Swings

Written By: - Date published: 11:26 am, May 1st, 2015 - 41 comments
Categories: International, uk politics - Tags: , ,

Some commentary has suggested a clean sweep for the SNP in Scotland in the UK General election. That would entail the party winning 59 seats next week, up from 6 seats in 2010. So, is the Labour Party in Scotland about to be euthanased?

Well, the constituency of Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill has returned a Labour mp to Westminster since 1932. In 2005 the it received 64.5% of the constituency’s vote on a 59.4% turnout. In 2010 it received 66.6% of the constituency’s vote on a 59.4% turnout. As constituencies go then… safe as houses.

And yet a January poll by Lord Ashcroft put Labour 3% behind the SNP in the constituency while, importantly, a poll by Populus has found that 75 per cent of Scots polled are “absolutely certain” they will vote in the general election, compared with an average of 53.75 per cent across the rest of the UK.

For a sense of what it feels like ‘on the ground’ you might do worse than view this latest short video essay from the constituency that John Harris has compiled for The Guardian.

 

41 comments on “Swings ”

  1. Sable 1

    Is there a reason why this is relevant? Personally I say good luck to the SNP and good riddance to so called Labour.

    • Bill 1.1

      The relevancy?

      Hmm, let me see. NZ Labour more or less mimics UK Labour in terms of policy etc. And NZ Labour’s popularity more or less echos UK Labour’s popularity (low 30%, give or take).

      And NZ Labour scratches it’s institutional head and can’t figure why it’s mired?!

      Meanwhile, at least in Scotland, along comes a party that grafts itself onto Labour’s abandoned roots and…

      You seeing the relevancy yet?

      • Tracey 1.1.1

        Bill

        Who, in trms of policy would SNP equate most closely to here?

        • DoublePlusGood 1.1.1.1

          No-one. The point is that Scotland has a constituency that has been abandoned by Labour policies and has sought out a party that represents Labour’s roots – and that no party has yet done that here. As a result, there is an opportunity for a political party in New Zealand to represent a similarly abandoned constituency here.

        • Bill 1.1.1.2

          I guess you’d have to indulge in a bit of time travel on that one 😉 As I say above, the SNP has grafted itself onto the roots that UK Labour abandoned…and is, not surprisingly, reaping immense ballot box rewards. The NZ Labour Party has also abandoned those roots. The difference here is that no-one has ‘taken up the cudgel (sorry to mix metaphors).

          Maybe Mana were coming the closest. But then, as UK Labour has attempted to do to the SNP and the Greens in the UK, the Labour Party here snuffed them out.

          Could something come from Maoridom if NZ Labour refuses to (a-hem) cut the crap? I dunno.

          edit – Damn. I was reading your comment somewhat back to front. The SNP come closest to pre-neoliberal Labour here. Essentially the same as their positioning in the UK on that front.

          • Phil 1.1.1.2.1

            the SNP has grafted itself onto the roots that UK Labour abandoned…and is, not surprisingly, reaping immense ballot box rewards.

            Correlation does not equal causation. The SNP has not fundamentally shifted their policy positions from the previous election.

            The SNP’s polling vaulted up immediately after the independence referendum. It’s a much more compelling narrative that 45-ish percent of Scottish voter,s who are pro-independence, see SNP-representation as the best alternative available to them at this election.

            • Bill 1.1.1.2.1.1

              I guess I see it in terms of the referendum getting people politically engaged. And once people are engaged and thinking things through instead of just meekly accepting that ‘this is the way things are’…

            • McFlock 1.1.1.2.1.2

              The SNP has not fundamentally shifted their policy positions from the previous election.

              But party support is not only about policy. Building respect, trustworthiness, reputation for delivering, and other factors all count too.

        • Murray Rawshark 1.1.1.3

          My worry is that NZ First is starting to fill the void left by the tendencies of Labour governments here since 1984. Labour can be seen as adopting the same anti-sovereignty policies as NAct, with their support for the free market and foreign “investment”, plus their USA friendly spy policies. I’m not sure there is enough class consciousness for enough people to realise that Working For Families and Accomodation Allowances are actually to help employers and landlords, doing nothing for workers. Therefore they will tend to look to the nationalism of Winnie rather than a more class based party.

          Mana was beginning to fill the gap, but for various reasons hasn’t yet. The Greens also have a lot of potential, but can’t quite shake off the idea that they should be a bit bluish. I can’t see anything very promising on the horizon and I don’t even know how promising the SNP is. If it aligns behind Scots money, it’s not.

          • Sable 1.1.1.3.1

            Yes guys Labour are, as I have said repeatedly, right wing sell outs. They have been since the appalling Lange government. The SNP have stepped in and created a truly socialist party that represents peoples needs and wants. To say they are grafted from Labours rotten roots is something of an insult. They are unique in their own way.

  2. mickysavage 2

    Sorry Bill I had a go at making the video link work and seemed to make it worse. If you can find a youtube version this will link cleanly.

  3. dukeofurl 3

    Gee, a clean sweep ?

    Thats after the same polls were saying independence vote would be ‘close’- it was a 10% difference.

    A range of polls give SNP from 47 seats. The maximum? I dont think so. There is active talk in Scotland of tactical voting on the tory side ( for the LIb Dems).

    Then Bill is known for his posts having poll beatups. But no mention this time of CNDs little survey.

    A clean sweep for SNP pushes up the chance that Cameron and the Tories will cling to power after the election.

