Reading an article in the Sydney Morning Herald on NZ releasing the modelling on covid-19 cases and Morrison refusing to do so – a question and a comment made me smile:
Marcus Schnell
9 HOURS AGO
Why can NZ share these models and we can't ??
StBob
9 HOURS AGO
Because they treat their citizens like adults. And a woman is in charge and she knows what it is like to be locked out of the decision making process by old white men and have your concerns dismissed with a pat on the head.
Totally unrelated – there is also an article on JA and toilet training Neve … LOL
Won't link but main menu, World, Oceania might pop it up along with another JA article re her being " devastated" by childbirth stories during the lockdown.
There was a flurry of all sorts of allegations from all stripes of factional extremists when allegations of historic sexual assault were made against Biden. But the story never got traction outside the fringes of the intertoobz. Amanda Marcotte takes a look at why. Her final paragraph is a good summary, but the whole thing is worth the read.
What can be said is that Reade's story is credible and compelling in some important ways, and also comes with a number of troubling red flags. For a variety of reasons it has not been taken seriously on a national level, but those reasons do not include a mainstream media conspiracy to protect Joe Biden. Rather than becoming the subject of serious investigation, this has instead become an occasion for die-hard supporters on both the Sanders and Biden sides to score points on one another online. Actual facts have been supplanted by reckless conspiracy theories spun by enthusiasts of both candidates. Whatever the facts of this case may be, the #MeToo movement deserves better than to be dragged into the sleaze like this.
I'm not following that, but for many women, how Biden relates with women physically is a red flag. Not of specific sexual assault history (again, haven't been following), but that he is has boundary issues. It makes lots of women uncomfortable.
Indeed. When it comes to behaviour towards women, it's really aggravating that the November choice has come down to a multiply-alleged self-confessed genital-grabber with numerous other seriously creepy and abusive behaviours documented on camera, versus a singly-alleged genital-grabber with numerous other moderately creepy behaviours documented on camera.
It's not like that's an unfortunate-but-necessary side effect of the personality characteristics needed for the job, there have been a few (disappointingly few) previous presidents that were respectful and treated women as equals.
Maybe someday we'll make the issue moot, for a while at least, by electing one of the many capable and qualified women to the job. Sadly, it’s not going to be this year.
Since New Zealand appears to have scored a rather large supply of ventilators against pretty stiff global competition, it would be great to hear Joe Biden say that perhaps a national medical procurement system – or even one in which states are required to do it – would be a very good idea in future.
He doesn't have to go all Medicare For All to get some health policy shifts in a future government. Hat Tip: Bernie Sanders.
As the "not Trump" it seems that Joe doesn't need to say anything meaningful. Ever. He needs to not get C-19 and stay alive until November. He's not so much a real candidate as a repository of nostalgia – a bit like the Queen. He is so well cocooned and protected now that even the latest MeToo allegations bounce off him. Invincible Joe.
At some point he has to come out and face Trump. And there's the dilemma – if Trump stuffs up the C-19 response then he loses the election whatever. But if the health professionals Trump clearly despises actually prevent a total stuff-up, then Trump can beat Biden. Which does one choose – lots of deaths or a return of Trump? This is a genuine ‘lesser of two evils’ choice.
Regarding govt spending and the argument for a country balancing its budget eventually which comes up in the context of other discussions regularly. Yesterday in OpenMike there was a size-able thread discussing the eventual need for a further 2 year public sector pay freeze.
This is a public discussion which is occurring in Australia at present.
It is a very good interview……but sadly dosnt address my fears around NZD value (we are not Japan who make highly sought after goods) …and MMT in practice relies on (IMO) a very high level of electoral responsibility and understanding which I suspect is unrealistic…..far too many people live for today and crave (perceived) 'free stuff'
As Bill Mitchell highlights MMT is a description of the workings of the monetary system (not a monetary or fiscal regime), so what ever you think will happen (due to New Zealands limitations in goods production) should have happened to New Zealand decades ago.
As for putting your distrust of politicians and the perpetuation of economics mythology in the way of sensible economic, political and social policy, well I guess some people do have such values.
MMT may be a description but if you wish to apply its principles then it moves into the realm of policy and the practicalities that involves, otherwise it remains theory.
How the NZD is valued currently is through the current paradigms 'lens', if we change that 'lens ' then we potentially change its value.
As to perpetuation of mythology if the greater public had the capability to understand and responsibly operate such a policy it would have been adopted by popular vote years ago…and theres ample evidence that 'education' dosnt necessarily modify behaviour.
Much as I would love to discuss your understanding of scientific ontology with you in detail I have just spotted some flying pigs out the window and they clearly need an education in Newtons theory of gravity which will bring them down to earth.
"Public and private hospitals have about 750 ventilators between them.
It is a relatively low number per capita – with only 4.7 intensive care beds per 100,000 people compared to 35 per 100,000 in the United States and 29 in Germany…..China…3.5 per 100,000 people.." RNZ this morning.
….
I'm still confused as to how we could ever have claimed to have a budget surplus. And this is but one teeny tiny lapse in spending.
It was not so obvious to many when our health service had shifted to prioritising the most acute cases, and when the ratio of nurses to patients was wound back. The health services could probably get by on the low number of ventilators in recent times, but it is exposed by the lack of the amount needed in a pandemic crisis.
Price is easy to calculate but the values always subjective. Wonder how much it'd cost to bring our system up to a level we could cope with a serious outbreak ?
I think many countries will look at their health systems more as assets than cost centres now which's long overdue.
Do you want to take a stab as to what the optimal number is or should be? Then, put a price tag on this and we can discuss that too.
Similar arguments have been made in the context of PHARMAC and funding of potentially life-saving but hugely expensive treatments, e.g. for cancer patients.
Exactly Incognito. We probably have 50-100% spare capacity in normal times of physical ventilators. How many should we have? There have been God knows how many cycles of ventilator technology since we even had the first ventilator , so how many ventilators do we scrap every upgrade, ( the early ones were shit, BTW ). This is the first time we have had a pandemic should we have been spending millions every technological update, instead of spending the money on immediate health needs?
The number of ventilators is also not the issue, each ventilator in normal times needs up to 5 trained nurses to operate it to cover shifts, toilet and meal breaks and days off as it is not an automatic fit and forget machine.
200 more ventilators is good news ,the bad is , where are the trained nurses coming from? It is a highly trained and technical process to use properly and safely. More like driving a Formula 1 car than a shopping cart.
I'd read a while back that NZ had the lowest ratio in the OECD.
Ventilators aside, are the universities and their labs being roped into expanding NZs testing regime? Why is it that testing is so low? And can it be ramped up? Or are we stuck with only testing those considered to be "high risk" because of known contacts or whatever?
Because if the answer to that last question is "yes", then "Shelter in Place" might as well be abandoned sooner rather than later, and the fall back strategy of "social distancing" adopted.
For anyone wondering about what the difference between the two is –
\
"Shelter in Place" is an elimination strategy. "Social Distancing" a curve flattening strategy only designed to stop hospital capacity being over run.
It took a while to get up to 1000, and 1,500 a day.
I think social distancing is the most important measure. There will never be 100% compliance with shelter in place unless there were strong authoritarian policing with military support.
I also wonder if total elimination is wise. Social/physical distancing aims to slow down the virus so the hospital system isn't overwhelmed. I wonder if it is valuable to have a gradual increase in community immunity due to gradual increase in numbers of people who have been infected with mild or no obvious symptoms.
Elimination means the country remains strongly at risk from infection from outside the country until a vaccine is found. That means on-going, rigorous border closure and checks eg of people bringing freight into NZ.
If we give up on containment/elimination we are basically saying we are willing to let more people die. But yes, it is dependent upon a vaccine, and I don't think that is certain yet. It seems reasonable to start with full shut down, contain the spread, and then look at how we want to manage from that point.
Social distancing and shelter in place are both necessary strategies either way.
Shelter in place helps to enforce physical distancing. I think it's a very good idea for the elderly and those with underlying health conditions to totally stay home and practice physical distancing.
It is impossible to get 100% compliance without a total police state.
However, if I get one more person bulldozing their way into my physical space, expecting this old woman to help them with their problem, when going to the post office, or GP I will report them to the police (so far scruffy middle aged thick set males with old cars – or was it the same guy both times?)
There seem to be a minority of people who don't think they need to follow the rules.
People will die either way. The aim is to try to stop that, and social/physical distancing, good hygiene practices, etc would do it if everyone complied… but humans…?
I do think building up community immunity in those with mild infections would be helpful, rather than trying to keep the whole population free of infection, which is impossible.
Shelter in place literally stops the spread in ways that social distancing can't.
We don't need 100% compliance, we need to reduce the spread as much as we can by getting optimal numbers of people on board.
Do you really need to clear your mail this week or even next?
"People will die either way."
Not sure what you mean there. If we don't contain the spread, more people will die.
"I do think building up community immunity in those with mild infections would be helpful, rather than trying to keep the whole population free of infection, which is impossible."
If we shift from containment to herd immunity this month it will mean two things:
1. more people will die
2. the lives of disabled and at risk people will become segregated from the rest of the population, with all the consequences attached to that.
I don't think we need to be considering that yet. We're still not sure yet what is happening with community transmission, because we're still so close in time to infected people returning from overseas. I don't have a sense yet of the timeframe but the 4 weeks shut down seems entirely doable and reasonable.
If we manage to get containment, then I think there will be a big national conversation about what we do next. That conversation will be dependent on the public becoming educated about what the various issues are. Some of that information won't be available yet.
I'm not saying we should adopt a policy of working to herd immunity before we get a vaccine. I am asking questions about the potential un-intended consequences of aiming for elimination. I don't know the answers yet. Still thinking about it.
Total containment is not possible. And total elimination is not possible. That horse has already bolted. There is now no data on how widespread community transmission has been – there are now currently attempts to get data on this.
And, I agree with Skegg, the testing policy has allowed community transmission to spread – ie, by until this week only testing those with clear overseas contacts.
The more the transmission is contained and fewer people getting mild doses, the more vulnerable people will be to being infected – and potentially more people dying.
This guy on Checkpoint last night was saying that elimination is not possible, because there will always be some people who don't comply.
His team has been doing anti-body research. As well as knowing how much community transmission we have had, it would also be good to check how many people already have Covid-19 anti-bodies.
My concern is that putting all the hopes on shelter-in-place and elimination, will give people a false sense of security. And it possibly leaves the population, especially the most vulnerable, open to infection – hence more deaths.
I don't think we are putting all our hopes on containment. We're focused on that right now because we only get one chance to try that.
"The more the transmission is contained and fewer people getting mild doses, the more vulnerable people will be to being infected – and potentially more people dying."
Do you have some references for that idea, esp including what would happen with partial containment/spread?
No. We need more data. We haven't seen it play out for long enough in different countries with different policies. No country is going hard out for herd immunity because of the concern that more people will die.
My concern is what happens after the virus seems to have been contained?
My concern is what happens after the virus seems to have been contained?
Continue with more or less locked down borders until a vaccine is produced. (That’s assuming it actually has been eradicated/contained in a NZ context)
Shelter in place is one aspect of a broad strategy. I'm not sure why people are thinking it's *the thing.
This from Newsroom a few weeks ago talks about the shift from flattening the curve (i.e. with community transmission) to trying to what I think of as containment (which is not the same as elimination from what I can tell, but maybe we are still trying for that too).
tbh I haven't kept up with all the information, there's probably been more written since then. But it does mark both the time when the UK govt got called on its herd immunity policy, and where NZ govt took stock and made changes.
btw afaik NZ isn't using the term 'shelter in place' officially, but is using 'self-isolation' instead. I'm going to stop using shelter in place because it probably has specific meanings in other countries that aren't applicable here.
because we only have so many labs and trained people to do the testing. And there are a finite number of tests, so the health system has to make decisions about when to use them. (test materials are sourced overseas).
"And can it be ramped up?"
yes, and it has been. We are testing more people now than a few weeks ago.
So there's a shortage of equipment, and the test she alludes to is presumably the one developed in Germany that had a sensitivity issue, meaning that 'positive' test results were reliable, but 'negative' ones not so reliable.
I really don't think the training is such a big issue (but could be wrong).
I know that some people have elevated Siouxie to some kind of infallible goddess status, but she's dead wrong to argue that…
At this stage it doesn’t make sense to do the kind of testing South Korea is doing. It will waste a valuable resource. South Korea ramped up their testing when they had multiple cases of people in the community transmitting the virus and it was important to find all those people. We could do the same if we needed to.
Shelter in Place absolutely requires contact tracing and we are past the point where we need to be doing that. Thankfully (though seemingly flying in the face of much else she wrote in that piece), Siouxie states we can do that. So why aren't we?
training is an issue because it's a skilled job and if it's not done right then there is more change of a false result. Also, sticking a swab into the back of someone's nasal cavity, or doing a lung lavage really isn't something you want an untrained person doing.
What makes you think we aren't doing contact tracing? As far as I can tell this is a major part of the response at the moment.
The date of her post matters in this context.
Afaik we don't have enough tests to do all the testing that would help if we want to also have tests for a spike that leads to hospital overload. I wouldn't want to be the person making those policy decisions right now.
I didn't say training wasn't an issue, I said I had doubts it was such a big issue – ie, I'm sure the appropriate people could be trained up in a timely fashion.
What makes you think we aren't doing contact tracing?
We aren't. That's why I think we aren't. As Prof Skegg pointed out before whatever that response committee is called, there has been no contact tracing (as of two days ago?) done with regards the West Coast fatality.
There was some contact tracing going on with regards people coming back or in from overseas who turned out to be infected. But that was it.
If we don't have enough testing gear and what not, then what was the basis for Siouxie saying on the 18th of March that we could do effective contact tracing even as she argued a shortage of resources and skills?
You suggest we "keep our powder dry" for a possible spike in hospital admissions when the whole point of a Shelter in Place strategy is to contact trace from every patient and thus ensure there is no widespread infection rate and spike in hospital admissions.
Can't have it both ways. Either we contact trace to eliminate as per Shelter in Place, or we fall back on a Social Distancing strategy that accepts the virus will run its natural course in terms of its total infection rate.
I know for a fact that Southern DHB is indeed contact-tracing, so maybe the basis upon which you are suggesting abandoning our entire current management strategy itself rests upon a resource or management issue in one of our smaller DHBs.
Yes, NZ is training up people in a timely fashion. And getting more labs and test kits in a timely fashion. In the meantime, we don't have enough trained staff and kits to test more broadly.
have you talked to people in a cluster? No idea about what is happening with the West Coast case, but in Otago and Southland cases, they've been tracking. The whole Logan Park school thing relied on tracking.
You're not aware that Logan Park kids who were meant to be self isolating were reportedly spotted roaming George St?
I don't know how many were tested, or if they were assumed to be clear after 14 days of isolation without 'falling over'. I would have hoped they were all tested…
Actually, I can maybe find an answer to that later today and will post if I can find out whether the person I know of who self isolated off the back of Logan Park contact was tested or not.
We were talking about contact tracking (not testing) because you were saying they weren't tracking.
Yes, some people break self-isolation. Short of locking people up how do you propose to change that? I've heard 3 social gatherings in my neighbourhood since we went to Level 4.
If we don't have enough testing gear and what not, then what was the basis for Siouxie saying on the 18th of March that we could do effective contact tracing even as she argued a shortage of resources and skills?
You suggest we "keep our powder dry" for a possible spike in hospital admissions when the whole point of a Shelter in Place strategy is to contact trace from every patient and thus ensure there is no widespread infection rate and spike in hospital admissions.
Can't have it both ways. Either we contact trace to eliminate as per Shelter in Place, or we fall back on a Social Distancing strategy that accepts the virus will run its natural course in terms of its total infection rate.
I'm going to break this down because I'm not sure if we are talking about the same things. This is how I understand it.
Level 4 requires *both shelter in place and social distancing.
Contact tracing doesn't inherently need a positive test to happen. Nor does treatment. Nor self-isolation. The absence of a test doesn't mean inaction. We know there will be false negatives, and we know that there will be asymptomatic people (hence the need to stay home and/or socially distance).
Stuff ran an article yesterday from a journo who had nearly been refused a test and then tested positive. He was arguing there was a flaw in the system. But on the basis of his reported symptoms he should have been self-isolating regardless of whether he got a test or not.
Talking to people in community based health systems, they're talking about who is in contact with who, so it's happening at that level too, where people are taking it seriously.
I didn't suggest that we keep our powder dry, I pointed out that the MoH and people trained in pandemic response will be having to make decisions about testing protocols based on a number of complex, intersecting issues, including limits on testing availability and the need to have tests for hospitals on an ongoing basis. That's not black and white.
I disagree about your assessment of the current strategy. It's never going to be perfect. They're aiming for the optimal coverage under the circumstances and relying not only on testing, but on self-isolating. We are using both social distancing and shelter in place, it's not either/or. And given we don't have enough tests to just test everyone, or anyone that *might be contagious, they are using a strategy based on best practice as they gear up for increasing testing.
I'm seeing adaptation all the time in the govt and health system response. This is what I would expect as the situation evolves.
Shelter in Place implies Social Distancing. Social Distancing does not entail sheltering in place though. So we're not talking either /or, but about levels of intensity.
And again. If (as you say) we don't have enough tests to just test everyone, or anyone that *might be contagious – then Shelter in Place will not achieve the goal of elimination and (as said previously) we'd be as well to abandon Shelter in Place sooner rather than later in favour of the much less intense strategy of Social Distancing because, without widespread testing, Shelter in Place will not achieve anything that can't be achieved through Social Distancing.
From 5.00 minutes in this clip, Skegg is talking about rapid contact tracing and the lack of reporting about contact tracing in general. Skegg did NOT say anything like "there has been no contact tracing [..] done with regards the West Coast fatality", he said it hadn't been reported on so he didn't know if it had been done or not.
You think it's unreasonable to equate "not reported" with "hasn't happened". Got it…
That Skeggs had to ask what info there might be around the tracing and testing of all that women's contacts, and finding it necessary to ask whether it has even happened, say's a lot. An immediate answer in the affirmative from that committee was conspicuous by its absence. But that's just to my way of thinking McFlock.
Yeah, I think it's unreasonable to equate "not reported" with "hasn't happened".
I also think that "rapid contact tracing with an app" not happening does not imply that conventional contact tracing is not occurring.
Oh look, here's southern dhb mentioning contact tracing occurring. I guess it does happen in NZ after all. What a relief. Let us all be grateful that at least someone in NZ is performing one of the oldest and most basic functions known to epidemiology, contrary to Bill's best reckons. Probably an exception /sarc
And another thought that comes to mind is that people should maybe report what experts actually say and base their reckons off that, rather than random collections of words that they, for whatever reason, think act as broadly approximate substitutes for what was said. Especially if their own expertise in the area consists of a few weeks of google.
As you pointed out, the question is about rapid response trace and contact.
Now, if it's all so cut and dried and A-OK, then why the fuck is it the case that Skegg had to point out that it seemed no-one knew what the fuck was going on, ask the question, and not receive an immediate reassuring response?
You'll also have noticed that Skegg wasn't contradicted when he pointed out that no-one seemed to know what the fuck was going on.
But sure. Carry on Captain Mainwaring…
edit. And just to be clear for the sake of twats like you and Incognito – I have no expertise in the area. But I can fucking well read in a critical fashion and extrapolate intelligently while not parking my ability to think in favour of the latest and often groundless “comforting narrative”
I wasn’t referring to you, actually, but rather to some other obnoxious commenters here, who are showing off their ignorance.
