bilderberg participants 4
        New Zealand
        • John Key (2011-2012), Prime Minister of New Zealand
        http://www.sourcewatch.org/index.php?title=Bilderberg

        No Bilderberg meeting agenda has ever been made public. “It is the epitome of low-profile dark ops, a shadow government hidden in a doorway.” According to critics and close observers, it’s agenda is to weaken all world leadership but their own. It is also, according to a U.S. law called the Logan Act, [15] illegal:

    • Bill 1.3

      Weka, that wasn’t really what I was saying at all. The first bit, (distraction and no involvement) yes. Then it’s all about hoping the media run off in the wrong direction (where he’s pointing to) so the heat comes off him, and so he can, post inquiry, somewhat bury Hager allegations by association, and (I guess he hopes) save his own sorry arse. And as I also said in the post I put up, I don’t think it will work. Regardless, I’d hate the media to get bogged down in the minutiae of a distraction; one that could play out in a way that would see Collins and Key get off the hook to some extent. Cactus, Whale and Hotchin ain’t going nowhere. They can wait.

      • weka 1.3.1

        Ok, I’m confused now, because that’s what I thought you were saying and I don’t see a huge difference between that and my off the cuff synposis above. My brain is overloaded though, so I should probably stop reading things for a while.

    • yeshe 1.4

      see post #10 below .. collins will need to houdini to escape these …

    • disturbed 1.5

      Time for a two track policy as the politicians & black ops are still doing unchecked.

      Penny has laid a compliant to police today over Collins see at 13.

      Woo Goode Penny,

      Can we arrange to get someone to start a global corruption petition to use as backup?

      We get someone to start a site using Global corruption as a theme but use our worst case in history in NZ as the lead charge?

      That way we can hopefully get it to go viral?

      Their is a site already setup where someone could piggy back a Global petition on that site, can you arrange it?

      http://www.thepetitionsite.com/create.html

  2. infused 2

    Regardless, Collins was an idiot and had to go anyway. I’m surprised Key didn’t boot her sooner.

    • One Anonymous Bloke 2.1

      What’s your theory on how Cameron Slater and Judith Collins came to be discussing confidential SIS information before its official release?

      It’s because John Key told them, eh.

      • infused 2.1.1

        Who knows. But hey, why don’t we make up a ton of unsubstantiated theories to show off our superior intellect!

        • McFlock 2.1.1.1

          It was SIS information.
          The avenues are either via the responsible minister, or via a security leak so bad (at best unauthorised leaks to a blogger by the intelligence services, at worst third-party spying -of an intelligence agency- to tip off the blogger) that the responsible minister should probably resign.

          Whatever the precise avenue, there is no good excuse for a blogger to have knowledge of classified intelligence agency records.

        • Tracey 2.1.1.2

          Don’t worry infused, you are safe.

      • Tracey 2.1.2

        Not Key but someone told Slater before he got the OIA release that the contents would harm Goff and enable Slater to boast that it would end Goff.

        As for who tipped the wink to Slater. It needed to be someone who had seen a previously classified document (not declassified until after OIA received (is that right?), so someone with authority to view classified SIS material told Slater or someone with no authroity illegally obtained access to a classified document and leaked the details. Either scenario warranted a police investigation and Inquiry long before now.

  3. Anonymous NZ 3

    John Key – all your bases are belong to us.

  4. Awww 4

    Glad there are other people to read this stuff and sum it all up. It’s getting hard to keep up with it all. Cheers.

    • disturbed 4.1

      You musy be getting to close to that smart meter microwave UHF frequency

      Those meters are known to cause lowered IQ confusion and derange your thinking capacity.

      Try sleeping away from the wall where outside the meter is mounted.

  5. Bill 5

    If Key had acted against Collins due to anything contained within ‘Dirty Politics’, then his long running denial that it contains anything of substance would have fallen over. Then he would have been more or less bound to accept that other allegations contained in the book were credible.

    The problem is that he had to dump Collins. (Was it 70%+ in opinion polls saying she had to go?)

    The solution then, is to ‘dump’ her (temporarily…he most definitely did not rule her out of cabinet at some future date) on the pretext that she may have been involved in something very specific and serious that is not contained in the book. Better, something that comes from emails by the same person as in the book. This way he gets to mollify public concern (to a degree), get her out of the picture with regards the media and, later, to slam everything in ‘Dirty Politics’ as conspiratorial crap off the back of her not being involved in some serious shit to do with the SFO etc…. that he always knew she had no dealings in.

    The whole thing is a feint, a dummy pass….call it what you will.

    • emergency mike 5.1

      Bill’s theory has a lot of credibility. Key hopes that the Collins issue can now go away until after the election. Then later when the inquiry finds no evidence linking Collins, Key can say, “See, I told you that Hager book was BS. Welcome back to cabinet Judith.”

      In this scenario Collins still thinks she can be PM, she just has to wait a bit longer than planned.

      Hager thinks that Whaledump is about done. I hope he’s wrong. If not it’s up to our journos now to dig for the truth about Key, Ede, and Slater. God help us. I hope Dotcom’s got something on the 15th.

