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6:00 am, January 15th, 2024 - 102 comments
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The current rise of populism challenges the way we think about people’s relationship to the economy.We seem to be entering an era of populism, in which leadership in a democracy is based on preferences of the population which do not seem entirely rational nor serving their longer interests. ...
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Neolib addiction to fossil fuels gets a dispassionate appraisal here: https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/business/506701/extra-long-haul-flights-boom-would-blow-climate-targets-campaigner-says\
Junkie neolibs need to jab that needle in to get the tourist rush – all those little dollar signs running through your veins producing the eternal high.
Yeah, because performing well requires drive & motivational energy & few capitalists nowadays have got what it takes. Hide behind market failure instead, much easier.
The vein of fuel is particularly important to New Zealand, since tourism is largely by plane and international tourism's overall contribution to New Zealand's total exports of goods and services was 2.4% and increasing leaps and bounds since COVID.
https://www.tia.org.nz/about-the-industry/quick-facts-and-figures/#:~:text=Tourism%20generated%20a%20direct%20annual,of%20New%20Zealand's%20total%20GDP.
We don't have an alternative to air transport tourism, either as a mode of transport or as an entire segment of the economy.
Doing holism on the situation requires encompassing conservatives & the establishment along with liberals, social democrats or whatever the left currently frame themselves as. Pragmatism is what you get when holism is inclusive enough to ground in common sense, so your view seems reasonable for now.
Voters will always choose life-support. The future of younger generations is too hypothetical to prevail.
Oh no it's just facts.
https://oec.world/en/profile/country/nzl
And the facts get worse. In 2021 New Zealand was the world's biggest exporter of concentrated milk, sheep and goat meat, rough wood, butter, and casein.
Other than tourism, our export goods are pretty much the same as what we were making after World War One (minus wool).
That's what keeps us in biscuits.
Impressive. I had no idea materialism works so well – still going strong a century later. Still we do have a burgeoning tech industry too, which does export product & designs. Perhaps the stats on that aren't good enough to feature (yet).
There's also the airfreight capacity that comes with international tourism. This is a huge co-dependency in our economy as we found out through covid when tourism, and air freight stopped.
More tourism allows more exports, and cheaper imports, both making the biscuits more affordable.
Just gotta keep chugging along…
Worrying about the impact on global warming of jet fuel consumption is a bit of pointless middle class theatre for Grey Lynn yoga mums, who will fly to Europe for their bi-annual holiday anyway. The elephant in the room is coal being used for electricity production. The world used 8.5 billion tons of coal last year.
I have just got back from three weeks in India and Sri Lanka. From my observations in India population growth is viewed as an unalloyed social good. The more young people we have, the argument goes, the richer we will become. And the first thing everyone wants is AC and then a car and then consumer electronics. Climate is not a seriously discussed priority compared with the desire to get rich. India used about a billion tons of coal a year, of which they produce about 80% domestically. Fossil fuel consumption generates around 56% of India's electricity (coal/lignite produces 50% of India electricity), hydro/wind/solar/waste to energy etc produces 41.5% (the country is festooned with wind turbines, fields of them marching from horizon to horizon) and nuclear less than 2%.
If we are serious about reducing global emissions we have to get the 56% of India's electricity produced by buring fossil fuels down to zero. The demand for power in India is insatiable as 1.5 billion people get richer. The only feasible way to reduce fossil fuel consumption is nuclear.
Any responsbile climate change movement seriously interested in solutions would be urgently demanding a crash program of nuclear power station construction. Arguing about jet fuel consumption is an utter distraction.
I hope they do – there are risks associated with channeling limited resources into new nuclear power plants. Nuclear energy is and will continue to be a significant source of base load power for some countries, but (imho) proponents are underestimating the challenges of rolling out new nuclear generating capacity in a timely fashion, and in the deteriorating geopolitical and environmental 'climate'.
Here's a site dedicated to good news: https://futurecrunch.com/goodnews2023/?ref=future-crunch-newsletter
They have this critique of msm news:
MSM news does sometimes feature up-market weddings, though, plus the royals, although gossip around Paris Hilton & the Kardashians seems to have ebbed.