I can understand that you drew the wrong conclusion, as it occurred in this thread, and I apologise for causing this misunderstanding. Next time, however, could we leave the insults at the door, please?
That would be more of your handy word substitution, there. Feel free to refresh your memory from the link I supplied upthread, and you can choose substitutions that accurately relate to what was actually said.
The one with the least idea of "what the fuck was going on" seems to be you.
Rest assured that contact tracing is happening, testing is happening, and people who know what they're talking about are doing their jobs.
This country seems to have a massive surplus of newly-minted epidemiologists who are convinced the people who do this for a living are incompetent based on shit they read somewhere. I'd just like to take this opportunity to point out that some of us do actually credit those of you in the country's health system with having a clue how to do your jobs and are grateful to you for bearing the brunt of this shit while being second-guessed at every step.
Interesting SDHB link, they seem good with their comms.
Do you know if there's an official list of people diagnosed by location. The MoH page has changed to listing by DHB, which is kind of useless for Southern.
If you're particularly interested in a specific question about the Southern region, then hit up the Southern DHB I mean "Southern Health" Public Health South office. But they're a bit busy at moment.
[Removed 14 non-breaking spaces creating half an A4 in white space 😉 ]
"That Skeggs had to ask what info there might be around the tracing and testing of all that women's contacts, and finding it necessary to ask whether it has even happened, say's a lot."
What it says to me is that Skegg isn't in the loop of the local authorities on the West Coast, and that the same authorities haven't done a media release on the issue. I can't think of a number of explanations for both of those that aren't that tracking didn't occur.
"An immediate answer in the affirmative from that committee was conspicuous by its absence."
I doubt that they had that information to hand either.
And the West Coast local authorities are then presumably (necessarily!) in the same loop as the North Island local authorities where attendees of the funeral attended by the dead woman reside. Which would, by necessity, be a tightly organised and highly communicative loop given what they are dealing with.
Now. Given that NZ isn't exactly renowned for promoted autonomy, I think it's reasonable to assume that any such nation wide web of coordination would be managed from above and that ministers would be well aware of their efforts, and yet when asked, the committee comprised of MPs had nothing to say about the existence of such coordination let alone the actions of any supposedly coordinated response.
btw – I'm still waiting for an answer back as to whether the person who was isolated because "Logan Park" was tested or just simply isolated, and will post when I know.
There seems to be a lot of anxiety in the public about not getting tested, but given most people will have a mild version of covid, testing isn't needed for most individuals, it's for managing spread. What needs to happen is that if someone has symptoms they stay away from others, and if they've been around someone with symptoms they stay away from others. Let the medical people make the decisions about who gets tested.
Reports early on of people with symptoms waiting days or longer until they starting thinking it might be covid is probably part of why we are in the situation we are in now.
People are meant to stay home and self-isolate as if they have the virus and thus are infectious.
Whether you have been tested or not should not matter all that much if you stick to the basic rules under Alert Level 4. If you feel unwell, stay at home; this was the message at the lower alert levels too.
Testing is good for intelligence that informs collective strategies and decisions by the authorities.
I'm wondering if this messaging has gotten lost in the lock down and associated wider issues. I see MSM stuff about people demanding tests, but not much about the need to stay away from people if you have any symptoms. I'm not reading most of the articles though, just watching what is crossing my space on twitter.
I'd put this one in the creeping unnecessary data collection overreach bucket and data privacy infringement. Employee privacy – crap.
Why are MSD and IRD demanding that employers break the law by collecting employee birthdates when the IRD at least already has them, before they will pay the wage subsidy.
To get a subsidy they want first name, last name ,IRD number and date of birth. If you have the IRD number then IRD has the birthdate. These people have also been satisfactorily paid and tax collected prior to he subsidy so why the overreach?
As I understand it employers can only request a birthdate from an employee if they have a "valid reason for requesting it" e,g, are they old enough to sell liquor. And there are a good number of reasons why employees should not provide them unless necessary starting with
-is this vital piece of data going to be stored securely to limit theft? These data caches in well known payroll programmes can be hacker targets
and ending with – will this enable age discrimination by the employer?
Prior to this the IRD has had legislation passed that is frankly all over the place. In one breath they tell the employer to provide it and in another section they insinuate that employer doesn't have to if the employee has not supplied it to the employer.
So why are they demanding that employers breach employment law and invade employee privacy? Maybe the IRD needs to remember they are there to collect tax not demand citizens behave in particular ways towards others. Over reach has been a real feature of their recent culture .
Not sure why there's been an increase in quoting without linking recently, but please always provide a link when you quote. If you don't know how, please ask. Most quotes need to be understood in context. It also means less work for moderators if a link is provided. Thanks.
I normally just include the whole url – it is clear I am incompetent with fancy code . . .
It can be helpful if urls are also included in initial posts – I had to google Kiwiblog to find the stupid April Fool post – but perhaps that is deliberate . . .
An expert epidemiologist is calling on the Government to quarantine all people arriving in New Zealand from overseas and for a much wider testing and contact-tracing regime to prevent needless deaths from Covid-19.
I agree with this that everyone entering the country is quarantined. The numbers entering the country is not that many to manage when you consider how many tourists entered pre the lock down.
The situation is now a crisis in parts of the US. I actually have some empathy for Trump due to the seriousness and destruction of Covid-19.
The aircraft carrier Theodore Roosevelt has a 100 cases on board and 5000 naval personnel.
What to do with the naval personnel on the aircraft carrier is unprecedented and a challenge for humanity.
how would it work to bring Peters and Martin in and exclude Jones? Not that I don't like the idea, but can't see how that would work. It's up to NZF what role Jones has.
I don't care to guess yet about the Labour seat count.
However I think it is now a certainty that NZF and the Green Party will be extinct. Who? is probably the first thing that comes to mind when their names are brought up. The Labour Party have completely removed their air supply.
The National/Labour split will depend on whether the current lock-down works and whether it can be lifted in a reasonable time. If it comes off reasonably quickly, and the election is called early, I think there will be a Labour landslide. If the lockdown drags on and on that can only cause a swing back to National.
National returning to power will mean Richardson style austerity measures.
The financial sector has been braying for 30 years for National Super to be replaced with private savings and a means tested WINZ benefit. COVID will give the National party the excuse to finally slay that sacred cow.
Ruth Richardson left Parliament in July 994. That is almost 26 years ago.
Time to get over it surely? How do you come by your claim that "The financial sector has been braying for 30 years for National Super to be replaced with private savings". There might be some people saying that but it certainly it wasn't a large group. The people who most wanted to replace National Super were Michael Cullen and his acolytes. What do you think he came up with Kiwisave for? Those who wanted to means test it are pretty well represented on this blob by the occasional person who complains that Bob Jones shouldn't get it and so on. Lucky they are much rarer now as people start to understand how efficient is the system we have in New Zealand
Ruth Richardson left Parliament almost 26 years ago so it's time to get over it?
Muldoon left Parliament 35 years ago and here, right on this page is evidence NZ will never get over it. We're still talking about the Super scheme that he used to the reds under the bed to fuck up. Yep, the National Party sure has the good oil on Super and how it can best be designed.
If it wasnt for the Muldoon scheme, there would be a lot more elderly in poverty at the moment.
Douglas, Rowling and Tizard's scheme left out huge swathes of the population, ie women, Maori, disabled, etc, whe wouldnt have paid into the scheme and have, thanks to the upheavals of the past 40 years, spent most of their lives in low paid insecure work and on benefits get a big fat zero.
The scheme would have been sold off and closed down during the 1980's anyway.
Unlike some people on here, Muldoon grew up seeing retirees in poverty, during the Great Depression, etc. He may have despised socialism, but leaving it up to the market left him cold as well.
"National returning to power will mean Richardson style austerity measures. "
Millsy the 1990's has called looking for you. National havn't done austerity for 30 years. Look at their repsonse to the GFC. They pumped the economy via tax cuts, maintained social spending, and borrowed truckloads to keep the economy running. That's not austerity by any definition.
National made a lot of cuts to social services, but they were very subtle.
They also tightened access to benefits, and state housing, which is why we got a lot of homeless from about 2016-17.
They also stripped out a lot of technical expertise from the public sector, especially DoC and the NZDF, which are among the last of the public sector orgs with that sort of knowledge.
Health was cut, so was education and student support. The prescription co-pay hike from $3-$5 was pretty bad as well. Fortunately the likes of Countdown and Chemist Warehouse have stepped in and scrapped the co-pay at their pharmacies.
And lets not forget the cuts to the Training Incentive Allowance and Adult Community Education.
Cherry-picking. Try the OECD figures on spending per secondary school student (the number increased, you realise?) as percentage of GDP. You will find no such dazzling, bounteous generosity.
The discussion is whether or not the national government have practised austerity in recent times (ie since the 1990's). When a government outspends the inflation rate by a factor of 2.7, and when spedning on core social services is virtually unchanged as a % of GDP, no sensible person could argue those were times of austerity.
As for education spending rose by 39% from end 2008 to end 2017. That's the same period in which inflation was 14.7%.
Yes, because if you look at the OECD stats that compare NZ to other countries, you discover that NZ's overall spending on Education is indeed as high as you say – but, unfortunately, NZ spends over-much on shonky Tertiary stuff (not the quality universities, you will note), leaving our Primary and Secondary schools far less generously-funded than you or the Govt pretend..
Both Universities and many secondary schools have been pretty-well forced by all Govts since Rogernomics to supplement the insufficient Govt funding by seeking foreign students, and ripping them off by charging then far more for their education than what it costs the school. An honest country would fund its own system properly so that such malarkey was unnecessary.
You are, I insist, cherry-picking your stats from the Govt and Ministry, and presenting their rosy-spectacled views because they are the ones that you find convenient.
3 Paragraphs and not a single reference to actual data. You’re arguments seem to entirely consist of anecdote and unsubstantiated claims.
"Yes, because if you look at the OECD stats that compare NZ to other countries,"
We're not talking about the OECD. We're talking about NZ. You're trying to say NZ had an austerity government when social spending was rising higher than inflation, and was virtually unchanged as a % of GDP. It’s an indefensible claim, no matter how much you spin.
"Both Universities and many secondary schools have been pretty-well forced by all Govts since Rogernomics…"
No, you're not getting away with that. You specifically mentioned national governments, and you specifically mentioned spending per student. Which has gone up!
Wrong. You are even misusing your own cherry-picked stats. You at first quoted 2008, but then tried to tell me that the number of students has dropped after 2010. By a paltry 134 students. Why did you not be honest and use the 2008 figures? I think we can all guess that the 2008 figure would have revealed an increase – not the decrease you deceitfully claimed.
Try OECD Education at a Glance. Website easy to find, and it will make valid comparisons with NZ, rating spending per student over more different areas than your NZ -sourced ones do.
You quoted spending on all NZ students. Pointless, because as I pointed out already, that includes excessive spending on shonky tertiary areas. If you want to argue honestly with me, use figures related only to Primary and Secondary students, and get those figures from OECD Education at a Glance, and bear in mind that I believe our Governments have at times fudged the figures they give the OECD to avoid embarrassment.
"You at first quoted 2008, but then tried to tell me that the number of students has dropped after 2010."
You seem to have a problem reading sources. 2010 is the year that data series began. You would have seen that if you actually took the time to look it up.
"Try OECD Education at a Glance. "
Why? I've used official NZ government sources.
"You quoted spending on all NZ students. Pointless…"
A reminder about what this discussion is about. Austerity. " difficult economic conditions created by government measures to reduce public expenditure.". There was no reduction in public expenditure. There was an increase significantly above the rate of inflation. Trying to make an argument about the quality of spend is just bs deflection.
…a face mask, by design, does not filter or block very small particles in the air that may be transmitted by coughs, sneezes, or certain medical procedures. Surgical masks also do not provide complete protection from germs and other contaminants because of the loose fit between the surface of the face mask and your face.
Whereas…
The 'N95' designation means that when subjected to careful testing, the respirator blocks at least 95 percent of very small (0.3 micron) test particles
But yes, if you are already infected, it looks like those "cactus" masks might catch up some potentially contaminated spray ejected by coughs and splutters…
There's a world wide shortage of appropriate masks for all the various needs. I see the Cactus initiative as being helpful in two ways. One is for people who have covid and want to protect others. The other is to reduce the demand for higher tech masks from those with less need by making other kinds more available.
The Cactus design isn't good for medical staff also because of the elastic (ties are better). But I'm seeing staff in the US who are having to make do with whatever they can find.
I hope Cactus consider making their pattern and instructions available.
The YouTube is congested with how to videos for facemasks.
It is time invested to sort out the wheat from the obvious chaff.
Sewn fabric types must use very close weave materials and there's a couple utilising vacuum cleaner Hepa filter bags that look promising…if one can buy the bags now.
Paper type masks abound…but I'd give ones that need glue or sticky tape a swerve…too complicated and time consuming for a disposable bit of kit.
The one we settled on is an 8ply paper towel and dried baby wipe job held together and over the face by elastic.
The concertina design conforms snugly around the mouth and nose…and any gap can be closed with glasses.
I'd argue these are better than the proper masks friends bought for an exorbitant price on line.
My understanding is that the manufacturing source for appropriate masks is….yep, you've probably guessed it…China. Those long and vulnerable supply chains working their magic again.
I see the Cactus initiative as being helpful in two ways.
I don’t.
If I had covid and went anywhere near anyone while wearing one of those masks, it would be height of irresponsibility.
On the other side of the equation (protection) – I'm sure way 'back in day' there was a family member made a killing selling posies for 45 groats a hit as protection against plague. It was amazing (if family lore is to be believed) how many people put themselves in harms way because they thought the posies offered protection.
some people with covid don't have a choice about being in close proximity with others. If you can keep away from all humans, great. The masks are for those that can't.
No, but we learned, didn't we, to avoid panacea cures from Brian Tamaki 's cure for corona virus, vitamin C, deer velvet, rhino horn and copper bands, colour therapy and colonic irrigation. The ways that some prey upon the fears of others.
Pretty silly of Labour to put the minimum wage increase through today (I'm assuming its still going ahead). Businesses already concerned about surviving the lock down and coming out the other side and this really will not help by increasing the businesses costs. I do think it will cost some jobs. Labour should have reduced the PAYE tax rate on income under $14k instead to give people more money in their hand instead.
Which would be a far better thing so they could spend it in the economy once the lock down comes off. And it doesn't increase costs to the business employing them.
Please consider reviewing the link at 6 up thread and then revising this statement appropriately "The government is going to need all the tax it can get over the coming year.".
I think the podcast at the link describes things quite well for lay-persons though it does run for almost an hour.
Your statement is completely false. To quote from the text (discussing govt spending in Australia which is similar enough to New Zealand),
"In his article, Alan wrote that we do not want the RBA purchasing Treasury debt directly.
Why?:
we don’t want to do that because we don’t trust politicians. They need to be handcuffed by the idea that all spending must be funded by taxes or debt. Otherwise where would we be? In the land of the Magic Pudding, that’s where.
But that is a fabrication designed to prevent politicians using unlimited cash to buy votes and entrench themselves in power.
The interesting question now is whether that fabrication will survive the virus or become one of its casualties."
The obvious thing at the present is that the govt is resource constrained, but its not at all financially constrained and we don't need to project that ideological construct (and miss-direction) into the debate. The fact of this and how this maps to various economic and political institutions is expounded further in the conversation.
Not sure how that relates to what I said. Someone made the argument for reducing taxes instead of raising the minimum wage. I said that the govt will need those taxes. What is wrong with that?
Nope. You disagreed with something I said, but failed to say how I was wrong. No-one is going to go and watch a long vid in lieu of a simple explanation. You may well be right, I just haven't seen the argument yet.
The NZ govt spends by distributing funds via the inter-bank settlement system which is operated by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand. This is still operating during the lock-down and primarily this allows the government to make all its payment needs at the present time.
All that is needed for the government to make such a payment is for it to instruct the RBNZ to transfer funds in the inter-bank system to the payees bank (that bank then credits the payees account). Since the RBNZ issues all the funds and runs the inter-bank system the government does not need to collect (or borrow) these before it makes payments. So the statement that the government must raise revenue to increase its spending abilities is simply false. This is true both now (when it is most starkly clear) and in the future.
There are some accounting relations where the RBNZ (a part of the government) shifts funds to its other pocket (the treasury) and then the government repays itself with interest back to the RBNZ pocket. There has also been a recent move to implement QE by the RBNZ which amounts to the same thing (of the govt bonds being owned by itself inside the RBNZ), but this does not in any way impact the underlying reality that the entire payments system is designed to facilitate government spending as it sees fit at its center.
This is all also explained in the linked post and discussion in comment #6.
What the fuck are you on? The only companies making shitloads more at the moment are supermarkets and some other essential businesses. Most businesses are struggling and trying to plan on how they will make it through a lock down period with many fixed costs (such as rent and wages) and zero income as they cannot trade. Most of their competition as you say are in the same boat so fuck off yourself.
I could have throttled the self-serving business leader they interviewed on RNZ yesterday (sorry name and title and lost in the mists) arguing against the rise.
But it could be a living wage if you were allowed to keep more in the hand and pay less in PAYE. And there is more chance you would keep your job as would not cost your employer more. And also if you were a barista for example, the price of coffee would not need to increase and cause inflation due to the increased costs to the business.
Utter crap, Jimmy. The minimum wage and the Living wage are both so low that any arrangement of yours will be insignificant. Supermarkets sounded generous giving their workers a whole 10% – but nobody notices that 10% of fuck-all is peanuts anyway.
The whole percentage system only serves to increase the gap between Rich and Poor. (The difference grows like compound interest.) We need to dump % increases and return to flat rate increases across the board for a decade or so, until the lower-paid have caught up to where things were in, say, 1970.
So if CEO gets an increase of $300 a week from a 10% increase, don't disguise the ugly truth by saying it is only a 10% increase. Call it a $300 per week increase, and give the same to everyone else across the board. Including the lowest-paid and the beneficiaries.
I know you won't like that idea of improved social justice, but it is what our society needs.
You seem to have totally misunderstood. Obviously if a CEO on $300k gets a 10% pay rise, and the cleaner on $50k also gets a 10% pay rise the gap widens. Nobody's arguing that.
I'm talking if the Govt for example said the first $18k of income was tax free, both the CEO and the cleaner would get an extra $42 in the hand each week. Ironically, a person on the minimum wage doing $40 hours a week will get an extra $39.60 in the hand but are more likely to end up unemployed especially in this Covid-19 climate.
In Vino I agree percentages are shifty buggers for comparing like with like. We need a Christmas bonus each year of a set amount per hour that is meaningful to we liddle people.
No I reckon they should raise all the brackets. 33% should only come in over $100k. Those tax brackets were set back in 2008? when $70k was a very high income. But they should have say, a 39% rate on income over $150k.
Why dont you just admit you want to hold down wages for the poorest workers.
Im getting sick of people who constantly begrudge pay rises.
Do you think the minimum wage should rise *at all*??
Workers are having the deal with rising costs like everything else, rent, power, water, food, etc and so on, but people like you want them on the same wages for years in and years out.
National closed scores and scores of hospitals in the 1990's and slashed the wages of people in the health sector to pay for huge tax cuts. To cut taxes now when a huge pandemic is threaten thousands of lives, is morally indefensible.
Look at Kristine Bartlett. She spend 20 years on the same rate of pay, because people like you wanted to hold wages down.
As you say, "workers are having to deal with rising costs". Guess what happens to the price of your flat white when the minimum wage goes up to $18.90?
Whereas if the tax rate was reduced on lower income, the worker would get the $40 extra in their hand, without costing the employer more therefore you still only pay $5 for a large flat white.
