Dairy prices still going down

Written By: - Date published: 8:51 am, May 8th, 2014 - 51 comments
Categories: Economy - Tags: , , ,

Yesterday the global dairy trade auction was held. This is the market place that tends to drive the internationally traded price of dairy products. Prices are still going down as they have since Feburary. The rate of decrease was less than previous drops. Only 1.1% rather than the colossal drop on April 1st. Hopefully this means that the prices are starting to stabilize at a new level.

GlobalDairyPriceIndex-2014-05-08-b

 

GlobalDairyPriceIndex-2014-05-07-a

But what does this all mean for the NZ economy? Well what better source than our Reserve Bank governor; Graeme Wheeler. Yesterday he gave a fascinating speech to DairyNZ in Hamilton entitled “The significance of dairy to the New Zealand economy“.

The essence of which to me was that the international dairy trade of whole milk powder to China saved our arse (and probably the arse of the National party)  during the latter part of the global financial crisis.

But that for NZ to carry on solely depending upon growth in it is risky. Other big milk producers like the US are seeing the value of our trade to China and will/are gearing up to take a large piece of that action. The Chinese government itself is trying to  improve the quality and production of milk and derived products. It is interesting to see that dairy farmers themselves are increasingly cautious about further value growth – as expressed in their investment decisions.

I’ll probably write more on this over the next week. But here are some more graphs to entice readers to have a look at the speech.

Dairy exports in $NZ

Dairy exports in $NZ

Export market shares (average annual percentage for given year)

Export market shares (average annual percentage for given year)

Share of primary exports to China (annual total)

Share of primary exports to China (annual total) “China is our largest export market for every agricultural commodity except beef (where it is our second largest market behind the United States). It purchases a third of New Zealand’s dairy exports “

Chinese imports of dairy products

Chinese imports of dairy products “A second risk is that a strong competitor enters the Chinese market and threatens our market share. New Zealand supplied over 70 percent of China’s dairy imports in 2013”

Dairy debt (June years)

Dairy debt (June years) “Dairy debt almost trebled over the past decade, and currently stands at $32 billion. It is concentrated among a small proportion of highly leveraged farms with around half of the dairy debt being held by only 10 percent of dairy farmers. Strong export earnings saw the sector’s debt to income ratio improve between 2010 and 2012, although for the decade as a whole this ratio tracked steadily upward”

Value of farm sales and credit growth

Value of farm sales and credit growth “Dairy farmers are therefore generally taking a cautious approach in the knowledge that the current high prices can turn around quickly. This is encouraging to see given the vulnerability of the sector and its already high debt load.”

&&&

51 comments on “Dairy prices still going down”

  1. philj 1

    xox
    Pity we have to sell our principles/ethics/soul to survive economically. The late Sir Paul Callahan said that Dairy farming was never go going to give Kiwis a rising standard of living

    • RedLogix 1.1

      Or as a less erudite but equally smart mate of mine once pointed out; there are roughly 4.2m dairy cows in NZ, for a population of almost the same – and your average Maasai tribal leader would probably be very worried if his ratio of cattle/people had dropped that low.

    • dave 1.2

      the standard should post sir paul callhams presentation from the 2011 labour party congress its an eye opener

  2. Ennui 2

    Fantastic information, it really makes for interesting reading. Well done LPRENT, what was the main source?

    The really interesting thing for me are the geo-political implications. Things like the TPP. China India and Russia recently signed an agreement to become an Asia trading block in raw resources like oil, the clearances to be in gold. The US and Europe are clearly out of alignment with this, it signifies the transition of the existing economic hegemony to the emerging super powers. The US dollar may no longer have primacy in international trade transactions.

    What has gone under the radar in the media here is Obamas announcement of the “Asia Pacific axis” strategy. It signifies the end of the “war on terror”, and introduces the militarisation of the Pacific region by US forces to contain Chinese regional and eventual world hegemony.

    What does this mean to NZ? To early to tell but one thing is certain: it will affect our trade relations with one of the parties. We cant afford to lose China, the rest of the world we cant afford to lose either. We are caught between a rock and a hard place.

    • lprent 2.1

      …what was the main source?

      The two links in the post and a brief mention of the two upcoming events in the NBR on tuesday.

      • lprent 2.1.1

        Duh! I wrote that as I was heading to work.

        The first two graphs are from auction site. The remainder are in Wheelers speech that I linked to.

        • greywarbler 2.1.1.1

          Also it could have been accessed from the comment that I put in Open Mike yesterday, which perhaps nobody except Colonial Viper read, as there was an appointment for guying Judith Collins which most people here attended. I perservered however with some factual stuff about the economy now and forward-looking as below.

          At 22 Open Mike 7/5
          Links to Graeme Wheeler address
          also
          usa dairy competition
          also
          our sixth successive drop in milk price
          and link on
          Invermay closure
          also
          fodder for drought

          and at 16, and 16.1, comments on Kauri bonds and the World Bank
          and how trading in our currency is increasing demand and keeping the price of our currency up,
          and how that is also upwardly affected by the leveraged purchase of NZ dairy prices as referred to in the Reserve Bank governor’s address.

          Followed by a comment from Colonial Viper at 16.1.1 from 8 May at 12.15 am (working in the middle of the night) –
          We’re the obedient well trained pet of international financiers and money managers, lucky us.
          BTW the big aussie banks b[u]y Kauris using the massively excess funds they suck out of Kiwi workers through their usury and high bank fees.

          • lprent 2.1.1.1.1

            Could have been. I literally don’t remember where I first read some of the stuff that I see. About half of my brain these days seems to be used on how to Google something I remember as being correct.

            Too many programming languages and libraries, and a wee touch of politics and history.

            But it was an interesting speech

    • Colonial Viper 2.2

      It signifies the end of the “war on terror”, and introduces the militarisation of the Pacific region by US forces to contain Chinese regional and eventual world hegemony

      Hmmmm I usually expect better and less ethnocentric analysis from you, Ennui. Of course, I agree with you that NZ has to walk a fine line in the coming years, but some of your assumptions are well off IMO.

