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6:00 am, September 25th, 2023 - 77 comments
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The current rise of populism challenges the way we think about people’s relationship to the economy.We seem to be entering an era of populism, in which leadership in a democracy is based on preferences of the population which do not seem entirely rational nor serving their longer interests. ...
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Luxon on NZ First. (we knew, you slimy creep)
And now Luxon has said this…We need to highlight exactly who the coalition of chaos would be !
National – ACT – NZ First: The Coalition of Division.
Thats what it is and what Labour needs to call it, loudly and often.
Labour should be reprising National's boat ad in 2014. Instead of red shirted and green shirted rowers trying to row in different directions it will be blue shirted, multi colour shirted and black shirted pirates trying to throw each other out of the boat.
Labour needs to get down and dirty, but I fear Hipkins is at heart too decent a guy to go that far.
There is no way in hell that Winston and David will be at the cabinet table together. If they needed the numbers to get over the line I think NZF would be in coalition with National.
Act would get one or two ministers outside of cabinet/government on a confidence and support deal. Similar to the way the Greens have been working with Labour for 6 years
Sorry, equally no way that Seymour would accept being outside the government (with double the numbers of MPs) if NZF are inside the government.
He's not the pushover the GP was in 2017.
There might be an arrangement with both of them as C+S partners to a minority National government.
Ironic that Winston derides the debate on who NZF would go with. We should be concentrating on the things that matter and not on the "horse race."
Wasn't it he that said early on that he would not go with Labour thus setting off the debate?
Just because Winston said at one point in time that he wouldn't go into government with Labour, doesn't make it true. He's the master of weasel manipulation. If it suited him, and the political climate post-election allowed, he'd be negotiating with Labour like a shot. 'What's in it for Winston', is his over-riding mantra.
If the 3 have the majority, it would be interesting if NZF allowed ACT participation in a coalition government (they denied this to Greens in 2017).
On past form NZF has always tried to keep the party on the left or right out of government or coalition (Alliance 1996) and here ACT in 2023.
Thus if they are consistent they would favour a National minority government backed on c and s by NZF and ACT.
However it seems Peters is not discounting a 3 party coalition – a coalition based on agreed policy apparently because Seymour might not offer supply to a National-NZF coalition or National minority government.
This has led to a a lot of supportive right wing commentators using their NZH platform to demand an ACT driven regime.
The purpose of which is to pressure National to campaign in the centre to take votes off Labour but bend to ACT after the election – as a tactic to deliver a NACT majority by hiding how radical the coalition would be afterwards.
With Peters considering a three party coalition, rather than c and s to a minority National governing in the centre – the post election talks would be the most consequential in our MMP political history (given the range of potential outcomes for policy – decided by politicians and not voters).
Yea thats my worry. How fast and far reaching their actions would be.
IMO They would assume they got a mandate….to start the slashing..down.
Why more so than 1996 or 2017 – where, in both cases, Winston decided the government (held the balance of power)?
100% PLA.
Sounds a lot like you are very hypocritical considering the many times you have welcomed Winston so you could have power.
there would have been no last six years of government if it weren't for Winston and no Jacinda
wtf? Jim Cairns…..You dont know me…and I dont know you. Probably a good thing. Anyway….best you get back under your bridge : )
Of course he will. The only reason he's been delaying is that now the others can say a vote for Nat is a vote for Winston.
And of course..there is this..
IMO Luxon is still not anywhere near assured of power.
And, even he says..
Why…we should not give in. Fight… on !
Guardian writer went to visit the radical, sets the scene thisaway:
If you haven't heard of “algorithmic rents” this is your intro. For a radical, one must admit he's a colourful trier. I'd prefer a winner though – he hasn't figured out where his leftism went wrong yet. Try harder!
Maybe you could try harder Dennis!
I thought it was implicit in the article
Left and right has given way to the techno oligarchies
That's not a valid reason to abandon leftism as a strand of political thought though. Better to learn from failure, I reckon. More consistent with human nature.