I would rather stay on my same pay rate but keep more in my hand.
So you dont think pay rates should increase at all?
We should all just work on the same rate of pay throughout our working lives, and watch as our schools and hospitals fall apart because you want taxes slashed.
Maybe you should read some of my replies above. Taxes should be reduced at the lower end. I also suggested in a comment a 39% tax rate. That is an increase.
I don't think now is time for a wage increase when many jobs are disappearing.
I would be happy for my pay rate not to increase at all if I received more in the hand by paying less PAYE.
Yes, I think all wages should be frozen at the moment in this economic climate, but that is NOT saying that they should never increase over your working life as you've said in your comment 18.8.1.1…….that's just a stupid comment and will obviously never happen).
Yes, I agree there should be a rent freeze at the moment.
Sick leave? not sure where this comes in to it? Are you meaning pay employees out their sick leave while in lock down?
No the health system should not be starved of funds and wont be. The sewerage running down hospital walls was all a blown out of proportion political point exercise as we all know now. Tax take by govt. has been higher that budgeted over last 2 years so no shortage of funds, and I have not suggested anywhere that adjusting tax rates will give the govt. less funds. Only reduce the lower rate and increase higher income tax rates to balance out.
But my main point is that I would rather be on $17.70 an hour and have take home pay of $642, than be on $18.90 and hour and have take home pay of $642 but my cup of coffee and many other prices have all increased so I'm worse off.
This would almost be comical if it wasn't so harmful and unnecessary. This is just business as usual for WINZ, but newcomers are surprised at how bad it is.
Interminable delays, personal humiliation and unnecessary bureaucratic barriers are all part of the deliberate system WINZ routinely uses to reduce claims by whatever means. No one cared when the "undeserving" couldn't access it, but causing issues now that everyone is in the struggle boat.
From the RNZ story – this will be completely familiar to anyone exposed to WINZ prior to Covid-19:
…They are first-time applicants for a benefit and don't have existing client numbers.
They struggled to get through to Work and Income, so James tried on their behalf.
"First of all, I went on the website, which is quite confusing and found that if you want to apply you need a number," he said.
"So I tried ringing the 0800 number myself, and basically I was told that it was an 87-minute wait and then a message said, 'sorry, we're really busy, use the website' and it cut me off."
He said he did this about six times to no avail, so he went back to the website.
Yep. This is why existing beneficiaries should have been given a lump sum payment. Or even two.
It would help if the people for whom assistance isn't urgent held off to allow the back log to get cleared. But I'm guessing the application process is going to be shown up in all its faults.
Disturbing opinion piece discussed in the video above
To put it bluntly, the Fed isn’t allowed to do any of this. The central bank is only allowed to purchase or lend against securities that have government guarantee. This includes Treasury securities, agency mortgage-backed securities and the debt issued by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. An argument can be made that can also include municipal securities, but nothing in the laundry list above.
A herd of goats has taken over the deserted streets of Llandudno, north Wales, where the residents are in lockdown during the coronavirus pandemic The Kashmiri goats that came down from the Great Orme and into the town were originally a gift to Lord Mostyn from Queen Victoria
Having read their food preferences in that article where they choose to eat "gorse, hawthorn, bracken, bramble, ivy, stinging nettles and privet" they would be very welcome at my place. I have a bit of land that would feed them nicely. All their favorites meals available.
I confess that I had assumed the ones in the pictures were males. The beards and the horns.
Irrational really as both males and females can have beards and horns. On the other hand I don't think, looking at the size of those horns, that I want to check what sex they really are.
"The most accurate way to determine whether you have a male or female goat is to peek under the tail"
Wouldn't it be nice if the Government was to take the advice of the medical experts seriously?
Pfofessor Skegg says
"Yesterday expert epidemiologist Sir David Skegg urged the Government to quarantine all arrivals into New Zealand from overseas, saying that the global spread of the Covid-19 pandemic meant there was a progressively higher risk of an arrival carrying the deadly virus. People carrying the disease may not show symptoms for days and several countries were taking precautionary measures by quarantining all overseas arrivals" and "" He noted that Australia was putting all people arriving from overseas into quarantine, and he thought New Zealand should do the same. But that quarantine had to be enforced and checked, as it is in Singapore by requiring those in quarantine to send text messages multiple times a day."
The Prime Minister, on the other hand says
"Ardern said self-isolation has been working "successfully" since the beginning of February. "We had over 10,000 people come back and self-isolate. The vast majority of New Zealanders are doing what they're asked to do." She dismissed self-isolation being called a "high trust" model, a phrase used yesterday by Director General of Health Ashley Bloomfield. "It's a high-trust environment."
Well we all saw stories of people who went off immediately sightseeing and said they weren't going to self-isolate. And stories of no checking being done at the Airport. When are we ever going to learn?
Singapore, and South Korea brought in mass testing and quarantine early on. They seem to have been effective in controlling the virus, don't they?
You can surely do better than that. Now please tell me how many people who returned to New Zealand in the last two weeks did not strictly follow the rules of "self isolation"? You have no idea do you? You can't possibly know because no genuine attempt to check it was attempted.
Really? I'm sure I read reports of cops checking up on people.
No matter. Any effort would have been insufficient in your eyes until its effectiveness was completely indisputable. At which point you would have been criticising the draconian measures as unnecessarily excessive as compliance was sufficient without armed guards at the gates of isolation ghettoes.
The borders were closed to everyone except returning citizens and permanent residents on the 19th March. Returning residents and citizens have significantly more incentive to abide by self-isolation than tourists.
As for those who recently returned and were infected and broke self-isolation and spread the disease, no I don't know how many there were. But I'm confident that if the expert epidemiologists at work on this think it's important, they will have information on it. If they don't have info, then it's most likely because the experts felt there were more valuable uses for their resources than finding that very specific info. You seem to think it's critically important data, how about you put your energies to finding out? I'm sure there's a name for the logical fallacy involved in finding an unanswered question and pretending that makes you smarter and more capable than actual experts, but I can't be arsed finding out what it is.
In any case, those that were sufficiently anti-social to have abused the goodwill shown them and flouted the expectations put on them will have to live with the outcome. Which may still include official consequences.
In the context of the fast developing situation where the opposition were more on the side of keeping borders open and maximising ongoing economic activity rather than closing things faster, I really don't think using hindsight to nitpick at details of the government response and claim they should have closed things harder and faster is a useful thing to do. And it's especially not an argument to swap out the current government for the other lot, whose response would have clearly been less effective.
You can't possibly know because no genuine attempt to check it was attempted.
My God, you mean the government didn't call on the massive resources of the Tourist Self-Isolation Monitoring Department to ensure that every tourist did what was asked of them? It must be incompetence! Why else would we have hired and trained all those personnel, if not for this one essential task?
"Victims' advocate Ruth Money"?!!!?? Wallace Chapman's having us on, surely.
Wednesday 1 April 2020
Assuming this is not a black joke on April Fools' Day, then it's grievously clear that RNZ National's The Panel is continuing to outrage common decency and insult the intelligence of listeners.
I note that one Ruth Money is, yet again, a guest on today's show. She was, as usual, introduced by Wallace Chapman as "victims' advocate Ruth Money." In fact, Ruth Money first came to prominence as a highly placed official in Garth The Knife McVicar's notorious S.S. Trust. She has never uttered a word of apology, let alone regret, for that organization's ceaseless outpouring of filth on, and denigration of, the victim of a knife-killing in South Auckland in 2008.
What's next, we wonder: "women's rights advocate Harvey Weinstein"? "Peace advocate Elliott Abrams"? "Truth-teller Boris Johnson"? "Hard working journalist Martin Devlin"?
Harvey Norman tries to get out of paying rent. It doesn't surprise me. They must have a policy of playing hard ball. A friend of mine had a scrap with them a while ago over a piece of furniture that kept breaking. Harvey Norman fixed it a few times but when my friend told them they wanted the thing collected and their money back Harvey Norman sent the whole matter to not only one of the largest law firms in the country, but to one of their partners! It was unbelievable. Will be interesting to see how some of the landlords respond.
Harvey Norman are glorified loan sharks, loading people up with horrendous debts to buy their overpriced goods.
No deposit, 18 months interest free for deferred payments = a life time of paying a big bill for stuff that will probably last a couple of years at most.
Harvey Norman must be meat heads. You can’t just say if the landlord doesn’t respond in 24 hours then the matter is settled, not legally enforceable to set such a short time frame.
Most landlords & commercial tenants are coming to an arrangement for a reduced rental, but not a non-payment.
If HN don’t pay the rent the landlord can say remove your stock in 24 hours or we will sell it on your behalf & the matter will be settled.
"The White House coronavirus task force still won’t call for a national stay-at-home order, despite calls from medical professionals and researchers to do so to curb the spread of the virus in places.
As Drs. Anthony Fauci and Deborah Birx explained during Tuesday night’s task force update that the total number of deaths in the U.S. could rise to 100,000 to 240,000, President Donald Trump avoided explaining why the administration hasn’t imposed a stay-at-home order yet.
Instead, Trump talked about how the death toll would have reached up to 2 million people if he had done nothing at all.
“What would’ve happened if we did nothing? Because there was a group that said, ‘Let’s just ride it out,’” the president said. “What would’ve happened? That number comes in at 1.5 to 1.6 million, up to 2.2 … 2.2 million people would have died.”
“You would have seen people dying on airplanes,” he added. “You would’ve seen people dying in hotel lobbies. You’d be seeing death all over.”
Earlier in the pandemic, Trump dismissed the severity of the virus and compared it to the flu. On March 9, Trump compared numbers of people who died of the flu in 2019 to the number of confirmed coronavirus cases and deaths at that time."
Yeah, but that just further illustrates the malfunction inside the cranial cavity of the rotting halloween pumpkin.
Old people are more likely to vote Repug than Dem. Old people are more likely to die from the virus. Therefore more of the people likely to die from the virus are likely Repug voters than Dem voters.
There's lists out there that are easy to find. Mostly I steal from them. "Rotting halloween pumpkin" came from Vicente Fox, former president of Mexico.
But now and then I come up with an original. Pretty sure “mandarin manutang” is all mine. “Terracotta Turdface” might be too.
Yes, most of the work is in fact being done by the states, rather than the federal government.
Where the federal government has the ability to step in mostly involves cross-state issues, and has some emergency powers of compulsion that individual states don't have. The federal government also controls resources such as the armed forces,CDC etc.
Consider ventilators. There's no way that New York can apply any pressure on a company in Arizona to produce more ventilators, so price gouging is the natural outcome. But the federal government has the Defense Production Act where they can order that company to make them and set the selling price at cost plus a reasonable margin.
thanks. Can individual states do deals with each other? eg NY and Arizona work out an arrangement so that companies in Arizona produce more ventilators and those in NY produce more masks? Not ideal, but curious if it's possible to just bypass the fuckwit in the WH.
Trying to do something like that would get into legal messes very quickly, even where there's theoretical possibilities to make it work. There's a lot of sensitivities around states rights and how they can have different regulatory structures and shit like that.
One of the explicit purposes of the federal government right from the beginning was to manage interstate issues. Nobody is going to react well to trying to bypass that aspect of what the federal government is supposed to do, no matter how damaging the fuckwits in the White House are to the effort to deal with the problem.
Sometimes direct state-to-state efforts happen in response to fast moving localised disasters, but not for a nationwide chain-reaction repeated slow-motion trainwreck like is going on now.
What is it with these big companies. Executives taking a 15% cut – everyone else a massive up to 70% one . Shareholder dividends cancelled so nothing goes to any pension funds etc. Time the wage subsidy comes with some high end remuneration clauses.
As far as I can make out Fletcher's wage bill is about $1.6 billion a year so around $140 mill a month. – so to allow 6 weeks that's $210 mill. Salaries over $250k in the 2019 report around $160 mill total and the top executives are about $20 mill of that. Take a hatchet to the top end wages for the year and there is the 80% to pass down. Stopping the share buyback adds about another $150 mill plus no dividend another chunk. Yes they will have other bills but those big wages need to be repurposed. Or they could all be fired and rehired when things pick up.
Of course they will want to be first in line for the infrastructure spending planned by the government.
My chief is taking a 50% cut for at least remainder of year, all management taking 30% cut, and the rest a 20% cut.
Fully supported by our shareholders, who will not be getting a dividend and won't be getting any idea of any profit or loss forecast for a good while either.
That sounds a lot fairer without seeing the absolute $ numbers. I have real difficulty with people who are living from week to week and with no cushion being asked to take cuts when there are still really substantial salaries in $ being paid at the top.
As a taxpayer I'm happy to support those at the bottom but those at the top nah – they should have the resilience to ride this out while earning a minimum wage. As to shareholders – likely to be at least some kiwisaver – so again should huge management salaries take priority over overall resilience to try to stem capital losses and closures.
Because you're magicYou're magic people to meSong: Dave Para/Molly Para.Morena all, I hope you had a good day yesterday, however you spent it. Today, a few words about our celebration and a look at the various messages from our politicians.A Rockel XmasChristmas morning was spent with the five of us ...
This video includes personal musings and conclusions of the creator climate scientist Dr. Adam Levy. It is presented to our readers as an informed perspective. Please see video description for references (if any). 2024 has been a series of bad news for climate change. From scorching global temperatures leading to devastating ...
Ríu Ríu ChíuRíu Ríu Chíu is a Spanish Christmas song from the 16th Century. The traditional carol would likely have passed unnoticed by the English-speaking world had the made-for-television American band The Monkees not performed the song as part of their special Christmas show back in 1967. The show's ...
Dunedin’s summer thus far has been warm and humid… and it looks like we’re in for a grey Christmas. But it is now officially Christmas Day in this time zone, so never mind. This year, I’ve stumbled across an Old English version of God Rest Ye Merry Gentlemen: It has a population of just under 3.5 million inhabitants, produces nearly 550,000 tons of beef per year, and boasts a glorious soccer reputation with two World ...
Morena all,In my paywalled newsletter yesterday, I signed off for Christmas and wished readers well, but I thought I’d send everyone a quick note this morning.This hasn’t been a good year for our small country. The divisions caused by the Treaty Principles Bill, the cuts to our public sector, increased ...
This morning’s six standouts for me at 6.30 am include:Kāinga Ora is quietly planning to sell over $1 billion worth of state-owned land under 300 state homes in Auckland’s wealthiest suburbs, including around Bastion Point, to give the Government more fiscal room to pay for tax cuts and reduce borrowing.A ...
Hi,It’s my birthday on Christmas Day, and I have a favour to ask.A birthday wish.I would love you to share one Webworm story you’ve liked this year.The simple fact is: apart from paying for a Webworm membership (thank you!), sharing and telling others about this place is the most important ...
The last few days have been a bit too much of a whirl for me to manage a fresh edition each day. It's been that kind of year. Hope you don't mind.I’ve been coming around to thinking that it doesn't really matter if you don't have something to say every ...
The worms will live in every hostIt's hard to pick which one they eat the mostThe horrible people, the horrible peopleIt's as anatomic as the size of your steepleCapitalism has made it this wayOld-fashioned fascism will take it awaySongwriter: Twiggy Ramirez Read more ...
Hi,It’s almost Christmas Day which means it is almost my birthday, where you will find me whimpering in the corner clutching a warm bottle of Baileys.If you’re out of ideas for presents (and truly desperate) then it is possible to gift a full Webworm subscription to a friend (or enemy) ...
This morning’s six standouts for me at 6.30am include:Rachel Helyer Donaldson’s scoop via RNZ last night of cuts to maternity jobs in the health system;Maddy Croad’s scoop via The Press-$ this morning on funding cuts for Christchurch’s biggest food rescue charity;Benedict Collins’ scoop last night via 1News on a last-minute ...
A listing of 25 news and opinion articles we found interesting and shared on social media during the past week: Sun, December 15, 2024 thru Sat, December 21, 2024. Based on feedback we received, this week's roundup is the first one published soleley by category. We are still interested in ...
Well, I've been there, sitting in that same chairWhispering that same prayer half a million timesIt's a lie, though buried in disciplesOne page of the Bible isn't worth a lifeThere's nothing wrong with youIt's true, it's trueThere's something wrong with the villageWith the villageSomething wrong with the villageSongwriters: Andrew Jackson ...
ACT would like to dictate what universities can and can’t say. We knew it was coming. It was outlined in the coalition agreement and has become part of Seymour’s strategy of “emphasising public funding” to prevent people from opposing him and his views—something he also uses to try and de-platform ...
Skeptical Science is partnering with Gigafact to produce fact briefs — bite-sized fact checks of trending claims. This fact brief was written by Sue Bin Park from the Gigafact team in collaboration with members from our team. You can submit claims you think need checking via the tipline. Are we heading ...
So the Solstice has arrived – Summer in this part of the world, Winter for the Northern Hemisphere. And with it, the publication my new Norse dark-fantasy piece, As Our Power Lessens at Eternal Haunted Summer: https://eternalhauntedsummer.com/issues/winter-solstice-2024/as-our-power-lessens/ As previously noted, this one is very ‘wyrd’, and Northern Theory of Courage. ...
The Natural Choice: As a starter for ten percent of the Party Vote, “saving the planet” is a very respectable objective. Young voters, in particular, raised on the dire (if unheeded) warnings of climate scientists, and the irrefutable evidence of devastating weather events linked to global warming, vote Green. After ...
The Government cancelled 60% of Kāinga Ora’s new builds next year, even though the land for them was already bought, the consents were consented and there are builders unemployed all over the place. Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāMōrena. Long stories short, the six things that mattered in Aotearoa’s political ...
Photo by CHUTTERSNAP on UnsplashEvery morning I get up at 3am to go around the traps of news sites in Aotearoa and globally. I pick out the top ones from my point of view and have been putting them into my Dawn Chorus email, which goes out with a podcast. ...
Over on Kikorangi Newsroom's Marc Daalder has published his annual OIA stats. So I thought I'd do mine: 82 OIA requests sent in 2024 7 posts based on those requests 20 average working days to receive a response Ministry of Justice was my most-requested entity, ...
Welcome to the December 2024 Economic Bulletin. We have two monthly features in this edition. In the first, we discuss what the Half Year Economic and Fiscal Update from Treasury and the Budget Policy Statement from the Minister of Finance tell us about the fiscal position and what to ...
The NZCTU Te Kauae Kaimahi have submitted against the controversial Treaty Principles Bill, slamming the Bill as a breach of Te Tiriti o Waitangi and an attack on tino rangatiratanga and the collective rights of Tangata Whenua. “This Bill seeks to legislate for Te Tiriti o Waitangi principles that are ...
I don't knowHow to say what's got to be saidI don't know if it's black or whiteThere's others see it redI don't get the answers rightI'll leave that to youIs this love out of fashionOr is it the time of yearAre these words distraction?To the words you want to hearSongwriters: ...
Our economy has experienced its worst recession since 1991. Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāMōrena. Long stories short, the six things that matter in Aotearoa’s political economy around housing, climate and poverty on Friday, December 20 in The Kākā’s Dawn Chorus podcast above and the daily Pick ‘n’ Mix below ...
Twas the Friday before Christmas and all through the week we’ve been collecting stories for our final roundup of the year. As we start to wind down for the year we hope you all have a safe and happy Christmas and new year. If you’re travelling please be safe on ...
The podcast above of the weekly ‘Hoon’ webinar for paying subscribers on Thursday night features co-hosts & talking about the year’s news with: on climate. Her book of the year was Tim Winton’s cli-fi novel Juice and she also mentioned Mike Joy’s memoir The Fight for Fresh Water. ...
