web analytics

Embarrassing result for Nats in Botany

Written By: - Date published: 10:22 pm, March 5th, 2011 - 78 comments
Categories: labour, national, uncategorized - Tags: , , ,

So another corrupt Nat minister has gone and Jami-Lee Ross has taken her seat in Botany. What an embarrassing resulting. The majority reduced by 7,000 and Michael Wood reduced the gap from 36% to 28%. Nat strategists will be crapping themselves over the New Citizens’ Party’s result.

Considering that Wood had acknowledged from the start that he wouldn’t win and Labour decided not to waste money on this expensive exercise in Nats replacing the corrupt Pansy Wong, the fact that Wood increased Labour’s share of the vote is outstanding.

You would have expected a low turnout given that there was no real race and no attention but you would have expected it would be Labour and other supporters staying away. Instead, it was the Nat supporters that stayed away in droves. Their vote fell by over ten thousand, Labour’s by less than four thousand.

The New Citizens’ Party result, 10%, will encourage their masters in Beijing and scare the crap out of National’s strategists. Winning immigrants’ votes by scaring them about crime has been vital to the Nats. If the NCP can translate the third of the Asian vote they got in Botany nationwide that’s maybe 3%, and it’s safe to assume most of that would come from National.

I wonder if Pansy joined Key, Ross, Whaleoil and co at the ‘gastropub’ for the victory party.

78 comments on “Embarrassing result for Nats in Botany ”

  1. Yep good result to Labour and well done and Michael and most importantly the Otara part of the electorate swung back. Labour shed votes to National last time throughout South Auckland and this looks like it is reversing.

    Without the tragedy of the Christchurch earthquake things could have been really interesting. Peoples’ attention was properly focussed on the disaster of Christchurch rather than what was happening in Botany.

  2. interesting 2

    Marty, you cant seriously beleive the drivel you just wrote?

    If you want a clear picture of the standing you should compare the CANDIDATE percenatges with the CANDIDATE percenatages from the 2008 election.

    Not much change at all.

    This is like the Mana By-election, less people voted, so to say that the majority is less is obvious due to the number who voted. But when you compare the percentages you see that National candidate has very similar results to the the election:

    National Party: Jamie-Lee Ross – 54.65% (Pansy Wong – 56.22%)

    Labour Party: Michael Wood – 27.85% (Koro Tawa 21.06%)

    Act Party: Lyn Murphy – 4.5% (Kenneth Wang 15.26%)

    But dont let the FACTS get in the way of your post.

    • Interesting. You must be the shift worker at Crosby Textor for the night.

      • Cadwallader 2.1.1

        You lot are deluded! A result if this ilk in an election year is a superb one for the government!

    • Marty G 2.2

      Calm down son. I’ve compared to party vote – as I recall was National’s favoured approach in Mt Albert before Lee blew up – because there’s obviously a big personality vote aspect for long-term incumbents. Whichever way you look at it, this isn’t a flash result. Ross should have romped home.

      Anyhoo, how are you boys at Nat HQ feeling about the NCP’s performance?

      • interesting 2.2.1

        He did “ROMP” home.

        He got 54.65% of the vote (Pansy Wong – 56.22%).

        Almost the same percentage.

        YOu are making yourselves look like jackasses by trying to claim he suffered here.

        Just accept the result, and that fact that there was almost no shift at all (-1.57%).

        Labour have. THey know that trying to make it appear like a bad result as you have done would look desperate.

        • Colonial Viper 2.2.1.1

          Vote for the Right dropped a massive 12.3%, in a Right Wing stronghold, while LAB got a nice bump up.

          ACT voters fled ACT – not surprisingly – but remarkably they did not go on to give benefit to National even one little bit.

          The NACT strategy team will be shitting themselves with this result.

          Yes NAT can be proud that JR held the seat by a clear majority. But the Right Wing foundations of that majority are completely undermined.

          • morofrujurashuns 2.2.1.1.1

            With the ACT candidate describing herself as more left wing than a labour member, it’s hardly surprising that michael wood picked up a few of those fleeing votes. To be fair to crosby/textor, even they couldn’t have dreamed up something as harebrained as getting michael to admit defeat on the opening day.

            • The Voice of Reason 2.2.1.1.1.1

              At least Wood was consistent. Remember Mt Albert? National ran a campaign based on winning the by-election right up until Melissa Lee accidentally told the truth, admitting that second would be a good result.

              Which reminds me. Why didn’t Lee stand for Botany? Asian, experienced by-election candidate, can see the electorate from her house. Ticks all the boxes, I would have thought.

      • interesting 2.2.2

        FYI, I have nothing to do with Crosby Textor or National HQ. What is it with people on this blog site that the second someone says something that they disagree with the standard line is that we must be working for crosby textor or Nat HQ.

        Sad that you think people cant have an opposing opinion to yours without having to be linked to one of the above mentioned. Shows the measure of your argument when you resort to that kind of thing.

        What a sad little swipe to detract from my points.

        • illuminatedtiger 2.2.2.1

          What points?

        • Marty G 2.2.2.2

          Sorry for the insult. You just sound exactly like a nat research unit sock puppet does.
          As for the result, remember Labour wasn’t even trying, unlike Parata’s campaign in Mana. And, yet, wood improved labour’s share and the nat voters stayed away.

          • Lanthanide 2.2.2.2.1

            Well I agree with ‘interesting’, although wouldn’t have phrased it the same way.

            Do you think I sound like a nat research unit sock puppet?

        • lprent 2.2.2.3

          It is more the style of how you make your comments that leads them to suspect it.

          Repetitively churning a simple repetitive message through a large number of comments where you don’t say anything new. You also don’t really engage with anyone else except when you indulge in faux outrage. These are all things that we have seen before.

          Basically acting like a troll in my opinion (and since I do much of the moderation, that is the definitive opinion). Now on these posts I am pretty unconcerned – they will be quite partisan and even long standing commentators are trolling. In some ways your shallowness is an essential part of the debate. It reminds readers of the political choices.

          If it interferes in posts where there is discussion going on, then it is a different story. I suggest you read the policy.

    • Fisiani 2.3

      [Had your warning fisi…. either get some content into your comments or get deleted….RL]

  3. Sid 3

    Oh wow
    National has taken a huge drop in favour.From 55.775% in 2008 to 55.65% today
    Straw, straw ,straw

    There’s three more you can cling to Marty

    • Deadly_NZ 3.1

      What a bunch of NACT trolls we have in here extolling the virtues of a Never worked in his life trough feeding, parasitic Nat politician. BUT for all their spin on the Numbers being the same here is one they cant get away from is that the total amount of people that voted for Ross this time was LESS than Patsys Majority in 2008. SO there you go trolls stick that in your pipe and smoke it and go cry to Whale oil and Shonky The NACTS will be crapping as Only 34% even bothered to come out and vote at all. Oh yes the numbers so the Trolls can cry even harder.
      http://electionresults.govt.nz/2011_botany_byelection/electorate-3.html
      http://electionresults.govt.nz/electionresults_2008/electorate-3.html
      SO in 2008 Patsy got nearly 18000 votes and this year Ross got just over 8000 in my book thats a loss of 10000 votes that either 1: went elsewhere or 2: could not be bothered voting at all.

      A gastropub ? Somewhere you go to get a Bellyache?

      • interesting 3.1.1

        Deadly, you are grasping at straws arent you.

        All that matters is how the vote of those that did vote went. Nats bascially went un changed. Labs went up a bit (partly due to greens not having a canidate, partly that they just gained).

        But I am happy to let you all live in fantasy land. Makes you look rather sad really.

        captcha: try – yes you are try-ing. facts speak for themselves though.

        • Deadly_NZ 3.1.1.1

          Me grasping at straws??????? You are the ones that don’t seem to get it yes you won woo hoo big deal. However I will type slowly so you can keep up. Anyway yes he got 54% of the vote his total vote was 8150. Pansys Majority was 10872 Now Pansy g,ot 17382 votes and this time the total amount of voters was 14911. So here’s why I think you are in trouble and the question is this if the Smiling wanna be key won, how many of the 18000 voters that did not even bother to vote were NACTS from last time around. Who are sick of the NACTS shenanigans. Yes he won, well sorta, yes he had the same margins , well sorta NO he lost because NO ONE voted for anyone. And about 9000 of the No shows were NACTS from last time. and thats about 50% as well

      • hobbit 3.1.2

        “of a Never worked in his life trough feeding, parasitic Nat politician”

        Wrong party…

        • Colonial Viper 3.1.2.1

          Hahaha so sad that YOU of all people are now supporting J.R., who is a definitive “Never worked in his life trough feeding, parasitic Nat politician”

  4. Nick C 4

    Marty G on slashed majority: “What an embarrassing resulting. The majority reduced by 7,000”

    Zetetic on slashed majority: “Key talking on Breaskfast about Mana: “we slashed the majority from 6,155 to 1,080. So by any measure, you’ve got to take that as a win.”