      Firstly, the US “war on terror” has been going on continuously for over 10 years, and I believe it will keep going on, perpetually. Neither Obama nor his officials will undercut the perfect rationale for their ongoing implementation of the security and surveillance state, for massive military budgets, the stripping back of every US citizens rights and civil liberties, and of course the occasional drone strike/mini-war. Therefore, your statement that we have reached the end of the (very politically useful to the power elite) “war on terror” is, I believe, poorly founded.

      Secondly – “containment” is a geopolitical and military strategy developed during the Cold War, and was the positioning of the world’s richest, greatest military and economic power against the military moves of a single powerful enemy – the Soviet Union.

      It is also a strategy which is utterly unsuitable for use against China. The Chinese economy now matches the US one in spending power, and a block of India/Russia/China/Brazil as powerful developing countries economically outmatches the struggling US. Note that US power is more and more having to rely on military and security state tactics; the degradation of the position of the USD as the reserve currency of choice over the next few years will worsen this effect.

      More to the point, US corporations today absolutely rely on China as both a market and a factory.

      Do you think that the US will therefore be willing to fight proxy wars against China as was done during the Cold War against the USSR (Afghanistan), or in North Korea and Vietnam against the Communist Chinese? Not only is China a major nuclear power but China has successfully surfaced one of its attack subs in the middle of a US carrier group, and has also demonstrated it’s ability to kill satellites in orbit. Does the US really want to go there, or to encourage it’s east asian proxy Japan to go there?

      And finally, comment needs to be made on the assumption that China has any interest in an expansionist global “hegemony.” China as always wants to be the major regional Asian power, and it wants strong trade ties around the world – same as throughout the last 1000 years, incidentally. But building a global empire under its effective control? It think you may have mistaken China for another country. Speaking of “world hegemony” please remind me which nation currently operates or controls over 700 military bases around the world, uses mercernaries in many foreign lands and foreign wars, actively ensures that its corporates are dominant in every global market, and has mass surveillance capabilities which reach into the communications infrastructure in every country?

      • Ennui 2.2.1

        CV, fast answer, I will send some links later, its a case of joining dots.
        On the “ethnocentric analysis”, well off the mark. There is none intended or given.
        Some answers:

        Firstly, the US “war on terror” has been going on continuously for over 10 years, and I believe it will keep going on, perpetually When Osama is dead, and you are forced to pull out of Afghanistan because you cant win (like Vietnam), and public opinion is moving against the “war”, as the military industrial complex you need a “new enemy”. The “war on terror” has played its part but in the mind of the public it is running down so what better than budgets against a “new” threat. This has been planned for and is well documented.

        Do you think that the US will therefore be willing to fight proxy wars against China…as a matter of fact I don’t BUT I think the US (read corporate / financial / military industrial complex) has no option than to resist further Chinese economic growth and power. In short they are “owned” and the US$ is no longer looking invincible. By contrast the Chinese are aware of the money owed them by the USA, they don’t want it to go west. It is the most unhealthy Catch 22 situation you can imagine.

        “the assumption that China has any interest in an expansionist global “hegemony.” Empires are pretty much always money centric, exploitative. The average Yank probably has no imperial ambitions, nor I suspect does the average Chinese. The logic of “empire” however pays no attention to the ambitions of the citizen. Its a balance sheet exercise, and Chinese balance sheets are constructed the same way as US balance sheets.

      • Tracey 2.2.2

        george bush one and two missed the opportunities the cold war gave… the war on terror fills that gap nicely.

        i agree with you, it wont be over anytime soon.

        bin laden apparently said that 9/11 was about making americans unsure in their own land as his people felt from america in theirs. he never needed to do more than that day to achieve it.

    • Draco T Bastard 2.3

      We cant afford to lose China, the rest of the world we cant afford to lose either.

      I really do wish people would stop spreading such tripe.

      We have the resources necessary to support ourselves. Trade does very little for us.

      • Lanthanide 2.3.1

        Depending on the quality of life you want to live, yes.

        • Draco T Bastard 2.3.1.1

          We can maintain near equivalency.

          • Lanthanide 2.3.1.1.1

            Yes, with our cutting-edge $2B CPU fabs with state of the art technology and expertise.

            Oh wait, no, we can’t build those fabs, we don’t have the needed expertise. I guess we’ll just have to trade for high technology that we can’t build ourselves, or otherwise accept a lower quality of life.

            Kiss all your iPods, smartphones, PS4’s and XBones goodbye.

            • Draco T Bastard 2.3.1.1.1.1

              You know, back a few years the US couldn’t build them either. Neither could Taiwan, nor China nor Korea.

              We can build the capability.

              • Lanthanide

                It took decades of standing on the shoulders of giants in order to get the semiconductor industry up to where it is now.

                The other thing about “lets stop trading with everyone else” means it’s very hard to actually attract the necessary expertise to the country.

                • Colonial Viper

                  Oh fuck it Lanth (and DTB), in 20 years no one is going to give a shit about the new Samsung Galaxy S25 if they have a working but ancient Nokia 1100, because trying to get enough unadulterated uncontaminated food for your family into your household is going to take up most of your week, not worrying about the latest 0.2NM process dodeca-core CPU chipset.

                  The other thing about “lets stop trading with everyone else” means it’s very hard to actually attract the necessary expertise to the country.

                  It takes the availability of a massive energy surplus to employ large numbers of highly specialised professionals. That energy surplus is going away. The queues of unemployed university graduates is only going to grow.

                  • Draco T Bastard

                    because trying to get enough unadulterated uncontaminated food for your family into your household is going to take up most of your week,

                    That may be true in some places in the world, it won’t be true of NZ.

                    It takes the availability of a massive energy surplus to employ large numbers of highly specialised professionals.

                    Which NZ will have – if our government gets smart and builds numerous wind farms, helps get solar on every house and builds the infrastructure so that we can make them here.

                    The real hit that NZ will take from the decrease in fossil fuel availability will be in international trade and we’re not doing anything about it.

                    The queues of unemployed university graduates is only going to grow.

                    /facepalm

                    Contradict yourself much?

