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notices and features - Date published:
5:30 pm, December 19th, 2022 - 13 comments
Categories: Daily review -
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The current rise of populism challenges the way we think about people’s relationship to the economy.We seem to be entering an era of populism, in which leadership in a democracy is based on preferences of the population which do not seem entirely rational nor serving their longer interests. ...
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Stand up to US Tyranny.
Peruvians protesting after coup removed democratically elected government.
I don't know….Castillo is a hard line social conservative, who is anti abortion, LGBT, etc, and has also walked back a lot of his economic agenda, so I'm not really sorry to see him go.
More constitutional spat than coup.
Castillo was due to face impeachment so he dissolved Congress. Members of his own party baled on him, the armed forces refused to support him, his lawyer kicked him to touch and a Constitutional Court ruled against him.
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He said in his message that the Legislature "does not investigate and punish criminal acts of its own members."
"Congress has practically suppressed the question of trust, leaving the presidential vacancy unscathed due to moral incapacity, that is, Congress has broken the balance of powers and the rule of rights to establish the congressional dictatorship with the endorsement, as they themselves state, of their Constitutional Court. ”, he added.
Local media indicated that President Castillo also decreed a nationwide curfew starting today, Wednesday, December 7, from 10 p.m. to 4 a.m. the following day.
Castillo urged those who possess illegal weapons to hand them over to the National Police within 72 hours. "Whoever does not do so commits a crime punishable by imprisonment that will be established in the decree law," he exclaimed.
first resignations
Members of Castillo's cabinet resigned following the president's announcement on Wednesday. The list of resignations includes, among others, ministers Alejandro Salas (Labor), Kurt Burneo (Economy), César Landa (Foreign Relations) and Félix Chero (Justice), among others.
Ambassadors Manuel Rodríguez Cuadros and Harold Forsyth, who until today represented Peru at the United Nations and the Organization of American States (OAS), respectively, also withdrew from Castillo on Wednesday.
Even his lawyer, Benji Espinoza, also gave up legally representing him. “As a lawyer respectful of the Constitution, I assumed the defense of the President of the Republic, presuming his innocence. As there has been a rupture in the constitutional order, I feel obliged to irrevocably renounce the defense of citizen Pedro Castillo, ”he wrote.
other reactions
The Constitutional Court stated: “Nobody owes allegiance to a usurping government and Mr. Pedro Castillo has staged an ineffective coup. The Armed Forces are empowered to restore the constitutional order."
The State Attorney General's Office reported that it will denounce Castillo before the Public Ministry for the unconstitutional closure of Parliament.
The reaction of parliamentarians was not long in coming either.
https://www-vozdeamerica-com.translate.goog/a/presidente-de-peru-pedro-castillo-disuelve-el-congreso-/6866334.html?_x_tr_sl=es&_x_tr_tl=en&_x_tr_hl=en&_x_tr_pto=wapp
Here's a question, maybe Swordfish would be so kind as to provide an opinion. Does media promotion of David Seymour and by association Act help the electoral percentages in Labour's favour. In short if the yellow vote goes up can we expect the blue vote to be depleted either proportionally or additionally.
So I suppose is Seymour being an 'arrogant prick' and a 'prize winning wit' an advantage for the red team and a disadvantage for the blue team……….
https://www.stuff.co.nz/dominion-post/news/wellington/130802961/david-seymour-takes-out-quote-of-the-year-with-grant-robertson-lamington-jibe
May I have a punt?
Yes.Jacinda, through her "accommodation" of Seymour's ploy, is doing a "John Key"; that is, inhaling the frisson and exhaling a blessing. Everyone loves her for it. Everyone 🙂
Yes a punt by all means, however I was thinking perhaps a more empirical/statistical equation may be on hand. My punt is it most likely come down to a 'who's got the support numbers game' in true MMP design…….
Hopefully Jacinda can exhale enough warmth to bring back into the fold those lost flock out there stranded in the cold wilderness of doubt.
I searched my folio for empirical/statistical equations, and found this pertinent one…
…not.
Thought about doubt though and decided it's not a cold place, more a fevered, over-heated space, where opportunistic wide-boys with long fingers ply their crooked trade.
Hope this helps 🙂
Or stubby fingers and small keyboards with crooked keys…………wide boys in all..
Given the current edge that the 'right' has over the 'left' in the opinion polls, the answer seems to be 'no'.
Or, at least, it would only be true if there was no overall shift to left or right, and the votes were just swapping between parties on the right or left. We've seen this in the past when National were weak (mid 2021) – ACT gained support. Just as when Labour were weak (pre-Ardern) we saw the Green vote increase.
That's not the case right now, for either National or Labour (although, of course, things may change in 2023)
If you regard the parties as a spectrum, increase for ACT comes from ex-National supporters; but increase for National comes from ex-Labour supporters. [Yes, I know, individuals may vary – I'm talking about general trends]. So a shift to the 'right' is going to deplete Labour, regardless how the increased percentage is split between the right parties.
Just as increase for Greens comes from Labour, rather than from National or ACT.
The 'minor' parties (ACT and Greens) seem to have been fairly stable around 10% for most of the year. Small variations up and down, but not a sustained change.
Which says, to me, that there are roughly 10% of the voting electorate which will support a harder left position, and roughly 10% which will support a harder right one.
The decision-makers are (as always) the centrist voters – who may vote Labour or National (or NZF or UF in the past) – but won't shift their vote to the outer edges of the spectrum.
Seymour is doing very well in the TradeMe comments on the auction. A highly successful piece of promotional work from him.
Stand up to US Tyranny.2022
Pakistanis protesting after coup removed democratically elected government.
Stand up to US Tyranny.2014
People of the Donbas protest after coup removed democratically elected government.
Spot a pattern here?
Peruvians, Pakistanis and Ukrainians are incapable of fomenting their own coups?
Industrial progress at AUT
https://twitter.com/nzteu/status/1604737836560699392