    Apart from the one measure that counts. Eh John?

    Of course, this is also the dude who reckons that sitting “pretty much next to” Obama for a few minutes is a foreign policy achievement.”

    A miss as good as a mile

    Rob: on slashed majority: “One thing missing from all analysis I’ve seen so far. Yes, Winnie Laban has a 6,000 vote majority in 2008. But that was a personal vote. Looking at party vote Labour’s majority was just 2,500”, “Labour can be reasonably pleased with the Mana result. The majority is small but that does not mean anything for the wider party” http://thestandard.org.nz/assessing-labours-mana-result/

    For my part; looking at the majority is meaningless when it comes to comparing by election vs general election because of voter turnout. The key is the percentage of the votes. Labour’s gains have come from the lack of a Green candidate, National and Act’s losses have come from the NCP, who put in a surprisingly good result. Wouldnt expect that to be replicated in the General election though, for a whole bunch of reasons (other than stating the obvious that botany has a large asain population).

    1) The immigrant vote in Botany would be more right leaning because it is a wealthy electorate, they will steal votes from Labour as well in a general election.
    2) The effect would have been more pronounced because none of the major parties stood an asian candidate (as much as I would like to think people don’t vote along racial lines, they clearly do).
    3) People will feel that their vote counts for more in a general election than a by election where one party has already conceeded, and that no one was focusing on, and will be less reluctant to waste their vote.
    4) To replicate this result they will need to deliver the same campaign on a national level, something that will take the organisational structure a new party wont have. Not to mention that current electoral finance rules overwellmingly favour incumbent parties.

  5. interesting 5

    http://blog.labour.org.nz/index.php/2011/03/05/botany/

    even Labour agree the result is almost the same as the 2008 election.

    Compare apples with apples.

    You need to compare the CANDIDATE vote percentage with the CANDIDATE vote precentage.

    Nice try though.

    For a comparison with the Mana byelection CANDIDATE percentages:

    CANDIDATE results from byelection (results of CANDIDATE vote from 2008 general election in brackets)

    Labour Party: Kris Faafoi – 47.2% (Winnie Laban – 53.06%) – down 5.86%

    National Party: Hekia Parata – 41.1% (Hekia Parata – 34.99%) – up 6.11%

    These results compare the CANDIDATE vote percentages so that apples are being compared with apples.

    So in the Botany byelection National has held its ground, labour has gained ground – however this is due to there being no Green party candidate.

    The Mana byelection showed a slump for Labour and a gain for National

    • You need to compare the CANDIDATE vote percentage with the CANDIDATE vote precentage

      Err no you don’t. By elections are funny things and are affected by all sorts of factors. Because of the Christchurch Earthquake the local candidates never had a chance to have a good go at each other so there were no major positives or negatives there. Voters would then tend to vote according to which party they support and the swing here was clear.

      Greens only got 2.6% of the vote last time. Their absence did not really matter.

      • interesting 5.1.1

        Actually Micky…there CANDIDATE got 3.97% of the vote.

        http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Botany_(New_Zealand_electorate)

      • interesting 5.1.2

        Comapring the precentage Mickey shows how much of the vote they got and eliminates the issue of voter turn out.

        When we look at the turn out elections we say that “so ‘n’ so got XX% of the vote”.

        That percentage is based on the number that voted.

        So in this case we can do the same and say that each candidate got XX% of the vote.

        But, hey, dont let the facts get in the way of your fantasy.

        • Colonial Viper 5.1.2.1

          Comapring the precentage Mickey shows how much of the vote they got and eliminates the issue of voter turn out.

          So you are suggesting that we simply not consider that National lost more than half of their vote due to low turnout, while LAB lost just over a third?

          And ACT lost six sevenths of their vote? But those former ACT voters did not go on to help National?

          Sure we can do that if it makes the world a better place for you 🙂

  6. Irascible 6

    The analysis on a booth by booth basis will be interesting.

    I would predict that the voting will show a clear divide across the electorate with the NACToid vote coming from the more affluent Howick end and the slopes & country sides of Botany and the Labour vote coming from the Otara-Dannemora/ Huntingdon Park areas.
    The NCP vote will have been spread across the electorate with a greater % coming from the Burswood- Pakuranga Country Club areas.

    The coming November election could be interesting if Labour can build on and sustain the impetus it has built up over the past 5 weeks. If I was Michael I’d go into permanent campaign mode from now until the November election and continue to hold the NACToid candidate to account at every step of the way and at every time he opens his mouth in Parliament.

    Keeping a person like Jammy Lee unsettled will make his arrogance less convincing and cause the voters to question the wisdom of electing someone with no work experience or qualifications to office.

  7. Sid 7

    There was no swing against National, unless you see 0.1% as relevent
    It was the Green Party Fubar and the Act party loss that went to Labour.
    Botany restated its faith in National

    • interesting 7.1

      Noone here will listen though sid. they are happy to live in fantasy land. I remember that when thee nats claimed a big swing to themselves in the Mana byelection (which when you look at the candidate vote did happen) they claimed that national was being economical with the truth. now they are being economical with the facts because it shows the Nats have held their support.

      • Sid 7.1.1

        Well to be a good sport

        I congratulate Labour on the 0.1% swing, I wish them equal success come Nov 26

      • Pascal's bookie 7.1.2

        Impossible to say if they’ve ‘held their support’ given the extremely low turnout. The one thing can you say for sure was that he didn’t excite the faithful.

  8. gobsmacked 8

    The MSM will ignore it (like most commenting here), but the New Citizens’ Party result is very significant.

    When will the media get their heads around 21st century NZ? Asian people vote too … and in ever growing numbers. But our monolingual journalists and their monocultural bosses can’t (or won’t) engage with these voters, so they’re largely invisible in the TV vox pops that pass for “public opinion”.

    If a new Christian Conservative party or Hone/Bradford Left party got 10% in a by-election, it would be big news. This result should be too.

    In the last two years, Pansy Wong and Melissa Lee have (in different ways) crashed and burned. They represent tens of thousands of Chinese and Korean voters, and Key got them in 2008.

    He needs them again in 2011, and for that he needs new MPs from their communities, high on National’s list. Otherwise there could easily be 2-3% of their party vote going down the gurgler.

    And yes, Labour need to grasp this too. Michael Wood did very well. A strong Chinese candidate could have won it for them.

  9. Cactus Kate 9

    From the No Right Thought school of accounting you lot are.

    Majority, it is a by-election! Here are the results to show what a thumping Wood and Labour got.

    National Party: Jami-Lee Ross — 54.65% (Pansy Wong – 56.22%)
    Labour Party: Michael Wood — 27.85% (Koro Tawa 21.06%)

    And here is the thumping Fa’afoi got in his by-election

    Labour Party: Kris Fa’afoi – 47.2% (Win­nie Laban — 53.06%)
    National Party: Hekia Parata — 41.1% (Hekia Parata – 34.99%)

    Jami-Lee will thump Wood again in November. Or whomever Labour can scrape together to be the whipping boy next time.

    You lot should really work on your satire.

    They won, you lost. Suck it up.

    • lprent 9.1

      Have actually you read your own numbers on Botany, Katie? Doesn’t correlate well with your bullshit.

      The most interesting number was actually the turnout. Even for recent by-elections it was pathetic. That does not bode well for national that John Key appearances no longer gets people out to vote.

      • Cadwallader 9.1.1

        “does not bode well for National…etc” Eh? Wood got thumped. Even he had sufficient grace to anticipate this drubbing. I suppose like anything not congruent with your militant party-line you’ll claim my obervation as bullshit.

        • Colonial Viper 9.1.1.1

          I suppose like anything not congruent with your militant party-line you’ll claim my obervation as bullshit.

          Thanks for saving us time here 😀

    • Man I wish I could think like a RWNJ. Pick a statistic, any statistic and jump up and down as if it is carved in marble and is irrefutable truth and ignore the implications.

      On the one hand we have people at a general election exercising two votes, one for the party one for the local candidate. On the other hand we have a by election where the only vote is for a candidate.

