“Not really, his supporters appear to have gone over to Labour.”
Good for Labour but not so good Winnie although if my maths is correct Labour on 42% + Green on 6% = 48% (no Winnie) so while I’m not suggesting all the parties will be on these numbers come next election if they were it’d make things plenty interesting
On the usual drop that occurs for the Green Party between the late term polls and the election we would probably end up with only National, Labour and perhaps an orphan ACT MP in Parliament.
The Greens normally lose enough between the polls and their election result to cause them to go below 5% and, like Winston First they would drop out of Parliament.
Wouldn’t really be a loss though given the way the are only behaving like a NZF poodle.
Wishful thinking.
Greens have just undergone such a drop and that 6% is probably their base. You are in fact hypothesising another drop on top of an existing drop. Pretty unlikely.
Also Labour supporters will not let them go under 5% – they’ll switch if needed.
Of course they aren’t behaving like Winston’s poodle.
They managed to sign up to a system where they are required to vote for anything that Winston proposes, and that Labour are committed to support without even knowing what those things are.
Greens will vote against there own policy to have a marine sanctuary in the Kermadecs. Winston doesn’t want it.
Greens will vote for the Waka jumping bill, even though they were strongly opposed to such a disgraceful procedure in the past when they had principled members. Winston wants it.
I wonder what other commitments has Labour made to get Winston on side that they haven’t told the Greens about?
Meanwhile Winston can ignore them. All his members voted against Swarbrick’s bill. What do the Greens do? Stay very quiet about Winnies lot and blame National.
On second thoughts I will have to change the first sentence in this comment.
Of course the Greens are behaving like Winston’s poodle.
Sorry but your denying this is simply a lie about the reality of the current political world.
They managed to sign up to a system where they are required to vote for anything that Winston proposes, and that Labour are committed to support without even knowing what those things are.
[Citation Needed]
Really, you’re talking out your arse as per normal. Or was it that when National signed up with the Peter Dunne Party they had to do everything that Peter Dunne said?
“Labour agrees that it will not enter into any other relationship agreement which is inconsistent with this agreement and the Green Party and Labour agree that they will each act in good faith to allow all such agreements to be complied with.”
This is why they had to drop the Kermadec proposal. Labour had agreed with NZF, which the Green Party didn’t know ahead of time, to scrap the Sanctuary.
I gather they didn’t know about the Waka jumping Bill before they signed their own agreement with Labour either.
Since Labour had agreed to give it to NZF it committed the Green Party to vote for it as well.
Do you think they know about the “confidential 38 (or 33) pages of things that Labour had agreed with Winston? What else will pop up that Labour has agreed to provide Winston with.
Now stop talking out of your arse and read about it. Then don’t lie about what the Greens are going to have to do to keep in the Limo’s
Given that most of NZFirst’s labour leaning voters went over to Ardern at the election I reckon we’re seeing a bit of vote churn with this poll. Some voters are leaving National for Ardern’s Labour led government and some NZFirst voters are moving back over to National.
Its ok. Labour has two real parties that it can negotiate with and they collectively have at least 10% of the vote. National has a poodle party that now has 0.2% of the vote. This is fine.
Labours biggest problem is not National nor coalition partners….they need to be very careful with their own support in the face of a series of disturbing watering down/backdowns on election policy…the NZFirst excuse will only wash for so long
I see the poll was taken between Thursday, January 18 and Sunday, January 28, which fails to fully take into account the announced signing date (thus Labour’s and Winston’s support) of the revised TPP.
Yes, to my mind there’s a bit of ebb and flow going on but no significant changes. NZ First has lost support to “Jacinda” (rather then Labour) but they will regain most of their base by election time. I suspect what has held National’s vote up has been the pregnancy announcement. There are a lot of socially conservative types who will have fallen for the… “she can’t be PM and have a baby too” rhetoric.
Winston Peter’s is 73 this April – he is gone at the next election, either by voter choice, retirement to a pleasant sinecure offshore as part of his coalition agreement or due to his smoking and alcohol intake finally catching up with him.
There is no guarantee that NZF would be returned without him, or that the party would again form a coalition with Labour (especially if he were not leader).
Which is why Labour-Green 48.3 and National-NZ First 48.3 is so intriguing.
If National panic and remove their leader then their party vote could well fall below that of Labour.
For now they retain voters who supported them during the last term and at the election. Remain their party waiting for return to government.
And they wait for signs of coalition instability or unpopularity to maintain credibility as a party waiting to return to government.
This will last until such a time as Labour is seen to have made a positive difference and this swings centrists behind them. This might take a year or two or three. The margins have been so tight since 2005.
The question for National is can they hold their nerve?
so excited jeremy wells has the 7pm slot with @hilary_barry. jeremy is my favourite kiwi broadcaster. i delighted over the tv he made with havoc in the 90s, eating media lunch has never been beaten, and birdland was divine. he is chiselled and charming and nothing like mike.
