I’m always amazed about the level of sheer scientific ignorance of most of the climate change deniers. Characteristically ridiculous statements (and scientifically humorous) usually emit from them like CO2 emissions from a coal fired power station.
For instance, Garth George in the NZ Herald on his new years eve article said
In Britain, the Meteorological Service, which has wrongly predicted record high temperatures for almost every year since the turn of the millennium, last month conceded that last year would be the coldest year this century. That means 1998 remains the hottest year on record since the Medieval Warm Period 1000-odd years ago. In fact, world temperatures have fallen since about 2002.
I was intrigued by this, so I dug around. Guess what – Garth is inaccurate – not the British Met Service. In fact I’ll give Garth a Joker Award for one of the most inaccurate paragraphs that I’ve seen for a while.
The inaccuracy level of the British Met Service has a mean value of annual forecast error of 0.06 °C between the global temperature forecast and reality since 2000. That is a extremely good prediction rate bearing in mind the massive numbers of variables. Moreover like 2008, this year they are predicting the highest world tempatures since 2005. Garth only mentioned 1998 and 2002. Why not even mention the only comparision year that mattered? For that matter why is he focused on increases in tempature, climate change means effects could go anyway locally or even globally for periods of time. It is the long-term trends that matter.
It is based on this press release from the Met office. But Garth probably read either the Reuters release on the same day or one of the ‘interpretations’ by the climate change denier sites. They are fascinating in the way that they skirt around the facts in the actual press release. However I’d have expected to Garth as a long-time journo to at least go and read the origional release.
It appears that few sites commenting ever bothered to look at the notes on the release. So I’ve reproduced the notes and highlighted a few for Garth and his ilk in the following section.
The devil is in the detail. It appears that Garth along with every climate change denial site I read on this press release, didn’t bother to read the detail. Instead there was an interesting range of spin from the four sites that I looked at. None of them bothered to dispute the science. They choose instead to attack the British Meteorological Service for not being accurate enough, or for ‘spinning’ a story for commercial reasons. The British Meteorological Service naturally run courses on climate change effects. In fact most of the sites appeared to avoid the detail in the release and just made spin.