    It mirrors what happened in 1919 in Scotland

    “George Square, Glasgow, is humming to the frenzy of thousands of protestors and campaigners, waving strange standards that are not the Union Flag. An unpopular coalition government is in power, with Conservatives and Liberals publicly turning on each other, uncertain how to contain a surging fringe movement and prevent wider civic discord.
    The year is 1919, not 2015, and Glasgow is under general strike. The strange flags flying are not the Saltire – there would be nothing strange about that in the streets of Glasgow – but the Red Flag, heralding the nascence of ‘Red Clydeside’.

    Electorally, the strike capped a permanent change in Scottish politics. 29 Labour MPs swept into the House of Commons at the next election, whilst the Liberals foundered, splitting into two parties. The ‘Labourisation’ of Scottish politics was to hold for several generations.
    may2015.com

    • Ovid 3.1

      Labour looks set to sweep London. I think things are firming up to a Labour-SNP coalition. Ed Miliband said Labour would put up a Queen’s speech, effectively saying take-it-or-leave-it to the SNP to vote in support of it. But if Labour ends up forcing fresh elections when there’s a clear coalition option open to them, they will suffer. And they’re sure to know this. I don’t think they’re that foolhardy.

      • Tracey 3.1.1

        Rather than offering to have discussions with them? Or a queen’s speech offered after they have consulted?

      • Bill 3.1.2

        There will be no coalition or confidence and supply arrangement. Neither the SNP nor Labour want either.

        The SNP have already said they would vote down a Tory Queens Speech and support a Labour one. Labour could be really fucking stupid and put Trident renewal or some such in their Queens Speech.

        Or, they could present a neutral Queens Speech and get on with being the UK government. The Fixed Term Parliaments Act means they don’t even fall should they fail to pass their budgets. Of course, they’d have to jiggle any failed budget and submit it again to secure 50%+ support…

        • Ovid 3.1.2.1

          They may even need the support of Plaid Cymru too, which would be interesting.

          • Bill 3.1.2.1.1

            And the Greens if Labour back off from trying to bury Caroline Lucas in Brighton.

  4. Tracey 4

    SNP on Affordable Housing


    Our record:

    Invested a record £675 million invested in affordable housing in 2009-10, and 8,663 affordable homes approved, a record number.
    Allocated £80 million to 23 local authorities to support the construction of 3,300 new council homes.
    Seen over 1,300 council houses started in the past three years, more than twice the number in the previous eleven years combined.
    Scrapped the right-to-buy for new council houses therefore encouraging building of new affordable homes and safeguarding homes for the future.”

  5. Tracey 5

    SNP on Economy

    “Scotland’s Economy

    Creating more jobs here in Scotland is a top priority for the SNP. Our policies include:

    Supporting Scotland’s Small Businesses – We will protect the Small Business Bonus, ensuring £450 million of support for the small businesses that form the lifeblood of local economies. The small business bonus has saved jobs in the downturn and create jobs in the recovery.

    Action on Youth Unemployment – We will provide support for 125,000 modern apprenticeships over the lifetime of the Parliament and a commitment that every 16-19 year old in Scotland not in work, part of a Modern Apprenticeship scheme or receiving education is offered a learning or training opportunity.

    Growing the Green Economy – Scotland is leading the world in offshore renewable technologies and the SNP will continue to support the rapid growth of this sector. The National Renewables Infrastructure Fund will help leverage private investment into Renewables, part of over £200 million of investment in Renewables.

    Improve Connectivity – we will invest in the electrification of the central Scotland rail network, reducing journey times between Glasgow and Edinburgh to just over 30 minutes. And our plans include the rapid expansion of high-speed broadband so Scots can take full advantage of our new digital age.

    Protecting family budgets – At a time of inflation, higher VAT and sky-high fuel prices we will continue to protect family budgets here in Scotland by freezing the Council Tax. We have also removed prescription charges, saving people with long-term health conditions £180.”

    • Bill 5.1

      Might pay to differentiate what the SNP government in Holyrood has done from what they want to achieve in Westminster. 😉

      The numbers change and some policies are possible in a Westminster context that aren’t possible in a Holyrood context due to the Scottish government having no borrowing powers, no tax take etc.

      • Tracey 5.1.1

        Thanks for the heads up…

        They seem to have a decent mix of Green policies

      • dukeofurl 5.1.2

        Gee Bill, you should really keep up

        “A new Scotland Bill, published by the Government, extends Holyrood’s powers to allow MSPs to set their own rates of income tax and stamp duty and borrow up to £2.7 billion. That was in 2012

        • Bill 5.1.2.1

          Uh-huh. And maybe you should stop with the uncritical echoing of the Daily Telegraph type nonsense? Any monies borrowed would then be deducted from the block grant (The Barnett Formula)…same with any tax rate changes. In other words, there’s no net gain in terms of either monies nor power…and the Barnett Formula gets trashed out to boot.

          I believe it’s correct to say that borrowing powers haven’t been used and that what I’ve sketched out is the reason why.

  6. dukeofurl 6

    It looks like its not all rosy in Scotland under the SNP

    “Fewer Scottish school children are good at reading and writing than in 2012, a report into literacy has shown.

    Results from the 2014 Scottish Survey of Literacy and Numeracy, which focused on literacy and was published today, show performance in reading dropped in primary schools between 2012 and 2014 – as well as in the second year of secondary school. Some levels also showed a drop in standards of writing.

    http://www.holyrood.com/articles/news/falling-literacy-scottish-schools

    I suppose those in Westminister are to blame ? Or should it be those in Edinburgh

    Luckily Scottish Universities have traditionally offered a 4 year undergraduate degree, so the students can ‘catch up’. LOL

    • Tracey 6.1

      what is the percentage drop between 2102 and 2014?