Of course, if the activist is entrained within a political ecosystem with hegemonic belief that leftists can't learn from failure due to believing they're always right, you get a monoculture that will oppress dissenters.
Rather than head for history to cite stalinism as classic example, better to refer to contemporary political context. Focus on that chasm he mentions in the report (between head of state & minister of finance) where the leader betrays the expert when both are in overt solidarity as ruling cadre. The psychodynamics that drove the outcome into effect are where learning ought to focus.
So you think the "failure" of Varoufakis's leftism was a psychological failing?
Yeah but it points to something more significant, for which I seek an explanation. I'm not into personal criticism of the guy, it's just that leaders ought to proceed to learn from experience so as to win next time.
Radicals are best not viewed as a spent force – better to see them as somewhat out of tune with the masses. There's a philosophical question here: can a radical ever resonate with the masses? No binary answer, based on my life experience – it seems conditional on time & space & social context. That triad makes for relativity of meaning between person & group, so we can't generalise much.
I'd like to see leftists get ahead via a fresh approach to politics, embracing leading-edge thought in young generations for relevance. He's one such youngster with proven ability at the top level. I'm not clear on his originality of thought (due to msm reporting) but the interview failed to show any.
Oh well
I guess it was unspeakably radical in the past for women to have the vote, or for homosexuals to be able to marry
Pretty well accepted by the masses now
Indeed. Retrospectively we can rationalise a `spirit of the age' that transforms us collectively. Those two transformations were based on shifting perception of minority group rights whereas the angst in society nowadays seems more generally felt on an emotional level which is tacit in most folk. We await whoever can articulate it, make it specific in relation to necessity, to drive societal change via collective force…
There is no coalition of chaos in Labour.
But there will be a Coalition of Con Artists in the gang of three being touted.
If FirstNatAct or NatActFirst or ActFirstNat or any variation gets in it’s going to be a Circus. Who gets the title?
Three supreme egos with not much iq or eq input,plus non thinking subservient minions.
What’s not to like lol.
Blood on the floor.
Have to say, that I recall the same level of speculation – from the Right – about the chaos arising from a Labour/NZF government in 2017.
They were proved wrong. Peters was not obviously disruptive – clearly the size of the baubles of power was appropriate.
My Daughter and I drove from Just outside of Rotorua to Taihapa yesterday and were surprised at the quantity of election hordings, specifically the lack of Labour ones of which we counted only 10 on the entire drive which was less than even New Zeal's hoardings.
Overall Labour's hoardings were out numbered roughly by Greens 2:1, NZ First 1.5:1, Act 3:1, National 4:1.
Admittedly we drove only on the Main Highway/Route and assume that there would be more signs within the suburbs but would be interested to hear from other parts of the country what others are finding re the visibility of election hoardings.
This is the case every election. The countryside is Tory and like Faulkner's Snopes clan, the Nats exercise control over the small dirt-poor towns scattered through their estates, where it's dangerous for your job prospects to be known as a lefty. We drove from Auckland to Wellington over two days about a week before the Labour 2020 landslide election – and it was exactly the same. Your desire to read something special into the phenomenon this time round is curious, but not unexpected.
"… the small dirt-poor towns scattered through their estates, where it's dangerous for your job prospects to be known as a lefty."
I believe that attitude is now prevalent in some urban electorates. Having lived in the North Shore electorate for the past 40 years, there are noticeably less Labour hoardings this year than in the past.
As someone who has sported a Labour bill-board on my driveway fence for the past five elections, I seriously considered not having one this time. In the end I agreed to small one. In the past there has been vandalism and last time the hoarding had to be replaced three times. So far so good… although there is evidence someone tried to remove this latest but not succeeded – not yet.
I think it is highly likely that the level of vitriol towards this government – all of which has been driven by Labour's opponents both parliamentary and in the media – has caused people to feel less safe and potentially open to harassment if they openly express their support for Labour.