    • Tracey 5.2

      I agree. He thinks she willbe cleared by the Inquiry SO he has said she’s out for now (mollify the polls and gets he and she re-elected and doesn’t piss off her strong faction too much) and then when she is cleared she is back in Cabinet (but certainly not as Minister of Justice or Police or Corrections).

      Cathy Odgers is ACT aligned and wanted Nats in to get David Seymour in and prolly hoped that any spill from nats would go to ACT, cos she doesn’t think having 17% of your MPs convicted of crimes of deceit is a bad thing.

  6. karol 6

    Isn’t the Herald story by David Fisher about Goff about the SIS, not the SFO?

    [Yep my bad now corrected]

    • One Anonymous Bloke 6.1

      Collins and Slater discussing information it was illegal for either of them to have. Who told them?

      • Tracey 6.1.1

        it really IS that simple. Labour? Greens? Mana? Dunne (he of the family morals)? Peters? start putting it THAT simply.

        Mr Slater and Ms Collins are discussing information which at that time was CLASSIFIED

  7. One Anonymous Bloke 8

    It’s pretty obvious that Hager was telling the truth (well duh!) when he said he hadn’t published everything.

    National will wish he had by the time Rawshark is finished with them.

  8. disturbed 9

    Rawshark is drawing them into her/his net bit by bit.

    PM is cocky tonight, guess he wont be sleeping to well with all the stuff ahead plus someone snitching on his dealings ?

  9. yeshe 10

    Rawshark has new dump to the Herald only; published at 4.25

    Damning Collins, poor wee daisy.

    http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=11317385

    • karol 10.1

      Denial from Collins on Twitter.

      I have no record of any FB conversations with Whaleoil. Cam Slater has advised that he had no FB conversations with me. Forgeries?

      • Tigger 10.1.1

        Well of course she has no ‘records’ – she deleted them.

        Collins should be staying quiet. That she’s not speaks volumes. About her state of mind. Her guilt. Her isolation (she’s clearly out of National’s control).

        • karol 10.1.1.1

          Good point. Didn’t WO go through his FB after the hack and delete a load of stuff?

        • disturbed 10.1.1.2

          Get Karol to invite Judith for a cup of tea in Epsom, maybe she will spill all?

        • Tracey 10.1.1.3

          As Minister of Justice (former) and former high standing law Society Representative Ms Collins has an easy option to sort all of this out. Surrender all her IT devices to an independant and supervised IT specialist. Let them go through everything, including retrieving deleted stuff and tell us if she is telling the truth. She won’t mind will she?

      • Huginn 10.1.2

        This denial from Collins is troubling.

      • Chrissy 10.1.3

        [Collins] said she had ” no record of any Facebook conversations” with Slater. “Cameron has advised me that he has now gone through all his Facebook conversations and there are none with me. I am now considering lodging a complaint to Police regarding what I believe to be forgeries.”

        Hager, Dirty Politics pg 45: “[Collins and Slater] talked often by phone, and in the evenings and weekends they chatted via Facebook’.

        Now, who do you believe?

    • Bill 10.2

      Good to see they are focusing on that OIA request. That be the Big Red Button. This other stuff that Collins isn’t involved in, absolutely serious as it is, isn’t party political material. It needs to be separated out entirely.

  10. Flipnz 11

    What are the chance that SIS are trying to figure out who Rawshark is and find him? Odds?

  11. kenny 12

    Why did Cathy Odgers send that letter/email to the beehive?

    • Anne 12.1

      It was either a heads up for Key or it was utu. I’m inclined to go with the former and if it was, then there was likely more people involved in the decision to send it to the ‘PM’s Office’ than just Odgers.

      • Chrissy 12.1.1

        I’d say Key/ Nats were desperate to get some control back over the issue (which they didnt have as the emails were being dripfed, and they were fearful about what was out there), and put out a call to those involved (including Cactus) to go and look for any awful emails that Rawshark might be holding. This one- the smoking gun as Cactus called it- was retrieved and proferred, and they acted. Would it have been more devastating if it had come out a week closer to the election, after further denials from Key etc. Dunno. The simpler answer that they wanted an excuse to get rid of Collins and asked for help? could be.

    • disturbed 12.2

      Hissy fit?

    • Kev 12.3

      Interesting question Kenny. Maybe she is Whaledump or Rawshark or knows who that person is.

  12. Penny Bright 13

    FYI today I have emailed the Auckland District Commander, Michael Clement, making a formal complaint to Police against former Minister of Justice Judith Collins for alleged violations of s. 116 and s. 105 of the NZ Crimes Act 1961.

    The evidence upon which I am relying to support this complaint is the same evidence upon which Prime Minister John Key was purportedly relying to remove Judith Collins from her Ministerial responsibilities.

    Penny Bright

    • Tigger 13.1

      Good work, Penny. Always appreciate you plugging away for democracy – goodness know it needs people fighting for it at the moment.

  13. disturbed 14

    Woo Goode Penny,

    Can we arrange to get someone to start a global corruption petition to use as backup?

    We get someone to start a site using Global corruption as a theme but use our worst case in history in NZ as the lead charge?