      One of these candiates is unknown in the electorate and because of Christchurch is unable to gain any media attention to what he is saying. The other candidate is well known and has been elected to public office three times previously int he area. On the candidate vote the unknown candidate achieves a 4% swing.

      If the party vote is used then Labour goes up 2.6% and National goes down 6.6%. This is a 4.6% swing. Either way if Labour achieved this result in the next election and the Greens hold steady at 8% National is gone.

      And will Michael win Botany next time? Exceedingly unlikely. But this result will send a shiver down National members spines, at least of those that are not delusional.

  10. ak 10

    Fantastic result. Majority slashed to black and blue ribbons even as the Shill welds his pathetic wee soul to Seismic Bob and enjoys 24/7 coverage.

    Fuck off interesting – you’re as boring as Bob Parker and pathetic as your choice of moniker. It’s Left v Right out here in realityworld son, and you just took a left hook to where a chin should be. Suck it up sucker, your saps stayed home and the bell’s a long, long,way off with many a twist on the trip.

    But the entrails are astronomical.

    Feel it in your bones?

    It’s the vibe, people

    the people vibe

    the smile on the dial

    of the queasy snake

    shows its weary ache

    as from the jolt of calamity

    springs default humanity

    and watch dear friends,

    in the weeks ahead

    the shroud unfurl

    oer the walking dead

    word to the ferret:

    the meek will inherit.

    Quicker than you think.

  11. millsy 11

    Fighting over small changes in percentages, how lame…

    National was expected to romp home, and Ross did – got his parliamentary career handed to him on a plate.

    NCP came third, will bouy them for November, they are the dark horse at the moment, Asians control large part of the rental property and small business sector in Auckland and are gaining clout in the economic community. Only a matter of time till they start seeking political clout. Another sign of the changing demographics in the community.

    More interested in the turn out more than the result. Seems that with the earth quake and the fact that the country was still enjoying summer saw it go down to 35%.

    • James J Read 11.1

      Botany result has proved all parties must consider Asian interests and thus votes. It seems likely that N.Z. First with it’s anti-asian views will pass into history at the next election, killed off by the New Citizens Party. ACT was the first party to produce campaign material in Chinese and Korean, for which they are to be congratulated, in NOvember all parties will have to do it, if they want to be taken seriously.

  12. tsmithfield 12

    DPF made the following observation:

    “Incidentially this is the first by-election in at least 30 years where the seat was held by the Government, with no significant decline in the share of the vote.”

    The point being that, in the context of history, bi-elections have tended to swing quite strongly against the governing party. Given the fiasco around Wong, there is every reason this should have been the case here.

    However, in the context of history, the fact that there hasn’t been a significant swing against National should be very concerning for Labour.

    • Jim Nald 12.1

      The National Government should be congratulated for trying to do one thing – to continue putting on a brave face.

    • DS 12.2

      >>>However, in the context of history, the fact that there hasn’t been a significant swing against >>>National should be very concerning for Labour.

      You do realise that when there are significant swings against National in by-elections, the swing doesn’t go to Labour, but rather to third parties?

      As for this result: it was a by-election, and thus a one-off freak event that should not be used for trying to gauge results in November.

  13. higherstandard 13

    I didn’t know Charlie Sheen was writing pieces for The Standard.

    • indiana 13.1

      Best comment ever!

      • RedLogix 13.1.1

        Yeah we were lucky to get him. Charlie’s in huge demand… people love him because he’s telling truth to power. And the biggest shit-stirrer since Wikileaks.

  14. tsmithfield 14

    LOL

    According to Marty:

    ” Instead, it was the Nat supporters that stayed away in droves.”

    Well duh, Marty. Following your own logic, if the droves of National supporters who were too apathetic to vote (probably not seeing the point because of the expected large margin) actually bothered to get out and vote, then Labour would have been absolutely humiliated.

    If you think this result was wonderful news for Labour, the I guess you would also believe that “Custer’s Last Stand” was an emphatic victory for the US Cavalry.

    • Kevin Welsh 14.1

      If you think this result was wonderful news for Labour, the I guess you would also believe that “Custer’s Last Stand” was an emphatic victory for the US Cavalry.

      Well, in a way it was TS. The US Cavalry’s response to that loss was decisive, bloody and far reaching.

    • Lanthanide 14.2

      It cuts both ways.

      If Labour voters know that National is going to win no matter what they do (and the Labour Party hasn’t put in a serious effort to tell them otherwise), then they stay home too. Especially if the weather is awful, which apparently it was.

    • Colonial Viper 14.3

      if the droves of National supporters who were too apathetic to vote (probably not seeing the point because of the expected large margin) actually bothered to get out and vote, then Labour would have been absolutely humiliated.

      I think that you have just made Marty’s point again. The National vote was depressed.

      In terms of candidate votes that meant that National shed over half their votes due to lower turnout (in 2008 Wong got 17,400 while JR got 8,200). While Labour only shed just over a third, due to lower turnout (Tawa got 6,500, Wood got 4200).

      Saying that J.R. would have done better if the National vote was not depressed is accurate but that is also *not* what happened.

      The other thing that NAT will be concerned about quite apart from the New Citizen Party – ACT shed six sevenths of its vote due to low turnout. In other words, ACT was smashed in this by-election.

      So I gotta back Marty here, even though JR maintained a clear majority, he had to do it with a massively depressed Right vote.

      The Right’s confidence in the Right is eroding.

      • Lanthanide 14.3.1

        While the Nat/Lab decrease is interesting, I think you can’t put too much emphasis on the Act loss.

        They ran Kenneth Wang last time, and judging by his surname he’s asian of some sort. This time they put up Lyn Murphy, who I label a ‘mouth breather’ (if you watch one the debates on youtube that was linked here a couple of weeks ago you should see what I mean – comes off very weird) whereas New Citizens Party ran an asian. He didn’t appear to actually stand for anything in particular, except being “for immigrants” because he himself is one.

        I think Act’s 2008 vote had a large amount of racial bias, and in this by-election that same racial bias went to the NCP instead.

        • Colonial Viper 14.3.1.1

          I think Act’s 2008 vote had a large amount of racial bias, and in this by-election that same racial bias went to the NCP instead.

          If you are correct about ACT’s 2008 vote, an ascendent NCP will pose unfavourable implications for ACT in November.

          • Lanthanide 14.3.1.1.1

            As someone else has commented, NCP results can’t be expected to be the same in the general election, as a by-election is more about a playpen for political parties as it doesn’t really affect the outcome of the government. NCP aren’t likely to have the resources or support base to really campaign nationally.

            Then again ACT are putting all of their eggs in the Epsom basket, so it wouldn’t take much for a smaller party to come in there, act as a spoiler and give it to National. I don’t know anything about Epsom, but I think it’s probably mostly white rather than mostly asian like Botany, so a party with Don Brash would do much better there. Hell, Don Brash could stand for Act there and do a better job than Rodney.

  15. Bob Stanforth 15

    Embarrassing result for Nats in Botany. Maybe if you repeat it enough, it might stick 🙂 Instead, lets try a fact base…

    1. By elections are about the voting public expressing their current thoughts in the incumbent party AND (where applicable) MP. In Botany, the public had the opportunity to stick it to both National – a voice of displeasure in direction – and voice displeasure over Pansy Wong’s lack of integrity – note, I agree, she deserved to go, she did lack integrity. Neither happened.

    2. Usual turnout for a BE, made more so by recent events

    3. National almost held the party vote, with that turnout

    4. Increase for Labour vote, by someone who actually campaigned this time round, well done them

    5. Greens demonstrate why they shouldn’t lead a dog, let alone a country

    6. Standard authors shout from the rooftops that it is, and I quote again “Embarrassing result for Nats in Botany” – but I call bull shit on that. National will be very happy with the message from the electorate – which you could interpret as ‘on track’

    But then you spin your hearts out boys and girls. Im sure in some place Ive never been this will be a victory. Embarrassing? Yes, for an almost complete lack of traction in the electorate with the current message, and the fact that the interpretation of that by people on here that its the electorates fault, and they need to wake up.

    Well, try this – maybe its not, and maybe the voting public don’t consider themselves duped, or stupid, or disengaged. Maybe huh?

    • Colonial Viper 15.1

      Right vote was massively depressed. That’s a warning for National. But as you say it’s simply a by-election and they are funny beasts.

      The other warning is that Smile & Wave’s smiling and waving down in Christchurch has done absolutely nothing to help NAT.

      This tells me that the Christchurch earthquake holds a lot of potential downside for NAT and very little PR upside, if they do not get the situation in that city well on the road to recovery.

