The plan for Monday

Written By: - Date published: 9:43 am, April 18th, 2020 - 30 comments
Categories: Economy, Free Trade, Globalisation, health, health and safety, labour, trade, uncategorized - Tags: ,

Even if New Zealand gets out of the immediate Covid-19 infection better than most other countries, the result is still a wrecked world and a slow recovery.

What we face is something like an Australian firefighter with a hose and a tanker facing an onrushing wall of flame: they successfully dampen down a defined circle a few metres around the truck, but when the dark smoke clears what remains is a lonely circle of green among a vast landscape of charred smoking black.

Even our most reliable trading partners whose populations buy our goods will be very slow to start spending again on any scale as they themselves deal with everyone else’s uncertainty. Confidence requires trust, and that’s gone for a while.

The economic fallout defies calculation. Many countries face a far deeper and more savage economic shock than they have ever previously experienced. In sectors like retail, already under fierce pressure from online competition, the temporary lockdown may prove to be terminal. Many stores will not reopen, their jobs permanently lost – they will be our friends, relatives and neighbours up and down our street. Millions of global workers, small-business owners, and their families are facing catastrophe.

In response we are witnessing the largest combined fiscal effort since World War 2. Our own government has already spent over $10 billion on direct wage subsidies to businesses since it started just a few weeks ago.

What we are now waiting for from government after the announcement on Monday is the near-impossible upon the near-impossible: when we get out of the health disaster, how do we get out of the economic disaster – and retain our social fabric and the governments’ social license to do any more. How much chemotherapy can we take?

What we are now waiting for, then, is quite unreasonable to expect – but we must.

If the response by our businesses and households is risk-aversion and a flight to safety, it will compound the forces of stagnation. It is unlikely that the public sector response to accumulated debt will be austerity.

So Monday’s Prime Ministerial announcement must only allow us a mere moment to appreciate how we avoided the worst of a global fire.

Monday must signal how we will be collectively organized to rebuild our country.

30 comments on “The plan for Monday ”

  1. Treetop 1

    Employment lawyers are going to become the busiest they have ever been as I predict that there is going to be a rise in employment disputes when it comes to safety.

    I am not sure if employees will get ACC cover for exposure to Covid-19.

    • Ad 1.1

      The rules in that respect haven't changed.

      The Health and Safety Standard Operating Procedures – across all industries – have certainly changed.

  2. Adrian 3

    Your firefighter example is interesting. A matter of a few weeks after the fires Eastern Australia was drenched in rain and within days most of the place was greener than anywhere in NZ has been for 4 months. For an example look up Russell Crowe's before and after shots of his NSW farm. Now replace the rain for the huge financial stimulus that most countries are about to do and I wouldn't be surprised if we are not saying in a few months "How the bloody hell did that happen ?" I hope so anyway.

    • Ad 3.1

      A lot were expecting a so-called "V" shaped recovery out of China.

      None of the commentary now says that's happening.

      In fact since reinfections are likely, it could easily be "W".

      The firefighter thing was a simile, nothing more – let's not over-extend it.

      • RedLogix 3.1.1

        A lot were expecting a so-called "V" shaped recovery out of China.

        The Chinese economy is highly dependent on trade and right now their customers are all on an enforced holiday. And when they come back many will be taking their business elsewhere.

        This is three crisis at once for China; their insane debt bubble (think sub-prime in every economic sector all at once), their rapidly ageing population that precludes a consumption based recovery, their huge dependence on exports, and a fatal blow to their credibility all bode very poorly for the CCP right now.

        I do wish the best for my Chinese friends and family, but in this I'm really only conveying the concerns they are telling me.

    • RedLogix 3.2

      The eucalypt species is remarkably fire adapted.

      It's quite remarkable to drive through an area that burned less than a year ago and see how fast it recovers. The tree actually sprouts millions of tiny temporary leaves directly from it's trunk, allowing the core of the plant to collect just enough energy to sustain it's recovery. It's quite a sight, blackened trunks everywhere, covered in bright green leaves.

    • Gabby 3.3

      Let's wait and see how long that green lasts.