    • Bill 6.2

      And it rains a lot. Bloody tricksy SNP with their bright yellow colours promising 24/7 sunshine!

      • dukeofurl 6.2.1

        I get the impression you dont really know a lot about Scotland that is relevant.

        The SNP is some sort of talisman of a socialist government for you.

        Im familiar with people like this whos parents were great believers in Mao, and grandparents fervent supporters of Stalin.
        A lot of hope and very little reality.

        The best you hope for now is SNP.

        Sure they can play cat and mouse with labour if the tories dont cling to power.
        However SNP has its own election in Scotland next year and if it stuffs up things in Westminister the voters could sweep them out on its home turf in Edinburgh

        Seperatism is a bit fake cause here. If its the only real policy you have then it has limited appeal and will die out.

        • Bill 6.2.1.1

          Bwah – ha – ha!

          I mean, you do know that my political leanings are way to the outside of representative governing structures, yes? And you also know that I have nothing but short thrift for the authoritarian left, yes? On reflection, your knowledge of my political leanings are probably on a par with your knowledge of anything else sitting right under your nose. Nose nuffin.

          Moving on. All the SNP has to do at Westminster is play a straight game. Not difficult and they have given every indication this is what they intend to do.

          Separatism has got absolutely nothing to do with the Westminster elections. I believe I’ve heard Sturgeon explaining the ‘triple lock’ on any further referendum three or four times now.

          As for the SNP being a one trick pony, you might want to read their manifestos in relation to Holyrood where they are the government and Westminster where they will be a sizable minor party promoting anti-austerity policies. But – just a suggestion – print them off so you can hold them out above and in front of you rather than having them positioned in any proximity to the underside of your nose, or you probably won’t understand any of it.

          • Grant 6.2.1.1.1

            *short shrift*

            • Bill 6.2.1.1.1.1

              oops 🙂

              • Grant

                Short shrift is a good phrase to use in this instance. It’s meaning comes from the notion of giving a condemned man the minimum time possible to be shriven by a priest before execution.

  7. lurgee 7

    As a Scot, I’m still struggling to get my head around this. It seems impossible that the polls are right. But, unless every polling company working in Scotland is getting it spectacularly wrong, it looks like the SNP are going to have a very very good day next week. Ironicaly, even if their support does recede slightly (and Labour have been hoping that is going to happen for what feels like forever now), the horrors of First Past the Post should still see them trounce the other parties. It’s a democratic farce – the party that regularly polled 25% in elections and only got 10% of seats suddenly getting 80-90% of the seats on 40-50% of the vote.

    It is bizzare.

    Incidentally, Bill, I have to advise I May Have Been Wrong in a recent argument we had over the possible implications of the SNP refusing to support Labour over Trident. You’ll recall I was arguing they could trigger a fresh election (in which the TOries would almost certainly prosper) if they voted down a Labour bill on the Trident weapons system. The backbone of my argument was the understanding that budget bills were de facto confidence motions, and if the government could not pass a spending bill, it was expected to resign. I’ve always thought this was the case in Britain, but digging about I’m unable to find verification. Even a Parliamentary research paper from the 90s (!) seems to be a bit uncertain about it:

    A confidence motion is a device which directly tests that confidence. If the result demonstrates that the Government has indeed lost the confidence of the House, and cannot therefore continue to govern effectively, it must resign or seek a dissolution of Parliament (on which choice, see the following section). No other parliamentary event requires such an outcome, and suggestions that various obviously important occasions such as, say, the Queen’s Speech or the second reading of the Finance Bill, are tantamount to confidence motions must, in modern
    circumstances, remain speculative.

    So even the people you’d expect to know seem unsure about the conventions. The Fixed Term Parliaments Act does seem to imply, however, that there needs to be an explicit No Confidence vote, using specific wording, to trigger the 14 day dissolution clause.

    So the SNP could (if this thinking is right) nix Trident and then (rather disingenuously) immediately support Labour on a separate confidence vote, creating the intriguing possibility of a government being in office but effectively unable to allocate money.

  8. Bill 8

    Also a Scot, but unlike yourself finding the shift very easy to comprehend.

    The confidence vote thing becomes almost moot with the Fixed Parliaments Act. As an illustration of how it plays out, I’ve taken your part about Trident and substituted budget.

    So the SNP could (if this thinking is right) nix the budget and then (rather disingenuously) immediately support Labour on a separate confidence vote, creating the intriguing possibility of a government being in office but effectively unable to allocate money.

    So Labour fails to get the 50%+ to pass its budget due to (say) austerity measures within it. They have a choice. Appeal to the Tories and Libdems who both favour austerity, on the likely understanding that both those parties would want something inserted into the budget in return for their support. The dreaded ‘kiss of death’ Labour possibly receives for forming an, albeit temporary, ‘Grand Alliance’ comes into play. Or they could take out the austerity measures and get the 50%+ they need from SNP, Plaid Cymru and Green support.

    With Trident, they put it up and rely on Tory support. Trident goes through…unless it was written into the budget that the Greens, SNP and Plaid Cymru would vote against on principle and then they’re back to weighing the options above.

    The only way the Labour government falls, given that it requires 3/4 of members to vote ‘no confidence’, is if their own mps vote a vote of no confidence.

    • lurgee 8.1

      I think your muddling the no confidence rules and the early dissolution clause written into the FTPA.

      The Labour government can fall on a 51% no confidence vote; parliament can only dissolve if 2/3rds vote for an early dissolution, or 14 days pass with confidence in a government being passed by 50% of MPs.