                    BTW, we had universities long before we had fossil fuels. We’ll have them long after.

                    • Colonial Viper

                      BTW, we had universities long before we had fossil fuels. We’ll have them long after.

                      Sure, but we’ll have universities for the 4% as was the case in Newton’s day, not for the 40%.

                      Which NZ will have – if our government gets smart and builds numerous wind farms, helps get solar on every house and builds the infrastructure so that we can make them here.

                      To use an aphorism from the Archdruid’s blog – I agree that all this could happen in theory, but it won’t, not even in 3 terms of Labour/Green government (which by the way is the last chance this country has to get truly ready for permanent energy depletion).

                    • Draco T Bastard

                      Sure, but we’ll have universities for the 4% as was the case in Newton’s day, not for the 40%.

                      Nope, for the 100%. We’ll need well trained and educated people to do the necessary R&D. Back when we were pre-industrial most people didn’t work anywhere near as hard as people think. The reality is that we work harder today than at any other time in history. IMO, as we get the rich off of our backs, become more self-sufficient and international trade decreases we’ll actually work less while having more.

                      I agree that all this could happen in theory, but it won’t, not even in 3 terms of Labour/Green government

                      If, after three terms of Labour/Greens we still haven’t got them then even National is going to have to admit that we need them.

                • Draco T Bastard

                  It took decades of standing on the shoulders of giants in order to get the semiconductor industry up to where it is now.

                  Ah, no it didn’t. It took decades of government funding the necessary research. Research, BTW, that we don’t have to do because it’s already done.

                  The other thing about “lets stop trading with everyone else” means it’s very hard to actually attract the necessary expertise to the country.

                  1.) I didn’t say anything about stopping trade
                  2.) We already have necessary expertise and so don’t need to attract any more.

                  • MaxFletcher

                    “Ah, no it didn’t. It took decades of government funding the necessary research. ”

                    Yes Draco, that’s decades of standing on the shoulders of giants.

                    • Draco T Bastard

                      Nope. It was just people doing research that anybody in NZ could do just as well – if the government had bothered to support them. No giants involved.

                  • Phil

                    You’ve been pushing this line for many years, but it’s full of holes.

                    Firstly, you’re ignoring the very real, and very large, fixed costs of all the infrastructure and PME required for NZ to build/manufacture its own everything. International trade is of enormous benefit to New Zealand because we can and do obtain goods and services that otherwise would be, per unit, far too costly to produce ourselves. Then there is also the opportunity cost of the start-up investment – what would we have to stop doing to begin making our own cars and computers? We are, after all, only 4-ish million people

                    Secondly, I get the feeling that you’re mixing up the impacts of absolute and comparative advantages of trade, and then creating an extreme conclusion you think an economist would argue; we shouldn’t do anything because someone else can do the same thing more cheaply. That’s an incorrect interpretation of economics and a demonstrably false conclusion.

                    I acknowledge there are some very real global concerns about market power and monopoly, and the impact these have on trade outcomes and ‘fairness’. But, by and large, these are issues that can/could be much more efficiently solved through regulation and competition law than what you’re proposing.

      • Ennui 2.3.2

        So Draco, do you remember what happened the last time we “lost” a market? Don’t you remember the restraints on trade and the panic that set in when UK joined the EEC and we lost free access to their markets?

        I suppose we could have become totally self sufficient then but we didn’t. And we never will unless forced to because we do not have a natural resource base to support even a fraction of what we think we require. Yes we can grow lots and lots of food, but metallurgy…different issue, not much in the way of ores here. Chemicals…no sources of all sorts. Technology, yes we are good at it but we cannot cover all bases, and hey, it uses raw materials like rare earth elements that we can only get by trade.

        As the oil goes west the whole world will change, and we will change with it. Until then as a national entity we will trade, and if we lose access to a third of the worlds market in one hit we will suffer. In the light of that is the statement about “we cannot afford to lose China” invalid?

        • Colonial Viper 2.3.2.1

          Yes we can grow lots and lots of food, but metallurgy…different issue, not much in the way of ores here. Chemicals…no sources of all sorts. Technology, yes we are good at it but we cannot cover all bases, and hey, it uses raw materials like rare earth elements that we can only get by trade.

          You didn’t need much palladium or germanium to live a good life in 1960.

          The answer is the ‘appropriate technology’ movement of the 1970’s where it was recognised that a very decent living standard could be achieved using the technological basis of the 1950’s and 1960s augmented by the odd bit of robust modern technology.

          But lets get serious – the starting point for self sufficiency is an import substitution programme (as Sutch would have termed it) – and it is not about making our own quad core CPUs and MRI machines, it is about making our own shoes, clothes, furniture, glassware, toasters, trains and a million other daily items that this country used to be able to manufacture, and mostly using its own local resources.

          As for chemicals stock. NZ has coal. What more chemical stock do you want than that.

          • Draco T Bastard 2.3.2.1.1

            and it is not about making our own quad core CPUs and MRI machines,

            But considering that we can do so even without oil we may as well.

        • Draco T Bastard 2.3.2.2

          So Draco, do you remember what happened the last time we “lost” a market?

          Yeah, actually, I do. IMO, it’s part of what drove Muldoon’s Think Big as he tried to make NZ capable of getting over such a shock because the only way to ensure that such a shock doesn’t cause such havoc again is to be more independent.

          And we never will unless forced to because we do not have a natural resource base to support even a fraction of what we think we require.

          And that’s where you’re actually wrong. We actually do have those resources available – we just have to smart about using and recycling them.

          Mineral Commodity Report 17 – Rare Earths and Related Elements

          and if we lose access to a third of the worlds market in one hit we will suffer.

          Don’t think I mentioned doing that either and even in losing China we’d still have the rest of the world to trade with. To me it’s more a question of working to become self-sufficient so that we don’t need to trade to maintain our living standard.

          • Colonial Viper 2.3.2.2.1

            It also means a ground-up reassessment by society what we actually mean by a “good standard of living.”

            We have accepted for too long the US corporate consumerist definition: the cars, TVs, fridge freezers, etc that your household has.