I certainly can feel it in some places but I'm old and weary and frankly don't care what people think any more.
Good on you. Having no more effs to give is one small compensation for getting older.
I agree
Anne I know where you are coming from.
I live in a Central Otago town which is National. I'm a staunch Labour supporter and have never hidden the fact, which sometimes has brought snide remarks. But I don't give a big rat's backside. Like you Anne, I'm too old to care these days.
I shall roll up to the polling booth on October 14 proudly wearing my red top as I always do, to cast my vote. If it’s a hot sunny day, I might even wear my green sunhat. That should confuse the masses .. hee hee.
All the best Anne.
So what you are saying you just vote labour no matter what they offer or don't offer.
weather it is good or bad.
“I might even wear my green sunhat. That should confuse the masses ..”
I contemplated ringing the Greens and also offering them a place on my fence but decided that could be pushing my luck a bit far. They are a politically conservative bunch around my place. I know that because I've overheard the dulcet tones of Mike Hosking on ZB radio. Nice people really but political ignoramuses.
No desire of anything.
I did wonder if it was possibly due to:
A) the funding issue but that wouldn't explain the difference in numbers even when compared to smaller party's.
B) Labour utilizing different modes of advertising which is possible I can say I seen significantly more or less of their adverts via other methods.
C) Vandalism, not any specific evidence of Labour signs being targeted or anybody signs being significantly damaged (less than 5 from all parties combined which I was very surprised of).
D) I did consider the possibility of passing through other parties strong holds but that answer doesn't seem to hold true when considering the number of other left leaning parties signs eg Green, Maori Party.
Based from you explanation it seems it just is. Perhaps it is simple as Labour preferring to place their signage more in the "burbs" vs main traffic flows.
I don't know but thought others here might be able to shed more light which you have done. Thank you.
As AB wrote @5.1, best not to read too much into it imho. If the number of political party hoardings is indicative of voting patterns, then NAct have nothing to worry about, and they won't be needing NZF – although there seems to be some uncertainty?
Wealth inequality has eroded the resilience of Kiwi society almost beyond repair, and yet a few very wealthy Kiwis clearly feel they need to be wealthier still to be happy, and/or perhaps to feel safe and in control?
Ah well, we reap what we sow
https://climate.nasa.gov/effects/
"yet a few very wealthy Kiwis clearly feel they need to be wealthier still to be happy"
I personally suspect those Kiwis feel a need for other people to be poorer and will merrily contribute to those who will try to make it happen
Actively impoverishing Kiwis might be a motivating factor for some very wealthy individuals. I would hope, however, that for most this very real impoverishment is not uppermost in their minds, but rather is simply incidental to craving wealth beyond the dreams of avarice.
One could always ask the very wealthy, but could you trust their answers?
Judging by NAct’s regressive tax/hoax policies, they can’t perceive the problem.
When I was a candidate many elections ago, I put a 2.4×1.2 m sign (worth about $60 now) up in a rural corner, 10 metres onto a farmer's paddock plus a smaller one further up the road.
As I was erecting the hoarding, a ute drove by with two men and a dog aboard. One of the men called out that the sign would not last long. It went overnight. The thieves had to trespass onto private property to take it. The hoarding would have cost $60 today. I had to travel 200kms to replace it!
The smaller sign went as well and the fearful woman who gave me permission to erect it would not have it replaced as it too was on a private, rural property.
Some lessons from this. Some rural dwellers are lawless, undemocratic, thieves and vandals, terrorising their neighbours. They have a real sense of intolerance and territorial 'rights'.
But the biggest lesson was that, in the case of the ute mentioned above, the most intelligent animal hanging out its tongue on it rode on the tray of the ute.
Recently in ohakune all the signs except te party moaris signs were vandalized!!
Mr Nobody. I liked what AB said in regard to the Tory countryside. But for now, I will report on what I have noticed in our electorate of Ohariu. Something interesting has happened.