    • Pascal's bookie 15.2

      You need a cite for 2 there bob. A quick squizz tells me by elections usually get a much better turn turnout than this:

      Selwyn 94: 78%
      Taranaki-King Country 98: 62%
      Mt Albert 09: 47%
      Mana 10: 47%

  16. higherstandard 16

    Gosh aren’t we lucky with the high calibre of MPs elected in recent by-elections, Kris and Jami really do show that the cream of the crop choose to enter parliament in NZ

    • Lanthanide 16.1

      Pretty embarrassing isn’t it.

      • higherstandard 16.1.1

        You’ve gotta give them both credit for seeing a large safe trough at which to gorge for many years to come, hopefully there’s some altruistic sense in both of them about serving the public rather than just themselves.

        • Oscar 16.1.1.1

          Highly doubtful.
          The ones that want to serve the public are frozen out by the party hierarchies.

  17. Lanthanide 17

    It’d be nice if we could get Nate Silver from FiveThirtyEight to slice and dice these results, and see what he makes of it. I’m sure he would be able to sort out the the really important shifts in the votes and make some analysis of it, or at least be able to show that really we can’t say much from these results at all (due to low turnout or whatever other factor).

  18. george 18

    Hold on, so would The Standard only acknowledge this as a National party win if they got 12,000 /14,000 votes i.e. 82% of the votes?

    • lprent 18.1

      Read the post. I’m pretty sure that it said that the National party candidate won.

      The other interesting side of the electoral equation was the disappearance of the Act vote. I think it is generally acknowledged that the nat candidate was probably more than acceptable to Act activists. You can see this by just scanning the right blogs this morning and prior to the election. I think the massive Act percentage vote drop compared to the last election is likely to have gone into national vote (or possibly not turned out). And the Nat candidate still dropped?

      Oh and George, read the policy, especially the Section on self-martyrdom offenses. You will find ascribing intelligence (or opinions) to a machine is high on my list. Address your remarks to the author of the post or comment you are responding to.

  19. chris73 19

    How much lower would Labours vote had been if the Greens had managed to have a candidate?

    • Colonial Viper 19.1

      Good question. We would have to understand if Green voters would turn out and vote LAB if they do not have a Green candidate. My guess is they generally would not as most of them do not view LAB as being at all interchangeable with the Greens.

      With a Green candidate there, the Left vote might actually have gone up two or three percent – but we’ll never know.

      • chris73 19.1.1

        I suspect Labours overall vote would have gone down, just like if Act hadn’t run a candidate then Nationals probably would have gone up

        • Colonial Viper 19.1.1.1

          ACT may as well not have run a candidate, they lost sixth sevenths of their previous vote due to the low turnout. But those lost votes didn’t seem to go to NAT. Perhaps Lanth is correct and their Asian vote all went to the NCP.

  20. Emmess 20

    How pathetic you lot are crow­ing about a decreased major­ity.
    On that turnout even if National had got near 100% of the votes the major­ity would have decreased

    • Colonial Viper 20.1

      On lower turnout, National’s votes dropped by over half, while Labour’s dropped by just over a third.

      And NAT voting did not benefit at all from ACT’s destruction.

  21. Roger 21

    The main news was that acts vote collapsed, nationals held up quite well but it did not get a lift from acts demise. Finally labour did improve it’s position – possibly off greens?

  22. infused 22

    Hmm, no satire tag…

  23. tsmithfield 23

    This article adds new meaning to the saying: “hope springs eternal”.