          • Chooky 2.3.2.2.2

            E, CV and DTB…..interesting discussion for all us chooks…and thanks for all the references….very interesting

            ….on balance I agree with DTB…lets go as self sufficient as possible

            …although i dont trust USA corporates /corruption /expansionism/imperialism….nor do i trust China re imperialism/expansionism/corruption and invasion by population…having travelled through Tibet and knowing how this country has been invaded, economically exploited and culturally trashed and the Tibetan population swamped by newcomers

            ….a much increased population in New Zealand by new immigrants is not going to do much for the average new Zealander’s standard of living imo…in fact competition for resources will get worse eg housing, education , health and race relations….however it will line the pockets and increase corruption of the Nact wealthy corporate oligarchy

            ….agree also that we have to redefine what we mean by a “good standard of living”….and this will mean going back to a more egalitarian and frugal society

          • Phil 2.3.2.2.3

            We actually do have those resources available – we just have to smart about using and recycling them…. To me it’s more a question of working to become self-sufficient so that we don’t need to trade to maintain our living standard.

            You and I use much more water, energy, and other resources, to grow veges in our own backyard, than the large-scale ‘corporate’ growers do.

            Am I self sufficient? Yes.
            Is this a good use of my limited time and resources? No.

            • Chooky 2.3.2.2.3.1

              @ Phil…..oh so if they can grow more cheaply … using less water, energy, and other resources eg labour exploitation/paying a pittance ….eg. in China ie using “large -scale ‘corporate’ growers”…..then it has to be better and New Zealand should import !!!!?….no one believes this!!!! ( sprays ? herbicides?animal welfare ? soils? contamination? exploitation of labour)

              ….not to mention alienation from your own means of production and food and quality of life

              ….i doubt very much in any case that corporate growers are more economical with water, energy and resources than the backyard grower….much more likely to be wasteful and exploitative of those resources in pursuit of capital gains

              You ask: “Is this a good use of my limited time and resources? No.”

              Question:…well what else would you be doing I wonder.?….making more money?….not necessarily QUALITY of life…which is the whole point trying to be as self sufficient as possible

            • Draco T Bastard 2.3.2.2.3.2

              False equivalence.

              A society isn’t a single individual and can do everything that is required to provide it with its desired living standard because of the individuals within in that specialise.

              That said, over-specialisation by the individuals within society is a bad thing as people lose connection with what’s happening around them and thus make bad decision regarding the direction of society.

              • Chooky

                “thus make bad decision regarding the direction of society”….and the environment.

  3. Ad 3

    Can anyone alert Rod Oram to respond to this?

    Needs concentrated debate ESP re productivity, risk to Fonterra, added value, etc.

  4. Bearded Git 4

    As I posted yesterday interest.co.nz says dairy prices are down 27.5% since the beginning of the year in $NZ terms. The high dollar, still going up, is stuffing exports.

    • Ennui 4.1

      What I would really like to know is how much export receipts for dairy are, and by corollary what profits are retained in NZ and what capital outflow this causes. i have long suspected that NZ is losing the war to keep profits local, that the concept of a farmers owned dairy sector is long defunct on the basis of farm debt to international capital (banks).

      • Tracey 4.1.1

        can you explain to mean what if any implication can be drawn from our heavy reliance on dairy but it only amounting to about 8% of gdp, as part of all agriculture?

      • lprent 4.1.2

        That would be my bet as well. I rather suspect that a rather smallish fraction of that money earned actually circulates in the local economy for any length of time.

        Wheelers speech notes has some striking material about the level of indebtedness of dairy farmers.

        • Ennui 4.1.2.1

          Yes and I suspect that the TPP is one play to lock this in and force NZ to allow ownership of farms outright to reside outside of the farmers. Really though if somebody owes you eniough they become a wage slave to interest rates so you dont have to invest a lot of capital nor own deeds to land…….

  5. Saarbo 5

    Recently I was at a Rabobank presentation where they highlighted that NZ’s cost to produce Dairy Products is fast catching up to US/Europe, one of the reasons for this is we are feeding our cows more expensive supplementary feeds but the main reason was:…Interest Cost…, because our farmers are now so debted up buying neighbours farms etc. Farming debt is over $50b and Dairy’s share is above $31b I think. What this means is the biggest beneficiary of our dairy proceeds are the Aussie (and a Dutch) banks.

  6. Huginn 6

    For all it’s faults, Fonterra is a NZ owned producer co-op – it’s returns generally going back to NZ farmers. French food giant Danone is beginning to challenge that model.

    (Reuters) – France’s Danone SA (DANO.PA) will buy milk formula processing and packing factories in New Zealand to replace supply lost by terminating contracts with the Fonterra dairy cooperative (FSF.NZ) following a food safety scare last year.

    The world’s largest yoghurt maker is suing Fonterra whose report of contamination prompted client Danone to recall products, including its Karicare and Dumex milk formula brands. Fonterra later said the scare was a false alarm.

    Danone, through local subsidiary Nutricia, has agreed to take over Gardians’ drying plant and Sutton Group’s blending and packing plant, enabling Danone to maintain and increase infant formula exports to China where demand is particularly high.

    http://uk.reuters.com/article/2014/05/01/uk-danone-newzealand-mergers-idUKKBN0DH2AK20140501

  7. Philj 7

    xox
    Factor in the environmental cost of dairy degradation which is ignored, and the economic risk of the dependancy to NZ Inc, and you have a market boom and bust where e con o mists are no all no nothings. I lol

  8. Sacha 8

    The biggest cost of allowing amateurish clowns like Judith Collins to represent NZ in China will be to our reputation for quality and integrity. If other nations can do a better job of reassuring China they are reliable trading partners with genuine food quality systems and sound national governance then they’ll displace us.