The Government can head off to the holidays, entitled to assure itself that it has done more or less what it said it would do. The campaign last year promised to “get New Zealand back on track.” When you look at the basic promises—to trim back Government expenditure, toughen up ...
Open access notables An intensification of surface Earth’s energy imbalance since the late 20th century, Li et al., Communications Earth & Environment:Tracking the energy balance of the Earth system is a key method for studying the contribution of human activities to climate change. However, accurately estimating the surface energy balance ...
Photo by Mauricio Fanfa on UnsplashKia oraCome and join us for our weekly ‘Hoon’ webinar with paying subscribers to The Kākā for an hour at 5 pm today.Jump on this link on YouTube Livestream for our chat about the week’s news with myself , plus regular guests and , ...
“Like you said, I’m an unreconstructed socialist. Everybody deserves to get something for Christmas.”“ONE OF THOSE had better be for me!” Hannah grinned, fascinated, as Laurie made his way, gingerly, to the bar, his arms full of gift-wrapped packages.“Of course!”, beamed Laurie. Depositing his armful on the bar-top and selecting ...
Data released by Statistics New Zealand today showed a significant slowdown in the economy over the past six months, with GDP falling by 1% in September, and 1.1% in June said CTU Economist Craig Renney. “The data shows that the size of the economy in GDP terms is now smaller ...
One last thing before I quitI never wanted any moreThan I could fit into my headI still remember every single word you saidAnd all the shit that somehow came along with itStill, there's one thing that comforts meSince I was always caged and now I'm freeSongwriters: David Grohl / Georg ...
Sparse offerings outside a Te Kauwhata church. Meanwhile, the Government is cutting spending in ways that make thousands of hungry children even hungrier, while also cutting funding for the charities that help them. It’s also doing that while winding back new building of affordable housing that would allow parents to ...
It is difficult to make sense of the Luxon Coalition Government’s economic management.This end-of-year review about the state of economic management – the state of the economy was last week – is not going to cover the National Party contribution. Frankly, like every other careful observer, I cannot make up ...
This morning I awoke to the lovely news that we are firmly back on track, that is if the scale was reversed.NZ ranks low in global economic comparisonsNew Zealand's economy has been ranked 33rd out of 37 in an international comparison of which have done best in 2024.Economies were ranked ...
Remember those silent movies where the heroine is tied to the railway tracks or going over the waterfall in a barrel? Finance Minister Nicola Willis seems intent on portraying herself as that damsel in distress. According to Willis, this country’s current economic problems have all been caused by the spending ...
Similar to the cuts and the austerity drive imposed by Ruth Richardson in the 1990’s, an era which to all intents and purposes we’ve largely fiddled around the edges with fixing in the time since – over, to be fair, several administrations – whilst trying our best it seems to ...
String-Pulling in the Dark: For the democratic process to be meaningful it must also be public. WITH TRUST AND CONFIDENCE in New Zealand’s politicians and journalists steadily declining, restoring those virtues poses a daunting challenge. Just how daunting is made clear by comparing the way politicians and journalists treated New Zealanders ...
Dear Nicola Willis, thank you for letting us know in so many words that the swingeing austerity hasn't worked.By in so many words I mean the bit where you said, Here is a sea of red ink in which we are drowning after twelve months of savage cost cutting and ...
The Open Government Partnership is a multilateral organisation committed to advancing open government. Countries which join are supposed to co-create regular action plans with civil society, committing to making verifiable improvements in transparency, accountability, participation, or technology and innovation for the above. And they're held to account through an Independent ...
Today I tuned into something strange: a press conference that didn’t make my stomach churn or the hairs on the back of my neck stand on end. Which was strange, because it was about the torture of children. It was the announcement by Erica Stanford — on her own, unusually ...
This is a must watch, and puts on brilliant and practical display the implications and mechanics of fast-track law corruption and weakness.CLICK HERE: LINK TO WATCH VIDEOOur news media as it is set up is simply not equipped to deal with the brazen disinformation and corruption under this right wing ...
NZCTU Te Kauae Kaimahi Acting Secretary Erin Polaczuk is welcoming the announcement from Minister of Workplace Relations and Safety Brooke van Velden that she is opening consultation on engineered stone and is calling on her to listen to the evidence and implement a total ban of the product. “We need ...
The Government has announced a 1.5% increase in the minimum wage from 1 April 2025, well below forecast inflation of 2.5%. Unions have reacted strongly and denounced it as a real terms cut. PSA and the CTU are opposing a new round of staff cuts at WorkSafe, which they say ...
The decision to unilaterally repudiate the contract for new Cook Strait ferries is beginning to look like one of the stupidest decisions a New Zealand government ever made. While cancelling the ferries and their associated port infrastructure may have made this year's books look good, it means higher costs later, ...
Hi there! I’ve been overseas recently, looking after a situation with a family member. So apologies if there any less than focused posts! Vanuatu has just had a significant 7.3 earthquake. Two MFAT staff are unaccounted for with local fatalities.It’s always sad to hear of such things happening.I think of ...
Today is a special member's morning, scheduled to make up for the government's theft of member's days throughout the year. First up was the first reading of Greg Fleming's Crimes (Increased Penalties for Slavery Offences) Amendment Bill, which was passed unanimously. Currently the House is debating the third reading of ...
We're going backwardsIgnoring the realitiesGoing backwardsAre you counting all the casualties?We are not there yetWhere we need to beWe are still in debtTo our insanitiesSongwriter: Martin Gore Read more ...
Willis blamed Treasury for changing its productivity assumptions and Labour’s spending increases since Covid for the worsening Budget outlook. Photo: Getty ImagesMōrena. Long stories short, the six things that matter in Aotearoa’s political economy around housing, climate and poverty on Wednesday, December 18 in The Kākā’s Dawn Chorus podcast above ...
Today the Auckland Transport board meet for the last time this year. For those interested (and with time to spare), you can follow along via this MS Teams link from 10am. I’ve taken a quick look through the agenda items to see what I think the most interesting aspects are. ...
Hi,If you’re a New Zealander — you know who Mike King is. He is the face of New Zealand’s battle against mental health problems. He can be loud and brash. He raises, and is entrusted with, a lot of cash. Last year his “I Am Hope” charity reported a revenue ...
Probably about the only consolation available from yesterday’s unveiling of the Half-Yearly Economic and Fiscal Update (HYEFU) is that it could have been worse. Though Finance Minister Nicola Willis has tightened the screws on future government spending, she has resisted the calls from hard-line academics, fiscal purists and fiscal hawks ...
The right have a stupid saying that is only occasionally true:When is democracy not democracy? When it hasn’t been voted on.While not true in regards to branches of government such as the judiciary, it’s a philosophy that probably should apply to recently-elected local government councillors. Nevertheless, this concept seemed to ...
Long story short: the Government’s austerity policy has driven the economy into a deeper and longer recession that means it will have to borrow $20 billion more over the next four years than it expected just six months ago. Treasury’s latest forecasts show the National-ACT-NZ First Government’s fiscal strategy of ...
Come and join myself and CTU Chief Economist for a pop-up ‘Hoon’ webinar on the Government’s Half Yearly Economic and Fiscal Update (HYEFU) with paying subscribers to The Kākā for 30 minutes at 5 pm today.Jump on this link on YouTube Livestream to watch our chat. Don’t worry if ...
In 1998, in the wake of the Paremoremo Prison riot, the Department of Corrections established the "Behaviour Management Regime". Prisoners were locked in their cells for 22 or 23 hours a day, with no fresh air, no exercise, no social contact, no entertainment, and in some cases no clothes and ...
New data released by the Treasury shows that the economic policies of this Government have made things worse in the year since they took office, said NZCTU Economist Craig Renney. “Our fiscal indicators are all heading in the wrong direction – with higher levels of debt, a higher deficit, and ...
At the 2023 election, National basically ran on a platform of being better economic managers. So how'd that turn out for us? In just one year, they've fucked us for two full political terms: The government's books are set to remain deeply in the red for the near term ...
AUSTERITYText within this block will maintain its original spacing when publishedMy spreadsheet insists This pain leads straight to glory (File not found) Read more ...
The NZCTU Te Kauae Kaimahi are saying that the Government should do the right thing and deliver minimum wage increases that don’t see workers fall further behind, in response to today’s announcement that the minimum wage will only be increased by 1.5%, well short of forecast inflation. “With inflation forecast ...
Oh, I weptFor daysFilled my eyesWith silly tearsOh, yeaBut I don'tCare no moreI don't care ifMy eyes get soreSongwriters: Paul Rodgers / Paul Kossoff. Read more ...
This is a re-post from Yale Climate Connections by Bob HensonIn this aerial view, fingers of meltwater flow from the melting Isunnguata Sermia glacier descending from the Greenland Ice Sheet on July 11, 2024, near Kangerlussuaq, Greenland. According to the Programme for Monitoring of the Greenland Ice Sheet (PROMICE), the ...
In August, I wrote an article about David Seymour1 with a video of his testimony, to warn that there were grave dangers to his Ministry of Regulation:David Seymour's Ministry of Slush Hides Far Greater RisksWhy Seymour's exorbitant waste of taxpayers' money could be the least of concernThe money for Seymour ...
Willis is expected to have to reveal the bitter fiscal fruits of her austerity strategy in the HYEFU later today. Photo: Lynn Grieveson/TheKakaMōrena. Long stories short, the six things that matter in Aotearoa’s political economy around housing, climate and poverty on Tuesday, December 17 in The Kākā’s Dawn Chorus podcast ...
On Friday the government announced it would double the number of toll roads in New Zealand as well as make a few other changes to how toll roads are used in the country. The real issue though is not that tolling is being used but the suggestion it will make ...
National has only been in power for a year, but everywhere you look, its choices are taking New Zealand a long way backwards. In no particular order, here are the National Government's Top 50 Greatest Misses of its first year in power. ...
The Government is quietly undertaking consultation on the dangerous Regulatory Standards Bill over the Christmas period to avoid too much attention. ...
The Government’s planned changes to the freedom of speech obligations of universities is little more than a front for stoking the political fires of disinformation and fear, placing teachers and students in the crosshairs. ...
The Ministry of Regulation’s report into Early Childhood Education (ECE) in Aotearoa raises serious concerns about the possibility of lowering qualification requirements, undermining quality and risking worse outcomes for tamariki, whānau, and kaiako. ...
A Bill to modernise the role of Justices of the Peace (JP), ensuring they remain active in their communities and connected with other JPs, has been put into the ballot. ...
Labour will continue to fight unsustainable and destructive projects that are able to leap-frog environment protection under National’s Fast-track Approvals Bill. ...
The Green Party has warned that a Green Government will revoke the consents of companies who override environmental protections as part of Fast-Track legislation being passed today. ...
The Green Party says the Half Year Economic and Fiscal Update shows how the Government is failing to address the massive social and infrastructure deficits our country faces. ...
The Government’s latest move to reduce the earnings of migrant workers will not only hurt migrants but it will drive down the wages of Kiwi workers. ...
Te Pāti Māori has this morning issued a stern warning to Fast-Track applicants with interests in mining, pledging to hold them accountable through retrospective liability and to immediately revoke Fast-Track consents under a future Te Pāti Māori government. This warning comes ahead of today’s third reading of the Fast-Track Approvals ...
The Government’s announcement today of a 1.5 per cent increase to minimum wage is another blow for workers, with inflation projected to exceed the increase, meaning it’s a real terms pay reduction for many. ...
All the Government has achieved from its announcement today is to continue to push responsibility back on councils for its own lack of action to help bring down skyrocketing rates. ...
The Government has used its final post-Cabinet press conference of the year to punch down on local government without offering any credible solutions to the issues our councils are facing. ...
The Government has failed to keep its promise to ‘super charge’ the EV network, delivering just 292 chargers - less than half of the 670 chargers needed to meet its target. ...
The Green Party is calling for the Government to stop subsidising the largest user of the country’s gas supplies, Methanex, following a report highlighting the multi-national’s disproportionate influence on energy prices in Aotearoa. ...
The Green Party is appalled with the Government’s new child poverty targets that are based on a new ‘persistent poverty’ measure that could be met even with an increase in child poverty. ...
New independent analysis has revealed that the Government’s Emissions Reduction Plan (ERP) will reduce emissions by a measly 1 per cent by 2030, failing to set us up for the future and meeting upcoming targets. ...
The loss of 27 kaimahi at Whakaata Māori and the end of its daily news bulletin is a sad day for Māori media and another step backwards for Te Tiriti o Waitangi justice. ...
Yesterday the Government passed cruel legislation through first reading to establish a new beneficiary sanction regime that will ultimately mean more households cannot afford the basic essentials. ...
Today's passing of the Government's Residential Tenancies Amendment Bill–which allows landlords to end tenancies with no reason–ignores the voice of the people and leaves renters in limbo ahead of the festive season. ...
After wasting a year, Nicola Willis has delivered a worse deal for the Cook Strait ferries that will end up being more expensive and take longer to arrive. ...
Green Party co-leader Chlöe Swarbrick has today launched a Member’s Bill to sanction Israel for its unlawful presence in the Occupied Palestinian Territory, as the All Out For Gaza rally reaches Parliament. ...
After years of advocacy, the Green Party is very happy to hear the Government has listened to our collective voices and announced the closure of the greyhound racing industry, by 1 August 2026. ...
In response to a new report from ERO, the Government has acknowledged the urgent need for consistency across the curriculum for Relationship and Sexuality Education (RSE) in schools. ...
The Green Party is appalled at the Government introducing legislation that will make it easier to penalise workers fighting for better pay and conditions. ...
Thank you for the invitation to speak with you tonight on behalf of the political party I belong to - which is New Zealand First. As we have heard before this evening the Kinleith Mill is proposing to reduce operations by focusing on pulp and discontinuing “lossmaking paper production”. They say that they are currently consulting on the plan to permanently shut ...
Auckland Central MP, Chlöe Swarbrick, has written to Mayor Wayne Brown requesting he stop the unnecessary delays on St James Theatre’s restoration. ...
Kiwis planning a swim or heading out on a boat this summer should remember to stop and think about water safety, Sport & Recreation Minister Chris Bishop and ACC and Associate Transport Minister Matt Doocey say. “New Zealand’s beaches, lakes and rivers are some of the most beautiful in the ...
The Government is urging Kiwis to drive safely this summer and reminding motorists that Police will be out in force to enforce the road rules, Transport Minister Simeon Brown says.“This time of year can be stressful and result in poor decision-making on our roads. Whether you are travelling to see ...
Health Minister Dr Shane Reti says Health New Zealand will move swiftly to support dozens of internationally-trained doctors already in New Zealand on their journey to employment here, after a tripling of sought-after examination places. “The Medical Council has delivered great news for hardworking overseas doctors who want to contribute ...
Prime Minister Christopher Luxon has appointed Sarah Ottrey to the APEC Business Advisory Council (ABAC). “At my first APEC Summit in Lima, I experienced firsthand the role that ABAC plays in guaranteeing political leaders hear the voice of business,” Mr Luxon says. “New Zealand’s ABAC representatives are very well respected and ...
Prime Minister Christopher Luxon has announced four appointments to New Zealand’s intelligence oversight functions. The Honourable Robert Dobson KC has been appointed Chief Commissioner of Intelligence Warrants, and the Honourable Brendan Brown KC has been appointed as a Commissioner of Intelligence Warrants. The appointments of Hon Robert Dobson and Hon ...
Improvements in the average time it takes to process survey and title applications means housing developments can progress more quickly, Minister for Land Information Chris Penk says. “The government is resolutely focused on improving the building and construction pipeline,” Mr Penk says. “Applications to issue titles and subdivide land are ...
The Government’s measures to reduce airport wait times, and better transparency around flight disruptions is delivering encouraging early results for passengers ahead of the busy summer period, Transport Minister Simeon Brown says. “Improving the efficiency of air travel is a priority for the Government to give passengers a smoother, more reliable ...
The Government today announced the intended closure of the Apollo Hotel as Contracted Emergency Housing (CEH) in Rotorua, Associate Housing Minister Tama Potaka says. This follows a 30 per cent reduction in the number of households in CEH in Rotorua since National came into Government. “Our focus is on ending CEH in the Whakarewarewa area starting ...
The Government will reshape vocational education and training to return decision making to regions and enable greater industry input into work-based learning Tertiary Education and Skills Minister, Penny Simmonds says. “The redesigned system will better meet the needs of learners, industry, and the economy. It includes re-establishing regional polytechnics that ...
The Government is taking action to better manage synthetic refrigerants and reduce emissions caused by greenhouse gases found in heating and cooling products, Environment Minister Penny Simmonds says. “Regulations will be drafted to support a product stewardship scheme for synthetic refrigerants, Ms. Simmonds says. “Synthetic refrigerants are found in a ...
People travelling on State Highway 1 north of Hamilton will be relieved that remedial works and safety improvements on the Ngāruawāhia section of the Waikato Expressway were finished today, with all lanes now open to traffic, Transport Minister Simeon Brown says.“I would like to acknowledge the patience of road users ...
Tertiary Education and Skills Minister, Penny Simmonds, has announced a new appointment to the board of Education New Zealand (ENZ). Dr Erik Lithander has been appointed as a new member of the ENZ board for a three-year term until 30 January 2028. “I would like to welcome Dr Erik Lithander to the ...
The Government will have senior representatives at Waitangi Day events around the country, including at the Waitangi Treaty Grounds, but next year Prime Minister Christopher Luxon has chosen to take part in celebrations elsewhere. “It has always been my intention to celebrate Waitangi Day around the country with different ...
Two more criminal gangs will be subject to the raft of laws passed by the Coalition Government that give Police more powers to disrupt gang activity, and the intimidation they impose in our communities, Police Minister Mark Mitchell says. Following an Order passed by Cabinet, from 3 February 2025 the ...
Attorney-General Judith Collins today announced the appointment of Justice Christian Whata as a Judge of the Court of Appeal. Justice Whata’s appointment as a Judge of the Court of Appeal will take effect on 1 August 2025 and fill a vacancy created by the retirement of Hon Justice David Goddard on ...
The latest economic figures highlight the importance of the steps the Government has taken to restore respect for taxpayers’ money and drive economic growth, Finance Minister Nicola Willis says. Data released today by Stats NZ shows Gross Domestic Product fell 1 per cent in the September quarter. “Treasury and most ...
Tertiary Education and Skills Minister Penny Simmonds and Associate Minister of Education David Seymour today announced legislation changes to strengthen freedom of speech obligations on universities. “Freedom of speech is fundamental to the concept of academic freedom and there is concern that universities seem to be taking a more risk-averse ...
Police Minister, Mark Mitchell, and Internal Affairs Minister, Brooke van Velden, today launched a further Public Safety Network cellular service that alongside last year’s Cellular Roaming roll-out, puts globally-leading cellular communications capability into the hands of our emergency responders. The Public Safety Network’s new Cellular Priority service means Police, Wellington ...
State Highway 1 through the Mangamuka Gorge has officially reopened today, providing a critical link for Northlanders and offering much-needed relief ahead of the busy summer period, Transport Minister Simeon Brown says.“The Mangamuka Gorge is a vital route for Northland, carrying around 1,300 vehicles per day and connecting the Far ...
The Government has welcomed decisions by the NZ Transport Agency (NZTA) and Ashburton District Council confirming funding to boost resilience in the Canterbury region, with construction on a second Ashburton Bridge expected to begin in 2026, Transport Minister Simeon Brown says. “Delivering a second Ashburton Bridge to improve resilience and ...
The Government is backing the response into high pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) in Otago, Biosecurity Minister Andrew Hoggard says. “Cabinet has approved new funding of $20 million to enable MPI to meet unbudgeted ongoing expenses associated with the H7N6 response including rigorous scientific testing of samples at the enhanced PC3 ...