Links to post

Recent Comments

Recent Posts

  • Reality check.
    There are some wellness, crystal-gazing, holistic spiritual guidance types in my disaster-hit coastal community who insist that the power of positive thinking will overcome the physical and material damages incurred by the community. They object to restrictions on road travel … Continue reading ...
    KiwipoliticoBy Pablo
    37 mins ago
  • High Performance Instability in the Financial Sector
    Evaluating the recent crashes of Silicon Valley Bank in the US and Credit Suisse in Switzerland plus two other banks (perhaps more by the time you read this) needs to begin with a review of the inevitable instability in the financial sector. The financial sector is inherently unstable, like military ...
    PunditBy Brian Easton
    1 hour ago
  • The week in review
    1. We see here new police minister Ginny Andersen. Which larger than life NZ political figure was her great-uncle?a. Rob Muldoonb. Bill Andersenc. Richard John Seddond. Norman Kirk2. We see here archival footage of Ginny Andersen coming out of her electorate office to ask ex-tobacco lobbyist Chris Bishop if he ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    3 hours ago
  • Nash splashes out with a $900,000 investment in the blue economy (or is it more corporate welfare?)
    Buzz from the Beehive Stuart Nash, speaking as Minister of Oceans and Fisheries, one of his remaining portfolios after he was dropped down the Hipkins Government batting order, has drawn attention to the blue economy and its potential. Nash says the government is investing in the blue economy, or – ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    5 hours ago
  • Ask Me Anything about the week to March 24
    Photo by Josh Mills on UnsplashIt’s that time of the week for an ‘Ask Me Anything’ session for paying subscribers about the week that was for the next hour, including:The runs on Silicon Valley Bank and First Republic Bank on the west coast of the United States that forced the ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    7 hours ago
  • Weekly Roundup 24-March-2023
    Roundup is back! We skipped last week’s Friday post due to a shortage of person-power – did you notice? Lots going on out there… Our header image this week shows a green street that just happens to be Queen St, by @chamfy from Twitter. This week (and last) in ...
    Greater AucklandBy Greater Auckland
    8 hours ago
  • Gordon Campbell on the Keen-Minshull visit
    After threatening Prime Minister Chris Hipkins of consequences if he dared to bar her entry, Kellie-Jay Keen-Minshull has been given her visa, regardless. This will enable her to hold rallies in Auckland and Wellington this weekend, and spread her messages of hostility against an already marginalised trans community. Neo-Nazis may, ...
    8 hours ago
  • BRYCE EDWARDS’ Political Roundup:  NZ needs to distance itself from Australia’s anti-China nucl...
    * Bryce Edwards writes – The New Zealand Government has been silent about Australia’s decision to commit up to $400bn acquiring nuclear submarines, even though this is a significant threat to peace and stability in the Asia Pacific. The deal was struck by the Albanese Labor Government as ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    9 hours ago
  • Wayne Brown's #Auxit moment
    Boomers voted him in, but Brown’s Trumpish moments might spook Aucklanders worried about what a change to National nationally might mean. Photo: Lynn Grieveson/Getty ImagesTL;DR: Auckland Mayor Wayne Brown has become our version of Donald Trump and Boris Johnson, except without any of the insatiable appetite for media appearances. He ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    9 hours ago
  • Bryce Edwards: NZ needs to distance itself from Australia’s anti-China nuclear submarines
    The New Zealand Government has been silent about Australia’s decision to commit up to $400bn acquiring nuclear submarines, even though this is a significant threat to peace and stability in the Asia Pacific. The deal was struck by the Albanese Labor Government as part of its Aukus pact with the ...
    Democracy ProjectBy bryce.edwards
    10 hours ago
  • Posie Parker vs Transgender Rights.
    Recently you might have heard of a person called Posie Parker and her visit to Aotearoa. Perhaps you’re not quite sure what it’s all about. So let’s start with who this person is, why their visit is controversial, and what on earth a TERF is.Posie Parker is the super villain ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    12 hours ago
  • Select Committee told slow down; you’re moving too fast
    The chair of Parliament’s Select Committee looking at the Government’s resource management legislation wants the bills sent back for more public consultation. The proposal would effectively kill any chance of the bills making it into law before the election. Green MP, Eugenie Sage, stressing that she was speaking as ...
    PolitikBy Richard Harman
    14 hours ago
  • Skeptical Science New Research for Week #12 2023
    Open access notables  The United States experienced some historical low temperature records during the just-concluded winter. It's a reminder that climate and weather are quite noisy; with regard to our warming climate,, as with a road ascending a mountain range we may steadily change our conditions but with lots of ...
    22 hours ago
  • What becomes of the broken hearted? Nanny State will step in to comfort them
    Buzz from the Beehive The Nanny State has scored some wins (or claimed them) in the past day or two but it faltered when it came to protecting Kiwi citizens from being savaged by one woman armed with a sharp tongue. The wins are recorded by triumphant ministers on the ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    1 day ago
  • Acceptance, decency, road food.
    Sometimes you see your friends making the case so well on social media you think: just copy and share.On acceptance and decency, from Michèle A’CourtA notable thing about anti-trans people is they way they talk about transgender women and men as though they are strangers “over there” when in fact ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    1 day ago
  • Climate Change: More Labour sabotage
    Not that long ago, things were looking pretty good for climate change policy in Aotearoa. We finally had an ETS, and while it was full of pork and subsidies, it was delivering high and ever-rising carbon prices, sending a clear message to polluters to clean up or shut down. And ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 day ago
  • Is bundling restricting electricity competition?
    Comparing (and switching) electricity providers has become easier, but bundling power up with broadband and/or gas makes it more challenging. Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The Kākā TL;DR: The new Consumer Advocacy Council set up as a result of the Labour Government’s Electricity Price Review in 2019 has called on either ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    1 day ago
  • Westland Milk puts heat on competitors as global dairy demand  remains softer for longer
    Hokitika-based Westland Milk Products  has  put the heat on dairy giant Fonterra with  a $120m profit turnaround in 2022, driven by record sales. Westland paid its suppliers a 10c premium above the forecast Fonterra price per kilo, contributing $535m to the West Coast and Canterbury economies. The dairy ...
    Point of OrderBy tutere44
    1 day ago
  • BRYCE EDWARDS’ Political Roundup:  The Beehive’s revolving door and corporate mateship
    * Bryce Edwards writes – New Zealanders are uncomfortable with the high level of influence corporate lobbyists have in New Zealand politics, and demands are growing for greater regulation. A recent poll shows 62 per cent of the public support having a two-year cooling off period between ministers leaving public ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    1 day ago
  • Bryce Edwards: The Beehive’s revolving door and corporate mateship
    New Zealanders are uncomfortable with the high level of influence corporate lobbyists have in New Zealand politics, and demands are growing for greater regulation. A recent poll shows 62 per cent of the public support having a two-year cooling off period between ministers leaving public office and becoming lobbyists and ...
    Democracy ProjectBy bryce.edwards
    1 day ago
  • A miracle pill for our transport ills
    This is a guest post by accessibility and sustainable transport advocate Tim Adriaansen It originally appeared here.   A friend calls you and asks for your help. They tell you that while out and about nearby, they slipped over and landed arms-first. Now their wrist is swollen, hurting like ...
    Greater AucklandBy Guest Post
    1 day ago
  • The Surprising Power of Floating Wind Turbines
    Floating offshore wind turbines offer incredible opportunities to capture powerful winds far out at sea. By unlocking this wind energy potential, they could be a key weapon in our arsenal in the fight against climate change. But how developed are these climate fighting clean energy giants? And why do I ...
    1 day ago
  • The next Maori challenge
    Over the past two or three weeks, a procession of Maori iwi and hapu in a series of little-noticed appearances before two Select Committees have been asking for more say for Maori over resource management decisions along the co-governance lines of Three Waters. Their submissions and appearances run counter ...
    PolitikBy Richard Harman
    2 days ago
  • Secret “war-crime” warrants by International Criminal Court is mischief-making
    The decision of the International Criminal Court (ICC) to issue war crimes arrest warrants for the Russian President and the Russia Children Ombudsman may have been welcomed by the ideologically committed but otherwise seems to have been greeted with widespread cynicism (see Situation in Ukraine: ICC judges issue arrest warrants ...
    2 days ago
  • How to answer Drunk Uncle Kevin's Climate Crisis reckons
    Let’s say you’re clasping your drink at a wedding, or a 40th, or a King’s Birthday Weekend family reunion and Drunk Uncle Kevin has just got going.He’s in an expansive frame of mind because we’re finally rid of that silly girl. But he wants to ask an honest question about ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    2 days ago