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    Nick Wilson, Leah Grout, Mereana Wilson, Anja Mizdrak, Phil Shoemack, Michael Baker Protecting waterways has the benefits of: (1) protecting water from hazardous microbes; (2) minimising cancer risk and other problems from nitrates in water; (3) avoiding algal blooms that are hazardous to health; (4) protecting mahinga kai uses (cultural ...
    SciBlogsBy Public Health Expert
    2 days ago
  • Massey University triggered to rebrand
    by The Council of Disobedient Women In a press release today Massey University announced it has decided to rebrand and reorientate after struggling to be a University for grown-ups. For some time the University has wanted to be a safe play space for wee-woke-misogynists who have been really badly triggered ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    2 days ago
  • Swinson backing calls for a second referendum (again)
    After a brief dalliance with 'hard Revoke' it looks like the Lib Dems are changing ground on on Brexit, with leader Jo Swinson reverting to calling for a second referendum on Johnson's deal.The party has tabled an amendment to the Queen’s speech requesting that any deal brought back from Brussels ...
    2 days ago
  • An odious bill
    The government has decided that someone has done Something Bad. But despite their belief, there seems to be no evidence that they have actually broken the law. So the government's solution is to pass a retrospective law allowing them to be punished anyway, on a lower standard of proof. If ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 days ago
  • National is now the party of climate arson
    So, Judith Collins has done a Facebook rant about climate change, peddling the same shit National has been shovelling for the past twenty years: the impacts are overstated, there's no need to do anything about it, and its too hard anyway (oh, and its so unfair that people who peddle ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 days ago
  • The environmental footprint of electric versus fossil car
    Climate Explained is a collaboration between The Conversation, Stuff and the New Zealand Science Media Centre to answer your questions about climate change. If you have a question you’d like an expert to answer, please send it to climate.change@stuff.co.nz There is a lot of discussion on the benefits of ...
    SciBlogsBy Guest Author
    2 days ago
  • “Manifest” by Andrew Bird – A Song For The Times.
    I came across this song quite by accident. If it isn't one of Greta Thunberg's favourites - it should be.Video courtesy of YouTube.This post is exclusive to Bowalley Road. ...
    2 days ago
  • Passing the buck
    Last month, NZDF's shoddy coverup of what it knew about civilian casualties in Operation Burnham began to fall apart, with the revelation that a report on the matter, which NZDF claimed not to have, had been sitting in an NZDF safe for the past nine years. Yesterday, the man responsible ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 days ago
  • India a major player in Earth observation satellites
    While many imagine that countries like the USA and Europe dominate space activities, in fact India is now a major player on this stage. It launches satellites for its own purposes and also commercially, and has constellations orbiting our planet and returning data of vital importance to that nation in ...
    SciBlogsBy Duncan Steel
    3 days ago
  • The rot at the top (2).
    Thanks to a report from the Acting Inspector General of Intelligence and Security following a complaint by Nicky Hager, we have come to find out that the SIS illegally spied on Mr. Hager on behalf of the NZDF after publication of Hager’s 2011 book, Other People’s Wars. The NZDF justified ...
    KiwipoliticoBy Pablo
    3 days ago
  • Common misconceptions about “Global Warming”
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    An average kiwiBy admin@averagekiwi.com
    3 days ago
  • A climate of tyranny
    For the past week, Extinction Rebellion has been peacefully protesting in London to demand action on climate change. The British government's response? Ban their protests:Police have banned Extinction Rebellion protests from continuing anywhere in London, as they moved in almost without warning to clear protesters who remained at the movement’s ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    3 days ago
  • Collins crushes climate
    An essay by Judith Collins MP reported on Carbon News yesterday seems to show an alarming shift in attitude within the National Party. Collins argues against the Zero Carbon Bill, the Paris Agreement, and downplays the magnitude of climate impacts. The Paris Agreement was adopted in December 2015 and ratified ...
    SciBlogsBy Robert McLachlan
    3 days ago
  • More disappointment
    When they were running for election, Labour promised to overhaul the Employment Relations Act and introduce fair pay agreements to set basic pay and conditions on an industry level, preventing bad employers from undercutting good ones. They followed this up by establishing a working group, which reported back in January ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    3 days ago
  • What do these mother-child studies really say about fluoridation?
    A list of indicators of bad science – many of these are found in articles promoted by anti-fluoride activists. Anti-fluoride activists have been pouring money into a scaremongering campaign warning pregnant women not to drink fluoridated water. They claim fluoride will lower the IQ of their future child. Fluoride ...
    3 days ago
  • Losing Labour’s Mills-Tone.
    Nothing Left To Say: Labour's pollster, Stephen Mills, remains swaddled-up in the comforting myths of the 1980s. As if the experience of Roger Douglas’s genuinely radical post-Muldoon policy agenda was literally a once-in-a-lifetime thing – as much as the party could possibly absorb for at least the next 50 years.MEMO ...
    3 days ago
  • Speaker: Disability and the Royal Commission of Inquiry into Historical Abuse
    The Royal Commission on abuse in care is very significant for the disability community. For many decades last century, thousands of disabled children, and adults who managed to survive, were locked away from families and communities. This was not for anything they had done, but for the perceived threat their ...
    3 days ago
  • Spain is not a democracy
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    4 days ago
  • UK Conservatives hate democracy
    With an unfair voting system, uneven electorates and an un-elected upper house, the UK's "democracy" is barely worthy of the name. But now the government wants to make it worse:The government has been accused of suppressing voters’ rights with the potential disenfranchisement of tens of thousands of people after plans ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    4 days ago
  • What is wrong with our building industry?
    Back in the 90's and early 2000's, the building industry was building leaky homes which should never have been granted consent. Now it turns out they've been building dodgy office blocks as well:New imaging technology has revealed hundreds of major buildings nationwide have defective or missing concrete or reinforcing steel. ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    4 days ago