      But it looks like Labour will be able to finess this – they can put up a Queen’s Speech that the SNP can vote for, but it won’t include anything about Trident, as that is subject to a defence review as per the Labour manifesto. So that will get them past the first hurdle. When the defence review comes back, Labour will probably support it, especially if it indicates Labour’s ‘3 boat’ strategy is viable. I can still see how the Tories may choose to play politics with it, arguing that a reduced deterrent is not worth supporting, in the hope of up-ending the government. I can see them being read to fight a second election quite quickly, with a new leader and loudly claiming that the children have made a mess and the adults have to tidy it up.

      Interesting times!

      • Bill 8.1.1

        Way I’m seeing it is that the ‘no confidence’ has to be a discrete vote. And the SNP are not going to vote ‘no confidence’ in a Labour gvernment and follow up with a vote for dissolution. They’ll vote against, and then, hopefully manage to alter some of Labour’s motions though. At least where Labour needs their support and doesn’t feel able to turn to the Tories for support instead.

  9. Disraeli Gladstone 9

    I still think it’s nigh-impossible that the Orkneys will vote for anyone but the Liberals. They still think they’re voting for the ghost of Jo Grimond.

    • Northsider 9.1

      So you would like to lay a wager?

    • swordfish 9.2

      Don’t leave the Shetlands out !

      But, yeah, if the Lib Dems hold on to any seat in Scotland, It’ll be Orkney and Shetland.

      • Grant 9.2.1

        Please guys, it’s Orkney or Shetland not the Orkneys or the Shetlands… 🙂 No Islander uses those terms.