  • National’s Luxon may be glum about his poll ratings but has he found a winner in promising to rai...
    National Party leader Christopher Luxon may  be feeling glum about his poll ratings, but  he could be tapping  into  a rich political vein in  describing the current state of education as “alarming”. Luxon said educational achievement has been declining,  with a recent NCEA pilot exposing just how far it has ...
    Point of OrderBy tutere44
    2 days ago
  • Climate Change: More Labour foot-dragging
    Yesterday the IPCC released the final part of its Sixth Assessment Report, warning us that we have very little time left in which to act to prevent catastrophic climate change, but pointing out that it is a problem that we can solve, with existing technology, and that anything we do ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    2 days ago
  • Te Pāti Māori Are Revolutionaries – Not Reformists.
    Way Beyond Reform: Rawiri Waititi and Debbie Ngarewa-Packer have no more interest in remaining permanent members of “New Zealand’s” House of Representatives than did Lenin and Trotsky in remaining permanent members of Tsar Nicolas II’s “democratically-elected” Duma. Like the Bolsheviks, Te Pāti Māori is a party of revolutionaries – not reformists.THE CROWN ...
    2 days ago
  • When does history become “ancient”, on Tinetti’s watch as Minister of Education – and what o...
    Buzz from the Beehive Auckland was wiped off the map, when Education Minister Jan Tinetti delivered her speech of welcome as host of the inaugural Conference of Pacific Education Ministers “here in Tāmaki Makaurau”. But – fair to say – a reference was made later in the speech to a ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    2 days ago
  • Climate Catastrophe, but first rugby.
    Morning mate, how you going?Well, I was watching the news last night and they announced this scientific report on Climate Change. But before they got to it they had a story about the new All Blacks coach.Sounds like important news. It’s a bit of a worry really.Yeah, they were talking ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    2 days ago
  • What the US and European bank rescues mean for us
    Always a bailout: US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said the Government would fully guarantee all savers in all smaller US banks if needed. Photo: Getty ImagesTL;DR: No wonder an entire generation of investors are used to ‘buying the dip’ and ‘holding on for dear life’. US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    2 days ago
  • Bryce Edwards: Who will drain Wellington’s lobbying swamp?
    Wealthy vested interests have an oversized influence on political decisions in New Zealand. Partly that’s due to their use of corporate lobbyists. Fortunately, the influence lobbyists can have on decisions made by politicians is currently under scrutiny in Guyon Espiner’s in-depth series published by RNZ. Two of Espiner’s research exposés ...
    Democracy ProjectBy bryce.edwards
    2 days ago
  • It’s Raining Congestion
    Yesterday afternoon it rained and traffic around the region ground to a halt, once again highlighting why it is so important that our city gets on with improving the alternatives to driving. For additional irony, this happened on the same day the IPCC synthesis report landed, putting the focus on ...
    2 days ago
  • Checking The Left: The Dreadful Logic Of Fascism.
    The Beginning: Anti-Co-Governance agitator, Julian Batchelor, addresses the Dargaville stop of his travelling roadshow across New Zealand . Fascism almost always starts small. Sadly, it doesn’t always stay that way. Especially when the Left helps it to grow.THERE IS A DREADFUL LOGIC to the growth of fascism. To begin with, it ...
    3 days ago
  • Good Friends and Terrible Food
    Hi,From an incredibly rainy day in Los Angeles, I just wanted to check in. I guess this is the day Trump may or may not end up in cuffs? I’m attempting a somewhat slower, less frenzied week. I’ve had Unknown Mortal Orchestra’s new record on non-stop, and it’s been a ...
    David FarrierBy David Farrier
    3 days ago
  • At a glance – What evidence is there for the hockey stick?
    On February 14, 2023 we announced our Rebuttal Update Project. This included an ask for feedback about the added "At a glance" section in the updated basic rebuttal versions. This weekly blog post series highlights this new section of one of the updated basic rebuttal versions and serves as a ...
    3 days ago
  • Carry right on up there, Corporal Espiner
    RNZ has been shining their torch into corners where lobbyists lurk and asking such questions as: Do we like the look of this?and Is this as democratic as it could be?These are most certainly questions worth asking, and every bit as valid as, say:Are we shortchanged democratically by the way ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    3 days ago
  • This smells
    RNZ has continued its look at the role of lobbyists by taking a closer look at the Prime Minister's Chief of Staff Andrew Kirton. He used to work for liquor companies, opposing (among other things) a container refund scheme which would have required them to take responsibility for their own ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    3 days ago
  • Major issues on the table in Mahuta’s  talks in Beijing with China’s new Foreign Minister
    Foreign Minister Nanaia Mahuta has left for Beijing for the first ministerial visit to China since 2019. Mahuta is  to  meet China’s new foreign minister Qin Gang  where she  might have to call on all the  diplomatic skills  at  her  command. Almost certainly she  will  face  questions  on what  role ...
    Point of OrderBy tutere44
    3 days ago
  • Inside TOP's Teal Card and political strategy
    TL;DR: The Opportunities Party’s Leader Raf Manji is hopeful the party’s new Teal Card, a type of Gold card for under 30s, will be popular with students, and not just in his Ilam electorate where students make up more than a quarter of the voters and where Manji is confident ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    3 days ago
  • Make Your Empties Go Another Round.
    When I was a kid New Zealand was actually pretty green. We didn’t really have plastic. The fruit and veges came in a cardboard box, the meat was wrapped in paper, milk came in a glass bottle, and even rubbish sacks were made of paper. Today if you sit down ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    3 days ago
  • Gordon Campbell on how similar Vladimir Putin is to George W. Bush
    Looking back through the names of our Police Ministers down the years, the job has either been done by once or future party Bigfoots – Syd Holland, Richard Prebble, Juduth Collins, Chris Hipkins – or by far lesser lights like Keith Allen, Frank Gill, Ben Couch, Allen McCready, Clem Simich, ...
    3 days ago
  • CHRIS TROTTER:  Te Pāti Māori’s uncompromising threat to the status quo
    Chris Trotter writes – The Crown is a fickle friend. Any political movement deemed to be colourful but inconsequential is generally permitted to go about its business unmolested. The Crown’s media, RNZ and TVNZ, may even “celebrate” its existence (presumably as proof of Democracy’s broad-minded acceptance of diversity). ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    3 days ago
  • Bryce Edwards: Shining a bright light on lobbyists in politics
    Four out of the five people who have held the top role of Prime Minister’s Chief of Staff since 2017 have been lobbyists. That’s a fact that should worry anyone who believes vested interests shouldn’t have a place at the centre of decision making. Chris Hipkins’ newly appointed Chief of ...
    Democracy ProjectBy bryce.edwards
    3 days ago
  • Auckland Council Draft Budget – an unnecessary backwards step
    Feedback on Auckland Council’s draft 2023/24 budget closes on March 28th. You can read the consultation document here, and provide feedback here. Auckland Council is currently consulting on what is one of its most important ever Annual Plans – the ‘budget’ of what it will spend money on between July ...
    3 days ago
  • Talking’ Posey Parker Blues
    by Molten Moira from Motueka If you want to be a woman let me tell you what to do Get a piece of paper and a biro tooWrite down your new identification And boom! You’re now a woman of this nationSpelled W O M A Na real trans woman that isAs opposed ...
    RedlineBy Admin
    4 days ago
  • More Māori words make it into the OED, and polytech boss (with rules on words like “students”) ...
    Buzz from the Beehive   New Zealand Education Minister Jan Tinetti is hosting the inaugural Conference of Pacific Education Ministers for three days from today, welcoming Education Ministers and senior officials from 18 Pacific Island countries and territories, and from Australia. Here’s hoping they have brought translators with them – or ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    4 days ago
  • Social intercourse with haters and Nazis: an etiquette guide
    Let’s say you’ve come all the way from His Majesty’s United Kingdom to share with the folk of Australia and New Zealand your antipathy towards certain other human beings. And let’s say you call yourself a women’s rights activist.And let’s say 99 out of 100 people who listen to you ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    4 days ago
  • The Greens, Labour, and coalition enforcement
    James Shaw gave the Green party's annual "state of the planet" address over the weekend, in which he expressed frustration with Labour for not doing enough on climate change. His solution is to elect more Green MPs, so they have more power within any government arrangement, and can hold Labour ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    4 days ago
  • This sounds familiar…
    RNZ this morning has the first story another investigative series by Guyon Espiner, this time into political lobbying. The first story focuses on lobbying by government agencies, specifically transpower, Pharmac, and assorted universities, and how they use lobbyists to manipulate public opinion and gather intelligence on the Ministers who oversee ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    4 days ago