    That way we can hopefully get it to go viral?

    Their is a site already setup where someone could piggy back a Global petition on that site, can you arrange it?

    http://www.thepetitionsite.com/create.html

  14. philj 15

    xox
    Thank goodness for bloggers and hackers to expose the corruptocracy of Kiwi MSM and the present government. Bless em.

  15. Harry Holland 16

    However, poll results suggest that Nat support is so far largely undented. Key has been a hugely polarizing influence in NZ politics and so far this issue has just polarized people more. I’m not sure even a smoking gun would be enough to deter his supporters – he is their champion. They won’t cut left although maybe some will drift to ACT, Conservative, or NZF. Disarray on the right does not necessarily mean more votes for the left.

    • Olwyn 16.1

      I recently heard from someone who has been working with poor people in Spain and Italy that even under the conditions of austerity, people are not as wretched there as they are in New Zealand. Key’s government has created a deeply divided society, and I think a lot of middle class people fear that any attempt to address this will cost them. They feel bad about it, but cannot get much past wringing their hands, putting a packet of weetbix into the food bank collection and voting for the status quo. At the same time, the people who have drawn the short straw are getting more politicised, and last election, when Key was at the height of his popularity, the right won by a whisker. So much depends on this election, but it is very hard to see how it will go.

    • Tracey 16.2

      Colmar had him shedding 2% and labour gaining 2%. And remember that as an historical guide Nats shed up to 5% on election day from poll results and labour gains about 3% (Greens lose about 1-2%)

  16. Penny Bright 17

    It would help if folks vote sensibly and strategically in the Helensville electorate and all possible parties encourage their members and supporters to give me their ELECTORATE vote and focus on their PARTY vote – so I can take John Key’s Helensville seat off him.

    How can YOU help make this happen?

    Penny Bright

  17. Inky 18

    They stick to Key like dog poo on your shoe heel. Is it total greed or total stupidity among Nats supporters?

  18. tricledrown 19

    Put something in the water penny!
    stop people from voting!
    have bogus voting papers in each booth!
    good luck with that penny
    how big is his majority!
    you would be better trying the reverse and get some National Party list voters to change their vote !
    If every electorate had a small change that would change govt!
    you would be better off trying to change Epsom or Ohariu!

  19. Inky 20

    (I don’t expect you to answer that, Penny, lol)

  20. Penny Bright 21

    The fact is that I polled 4th in the Auckland 2013 Mayoral campaign with 11,723 votes.

    The Helensville electorate fits within the boundaries of the Auckland not-so ‘Supercity for the 99%’ .

    Many Helensville folk whom I have met HATE the Auckland ‘Supercity’ and a number have told me that they voted for me.

    Going out and about in the electorate, I’m getting a very positive response from most folk I’m meeting and it was a KING hit finally getting to speak as an Independent candidate at the meeting held at the Kumeu Baptist Church on 11 August 2014.

    History has already been made with the resignation from Parliament of dodgy John Banks, the resignation of Minister of Corruption Judith Collins, so why can’t the trifecta be won with my taking of him the seat of shonky John Key ?

    I’m GOING FOR IT and I need YOUR help!

    Most important is WORD of mouth / email / text.

    It’s time to get the proven anti- corruption / anti-privatisation Public Watchdog INSIDE the House, asking the stinking HARD questions no one else does under Parliamentary privilege!

    Cheers!

    Her Warship 😉

  21. philj 22

    How will the election go? Who would’ve picked 7 – 1 to. Germany v Brasil. This election could be a rout. It’s really a test of this countries collective wisdom. Here’s hoping ….

  22. Rodel 23

    Anyone noticed how John Key’s shrill voice is starting to sound linguistically similar to David Farrar? Same nasal inflections, consonant blurring and vowel imperfections. Is it the same panic response or is it a DNA thing?

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    Open access notables Diurnal Temperature Range Trends Differ Below and Above the Melting Point, Pithan & Schatt, Geophysical Research Letters: The globally averaged diurnal temperature range (DTR) has shrunk since the mid-20th century, and climate models project further shrinking. Observations indicate a slowdown or reversal of this trend in recent decades. ...
    5 days ago
  • Media Link: Discussing the NZSIS Security Threat Report.

    I was interviewed by Mike Hosking at NewstalkZB and a few other media outlets about the NZSIS Security Threat Report released recently. I have long advocated for more transparency, accountability and oversight of the NZ Intelligence Community, and although the … Continue reading ...
    KiwipoliticoBy Pablo
    5 days ago
  • How do I make this better for people who drive Ford Rangers?