  3. RedLogix 4

    I've been using this site to track the numbers right from the beginning. Not because I have any reason to believe it's veracity over any other, but because it's been consistent and transparent.

    The number that I'm scared of is the one in the headline banner, where it calculates the CDR (Case Death Rate). A month back when China dominated the data it was close to 3.4%. Now it's double that at 6.8% … and this is now based on much larger numbers.

    Of course both the numerator (the number of deaths) and the denominator (the number of proven cases) are subject to substantial uncertainty. The data is not being collected uniformly and reliably across all nations. But however you cut it, the CDR trend is rising slowly and inexorably, it looks like this damned virus is more lethal than expected.

    In this NZ's plan to eradicate, even on narrowly utilitarian grounds, will prove to be the right one. And this is even before we consider the long term impact of what I suspect will be a long fat tail of chronic medical issues arising in the survivors.

    Australia looks on track to eradicate as well; their govt is just as committed as ours, just taking a somewhat less draconian Level 3 style approach that seems to be working well enough so far. In a few months the two nations will likely open up to travel again as a regional bubble … but the rest of the world looks like being off-limits for the foreseeable future. Worst case it could be years of highly restrictive travel.

    China and the USA are both going to go through substantial turmoil, although there are good reasons to expect the Americans to emerge in a few years time regenerated and resurgent economically. But it looks increasingly likely that CV19 is going to be the event that brings this second major phase of globalisation that started in 1945 to an end. The US will accelerate it's process of regionalising back into it's continental shell; the rest of the world will be largely left to it's own devices … for both good or ill.

    The ANZAC entity will perforce have to regionalise as well. The US may not totally ignore us, but we can no longer assume their implicit security guarantee. While this may not seem very important at the moment, the very powerful question of food security in our region may well become the next acute question.

    While our tourism industry has gone away and is unlikely to return in any similar form soon, our agriculture is about to resume it's place as our crown jewel. But the ground is shifting rapidly which means some agile and tough minded diplomacy is necessary. We must repair our political relationship with Australia and play our part in the security of both nations.

    Then we'll need to consider fresh trading relationships within SE Asia. Singapore is the established player here, but Taiwan and St Korea have even greater potential. Plus these are all nations who have well managed CV19. If NZ and Australia both approached this challenge as partners rather than rivals it's entirely possible to make this work well.

    To borrow your firefighter metaphor … yes as the immediate firefront passes over us we will find ourselves isolated as a nation on the tiny patch of green we managed to save. But the eucalypt forest recovers fast, and in very clear stages the green starts to return. The world will likely not return to a fully globalised form for many years, but there is no reason to think a lonesome NZ will remain stranded at the far end of the world. We have the great good fortune as a nation to have good strategic partners and potential friends in our neighbourhood.

    • Ad 4.1

      Cheers Red I try not to sound too pessimistic. Just hungry for the actual plan.

      The nations we have close trade ties with in Asia are also the ones recovering fastest. It's as if health recovery defines our new de facto trade-preferred group.

      It's impossible to see trade barriers not going up from the EU, UK, and US. That part of globalization is in decline and we will be damaged through it.

      Both New Zealand and Australia will have comparative advantages to many countries which will get stronger:

      – Media freedom

      – Reflexive democracies, low corruption

      – Strong health, police, and judicial systems

      – Stuff people will always want in very high quality food and minerals

      – Attractive places for skilled and wealthy migrants to live

      – Relatively low regulations, ease of doing business, and now the one to emphasize:

      – Safety and cleanliness and low people-density

      So we have some things to reposition on.

      • Tricledrown 4.1.1

        If the govt is prepared to spend enough we can come through this reasonably well off compared to the rest of the world.We had massive shortages of IT ,Construction,Caregivers if the govt pushes money and training in these areas it will soften the blows.

        • New view 4.1.1.1

          Tricledrown
          “If the govt is prepared to spend enough we can come through this reasonably well off compared to the rest of the world.”

          don’t loose sight of the fact that the Government has no money of its own. It’s yours and mine and what this Government borrows will be paid off by you and your children maybe even our grandchildren.
          Some people talk like the Government is Father Christmas. Yes this money has to be spent but it will be at a huge cost to our future.

