Written By:
mickysavage - Date published:
7:30 am, August 22nd, 2017 - 34 comments
Categories: act, campaigning, election 2017, national, the praiseworthy and the pitiful, united future -
Tags: Peter Dunne
So much for the all feared all conquering National Party campaign machine, able to destroy opponents and win the hearts and minds of New Zealanders at will through its organisation and competence.
This election campaign was meant to be a Crosby Textor training video for how to change leader and win a fourth term. But it has started to resemble an episode from the Thick of It.
The organisation used to be extraordinarily good. The party had won the last three elections while maintaining a significant vote. It had also managed to persuade the electors of two traditional National seats, Epsom and Ohariu, to hold their noses and vote for two rather unappealing leaders of puppet parties, David Seymour of ACT and Peter Dunne of United Future. This gave National a two seat buffer and helped with those really tight Parliamentary votes.
Make no mistake. In an MMP environment these two votes gave the right a distinct advantage. And National did not lose an MP, they just exchanged an electorate MP for a list MP and gained two pliant electorate MPs willing to do their bidding, at least usually.
And this Election the plan was to repeat it all again and hope the good people of Ohariu delivered again.
But National clearly did not factor in Jacindamania.
What looked originally like a fairly tight battle changed so that even Peter Dunne conceded that the writing was on the wall for him. And rather than put himself through a further campaign he has decided to call it a day and pull stumps and all that stuff.
In an example of really bad timing a couple of days ago National sent a letter out to pretty well everyone in Ohariu urging them to electorate vote Dunne.
A couple of screenshots of the letter (h/t Lloyd Burr) provide you with as much information as you need.
But Dunne’s announcement shows that National’s campaign plans are looking rather shaky.
National’s reelection plans for Ohariu are now in tatters. Suddenly Brett Hudson who has made an art form of not campaigning for the electorate vote will need every single vote he can get his hands on.
Jacinda fan boi Paddy Gower called Dunne a political cockroach, I am sure he meant it in the nicest possible way.
Greg O’Connor must be grinning from ear to ear. And suddenly National’s campaign has this rather distinct feel to it.
The current rise of populism challenges the way we think about peopleâs relationship to the economy.We seem to be entering an era of populism, in which leadership in a democracy is based on preferences of the population which do not seem entirely rational nor serving their longer interests. ...
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Peter Dunne – ‘i didn’t want to lose’ – truth.
Joyce on radio – he’d fake happy no matter what happened and that is dangerous. Please don’t underestimate the gnats – do not take your eye off them labour.
Greens withdrew… …Dunne couldn’t win… …nice. Well done. All that was needed, pick on Greens, they withdraw and your done Dunne.
Peters should be taking notes.
Can’t believe dunne was all in when he thought he could sleep walk back into parliament. Now it looks a bit difficult he throws in the towel. Meanwhile over at another blog it seems like this little bombshell never occurred.
Yep Dunne’s legacy will be that of a quitter. The going got tough so he got going. Not unlike our esteemed former PM Sir Teflon John đ
No valedictory for Dunne but then he was not much of a talker in parliament. Did he give his questions to Seymour?
He talked out of the arses of Nat MPs. A kind of ventriloquism in reverse
Yup. He is still deluding himself that Ohariu elected him on merit. He has no fight… stands for nothing… and took the salary. Also voted against equal pay for women as one of his last actions.
The Nats got stood up via txt.
They’d booked the table, ordered an aperitif, paid the escort agency’s non-refundable deposit, and now this?!
His legacy is still that of a Quisling.
Off topic I know, but speaking of that picture, what happened with the decision in the Eminem case? Back in May it was reserved but expected to be released in a few months. That’s the last MSM article I can find on it.
Dung on the AM show did a Tui advert
Can’t remember the exact words but it went like:-
“The country is a better place now since I came into parliament 30 years ago”
Yeah right.
Can’t have been to Auckland recently. The amount of rough sleepers has escalated in the last few years. And the traffic.
He meant the fields aroubd his retirement farm
A great day for the integrity of our electoral system.
It’s very 2008 redux, but reversed, and the tide isn’t going out as fast on National as it did on Labour.
Last line is an own-goal clanger!
“…led by a confused coalition of parties who can’t even govern themselves”.
Give Nats a mirror, for some self reflection.
They say if you see all the rats start to jump off of a ship and start swimming away, head for the lifeboats immediately as it is a sure sign the ship is about to go down!
The hole in the National party ship must be bigger than what they are letting on and no amount of bailing it out is going to keep it afloat.
NZJester
National = ‘Six Months In A Leaky Boat’
“Split Enz ”
If only it had been 6 months in a leaky boat. But that boat has been leaky since the start and they just hid the fact well with their super Crosby Textor bilge pump keeping them afloat, but it is starting after all this time to wear out and the numerous holes are just getting too big for it to handle.
Big ray key left the rest to go down on the ss natonal he knew when to fold and run
Crosby Textor are going to have to start pulling the rabbits out of the hat soon.
Attack Ads have been released. Now will the electorate see this as a desperate move by a losing team.or…
Not fair to the UF candidates. They don’t appear to have been informed of this decision until it hit the media.
Huge National presence at the markets this week, along with the Greens and NZ First.
National are in the lead and will win on the day. MSM is trying to change the outcome, but it won’t work. Go National/NZ First…I am looking forward to our first Maori PM! Thought Bill English looked very calm and contented on TV tonight, does not seem worried.
Bingles permanently looks calm and contented. He’s a robot. There are some cracks appearing though.
Who is going to be the first Maori PM, btw?
Our dear Winston of course, who else.
So you are saying National are going to form a government with NZF and Winston Peters will head that government.
You seem like a dickhead.
seem?
I say it is a possibility, and a strong one. He may get Finance Minister instead, but as Kingmaker he will have high expectations, and I believe, National will come to the party.
Govt is where they want to be after all, not Opposition.
You’re either deliberately being an idiot, or are not very bright.
Let us know which.
He isn’t called Kingmaker for nothing…
Ok, it’s both then. Thought as much.
——– Forwarded Message ——–
Subject: Tane Woodley, 28 February 2007
Date: Thu, 24 Aug 2017 09:13:10 +1200
From: Robert
Reply-To: robert@oilcrash.com
To: james.shaw@greens.org.nz
CC: Robin Westenr , bill.english@national.org.nz, jacinda@jacinda.co.nz, president@nzfirstparty.org.nz, tane.woodley@greens.org.nz, checkpoint@radionz.co.nz, Gareth Morgan
James
I have to ask how these three things DON”T clash?
Kiwisaver
And
https://www.tvnz.co.nz/one-news/new-zealand/greens-deliver-labour-massive-surprise-unexpected-candidate-ohariu-electorate-race
And
http://www.oilcrash.com/articles/oilconfl.htm
The evidence is in, basically a green party candidate is saying Kiwisaver is a crock ie there simply isn’t another 47 years of growth left on the planet, so you are lying to your young voters, well all of them actually.
Please explain Mr Shaw, how can you till your 18 – 20 year old voters that there is a future pension via this oil/growth dependent investment scam?
Robert Atack
0274 301 574