    Home, home again to a long warm embrace. Plenty of reasons to be glad to be back.But also, reasons for dejection.You, yes you, Simeon Brown, you odious little oik, you bible thumping petrol-pandering ratfucker weasel. You would be Reason Number One. Well, maybe first among equals with Seymour and Of-Seymour ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    5 days ago
  • A missed opportunity

    The government introduced a pretty big piece of constitutional legislation today: the Parliament Bill. But rather than the contentious constitutional change (four year terms) pushed by Labour, this merely consolidates the existing legislation covering Parliament - currently scattered across four different Acts - into one piece of legislation. While I ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    5 days ago
  • Nicola Willis Seeks New Sidekick To Help Fix NZ’s Economy

    Synopsis:Nicola Willis is seeking a new Treasury Boss after Dr Caralee McLiesh’s tenure ends this month. She didn’t listen to McLiesh. Will she listen to the new one?And why is Atlas Network’s Taxpayers Union chiming in?Please consider subscribing or supporting my work. Thanks, Tui.About CaraleeAt the beginning of July, Newsroom ...
    Mountain TuiBy Mountain Tui
    5 days ago
  • Inflation alive and kicking in our land of the long white monopolies

    The golden days of profit continue for the the Foodstuffs (Pak’n’Save and New World) and Woolworths supermarket duopoly. Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāMōrena. Long stories short; here’s my top six things to note in Aotearoa’s political economy around housing, climate and poverty on Thursday, September 5:The Groceries Commissioner has ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    5 days ago
  • The thermodynamics of electric vs. internal combustion cars

    This is a re-post from The Climate Brink by Andrew Dessler I love thermodynamics. Thermodynamics is like your mom: it may not tell you what you can do, but it damn well tells you what you can’t do. I’ve written a few previous posts that include thermodynamics, like one on air capture of ...
    5 days ago
  • Security Politics in Peripheral Democracies: Excerpt Three.

    The notion of geopolitical  “periphery.” The concept of periphery used here refers strictly to what can be called the geopolitical periphery. Being on the geopolitical periphery is an analytic virtue because it makes for more visible policy reform in response … Continue reading ...
    KiwipoliticoBy Pablo
    5 days ago
  • Venus Hum

    Fill me up with soundThe world sings with me a million smiles an hourI can see me dancing on my radioI can hear you singing in the blades of grassYellow dandelions on my way to schoolBig Beautiful Sky!Song: Venus Hum.Good morning, all you lovely people, and welcome to the 700th ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    5 days ago
  • I Went to a Creed Concert

    Note: The audio attached to this Webworm compliments today’s newsletter. I collected it as I met people attending a Creed concert. Their opinions may differ to mine. Read more ...
    David FarrierBy David Farrier
    5 days ago
  • Government migration policy backfires; thousands of unemployed nurses

    The country has imported literally thousands of nurses over the past few months yet whether they are being employed as nurses is another matter. Just what is going on with HealthNZ and it nurses is, at best, opaque, in that it will not release anything but broad general statistics and ...
    PolitikBy Richard Harman
    5 days ago
  • A Time For Unity.

    Emotional Response: Prime Minister Christopher Luxon addresses mourners at the tangi of King Tuheitia on Turangawaewae Marae on Saturday, 31 August 2024.THE DEATH OF KING TUHEITIA could hardly have come at a worse time for Maoridom. The power of the Kingitanga to unify te iwi Māori was demonstrated powerfully at January’s ...
    6 days ago
  • Climate Change: Failed again

    National's tax cut policies relied on stealing revenue from the ETS (previously used to fund emissions reduction) to fund tax cuts to landlords. So how's that going? Badly. Today's auction failed again, with zero units (of a possible 7.6 million) sold. Which means they have a $456 million hole in ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    6 days ago
  • Security Politics in Peripheral Democracies: Excerpt Two.

    A question of size. Small size generally means large vulnerability. The perception of threat is broader and often more immediate for small countries. The feeling of comparative weakness, of exposure to risk, and of potential intimidation by larger powers often … Continue reading ...
    KiwipoliticoBy Pablo
    6 days ago
  • Nicola Willis’s Very Unserious Bungling of the Kiwirail Interislander Cancellation

    Open to all with kind thanks to all subscribers and supporters.Today, RNZ revealed that despite MFAT advice to Nicola Willis to be very “careful and deliberate” in her communications with the South Korean government, prior to any public announcement on cancelling Kiwirail’s i-Rex, Willis instead told South Korea 26 minutes ...
    Mountain TuiBy Mountain Tui
    6 days ago
  • Satisfying the Minister’s Speed Obsession

    The Minister of Transport’s speed obsession has this week resulted in two new consultations for 110km/h speed limits, one in Auckland and one in Christchurch. There has also been final approval of the Kapiti Expressway to move to 110km/h following an earlier consultation. While the changes will almost certainly see ...
    6 days ago
  • What if we freed up our streets, again?

    This guest post is by Tommy de Silva, a local rangatahi and freelance writer who is passionate about making the urban fabric of Tāmaki Makaurau-Auckland more people-focused and sustainable. New Zealand’s March-April 2020 Level 4 Covid response (aka “lockdown”) was somehow both the best and worst six weeks of ...
    Greater AucklandBy Guest Post
    6 days ago
  • No Alarms And No Surprises

    A heart that's full up like a landfillA job that slowly kills youBruises that won't healYou look so tired, unhappyBring down the governmentThey don't, they don't speak for usI'll take a quiet lifeA handshake of carbon monoxideAnd no alarms and no surprisesThe fabulous English comedian Stewart Lee once wrote a ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    6 days ago
  • Five ingenious ways people could beat the heat without cranking the AC