Soporific nonsense from Mt Burns, and on the facebook page by “anonymous” Garner saying that there’s no such thing as sexism because women volunteer to do low paid or unpaid work. He then references a paper owned by the Moonists and right wing think tank funded by the Republican party and the Koch brothers as “evidence”.
A feminist friend of mine had her responses deleted, showing the basic dishonesty of the site. The so-called “Wake Up NZ” site, like so many others pretending to be progressive is in fact reactionary.
Yep. I agree with Russel Brown about over the Dirty Politics revelations: “Christ, what awful people.” Key, Ede, Farrar, Slater, Hooton and Garner. Horrible, creepy misogynists, all of them.
It’s the biggest concern with getting a private contractor to do the governments job – the simple fact that the business can simply fold and leave a lot of people in the lurch.
An Israeli government sponsored activist/propaganda group has sued New Zealanders in an Israeli court. This is for writing an open letter urging Lorde not to perform in Israel because the performance could be seen as supporting the occupation of Palestinian lands.
I would say that the action by the so-called ‘anti-terrorist’ ‘legal rights’ group proves everything the New Zealanders said in their letter.
The case could be compared to a hypothetical lawsuit by the then apartheid South African government suing NZ rugby boycott supporters.
This case is an attack on New Zealander’s rights to protest against inhumanity anywhere in the world. The New Zealand government should support any legal costs of a vigorous defence of these vexatious charges.
A listing of 36 news and opinion articles we found interesting and shared on social media during the past week: Sun, March 30, 2025 thru Sat, April 5, 2025. This week's roundup is again published by category and sorted by number of articles included in each. The formatting is a ...
This is a longer read.Summary:Trump’s tariffs are reckless, disastrous and hurt the poorest countries deeply. It will stoke inflation, and may cause another recession. Funds/investments around the world have tanked.Trump’s actions emulate the anti-economic logic of another right wing libertarian politician - Liz Truss. She had her political career cut ...
We are all suckers for hope.He’s just being provocative, people will say, he wouldn’t really go that far. They wouldn’t really go that far.Germany in the 1920s and 30s was one of the world’s most educated, culturally sophisticated, and scientifically advanced societies.It had a strong democratic constitution with extensive civil ...
Skeptical Science is partnering with Gigafact to produce fact briefs — bite-sized fact checks of trending claims. You can submit claims you think need checking via the tipline. Is Mars warming? Mars’ climate varies due to completely different reasons than Earth’s, and available data indicates no temperature trends comparable to Earth’s ...
Max Harris and Max Rashbrooke discuss how we turn around the right wing slogans like nanny state, woke identity politics, and the inefficiency of the public sector – and how we build a progressive agenda. From Donald Trump to David Seymour, from Peter Dutton to Christopher Luxon, we are subject to a ...
Max Harris and Max Rashbrooke discuss how we turn around the right wing slogans like nanny state, woke identity politics, and the inefficiency of the public sector – and how we build a progressive agenda. From Donald Trump to David Seymour, from Peter Dutton to Christopher Luxon, we are subject to a ...
I was interested in David Seymour's public presentation of the Justice Select Committee's report after the submissions to the Treaty Principles Bill.I noted the arguments he presented and fact checked him. I welcome corrections and additions to what I have written but want to keep the responses concise.The Treaty of ...
Well, he runs around with every racist in townHe spent all our money playing his pointless gameHe put us out; it was awful how he triedTables turn, and now his turn to cryWith apologies to writers Bobby Womack and Shirley Womack.Eight per cent, asshole, that’s all you got.Smiling?Let me re-phrase…Eight ...
In short this morning in our political economy:The S&P 500 fell another 5.6% this morning after China retaliated with tariffs of 34% on all US imports, and the Fed warned of stagflation without rate cut relief.Delays for heart surgeries and scans are costing lives, specialists have told Stuff’s Nicholas Jones.Meanwhile, ...
When the US Navy’s Great White Fleet sailed into Sydney Harbour in 1908, it was an unmistakeable signal of imperial might, a flexing of America’s newfound naval muscle. More than a century later, the Chinese ...
While there have been decades of complaints – from all sides – about the workings of the Resource Management Act (RMA), replacing is proving difficult. The Coalition Government is making another attempt.To help answer the question, I am going to use the economic lens of the Coase Theorem, set out ...
2027 may still not be the year of war it’s been prophesised as, but we only have two years left to prepare. Regardless, any war this decade in the Indo-Pacific will be fought with the ...
Australia must do more to empower communities of colour in its response to climate change. In late February, the Multicultural Leadership Initiative hosted its Our Common Future summits in Sydney and Melbourne. These summits focused ...
Questions 1. In his godawful decree, what tariff rate was imposed by Trump upon the EU?a. 10% same as New Zealandb. 20%, along with a sneer about themc. 40%, along with an outright lie about France d. 69% except for the town Melania comes from2. The justice select committee has ...