Legislation that will repeal all advertising restrictions for broadcasters on Sundays and public holidays has passed through first reading in Parliament today, Media Minister Paul Goldsmith says. “As a growing share of audiences get their news and entertainment from streaming services, these restrictions have become increasingly redundant. New Zealand on ...
Today the House agreed to Brendan Horsley being appointed Inspector-General of Defence, Justice Minister Paul Goldsmith says. “Mr Horsley’s experience will be invaluable in overseeing the establishment of the new office and its support networks. “He is currently Inspector-General of Intelligence and Security, having held that role since June 2020. ...
Minister of Internal Affairs Brooke van Velden says the Government has agreed to the final regulations for the levy on insurance contracts that will fund Fire and Emergency New Zealand from July 2026. “Earlier this year the Government agreed to a 2.2 percent increase to the rate of levy. Fire ...
The Government is delivering regulatory relief for New Zealand businesses through changes to the Anti-Money Laundering and Countering Financing of Terrorism Act. “The Anti-Money Laundering and Countering Financing of Terrorism Amendment Bill, which was introduced today, is the second Bill – the other being the Statutes Amendment Bill - that ...
Transport Minister Simeon Brown has welcomed further progress on the Hawke’s Bay Expressway Road of National Significance (RoNS), with the NZ Transport Agency (NZTA) Board approving funding for the detailed design of Stage 1, paving the way for main works construction to begin in late 2025.“The Government is moving at ...
The Government today released a request for information (RFI) to seeking interest in partnerships to plant trees on Crown-owned land with low farming and conservation value (excluding National Parks) Forestry Minister Todd McClay announced. “Planting trees on Crown-owned land will drive economic growth by creating more forestry jobs in our regions, providing more wood ...
Court timeliness, access to justice, and improving the quality of existing regulation are the focus of a series of law changes introduced to Parliament today by Associate Minister of Justice Nicole McKee. The three Bills in the Regulatory Systems (Justice) Amendment Bill package each improve a different part of the ...
A total of 41 appointments and reappointments have been made to the 12 community trusts around New Zealand that serve their regions, Associate Finance Minister Shane Jones says. “These trusts, and the communities they serve from the Far North to the deep south, will benefit from the rich experience, knowledge, ...
The Government has confirmed how it will provide redress to survivors who were tortured at the Lake Alice Psychiatric Hospital Child and Adolescent Unit (the Lake Alice Unit). “The Royal Commission of Inquiry into Abuse in Care found that many of the 362 children who went through the Lake Alice Unit between 1972 and ...
It has been a busy, productive year in the House as the coalition Government works hard to get New Zealand back on track, Leader of the House Chris Bishop says. “This Government promised to rebuild the economy, restore law and order and reduce the cost of living. Our record this ...
“Accelerated silicosis is an emerging occupational disease caused by unsafe work such as engineered stone benchtops. I am running a standalone consultation on engineered stone to understand what the industry is currently doing to manage the risks, and whether further regulatory intervention is needed,” says Workplace Relations and Safety Minister ...
Mehemea he pai mō te tangata, mahia – if it’s good for the people, get on with it. Enhanced reporting on the public sector’s delivery of Treaty settlement commitments will help improve outcomes for Māori and all New Zealanders, Māori Crown Relations Minister Tama Potaka says. Compiled together for the ...
Mr Roger Holmes Miller and Ms Tarita Hutchinson have been appointed to the Charities Registration Board, Community and Voluntary Sector Minister Louise Upston says. “I would like to welcome the new members joining the Charities Registration Board. “The appointment of Ms Hutchinson and Mr Miller will strengthen the Board’s capacity ...
More building consent and code compliance applications are being processed within the statutory timeframe since the Government required councils to submit quarterly data, Building and Construction Minister Chris Penk says. “In the midst of a housing shortage we need to look at every step of the build process for efficiencies ...
Mental Health Minister Matt Doocey is proud to announce the first three recipients of the Government’s $10 million Mental Health and Addiction Community Sector Innovation Fund which will enable more Kiwis faster access to mental health and addiction support. “This fund is part of the Government’s commitment to investing in ...
New Zealand is providing Vanuatu assistance following yesterday's devastating earthquake, Foreign Minister Winston Peters says. "Vanuatu is a member of our Pacific family and we are supporting it in this time of acute need," Mr Peters says. "Our thoughts are with the people of Vanuatu, and we will be ...
The Government welcomes the Commerce Commission’s plan to reduce card fees for Kiwis by an estimated $260 million a year, Commerce and Consumer Affairs Minister Andrew Bayly says.“The Government is relentlessly focused on reducing the cost of living, so Kiwis can keep more of their hard-earned income and live a ...
Regulation Minister David Seymour has welcomed the Early Childhood Education (ECE) regulatory review report, the first major report from the Ministry for Regulation. The report makes 15 recommendations to modernise and simplify regulations across ECE so services can get on with what they do best – providing safe, high-quality care ...
The Government‘s Offshore Renewable Energy Bill to create a new regulatory regime that will enable firms to construct offshore wind generation has passed its first reading in Parliament, Energy Minister Simeon Brown says.“New Zealand currently does not have a regulatory regime for offshore renewable energy as the previous government failed ...
Alex Casey chats to David Lomas about the art of finding needles in haystacks.The Spinoff needs to double the number of paying members we have to continue telling these kinds of stories. Please read our open letter and sign up to be a member today.There are around 100 ...
Summer reissue: Megan Dunn’s mer-moir, The Mermaid Chronicles, is an immersive, moving and funny search for the meaning of mermaids and the anchors of interests and family in the ebb and flow of life. The Spinoff needs to double the number of paying members we have to continue telling these ...
Summer reissue: The groundbreaking show has had mixed reviews over the past two decades. Madeleine Chapman revisits a classic. The Spinoff needs to double the number of paying members we have to continue telling these kinds of stories. Please read our open letter and sign up to be a member ...
Summer reissue: After three decades of inhaling American-dominated, disproportionately New York-based media, Sharon Lam’s first time in the city became a traipse through a collage of movie sets rather than any real place.The Spinoff needs to double the number of paying members we have to continue telling these kinds ...
Summer reissue: Why do so many of us install security cameras – and are they breaching other people’s rights? The Spinoff needs to double the number of paying members we have to continue telling these kinds of stories. Please read our open letter and sign up to be a member ...
Loading…(function(i,s,o,g,r,a,m){var ql=document.querySelectorAll('A[data-quiz],DIV[data-quiz]'); if(ql){if(ql.length){for(var k=0;k<ql.length;k++){ql[k].id='quiz-embed-'+k;ql[k].href="javascript:var i=document.getElementById('quiz-embed-"+k+"');try{qz.startQuiz(i)}catch(e){i.start=1;i.style.cursor='wait';i.style.opacity='0.5'};void(0);"}}};i['QP']=r;i[r]=i[r]||function(){(i[r].q=i[r].q||[]).push(arguments)},i[r].l=1*new Date();a=s.createElement(o),m=s.getElementsByTagName(o)[0];a.async=1;a.src=g;m.parentNode.insertBefore(a,m)})(window,document,'script','https://take.quiz-maker.com/3012/CDN/quiz-embed-v1.js','qp');Got a good quiz question?Send Newsroom your questions.The post Newsroom daily quiz, Friday 27 December appeared first on Newsroom. ...
This year has been a big one for me personally and professionally. The firm won the Litigation and Disputes Resolution Firm of the year award on November 28 and I was an Excellence Finalist in the category of firm leader for a firm with under 100 staff. I was also ...
Opinion: In 2024, 64 countries were scheduled to hold different types of national elections this year for an array of offices.Some of these, of course, were more democratic than others, but it made for a bumper year for election nerds like me.Incumbents had a bad year – more than three ...
Pacific Media Watch Five Palestinian journalists have been killed in a new Israeli strike near a hospital in central Gaza after four reporters were killed last week, reports Al Jazeera citing authorities and media in the besieged enclave. The journalists from the Al-Quds Today channel were covering events near al-Awda ...
RNZ Pacific A large 7.3 magnitude earthquake has struck off the coast of Vanuatu’s capital Port Vila , shortly after 3pm NZT today. The US Geological Survey says the quake was recorded at a depth of 10 km (6.21 miles). Locals have been sharing footage of serious damage to infrastructure ...
By Victor Barreiro Jr in Manila Cardinal Pablo Virgilio David, bishop of Kalookan, has condemned the state of Israel on Christmas Eve for its relentless attacks on Gaza that have killed tens of thousands of Palestinians. “I can’t think of any other people in the world who live in darkness ...
By Cheerieann Wilson in Suva Veteran journalist and editor Stanley Simpson has spoken about the enduring power of storytelling and its role in shaping Fiji’s identity. Reflecting on his journey at the launch of FijiNikua, a magazine launched by Prime Minister Sitiveni Rabuka on Christmas Eve, Simpson shared personal anecdotes ...
Summer reissue: From the unstable and drippy to the hi-tech and pretty, here’s our ranking of all the tunnels you can drive through in this country. The Spinoff needs to double the number of paying members we have to continue telling these kinds of stories. Please read our open letter ...
Summer reissue: David Hill remembers an old friend, who you’ve probably never heard of. The Spinoff needs to double the number of paying members we have to continue telling these kinds of stories. Please read our open letter and sign up to be a member today. Doug (I’ll call him ...
Summer reissue: I watched all 46 of Tom Cruise’s films over the past 12 months. The question on everyone’s lips: why?The Spinoff needs to double the number of paying members we have to continue telling these kinds of stories. Please read our open letter and sign up to be ...
Summer reissue: In recent years, checking online for a green tick has become a necessary habit for Aucklanders heading to the beach. Shanti Mathias tags along with the team tasked with testing the water for pollution – and figuring out how to stop it. The Spinoff needs to double the ...
Summer reissue: After two decades of promised redevelopment, Johnsonville Shopping Centre remains neglected and half empty. Joel MacManus searches for answers in the decaying suburban mall. The Spinoff needs to double the number of paying members we have to continue telling these kinds of stories. Please read our open letter ...
Comment: I’ve been digging up dirt over the past few weekends. I plan to dig up more over summer.As global geo-politics heats up, I’ve impulsively turned to tending my wee patch of the world. The world is complex and messy. But I’m determined my quarter acre won’t be. Apparently, this is ...
Winston Peters was 47 when he founded NZ First. David Seymour is 41. “It’s probably unlikely I’ll still be in Parliament when I’m 47,” he tells Newsroom.“I always said, I have no intention of being a Member of Parliament when I’m 70-something.”In saying that, Seymour has already exceeded his own ...
Asia Pacific ReportSilent Night is a well-known Christmas carol that tells of a peaceful and silent night in Bethlehem, referring to the first Christmas more than 2000 years ago. It is now 2024, and it was again a silent night in Bethlehem last night, reports Al Jazeera’s Nisa Ibrahim. ...
Summer resissue: Has the country changed all that much in three decades? Loveni Enari compares his two New Zealands. The Spinoff needs to double the number of paying members we have to continue telling these kinds of stories. Please read our open letter and sign up to be a member ...
Summer reissue: Alex Casey goes on a killer journey aboard the Tormore Express.The Spinoff needs to double the number of paying members we have to continue telling these kinds of stories. Please read our open letter and sign up to be a member today.It was a dark and ...
Summer reissue: Speed puzzling is like a marathon for the mind – intense, demanding, surprisingly exhausting. But does turning it into a sport destroy it as a relaxing pastime? The Spinoff needs to double the number of paying members we have to continue telling these kinds of stories. Please read ...
Summer reissue: In October, we counted down the top 100 New Zealand TV shows of the 21st century so far (read more about the process here). Here’s the list in full, for your holiday reading pleasure. The Spinoff needs to double the number of paying members we have to continue ...
Summer reissue: Told in one crucial moment from every year, by The Spinoff’s founder Duncan Greive. The Spinoff needs to double the number of paying members we have to continue telling these kinds of stories. Please read our open letter and sign up to be a member today.2014: An ...
Loading…(function(i,s,o,g,r,a,m){var ql=document.querySelectorAll('A[data-quiz],DIV[data-quiz]'); if(ql){if(ql.length){for(var k=0;k<ql.length;k++){ql[k].id='quiz-embed-'+k;ql[k].href="javascript:var i=document.getElementById('quiz-embed-"+k+"');try{qz.startQuiz(i)}catch(e){i.start=1;i.style.cursor='wait';i.style.opacity='0.5'};void(0);"}}};i['QP']=r;i[r]=i[r]||function(){(i[r].q=i[r].q||[]).push(arguments)},i[r].l=1*new Date();a=s.createElement(o),m=s.getElementsByTagName(o)[0];a.async=1;a.src=g;m.parentNode.insertBefore(a,m)})(window,document,'script','https://take.quiz-maker.com/3012/CDN/quiz-embed-v1.js','qp');Got a good quiz question?Send Newsroom your questions.The post Newsroom daily quiz, Wednesday 25 December appeared first on Newsroom. ...
The Court of Appeal has dismissed Mike Smith’s “ambitious” climate claim against Attorney-General Judith Collins.Smith, a Māori climate activist, and Ngāpuhi and Ngāti Kahu elder, appealed a High Court decision that found his claims against the Crown – that its action on climate change was inadequate – untenable.The Appeal Court’s ...
Trish McKelvey is listed 139 times in the index of the New Zealand women’s cricket tome The Warm Sun On My Face, authored by Trevor Auger and Adrienne Simpson.She wrote the foreword for the book and headlines two chapters addressing crucial events in the evolution of the sport.McKelvey’s appointment as New Zealand ...
Summer reissue: The New Zealand comedy legend takes us through her life in television, including the time she hugged Elton John and the unshakeable legacy of a girl named Lyn. The Spinoff needs to double the number of paying members we have to continue telling these kinds of stories. Please ...
Summer reissue: You really won’t guess how it ends. The Spinoff needs to double the number of paying members we have to continue telling these kinds of stories. Please read our open letter and sign up to be a member today. First published October 4, 2024. Parliament’s Economic Development, Science ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Mary-Rose McLaren, Professor of Teaching and Learning and Head of Program, Early Childhood Education, Victoria University Collin Quinn Lomax/ Shutterstock Some years ago, my daughter was set a maths problem: how much does it cost to drive a family of ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Catherine E. Wood, Associate Professor and Clinical Psychologist, Swinburne University of Technology Asier Romero/ Shutterstock Christmas is coming, and with it many challenges for parents of young children. You likely have one festive event after another, late nights, party ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Laura Nicole Driessen, Postdoctoral Researcher in Radio Astronomy, University of Sydney Tayla Walsh/Pexels With billions of children around the world anxiously waiting for their presents, Father Christmas (or Santa) and his reindeer must be travelling at breakneck speeds to deliver them ...
Reading an article in the Sydney Morning Herald on NZ releasing the modelling on covid-19 cases and Morrison refusing to do so – a question and a comment made me smile:
Marcus Schnell
9 HOURS AGO
Why can NZ share these models and we can't ??
StBob
9 HOURS AGO
Because they treat their citizens like adults. And a woman is in charge and she knows what it is like to be locked out of the decision making process by old white men and have your concerns dismissed with a pat on the head.
please link, always.
That Sydney Morning Herald article is interesting – here is the link
https://www.smh.com.au/national/nz-s-coronavirus-modelling-offers-clues-to-australia-s-confidential-plans-20200331-p54fmv.html
Totally unrelated – there is also an article on JA and toilet training Neve … LOL
Won't link but main menu, World, Oceania might pop it up along with another JA article re her being " devastated" by childbirth stories during the lockdown.
Sorry weka. Didn't think the post was of enough merit to warrant a link. Will do better in future.
Love it.
Good read on the nuts and bolts of trying to model disease spreading.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/why-its-so-freaking-hard-to-make-a-good-covid-19-model/
Very good read, thanks.
There was a flurry of all sorts of allegations from all stripes of factional extremists when allegations of historic sexual assault were made against Biden. But the story never got traction outside the fringes of the intertoobz. Amanda Marcotte takes a look at why. Her final paragraph is a good summary, but the whole thing is worth the read.
I'm not following that, but for many women, how Biden relates with women physically is a red flag. Not of specific sexual assault history (again, haven't been following), but that he is has boundary issues. It makes lots of women uncomfortable.
Indeed. When it comes to behaviour towards women, it's really aggravating that the November choice has come down to a multiply-alleged self-confessed genital-grabber with numerous other seriously creepy and abusive behaviours documented on camera, versus a singly-alleged genital-grabber with numerous other moderately creepy behaviours documented on camera.
It's not like that's an unfortunate-but-necessary side effect of the personality characteristics needed for the job, there have been a few (disappointingly few) previous presidents that were respectful and treated women as equals.
Maybe someday we'll make the issue moot, for a while at least, by electing one of the many capable and qualified women to the job. Sadly, it’s not going to be this year.
How important were such issues for Trump?
Biden's potential turnout includes a lot of voters that might be turned off by that kind of thing.
The grab'em'fuhrer's voters include a lot that are specifically turned on by that kind of thing, and most of the rest just don't care.
Since New Zealand appears to have scored a rather large supply of ventilators against pretty stiff global competition, it would be great to hear Joe Biden say that perhaps a national medical procurement system – or even one in which states are required to do it – would be a very good idea in future.
He doesn't have to go all Medicare For All to get some health policy shifts in a future government. Hat Tip: Bernie Sanders.
As the "not Trump" it seems that Joe doesn't need to say anything meaningful. Ever. He needs to not get C-19 and stay alive until November. He's not so much a real candidate as a repository of nostalgia – a bit like the Queen. He is so well cocooned and protected now that even the latest MeToo allegations bounce off him. Invincible Joe.
At some point he has to come out and face Trump. And there's the dilemma – if Trump stuffs up the C-19 response then he loses the election whatever. But if the health professionals Trump clearly despises actually prevent a total stuff-up, then Trump can beat Biden. Which does one choose – lots of deaths or a return of Trump? This is a genuine ‘lesser of two evils’ choice.
Grateful to be in this wonderful country at this time. We are so incredibly lucky.
Same.
Regarding govt spending and the argument for a country balancing its budget eventually which comes up in the context of other discussions regularly. Yesterday in OpenMike there was a size-able thread discussing the eventual need for a further 2 year public sector pay freeze.
This is a public discussion which is occurring in Australia at present.
http://bilbo.economicoutlook.net/blog/?p=44603
It is a very good interview……but sadly dosnt address my fears around NZD value (we are not Japan who make highly sought after goods) …and MMT in practice relies on (IMO) a very high level of electoral responsibility and understanding which I suspect is unrealistic…..far too many people live for today and crave (perceived) 'free stuff'
As Bill Mitchell highlights MMT is a description of the workings of the monetary system (not a monetary or fiscal regime), so what ever you think will happen (due to New Zealands limitations in goods production) should have happened to New Zealand decades ago.
As for putting your distrust of politicians and the perpetuation of economics mythology in the way of sensible economic, political and social policy, well I guess some people do have such values.
MMT may be a description but if you wish to apply its principles then it moves into the realm of policy and the practicalities that involves, otherwise it remains theory.
How the NZD is valued currently is through the current paradigms 'lens', if we change that 'lens ' then we potentially change its value.
As to perpetuation of mythology if the greater public had the capability to understand and responsibly operate such a policy it would have been adopted by popular vote years ago…and theres ample evidence that 'education' dosnt necessarily modify behaviour.