  • Local bodies
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    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    4 days ago
  • A future of government
      How could government evolve over the next decades? Reports of democracy’s imminent demise are greatly exaggerated.  However, satisfaction with political systems in many countries is low, so there is much to do for governments of all political stripes to improve relevance and trust. Digital technologies are seen as one ...
    SciBlogsBy Robert Hickson
    6 days ago
  • Speaker: Catalonia, interrupted
    Two years have now gone by since the Friday afternoon when my university-student son and I headed out of our Barcelona flat to a nearby primary school, designated as a polling station for the vote that was to be held the following Sunday: the referendum on Catalonia’s independence from Spain ...
    6 days ago
  • Sage Decisions Unwisely Over-Ruled.
    Overruled: The joint decision of Finance Minister, Grant Robertson (Labour) and his Associate Minister, David Parker (Labour) arguably the two most powerful ministers in Jacinda Ardern’s government, to grant OceanaGold the consents which Land Information Minister, Eugenie Sage (Greens) had earlier denied them, offers bitter proof of how hard fighting ...
    6 days ago
  • Government may ban voting in effort to get more people to do it
    More than double the number of people who will vote in this year’s local body elections have tried marijuana or urinated somewhere they shouldn’t have. As local elections look set for the lowest turnout in decades, with many regions falling well short of 40%, the Government is exploring a number ...
    The CivilianBy admin
    7 days ago
  • Woman: Deleted.
    A Statement on Abortion Law Reform by the Council of Disobedient Women   On the eve of bringing an end to antiquated, anti-women abortion laws Green MP Jan Logie intends to write women out of the Bill. With a stroke of the pen, the woke are aiming for total erasure ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    7 days ago
  • The Hollowest of Men Ride Again… SURPRISE!
    Musings continue apace about “the experienced businessman!” soon to be taking up a National Party MP position. Or to be more accurate, being parachuted into a seat to shut down their former MP Jamie-Lee Ross, who despite his own shortcomings shed at least some more light on the inner workings ...
    exhALANtBy exhalantblog
    1 week ago
  • Barbaric
    The Ugandan government wants to murder gay people:Uganda has announced plans to impose the death penalty on homosexuals. The bill, colloquially known as “Kill the Gays” in Uganda, was nullified five years ago on a technicality, but the government said on Thursday it plans to resurrect it within weeks. The ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Fighting Monsters.
    Freedom Of Speech? The Säuberung (cleansing by fire) was the work of the German Student Union which, on 10 May 1933, under the watchful eye of the Nazi Reichminister for Propaganda, Joseph Goebbels, consigned 25,000 books to the flames in a ritual exorcism of “un-German thought”. According to the logic of the ...
    1 week ago
  • The next wave of kaupapa Māori politics: its constitutional, it must be.
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    EllipsisterBy Ellipsister
    1 week ago
  • Night lights of NZ from orbit
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    SciBlogsBy Duncan Steel
    1 week ago
  • Reporters deliver uplifting news to fleeing Japanese residents: they won’t miss any rugby
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    The CivilianBy admin
    1 week ago
  • Government in contentious discussions about whether to put surplus on red or black
    Regional Development Minister Shane Jones is the only Cabinet member in favour of putting it all on green. As Finance Minister Grant Robertson finds himself with an enormous $7.5 billion surplus, the Government has begun intense, at times contentious conversations about whether to put the money on red or black at ...
    The CivilianBy admin
    1 week ago
  • Jordanian teachers’ successful strike has lessons for here
    by Susanne Kemp At the start of September close to 100,000 school teachers went on strike in Jordan.  They demanded a 50% pay rise.  A pay rise actually agreed to by the regime back in 2014. In early October, however, in the face of government repression and threats, the teachers’ ...
    RedlineBy Admin
    1 week ago
  • Why some people still think climate change isn’t real
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    SciBlogsBy Guest Author
    1 week ago
  • The SIS unlawfully spied on Nicky Hager
    Back in 2011, journalist Nicky Hager published Other People's Wars, an expose on NZDF's activities over the previous decade of the "war on terror". NZDF didn't like this, and especially didn't like the fact that it was base don leaks from their own. So, they had the SIS investigate him ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • October 2019 – Newsletter
    https://mailchi.mp/7d9133add053/closing-the-gap-october-2019-newsletter ...
    Closing the GapBy Tracey Sharp
    1 week ago
  • And they wonder why we think they’re environmental vandals…
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    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Climate Change: Paying the price in California
    Last year, California burned. This year, to stop it happening again (or rather, to stop themselves from being found liable if it happens again), Pacific Gas and Electric is cutting power to half the state for a week:Schools are closed. Traffic lights down. Tunnels dark. Businesses unopened. Hospitals running on ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Let’s Hear It For Up-Close-And-Personal, Hard-Copy Democracy!
    The Best Way: Missing from the on-line voting debate is any reference to the voting system that produces turn-out figures ranging from 77 to 93 percent of registered voters. The voting system used to collect and count the votes cast in our parliamentary elections. The system that involves citizens making ...
    1 week ago
  • 10/10: World Day Against the Death Penalty
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    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Talking Freer Lives: a Marxist gender-critical perspective from Australia
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    RedlineBy Admin
    1 week ago
  • Government spin accepted by union leadership
    by Don Franks  The Auckland City Mission is struggling with a 40 percent increase in demand for food parcels this year. A total of 23,020 were needed by June. Last month Missioner Chris Farrelly told the Herald the “cupboards are bare” and without an emergency food drive, he can’t see ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    1 week ago
  • Forbidden Thoughts
    by The Council of Disobedient Women   Massey Wellington Student Association had a sit-in today. Imagine a sit-in. On a campus. Against a women’s rights meeting. Did the ’60s really happen or did we fucking dream it? They gathered in the student square, an echo chamber. Sitting on soft pillows ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    1 week ago