Yesterday the Trump regime in America began a global trade war, imposing punitive tariffs in an effort to extort political and economic concessions from other countries and US companies and constituencies. Trump's tariffs will make kiwis nearly a billion dollars poorer every year, but Luxon has decided to do nothing ...
Here’s 7 updates from this morning’s news:90% of submissions opposed the TPBNZ’s EV market tanked by Coalition policies, down ~70% year on yearTrump showFossil fuel money driving conservative policiesSimeon Brown won’t say that abortion is healthcarePhil Goff stands by comments and makes a case for speaking upBrian Tamaki cleared of ...
It’s the 9 month mark for Mountain Tūī !Thanks to you all, the publication now has over 3200 subscribers, 30 recommendations from Substack writers, and averages over 120,000 views a month. A very small number in the scheme of things, but enough for me to feel satisfied.I’m been proud of ...
The Justice Committee has reported back on National's racist Principles of the Treaty of Waitangi Bill, and recommended by majority that it not proceed. So hopefully it will now rapidly go to second reading and be voted down. As for submissions, it turns out that around 380,000 people submitted on ...
We need to treat disinformation as we deal with insurgencies, preventing the spreaders of lies from entrenching themselves in the host population through capture of infrastructure—in this case, the social media outlets. Combining targeted action ...
After copping criticism for not releasing the report for nearly eight months, Prime Minister Anthony Albanese released the Independent Intelligence Review on 28 March. It makes for a heck of a read. The review makes ...
After copping criticism for not releasing the report for nearly eight months, Prime Minister Anthony Albanese released the Independent Intelligence Review on 28 March. It makes for a heck of a read. The review makes ...
In short this morning in our political economy:Donald Trump has shocked the global economy and markets with the biggest tariffs since the Smoot Hawley Act of 1930, which worsened the Great Depression.Global stocks slumped 4-5% overnight and key US bond yields briefly fell below 4% as investors fear a recession ...
Hi,I’ve been imagining a scenario where I am walking along the pavement in the United States. It’s dusk, I am off to get a dirty burrito from my favourite place, and I see three men in hoodies approaching.Anther two men appear from around a corner, and this whole thing feels ...
Since the announcement in September 2021 that Australia intended to acquire nuclear-powered submarines in partnership with Britain and the United States, the plan has received significant media attention, scepticism and criticism. There are four major ...
On a very wet Friday, we hope you have somewhere nice and warm and dry to sit and catch up on our roundup of some of this week’s top stories in transport and urbanism. The header image shows Northcote Intermediate Students strolling across the Te Ara Awataha Greenway Bridge in ...
On a very wet Friday, we hope you have somewhere nice and warm and dry to sit and catch up on our roundup of some of this week’s top stories in transport and urbanism. The header image shows Northcote Intermediate Students strolling across the Te Ara Awataha Greenway Bridge in ...
The podcast above of the weekly ‘Hoon’ webinar for paying subscribers on Thursday night features co-hosts & talking about the week’s news with regular and special guests, including: and Elaine Monaghan on the week in geopolitics and climate, including Donald Trump’s tariff shock yesterday; and,Labour’s Disarmament and Associate ...
I'm gonna try real goodSwear that I'm gonna try from now on and for the rest of my lifeI'm gonna power on, I'm gonna enjoy the highsAnd the lows will come and goAnd may your dreamsAnd may your dreamsAnd may your dreams never dieSongwriters: Ben Reed.These are Stranger Days than ...
With the execution of global reciprocal tariffs, US President Donald Trump has issued his ‘declaration of economic independence for America’. The immediate direct effect on the Australian economy will likely be small, with more risk ...
The StrategistBy Jacqueline Gibson, Nerida King and Ned Talbot
AUKUS governments began 25 years ago trying to draw in a greater range of possible defence suppliers beyond the traditional big contractors. It is an important objective, and some progress has been made, but governments ...
I approach fresh Trump news reluctantly. It never holds the remotest promise of pleasure. I had the very, very least of expectations for his Rumble in the Jungle, his Thriller in Manila, his Liberation Day.God May 1945 is becoming the bitterest of jokes isn’t it?Whatever. Liberation Day he declared it ...
Beyond trade and tariff turmoil, Donald Trump pushes at the three core elements of Australia’s international policy: the US alliance, the region and multilateralism. What Kevin Rudd called the ‘three fundamental pillars’ are the heart ...
So, having broken its promise to the nation, and dumped 85% of submissions on the Treaty Principles Bill in the trash, National's stooges on the Justice Committee have decided to end their "consideration" of the bill, and report back a full month early: Labour says the Justice Select Committee ...
The 2024 Independent Intelligence Review offers a mature and sophisticated understanding of workforce challenges facing Australia’s National Intelligence Community (NIC). It provides a thoughtful roadmap for modernising that workforce and enhancing cross-agency and cross-sector collaboration. ...