Usually the split of Labour Vs National (but sadly hardly any Green) hoardings on private property is fairly even. You will get suburbs where one party will be more dominant. For instance Khandallah has more blue signage where as in Newlands you will see more red.
This time, there is a thrilling absence of blue! This is the seat that Nicola Willis is trying to take from Greg O Connor.
I have a Labour hoarding on my fence on a main road and we have more Labour hoardings in our neighbourhood than usual. There are less National hoardings in our neighbourhood and in general, around the electorate than usual. I have seen two ACT hoardings on private property and that hasn't happened before. Funnily enough they are on rather dilapidated sections. (Maybe they belong to the landlord?).
That is what is happening here.
This wasn't just in the rural areas our count started just before Rotorua and right through the main route in town to the turn off towards Rotorua.
In that stretch was the where we counted the majority of Labour hoardings (7). But to put in comparison one corner site had 5 National hoardings.
Rotorua also had probably the biggest hoarding for the local Maori Candidate (don't remember their name sorry) but it was the size of a full sized advertising site (I'm guessing 2mx3m if not bigger) which looked awesome.
Btw we counted:
1 between Rotorua and Taupo
1 between Taupo and Taurangi
1 between Taurangi and Taihapi
We (inner suburb Auckland) have about equal numbers of National and Labour ones (including sharing the same fence, in a highly non-partisan approach by the owner). Very, very few Green. And only a couple of NZF. I think I might have seen one ACT one. Several from the very minor 'nutter' parties.
I wonder if the smaller parties are saving their money. I truly doubt that election hoardings change anyone's mind…..
Luxon says "New Zealand First hasn’t gone with National in 27 years – and could choose Labour again." Interesting he says that when he himself would prefer a two-party coalition, while Hipkins has ruled out forming a government with Peters.
"Dear Chris,
It's crunch time in this election campaign with overseas voting opening on Wednesday and advance voting opening next Monday.
I’ve been on the campaign trail for three weeks and one thing is clear – Kiwis feel we’re heading in the wrong direction. I've lost count of the number of people who say to me – if you don’t win, I’m leaving.
It's clear you want change. But to get change, you have to vote for change.
Just ask yourself this: how will you feel if you wake up after the election and we have a Labour-Greens-Te Pāti Māori coalition set to take a wrecking ball to our economy? If that’s not the Government you want, then don’t leave it to chance.
Please Party Vote National.
This is really important because, every MMP election is tight and I expect the result to be extremely close this time too.
Lots of people have been asking me about minor parties and how we might form a coalition government.
So here’s the deal…
First and foremost, if you want to change the government, please give your party vote National.
Beyond that, my preference is to form a strong and stable two party coalition government between National and ACT.
I believe that government would be in the best interests of New Zealanders at this very uncertain time.
However, if New Zealand First is returned to Parliament, and I need to pick up the phone to Mr Peters to keep Labour and the Coalition of Chaos out, I will make that call.
Frankly, I think Chris Hipkins will ultimately do exactly the same thing.
That’s not my first preference but we all remember 2017.
New Zealand First hasn’t gone with National in 27 years – and could choose Labour again.
That decision is ultimately up to you.
So, if you want to change the government, then I’m asking you to vote for change and choose a better New Zealand.
I’m asking you to please Party Vote National.
Thank you,
Christopher Luxon"
The cracks in their credibility are starting to show. Going from "We have won this"…. to
"Vote it is going to be close and I (gulp) might need Winston".
Nicola's hand waving one liner on Q&A hasn't helped their case regarding modelling.
Luxon walking away over and over from journalist questions on Policy holes is also a fail. Him indoors says, “Fast talking snake oil salesman”
Bit by bit the veneer of credibility gets chipped away. 3 weeks is a banana skin.
Those who are wavering, remember how the Nats sold social houses and other assets to wealthy marketeers in "the open market" last time, under their mantra of "The Market will fix it." We know how that went. imo.
Noticed that too Patricia.
"I've lost count of the number of people who say to me – if you don’t win, I’m leaving……."