  • Much love to my loyal Ukrainian readership
    For some reasons, my post about the mystery message from inside the Downing Street bunker seemed to catch people's attention.  Quite a lot of hits from NZ (unsurprisingly) and the USA (a bit more puzzlingly, but hi there, USAians!!) and 76 views from the Ukraine.I've celebrated my Ukrainian readers in ...
    1 week ago
  • Another day of bonkers GNUmours (again, sorry)
    First, almost a score of Labour MPs seem to have sent a letter to the EU basically begging them to accept a deal - any deal - just so Britain can get the Heck on with Brexiting instead of being trapped in limbo:
    To avoid no deal, deliver on the ...
    1 week ago
  • Labour vs working class immigrants – again!
    by Phil Duncan In 2016 the National-led government suspended the Parent Visa Category, through which migrants were able to bring their parents into New Zealand.  Since then over 5,700 people have been in immigration limbo, stuck on the visa wait list. Labour is now bringing back the scheme.  Well, sort ...
    RedlineBy Admin
    1 week ago
  • Speak Up for Women press statement: on Massey University and Feminism 2020
    The following was released yesterday (Tues, October 8) by the women’s liberation organisation Speak Up for Women. On 23 September Speak Up For Women announced that we would be holding an event at the Massey University Theaterette in Wellington. The event is called Feminism 2020. The intention of the event ...
    RedlineBy Admin
    1 week ago
  • Farmers support dirty rivers
    The government is currently consulting on plans to improve freshwater quality. So naturally, farmers oppose it:South Taranaki farmers are preparing to fight proposed national freshwater changes that some fear will bankrupt them. The Government's proposed National Environment Standard on Freshwater Management, released in September, rated the Waingongoro River as one ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • No-one cares about local government
    Yesterday was the last day for (reliably) posting your vote away in local body elections. Turnouts are mostly much lower than the equivalent time last year (Palmerston North is down 2.3%), and so naturally people are pushing their online-voting snake oil again. Because the online census worked so well, lets ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • The political ghosts of eugenics may matter more than the genetic
    This essay, on the political legacy of the eugenics movement, by Kenan Malik was originally published in the Observer on 6 October 2019, under the headline ‘The spirit of eugenics is still with us, as immigrants know to their cost’. Birth control. Intelligence tests. Town planning. Immigration controls. It’s striking how ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    1 week ago
  • “Surplus” again
    Another year, and the government has announced another enormous government "surplus". And just like last year, its nothing of the sort. When we have people homeless and sick and hungry, when we have schools and hospitals still falling down, when we have underpaid public servants and infrastucture unmaintained or unbuilt, ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Inside the Downing Street bunker
    James Forsyth at The Spectator (I know, I know) has tapped one of his contacts inside Number Ten for an insight into the Johnson administration's thinking and strategy.It is fascinating, unsettling and quite, quite mad.  Some key points:Negotiations have stalled and the Johnson administration are keen to blame the EU: ...
    1 week ago
  • Taking Control Of The Nation’s Story.
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    1 week ago
  • Are GNUs extinct?
    Another round of tactical talks about forming a Government of National Unity have come to nothing with the Liberal Democrats still refusing countenance putting Jeremy Corbyn into Downing Street:Opposition talks on Monday made little headway over when to try and vote down Boris Johnson's government and who might succeed him as ...
    1 week ago
  • Labour chickens out again
    When the government was elected, it promised to lead the way on electric vehicles, and specifically to make the government vehicle fleet emissions-free where-practicable by 2025.They lied:There are 15,473 vehicles in the government fleet and only 78 are electric. When the coalition Government came into power in late 2017, the ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Transgender extremism, violence at work against feminist meeting at British Labour Party conference
    by Nick Rogers The debate around the meaning of sex and gender made an appearance at this year’s British Labour Party conference in Brighton. Women’s Place UK – an organisation that questions the demand that biological males who self-identify as woman should have access to women’s spaces, to all-women shortlists, ...
    RedlineBy Admin
    1 week ago
  • Rebelling in Wellington
    Yesterday I went down to Wellington to participate in the Extinction Rebellion protest. Its part of the latest global wave of XR actions, with actions happening all over the world. Some of those protests are massively disruptive: in Canada, XR is blocking major bridges, stopping people from getting to work. ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • ‘The Workshop’ – Report: Talking about Poverty and Welfare Reform: A Guide to Strategies that ...
    The Workshop is a charitable trust for public good. The Workshop undertake research to find ways of communicating that will build support for the solutions that work to solve complex social and environmental problems. See their Report on Talking about Poverty and Welfare Reform below. ...
    Closing the GapBy Tracey Sharp
    2 weeks ago
  • Exclusive language
    What is language? We generally assume that it a facility unique to humans, allowing us to share what’s in and on our minds. We can tell of our plans, our past exploits, our knowledge. It also allows us to lie. And yet there are vast numbers of people we can’t ...
    SciBlogsBy Michael Corballis
    2 weeks ago
  • April 2018 – Submission to the NZ Govt Tax Working Group
    You can read our submission HERE ...
    Closing the GapBy Tracey Sharp
    2 weeks ago
  • 2018 – Submission to the NZ Government Tax Working Group
    Read our submission here ...
    Closing the GapBy Tracey Sharp
    2 weeks ago
  • Guardian: Poll shows DISASTER for Corbyn and the End of Times
    The Guardian - ever eager to forewarn of doom and disaster on the left - are leading with a new poll from Opinium, which puts the Conservatives 15% clear of Labour.Con 38% +2Lab 23% -1Lib Dem 15% -5Brexit 12% +1Green 4% +2This isn't good news, and it would be very ...
    2 weeks ago
  • How prostitution became the world’s most modern profession
    Being and Being Bought (Spinifex Press, 2013) by Kajsa Ekis Ekman  A synopsis and commentary of Chapters 1-2 by Daphna Whitmore Ekman, a Swedish journalist and critic, brings together a Marxist and feminist analysis of prostitution and surrogacy in this groundbreaking book She opens the discussion with a definition of ...
    RedlineBy Daphna
    2 weeks ago