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    We returned last week from England to London. Two different worlds. A quarter of an hour before dropping off our car, we came to a complete stop on the M25. Just moments before, there had been six lanes of hurtling cars and lorries. Now, everything was at a standstill as ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    3 days ago
  • Forget about its name and focus on its objective – this RMA reform bill aims to cut red tape (and ...
    Buzz from the Beehive A triumvirate of ministers – holding the Agriculture, Environment and RMA Reform portfolios – has announced the introduction of legislation “to slash the tangle of red and green tape throttling development in key sectors”, such as farming, mining and other primary industries. The exact name of ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    3 days ago
  • More National corruption
    In their coalition agreement with NZ First, the National Party agreed to provide $24 million in funding to the charity "I Am Hope / Gumboot Friday". Why were they so eager to do so? Because their chair was a National donor, their CEO was the son of a National MP ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    3 days ago
  • Submit!
    The Social Services and Community Committee has called for submissions on the Oranga Tamariki (Repeal of Section 7AA) Amendment Bill. Submissions are due by Wednesday, 3 July 2024, and can be made at the link above. And if you're wondering what to say: section 7AA was enacted because Oranga Tamariki ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    3 days ago
  • Reading the MPS numbers thinking about the fiscal situation
    Michael Reddell writes –  The Reserve Bank doesn’t do independent fiscal forecasts so there is no news in the fiscal numbers in today’s Monetary Policy Statement themselves. The last official Treasury forecasts don’t take account of whatever the government is planning in next week’s Budget, and as the Bank notes ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    3 days ago
  • Charter Schools are a worthwhile addition to our school system – but ACT is mis-selling why they a...
    Rob MacCulloch writes – We know the old saying, “Never trust a politician”, and the Charter School debate is a good example of it. Charter Schools receive public funding, yet “are exempt from most statutory requirements of traditional public schools, including mandates around .. human capital management .. curriculum ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    3 days ago
  • Paranoia On The Left.
    How Do We Silence Them? The ruling obsession of the contemporary Left is that political action undertaken by individuals or groups further to the right than the liberal wings of mainstream conservative parties should not only be condemned, but suppressed.WEB OF CHAOS, a “deep dive into the world of disinformation”, ...
    3 days ago
  • Budget challenges
    Muriel Newman writes –  As the new Government puts the finishing touches to this month’s Budget, they will undoubtedly have had their hands full dealing with the economic mess that Labour created. Not only was Labour a grossly incompetent manager of the economy, but they also set out ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    3 days ago
  • Rishi calls an Election.
    Today the British PM, Rishi Sunak, called a general election for the 4th of July. He spoke of the challenging times and of strong leadership and achievements. It was as if he was talking about someone else, a real leader, rather than he himself or the woeful list of Tory ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    3 days ago
  • Photo of the Day: GNR
    This post marks the return of an old format: Photo of the Day. Recently I was in an apartment in one of those new buildings on Great North Road Grey Lynn at rush hour, perfect day, the view was stunning, so naturally I whipped out my phone: GNR 5pm Turns ...
    Greater AucklandBy Patrick Reynolds
    3 days ago
  • Choosing landlords and the homeless over first home buyers
    The Government may struggle with the political optics of scrapping assistance for first home buyers while also cutting the tax burden on landlords, increasing concerns over the growing generational divide. Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāTL;DR: The Government confirmed it will dump first home buyer grants in the Budget next ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    3 days ago
  • Orr’s warning; three years of austerity
    Yesterday, the Reserve Bank confirmed there will be no free card for the economy to get out of jail during the current term of the Government. Regardless of what the Budget next week says, we are in for three years of austerity. Over those three years, we will have to ...
    PolitikBy Richard Harman
    3 days ago
  • An admirable U-turn
    It doesn’t inspire confidence when politicians change their minds.  But you must give credit when a bad idea is dropped. Last year, we reported on the determination of British PM Rishi Sunak to lead the world in regulating the dangers of Artificial Intelligence. Perhaps he changed his mind after meeting ...
    Point of OrderBy xtrdnry
    4 days ago
  • Climate Adam: Can we really suck up Carbon Dioxide?
    This video includes conclusions of the creator climate scientist Dr. Adam Levy. It is presented to our readers as an informed perspective. Please see video description for references (if any). Is carbon dioxide removal - aka "negative emissions" - going to save us from climate change? Or is it just a ...
    4 days ago
  • Public funding for private operators in mental health and housing – and a Bill to erase a bit of t...
    Headed for the legislative wastepaper basket…    Buzz from the Beehive It looks like this government is just as ready as its predecessor to dip into the public funds it is managing to dispense millions of dollars to finance – and favour – the parties it fancies. Or ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    4 days ago
  • Why has Einstein Medalist Roy Kerr never been Knighted?
    Rob MacCulloch writes – National and Labour and ACT have at various times waxed on about their “vision” of NZ as a high value-added world tech center What subject is tech based upon? Mathematics. A Chicago mathematician just told me that whereas last decade ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    4 days ago
  • Contestable advice
    Eric Crampton writes –  Danyl McLauchlan over at The Listener on the recent shift toward more contestability in public policy advice in education: Education Minister Erica Stanford, one of National’s highest-ranked MPs, is trying to circumvent the establishment, taking advice from a smaller pool of experts – ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    4 days ago
  • How did it get so bad?
    Ele Ludemann writes – That Kāinga Ora is a mess is no surprise, but the size of the mess is. There have been many reports of unruly tenants given licence to terrorise neighbours, properties bought and left vacant, and the state agency paying above market rates in competition ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    4 days ago
  • How serious is an MP’s failure to declare $178k in donations?
    Bryce Edwards writes –  It’s being explained as an “inadvertent error”. However, National MP David MacLeod’s excuse for failing to disclose $178,000 in donations for his election campaign last year is not necessarily enough to prevent some serious consequences. A Police investigation is now likely, and the result ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    4 days ago
  • Gordon Campbell on the privatising of state housing provision, by stealth
    The scathing “independent” review of Kāinga Ora barely hit the table before the coalition government had acted on it. The entire Kāinga Ora board will be replaced, and a new chair (Simon Moutter) has been announced. Hmm. No aspersions on Bill English, but the public would have had more confidence ...
    4 days ago
  • Our House.
    I'll light the fireYou place the flowers in the vaseThat you bought todayA warm dry home, you’d think that would be bread and butter to politicians. Home ownership and making sure people aren’t left living on the street, that’s as Kiwi as Feijoa and Apple Crumble. Isn’t it?The coalition are ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    4 days ago
  • Getting to No
    Politics is about compromise, right?  And framing it so the voters see your compromise as the better one.  John Key was a skilful exponent of this approach (as was Keith Holyoake in an earlier age), and Chris Luxon isn’t too bad either. But in politics, the process whereby an old ...
    Point of OrderBy xtrdnry
    5 days ago
  • At a glance – How does the Medieval Warm Period compare to current global temperatures?
    On February 14, 2023 we announced our Rebuttal Update Project. This included an ask for feedback about the added "At a glance" section in the updated basic rebuttal versions. This weekly blog post series highlights this new section of one of the updated basic rebuttal versions and serves as a ...