The less said about politicians the better
Much as I would love to discuss your understanding of scientific ontology with you in detail I have just spotted some flying pigs out the window and they clearly need an education in Newtons theory of gravity which will bring them down to earth.
and ne'er the twain shall meet
Who do they think will spend the money to keep the private sector going?
The private sector workers they just, sacked?
….
I'm still confused as to how we could ever have claimed to have a budget surplus. And this is but one teeny tiny lapse in spending.
That's austerity for you.
Also now nurses are over-stretched and stressed.
It was not so obvious to many when our health service had shifted to prioritising the most acute cases, and when the ratio of nurses to patients was wound back. The health services could probably get by on the low number of ventilators in recent times, but it is exposed by the lack of the amount needed in a pandemic crisis.
Plus, complicit media.
please provide a link for that.
I heard that on Morning Report this morning. Also said NZ's proportion of ventilators to population was about on the level with China.
thanks. My comment was for Siobhan (and others) who have stopped linking when quoting.
Price is easy to calculate but the values always subjective. Wonder how much it'd cost to bring our system up to a level we could cope with a serious outbreak ?
I think many countries will look at their health systems more as assets than cost centres now which's long overdue.
Do you want to take a stab as to what the optimal number is or should be? Then, put a price tag on this and we can discuss that too.
Similar arguments have been made in the context of PHARMAC and funding of potentially life-saving but hugely expensive treatments, e.g. for cancer patients.
Exactly Incognito. We probably have 50-100% spare capacity in normal times of physical ventilators. How many should we have? There have been God knows how many cycles of ventilator technology since we even had the first ventilator , so how many ventilators do we scrap every upgrade, ( the early ones were shit, BTW ). This is the first time we have had a pandemic should we have been spending millions every technological update, instead of spending the money on immediate health needs?
The number of ventilators is also not the issue, each ventilator in normal times needs up to 5 trained nurses to operate it to cover shifts, toilet and meal breaks and days off as it is not an automatic fit and forget machine.
200 more ventilators is good news ,the bad is , where are the trained nurses coming from? It is a highly trained and technical process to use properly and safely. More like driving a Formula 1 car than a shopping cart.
I'd read a while back that NZ had the lowest ratio in the OECD.
Ventilators aside, are the universities and their labs being roped into expanding NZs testing regime? Why is it that testing is so low? And can it be ramped up? Or are we stuck with only testing those considered to be "high risk" because of known contacts or whatever?
Because if the answer to that last question is "yes", then "Shelter in Place" might as well be abandoned sooner rather than later, and the fall back strategy of "social distancing" adopted.
For anyone wondering about what the difference between the two is –
\
"Shelter in Place" is an elimination strategy. "Social Distancing" a curve flattening strategy only designed to stop hospital capacity being over run.
Don't know about universities but a friend who chucked in his lab tech job years ago has been roped in by our DHB.
🙂 Good!
I don't know how, but the government has continually increased NZ's testing capacity. It's now up to 3700 a day, and will increase by another 500 a day in the coming week.
It took a while to get up to 1000, and 1,500 a day.
I think social distancing is the most important measure. There will never be 100% compliance with shelter in place unless there were strong authoritarian policing with military support.
I also wonder if total elimination is wise. Social/physical distancing aims to slow down the virus so the hospital system isn't overwhelmed. I wonder if it is valuable to have a gradual increase in community immunity due to gradual increase in numbers of people who have been infected with mild or no obvious symptoms.
Elimination means the country remains strongly at risk from infection from outside the country until a vaccine is found. That means on-going, rigorous border closure and checks eg of people bringing freight into NZ.
If we give up on containment/elimination we are basically saying we are willing to let more people die. But yes, it is dependent upon a vaccine, and I don't think that is certain yet. It seems reasonable to start with full shut down, contain the spread, and then look at how we want to manage from that point.
Social distancing and shelter in place are both necessary strategies either way.
Shelter in place helps to enforce physical distancing. I think it's a very good idea for the elderly and those with underlying health conditions to totally stay home and practice physical distancing.
It is impossible to get 100% compliance without a total police state.
However, if I get one more person bulldozing their way into my physical space, expecting this old woman to help them with their problem, when going to the post office, or GP I will report them to the police (so far scruffy middle aged thick set males with old cars – or was it the same guy both times?)
There seem to be a minority of people who don't think they need to follow the rules.
People will die either way. The aim is to try to stop that, and social/physical distancing, good hygiene practices, etc would do it if everyone complied… but humans…?
I do think building up community immunity in those with mild infections would be helpful, rather than trying to keep the whole population free of infection, which is impossible.
Shelter in place literally stops the spread in ways that social distancing can't.
We don't need 100% compliance, we need to reduce the spread as much as we can by getting optimal numbers of people on board.
Do you really need to clear your mail this week or even next?
"People will die either way."
Not sure what you mean there. If we don't contain the spread, more people will die.
"I do think building up community immunity in those with mild infections would be helpful, rather than trying to keep the whole population free of infection, which is impossible."
If we shift from containment to herd immunity this month it will mean two things:
1. more people will die
2. the lives of disabled and at risk people will become segregated from the rest of the population, with all the consequences attached to that.
I don't think we need to be considering that yet. We're still not sure yet what is happening with community transmission, because we're still so close in time to infected people returning from overseas. I don't have a sense yet of the timeframe but the 4 weeks shut down seems entirely doable and reasonable.
If we manage to get containment, then I think there will be a big national conversation about what we do next. That conversation will be dependent on the public becoming educated about what the various issues are. Some of that information won't be available yet.
I'm not saying we should adopt a policy of working to herd immunity before we get a vaccine. I am asking questions about the potential un-intended consequences of aiming for elimination. I don't know the answers yet. Still thinking about it.
Total containment is not possible. And total elimination is not possible. That horse has already bolted. There is now no data on how widespread community transmission has been – there are now currently attempts to get data on this.
And, I agree with Skegg, the testing policy has allowed community transmission to spread – ie, by until this week only testing those with clear overseas contacts.
The more the transmission is contained and fewer people getting mild doses, the more vulnerable people will be to being infected – and potentially more people dying.
This guy on Checkpoint last night was saying that elimination is not possible, because there will always be some people who don't comply.
His team has been doing anti-body research. As well as knowing how much community transmission we have had, it would also be good to check how many people already have Covid-19 anti-bodies.
My concern is that putting all the hopes on shelter-in-place and elimination, will give people a false sense of security. And it possibly leaves the population, especially the most vulnerable, open to infection – hence more deaths.
I don't think we are putting all our hopes on containment. We're focused on that right now because we only get one chance to try that.
"The more the transmission is contained and fewer people getting mild doses, the more vulnerable people will be to being infected – and potentially more people dying."
Do you have some references for that idea, esp including what would happen with partial containment/spread?
No. We need more data. We haven't seen it play out for long enough in different countries with different policies. No country is going hard out for herd immunity because of the concern that more people will die.
My concern is what happens after the virus seems to have been contained?
ah, ok, I thought you were arguing for allowing some infection in the community now or soon.
Yes, I think what happens after will be a big thing and we don't know yet what the state of play will be.
do you know if any other country is doing what NZ is doing?
No country is going hard out for herd immunity because of the concern that more people will die.
I think Sweden is pursuing a course of minimal action on the basis of "herd immunity" or some such. There was a Guardian article yesterday…
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/mar/30/catastrophe-sweden-coronavirus-stoicism-lockdown-europe
My concern is what happens after the virus seems to have been contained?
Continue with more or less locked down borders until a vaccine is produced. (That’s assuming it actually has been eradicated/contained in a NZ context)
Dude opines on why this approach is suitable for Sweden.
https://twitter.com/olofzonmarcus/status/1244748066185457664
http://archive.li/gS20i (the wsj article)
No.We need more information and data.
Do you have any data that shows shelter-in-place would stop transmission?
Shelter in place is one aspect of a broad strategy. I'm not sure why people are thinking it's *the thing.
This from Newsroom a few weeks ago talks about the shift from flattening the curve (i.e. with community transmission) to trying to what I think of as containment (which is not the same as elimination from what I can tell, but maybe we are still trying for that too).
https://www.newsroom.co.nz/2020/03/19/1090839/nzs-new-covid-19-strategy-explained
tbh I haven't kept up with all the information, there's probably been more written since then. But it does mark both the time when the UK govt got called on its herd immunity policy, and where NZ govt took stock and made changes.
btw afaik NZ isn't using the term 'shelter in place' officially, but is using 'self-isolation' instead. I'm going to stop using shelter in place because it probably has specific meanings in other countries that aren't applicable here.
"Why is it that testing is so low?"
because we only have so many labs and trained people to do the testing. And there are a finite number of tests, so the health system has to make decisions about when to use them. (test materials are sourced overseas).
"And can it be ramped up?"
yes, and it has been. We are testing more people now than a few weeks ago.
Explanation here
https://thespinoff.co.nz/science/18-03-2020/siouxsie-wiles-how-testing-for-covid-19-works/
The 1pm report on Covid-19 says the number of labs doing testing is being increased this week.
Thanks for that.
So there's a shortage of equipment, and the test she alludes to is presumably the one developed in Germany that had a sensitivity issue, meaning that 'positive' test results were reliable, but 'negative' ones not so reliable.
I really don't think the training is such a big issue (but could be wrong).
I know that some people have elevated Siouxie to some kind of infallible goddess status, but she's dead wrong to argue that…
At this stage it doesn’t make sense to do the kind of testing South Korea is doing. It will waste a valuable resource. South Korea ramped up their testing when they had multiple cases of people in the community transmitting the virus and it was important to find all those people. We could do the same if we needed to.
Shelter in Place absolutely requires contact tracing and we are past the point where we need to be doing that. Thankfully (though seemingly flying in the face of much else she wrote in that piece), Siouxie states we can do that. So why aren't we?
training is an issue because it's a skilled job and if it's not done right then there is more change of a false result. Also, sticking a swab into the back of someone's nasal cavity, or doing a lung lavage really isn't something you want an untrained person doing.
What makes you think we aren't doing contact tracing? As far as I can tell this is a major part of the response at the moment.
The date of her post matters in this context.
Afaik we don't have enough tests to do all the testing that would help if we want to also have tests for a spike that leads to hospital overload. I wouldn't want to be the person making those policy decisions right now.
I didn't say training wasn't an issue, I said I had doubts it was such a big issue – ie, I'm sure the appropriate people could be trained up in a timely fashion.
What makes you think we aren't doing contact tracing?
We aren't. That's why I think we aren't. As Prof Skegg pointed out before whatever that response committee is called, there has been no contact tracing (as of two days ago?) done with regards the West Coast fatality.
There was some contact tracing going on with regards people coming back or in from overseas who turned out to be infected. But that was it.
If we don't have enough testing gear and what not, then what was the basis for Siouxie saying on the 18th of March that we could do effective contact tracing even as she argued a shortage of resources and skills?
You suggest we "keep our powder dry" for a possible spike in hospital admissions when the whole point of a Shelter in Place strategy is to contact trace from every patient and thus ensure there is no widespread infection rate and spike in hospital admissions.
Can't have it both ways. Either we contact trace to eliminate as per Shelter in Place, or we fall back on a Social Distancing strategy that accepts the virus will run its natural course in terms of its total infection rate.
I know for a fact that Southern DHB is indeed contact-tracing, so maybe the basis upon which you are suggesting abandoning our entire current management strategy itself rests upon a resource or management issue in one of our smaller DHBs.
or even a miscommunication.
Yes, NZ is training up people in a timely fashion. And getting more labs and test kits in a timely fashion. In the meantime, we don't have enough trained staff and kits to test more broadly.
have you talked to people in a cluster? No idea about what is happening with the West Coast case, but in Otago and Southland cases, they've been tracking. The whole Logan Park school thing relied on tracking.
https://www.health.govt.nz/our-work/diseases-and-conditions/covid-19-novel-coronavirus/covid-19-novel-coronavirus-health-advice-general-public/contact-tracing-covid-19
You're not aware that Logan Park kids who were meant to be self isolating were reportedly spotted roaming George St?
I don't know how many were tested, or if they were assumed to be clear after 14 days of isolation without 'falling over'. I would have hoped they were all tested…
Actually, I can maybe find an answer to that later today and will post if I can find out whether the person I know of who self isolated off the back of Logan Park contact was tested or not.
We were talking about contact tracking (not testing) because you were saying they weren't tracking.
Yes, some people break self-isolation. Short of locking people up how do you propose to change that? I've heard 3 social gatherings in my neighbourhood since we went to Level 4.
I'm going to break this down because I'm not sure if we are talking about the same things. This is how I understand it.
Level 4 requires *both shelter in place and social distancing.
Contact tracing doesn't inherently need a positive test to happen. Nor does treatment. Nor self-isolation. The absence of a test doesn't mean inaction. We know there will be false negatives, and we know that there will be asymptomatic people (hence the need to stay home and/or socially distance).
Stuff ran an article yesterday from a journo who had nearly been refused a test and then tested positive. He was arguing there was a flaw in the system. But on the basis of his reported symptoms he should have been self-isolating regardless of whether he got a test or not.
Talking to people in community based health systems, they're talking about who is in contact with who, so it's happening at that level too, where people are taking it seriously.
I didn't suggest that we keep our powder dry, I pointed out that the MoH and people trained in pandemic response will be having to make decisions about testing protocols based on a number of complex, intersecting issues, including limits on testing availability and the need to have tests for hospitals on an ongoing basis. That's not black and white.
I disagree about your assessment of the current strategy. It's never going to be perfect. They're aiming for the optimal coverage under the circumstances and relying not only on testing, but on self-isolating. We are using both social distancing and shelter in place, it's not either/or. And given we don't have enough tests to just test everyone, or anyone that *might be contagious, they are using a strategy based on best practice as they gear up for increasing testing.
I'm seeing adaptation all the time in the govt and health system response. This is what I would expect as the situation evolves.
Shelter in Place implies Social Distancing. Social Distancing does not entail sheltering in place though. So we're not talking either /or, but about levels of intensity.
And again. If (as you say) we don't have enough tests to just test everyone, or anyone that *might be contagious – then Shelter in Place will not achieve the goal of elimination and (as said previously) we'd be as well to abandon Shelter in Place sooner rather than later in favour of the much less intense strategy of Social Distancing because, without widespread testing, Shelter in Place will not achieve anything that can't be achieved through Social Distancing.
Oh FFS.
From 5.00 minutes in this clip, Skegg is talking about rapid contact tracing and the lack of reporting about contact tracing in general. Skegg did NOT say anything like "there has been no contact tracing [..] done with regards the West Coast fatality", he said it hadn't been reported on so he didn't know if it had been done or not.
You think it's unreasonable to equate "not reported" with "hasn't happened". Got it…
That Skeggs had to ask what info there might be around the tracing and testing of all that women's contacts, and finding it necessary to ask whether it has even happened, say's a lot. An immediate answer in the affirmative from that committee was conspicuous by its absence. But that's just to my way of thinking McFlock.
Yeah, I think it's unreasonable to equate "not reported" with "hasn't happened".
I also think that "rapid contact tracing with an app" not happening does not imply that conventional contact tracing is not occurring.
Oh look, here's southern dhb mentioning contact tracing occurring. I guess it does happen in NZ after all. What a relief. Let us all be grateful that at least someone in NZ is performing one of the oldest and most basic functions known to epidemiology, contrary to Bill's best reckons. Probably an exception /sarc
And another thought that comes to mind is that people should maybe report what experts actually say and base their reckons off that, rather than random collections of words that they, for whatever reason, think act as broadly approximate substitutes for what was said. Especially if their own expertise in the area consists of a few weeks of google.
QFT
As you pointed out, the question is about rapid response trace and contact.
Now, if it's all so cut and dried and A-OK, then why the fuck is it the case that Skegg had to point out that it seemed no-one knew what the fuck was going on, ask the question, and not receive an immediate reassuring response?
You'll also have noticed that Skegg wasn't contradicted when he pointed out that no-one seemed to know what the fuck was going on.
But sure. Carry on Captain Mainwaring…
edit. And just to be clear for the sake of twats like you and Incognito – I have no expertise in the area. But I can fucking well read in a critical fashion and extrapolate intelligently while not parking my ability to think in favour of the latest and often groundless “comforting narrative”
Hi Bill,
I wasn’t referring to you, actually, but rather to some other obnoxious commenters here, who are showing off their ignorance.
I can understand that you drew the wrong conclusion, as it occurred in this thread, and I apologise for causing this misunderstanding. Next time, however, could we leave the insults at the door, please?
That would be more of your handy word substitution, there. Feel free to refresh your memory from the link I supplied upthread, and you can choose substitutions that accurately relate to what was actually said.
The one with the least idea of "what the fuck was going on" seems to be you.
Rest assured that contact tracing is happening, testing is happening, and people who know what they're talking about are doing their jobs.
This country seems to have a massive surplus of newly-minted epidemiologists who are convinced the people who do this for a living are incompetent based on shit they read somewhere. I'd just like to take this opportunity to point out that some of us do actually credit those of you in the country's health system with having a clue how to do your jobs and are grateful to you for bearing the brunt of this shit while being second-guessed at every step.
Interesting SDHB link, they seem good with their comms.
Do you know if there's an official list of people diagnosed by location. The MoH page has changed to listing by DHB, which is kind of useless for Southern.
I don't know of a public list to that level, no.
If you're particularly interested in a specific question about the Southern region, then hit up the
Southern DHBI mean "Southern Health" Public Health South office. But they're a bit busy at moment.[Removed 14 non-breaking spaces creating half an A4 in white space 😉 ]
This one breaks down Otago/Southland into city/district councils, which is a bit better.
https://www.southernhealth.nz/sdhdCOVID19/cases-updates
"That Skeggs had to ask what info there might be around the tracing and testing of all that women's contacts, and finding it necessary to ask whether it has even happened, say's a lot."
What it says to me is that Skegg isn't in the loop of the local authorities on the West Coast, and that the same authorities haven't done a media release on the issue. I can't think of a number of explanations for both of those that aren't that tracking didn't occur.
"An immediate answer in the affirmative from that committee was conspicuous by its absence."
I doubt that they had that information to hand either.
And the West Coast local authorities are then presumably (necessarily!) in the same loop as the North Island local authorities where attendees of the funeral attended by the dead woman reside. Which would, by necessity, be a tightly organised and highly communicative loop given what they are dealing with.
Now. Given that NZ isn't exactly renowned for promoted autonomy, I think it's reasonable to assume that any such nation wide web of coordination would be managed from above and that ministers would be well aware of their efforts, and yet when asked, the committee comprised of MPs had nothing to say about the existence of such coordination let alone the actions of any supposedly coordinated response.
btw – I'm still waiting for an answer back as to whether the person who was isolated because "Logan Park" was tested or just simply isolated, and will post when I know.
There's this
https://twitter.com/comingupcharlie/status/1245142560558821376
Lab tests aren't essential for a reasonable assessment of effectiveness of responses. That's why the ministry also reports "probable" cases.
There seems to be a lot of anxiety in the public about not getting tested, but given most people will have a mild version of covid, testing isn't needed for most individuals, it's for managing spread. What needs to happen is that if someone has symptoms they stay away from others, and if they've been around someone with symptoms they stay away from others. Let the medical people make the decisions about who gets tested.
Reports early on of people with symptoms waiting days or longer until they starting thinking it might be covid is probably part of why we are in the situation we are in now.
People are meant to stay home and self-isolate as if they have the virus and thus are infectious.
Whether you have been tested or not should not matter all that much if you stick to the basic rules under Alert Level 4. If you feel unwell, stay at home; this was the message at the lower alert levels too.
Testing is good for intelligence that informs collective strategies and decisions by the authorities.