    This is a re-post from Yale Climate Connections by Daisy Simmons Every summer brings a new spate of headlines about record-breaking heat – for good reason: 2023 was the hottest year on record, in keeping with the upward trend scientists have been clocking for decades. With climate forecasts suggesting that heat waves ...
    6 days ago
  • No new funding for cycling & walking

    Studies show each $1 of spending on walking and cycling infrastructure produces $13 to $35 of economic benefits from higher productivity, lower healthcare costs, less congestion, lower emissions and lower fossil fuel import costs. Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāMōrena. Long stories short; here’s my top six things to note ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    6 days ago
  • 99

    Dad turned 99 today.Hell of a lot of candles, eh?He won't be alone for his birthday. He will have the warm attention of my brother, and my sister, and everyone at the rest home, the most thoughtful attentive and considerate people you could ever know. On Saturday there will be ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    7 days ago
  • Open Government: National reneges on beneficial ownership

    One of the achievements of the New Zealand’s Open Government Partnership Fourth National Action Plan was a formal commitment from the government to establish a public beneficial ownership register. Such a register would allow the ultimate owners of companies to be identified - a vital measure in preventing corruption, money ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    7 days ago
  • Security Politics in Peripheral Democracies: Excerpt One.

    This project analyzes security politics in three peripheral democracies (Chile, New Zealand, Portugal) during the 30 years after the end of the Cold War. It argues that changes in the geopolitical landscape and geo-strategic context are interpreted differently by small … Continue reading ...
    KiwipoliticoBy Pablo
    1 week ago
  • Tea and Toast

    When the skies are looking bad my dearAnd your heart's lost all its hopeAfter dawn there will be sunshineAnd all the dust will goThe skies will clear my darlingNow it's time for you to let goOur girl will wake you up in the mornin'With some tea and toastLyrics: Lucy Spraggan.Good ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    1 week ago
  • NLTP 2024 released – destroying pipeline of shovel ready local projects

    Transport Minister Simeon Brown and Waka Kotahi yesterday released the latest National Land Transport Plan (NLTP) for 2024-27. The NLTP sets out what transport projects will be funded for the next three years, including both central and local government projects. As expected given the government’s extremely ideological transport policy, it’s ...
    1 week ago
  • Can Brown deliver his roads

    The Government’s unveiling of its road-building programme yesterday was ambitious and, many would say, long overdue. But the question will be whether it is too ambitious, whether it is affordable, and, if not, what might be dropped. The big ticket items will be the 17 so-called Roads of National Significance. ...
    PolitikBy Richard Harman
    1 week ago
  • New paper about detecting climate misinformation on Twitter/X

    Together with Cristian Rojas, Frank Algra-Maschio, Mark Andrejevic, Travis Coan, and Yuan-Fang Li, I just published a paper in Nature Communications Earth & Environment where we use the Computer Assisted Recognition of Denial and Skepticism (CARDS) machine learning model to detect climate misinformation in 5 million climate tweets. We find over half ...
    1 week ago
  • Excerpting “Security Politics in Peripheral Democracies.”

    In the late 2000s-early 2010s I was researching and writing a book titled “Security Politics in Peripheral Democracies: Chile, New Zealand and Portugal.” The book was a cross-regional Small-N qualitative comparison of the security strategies and postures of three small … Continue reading ...
    KiwipoliticoBy Pablo
    1 week ago
  • Hating for the Wrong Reasons: Of Rings of Power, Orcs and Evil

    A few months ago, my fellow countryman, HelloFutureMe, put out a giant YouTube video, dissecting what went wrong with the first season of Rings of Power (https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gJ6FRUO0ui0&t=8376s). It’s an exceptionally good video, and though it spans some two and a half hours, it is well worth your time. But ...
    1 week ago
  • Climate Change: “Least cost” to who?

    On Friday the Parliamentary Commissioner for the Environment released their submission on National's second Emissions Reduction Plan, ripping the shit out of it as a massive gamble based on wishful thinking. One of the specific issues he focused on was National's idea of "least cost" emissions reduction, pointing out that ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Israeli Lives Matter

    There is no monopoly on common senseOn either side of the political fenceWe share the same biology, regardless of ideologyBelieve me when I say to youI hope the Russians love their children tooLyrics: Sting. Read more ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    1 week ago
  • Luxon Cries

    Over the weekend, I found myself rather irritably reading up about the Treaty of Waitangi. “Do I need to do this?” It’s not my jurisdiction. In any other world, would this be something I choose to do?My answer - no.The Waitangi Tribunal, headed by some of our best legal minds, ...
    Mountain TuiBy Mountain Tui
    1 week ago
  • Just one Wellington home being consented for every 10 in Auckland

    A decade of under-building is coming home to roost in Wellington. Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāMōrena. Long stories short; here’s my top six things to note in Aotearoa’s political economy around housing, climate and poverty on Monday September 2:Wellington’s leaders are wringing their hands over an exodus of skilled ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    1 week ago
  • Container trucks on local streets: why take the risk?