          • Tricledrown 4.1.1.1.1

            Rear View you have no idea how economies work you have been sucked into the economy works like a household budget right wing propaganda pushed by the like of Reagan and Thatcher who both ran up massive debts. We have had much higher debt in the past .We have come through levels of debt at 260% the economy grew and debt went down. Read a little about the economic history of NZ.

            The US has grown with debt levels at 130% ,110% higher than us.

            Economies can sustain high levels of debt.

            Spending that money on projects that increase productivity is the best option.

      • RedLogix 4.1.2

        Exactly. There are moments when the horror of what is happening on the other side of the world leaves me despairing. It's not just the personal tragedies and grief, but you just know the world as we have grown up with has gone away. There is a deep sense of loss in that.

        But you are also perfectly correct, NZ and Australia have so much to be thankful for, your list covers the fundamentals well. The really interesting challenge from the left wing perspective is inequality … how to re-position and re-balance ourselves in the world in a manner that reduces inequality and enhances social cohesion.

        In this I keep returning to the fundamentals of nation building, strong external security, strong internal transport and communication, strong governance, balanced demographics, energy and food security, and a balanced economy. The Eco-Modernist ideal that leverages evolving technologies to progressively decouple human development from it's impact on nature is the shining progressive light. In this we cannot retreat into isolationist autarky, we will always depend on trading partners to some degree.

        As a nation we first have to decide what we want. Only then can we put together a plan to get there.

        • Ad 4.1.2.1

          Your EcoModenist link is several posts in itself. It's confident and often non-intuitive in its optimism. Hence refreshing.

          Pope Francis did one five years ago which was less optimistic and sought to integrate alleviation of poverty with alleviation of environmental damage in all its forms.

          http://www.vatican.va/content/francesco/en/encyclicals/documents/papa-francesco_20150524_enciclica-laudato-si.html

          I've got a post on New Zealand's declining water quality coming up – I'll have a think about the Eco-Modernist manifesto in that context and see what else I come up with.

          • Poission 4.1.2.1.1

            You have read the report on the study week from the pontifical academy of science.Where the worlds experts on catastrophe theory (and complex systems) reviewed the problems and science to allow better decision making ie policy.

            Premise
            The problem. The world is facing major threats caused by the expansion of human activities, among them the deterioration of the environment, the depletion of natural resources, and the destabilization of economies and social order. The long-term threats (in the scale of decades) to the sustainability of our planet, like global warming, are accompanied by the immediate dangers of natural and man-made disasters; our vulnerability to them is greatly magnified with each passing year, and this undermines our ability to maintain a sustainable and productive world into the twenty-first century and beyond. Human society has increasingly recognized such threats. Throughout the world, huge resources, hundreds of billions of U.S. dollars, are being spent annually to counteract them. While these efforts are commendable because they prevent part of the potential damage, on the whole they have reached a kind of stalemate: the destabilizing factors prevail, and the scale of possible catastrophes is rapidly growing. Both history and common sense tell us that basic research is pivotal to breaking such a stalemate. Indeed, since ancient times, basic science has repeatedly rescued humanity, providing "new solutions to old problems". The present study-week will engage in the search for such new possibilities, focusing on the major responsibility of today's scientific community. At the same time, we recognize that scientific initiatives can be useful only if they can be implemented as a public policy and are acceptable to society from moral, ethical and spiritual points of view. These issues are also included in the programme.
            How will this study-week differ from the escalating multitude of scientific meetings, from technical discussions to global forums, that are already dedicated to these problems? The distinctive features of this study-week will be:

            brainstorming discussion without any formal limitations;
            – a small number and a high level of participants;
            – a focus on cutting-edge basic research;
            – a focus on what can be done, rather than simply alerting the audience to growing threats.

            In combination these features are unique, so that this study-week will not duplicate other meetings devoted to similar subjects, but will complement them.
            Why the Pontifical Academy of Sciences? Since hardly anybody else has the capacity to set up such an unusual meeting, with a potential for affecting the global agenda, we believe that the Academy has a responsibility to do so.