OPINION AND ANALYSIS:Chief Ombudsman Peter Boshier’s comments singling out Health NZ for “acting contrary to the law” couldn’t be clearer. If you find my work of value, do consider subscribing and/or supporting me. Thank you.Health NZ has been acting a law unto itself. That includes putting its management under extraordinary ...
Southeast Asia’s three most populous countries are tightening their security relationships, evidently in response to China’s aggression in the South China Sea. This is most obvious in increased cooperation between the coast guards of the ...
In the late 1970s Australian sport underwent institutional innovation propelling it to new heights. Today, Australia must urgently adapt to a contested and confronting strategic environment. Contributing to this, a new ASPI research project will ...
In short this morning in our political economy:The Nelson Hospital waiting list crisis just gets worse, including compelling interviews with an over-worked surgeon who is leaving, and a patient who discovered after 19 months of waiting for a referral that her bowel and ovaries were fused together with scar tissue ...
Plainly, the claims being tossed around in the media last year that the new terminal envisaged by Auckland International Airport was a gold-plated “Taj Mahal” extravagance were false. With one notable exception, the Commerce Commission’s comprehensive investigation has ended up endorsing every other aspect of the airport’s building programme (and ...
Movements clustered around the Right, and Far Right as well, are rising globally. Despite the recent defeats we’ve seen in the last day or so with the win of a Democrat-backed challenger, Dane County Judge Susan Crawford, over her Republican counterpart, Waukesha County Judge Brad Schimel, in the battle for ...
In February 2025, John Cook gave two webinars for republicEN explaining the scientific consensus on human-caused climate change. 20 February 2025: republicEN webinar part 1 - BUST or TRUST? The scientific consensus on climate change In the first webinar, Cook explained the history of the 20-year scientific consensus on climate change. How do ...
After three decades of record-breaking growth, at about the same time as Xi Jinping rose to power in 2012, China’s economy started the long decline to its current state of stagnation. The Chinese Communist Party ...
The Pike River Coal mine was a ticking time bomb.Ventilation systems designed to prevent methane buildup were incomplete or neglected.Gas detectors that might warn of danger were absent or broken.Rock bolting was skipped, old tunnels left unsealed, communication systems failed during emergencies.Employees and engineers kept warning management about the … ...
Regional hegemons come in different shapes and sizes. Australia needs to think about what kind of hegemon China would be, and become, should it succeed in displacing the United States in Asia. It’s time to ...
RNZ has a story this morning about the expansion of solar farms in Aotearoa, driven by today's ground-breaking ceremony at the Tauhei solar farm in Te Aroha: From starting out as a tiny player in the electricity system, solar power generated more electricity than coal and gas combined for ...
After the Berlin Wall came down in 1989, and almost a year before the Soviet Union collapsed in late 1991, US President George H W Bush proclaimed a ‘new world order’. Now, just two months ...
Warning: Some images may be distressing. Thank you for those who support my work. It means a lot.A shopfront in Australia shows Liberal leader Peter Dutton and mining magnate Gina Rinehart depicted with Nazi imageryUS Government Seeks Death Penalty for Luigi MangioneMangione was publicly walked in front of media in ...
Aged care workers rallying against potential roster changes say Bupa, which runs retirement homes across the country, needs to focus on care instead of money. More than half of New Zealand workers wish they had chosen a different career according to a new survey. Consumers are likely to see a ...
The scurrilous attacks on Benjamin Doyle, a list Green MP, over his supposed inappropriate behaviour towards children has dominated headlines and social media this past week, led by frothing Rightwing agitators clutching their pearls and fanning the flames of moral panic over pedophiles and and perverts. Winston Peter decided that ...
Twilight Time Lighthouse Cuba, Wigan Street, Wellington, Sunday 6 April, 5:30pm for 6pm start. Twilight Time looks at the life and work of Desmond Ball, (1947-2016), a barefooted academic from ‘down under’ who was hailed by Jimmy Carter as “the man who saved the world”, as he proved the fallacy ...
The landedAnd the wealthyAnd the piousAnd the healthyAnd the straight onesAnd the pale onesAnd we only mean the male ones!If you're all of the above, then you're ok!As we build a new tomorrow here today!Lyrics Glenn Slater and Allan Menken.Ah, Democracy - can you smell it?It's presently a sulphurous odour, ...
US President Donald Trump’s unconventional methods of conducting international relations will compel the next federal government to reassess whether the United States’ presence in the region and its security assurances provide a reliable basis for ...
Things seem to be at a pretty low ebb in and around the Reserve Bank. There was, in particular, the mysterious, sudden, and as-yet unexplained resignation of the Governor (we’ve had four Governors since the Bank was given its operational autonomy 35 years ago, and only two have completed their ...