  • Letter to the NZ Herald: NCEA pseudoscience – “Mauri is present in all matter”
    Nick Matzke writes –   Dear NZ Herald, I am a Senior Lecturer in the School of Biological Sciences at the University of Auckland. I teach evolutionary biology, but I also have long experience in science education and (especially) political attempts to insert pseudoscience into science curricula in ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    4 days ago
  • So what would be the point of a Green vote again?
    James Shaw has again said the Greens would be better ‘in the tent’ with Labour than out, despite Labour’s policy bonfire last week torching much of what the Government was doing to reduce emissions. File Photo: Lynn Grieveson/Getty ImagesTL;DR: The Green Party has never been more popular than in some ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    4 days ago
  • Gas stoves pose health risks. Are gas furnaces and other appliances safe to use?
    This is a re-post from Yale Climate Connections by Sarah Wesseler Poor air quality is a long-standing problem in Los Angeles, where the first major outbreak of smog during World War II was so intense that some residents thought the city had been attacked by chemical weapons. Cars were eventually discovered ...
    4 days ago
  • Genetic Heritage and Co Governance
    Yesterday I was reading an excellent newsletter from David Slack, and I started writing a comment “Sounds like some excellent genetic heritage…” and then I stopped.There was something about the phrase genetic heritage that stopped me in tracks. Is that a phrase I want to be saying? It’s kind of ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    4 days ago
  • BRIAN EASTON: Radical Uncertainty
    Brian Easton writes – Two senior economists challenge some of the foundations of current economics. It is easy to criticise economic science by misrepresenting it, by selective quotations, and by ignoring that it progresses, like all sciences, by improving and abandoning old theories. The critics may go ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    4 days ago
  • Geoffrey Miller: New Zealand’s Middle East strategy, 20 years after the Iraq War
    This week marks the twentieth anniversary of the Iraq War. While it strongly opposed the US-led invasion, New Zealand’s then Labour-led government led by Prime Minister Helen Clark did deploy military engineers to try to help rebuild Iraq in mid-2003. With violence soaring, their 12-month deployment ended without being renewed ...
    Democracy ProjectBy Geoffrey Miller
    4 days ago
  • The motorways are finished
    After seventy years, Auckland’s motorway network is finally finished. In July 1953 the first section of motorway in Auckland was opened between Ellerslie-Panmure Highway and Mt Wellington Highway. The final stage opens to traffic this week with the completion of the motorway part of the Northern Corridor Improvements project. Aucklanders ...
    4 days ago
  • Kicking National’s tyres
    National’s appointment of Todd McClay as Agriculture spokesperson clearly signals that the party is in trouble with the farming vote. McClay was not an obvious choice, but he does have a record as a political scrapper. The party needs that because sources say it has been shedding farming votes ...
    PolitikBy Richard Harman
    5 days ago
  • As long as there is cricket, the world is somehow okay.
    Rays of white light come flooding into my lounge, into my face from over the top of my neighbour’s hedge. I have to look away as the window of the conservatory is awash in light, as if you were driving towards the sun after a rain shower and suddenly blinded. ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    5 days ago
  • So much of what was there remains
    The columnists in Private Eye take pen names, so I have not the least idea who any of them are. But I greatly appreciate their expert insight, especially MD, who writes the medical column, offering informed and often damning critique of the UK health system and the politicians who keep ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    6 days ago
  • 2023 SkS Weekly Climate Change & Global Warming News Roundup #11
    A chronological listing of news articles posted on the Skeptical Science Facebook Page during the past week: Sun, Mar 12, 2023 thru Sat, Mar 18, 2023. Story of the Week Guest post: What 13,500 citations reveal about the IPCC’s climate science report   IPCC WG1 AR6 SPM Report Cover - Changing ...
    6 days ago
  • Financial capability services are being bucked up, but Stuart Nash shouldn’t have to see if they c...
    Buzz from the Beehive  The building of financial capability was brought into our considerations when Social Development and Employment Minister Carmel Sepuloni announced she had dipped into the government’s coffers for $3 million for “providers” to help people and families access community-based Building Financial Capability services. That wording suggests some ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    6 days ago
  • Things that make you go Hmmmm.
    Do you ever come across something that makes you go Hmmmm?You mean like the song?No, I wasn’t thinking of the song, but I am now - thanks for that. I was thinking of things you read or hear that make you stop and go Hmmmm.Yeah, I know what you mean, ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    6 days ago
  • The hoon for the week that was to March 19
    By the end of the week, the dramas over Stuart Nash overshadowed Hipkins’ policy bonfire. File photo: Lynn GrieveasonTLDR: This week’s news in geopolitics and the political economy covered on The Kākā included:PM Chris Hipkins’ announcement of the rest of a policy bonfire to save a combined $1.7 billion, but ...
    The KakaBy Peter Bale
    6 days ago
  • Saving Stuart Nash: Explaining Chris Hipkins' unexpected political calculation
    When word went out that Prime Minister Chris Hipkins would be making an announcement about Stuart Nash on the tiles at parliament at 2:45pm yesterday, the assumption was that it was over. That we had reached tipping point for Nash’s time as minister. But by 3pm - when, coincidentally, the ...
    PunditBy Tim Watkin
    7 days ago
  • Radical Uncertainty
    Two senior economists challenge some of the foundations of current economics. It is easy to criticise economic science by misrepresenting it, by selective quotations, and by ignoring that it progresses, like all sciences, by improving and abandoning old theories. The critics may go on to attack physics by citing Newton.So ...
    PunditBy Brian Easton
    7 days ago
  • Jump onto the weekly hoon on Riverside at 5pm
    Photo by Walker Fenton on UnsplashIt’s that time of the week again when and I co-host our ‘hoon’ webinar with paying subscribers to The Kaka for an hour at 5 pm. Jump on this link on Riverside (we’ve moved from Zoom) for our chat about the week’s news with ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    1 week ago
  • The Dream of Florian Neame: Accepted
    In a nice bit of news, my 2550-word deindustrial science-fiction piece, The Dream of Florian Neame, has been accepted for publication at New Maps Magazine (https://www.new-maps.com/). I have published there before, of course, with Of Tin and Tintagel coming out last year. While I still await the ...
    1 week ago
  • Snakes and leaders
    And so this is Friday, and what have we learned?It was a week with all the usual luggage: minister brags and then he quits, Hollywood red carpet is full of twits. And all the while, hanging over the trivial stuff: existential dread, and portents of doom.Depending on who you read ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    1 week ago
  • This station is Karanga-a-Hape, Chur!
    When I changed the name of this newsletter from The Daily Read to Nick’s Kōrero I was a bit worried whether people would know what Kōrero meant or not. I added a definition when I announced the change and kind of assumed people who weren’t familiar with it would get ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    1 week ago
  • Greens don’t shy from promoting a candidate’s queerness but are quiet about govt announcement on...
    There was a time when a political party’s publicity people would counsel against promoting a candidate as queer. No matter which of two dictionary meanings the voting public might choose to apply – the old meaning of odd, strange, weird, or aberrant, or the more recent meaning of gay, homosexual ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    1 week ago
  • Ask Me Anything about the week to March 17
    Photo by Joakim Honkasalo on UnsplashIt’s that time of the week for an ‘Ask Me Anything’ session for paying subscribers about the week that was for the next hour, including:PM Chris Hipkins announcement of the rest of a policy bonfire to save a combined $1.7 billion, but which blew up ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    1 week ago
  • Slow consenting could create $16b climate liability by 2050
    Even though concern over the climate change threat is becoming more mainstream, our governments continue to opt out of the difficult decisions at the expense of time, and cost for future generations. Photo: Lynn Grieveson/Getty ImagesTLDR: Now we have a climate liability number to measure the potential failure of the ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    1 week ago
  • THOMAS CRANMER: Challenging progressivism in New Zealand’s culture wars
    Thomas Cranmer writes  Like it or not, the culture wars have entered New Zealand politics and look set to broaden and intensify. The culture wars are often viewed as an exclusively American phenomenon, but the reality is that they are becoming increasingly prominent in countries around the world, ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    1 week ago
  • Gordon Campbell on firing Stuart Nash, plus a music playlist
    Here’s an analogy for the Stuart Nash saga. If people are to be forgiven for their sins, Catholic dogma requires two factors to be present. There has to be a sincere act of confession about what has been done, but also a sincere act of contrition, which signals a painful ...
    1 week ago