            Keilis-Borok et al.

            http://www.accademiascienze.va/content/accademia/en/publications/scriptavaria/scienceforsurvival.html

        • woodart 4.1.2.2

          its already happening. the $25 a week increase in benefits and doubling the power payout will be a big leveler. it slid through without whingeing because of the looming lockdown. never would have happened otherwise. very shrewd move by grant and jacinda. now we have even have righties calling for top end tax increases. shock,horror! they are even recanting(some of them) trickledown.!dont forget we even had an increase in the minimum wage in the middle, and because suddenly essential workers like supermarket staff were one of the big winners, it went through with nary a whinge. ceo's are falling over each other in their haste to take a salary cut, last one to do so looks like a piker. at the beach I live , airbnb houses are suddenly up for rent at nearly reasonable prices . commercial landlords will have to sharpen their pencils as many big office dwellers have suddenly realised they are paying rent for no good reason.

          • RedLogix 4.1.2.2.1

            All welcome and helpful (at least for some) developments. When a crisis hits strong societies respond with more social cohesion not less.

            Still the crisis always passes and we revert back to the mean. What people here really want are pivots that take us in another direction altogether.

    • Poission 4.2

      In this NZ's plan to eradicate, even on narrowly utilitarian grounds, will prove to be the right one. And this is even before we consider the long term impact of what I suspect will be a long fat tail of chronic medical issues arising in the survivors.

      Two more weeks of level 4,will enable NZ better to sustain the winter.

      With regard to the issues such as the impacts of CV, where x is cv ,f(x) and f is the ICU lack of appropriate PPE (and use) etc ,it is imperative to invoke the precautionary principle.

      we cant have a rainbow,without a little rain.

  4. Jum 5

    Two more weeks. But, loosen for infrastructure projects in usually high density areas, stalled at present, while 4 remains in place. Any work that can take place while the streets and public buildings are practically empty could be enacted under this advantage.

    When two men can sue the Prime Minister during this pandemic, for daring to close down the country for the safety of all its citizens, and it now goes through the usual judicial process, requiring the PM to defend her/her government's and scientists' expertise and advice, with all seriousness, we'll most certainly survive this crisis and come out so much the better for it, because hopefully we’ll be following a greener path – people and profit, despite current fears and serious money issues for many.

    To accuse her of taking those actions to enhance her political chances is just political nonsense and the accusers are political stooges for moneyed interests.

    https://www.msn.com/en-nz/news/national/jacinda-ardern-is-sued-over-coronavirus-lockdown-and-is-accused-of-imposing-strict-measures-in-new-zealand-for-her-political-gain/ar-BB12MG82?li=BBqdg4K&ocid=SK2MDHP

    • Foreign waka 5.1

      I agree, 2 weeks we were given to go into lock down it will take 2 weeks at least to get out of it. Preferably in stages that make logistical sense.

      To have schools opening first is a bit odd as every parent knows that these are the hot beds of spreading any illness at the best of times. As results of learning are universal, tempering with this by having pupils attend voluntarily only serves some adults being sick of having to be parents all day long. Logistically a nightmare with social distancing not enforceable.

      The schools have been closed for weeks now and no one could enter. The budget was removed for cleaning/sanitising. Imagine the mayham if this has to happen within 24 hours! Schools should be told that within 2 weeks they have to be ready for teaching. Maybe it has to be that some subjects are still another week or two further out to make sure distancing and resources are in place to be operational (the important word in all of that). Any school holidays should be cancelled until December to allow for a catch up of the curriculum teaching.

      Roading and building projects – not many cars out there and distancing is certainly not an issue. So why not start with that?

      This is not the time to ponder to interests but to make sure to get the country back onto its feet as safely and quickly as feasible.

      I think so far our leaders did a fantastic job, lets hope that will continue.

    • patricia 5.2

      Yes Jum agreed.