Such selectivity is admirable, and the list does indeed seem a public service. Here's one:
One of the Western European countries developed a deal with MSM that they would cease catastofreonising (?) the bad news. They also set about increasing rehabilitation in prisons and reducing the punishments in prisons. The prison population halved and the population fear of crime faded away.
Why not in NZ? people like Mitchell would totally refuse to look at any such evidence because there are votes in more crime.
It would be clever to apply that thinking, Ian, but I can't see any of our political parties thinking outside the square – the effect of democracy on them is too much of a conceptual strait-jacket.
Which country?
Sweden, and Norway also has a great response:
Sweden:"Sweden's non-punitive sentencing model must be working because the overall reoffending rate in Sweden is only 10-40%. Post-prison support is another strong reinforcement for keeping ex-offenders from returning to prison. .."
And:"Sweden is doing something to lower the recidivism rate and forcing prisons to close because they are taking a different approach to crime and punishment.
Globally, we need to pay close attention to what Sweden is doing…"
And: "Nils Oberg, chief executive of Sweden’s probation service, announced in November that four of Sweden’s prisons are going to be closed because of a significant drop in inmates."
How would this positivity site approach something like what's being done in Gaza right now?
What good news would it have found on 9/11, as the U.S.-backed Chilean military destroyed the democratic government of Salvador Allende?
How would they have handled the 1965 genocide in Indonesia? Actually, we have the answer for that one….
Just heard Shane Te Pou explaining to RNZ, on their 8am news, what Golriz & the Greens have been doing wrong – not fronting the issue – and I wondered what the conservative msm guys were saying. Not much!
Haven't been able to form & opinion & get it up since 19 December. Too much holiday beer, obviously. Hang on, they've got a separate politics page. Nope, no politics worth reporting since 1 December. Talk about lame!!
One media hot-shot is onto a leading story though:
He understands that news must be personal so readers can identify with it. He also dresses it up with primary colours, and those two Nat honchos in yellow hats look ever so cool, eh? Simian especially.
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/01/12/health/marijuana-fda-dea.html?unlocked_article_code=1.Nk0.OnWm.oMx4dSB0NpMo&smid=url-share
Gideon Levy looks at how economic pressure is a driver of ethnic cleansing on the West Bank.
The injustice of denial of access to the Arab village land, when there are settlements nearby, drives people to protest and then they are arrested and imprisoned etc.
Then they later leave the village for the urban centres.
https://www.haaretz.com/israel-news/twilight-zone/2024-01-13/ty-article-magazine/.highlight/i-have-land-but-i-dont-west-bank-olive-harvest-is-yet-another-casualty-of-gaza-war/0000018c-ff8e-dd94-a9cc-ffeeb6910000
Why have The Greens handled the Golriz Ghahraman allegations so badly? Their approach to date has not shut down the story and it has given it legs. Even exactly when Ms Ghahraman is due back in NZ is unclear which just adds to the confusion. Do The Greens lack an experienced Media team?
Why "shut down the story"?
Talk is ephemeral. If there is a problem, it will have to be faced, regardless of any preparations for softening it.
If there is no problem, the weight of the chatter will fall back upon the chatterers.
Urging The Greens to behave as other parties do, won't provoke them to employ the techniques we are so jaded about.
The Greens are wiser than that.
Ronald Reagan said "If you're explaining, you're losing".
He was referring to policy, not allegations of theft against his justice spokesperson…
Who was Reagan's justice spokesperson?
Why wasn't Reagan "referring" to him?
Do we know the full story?
Because this damages the party's image and therefore the brand. The Greens are big onstating they have integrity and are better than your usual set of politicians. What they have done so far in dealing with this suggests otherwise.
The accusations alone have damaged the party's image and those couldn't be avoided. The Greens do "have integrity and are better than your usual set of politicians" If one of their MP's has not met that standard, the party itself is not answerable for that persons actions. You are implying that the party is acting below their professed standards. I presume you are doing so in order to erode readers confidence in them.