  • District Court Judges appointed
    Attorney-General David Parker has announced the appointment of Christopher John Dellabarca of Wellington, Dr Katie Jane Elkin of Wellington, Caroline Mary Hickman of Napier, Ngaroma Tahana of Rotorua, Tania Rose Williams Blyth of Hamilton and Nicola Jan Wills of Wellington as District Court Judges.  Chris Dellabarca Mr Dellabarca commenced his ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 hours ago
  • New project set to supercharge ocean economy in Nelson Tasman
    A new Government-backed project will help ocean-related businesses in the Nelson Tasman region to accelerate their growth and boost jobs. “The Nelson Tasman region is home to more than 400 blue economy businesses, accounting for more than 30 percent of New Zealand’s economic activity in fishing, aquaculture, and seafood processing,” ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • National’s education policy: where’s the funding?
    After three years of COVID-19 disruptions schools are finally settling down and National want to throw that all in the air with major disruption to learning and underinvestment.  “National’s education policy lacks the very thing teachers, parents and students need after a tough couple of years, certainty and stability,” Education ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • Free programme to help older entrepreneurs and inventors
    People aged over 50 with innovative business ideas will now be able to receive support to advance their ideas to the next stage of development, Minister for Seniors Ginny Andersen said today. “Seniors have some great entrepreneurial ideas, and this programme will give them the support to take that next ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • Government target increased to keep powering up the Māori economy
    A cross government target for relevant government procurement contracts for goods and services to be awarded to Māori businesses annually will increase to 8%, after the initial 5% target was exceeded. The progressive procurement policy was introduced in 2020 to increase supplier diversity, starting with Māori businesses, for the estimated ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • Continued progress on reducing poverty in challenging times
    77,000 fewer children living in low income households on the after-housing-costs primary measure since Labour took office Eight of the nine child poverty measures have seen a statistically significant reduction since 2018. All nine have reduced 28,700 fewer children experiencing material hardship since 2018 Measures taken by the Government during ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • Speech at Fiji Investment and Trade Business Forum
    Deputy Prime Minister Kamikamica; distinguished guests, ladies and gentlemen. Tēnā koutou katoa, ni sa bula vinaka saka, namaste. Deputy Prime Minister, a very warm welcome to Aotearoa. I trust you have been enjoying your time here and thank you for joining us here today. To all delegates who have travelled to be ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • Government investments boost and diversify local economies in lower South Island
    $2.9 million convertible loan for Scapegrace Distillery to meet growing national and international demand $4.5m underwrite to support Silverlight Studios’ project to establish a film studio in Wanaka Gore’s James Cumming Community Centre and Library to be official opened tomorrow with support of $3m from the COVID-19 Response and Recovery ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • Government future-proofs EV charging
    Transport Minister Michael Wood has today launched the first national EV (electric vehicle) charging strategy, Charging Our Future, which includes plans to provide EV charging stations in almost every town in New Zealand. “Our vision is for Aotearoa New Zealand to have world-class EV charging infrastructure that is accessible, affordable, ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • World-leading family harm prevention campaign supports young NZers
    Associate Minister for Social Development and Employment Priyanca Radhakrishnan has today launched the Love Better campaign in a world-leading approach to family harm prevention. Love Better will initially support young people through their experience of break-ups, developing positive and life-long attitudes to dealing with hurt. “Over 1,200 young kiwis told ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • First Chief Clinical Advisor welcomed into Coroners Court
    Hon Rino Tirikatene, Minister for Courts, welcomes the Ministry of Justice’s appointment of Dr Garry Clearwater as New Zealand’s first Chief Clinical Advisor working with the Coroners Court. “This appointment is significant for the Coroners Court and New Zealand’s wider coronial system.” Minister Tirikatene said. Through Budget 2022, the Government ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Next steps for affected properties post Cyclone and floods
    The Government via the Cyclone Taskforce is working with local government and insurance companies to build a picture of high-risk areas following Cyclone Gabrielle and January floods. “The Taskforce, led by Sir Brian Roche, has been working with insurance companies to undertake an assessment of high-risk areas so we can ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • New appointment to Māori Land Court bench
    E te huia kaimanawa, ko Ngāpuhi e whakahari ana i tau aupikinga ki te tihi o te maunga. Ko te Ao Māori hoki e whakanui ana i a koe te whakaihu waka o te reo Māori i roto i te Ao Ture. (To the prized treasure, it is Ngāpuhi who ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Government focus on jobs sees record number of New Zealanders move from Benefits into work
    113,400 exits into work in the year to June 2022 Young people are moving off Benefit faster than after the Global Financial Crisis Two reports released today by the Ministry of Social Development show the Government’s investment in the COVID-19 response helped drive record numbers of people off Benefits and ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Vertical farming partnership has upward momentum
    The Government’s priority to keep New Zealand at the cutting edge of food production and lift our sustainability credentials continues by backing the next steps of a hi-tech vertical farming venture that uses up to 95 per cent less water, is climate resilient, and pesticide-free. Agriculture Minister Damien O’Connor visited ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Conference of Pacific Education Ministers – Keynote Address
    E nga mana, e nga iwi, e nga reo, e nga hau e wha, tena koutou, tena koutou, tena koutou kātoa. Warm Pacific greetings to all. It is an honour to host the inaugural Conference of Pacific Education Ministers here in Tāmaki Makaurau. Aotearoa is delighted to be hosting you ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • New $13m renal unit supports Taranaki patients
    The new renal unit at Taranaki Base Hospital has been officially opened by the Minister of Health Dr Ayesha Verrall this afternoon. Te Huhi Raupō received around $13 million in government funding as part of Project Maunga Stage 2, the redevelopment of the Taranaki Base Hospital campus. “It’s an honour ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Second Poseidon aircraft on home soil
    Defence Minister Andrew Little has marked the arrival of the country’s second P-8A Poseidon aircraft alongside personnel at the Royal New Zealand Air Force’s Base at Ohakea today. “With two of the four P-8A Poseidons now on home soil this marks another significant milestone in the Government’s historic investment in ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Further humanitarian aid for Türkiye and Syria
    Aotearoa New Zealand will provide further humanitarian support to those seriously affected by last month’s deadly earthquakes in Türkiye and Syria, says Foreign Minister Nanaia Mahuta. “The 6 February earthquakes have had devastating consequences, with almost 18 million people affected. More than 53,000 people have died and tens of thousands more ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Community voice to help shape immigration policy
    Migrant communities across New Zealand are represented in the new Migrant Community Reference Group that will help shape immigration policy going forward, Immigration Minister Michael Wood announced today.  “Since becoming Minister, a reoccurring message I have heard from migrants is the feeling their voice has often been missing around policy ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • State Highway 3 project to deliver safer journeys, better travel connections for Taranaki
    Construction has begun on major works that will deliver significant safety improvements on State Highway 3 from Waitara to Bell Block, Associate Minister of Transport Kiri Allan announced today. “This is an important route for communities, freight and visitors to Taranaki but too many people have lost their lives or ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Ginny Andersen appointed as Minister of Police
    Prime Minister Chris Hipkins has today appointed Ginny Andersen as Minister of Police. “Ginny Andersen has a strong and relevant background in this important portfolio,” Chris Hipkins said. “Ginny Andersen worked for the Police as a non-sworn staff member for around 10 years and has more recently been chair of ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Government confirms vital roading reconnections
    Six further bailey bridge sites confirmed Four additional bridge sites under consideration 91 per cent of damaged state highways reopened Recovery Dashboards for impacted regions released The Government has responded quickly to restore lifeline routes after Cyclone Gabrielle and can today confirm that an additional six bailey bridges will ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Foreign Minister Mahuta to meet with China’s new Foreign Minister
    Foreign Minister Nanaia Mahuta departs for China tomorrow, where she will meet with her counterpart, State Councillor and Foreign Minister Qin Gang, in Beijing. This will be the first visit by a New Zealand Minister to China since 2019, and follows the easing of COVID-19 travel restrictions between New Zealand and China. ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Education Ministers from across the Pacific gather in Aotearoa
    Education Ministers from across the Pacific will gather in Tāmaki Makaurau this week to share their collective knowledge and strategic vision, for the benefit of ākonga across the region. New Zealand Education Minister Jan Tinetti will host the inaugural Conference of Pacific Education Ministers (CPEM) for three days from today, ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • State Highway 5 reopens between Napier and Taupō following Cyclone Gabrielle
    A vital transport link for communities and local businesses has been restored following Cyclone Gabrielle with the reopening of State Highway 5 (SH5) between Napier and Taupō, Associate Minister of Transport Kiri Allan says. SH5 reopened to all traffic between 7am and 7pm from today, with closure points at SH2 (Kaimata ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Special Lotto draw raises $11.7 million for Cyclone Gabrielle recovery
    Internal Affairs Minister Barbara Edmonds has thanked generous New Zealanders who took part in the special Lotto draw for communities affected by Cyclone Gabrielle. Held on Saturday night, the draw raised $11.7 million with half of all ticket sales going towards recovery efforts. “In a time of need, New Zealanders ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Government delivers a $3 million funding boost for Building Financial Capability services
    The Government has announced funding of $3 million for providers to help people, and whānau access community-based Building Financial Capability services. “Demand for Financial Capability Services is growing as people face cost of living pressures. Those pressures are increasing further in areas affected by flooding and Cyclone Gabrielle,” Minister for ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Education New Zealand | Manapou ki te Ao – new Chair and member
    Minister of Education, Hon Jan Tinetti, has announced appointments to the Board of Education New Zealand | Manapou ki te Ao. Tracey Bridges is joining the Board as the new Chair and Dr Therese Arseneau will be a new member. Current members Dr Linda Sissons CNZM and Daniel Wilson have ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Scholarships honouring Ngarimu VC and the 28th (Māori) Battalion announced
    Fifteen ākonga Māori from across Aotearoa have been awarded the prestigious Ngarimu VC and 28th (Māori) Battalion Memorial Scholarships and Awards for 2023, Associate Education Minister and Ngarimu Board Chair, Kelvin Davis announced today.  The recipients include doctoral, masters’ and undergraduate students. Three vocational training students and five wharekura students, ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Appointment of Judge of the Court of Appeal and Judge of the High Court
    High Court Judge Jillian Maree Mallon has been appointed a Judge of the Court of Appeal, and District Court Judge Andrew John Becroft QSO has been appointed a Judge of the High Court, Attorney‑General David Parker announced today. Justice Mallon graduated from Otago University in 1988 with an LLB (Hons), and with ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • NZ still well placed to meet global challenges
    The economy has continued to show its resilience despite today’s GDP figures showing a modest decline in the December quarter, leaving the Government well positioned to help New Zealanders face cost of living pressures in a challenging global environment. “The economy had grown strongly in the two quarters before this ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Western Ring Route Complete
    Aucklanders now have more ways to get around as Transport Minister Michael Wood opened the direct State Highway 1 (SH1) to State Highway 18 (SH18) underpass today, marking the completion of the 48-kilometre Western Ring Route (WRR). “The Government is upgrading New Zealand’s transport system to make it safer, more ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Briefings to Incoming Ministers
    This section contains briefings received by incoming ministers following changes to Cabinet in January. Some information may have been withheld in accordance with the Official Information Act 1982. Where information has been withheld that is indicated within the document. ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Teaming up for a stronger, more resilient Fiji
    Aotearoa New Zealand Foreign Affairs Minister Nanaia Mahuta reaffirmed her commitment to working together with the new Government of Fiji on issues of shared importance, including on the prioritisation of climate change and sustainability, at a meeting today, in Nadi. Fiji and Aotearoa New Zealand’s close relationship is underpinned by the Duavata ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Investment in blue highway a lifeline for regional economies and cyclone recovery
    The Government is delivering a coastal shipping lifeline for businesses, residents and the primary sector in the cyclone-stricken regions of Hawkes Bay and Tairāwhiti, Regional Development Minister Kiri Allan announced today. The Rangitata vessel has been chartered for an emergency coastal shipping route between Gisborne and Napier, with potential for ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Next steps developing clean energy for NZ
    The Government will progress to the next stage of the NZ Battery Project, looking at the viability of pumped hydro as well as an alternative, multi-technology approach as part of the Government’s long term-plan to build a resilient, affordable, secure and decarbonised energy system in New Zealand, Energy and Resources ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Statement from the Prime Minister on Stuart Nash
    This morning I was made aware of a media interview in which Minister Stuart Nash criticised a decision of the Court and said he had contacted the Police Commissioner to suggest the Police appeal the decision. The phone call took place in 2021 when he was not the Police Minister. ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • CPTPP Trade Ministers coming to Auckland
    The Government’s sharp focus on trade continues with Aotearoa New Zealand set to host Trade Ministers and delegations from 10 Asia Pacific economies at a meeting of Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership (CPTPP) Commission members in July, Minister for Trade and Export Growth Damien O’Connor announced today. “New Zealand ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Govt approves $25 million extension for cyclone-affected businesses
    $25 million boost to support more businesses with clean-up in cyclone affected regions, taking total business support to more than $50 million Demand for grants has been strong, with estimates showing applications will exceed the initial $25 million business support package Grants of up to a maximum of $40,000 per ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago

Page generated in The Standard by Wordpress at 2023-03-24T05:42:45+00:00