    5 days ago
  • Bryce Edwards: How serious is an MP’s failure to declare $178k in donations?
    It’s being explained as an “inadvertent error”. However, National MP David MacLeod’s excuse for failing to disclose $178,000 in donations for his election campaign last year is not necessarily enough to prevent some serious consequences. A Police investigation is now likely, and the result of his non-disclosure could even see ...
    Democracy ProjectBy bryce.edwards
    5 days ago
  • Get your story straight, buddy
    The relentless drone coming out of the Prime Minister and his deputy for a million days now has been that the last government was just hosing  money all over the show and now at last the grownups are in charge and shutting that drunken sailor stuff down. There is a word ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    5 days ago
  • A govt plane is headed for New Caledonia – here’s hoping the Kiwis stranded there get better ser...
    Buzz from the Beehive Foreign Minister Winston Peters has confirmed a New Zealand Government plane will head to riot-torn New Caledonia in the next hour in the first in a series of proposed flights to begin bringing New Zealanders home. Today’s flight will carry around 50 passengers with the most ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    5 days ago
  • Who is David MacLeod?
    Precious declaration saysYours is yours and mine you leave alone nowPrecious declaration saysI believe all hope is dead no longerTick tick tick Boom!Unexploded ordnance. A veritable minefield. A National caucus with a large number of unknowns, candidates who perhaps received little in the way of vetting as the party jumped ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    5 days ago
  • The Four Knights
    Rex Ahdar writes –  The Rt Hon Winston Peters, Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Foreign Affairs, likes to trace his political lineage back to the pioneers of parliamentary Maoridom.   I will refer to these as the ‘big four’ or better still, the Four Knights. Just as ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    5 days ago
  • Could Willie Jackson be the populist leader that Labour need?
    Bryce Edwards writes –  Willie Jackson will participate in the prestigious Oxford Union debate on Thursday, following in David Lange’s footsteps. Coincidentally, Jackson has also followed Lange’s footsteps by living in his old home in South Auckland. And like Lange, Jackson might be the sort of loud-mouth scrapper ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    5 days ago
  • Unacceptable
    That is the only way to describe an MP "forgetting" to declare $178,000 in donations. The amount of money involved - more than five times the candidate spending cap, and two and a half times the median income - is boggling. How do you just "forget" that amount of money? ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    5 days ago
  • Justice for Gaza!
    It finally happened: the International Criminal Court prosecutor is seeking an arrest warrant for Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu for war crimes in Gaza: The chief prosecutor of the international criminal court has said he is seeking arrest warrants for senior Hamas and Israeli officials for war crimes and ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    5 days ago
  • Media Link: AVFA on the implications of US elections.
    In this week’s “A View from Afar” podcast Selwyn Manning and spoke about the upcoming US elections and what the possibility of another Trump presidency means for the US role in world affairs. We also spoke about the problems Joe … Continue reading ...
    KiwipoliticoBy Pablo
    5 days ago
  • Web of Chaos, Secret Dolphins & Monster Truck Madness
    Hi,Two years ago I briefly featured in Justin Pemberton’s Web of Chaos documentary, which touched on things like QAnon during the pandemic.I mostly prattled on about how intertwined conspiracy narratives are with Evangelical Christian thinking, something Webworm’s explored in the past.(The doc is available on TVNZ+, if you’re not in ...
    David FarrierBy David Farrier
    5 days ago
  • How Government’s road obsession is ruining Auckland’s transport plans
    “TL;DR: The reality is that Central Government’s transport policy and direction makes zero sense for Auckland, and if the draft GPS doesn’t change from its original form, then Auckland will be on a collision course with Wellington.” Auckland’s draft Regional Land Transport Plan (RLTP) 2024 is now out for consultation, ...
    Greater AucklandBy Connor Sharp
    5 days ago
  • Bernard’s Dawn Chorus and pick ‘n’ mix for Tuesday, May 21
    The Government is leaving the entire construction sector and the community housing sector in limbo. Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāTL;DR: The Government released the long-awaited Bill English-led review of Kāinga Ora yesterday, but delayed key decisions on its build plan and how to help community housing providers (CHPs) build ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    5 days ago
  • Climate change is affecting mental health literally everywhere
    This is a re-post from Yale Climate Connections by Daisy Simmons Farmers who can’t sleep, worrying they’ll lose everything amid increasing drought. Youth struggling with depression over a future that feels hopeless. Indigenous people grief-stricken over devastated ecosystems. For all these people and more, climate change is taking a clear toll ...
    5 days ago
  • The Ambassador and Luxon – eye to eye
    New Zealand’s relationship with China is becoming harder to define, and with that comes a worry that a deteriorating political relationship could spill over into the economic relationship. It is about more than whether New Zealand will join Pillar Two of Aukus, though the Chinese Ambassador, more or less, suggested ...
    PolitikBy Richard Harman
    5 days ago
  • Fast track to environmental degradation
    Been hoping we would see something like this from Sir Geoffrey Palmer. This is excellent.The present Bill goes further than the National Development Act 1979  in stripping away procedures designed to ensure that environmental issues are properly considered. The 1979 approach was not acceptable then and this present approach is ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    6 days ago
  • Leading Labour Off The Big Rock Candy Mountain.
    He’s Got The Moxie: Only Willie Jackson possesses the credentials to meld together a new Labour message that is, at one and the same moment, staunchly working-class, union-friendly, and which speaks to the hundreds-of-thousands of urban Māori untethered to the neo-tribal capitalist elites of the Iwi Leaders Forum.IT’S ONE OF THE ...
    6 days ago
  • Priority is given to powerlines – govt strikes another blow for the economy while Jones fends off ...
    Tree-huggers may well accuse the Government of giving them the fingers, after Energy Minister Simeon Brown announced new measures to protect powerlines from trees, rather than measures to protect trees from powerlines. It can be no coincidence, surely, that this has been announced at the same as Fisheries Minister Shane Jones ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    6 days ago
  • Climate Change: The question we need to be asking
    One of National's first actions in government was to dismantle climate change policy, scrapping the clean car discount and overturning the Government Investment in Decarbonising Industry, which had given us Aotearoa's biggest-ever emissions reduction. But there's an obvious problem: we needed those emissions reductions to meet our carbon budgets: ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    6 days ago
  • Bryce Edwards: Could Willie Jackson be the populist leader that Labour need?
    Willie Jackson will participate in the prestigious Oxford Union debate on Thursday, following in David Lange’s footsteps. Coincidentally, Jackson has also followed Lange’s footsteps by living in his old home in South Auckland. And like Lange, Jackson might be the sort of loud-mouth scrapper who could take over the Labour ...
    Democracy ProjectBy bryce.edwards
    6 days ago
  • The Tikanga challenge for law schools, the rule of law – and Parliament
    Barrister Gary Judd KC’s complaint to the Regulatory Review Committee has sparked a fierce debate about the place of tikanga Māori – or Māori customs, values and spiritual beliefs – in the law.Judd opposes the New Zealand Council of Legal Education’s plans to make teaching tikanga compulsory in the legal curriculum.AUT ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    6 days ago
  •  The Huge Potential Benefits of Charter Schools
    Alwyn Poole writes –  In New Zealand we have approximately 460 high schools. The gaps between the schools that produce the best results for students and those at the other end of the spectrum are enormous.In terms of the data for their leavers, the top 30 schools have ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    6 days ago