I'm wondering if this messaging has gotten lost in the lock down and associated wider issues. I see MSM stuff about people demanding tests, but not much about the need to stay away from people if you have any symptoms. I'm not reading most of the articles though, just watching what is crossing my space on twitter.
Yes
Spouting racist claptrap has consequences.
https://twitter.com/JamilSmith/status/1244630999993966598
The irony is he probably got close enough to become infected if they had the virus.!!!
You think maybe his grandpappy shot at Mexicans during the "Spanish Flu" – that being the pandemic that originated in Texas?
Kansas, I thought. Not Texas?
His favourite sort of quack.
https://twitter.com/ManvBrain/status/1242794708763586563
Would Bornstein or Trump take the corona virus cure?
Is this an April fool?
Nope. Fool, maybe, but not April Fool.
https://slate.com/news-and-politics/2020/03/didier-raoult-hydroxychloroquine-plaquenil.html
I'd put this one in the creeping unnecessary data collection overreach bucket and data privacy infringement. Employee privacy – crap.
Why are MSD and IRD demanding that employers break the law by collecting employee birthdates when the IRD at least already has them, before they will pay the wage subsidy.
To get a subsidy they want first name, last name ,IRD number and date of birth. If you have the IRD number then IRD has the birthdate. These people have also been satisfactorily paid and tax collected prior to he subsidy so why the overreach?
As I understand it employers can only request a birthdate from an employee if they have a "valid reason for requesting it" e,g, are they old enough to sell liquor. And there are a good number of reasons why employees should not provide them unless necessary starting with
-is this vital piece of data going to be stored securely to limit theft? These data caches in well known payroll programmes can be hacker targets
and ending with – will this enable age discrimination by the employer?
Prior to this the IRD has had legislation passed that is frankly all over the place. In one breath they tell the employer to provide it and in another section they insinuate that employer doesn't have to if the employee has not supplied it to the employer.
So why are they demanding that employers breach employment law and invade employee privacy? Maybe the IRD needs to remember they are there to collect tax not demand citizens behave in particular ways towards others. Over reach has been a real feature of their recent culture .
If employers don't have birth dates, and a birth date is required, then employers who might otherwise be tempted to work a scam … Maybe?
Government should have had IRD send out recurring emergency universal payments and been done with it ffs.
This is what I have for New Zealand, and the world.
Not sure why there's been an increase in quoting without linking recently, but please always provide a link when you quote. If you don't know how, please ask. Most quotes need to be understood in context. It also means less work for moderators if a link is provided. Thanks.
Does it need to be more prominent <a href=”https://thestandard.org.nz/faq/”>here?</a>
It's regulars who know full well what the expectation is. But yes, the FAQ or Policy needs tweaking. I've been meaning to do a post on it for ages.
I normally just include the whole url – it is clear I am incompetent with fancy code . . .
It can be helpful if urls are also included in initial posts – I had to google Kiwiblog to find the stupid April Fool post – but perhaps that is deliberate . . .
I suspect it's the bold tags causing the issue there. The link still works though 🙂
"closing borders is one of the ways that individual governments can control the situation".
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/world/news/article.cfm?c_id=2&objectid=12321419
An expert epidemiologist is calling on the Government to quarantine all people arriving in New Zealand from overseas and for a much wider testing and contact-tracing regime to prevent needless deaths from Covid-19.
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=12321119
I agree with this that everyone entering the country is quarantined. The numbers entering the country is not that many to manage when you consider how many tourists entered pre the lock down.
The situation is now a crisis in parts of the US. I actually have some empathy for Trump due to the seriousness and destruction of Covid-19.
The aircraft carrier Theodore Roosevelt has a 100 cases on board and 5000 naval personnel.
What to do with the naval personnel on the aircraft carrier is unprecedented and a challenge for humanity.
Meanwhile in 'Murica, RWNJ's are turning up at hospitals asking why the bodies aren’t being publicly displayed in the car parks.
https://twitter.com/DeAnna4Congress/status/1245076564053647361
https://www.ccn.com/coronavirus-doctors-nurses-react-to-twitters-ugly-covid-19-truther-trend/
Contrasting 'Murica, where a teen succumbed to covid-19 after being denied hospital treatment because he didn’t have insurance.
https://twitter.com/CNN/status/1244849481037856769
Thinking ahead to September.
Labour 47, Greens 7, NZ1 6
James Shaw Deputy PM. Bring Winston and Tracey into the tent, cut Shane loose.
how would it work to bring Peters and Martin in and exclude Jones? Not that I don't like the idea, but can't see how that would work. It's up to NZF what role Jones has.
To complete the picture: Nats 36 Act 2 Wasted vote 2
Hope you are right Stephen D. My guess is NZF 4 Nats 38 but otherwise the same and with an even better government: Labour/Green only.
please check the name field the next time you comment, you’ve got a typo and your comments are getting caught in the new commenter filter.
So I have….sorry will try to pay attention
Oops did it again….modified now.
Cheers matey.
Na itll be tight . Richardson was already practicing their attack lines this am . About labour being anti foreign investment, anti innovation.
By September we will either be tearing ourselves apart or celebrating victory through unity.
I have no idea which, and sticking a poll number on it is more pointless than ever now.
I don't care to guess yet about the Labour seat count.
However I think it is now a certainty that NZF and the Green Party will be extinct. Who? is probably the first thing that comes to mind when their names are brought up. The Labour Party have completely removed their air supply.
The National/Labour split will depend on whether the current lock-down works and whether it can be lifted in a reasonable time. If it comes off reasonably quickly, and the election is called early, I think there will be a Labour landslide. If the lockdown drags on and on that can only cause a swing back to National.
National returning to power will mean Richardson style austerity measures.
The financial sector has been braying for 30 years for National Super to be replaced with private savings and a means tested WINZ benefit. COVID will give the National party the excuse to finally slay that sacred cow.
Ruth Richardson left Parliament in July 994. That is almost 26 years ago.
Time to get over it surely? How do you come by your claim that "The financial sector has been braying for 30 years for National Super to be replaced with private savings". There might be some people saying that but it certainly it wasn't a large group. The people who most wanted to replace National Super were Michael Cullen and his acolytes. What do you think he came up with Kiwisave for? Those who wanted to means test it are pretty well represented on this blob by the occasional person who complains that Bob Jones shouldn't get it and so on. Lucky they are much rarer now as people start to understand how efficient is the system we have in New Zealand
I know Ruth richardson is getting on a bit but saying she left parliament in 994, 1026 years ago (before the Crusades) is a little unkind.
Personally I haven't got over Thatcher, and she lost the leadership in 990.
Whoops. I remember it so well. Are you sure it wasn't 994? It certainly feels that long ago.
Ruth Richardson left Parliament almost 26 years ago so it's time to get over it?
Muldoon left Parliament 35 years ago and here, right on this page is evidence NZ will never get over it. We're still talking about the Super scheme that he used to the reds under the bed to fuck up. Yep, the National Party sure has the good oil on Super and how it can best be designed.
If it wasnt for the Muldoon scheme, there would be a lot more elderly in poverty at the moment.
Douglas, Rowling and Tizard's scheme left out huge swathes of the population, ie women, Maori, disabled, etc, whe wouldnt have paid into the scheme and have, thanks to the upheavals of the past 40 years, spent most of their lives in low paid insecure work and on benefits get a big fat zero.
The scheme would have been sold off and closed down during the 1980's anyway.
Unlike some people on here, Muldoon grew up seeing retirees in poverty, during the Great Depression, etc. He may have despised socialism, but leaving it up to the market left him cold as well.
"National returning to power will mean Richardson style austerity measures. "
Millsy the 1990's has called looking for you. National havn't done austerity for 30 years. Look at their repsonse to the GFC. They pumped the economy via tax cuts, maintained social spending, and borrowed truckloads to keep the economy running. That's not austerity by any definition.
It felt like austerity to hospitals and schools, but that's just standard National policy…
National made a lot of cuts to social services, but they were very subtle.
They also tightened access to benefits, and state housing, which is why we got a lot of homeless from about 2016-17.
They also stripped out a lot of technical expertise from the public sector, especially DoC and the NZDF, which are among the last of the public sector orgs with that sort of knowledge.
Health was cut, so was education and student support. The prescription co-pay hike from $3-$5 was pretty bad as well. Fortunately the likes of Countdown and Chemist Warehouse have stepped in and scrapped the co-pay at their pharmacies.
And lets not forget the cuts to the Training Incentive Allowance and Adult Community Education.
Well they must have been VERY subtle.
1. From 2009 through 2017, the government increased spending on welfare health and education by a total of 40%. Based on https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/monetary-policy/inflation-calculator, the inflation rate between Q1 2009 and Q4 2017 was 14.7%.
2. In 2008, on those same items we spent 20.8% of GDP. By 2017 that was 20.1%. (All from https://figure.nz/table/iJ7BjvfrNPqUPOW2)
As I said, the 1990's is calling, Millsy.
Cherry-picking. Try the OECD figures on spending per secondary school student (the number increased, you realise?) as percentage of GDP. You will find no such dazzling, bounteous generosity.
The discussion is whether or not the national government have practised austerity in recent times (ie since the 1990's). When a government outspends the inflation rate by a factor of 2.7, and when spedning on core social services is virtually unchanged as a % of GDP, no sensible person could argue those were times of austerity.
As for education spending rose by 39% from end 2008 to end 2017. That's the same period in which inflation was 14.7%.
“(the number increased, you realise?)”
Actually, the number of secondary school students declined between 2010 and 2017, from 284,451 to 284,327.
But to be fair to you, let’s look across the entire education system.
The total number of students in NZ in 2010 was 764,398. In 2017 that figure was 800,334.
On a per student basis, spending increased by 8%.
https://www.educationcounts.govt.nz/statistics/schooling/student-numbers/6028
Still consider that austerity?
Yes, because if you look at the OECD stats that compare NZ to other countries, you discover that NZ's overall spending on Education is indeed as high as you say – but, unfortunately, NZ spends over-much on shonky Tertiary stuff (not the quality universities, you will note), leaving our Primary and Secondary schools far less generously-funded than you or the Govt pretend..
Both Universities and many secondary schools have been pretty-well forced by all Govts since Rogernomics to supplement the insufficient Govt funding by seeking foreign students, and ripping them off by charging then far more for their education than what it costs the school. An honest country would fund its own system properly so that such malarkey was unnecessary.
You are, I insist, cherry-picking your stats from the Govt and Ministry, and presenting their rosy-spectacled views because they are the ones that you find convenient.
3 Paragraphs and not a single reference to actual data. You’re arguments seem to entirely consist of anecdote and unsubstantiated claims.
"Yes, because if you look at the OECD stats that compare NZ to other countries,"
We're not talking about the OECD. We're talking about NZ. You're trying to say NZ had an austerity government when social spending was rising higher than inflation, and was virtually unchanged as a % of GDP. It’s an indefensible claim, no matter how much you spin.
"Both Universities and many secondary schools have been pretty-well forced by all Govts since Rogernomics…"
No, you're not getting away with that. You specifically mentioned national governments, and you specifically mentioned spending per student. Which has gone up!
Wrong. You are even misusing your own cherry-picked stats. You at first quoted 2008, but then tried to tell me that the number of students has dropped after 2010. By a paltry 134 students. Why did you not be honest and use the 2008 figures? I think we can all guess that the 2008 figure would have revealed an increase – not the decrease you deceitfully claimed.
Try OECD Education at a Glance. Website easy to find, and it will make valid comparisons with NZ, rating spending per student over more different areas than your NZ -sourced ones do.
You quoted spending on all NZ students. Pointless, because as I pointed out already, that includes excessive spending on shonky tertiary areas. If you want to argue honestly with me, use figures related only to Primary and Secondary students, and get those figures from OECD Education at a Glance, and bear in mind that I believe our Governments have at times fudged the figures they give the OECD to avoid embarrassment.
"You at first quoted 2008, but then tried to tell me that the number of students has dropped after 2010."
You seem to have a problem reading sources. 2010 is the year that data series began. You would have seen that if you actually took the time to look it up.
"Try OECD Education at a Glance. "
Why? I've used official NZ government sources.
"You quoted spending on all NZ students. Pointless…"
A reminder about what this discussion is about. Austerity. " difficult economic conditions created by government measures to reduce public expenditure.". There was no reduction in public expenditure. There was an increase significantly above the rate of inflation. Trying to make an argument about the quality of spend is just bs deflection.
AND THE US has over 20k new case already today.
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
Go Kiwis.
https://twitter.com/RebekahWh/status/1245097699474468869
Those masks tight fitting are they? Because…
…a face mask, by design, does not filter or block very small particles in the air that may be transmitted by coughs, sneezes, or certain medical procedures. Surgical masks also do not provide complete protection from germs and other contaminants because of the loose fit between the surface of the face mask and your face.
Whereas…
The 'N95' designation means that when subjected to careful testing, the respirator blocks at least 95 percent of very small (0.3 micron) test particles
But yes, if you are already infected, it looks like those "cactus" masks might catch up some potentially contaminated spray ejected by coughs and splutters…
Oops. Link – https://www.fda.gov/medical-devices/personal-protective-equipment-infection-control/n95-respirators-and-surgical-masks-face-masks
There's a world wide shortage of appropriate masks for all the various needs. I see the Cactus initiative as being helpful in two ways. One is for people who have covid and want to protect others. The other is to reduce the demand for higher tech masks from those with less need by making other kinds more available.
The Cactus design isn't good for medical staff also because of the elastic (ties are better). But I'm seeing staff in the US who are having to make do with whatever they can find.
I hope Cactus consider making their pattern and instructions available.
The YouTube is congested with how to videos for facemasks.
It is time invested to sort out the wheat from the obvious chaff.
Sewn fabric types must use very close weave materials and there's a couple utilising vacuum cleaner Hepa filter bags that look promising…if one can buy the bags now.
Paper type masks abound…but I'd give ones that need glue or sticky tape a swerve…too complicated and time consuming for a disposable bit of kit.
The one we settled on is an 8ply paper towel and dried baby wipe job held together and over the face by elastic.
The concertina design conforms snugly around the mouth and nose…and any gap can be closed with glasses.
I'd argue these are better than the proper masks friends bought for an exorbitant price on line.
Is that elastic reusable or fixed to each mask?
Yep, sorting out the masks, but also the different levels of need.
Re-posting these links.
https://www.instructables.com/id/DIY-Cloth-Face-Mask/
https://smartairfilters.com/en/blog/best-materials-make-diy-face-mask-virus/
https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/12/6/05-1468_article
My understanding is that the manufacturing source for appropriate masks is….yep, you've probably guessed it…China. Those long and vulnerable supply chains working their magic again.
I see the Cactus initiative as being helpful in two ways.
I don’t.
If I had covid and went anywhere near anyone while wearing one of those masks, it would be height of irresponsibility.
On the other side of the equation (protection) – I'm sure way 'back in day' there was a family member made a killing selling posies for 45 groats a hit as protection against plague. It was amazing (if family lore is to be believed) how many people put themselves in harms way because they thought the posies offered protection.
some people with covid don't have a choice about being in close proximity with others. If you can keep away from all humans, great. The masks are for those that can't.
Ring a ring a rosies, a pocketful of posies, atishoo atishoo, we all fall down.
We kids knew a thing ot two. Watch out for posers selling posies.
We had no idea what it meant of course.
No, but we learned, didn't we, to avoid panacea cures from Brian Tamaki 's cure for corona virus, vitamin C, deer velvet, rhino horn and copper bands, colour therapy and colonic irrigation. The ways that some prey upon the fears of others.
Pretty silly of Labour to put the minimum wage increase through today (I'm assuming its still going ahead). Businesses already concerned about surviving the lock down and coming out the other side and this really will not help by increasing the businesses costs. I do think it will cost some jobs. Labour should have reduced the PAYE tax rate on income under $14k instead to give people more money in their hand instead.
While it would give people more money in their hand, it is poorly targeted.
Which would be a far better thing so they could spend it in the economy once the lock down comes off. And it doesn't increase costs to the business employing them.
¿Por qué no los dos?
The government is going to need all the tax it can get over the coming year.
Minimum wage increase means people struggling to have enough income to live on will have a bit more.
We can make more jobs and will have to anyway this year.
A few will have a little bit more income in their hand. Unfortunately, I think many will have less in their hand as they will become unemployed.
Please consider reviewing the link at 6 up thread and then revising this statement appropriately "The government is going to need all the tax it can get over the coming year.".
I think the podcast at the link describes things quite well for lay-persons though it does run for almost an hour.
No way am I going to watch an hour video going in blind. You are welcome to explain your argument against my statement though 🙂
is a 45 min audio file
Your statement is completely false. To quote from the text (discussing govt spending in Australia which is similar enough to New Zealand),
"In his article, Alan wrote that we do not want the RBA purchasing Treasury debt directly.
Why?:
The obvious thing at the present is that the govt is resource constrained, but its not at all financially constrained and we don't need to project that ideological construct (and miss-direction) into the debate. The fact of this and how this maps to various economic and political institutions is expounded further in the conversation.
Not sure how that relates to what I said. Someone made the argument for reducing taxes instead of raising the minimum wage. I said that the govt will need those taxes. What is wrong with that?
Its a false statement. The govt does not need those taxes.
You've been here long enough to understand that what you just said doesn't mean much because it's an assertion of opinion without any explanation.
You have also been here long enough to realise the veracity of what I said is demonstrated in the earlier linked post and pod-cast.
Nope. You disagreed with something I said, but failed to say how I was wrong. No-one is going to go and watch a long vid in lieu of a simple explanation. You may well be right, I just haven't seen the argument yet.
As politely as possible then.
The NZ govt spends by distributing funds via the inter-bank settlement system which is operated by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand. This is still operating during the lock-down and primarily this allows the government to make all its payment needs at the present time.
All that is needed for the government to make such a payment is for it to instruct the RBNZ to transfer funds in the inter-bank system to the payees bank (that bank then credits the payees account). Since the RBNZ issues all the funds and runs the inter-bank system the government does not need to collect (or borrow) these before it makes payments. So the statement that the government must raise revenue to increase its spending abilities is simply false. This is true both now (when it is most starkly clear) and in the future.
There are some accounting relations where the RBNZ (a part of the government) shifts funds to its other pocket (the treasury) and then the government repays itself with interest back to the RBNZ pocket. There has also been a recent move to implement QE by the RBNZ which amounts to the same thing (of the govt bonds being owned by itself inside the RBNZ), but this does not in any way impact the underlying reality that the entire payments system is designed to facilitate government spending as it sees fit at its center.
This is all also explained in the linked post and discussion in comment #6.
Uh fuck off, any company having to pay out wages at the moment is probably making shitloads more than before Lockdown. Heard of lack of competition?
What the fuck are you on? The only companies making shitloads more at the moment are supermarkets and some other essential businesses. Most businesses are struggling and trying to plan on how they will make it through a lock down period with many fixed costs (such as rent and wages) and zero income as they cannot trade. Most of their competition as you say are in the same boat so fuck off yourself.
Rubbish Jimmy. This isn't even a living wage.
I could have throttled the self-serving business leader they interviewed on RNZ yesterday (sorry name and title and lost in the mists) arguing against the rise.
Yep, the same tired lines the right, or at least the ones who have been at the neo-liberal raro, have trotted out for the best part of half a century.
Akin to trickle down and the tooth fairy, just ribs they are fond of repeating.
This guy says it better and a lot of other stuff as well.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=q2gO4DKVpa8
But it could be a living wage if you were allowed to keep more in the hand and pay less in PAYE. And there is more chance you would keep your job as would not cost your employer more. And also if you were a barista for example, the price of coffee would not need to increase and cause inflation due to the increased costs to the business.