    This is a guest post by Charmaine Vaughan, who came to transport advocacy via her local Residents Association and a comms role at Bike Auckland. Her enthusiasm to make local streets safer for all is shared by her son Dylan Vaughan, a budding “urban nerd” who provided much of the ...
    Greater AucklandBy Guest Post
    1 week ago
  • 2024 SkS Weekly Climate Change & Global Warming News Roundup #35

    A listing of 35 news and opinion articles we found interesting and shared on social media during the past week: Sun, August 25, 2024 thru Sat, August 31, 2024. Story of the week After another crammed week of climate news including updates on climate tipping points, increasing threats from rising ...
    1 week ago
  • An Uncanny Valley of Improvement: A Review and Analysis of The Rings of Power, Episodes 1-3 (Season ...

    And thus we come to the second instalment of Amazon’s Rings of Power. The first season, in 2022, was underwhelming, even for someone like myself, who is by nature inclined to approach Tolkien adaptations with charity. The writing was poor, the plot made no sense on its own terms, and ...
    1 week ago
  • Alcohol debris and Crocodile Tears

    I write to you this morning from scenes of carnage. Around the floor lie young men who only hours earlier were full of life, and cocktails, and now lie silent. Read more ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    1 week ago
  • When Do We Look Away?

    Hi,The first time I saw something that made me recoil on the internet was a visit to Rotten.com. The clue was in the name — but the internet was a new thing to me in the 90s, and no-one really knew what the hell was going on. But somehow I ...
    David FarrierBy David Farrier
    1 week ago
  • The decades just fly by

    You turn your back for a moment and a city can completely transform itself. It was, oh, just the other day I was tripping up to Kuala Lumpur every few months to teach workshops and luxuriate in the tropical warmth and fill my face with Char Kway Teow.It has to ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    1 week ago
  • 2024 Reading Summary: August

    Completed reads for August: Aesop’s Fables (collection), by Aesop Berserk: Volume XXV (manga), by Kentaro Miura Benighted, by J.B. Priestly Berserk: Volume XXVI (manga), by Kentaro Miura Berserk: Volume XXVII (manga), by Kentaro Miura Berserk: Volume XXVIII (manga), by Kentaro Miura Berserk: Volume XXIX (manga), by Kentaro Miura ...
    1 week ago
  • Is recent global warming part of a natural cycle?

    Skeptical Science is partnering with Gigafact to produce fact briefs — bite-sized fact checks of trending claims. This fact brief was written by Sue Bin Park from the Gigafact team in collaboration with John Mason. You can submit claims you think need checking via the tipline. Is recent global warming part ...
    1 week ago
  • White Noise

    Now here we standWith our hearts in our handsSqueezing out the liesAll that I hearIs a message, unclearWhat else is there to decide?All that I'm hearing from youIs White NoiseLyrics: Christopher John CheneyIs the tide turning?Have we reached the high point of the racist hate and lies from Hobson’s Pledge, ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    1 week ago
  • The Death Of “Big Norm” – Exactly 50 Years Ago Today.

    Norman KirkPrime Minister of New Zealand 1972-1974Born: 6 January 1923 - Died: 31 August 1974Of the working-class, by the working-class, for the working-class.Video courtesy of YouTubeThese elements were posted on Bowalley Road on Saturday, 31 August 2024. ...
    1 week ago
  • Claims and Counter-Claims.

    Whose Foreshore? Whose Seabed? When the Marine and Coastal Area Act was originally passed back in 2011, fears about the coastline becoming off-limits to Pakeha were routinely allayed by National Party politicians pointing out that the tests imposed were so stringent  that only a modest percentage of claims (the then treaty ...
    1 week ago

  • Interim fix to GST adjustment rules to support businesses

    Inland Revenue can begin processing GST returns for businesses affected by a historic legislative drafting error, Revenue Minister Simon Watts says. “Inland Revenue has become aware of a legislative drafting error in the GST adjustment rules after changes were made in 2023 which were meant to simplify the process. This ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 hours ago
  • Strong uptake for cervical screening self-test

    More than 80 per cent of New Zealand women being tested have opted for a world-leading self-test for cervical screening since it became available a year ago. Minister of Health Dr Shane Reti and Associate Minister Casey Costello, in her responsibility for Women’s Health, say it’s fantastic to have such ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 hours ago
  • Ministry for Regulation’s first Strategic Intentions document sets ambitious direction

    Regulation Minister David Seymour welcomes the Ministry for Regulation’s first Strategic Intentions document, which sets out how the Ministry will carry out its work and deliver on its purpose. “I have set up the Ministry for Regulation with three tasks. One, to cut existing red tape with sector reviews. Two, ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 hours ago
  • Māori Education Advisory Group established

    The Education Minister has established a Māori Education Ministerial Advisory Group made up of experienced practitioners to help improve outcomes for Māori learners. “This group will provide independent advice on all matters related to Māori education in both English medium and Māori medium settings. It will focus on the most impactful ways we can lift ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 hours ago
  • First of five new Hercules aircraft takes flight

    Defence Minister Judith Collins today welcomed the first of five new C-130J-30 Hercules to arrive in New Zealand at a ceremony at the Royal New Zealand Air Force’s Base Auckland, Whenuapai. “This is an historic day for our New Zealand Defence Force (NZDF) and our nation. The new Hercules fleet ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 hours ago
  • Have your say on suicide prevention