Lost count….this from the man who says he is "good with numbers"….and people are free to leave if they want to…..Muldoon had a brutal quip on that topic…..
Edited for accuracy.
We can campaign in the centre and go further right after the election with ACT, if NACT have a majority.
Where further right, we will neither confirm nor deny till after the election. Buyer beware.
And for the gullible/protest voter, forget any "buyers..remorse" . Once NAct start the slashing, there will be…no holding back.
I wonder what their internal polling is showing? Perhaps it shows ACT falling and NZF rising, making 61 seats for a pure NACT coalition a bit dicey.
Either way, it looks like the "abomination combination" (NACT) or the "coalition of crackpots" (NACT First) unless Hipkins pulls a loaves and fishes act or turns water into sausage rolls.
Chris Hipkins has ruled out Winston Peters and will not ultimately do exactly the same thing.
I think NZ first said they would not work with Labour a long time ago .
then HIPKIN said he would not work with them.
so it was nz first that decided that they would not work with labour.
Hipkin as usual no idea of his own just started the obvious.
The left still interested in that type of stuff or is that so 2016?
https://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/PA2307/S00139/labour-breaks-a-new-record-in-child-poverty.htm
Oh really…
Sabine links to a National Party press release with enough holes in it… it could be used as a sieve. We already know how much integrity there is in National's accounting skills – zero. See Tax-cuts 2023.
Pull the other one.
Well we do know the thinking of National is that being on a benefit and being in poverty is synonymous, because this has been National Party policy (since 1990-91).
Labour has brought in a much higher level of part-time work income before benefit abatement, a higher base payment, the winter energy payment, and the food in schools programme and other free stuff – no school fees/health/dentist/prescriptions/public transport and is trying to boost the number of income related rental homes.
National Party press release, lol. What do you think National's ideas are around getting people off benefits?
"Work will set you free"
https://www.speakupforwomen.nz/post/media-release-ministry-staff-told-don-t-use-male-or-penis-when-referring-to-male-lesbians?utm_campaign=45466310-4610-4758-a2bc-dbbe9bcb5db1&utm_source=so&utm_medium=mail&cid=7f4c8e0a-aa2a-44c1-9fc3-5db780e2856c
A story about a whistle blower, Emma Barraclough, who worked for the Mof T. During a Diversity and Inclusion training she asked some questions about same sex attraction as she has a relative who is lesbian. Read what happened next (spoiler alert, it involved the Deputy CEO writing and meeting with her to chatise her.
A lesbian with a penis!!!!
Some needs to slap the people pushing this shit and tell them to wake the fuck up, fucking mind numbing ridiculous clap fuck trap,
I'd go on but people might think I'm joking,
Stupid fuckers
The lowest of the low brow humor used to say that as a joke.
Man: "I think I might be lesbian too!" etc.
Unfunny then, but now we're supposed to take it seriously, it's absurd.
https://www.speakupforwomen.nz/post/the-day-insideout-came-to-the-ministry-of-transport?s=04&fbclid=IwAR1Nblg4f-TKGeA7k-uTSiRKXU1AANbIDeDte_OPz3em3VNmzLKOH_RMe6g
This is Emma's the whistle blowers story in her own words. What happened with the Ministry of Transport held an Diversity and Inclusion training session and she used the term male bodied when asking if lesbians should accept transwomen into their dating pools.
Go Emma, if the fuckers don't see sense move on no point surrounding yourself with stupid morons.
Agree Bwagon, but unfortunately this training is pervasive across the public service and beyond, (.NGOs and Professional Bodies).
The fact that Emma respectfully challenged it, then the Deputy CEO wrote her a letter and followed this up with an hour long meeting to chastise her, is nothing but 1984
Thanks for the link, the situation described is bewildering.