  • Major investment in teacher supply through Budget 24
    Over the next four years, Budget 24 will support the training and recruitment of 1,500 teachers into the workforce, Education Minister Erica Stanford announced today. “To raise achievement and develop a world leading education system we’re investing nearly $53 million over four years to attract, train and retain our valued ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    8 hours ago
  • Joint statement on the New Zealand – Cook Islands Joint Ministerial Forum – 2024
    1.  New Zealand Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Foreign Affairs Rt Hon Winston Peters; Minister of Health and Minister for Pacific Peoples Hon Dr Shane Reti; and Minister for Climate Change Hon Simon Watts hosted Cook Islands Minister of Foreign Affairs and Immigration Hon Tingika Elikana and Minister of Health Hon Vainetutai Rose Toki-Brown on 24 May ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • Middle East, Africa deployments extended
    The Government has approved two-year extensions for four New Zealand Defence Force deployments to the Middle East and Africa, Defence Minister Judith Collins and Foreign Minister Winston Peters announced today. “These deployments are long-standing New Zealand commitments, which reflect our ongoing interest in promoting peace and stability, and making active ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Climate Change Commission Chair to retire
    The Climate Change Commission Chair, Dr Rod Carr, has confirmed his plans to retire at the end of his term later this year, Climate Change Minister Simon Watts says. “Prior to the election, Dr Carr advised me he would be retiring when his term concluded. Dr Rod Carr has led ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Inaugural Board of Integrity Sport & Recreation Commission announced
    Nine highly respected experts have been appointed to the inaugural board of the new Integrity Sport and Recreation Commission, Sport & Recreation Minister Chris Bishop says. “The Integrity Sport and Recreation Commission is a new independent Crown entity which was established under the Integrity Sport and Recreation Act last year, ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • A balanced Foreign Affairs budget
    Foreign Minister Winston Peters confirmed today that Vote Foreign Affairs in Budget 2024 will balance two crucial priorities of the Coalition Government.    While Budget 2024 reflects the constrained fiscal environment, the Government also recognises the critical role MFAT plays in keeping New Zealanders safe and prosperous.    “Consistent with ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • New social housing places to support families into homes
    New social housing funding in Budget 2024 will ensure the Government can continue supporting more families into warm, dry homes from July 2025, Housing Ministers Chris Bishop and Tama Potaka say. “Earlier this week I was proud to announce that Budget 2024 allocates $140 million to fund 1,500 new social ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • New Zealand’s minerals future
    Introduction Today, we are sharing a red-letter occasion. A Blackball event on hallowed ground. Today  we underscore the importance of our mineral estate. A reminder that our natural resource sector has much to offer.  Such a contribution will not come to pass without investment.  However, more than money is needed. ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Government sets out vision for minerals future
    Increasing national and regional prosperity, providing the minerals needed for new technology and the clean energy transition, and doubling the value of minerals exports are the bold aims of the Government’s vision for the minerals sector. Resources Minister Shane Jones today launched a draft strategy for the minerals sector in ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Government progresses Māori wards legislation
    The coalition Government’s legislation to restore the rights of communities to determine whether to introduce Māori wards has passed its first reading in Parliament, Local Government Minister Simeon Brown says. “Divisive changes introduced by the previous government denied local communities the ability to determine whether to establish Māori wards.” The ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • First RMA amendment Bill introduced to Parliament
    The coalition Government has today introduced legislation to slash the tangle of red and green tape throttling some of New Zealand’s key sectors, including farming, mining and other primary industries. RMA Reform Minister Chris Bishop says the Government is committed to  unlocking development and investment while ensuring the environment is ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Government welcomes EPA decision
    The decision by Environmental Protection Authority (EPA) to approve the continued use of hydrogen cyanamide, known as Hi-Cane, has been welcomed by Environment Minister Penny Simmonds and Agriculture Minister Todd McClay.  “The EPA decision introduces appropriate environmental safeguards which will allow kiwifruit and other growers to use Hi-Cane responsibly,” Ms ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Speech to Employers and Manufacturers Association: Relief for today, hope for tomorrow
    Kia ora, Ngā mihi nui ki a koutou kātoa Tāmaki Herenga Waka, Tāmaki Herenga tangata Ngā mihi ki ngā mana whenua o tēnei rohe Ngāti Whātua ō Ōrākei me nga iwi kātoa kua tae mai. Mauriora. Greetings everyone. Thank you to the EMA for hosting this event. Let me acknowledge ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Government invests in 1,500 more social homes
    The coalition Government is investing in social housing for New Zealanders who are most in need of a warm dry home, Housing Minister Chris Bishop says. Budget 2024 will allocate $140 million in new funding for 1,500 new social housing places to be provided by Community Housing Providers (CHPs), not ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • $24 million boost for Gumboot Friday
    Thousands more young New Zealanders will have better access to mental health services as the Government delivers on its commitment to fund the Gumboot Friday initiative, says Deputy Prime Minister Winston Peters and Mental Health Minister Matt Doocey.  “Budget 2024 will provide $24 million over four years to contract the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Residential Tenancies Amendment Bill passes first reading
    The Coalition Government’s Residential Tenancies Amendment Bill, which will improve tenancy laws and help increase the supply of rental properties, has passed its first reading in Parliament says Housing Minister Chris Bishop. “The Bill proposes much-needed changes to the Residential Tenancies Act 1986 that will remove barriers to increasing private ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Montecassino Commemorative Address, Cassino War Cemetery
    Standing here in Cassino War Cemetery, among the graves looking up at the beautiful Abbey of Montecassino, it is hard to imagine the utter devastation left behind by the battles which ended here in May 1944. Hundreds of thousands of shells and bombs of every description left nothing but piled ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • First Reading – Repeal of Section 7AA of the Oranga Tamariki Act 1989