Long story short:PMChristopher Luxon said in January his Government was ‘going for growth’ and he wanted New Zealanders to develop a ‘culture of yes.’ Yet his own Government is constantly saying no, or not yet, to anchor investments that would unleash real private business investment and GDP growth. ...
Long story short:PMChristopher Luxon said in January his Government was ‘going for growth’ and he wanted New Zealanders to develop a ‘culture of yes.’ Yet his own Government is constantly saying no, or not yet, to anchor investments that would unleash real private business investment and GDP growth. ...
For decades, Britain and Australia had much the same process for regulating media handling of defence secrets. It was the D-notice system, under which media would be asked not to publish. The two countries diverged ...
For decades, Britain and Australia had much the same process for regulating media handling of defence secrets. It was the D-notice system, under which media would be asked not to publish. The two countries diverged ...
This post by Nicolas Reid was originally published on Linked in. It is republished here with permission.In this article, I make a not-entirely-serious case for ripping out Spaghetti Junction in Auckland, replacing it with a motorway tunnel, and redeveloping new city streets and neighbourhoods above it instead. What’s ...
This post by Nicolas Reid was originally published on Linked in. It is republished here with permission.In this article, I make a not-entirely-serious case for ripping out Spaghetti Junction in Auckland, replacing it with a motorway tunnel, and redeveloping new city streets and neighbourhoods above it instead. What’s ...
In short this morning in our political economy:The Nelson Hospital crisis revealed by 1News’Jessica Roden dominates the political agenda today. Yet again, population growth wasn’t planned for, or funded.Kāinga Ora is planning up to 900 house sales, including new ones, Jonathan Milne reports for Newsroom.One of New Zealand’s biggest ...
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The war between Russia and Ukraine continues unabated. Neither side is in a position to achieve its stated objectives through military force. But now there is significant diplomatic activity as well. Ukraine has agreed to ...
One of the first aims of the United States’ new Department of Government Efficiency was shutting down USAID. By 6 February, the agency was functionally dissolved, its seal missing from its Washington headquarters. Amid the ...
If our strategic position was already challenging, it just got worse. Reliability of the US as an ally is in question, amid such actions by the Trump administration as calling for annexation of Canada, threating ...
Small businesses will be exempt from complying with some of the requirements of health and safety legislation under new reforms proposed by the Government. The living wage will be increased to $28.95 per hour from September, a $1.15 increase from the current $27.80. A poll has shown large opposition to ...
Summary A group of senior doctors in Nelson have spoken up, specifically stating that hospitals have never been as bad as in the last year.Patients are waiting up to 50 hours and 1 death is directly attributable to the situation: "I've never seen that number of patients waiting to be ...
Although semiconductor chips are ubiquitous nowadays, their production is concentrated in just a few countries, and this has left the US economy and military highly vulnerable at a time of rising geopolitical tensions. While the ...
Health and Safety changes driven by ACT party ideology, not evidence said NZCTU Te Kauae Kaimahi President Richard Wagstaff. Changes to health and safety legislation proposed by the Minister for Workplace Relations and Safety Brooke van Velden today comply with ACT party ideology, ignores the evidence, and will compound New ...
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Exactly 10 years ago, the then minister for defence, Kevin Andrews, released the First Principles Review: Creating One Defence (FPR). With increasing talk about the rising possibility of major power-conflict, calls for Defence funding to ...
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Abortion care at Whakatāne Hospital has been quietly shelved, with patients told they will likely have to travel more than an hour to Tauranga to get the treatment they need. ...
Thousands of New Zealanders’ submissions are missing from the official parliamentary record because the National-dominated Justice Select Committee has rushed work on the Treaty Principles Bill. ...
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The National Government’s choices have contributed to a slow-down in the building sector, as thousands of people have lost their jobs in construction. ...
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April 1 used to be a day when workers could count on a pay rise with stronger support for those doing it tough, but that’s not the case under this Government. ...
Winston Peters is shopping for smaller ferries after Nicola Willis torpedoed the original deal, which would have delivered new rail enabled ferries next year. ...
The Government should work with other countries to press the Myanmar military regime to stop its bombing campaign especially while the country recovers from the devastating earthquake. ...
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Welcome to members of the diplomatic corp, fellow members of parliament, the fourth estate, foreign affairs experts, trade tragics, ladies and gentlemen. ...
In recent weeks, disturbing instances of state-sanctioned violence against Māori have shed light on the systemic racism permeating our institutions. An 11-year-old autistic Māori child was forcibly medicated at the Henry Bennett Centre, a 15-year-old had his jaw broken by police in Napier, kaumātua Dean Wickliffe went on a hunger ...
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“Make New Zealand First Again” Ladies and gentlemen, First of all, thank you for being here today. We know your lives are busy and you are working harder and longer than you ever have, and there are many calls on your time, so thank you for the chance to speak ...
Hundreds more Palestinians have died in recent days as Israel’s assault on Gaza continues and humanitarian aid, including food and medicine, is blocked. ...