      • Anne 5.2.1

        Ditto, but I have to say that – like Ad – I'm at screaming point for a session at the hairdressers so I hope our mental well-being is regarded as an early necessity. wink

        • Jum 5.2.1.1

          Someone I know is a lone hairdresser and received a very quick financial response from Government for cover of lost custom. The family backup for her is also excellent. That appears to be the best outcome for an individual under these trying business conditions. Certainly, in keeping a longer lockdown re strengthening tracing arrangements, especially, I imagine Government can then start zooming in on the businesses, without backup systems, which need that bit extra, financially.

          • Anne 5.2.1.1.1

            Yep Jum. I know. I was being a bit naughty..

            I'm not referring to you in any way, but there are a tiny handful of commenters here who don't seem to understand 'tongue in cheek' even with the obligatory emoticon and it keeps me entertained. Yeah, naughty. But I'm not the only one.

  5. georgecom 6

    Level 3 for a couple of weeks and reassess. if things are looking fine move cautiously to level 2 and monitor. keep boarders shut.

  6. Sacha 7

    The bigger plan will come in May. Next week will be more tightly focused on getting us all from 4 to 3 in another fortnight.

  7. R.P Mcmurphy 8

    so there will not be a hardly davison, jetski, chainsaw and leaf blower for everyone?