They should have demanded that Golriz Ghahraman provide them with either an assurance there was nothing untoward happening or for her to provide them the information about what she did wrong so they can request that she resigns
see my comment below. Afaik the Greens have an internal process they have to follow with MPs. I think this was developed after 2017 and the issues with the two MPs that went rogue.
"the two MPs that went rogue."
I can remember Turei but who was the other one?
Weka is most likely meaning Kennedy Graham and David Clendon who resigned on a matter principle rather than "went rogue" over the Metiria Turei revelations of benefit fraud and the unravelling of her story attempting to justify it.
technically they did both.
https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/95544495/james-shaw-fronts-over-longserving-green-mps-quitting-over-coleader
They were subsequently also removed from the party as members. Not something the GP does lightly.
Whilst I'd rather not get into another onsite dispute about this, since I led the consensus process that created the GP constitution & standing orders, I do have a view that's relevant: nobody involved did the right thing – which was to specify any perceived breach.
The internal rules are meant to produce outcomes in accord with the principle of natural justice (just like our inherited state legal system).
The two who resigned over Turei's (perceived) breach of consensus ought to have specified precisely why they did. I can't comment on the rules for MPs since they didn't exist in the GP when I was SOC convenor. I didn't like the current SOC convenor's absence from the fray since he was the cop on the beat. Either cowardly or the parliamentary rules made him irrelevant…
My vague understanding (probably from something I read during the Kerekere thing last year) is that they developed additional processes after 2017.
Appreciate the perspective though on both what happened and what the GP kaupapa was/should have been.
Thanks. Further to that, I did learn during my second stint within that there had been significant changes to the constitution that was adopted pre-MMP, and since they weren't available to members on the GP website I assumed that members were obliged to trust the word of the current SOC convenor.
A bit like being out on a limb & officially expected to do your saw-cut on the trunk side of that limb. Faith in officials is what got Stalin into his dictatorship. You'd think common sense would make the rules available to the members. But, you know, leftists…
seems odd to me too. I remember when they did a major revamp of the website and a lot of the material taht explained the GP was either removed or hard to find.
tbf though, the constitution of political parties is published on the Electoral Commission’s website. It’s an easy google for individual parties, but I can’t easily find of all the parties are there.
https://elections.nz/assets/party-files/Constitution-of-the-Green-Party-of-Aotearoa-New-Zealand-June-2022.pdf
That's excellent. Here's the key section re parliamentary caucus:
It's very much to their credit that they've made the thing available to members! I bet they got a good crowd watching when the Turei fiasco was dealt with! Gives them optimal credibility, that.
Hard to see how the process enabled a stuff-up. Either the thing was decided by consensus or a vote, so why were we not told which?? Extremely peculiar.
exactly.
In addition, the Greens have specific internal processes that they will be following regarding issues with MPs. That's not a public process although I expect the co-leaders to make announcements in due course.
I do think they could be doing more publicly though.
are you channelling today’s right wing memo Gosman, or perhaps leftie commentator Shane Te Pou?
https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/political/506715/very-few-grey-areas-greens-urged-to-front-on-golriz-ghahraman-shoplifting-allegations
Do you not think that because both commentators on the left AND right are on agreement on how The Greens are mishandling this it might suggest that there is in fact bad political mangement going on here?
could well be. Could also be the habitual takes from the right and centre left because they don't understand how the GP operates.
Myself, I think it's probably a bit of both. But I don't think the GP are going to pre-empt a fair process. There are employment issues for parliament to work through too. They've learnt a few things from Graham, Clendon and Kerekere, and other parties’ issues, as well as having fairness built in.
fwiw, if she is guilty of shoplifting I think she should resign, and I also think due process should be followed.
because they don't understand how the GP operates
My take is the GP operates in a way that ignores the simple fact it is the public that puts them in Parliament, not their members.
I have no doubt there are internal rules that are both fair, and provide for due process. But this is politics, and politics has its own rules, which are based on perception.
that would be an example of what I said about people who don't get the GP.