National is looking to cut hundreds of jobs at New Zealand’s Defence Force, while at the same time it talks up plans to increase focus and spending in Defence. ...
It’s been revealed that the Government is secretly trying to bring back a ‘one-size fits all’ standardised test – a decision that has shocked school principals. ...
The Green Party is calling for the compassionate release of Dean Wickliffe, a 77-year-old kaumātua on hunger strike at the Spring Hill Corrections Facility, after visiting him at the prison. ...
The Green Party is calling on Government MPs to support Chlöe Swarbrick’s Member’s Bill to sanction Israel for its unlawful presence and illegal actions in Palestine, following another day of appalling violence against civilians in Gaza. ...
The Green Party stands in support of volunteer firefighters petitioning the Government to step up and change legislation to provide volunteers the same ACC coverage and benefits as their paid counterparts. ...
At 2.30am local time, Israel launched a treacherous attack on Gaza killing more than 300 defenceless civilians while they slept. Many of them were children. This followed a more than 2 week-long blockade by Israel on the entry of all goods and aid into Gaza. Israel deliberately targeted densely populated ...
The Government’s new planning legislation to replace the Resource Management Act will make it easier to get things done while protecting the environment, say Minister Responsible for RMA Reform Chris Bishop and Under-Secretary Simon Court. “The RMA is broken and everyone knows it. It makes it too hard to build ...
Trade and Investment Minister Todd McClay has today launched a public consultation on New Zealand and India’s negotiations of a formal comprehensive Free Trade Agreement. “Negotiations are getting underway, and the Public’s views will better inform us in the early parts of this important negotiation,” Mr McClay says. We are ...
More than 900 thousand superannuitants and almost five thousand veterans are among the New Zealanders set to receive a significant financial boost from next week, an uplift Social Development and Employment Minister Louise Upston says will help support them through cost-of-living challenges. “I am pleased to confirm that from 1 ...
Progressing a holistic strategy to unlock the potential of New Zealand’s geothermal resources, possibly in applications beyond energy generation, is at the centre of discussions with mana whenua at a hui in Rotorua today, Resources and Regional Development Minister Shane Jones says. The Coalition Government is in the early stages ...
New annual data has exposed the staggering cost of delays previously hidden in the building consent system, Building and Construction Minister Chris Penk says. “I directed Building Consent Authorities to begin providing quarterly data last year to improve transparency, following repeated complaints from tradespeople waiting far longer than the statutory ...
Increases in water charges for Auckland consumers this year will be halved under the Watercare Charter which has now been passed into law, Local Government Minister Simon Watts and Auckland Minister Simeon Brown say. The charter is part of the financial arrangement for Watercare developed last year by Auckland Council ...
There is wide public support for the Government’s work to strengthen New Zealand’s biosecurity protections, says Biosecurity Minister Andrew Hoggard. “The Ministry for Primary Industries recently completed public consultation on proposed amendments to the Biosecurity Act and the submissions show that people understand the importance of having a strong biosecurity ...
A new independent review function will enable individuals and organisations to seek an expert independent review of specified civil aviation regulatory decisions made by, or on behalf of, the Director of Civil Aviation, Acting Transport Minister James Meager has announced today. “Today we are making it easier and more affordable ...
The Government will invest in an enhanced overnight urgent care service for the Napier community as part of our focus on ensuring access to timely, quality healthcare, Health Minister Simeon Brown has today confirmed. “I am delighted that a solution has been found to ensure Napier residents will continue to ...
Health Minister Simeon Brown and Mental Health Minister Matt Doocey attended a sod turning today to officially mark the start of construction on a new mental health facility at Hillmorton Campus. “This represents a significant step in modernising mental health services in Canterbury,” Mr Brown says. “Improving health infrastructure is ...
Finance Minister Nicola Willis has welcomed confirmation the economy has turned the corner. Stats NZ reported today that gross domestic product grew 0.7 per cent in the three months to December following falls in the June and September quarters. “We know many families and businesses are still suffering the after-effects ...
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Ouch bill, 9% drop in the preferred PM stakes.
Meanwhile….
“Newshub poll: Labour soars to popularity not seen for a decade”
http://www.newshub.co.nz/home/politics/2018/01/newshub-poll-labour-soars-to-popularity-not-seen-for-a-decade.html
The chickens are coming home to roost for Winnie though
Not really, his supporters appear to have gone over to Labour.
national no mates is steady as she goes (due to a tory voter base with no other choice, other than rimmer)
There is no way bill will take them to next election and the other options…. oh dear.
“Not really, his supporters appear to have gone over to Labour.”
Good for Labour but not so good Winnie although if my maths is correct Labour on 42% + Green on 6% = 48% (no Winnie) so while I’m not suggesting all the parties will be on these numbers come next election if they were it’d make things plenty interesting
On the usual drop that occurs for the Green Party between the late term polls and the election we would probably end up with only National, Labour and perhaps an orphan ACT MP in Parliament.