It’s interesting when I catch up with people outside of the workplace, most people seem to think this is complete BS. Even my younger gay/bisexual nephew and his gender ambiguous friends think some of this stuff is weird…
That's because it is. but of course people are entitled to all sorts of beliefs. but why they are taught as part of a govt training module, which the tax payer pays for and why any dissent is shut down is the real scandal!
Remember this next time someone talks about those "marginalised and oppressed" trans and gender diverse people. We are being required to signify our acceptance of gender ideology in every facet of our dealings with the State.
Afficionados of the weird will like this story about ancient dead aliens found underground in Peru: https://edition.cnn.com/videos/us/2023/09/23/mexico-congress-alleged-alien-corpse-neil-degrasse-tyson-ebof-vpx.cnn
Sceptics counter-claim that this investigative journalist is doing a re-run of a similar claim in 2017 which the Peruvian govt said was fake. Conspiracy theorists will get off on that official verdict coming from their prosecutor's office instead of science!
https://apnews.com/article/extraterrestrials-ufo-mexico-congress-af7d54fabf3278ef83c39d899c457c76
I believe the spirit of the "Piltdown man" is alive and well
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Piltdown_Man
I read a real good book about that years ago. A real eye-opener into how academic competition can warp judgments & morality.
In this extra-terrestrial case, I thought the promoter looked dubious. He cited archeological dating yet the report did not include who did that – if it happened. Nor did it include the site of extraction details such as which archeologists did the dig.
Otoh, none of those reports included evidential support for the sceptics either, so I have to rate the thing a nil-all draw…
Around 60 women a year die from cervical cancer in NZ.
Those who want to vote for a right-wing government, simply because any change is good, might want to reflect on which parties support screening, and which do not.
(Note: "have a look at" is politician-speak for "kick the can down the road")
Election 2023: National mulls free cervical cancer screening policy, Luxon says – NZ Herald
I see Labour has promised to appoint a Minister of Just Transitions. That is sure to be a vote winner because I think everyone loves geek speek. I wonder who came up with the catchy title btw.
NAct pollies burying their heads in sandbags perhaps – any new NAct Ministers promised, or just a slash and burn approach?
Interesting times.
Dim bulb-Brownlee was incandescent with rage about 'nanny state' energy-efficient lighting. The well-being of spaceship Earth – our only home – isn't a NAct priority.
"It’s a case of slower to go faster." Sounds ponderous – back to the drawing board?
Thank NAct for the gift of laughter.
IDK – perhaps we should thank Labour for the gift of laughter – "Minister of Just Transitions" seems pretty risible to me.
"Pretty risible" – pourquoi? Genuinely curious.
We live in increasingly interesting times – overshoot BAU is unsustainable. Mitigation and adaptation through just transitions will be the name of the 'game', and governments will have a role – unless they leave their run too late.
Risible, or forward-focused initiatives? Hopefully there'll be time to tell.
One thing's for sure, no way any govt position with 'just' in its name would survive a regressive ACT-level cull – this would be some 'transition'.
Good grief, I have to agree with you there ts. What a dreadful name. I gather it means – in large part – the transition to renewable energies. Well, call it that: the Ministry for Renewable Energies – MRE for short.
Yeah. It sort of sounds like something to do with gender reassignment lol. And, isn't it along the lines of what James Shaw is already doing? So, it seems a bit superfluous to me.
Does Luxons calling first dibs on NZF mean that possibly their internal polling are tanking? Whiff of desperation there methinks. Also would like to add that when asked about his honesty Luxon replies with obligatory American showing of teeth that he was 100% honest. Possibly paraphrasing but what he did say. Isn’t that a big fat lie? Just asking.
Ooohhh…. sirjohnkey is on Lisa owens. Begs the question …Why? I wonder if she will get Jacinda on. Fundamentally he would rule Winnie in. Yadayadayada.But. Slippery as usual. Omg. What a waste of time. Luxon is a friend. Yada Yada. Still a wanker. Needs a listen to. Why do they keep dredging up the worst prime minister NZ has ever had ?
Nah Ffloyd. that titles goes to RD Muldoon.