  • Methane reducing cattle feed one step closer
    The Government today announced its support for a project that could substantially reduce agricultural greenhouse gas emissions from cattle. The announcement was made as part of Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern’s and Agriculture Minister Damien O’Connor’s visit to Nelson’s Cawthron Aquaculture Park. The Cawthron Institute will receive $100,000 from the Government’s ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    33 mins ago
  • Bill to refresh superannuation system passes first reading
    Social Development Minister Carmel Sepuloni has welcomed the first reading of the New Zealand Superannuation and Veteran’s Pension Legislation Amendment Bill. “Every New Zealander has a stake in New Zealand Superannuation and Veteran’s Pension,” says Carmel Sepuloni. “They are our most common form of social assistance – nearly 800,000 New ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 hours ago
  • Government announces next steps in fight against measles
    Babies in Auckland aged six months and over can receive a free vaccination and children will all have access to vaccines, Associate Minister of Health Julie Anne Genter announced today at Papatoetoe High School.   The move comes as part of Government efforts to step up the fight against measles. ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 hours ago
  • Speech to the New Zealand Institute of International Affairs, Pacific Futures: Connections, Identity...
    ***Check against delivery*** Good morning. It is a pleasure to be here, and to have the honour of opening this important conference on behalf of the New Zealand Institute of International Affairs. Let us take the opportunity to acknowledge all the people who have helped make today possible, including our special ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 hours ago
  • Police trial new response to high risk events
    Police Minister Stuart Nash says the safety of frontline officers and members of the public will be the focus of a new trial of specialist Police response teams in three of our largest urban centres. Police have this morning released details of an initiative to be trialled in Counties Manukau, ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 hours ago
  • New awards celebrate fisheries sustainability
    The Minister of Fisheries is calling for entries for a new public award to celebrate innovation in our seafood sector. “I have established the Seafood Sustainability Awards to recognise and celebrate those throughout industry, tangata whenua and communities who demonstrate outstanding dedication and innovation towards the sustainability of New Zealand’s ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 hours ago
  • More progress for women and we can do more
    Minister for Women Julie Anne Genter welcomes leaders in the private sector taking action on closing their gender pay gaps to ensure a fairer workplace for all New Zealanders. Ms Genter today launched a new report, Addressing the gender pay gap and driving women’s representation in senior leadership, from the Champions for ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    10 hours ago
  • Proposals to curb environmental damage help our coasts and the oceans
    Government Ministers today welcomed the release of a marine environment report highlighting the four key issues affecting our oceans, estuaries and coastlines.  The release underlines the importance of government proposals to combat climate pollution, ensure clean freshwater, protect biodiversity, make land use more sustainable, and reduce waste and plastic.    Environment ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    21 hours ago
  • New mental health facility for Waikato
    The Government has approved funding for a new acute mental health facility for Waikato which will provide better care and support to people with mental health and addiction issues. Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern and Health Minister Dr David Clark announced the $100 million project to replace the aging Henry Rongomau ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • 500 new te reo Māori champions in our classrooms
    The Government is making progress on its goal to integrate te reo Māori into education by 2025, with over 500 teachers and support staff already graduating from Te Ahu o te Reo Māori,  Associate Education Minister Kelvin Davis announced today. Kelvin Davis made the announcement at an awards ceremony in Waikanae today, for ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • Minister James Shaw welcomes 2018 Census first release
    Statistics Minister James Shaw has welcomed the first release of 2018 Census data. The first release of data today, 23 September, includes key data on population, regional growth, the number of homes and the size of different ethnic groups in New Zealand. Data from the 2018 Census will support the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • Driving transparency, ethics and accountability in government use of algorithms
    Minister for Statistics James Shaw today announced a public consultation on a proposed algorithm charter for government agencies. The charter has been developed by the Government Chief Data Steward in response to growing calls for more transparency in government use of data. Computer algorithms – procedures or formulas for solving ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • New Zealand and the Netherlands working together on climate change
    Agriculture Minister Damien O’Connor, Climate Change Minister James Shaw and visiting Dutch Prime Minister Mark Rutte co-hosted a business roundtable in Auckland this morning focused on working together to address climate change.  “The Netherlands is an important partner for New Zealand. We share a strong agricultural history. Sustainable agribusiness and ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • Protecting fairness for workers and businesses
    The Government is taking action to build an inclusive economy where more of us receive our fair share at work and businesses can compete on great products and services, not undercutting wages and conditions, Immigration and Workplace Relations and Safety Minister Iain Lees-Galloway says. Two consultations launched today seek feedback ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • Indigenous Freshwater Fish Bill Passes
    The future for New Zealand’s threatened indigenous freshwater fish looks brighter with the passing of the Conservation (Indigenous Freshwater Fish) Amendment Bill in Parliament today said Minister of Conservation, Eugenie Sage. “Until now, our freshwater fish legislation has been 20 years out of date. We have lacked effective tools to ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Kiwis to take part in world’s biggest earthquake drill
    At 1.30pm tomorrow, hundreds of thousands of Kiwis will join about 65 million people around the globe in ShakeOut, the world’s biggest earthquake drill. The annual drill is to remind people of the right action to take during an earthquake which is to Drop, Cover, Hold, and to practise their ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Rising wages and low inflation supporting Kiwis
    Kiwis are benefiting from higher wage growth and low inflation under the Coalition Government. Stats NZ data out today shows the rise in the cost of living remains low, as annual Consumers Price Index (CPI) inflation fell to 1.5% in September from 1.7% in June. “The low inflation comes as ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • NZ economy strong amid global headwinds
    New Zealand’s economic strength and resilience has been recognised in a major update on the state of the global economy. The IMF’s latest World Economic Outlook released overnight shows a reduced global growth forecast over the next two years as issues like the US-China trade war and Brexit take hold. ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Keeping New Zealanders safer with better counter-terrorism laws
    Justice Minister Andrew Little has today introduced a new Bill to prevent terrorism and support the de-radicalisation of New Zealanders returning from overseas. The Terrorism Suppression (Control Orders) Bill gives the New Zealand Police the ability to apply to the High Court to impose control orders on New Zealanders who ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Improved succession and dispute resolution core of Ture Whenua changes
    A Bill that proposes targeted changes to simplify the processes for Māori land owners when engaging with the Māori Land Court has had its First Reading today. “The approach taken by the Government is to ensure that the protection of Māori land remains a priority as we seek to improve ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Speech to CTU Biennial Conference
    Let me first thank all the new unionists and members in the room. There is nothing more important to improving people’s working lives than people making the decision to care, to get on board and help, to take up the reins and get involved. Congratulations to you. You bring the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Minister ensures continued Whenuapai flight operations
    Minister of Defence Ron Mark has signed a certificate exempting the activity of engine testing at Whenuapai Airbase from the Resource Management Act 1991. The Act gives the Minister of Defence the power to exempt activities for the purposes of national security.  The certificate will mean the recent Environment Court ...
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