The Greens normally lose enough between the polls and their election result to cause them to go below 5% and, like Winston First they would drop out of Parliament.
Wouldn’t really be a loss though given the way the are only behaving like a NZF poodle.
Wishful thinking.
Greens have just undergone such a drop and that 6% is probably their base. You are in fact hypothesising another drop on top of an existing drop. Pretty unlikely.
Also Labour supporters will not let them go under 5% – they’ll switch if needed.
Except that they’re not behaving like a NZ1st poodle.
So I suspect that lie is the meme that’s been fed out to all RWNJs from C/T via National.
Of course they aren’t behaving like Winston’s poodle.
They managed to sign up to a system where they are required to vote for anything that Winston proposes, and that Labour are committed to support without even knowing what those things are.
Greens will vote against there own policy to have a marine sanctuary in the Kermadecs. Winston doesn’t want it.
Greens will vote for the Waka jumping bill, even though they were strongly opposed to such a disgraceful procedure in the past when they had principled members. Winston wants it.
I wonder what other commitments has Labour made to get Winston on side that they haven’t told the Greens about?
Meanwhile Winston can ignore them. All his members voted against Swarbrick’s bill. What do the Greens do? Stay very quiet about Winnies lot and blame National.
On second thoughts I will have to change the first sentence in this comment.
Of course the Greens are behaving like Winston’s poodle.
Sorry but your denying this is simply a lie about the reality of the current political world.
[Citation Needed]
Really, you’re talking out your arse as per normal. Or was it that when National signed up with the Peter Dunne Party they had to do everything that Peter Dunne said?
From the Green Party/Labour Party Agreement.
https://www.greens.org.nz/sites/default/files/NZLP%20%26%20GP%20C%26S%20Agreement%20FINAL.PDF
“Labour agrees that it will not enter into any other relationship agreement which is inconsistent with this agreement and the Green Party and Labour agree that they will each act in good faith to allow all such agreements to be complied with.”
This is why they had to drop the Kermadec proposal. Labour had agreed with NZF, which the Green Party didn’t know ahead of time, to scrap the Sanctuary.
https://www.stuff.co.nz/environment/98122008/kermadec-ocean-sanctuary-put-on-ice-by-nz-first-catching-greens-unaware
“Green Party minister Eugenie Sage said she knew nothing of the deal to stop the Kermadecs sanctuary, which she described as a “simply incredible” area and deserving protection.”
I suppose you will tell me that the Greens knew all about this and that Eugenie was simply asleep?
I gather they didn’t know about the Waka jumping Bill before they signed their own agreement with Labour either.
Since Labour had agreed to give it to NZF it committed the Green Party to vote for it as well.
Do you think they know about the “confidential 38 (or 33) pages of things that Labour had agreed with Winston? What else will pop up that Labour has agreed to provide Winston with.
Now stop talking out of your arse and read about it. Then don’t lie about what the Greens are going to have to do to keep in the Limo’s
Given that most of NZFirst’s labour leaning voters went over to Ardern at the election I reckon we’re seeing a bit of vote churn with this poll. Some voters are leaving National for Ardern’s Labour led government and some NZFirst voters are moving back over to National.
“Not really, his supporters appear to have gone over to Labour.”
This seems pretty unlikely imo.
1) Assume some NZF voters leaned towards a Lab deal, and some toward a National deal.
2) NZ then went with Labour, and lost around half their support in the next poll
so either:
A) The Nat leaners went to National (buyers remorse) and the Lab leaners stayed put
or
B) The Lab leaners went to Labour (even though NZF did what they wanted) and the Nat voters stayed put (even tho they didn’t get what they wanted)
‘A’ seems much more likely to me, with national losing a bit of support to labour on account of the incumbency effect.
‘9% drop in the preferred PM stakes’
Judith will be sharpening her knives.
Plural!
hope she is , with her as boss national are fucked,
Pointless poll is pointless.
Ouch Labour; still behind national in the popular party vote; despite Jacinda’s charisma
Ouch NZ First; at 3.7% won’t get back into parliament (lets hope)
I wouldn’t bet the farm on a sample size of 750 – but Labour does seem to be rising – good enough for the moment.
Its ok. Labour has two real parties that it can negotiate with and they collectively have at least 10% of the vote. National has a poodle party that now has 0.2% of the vote. This is fine.
Labours biggest problem is not National nor coalition partners….they need to be very careful with their own support in the face of a series of disturbing watering down/backdowns on election policy…the NZFirst excuse will only wash for so long
I see the poll was taken between Thursday, January 18 and Sunday, January 28, which fails to fully take into account the announced signing date (thus Labour’s and Winston’s support) of the revised TPP.
Wonderful news.
‘Ardern aims to halve child poverty in 10 years’
https://www.radionz.co.nz/news/national/349357/ardern-aims-to-halve-child-poverty-in-10-years
A ten year old child today will no longer be a child in ten years, therefore not so wonderful news for them.