It's not that there is no criticism to be made, I just wish people would understand what they are criticising first.
The GP have often successfully defied political convention.
"…this is politics, and politics has its own rules, which are based on perception."
Is it? Does it?
Questions from individuals who don't support the party, MUST be answered!!
Swing and a miss Gossy
To be fair, I'm not sure they could have 'shut down the story'. This is a sitting MP accused of shoplifting – the media were always going to run this hard.
Yeah but the Story should have been dealt with cleanly so it did not develop legs. They should have got the entire story from Ms Ghahraman and if there was any question of inappropriate behaviour then she should have resigned as an MP immediately. Now if she does so it will be much worse for the Party.
These shoplifting allegations are detracting from the issues we face as a nation.
https://newsroom.co.nz/2023/09/28/defining-issues-fear-factor-drives-tough-on-crime-policies/
Three great forces rule Gosman, anyway.
Gosman (7) … Golriz Gharhaman arrived back in NZ today.
No mention of any scheduled press conference from that spokesperson! Media strategy seems to be to keep building suspense in the public mind awhile yet…
As dennis has pointed out to you there is no indication of when they will make a statement now she is back in the country.
it's only midday.
Do you think they should have a statement from her by the end of the day?
no idea Gosman. I don't know what is going on any more than you do.
Your breath, Gosman, is bated!
Keep us up-dated as you learn more about this critical issue!
Heh, Gosman, as Sam Uffindell might say…“it is still early…do you want to go out clubbing”…
When locals are part of a global trend, and are more middle of the yoga class ambitious for the finer things in life than common folk, but while keeping the cost under control
https://www.1news.co.nz/2024/01/15/the-rise-of-middle-class-shoplifting-and-how-it-became-an-epidemic-in-london/
In media terms, the explainer.
Stage set …
You're trying sooooo hard to squeeze out some negative reactions here, Gosman.
Sooooo hard!
@ Gosman (7.4.2) Why don't you ask them?
https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/political/506674/national-led-government-officially-cancels-auckland-light-rail-plans
And I see that the NATZ are complaining about the planning cost for the project.
Don't believe in planning HUH
I’ll be fascinated to see what their alternatives are.
My suspicion is more roads.
East West link anyone?
https://thespinoff.co.nz/auckland/08-04-2017/a-ridiculous-road-to-the-past-the-east-west-connection
Not sure I can face doing a whole post on this sorry saga.
I just have this sneaky feeling that CRL will be one of the last big public transport projects or even rail projects done in New Zealand in a very long time.
CRL itself will be a major boost to Auckland as an alternative to the car. But it is taking a decade to construct, and the impact on the CBD was big. Also it's doubled in price in that time and that is crippling Auckland Council.
Stopping this light rail project locks Auckland in to a very difficult transport future, that gets harder and harder to get out of.
The decline of Auckland maybe the only investment in the future of the New Zealand provinces that our government makes.
Aucklanders' high mobility tends against regional benefit:
– old people go to the provinces to soak up the NZSuper, and
– young and income-earning people head to Australia or elsewhere and usually don't return until close to retirement or at all
Investing to turn Auckland around is necessary for the whole of New Zealand.
No, it is a choice to move to Oz for more money, or the provinces for cheaper housing.
If they can keep the job and work from home (or find local employment in their sector) the provinces is their chance to own a property with a section like their parents in Auckland once did.
Do young people really move to the provinces for a career future based on cheaper housing? Maybe a few do. I don't think most do.
Working couples with children have been doing it. It's made their lives easier.
Younger ones who see no prospect of owning a home in Auckland do still have the option of partnering to own a cheaper property apartment/flat then later moving to the provinces when starting a family.
Will Labour go near surface light rail when back in government? Or is it now another toxic issue?
It's still an alternative to bus lanes on a limited scale – say Dominion Road.
https://teara.govt.nz/en/photograph/15901/dominion-road
But then self driving uber cars and or e bike lanes might be the future.