    Today, September 10 is World Suicide Prevention Day, a time to reflect on New Zealand’s confronting suicide statistics, Mental Health Minister Matt Doocey says. “Every death by suicide is a tragedy – a tragedy that affects far too many of our families and communities in New Zealand. We must do ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    7 hours ago
  • Action to grow the rural health workforce

    Scholarships awarded to 27 health care students is another positive step forward to boost the future rural health workforce, Associate Health Minister Matt Doocey says. “All New Zealanders deserve timely access to quality health care and this Government is committed to improving health outcomes, particularly for the one in five ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • Pharmac delivering more for Kiwis following major funding boost

    Associate Health Minister with responsibility for Pharmac David Seymour has welcomed the increased availability of medicines for Kiwis resulting from the Government’s increased investment in Pharmac. “Pharmac operates independently, but it must work within the budget constraints set by the Government,” says Mr Seymour. “When our Government assumed office, New ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • Sport Minister congratulates NZ’s Paralympians

    Sport & Recreation Minister Chris Bishop has congratulated New Zealand's Paralympic Team at the conclusion of the Paralympic Games in Paris.  “The NZ Paralympic Team's success in Paris included fantastic performances, personal best times, New Zealand records and Oceania records all being smashed - and of course, many Kiwis on ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • Government progresses response to Abuse in Care recommendations

    A Crown Response Office is being established within the Public Service Commission to drive the Government’s response to the Royal Commission into Abuse in Care. “The creation of an Office within a central Government agency was a key recommendation by the Royal Commission’s final report.  “It will have the mandate ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Passport wait times back on-track

    Minister of Internal Affairs Brooke van Velden says passport processing has returned to normal, and the Department of Internal Affairs [Department] is now advising customers to allow up to two weeks to receive their passport. “I am pleased that passport processing is back at target service levels and the Department ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • New appointments to the FMA board

    Commerce and Consumer Affairs Minister has today announced three new appointments and one reappointment to the Financial Markets Authority (FMA) board. Tracey Berry, Nicholas Hegan and Mariette van Ryn have been appointed for a five-year term ending in August 2029, while Chris Swasbrook, who has served as a board member ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • District Court judges appointed

    Attorney-General Hon Judith Collins today announced the appointment of two new District Court judges. The appointees, who will take up their roles at the Manukau Court and the Auckland Court in the Accident Compensation Appeal Jurisdiction, are: Jacqui Clark Judge Clark was admitted to the bar in 1988 after graduating ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Government makes it faster and easier to invest in New Zealand

    Associate Minister of Finance David Seymour is encouraged by significant improvements to overseas investment decision timeframes, and the enhanced interest from investors as the Government continues to reform overseas investment. “There were about as many foreign direct investment applications in July and August as there was across the six months ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • New Zealand to join Operation Olympic Defender

    New Zealand has accepted an invitation to join US-led multi-national space initiative Operation Olympic Defender, Defence Minister Judith Collins announced today. Operation Olympic Defender is designed to coordinate the space capabilities of member nations, enhance the resilience of space-based systems, deter hostile actions in space and reduce the spread of ...
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    5 days ago
  • Government commits to ‘stamping out’ foot and mouth disease

    Biosecurity Minister Andrew Hoggard says that a new economic impact analysis report reinforces this government’s commitment to ‘stamp out’ any New Zealand foot and mouth disease incursion. “The new analysis, produced by the New Zealand Institute of Economic Research, shows an incursion of the disease in New Zealand would have ...
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    5 days ago
  • Improving access to finance for Kiwis

    5 September 2024  The Government is progressing further reforms to financial services to make it easier for Kiwis to access finance when they need it, Commerce and Consumer Affairs Minister Andrew Bayly says.  “Financial services are foundational for economic success and are woven throughout our lives. Without access to finance our ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Prime Minister pays tribute to Kiingi Tuheitia

    As Kiingi Tuheitia Pootatau Te Wherowhero VII is laid to rest today, Prime Minister Christopher Luxon has paid tribute to a leader whose commitment to Kotahitanga will have a lasting impact on our country. “Kiingi Tuheitia was a humble leader who served his people with wisdom, mana and an unwavering ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Resource Management reform to make forestry rules clearer

    Forestry Minister Todd McClay today announced proposals to reform the resource management system that will provide greater certainty for the forestry sector and help them meet environmental obligations.   “The Government has committed to restoring confidence and certainty across the sector by removing unworkable regulatory burden created by the previous ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • More choice and competition in building products

    A major shake-up of building products which will make it easier and more affordable to build is on the way, Building and Construction Minister Chris Penk says. “Today we have introduced legislation that will improve access to a wider variety of quality building products from overseas, giving Kiwis more choice and ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Joint Statement between the Republic of Korea and New Zealand 4 September 2024, Seoul

    On the occasion of the official visit by the Right Honourable Prime Minister Christopher Luxon of New Zealand to the Republic of Korea from 4 to 5 September 2024, a summit meeting was held between His Excellency President Yoon Suk Yeol of the Republic of Korea (hereinafter referred to as ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • Comprehensive Strategic Partnership the goal for New Zealand and Korea