Hell, Ardern may not even be around by then.
The coalition has gone from 50% (its been there for a few years but the amounts for each party have gone up and down a bit) up to 52%.
Labour to a high, NZF to a low, and Greens below their average. Which is the part of the “PM” effect. As also shown by the English result.
Yes, to my mind there’s a bit of ebb and flow going on but no significant changes. NZ First has lost support to “Jacinda” (rather then Labour) but they will regain most of their base by election time. I suspect what has held National’s vote up has been the pregnancy announcement. There are a lot of socially conservative types who will have fallen for the… “she can’t be PM and have a baby too” rhetoric.
Winston Peter’s is 73 this April – he is gone at the next election, either by voter choice, retirement to a pleasant sinecure offshore as part of his coalition agreement or due to his smoking and alcohol intake finally catching up with him.
With Winston gone his party will go with him.
Depends on who replaces him SM. They’ve got just under 3 years to sort that one out.
Yep
Winston’s a bit like my mate the pathologist – even if he dies he’ll be at work in the morning.
loal
There is no guarantee that NZF would be returned without him, or that the party would again form a coalition with Labour (especially if he were not leader).
Which is why Labour-Green 48.3 and National-NZ First 48.3 is so intriguing.
If National panic and remove their leader then their party vote could well fall below that of Labour.
For now they retain voters who supported them during the last term and at the election. Remain their party waiting for return to government.
And they wait for signs of coalition instability or unpopularity to maintain credibility as a party waiting to return to government.
This will last until such a time as Labour is seen to have made a positive difference and this swings centrists behind them. This might take a year or two or three. The margins have been so tight since 2005.
The question for National is can they hold their nerve?
Excellent.
David FarrierVerified account @davidfarrier
so excited jeremy wells has the 7pm slot with @hilary_barry. jeremy is my favourite kiwi broadcaster. i delighted over the tv he made with havoc in the 90s, eating media lunch has never been beaten, and birdland was divine. he is chiselled and charming and nothing like mike.
https://twitter.com/davidfarrier/status/958537219018448896
Nothing like Mike. Someone should make that into a badge!
Nothing like mike and everything like mike
https://www.facebook.com/sevensharp/videos/10156260343547268/
(Link to promo for the new Seven sharp featuring the new.. mike)
lol, I might start watching the news again.
ha ha.
Just a reminder that Duncan Garner is a misogynist prick.
https://www.facebook.com/TheAMShowNZ/videos/1223498464449801/
Soporific nonsense from Mt Burns, and on the facebook page by “anonymous” Garner saying that there’s no such thing as sexism because women volunteer to do low paid or unpaid work. He then references a paper owned by the Moonists and right wing think tank funded by the Republican party and the Koch brothers as “evidence”.
A feminist friend of mine had her responses deleted, showing the basic dishonesty of the site. The so-called “Wake Up NZ” site, like so many others pretending to be progressive is in fact reactionary.
FYI, if you want to know just how the MARRIED Garner thinks of women, https://www.stuff.co.nz/entertainment/tv-radio/71452035/duncan-garner-says-ashley-madison-account-is-fake-but-he-was-signed-up-to-tinder Sure, he’s married, but he’s still looking at women as seminal spitoons.
“Meet the new boss, same as the old boss.” That’s from The Who.
gross.
Yep. I agree with Russel Brown about over the Dirty Politics revelations: “Christ, what awful people.” Key, Ede, Farrar, Slater, Hooton and Garner. Horrible, creepy misogynists, all of them.
Garner married? Apparently separated is now a better discription of his current status.
http://spy.nzherald.co.nz/spy-news/duncan-garner-and-wife-split-up/
Another government contractor on the brink?
https://www.theguardian.com/business/live/2018/jan/31/capita-profit-warning-shares-tumble-markets-nervous-eurozone-inflation-federal-reserve-business-live
It’s the biggest concern with getting a private contractor to do the governments job – the simple fact that the business can simply fold and leave a lot of people in the lurch.
An Israeli government sponsored activist/propaganda group has sued New Zealanders in an Israeli court. This is for writing an open letter urging Lorde not to perform in Israel because the performance could be seen as supporting the occupation of Palestinian lands.
http://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=11985601
I would say that the action by the so-called ‘anti-terrorist’ ‘legal rights’ group proves everything the New Zealanders said in their letter.
The case could be compared to a hypothetical lawsuit by the then apartheid South African government suing NZ rugby boycott supporters.
This case is an attack on New Zealander’s rights to protest against inhumanity anywhere in the world. The New Zealand government should support any legal costs of a vigorous defence of these vexatious charges.
A Wellington marine lights manufacturer being closed down just months after being bought by a Canadian company
https://www.stuff.co.nz/business/101017117/poriruas-vega-industries-closing-months-after-purchase-by-canadian-firm