As an Aucklander, I would be interested in your take on this. Here's Matt Lowrie's view:
As a huge advocate for better public transport in Auckland, it continues to feel a bit weird that I’m not upset that a major public transport project is being cancelled. Instead I continue to feel disappointed and frustrated at the previous government for botching this project so badly that it was further from becoming a reality in 2023 than it was when they took it over in 2017.
Light Rail officially dies – Greater Auckland
Ahed Tamimi’s interrogation video released…
If she was a pretty Ukrainian girl you can be sure this would have been a lead story on The Guardian, BBC and RNZ.
Thanks Adrian. The persecution of this young woman generated a lot of comment on this excellent site at the time. It's a grim but ultimately uplifting story, showing once again that aggressors and occupiers can kill and maim people (mostly children like Ahed's cousin, and old people) but they cannot crush their spirit.
The thread also contains one genuinely funny contribution, from "Wayne", who asserts, with all the gravitas he can muster, that the occupation "is not, of itself, illegal."
https://thestandard.org.nz/middle-east-teenagers/#comment-1442597
Thanks Morrissey….great thread, thanks.
Video of the original incident, and more.
https://www.bbc.com/news/av/world-middle-east-42884885
This one annoyed me enough to send a Times Up Me Too email to Isaac Herzog, then just an MK.
I hope he enjoyed the Candles in the Rain music video I linked to.
A number of the IDF and zionists really seem to be serious psychopaths.
Watching atrocity after atrocity, brutality after brutality, massacre after massacre all being proudly conducted right out in the open, with the deranged IDF filming themselves…the Israeli politicians calling daily for even more violence…
…the Israeli children happily singing about genocide, the Israeli families dressing up and mocking the starving woman and children, all this horror has made me come to realize, that without question, watching this horrific genocide is what it would have been like, had the brave and heroic fighters in the Warsaw Uprising has iphones on them…
…filming themselves in that hellhole fighting the Nazi's, while watching their families starve or being indiscriminately blown into pieces of unrecognizable meat, or worse, trapped without the possibility of rescue, too die slowly and horribly under mountains of rubble….or have amputations done with no anaesthetics…
..the only difference is that with just one phone call from the USA and Biden they could stop this in an instant….but that won't happen because now it has been said explicitly by the West, through their open support for this genocide, that the West has no moral or ethical framework embedded within it's ideology….and only power and the maintenance of the power at any cost, is all that these monsters believe in and wish to achieve.
Only fanatics, liberal free market fundamentalists and the weak of mind can now possibly maintain an allegiance to this despicable ideology,that is for sure…look out for them, and never forget who they are.
Exactly how I feel Adrian. It is amazing how so many ordinary people that I have known for years have finally understood what US Imperialism and their client state Israel are all about.
The South African Lawyer Tembaka could not have put the case for Genocide being enacted before the world any clearer to the International Court.
Expert has a go at unclogging the global governance system:
IMHO the full UN General Assembly getting in particular the US to abstain was the one with the stronger mandate and moral force:
"Expressing grave concern over the catastrophic humanitarian situation in the Gaza Strip and the suffering of the Palestinian civilian population, and emphasizing that the Palestinian and Israeli civilian populations must be protected in accordance with international humanitarian law,
1. Demands an immediate humanitarian ceasefire;
2. Reiterates its demand that all parties comply with their obligations under international law, including international humanitarian law, notably with regard to the protection of civilians;
3. Demands the immediate and unconditional release of all hostages, as well as ensuring humanitarian access;
4. Decides to adjourn the tenth emergency special session temporarily and to authorize the President of the General Assembly at its most recent session to resume its meeting upon request from Member States.
The resolution does not condemn Hamas or make any specific reference to the extremist group."
https://news.un.org/en/story/2023/12/1144717#:~:text=Member%20States%20adopted%20a%20resolution,as%20%E2%80%9Censuring%20humanitarian%20access%E2%80%9D.&text=The%20acting%20President%20of%20the%20General%20Assembly%20adjourned%20the%20meeting.
The USA has no morals…only it's own interests..end of story.