Utter crap, Jimmy. The minimum wage and the Living wage are both so low that any arrangement of yours will be insignificant. Supermarkets sounded generous giving their workers a whole 10% – but nobody notices that 10% of fuck-all is peanuts anyway.
The whole percentage system only serves to increase the gap between Rich and Poor. (The difference grows like compound interest.) We need to dump % increases and return to flat rate increases across the board for a decade or so, until the lower-paid have caught up to where things were in, say, 1970.
So if CEO gets an increase of $300 a week from a 10% increase, don't disguise the ugly truth by saying it is only a 10% increase. Call it a $300 per week increase, and give the same to everyone else across the board. Including the lowest-paid and the beneficiaries.
I know you won't like that idea of improved social justice, but it is what our society needs.
You seem to have totally misunderstood. Obviously if a CEO on $300k gets a 10% pay rise, and the cleaner on $50k also gets a 10% pay rise the gap widens. Nobody's arguing that.
I'm talking if the Govt for example said the first $18k of income was tax free, both the CEO and the cleaner would get an extra $42 in the hand each week. Ironically, a person on the minimum wage doing $40 hours a week will get an extra $39.60 in the hand but are more likely to end up unemployed especially in this Covid-19 climate.
In Vino I agree percentages are shifty buggers for comparing like with like. We need a Christmas bonus each year of a set amount per hour that is meaningful to we liddle people.
And raised it on the over 70k at the same time of course.
No I reckon they should raise all the brackets. 33% should only come in over $100k. Those tax brackets were set back in 2008? when $70k was a very high income. But they should have say, a 39% rate on income over $150k.
It will completely rip the guts out of our health care.
what good is a tax cut when your income is nil
What good is a pay rise from $17.70 to $18.90 if you don't have a job anymore?
https://www.workandincome.govt.nz/products/a-z-benefits/covid-19-support.html
Why dont you just admit you want to hold down wages for the poorest workers.
Im getting sick of people who constantly begrudge pay rises.
Do you think the minimum wage should rise *at all*??
Workers are having the deal with rising costs like everything else, rent, power, water, food, etc and so on, but people like you want them on the same wages for years in and years out.
National closed scores and scores of hospitals in the 1990's and slashed the wages of people in the health sector to pay for huge tax cuts. To cut taxes now when a huge pandemic is threaten thousands of lives, is morally indefensible.
Look at Kristine Bartlett. She spend 20 years on the same rate of pay, because people like you wanted to hold wages down.
As you say, "workers are having to deal with rising costs". Guess what happens to the price of your flat white when the minimum wage goes up to $18.90?
Whereas if the tax rate was reduced on lower income, the worker would get the $40 extra in their hand, without costing the employer more therefore you still only pay $5 for a large flat white.
I would rather stay on my same pay rate but keep more in my hand.
So you dont think pay rates should increase at all?
We should all just work on the same rate of pay throughout our working lives, and watch as our schools and hospitals fall apart because you want taxes slashed.
Maybe you should read some of my replies above. Taxes should be reduced at the lower end. I also suggested in a comment a 39% tax rate. That is an increase.
I don't think now is time for a wage increase when many jobs are disappearing.
I would be happy for my pay rate not to increase at all if I received more in the hand by paying less PAYE.
Do you think that wages should be held down for our low paid workers? YES OR NO.
Do you agree with the rent freeze, or do you think we should let landlords hike rents to dizzying levels like they did after the earthquakes?
Would you take their sick leave?
Do you think the health system should be starved of much needed funds?
Yes, I think all wages should be frozen at the moment in this economic climate, but that is NOT saying that they should never increase over your working life as you've said in your comment 18.8.1.1…….that's just a stupid comment and will obviously never happen).
Yes, I agree there should be a rent freeze at the moment.
Sick leave? not sure where this comes in to it? Are you meaning pay employees out their sick leave while in lock down?
No the health system should not be starved of funds and wont be. The sewerage running down hospital walls was all a blown out of proportion political point exercise as we all know now. Tax take by govt. has been higher that budgeted over last 2 years so no shortage of funds, and I have not suggested anywhere that adjusting tax rates will give the govt. less funds. Only reduce the lower rate and increase higher income tax rates to balance out.
But my main point is that I would rather be on $17.70 an hour and have take home pay of $642, than be on $18.90 and hour and have take home pay of $642 but my cup of coffee and many other prices have all increased so I'm worse off.
This would almost be comical if it wasn't so harmful and unnecessary. This is just business as usual for WINZ, but newcomers are surprised at how bad it is.
People say they're struggling to get financial support from Work and Income during Covid-19 lockdown
Interminable delays, personal humiliation and unnecessary bureaucratic barriers are all part of the deliberate system WINZ routinely uses to reduce claims by whatever means. No one cared when the "undeserving" couldn't access it, but causing issues now that everyone is in the struggle boat.
From the RNZ story – this will be completely familiar to anyone exposed to WINZ prior to Covid-19:
Yep. This is why existing beneficiaries should have been given a lump sum payment. Or even two.
It would help if the people for whom assistance isn't urgent held off to allow the back log to get cleared. But I'm guessing the application process is going to be shown up in all its faults.
Bunch of chimps.
https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/120729349/inland-revenue-mistakenly-sent-240000-letters-cancelling-payments
CDC has finally gotten around to considering advising the public to wear masks. (14:25)
Feel free to act before the advice becomes official in NZ 😀 Reasons:
– lower inoculum means if you do get it, the symptoms are slightly less brutal.
– if everyone assumes they are infected, then the masks will reduce spread
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-5bTkoHt-kk
Disturbing opinion piece discussed in the video above
https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2020-03-27/federal-reserve-s-financial-cure-risks-being-worse-than-disease
It's 2008 all over again.
If you've bought into the idea that a vaccine is 12 to 18 months away, here's your cold shower.
https://edition.cnn.com/2020/03/31/us/coronavirus-vaccine-timetable-concerns-experts-invs/index.html
Yep. I'm more thinking that NZ contains community transmission, takes a breath, then reassesses where we are at and what we want to do next.
Yes. Vaccines are never certain. For instance after 30 years we still don't have one for HIV.
There goes every garden in the town.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xcDvM3PdVsc&feature=youtu.be
A herd of goats has taken over the deserted streets of Llandudno, north Wales, where the residents are in lockdown during the coronavirus pandemic The Kashmiri goats that came down from the Great Orme and into the town were originally a gift to Lord Mostyn from Queen Victoria
Hedge trimming!
are they wild goats or from a farm?
Feral, and they'll eat everything.
http://www.llandudno.com/the-great-orme-kashmiri-goats/
Having read their food preferences in that article where they choose to eat "gorse, hawthorn, bracken, bramble, ivy, stinging nettles and privet" they would be very welcome at my place. I have a bit of land that would feed them nicely. All their favorites meals available.
Pity about the rancid smell though.
Opportunity for Goat Cheese production. Organic, and unpasteurised. Yum!!
Don't fancy milking a feral goat though!
I confess that I had assumed the ones in the pictures were males. The beards and the horns.
Irrational really as both males and females can have beards and horns. On the other hand I don't think, looking at the size of those horns, that I want to check what sex they really are.
"The most accurate way to determine whether you have a male or female goat is to peek under the tail"
https://animals.mom.me/how-to-tell-if-a-goat-is-male-or-female-4653884.html
I think I will leave that to someone braver than I am. Or a member of the Welsh Guards.
Is it 1 April in Guardianland?
@ weka
https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/health/coronavirus/120726231/coronavirus-expanded-coronavirus-testing-underway-government-taskforce-gives-1pm-update
Wouldn't it be nice if the Government was to take the advice of the medical experts seriously?
Pfofessor Skegg says
"Yesterday expert epidemiologist Sir David Skegg urged the Government to quarantine all arrivals into New Zealand from overseas, saying that the global spread of the Covid-19 pandemic meant there was a progressively higher risk of an arrival carrying the deadly virus. People carrying the disease may not show symptoms for days and several countries were taking precautionary measures by quarantining all overseas arrivals" and "" He noted that Australia was putting all people arriving from overseas into quarantine, and he thought New Zealand should do the same. But that quarantine had to be enforced and checked, as it is in Singapore by requiring those in quarantine to send text messages multiple times a day."
The Prime Minister, on the other hand says
"Ardern said self-isolation has been working "successfully" since the beginning of February. "We had over 10,000 people come back and self-isolate. The vast majority of New Zealanders are doing what they're asked to do." She dismissed self-isolation being called a "high trust" model, a phrase used yesterday by Director General of Health Ashley Bloomfield. "It's a high-trust environment."
Well we all saw stories of people who went off immediately sightseeing and said they weren't going to self-isolate. And stories of no checking being done at the Airport. When are we ever going to learn?
Singapore, and South Korea brought in mass testing and quarantine early on. They seem to have been effective in controlling the virus, don't they?
For no quarantine https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=12321689
For people ignoring isolation https://www.odt.co.nz/star-news/star-national/minister-gives-reassurance-after-tourists-ignore-self-isolation-rules
And for no checking being done we had https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=12316804
Gee alwyn, that’s a concern. How many tourists have we still got coming in now who are risks of flouting the country-wide lockdown?
Andre, Andre. I despair.
You can surely do better than that. Now please tell me how many people who returned to New Zealand in the last two weeks did not strictly follow the rules of "self isolation"? You have no idea do you? You can't possibly know because no genuine attempt to check it was attempted.
Really? I'm sure I read reports of cops checking up on people.
No matter. Any effort would have been insufficient in your eyes until its effectiveness was completely indisputable. At which point you would have been criticising the draconian measures as unnecessarily excessive as compliance was sufficient without armed guards at the gates of isolation ghettoes.
The borders were closed to everyone except returning citizens and permanent residents on the 19th March. Returning residents and citizens have significantly more incentive to abide by self-isolation than tourists.
As for those who recently returned and were infected and broke self-isolation and spread the disease, no I don't know how many there were. But I'm confident that if the expert epidemiologists at work on this think it's important, they will have information on it. If they don't have info, then it's most likely because the experts felt there were more valuable uses for their resources than finding that very specific info. You seem to think it's critically important data, how about you put your energies to finding out? I'm sure there's a name for the logical fallacy involved in finding an unanswered question and pretending that makes you smarter and more capable than actual experts, but I can't be arsed finding out what it is.
In any case, those that were sufficiently anti-social to have abused the goodwill shown them and flouted the expectations put on them will have to live with the outcome. Which may still include official consequences.
In the context of the fast developing situation where the opposition were more on the side of keeping borders open and maximising ongoing economic activity rather than closing things faster, I really don't think using hindsight to nitpick at details of the government response and claim they should have closed things harder and faster is a useful thing to do. And it's especially not an argument to swap out the current government for the other lot, whose response would have clearly been less effective.
You can't possibly know because no genuine attempt to check it was attempted.
My God, you mean the government didn't call on the massive resources of the Tourist Self-Isolation Monitoring Department to ensure that every tourist did what was asked of them? It must be incompetence! Why else would we have hired and trained all those personnel, if not for this one essential task?
Alwyn, this is starting to look like trolling. Just saying.
Nassim Taleb on why CV is NOT a black swan.
https://twitter.com/nntaleb/status/1244946738739179520
Nice Statement on penny wise (to save airlines etc) is pound foolish.
"Victims' advocate Ruth Money"?!!!?? Wallace Chapman's having us on, surely.
Wednesday 1 April 2020
Assuming this is not a black joke on April Fools' Day, then it's grievously clear that RNZ National's The Panel is continuing to outrage common decency and insult the intelligence of listeners.
I note that one Ruth Money is, yet again, a guest on today's show. She was, as usual, introduced by Wallace Chapman as "victims' advocate Ruth Money." In fact, Ruth Money first came to prominence as a highly placed official in Garth The Knife McVicar's notorious S.S. Trust. She has never uttered a word of apology, let alone regret, for that organization's ceaseless outpouring of filth on, and denigration of, the victim of a knife-killing in South Auckland in 2008.
What's next, we wonder: "women's rights advocate Harvey Weinstein"? "Peace advocate Elliott Abrams"? "Truth-teller Boris Johnson"? "Hard working journalist Martin Devlin"?
https://morrisseybreen.blogspot.com/2018/12/auckland-victims-advocate-ruth-money-is.html
https://morrisseybreen.blogspot.com/2018/12/ngrid-hipkiss-grinned-vacuously-and.html
https://morrisseybreen.blogspot.com/2019/08/in-deep-end-with-ruth-money-guffaws-tim.html
Harvey Norman tries to get out of paying rent. It doesn't surprise me. They must have a policy of playing hard ball. A friend of mine had a scrap with them a while ago over a piece of furniture that kept breaking. Harvey Norman fixed it a few times but when my friend told them they wanted the thing collected and their money back Harvey Norman sent the whole matter to not only one of the largest law firms in the country, but to one of their partners! It was unbelievable. Will be interesting to see how some of the landlords respond.
https://www.stuff.co.nz/business/120728348/harvey-norman-tells-landlords-it-wont-pay-rent#comments
Harvey Norman are glorified loan sharks, loading people up with horrendous debts to buy their overpriced goods.
No deposit, 18 months interest free for deferred payments = a life time of paying a big bill for stuff that will probably last a couple of years at most.
Harvey Norman must be meat heads. You can’t just say if the landlord doesn’t respond in 24 hours then the matter is settled, not legally enforceable to set such a short time frame.
Most landlords & commercial tenants are coming to an arrangement for a reduced rental, but not a non-payment.
If HN don’t pay the rent the landlord can say remove your stock in 24 hours or we will sell it on your behalf & the matter will be settled.
Absolutely. Everyone else is being made to pay rent with no income, or at least negotiate.
Lock the doors, seize all their stock, and evict out of the country.
This Trump guy is going down and dammit he's taking hundreds of thousands with him:
https://www.huffpost.com/entry/trump-coronavirus-stay-at-home-order_n_5e83d6cfc5b65dd0c5d5f394
"The White House coronavirus task force still won’t call for a national stay-at-home order, despite calls from medical professionals and researchers to do so to curb the spread of the virus in places.
As Drs. Anthony Fauci and Deborah Birx explained during Tuesday night’s task force update that the total number of deaths in the U.S. could rise to 100,000 to 240,000, President Donald Trump avoided explaining why the administration hasn’t imposed a stay-at-home order yet.
Instead, Trump talked about how the death toll would have reached up to 2 million people if he had done nothing at all.
“What would’ve happened if we did nothing? Because there was a group that said, ‘Let’s just ride it out,’” the president said. “What would’ve happened? That number comes in at 1.5 to 1.6 million, up to 2.2 … 2.2 million people would have died.”
“You would have seen people dying on airplanes,” he added. “You would’ve seen people dying in hotel lobbies. You’d be seeing death all over.”
Earlier in the pandemic, Trump dismissed the severity of the virus and compared it to the flu. On March 9, Trump compared numbers of people who died of the flu in 2019 to the number of confirmed coronavirus cases and deaths at that time."
Coherency is no longer one of Trump's attributes. I expect no improvement.
He knows dead folk don't vote.
Yeah, but that just further illustrates the malfunction inside the cranial cavity of the rotting halloween pumpkin.
Old people are more likely to vote Repug than Dem. Old people are more likely to die from the virus. Therefore more of the people likely to die from the virus are likely Repug voters than Dem voters.
Seriously, where do you get these names for him? Is there a bumper list somewhere, or do you have a whiskey and churn out a few dozen once a week?
There's lists out there that are easy to find. Mostly I steal from them. "Rotting halloween pumpkin" came from Vicente Fox, former president of Mexico.
But now and then I come up with an original. Pretty sure “mandarin manutang” is all mine. “Terracotta Turdface” might be too.
outstanding.
Sure, it's petty and trivial, but the fucker's in charge for the full term. Take the power back where we can.
He and the repugs don't want anyone to vote.
https://twitter.com/dcpetterson/status/1245135798984495105
Can the individual states not act independently?
Yes, most of the work is in fact being done by the states, rather than the federal government.
Where the federal government has the ability to step in mostly involves cross-state issues, and has some emergency powers of compulsion that individual states don't have. The federal government also controls resources such as the armed forces,CDC etc.
Consider ventilators. There's no way that New York can apply any pressure on a company in Arizona to produce more ventilators, so price gouging is the natural outcome. But the federal government has the Defense Production Act where they can order that company to make them and set the selling price at cost plus a reasonable margin.
thanks. Can individual states do deals with each other? eg NY and Arizona work out an arrangement so that companies in Arizona produce more ventilators and those in NY produce more masks? Not ideal, but curious if it's possible to just bypass the fuckwit in the WH.
Trying to do something like that would get into legal messes very quickly, even where there's theoretical possibilities to make it work. There's a lot of sensitivities around states rights and how they can have different regulatory structures and shit like that.
One of the explicit purposes of the federal government right from the beginning was to manage interstate issues. Nobody is going to react well to trying to bypass that aspect of what the federal government is supposed to do, no matter how damaging the fuckwits in the White House are to the effort to deal with the problem.
Sometimes direct state-to-state efforts happen in response to fast moving localised disasters, but not for a nationwide chain-reaction repeated slow-motion trainwreck like is going on now.
They're so fucked.
https://twitter.com/atrupar/status/1245135141317607426
Every half-decent disaster movie kicks off with a plucky scientist being ignored.
https://twitter.com/jimtankersley/status/1245104639206359041
There may many complaints about testing but this interview demonstrates a good level of competence amongst officials…
https://www.rnz.co.nz/national/programmes/checkpoint/audio/2018741107/three-attempts-to-get-covid-19-test-before-positive-diagnosis
….especially with the new directives
The best DIY vid you’ll ever see.
https://www.facebook.com/renilda.almanzor/videos/vb.100000628441439/3014389155258670/?type=2&theater
What is it with these big companies. Executives taking a 15% cut – everyone else a massive up to 70% one . Shareholder dividends cancelled so nothing goes to any pension funds etc. Time the wage subsidy comes with some high end remuneration clauses.
As far as I can make out Fletcher's wage bill is about $1.6 billion a year so around $140 mill a month. – so to allow 6 weeks that's $210 mill. Salaries over $250k in the 2019 report around $160 mill total and the top executives are about $20 mill of that. Take a hatchet to the top end wages for the year and there is the 80% to pass down. Stopping the share buyback adds about another $150 mill plus no dividend another chunk. Yes they will have other bills but those big wages need to be repurposed. Or they could all be fired and rehired when things pick up.
Of course they will want to be first in line for the infrastructure spending planned by the government.
https://www.stuff.co.nz/business/120735008/fletcher-proposes-massive-pay-cuts-in-12-week-plan
My chief is taking a 50% cut for at least remainder of year, all management taking 30% cut, and the rest a 20% cut.
Fully supported by our shareholders, who will not be getting a dividend and won't be getting any idea of any profit or loss forecast for a good while either.
That sounds a lot fairer without seeing the absolute $ numbers. I have real difficulty with people who are living from week to week and with no cushion being asked to take cuts when there are still really substantial salaries in $ being paid at the top.
As a taxpayer I'm happy to support those at the bottom but those at the top nah – they should have the resilience to ride this out while earning a minimum wage. As to shareholders – likely to be at least some kiwisaver – so again should huge management salaries take priority over overall resilience to try to stem capital losses and closures.
Standard commentor "Jimmy" wants wages held down for our cleaners and checkout operators.
He thinks that the business owners should profit from the COVID epidemic and not give their workers anything.
He would have low paid workers on the same rate of pay throughout their lives, and poor all the time.
He would also Americanise the country's health system.