- Date published:
5:30 pm, July 5th, 2022 - 13 comments
Categories: Daily review - Tags:
Daily review is also your post.
This provides Standardistas the opportunity to review events of the day.
The usual rules of good behaviour apply (see the Policy).
Don’t forget to be kind to each other …
"Such is the essence of Jackson’s problem: he can neither withdraw, nor water-down, the Draft Plan without exposing the Labour Government to the most withering political fire from Māori. His Pakeha colleagues face the same problem – in reverse. If the Labour Cabinet signs up to UNDRIP/He Puapua, then the party can kiss the 2023 election good-bye.
Jackson understands this completely:"
Indeed he does….as always with a fulcrum the weighting determines which way the load will go
I think that there is a real risk of many (if not all) of the Maori seats going to TPM in the next election, over this issue. As Maori (or at least those who are both in the Maori electorates and choose to vote) – will believe – fairly correctly IMHO, that Labour hasn't delivered on the implicit promises.
While that would no doubt be painful to Labour, and to the Labour Maori caucus, it won't affect the bottom line. TPM have made it crystal clear that they will not go into a coalition with ACT (and, the two are so antithetical, that it's difficult to see any way that a coalition could work) – and there is little chance that the National party – on current polling, could govern without them.
I fear the resulting impact will be worse than that…if (and it may be a misunderstanding, though probably not) Labour have courted the support of Maori political operators by promising the undeliverable then they deserve the resulting outcome….there is (was?) an inevitability about many of the aspirations of political Maori but the lack of patience may well set those aspirations back considerably, or potentially render them improbable.
This was a project that demanded the best of financial times….we are entering the opposite.
The problem for Labour is the highly likely exodus of centrist voters that supported Ardern in the last election, that is where the damage will be done.
The shuffling of votes between Labour and the MP will be inconsequential.
I don't know how you work out that Labour Maori have not, "delivered on the implicit promises".
According to the fearful centre, centre-right, and far-right from Browns Bay to Balclutha, this Labour government is delivering the most dangerous, radical change in New Zealand history with respect to Maori.
My guess is Labour will do very well again in the Maori seats.
Trotter is, as usual, about 12 years too late. National and the Māori Party signed us up to UNDRIP in 2010. The He Puapua part is mainly about figuring out how it works without upsetting the existing democratic rule of law and extant Treaty settlement processes.
Id suggest He Puapua is a wish list of politicised Maori….and if Willy Jackson's comments are anything to go by, it's an unrealistic wish list.
We can all write a list of demands that we think will serve our purposes, but the problem is getting everyone else to agree that what we desire is doable
― Otto von Bismarck
Lol…yes politics IS the art of the possible….hence Willie's concern. (as the old outdated bugger CT notes, some things never change)
Our PM has a fantastic smile.
A large fraction of the Russian ICBM arsenal is located on the Kola Peninsula – many silos well within reach of conventional forces from the Finnish border. What is more there is only one road and rail link down the entire 700km length of it, highly vulnerable to disruption. Russia had Finland exactly where they wanted them for decades, now they have only themselves to blame.
Thank goodness the Russians are drawing back from their military build up along the Finnish border.
The draw down in this terrible military build up along the Finnish border, gives me hope that a wider conflict in Europe can be averted.
The military ambitions of the leaders of the Russian Federation were always greater than just conquering Ukraine.
If the Russian Federation had not been prevented from achieving the swift victory in Ukraine, that they had first envisioned, the Putin regime would have built on that victory to expand even further into Europe
Russian military leaders had made it very clear, that if they had achieved their original battle plan and conquered Ukraine that they had their sights set on Moldova and possibly even further afield as well.
The world knows from bitter experience the cost of appeasing an aggressive invader. If the Russian Federation is not driven back to its legally recognised international borders, and learn to live within those borders, the conflict in Ukraine will inevitably become global.
If in the 20th Century, the people of Poland had managed to throw back the Nazi invader to their own border, the 20th Century history of Europe might have been much different. A social revolution against Nazism could have broken out in Germany. World War could have been averted.
If in the 21st Century the people of Ukraine can drive the Russian invaders back to their own borders, the whole world will owe them a debt of gratitude.