Have the alleged potential costings for Aucklands Light Rail been substantiated in any way, or are they plucked out of the air and referred back to ‘advice they have received. From whom may I ask?This is a genuine question. Cocs seem to be able to fling all sorts of numbers in the air but never give a breakdown on how they arrived at these numbers. It’s all very airy fairy.
It’s all very airy fairy.
It's mainly the neolib tooth fairy. She waves her magic wand & makes all stakeholders believe whatever costing is being toted at the time. Then times change & new numbers magically appear. It's how neoliberalism was designed to work. Magical thinking.
Luxon bullshit, chapter 367 …
Before Christmas he declared that this all-action get-things-done government would be getting everyone back in Parliament by – well, about now.
Parliament summer close down period will be shorter, incoming PM Luxon says | RNZ News
Fact check: the timetable now is the same as previous supposedly lazy governments and Parliaments.
This is not surprising or even bad. Breaks are important. What's bad is that he spouts this nonsense before the summer break and it is reported as if it were true, instead of reporters pointing out that it obviously isn't.
Credit to one reporter for not having a Luxon memory hole …
First cabinet meeting no earlier than usual | BusinessDesk
Important meeting earlier:
Looks like Lux has given the Maori king a brief on his govt's intentions, eh? Let's see the effect. The inside word can often be useful leverage.
It's obviously box-ticking, no more.
"Have you met with him?'
"Yes, I have".
Nah, they've met before. One of the reports today said so, can't recall which. And this:
“The meeting had been planned since last year and was an opportunity to further build on the relationship they have established in the last two years.”
https://www.1news.co.nz/2024/01/15/pm-luxon-meets-maori-king-ahead-of-national-hui/
Yes, of course they've met before, but this meeting is just an attempt to get in ahead of the hui. We all know what's coming, and Luxon wants to pose as the reasonable one (note the presence of Potaka at the meeting, the Minister who wants to build a bridge but can't outmuscle Peters and Seymour).
BTW, really unprofessional reporting on the 6 pm Newshub story. A casual viewer would assume that was current footage. It was old library footage, and labelling it as such is what every TV journalist/editor learns at broadcasting school, lesson one.
Wonder where they had their meeting?
Agree. My surprise was lead story on ONE News: Golriz. Nothing happened. Well, ostensibly they reported her return to Aotearoa earlier today.
Plus they interviewed Brigitte Morten, who helpfully explained why it was so bad that Golriz and the Greens continued to stonewall the public interest. Insert eye-rolling emoji. The purpose seemed to be that she represents the public interest in the situation. Yes, I know that's not plausible.
Without revealing her political links . . of course.
That sounds like Luxon-speak and it would mean nothing coming from him. If he went to a local beach and accidently bumped into someone who happened to be a local councillor he would claim at a later date he had met the person and formed a close relationship. Close alright, he knocked him over. (Just a tongue in cheek fib)
Just a tongue in cheek fib to emphasise his hollow mode of operation.
We can defeat them if we rise together.
defeat who?
This government
Three strikes & you're out: https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/politics/133561585/police-investigating-golriz-ghahraman-allegation–this-time-in-wellington
Next time you do three boring comments in a row of an early morning, you're out.
I suspect that will be tomorrow morning.
😄
Four posts this morning. But you can't blame Dennis for that, when we were all too busy hurkle durking to post.
Nothing has really changed since the story first broke last week. Anyone with an ounce of sense knows that the options are:
If guilty, leaves Parliament.
If not guilty (a longer road, but that's how the justice system works), doesn't leave Parliament.
Everything else is a lot of tedious political commentary by interested parties. None of that provides any information about what happened.
(There are no "three strikes", that's absurd. Allegations are true, or they are not. One offence is the same as two or three).
Alex Berenson calls Tucker Carlson on his antivax nonsense…who woulda thunk it..
@thereal_truther
Alex Berenson debunks the claim that COVID vaccines are causing excess deaths “I don’t believe that this entire regulatory apparatus would ignore screaming danger signs. And I don’t believe doctors would.”
https://twitter.com/thereal_truther/status/1746586560752206173