    Prime Minister Christopher Luxon held a bilateral meeting today with the President of the Republic of Korea, Yoon Suk Yeol. “Korea and New Zealand are likeminded democracies and natural partners in the Indo Pacific. As such, we have decided to advance discussions on elevating the bilateral relationship to a Comprehensive ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • International tourism continuing to bounce back

    Results released today from the International Visitor Survey (IVS) confirm international tourism is continuing to bounce back, Tourism and Hospitality Minister Matt Doocey says. The IVS results show that in the June quarter, international tourism contributed $2.6 billion to New Zealand’s economy, an increase of 17 per cent on last ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • Government confirms RMA reforms to drive primary sector efficiency

    The Government is moving to review and update national level policy directives that impact the primary sector, as part of its work to get Wellington out of farming. “The primary sector has been weighed down by unworkable and costly regulation for too long,” Agriculture Minister Todd McClay says.  “That is ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • Weak grocery competition underscores importance of cutting red tape

    The first annual grocery report underscores the need for reforms to cut red tape and promote competition, Commerce and Consumer Affairs Minister Andrew Bayly says. “The report paints a concerning picture of the $25 billion grocery sector and reinforces the need for stronger regulatory action, coupled with an ambitious, economy-wide ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • Government moves to lessen burden of reliever costs on ECE services

    Associate Education Minister David Seymour says the Government has listened to the early childhood education sector’s calls to simplify paying ECE relief teachers. Today two simple changes that will reduce red tape for ECEs are being announced, in the run-up to larger changes that will come in time from the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • Over 2,320 people engage with first sector regulatory review

    Regulation Minister David Seymour says there has been a strong response to the Ministry for Regulation’s public consultation on the early childhood education regulatory review, affirming the need for action in reducing regulatory burden. “Over 2,320 submissions have been received from parents, teachers, centre owners, child advocacy groups, unions, research ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • Government backs women in horticulture

    “The Government is empowering women in the horticulture industry by funding an initiative that will support networking and career progression,” Associate Minister of Agriculture, Nicola Grigg says.  “Women currently make up around half of the horticulture workforce, but only 20 per cent of leadership roles which is why initiatives like this ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • Government to pause freshwater farm plan rollout

    The Government will pause the rollout of freshwater farm plans until system improvements are finalised, Agriculture Minister Todd McClay, Environment Minister Penny Simmonds and Associate Environment Minister Andrew Hoggard announced today. “Improving the freshwater farm plan system to make it more cost-effective and practical for farmers is a priority for this ...
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    1 week ago
  • Milestone reached for fixing the Holidays Act 2003

    Minister for Workplace Relations and Safety Brooke van Velden says yesterday Cabinet reached another milestone on fixing the Holidays Act with approval of the consultation exposure draft of the Bill ready for release next week to participants.  “This Government will improve the Holidays Act with the help of businesses, workers, and ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • New priorities to protect future of conservation

    Toitū te marae a Tāne Mahuta me Hineahuone, toitū te marae a Tangaroa me Hinemoana, toitū te taiao, toitū te tangata. The Government has introduced clear priorities to modernise Te Papa Atawhai - The Department of Conservation’s protection of our natural taonga. “Te Papa Atawhai manages nearly a third of our ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Faster 110km/h speed limit to accelerate Kāpiti

    A new 110km/h speed limit for the Kāpiti Expressway Road of National Significance (RoNS) has been approved to reduce travel times for Kiwis travelling in and out of Wellington, Transport Minister Simeon Brown says. “Boosting economic growth and productivity is a key part of the Government’s plan to rebuild the economy. ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • IVL increase to ensure visitors contribute more to New Zealand

    The International Visitor Conservation and Tourism Levy (IVL) will be raised to $100 to ensure visitors contribute to public services and high-quality experiences while visiting New Zealand, Minister for Tourism and Hospitality Matt Doocey and Minister of Conservation Tama Potaka say. “The Government is serious about enabling the tourism sector ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Delivering priority connections for the West Coast

    A record $255 million for transport investment on the West Coast through the 2024-27 National Land Transport Programme (NLTP) will strengthen the region’s road and rail links to keep people connected and support the region’s economy, Transport Minister Simeon Brown says.  “The Government is committed to making sure that every ...
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    1 week ago
  • Road and rail reliability a focus for Wellington

    A record $3.3 billion of transport investment in Greater Wellington through the 2024-27 National Land Transport Programme (NLTP) will increase productivity and reduce travel times, Transport Minister Simeon Brown says.  “Delivering infrastructure to increase productivity and economic growth is a priority for our Government. We're focused on delivering transport projects ...
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    1 week ago
  • Record investment to boost economic and housing growth in the Waikato

    A record $1.9 billion for transport investment in the Waikato through the 2024-27 National Land Transport Programme (NLTP) will create a more efficient, safe, and resilient roading network that supports economic growth and productivity, Transport Minister Simeon Brown says.  “With almost a third of the country’s freight travelling into, out ...
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