    I present a legislative statement on the Oranga Tamariki (Repeal of Section 7AA) Amendment Bill Mr. Speaker, I move that the Oranga Tamariki (Repeal of Section 7AA) Amendment Bill be now read a first time. I nominate the Social Services and Community Committee to consider the Bill. Thank you, Mr. ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • First reading of 7AA’s repeal: progress for children
    The Bill to repeal Section 7AA of the Oranga Tamariki Act has had its first reading in Parliament today. The Bill reaffirms the Coalition Government’s commitment to the care and safety of children in care, says Minister for Children Karen Chhour.  “When I became the Minister for Children, I made ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • China Business Summit 2024
    Kia ora koutou, good morning, and zao shang hao. Thank you Fran for the opportunity to speak at the 2024 China Business Summit – it’s great to be here today. I’d also like to acknowledge: Simon Bridges - CEO of the Auckland Chamber of Commerce. His Excellency Ambassador - Wang ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Assisted depatures from New Caledonia
    Foreign Minister Winston Peters has confirmed a New Zealand Government plane will head to New Caledonia in the next hour in the first in a series of proposed flights to begin bringing New Zealanders home.    “New Zealanders in New Caledonia have faced a challenging few days - and bringing ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Assisted departures from New Caledonia
    Foreign Minister Winston Peters has confirmed a New Zealand Government plane will head to New Caledonia in the next hour in the first in a series of proposed flights to begin bringing New Zealanders home.  “New Zealanders in New Caledonia have faced a challenging few days - and bringing them ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Government to rollout roadside drug testing
    The Coalition Government will introduce legislation this year that will enable roadside drug testing as part of our commitment to improve road safety and restore law and order, Transport Minister Simeon Brown says.  “Alcohol and drugs are the number one contributing factor in fatal road crashes in New Zealand. In ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • Minister responds to review of Kāinga Ora
    The Government has announced a series of immediate actions in response to the independent review of Kāinga Ora – Homes and Communities, Housing Minister Chris Bishop says. “Kāinga Ora is a large and important Crown entity, with assets of $45 billion and over $2.5 billion of expenditure each year. It ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • Pseudoephedrine back on shelves
    Associate Health Minister David Seymour is pleased that Pseudoephedrine can now be purchased by the general public to protect them from winter illness, after the coalition government worked swiftly to change the law and oversaw a fast approval process by Medsafe. “Pharmacies are now putting the medicines back on their ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • New Zealand-China Business Summit
    Tēnā koutou katoa. Da jia hao.  Good morning everyone.   Prime Minister Luxon, your excellency, a great friend of New Zealand and my friend Ambassador Wang, Mayor of what he tells me is the best city in New Zealand, Wayne Brown, the highly respected Fran O’Sullivan, Champion of the Auckland business ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • New measures to protect powerlines from trees
    Energy Minister Simeon Brown has announced that the Government will make it easier for lines firms to take action to remove vegetation from obstructing local powerlines. The change will ensure greater security of electricity supply in local communities, particularly during severe weather events.  “Trees or parts of trees falling on ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Wairarapa Moana ki Pouakani win top Māori dairy farming award
    Wairarapa Moana ki Pouakani were the top winners at this year’s Ahuwhenua Trophy awards recognising the best in Māori dairy farming. Māori Development Minister Tama Potaka announced the winners and congratulated runners-up, Whakatōhea Māori Trust Board, at an awards celebration also attended by Prime Minister Christopher Luxon and Finance Minister ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • DJ Fred Again – Assurance report received
    "On the 27th of March, I sought assurances from the Chief Executive, Department of Internal Affairs, that the Department’s correct processes and policies had been followed in regards to a passport application which received media attention,” says Minister of Internal Affairs Brooke van Velden.  “I raised my concerns after being ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • District Court Judges appointed
    Attorney-General Judith Collins has announced the appointment of three new District Court Judges, to replace Judges who have recently retired. Peter James Davey of Auckland has been appointed a District Court Judge with a jury jurisdiction to be based at Whangarei. Mr Davey initially started work as a law clerk/solicitor with ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Unions should put learning ahead of ideology
    Associate Education Minister David Seymour is calling on the Post Primary Teachers’ Association (PPTA) to put ideology to the side and focus on students’ learning, in reaction to the union holding paid teacher meetings across New Zealand about charter schools.     “The PPTA is disrupting schools up and down the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Craig Stobo appointed as chair of FMA
    Commerce and Consumer Affairs Minister Andrew Bayly today announced the appointment of Craig Stobo as the new chair of the Financial Markets Authority (FMA). Mr Stobo takes over from Mark Todd, whose term expired at the end of April. Mr Stobo’s appointment is for a five-year term. “The FMA plays ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Budget 2024 invests in lifeguards and coastguard
    Surf Life Saving New Zealand and Coastguard New Zealand will continue to be able to keep people safe in, on, and around the water following a funding boost of $63.644 million over four years, Transport Minister Simeon Brown and Associate Transport Minister Matt Doocey say. “Heading to the beach for ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • New Zealand and Tuvalu reaffirm close relationship
    New Zealand and Tuvalu have reaffirmed their close relationship, Foreign Affairs Minister Winston Peters says.  “New Zealand is committed to working with Tuvalu on a shared vision of resilience, prosperity and security, in close concert with Australia,” says Mr Peters, who last visited Tuvalu in 2019.  “It is my pleasure ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • New Zealand calls for calm, constructive dialogue in New Caledonia
    New Zealand is gravely concerned about the situation in New Caledonia, Foreign Minister Winston Peters says.  “The escalating situation and violent protests in Nouméa are of serious concern across the Pacific Islands region,” Mr Peters says.  “The immediate priority must be for all sides to take steps to de-escalate the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • New Zealand welcomes Samoa Head of State
    Prime Minister Christopher Luxon met today with Samoa’s O le Ao o le Malo, Afioga Tuimalealiifano Vaaletoa Sualauvi II, who is making a State Visit to New Zealand. “His Highness and I reflected on our two countries’ extensive community links, with Samoan–New Zealanders contributing to all areas of our national ...
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