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    ..Thanks for reading Frankly Speaking ! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.In an article entitled "School donations continue to yield millions of dollars for wealthier schools" on RNZ's website on 19 February, Data journalist Farah Hancock reported on the fees ("donations") that (some) schools were ...
    Frankly SpeakingBy Frank Macskasy
    3 days ago
  • Efeso Collins – Gone Too Soon.
    My wife’s breathing was heavy beside me as I woke this morning, still dark. Yesterday, and it’s awful news, came crashing into my head and I lay there quietly crying.Thinking of Efeso’s family and loved ones. Of so many people who knew him and were devastated by the shocking news. ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    4 days ago
  • Efeso Collins spoke in Parliament only yesterday on bill which will regulate social workers (and vot...
    Buzz from the Beehive Prime Minister Christopher Luxon and other party leaders have been paying tribute to Green MP Fa’anānā Efeso Collins, who collapsed and died during a ChildFund charity run in central Auckland this morning, . The event, near Britomart, was to support local communities in the Pacific. Collins, ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    4 days ago
  • This is corrupt
    Earlier in the month, a panel of "independent" experts in Wellington produced recommendations for the future of housing in the city, and they were a bit shit, opposing intensification and protecting the property values of existing homeowners. Its since emerged that they engaged in some pretty motivated reasoning on the ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    4 days ago
  • Efeso Collins
    God, life can be cruel sometimes can’t it?If only everyone was like him. He was so very warm, so very generous, so very considerate, so very decent. Plenty of people have those qualities but I can think of hardly anyone I've met who had them as richly as he did.Let me ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    4 days ago
  • CHRIS TROTTER:  Is applying “tough love” to a “fragile” nation the right answer?
      The Question Christopher Luxon Needs To Ask –  And Answer:  How was it possible for a nation of barely three million citizens to create and maintain an infrastructure that functioned, schools and universities that turned out well-educated and enterprising citizens, a health system that kept its people healthy, and a ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    4 days ago
  • DON BRASH: Is an independent foreign policy really feasible?
    Don Brash writes – A week or so ago, Helen Clark and I argued that New Zealand would be nuts to abandon the independent foreign policy which has been a characteristic of New Zealand life for most of the last 40 years, a policy which has seen us ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    4 days ago
  • YVONNE VAN DONGEN: So proud
    Ratepayers might well ask why they are subsidising people who peddle the lie that it is possible to be born in the wrong body and people can change sex. The preponderance of events advertising as ‘queer’ is a gender ideology red flag. Yvonne Van Dongen writes –  It ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    4 days ago
  • S&P slams new Govt's council finance vacuum
    Wellington Water workers attempt to resolve a burst water main. Councils are facing continuing uncertainty over how to pay to repair and expand infrastructure. The Wellington Regional Council was one of those downgraded. File Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāTL;DR: Ratings agency Standard & Poor’s has downgraded the outlooks for ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    4 days ago
  • Grant Robertson Resigns.
    Yesterday the man that I admire most in NZ politics called time.Around the middle of yesterday news began to filter out. People were posting unconfirmed reports that Grant Robertson was taking a new role as Vice-Chancellor at Otago Uni. Within an hour it became clear that he was indeed retiring ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    5 days ago
  • Auckland’s City Rail Link will fail immediately… in the best possible way
    This post was originally published on Linked In by Nicolas Reid. It is republished here with permission. Here’s the thing: the City Rail Link is almost certainly going to be overcapacity from day one, with crowding on the trains at peak times. In the simple terms of popular transport ...
    Greater AucklandBy Greater Auckland
    5 days ago
  • You can’t always get what you want
    Grant Robertson is leaving Parliament for two new careers, having been frustrated and blocked from achieving some of his biggest political ambitions. So, he is returning to Dunedin, and, unusually for a former finance minister, with seemingly no ambitions to enter the business world. Instead, he will become Vice Chancellor ...
    PolitikBy Richard Harman
    5 days ago
  • At a glance – Was Greenland really green in the past?
    On February 14, 2023 we announced our Rebuttal Update Project. This included an ask for feedback about the added "At a glance" section in the updated basic rebuttal versions. This weekly blog post series highlights this new section of one of the updated basic rebuttal versions and serves as a ...
    5 days ago
  • Sharp-elbowed and loving it
    It doesn't seem to take a lot to persuade someone who feels they work their guts out that in fact no one is working as hard as me.It doesn't seem to take a lot to persuade someone who knows somebody taking the welfare system for a ride that they’re all ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    5 days ago
  • Sharp-elbowed and loving it
    It doesn't seem to take a lot to persuade someone who feels they work their guts out that in fact no one is working as hard as me.It doesn't seem to take a lot to persuade someone who knows somebody taking the welfare system for a ride that they’re all ...
    More than a fieldingBy David Slack
    5 days ago
  • Then why did she do it?
    Earlier in the month, Cancer Minister Casey Costello was caught lying to the media about whether or not she had requested advice on cutting tobacco excise tax to benefit the cancer industry. She repeated her lies in Parliament. But today, she stood up and pretended to apologise for "causing confusion" ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    5 days ago
  • Is Applying “Tough Love” To A “Fragile” Nation The Right Answer?
    The Question Christopher Luxon Needs To Ask –  And Answer: How was it possible for a nation of barely three million citizens to create and maintain an infrastructure that functioned, schools and universities that turned out well-educated and enterprising citizens, a health system that kept its people healthy, and a workforce ...
    5 days ago
  • The limits to realism.
    Realism is a school of thought in the field of international relations (IR). It provides a theoretical framework for analysing the behaviour of States in the world political system. Like other theories (which in the IR literature include idealism, liberalism, … Continue reading ...
    KiwipoliticoBy Pablo
    5 days ago
  • UNSOCIAL MEDIA – Following the Trolls
    From TODAY FM archives — Wilhelmina Shrimpton and Simon Morrow take a deep dive into trolling and cyberbullying. From the high profile to the general public, Kiwis across all walks of life are being targeted, and some are paying the ultimate price. So what drives us to troll, who is ...
    The PaepaeBy Peter Aranyi
    5 days ago
  • Govt prescribes stiff medicine for some beneficiaries while easing access to drugs containing pseudo...
    Buzz from the Beehive One of two new announcements on the government’s official website  – given plenty of publicity by the mainstream media over the past 24 hours – has been pitched as the first steps in a “reset” of the welfare system.  Stiff medicine for beneficiaries, in effect. The ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    5 days ago
  • We’re not as fragile or as lazy as Luxon says
    Luxon says his government is one that is “prepared to make those hard decisions”. File Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāTL;DR: Prime Minister Christopher Luxon has adopted the language of Ruth Richardson before her 1991 ‘Mother of All Budgets’ in arguing for benefit sanctions to bolster the Government finances, which ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    5 days ago
  • Talking over the Silence.
    Please open the doorNothing is different, we've been here beforePacing these hallsTrying to talk over the silenceIf I was to describe what I do, or at least the way it sometimes feels, then talking over the silence wouldn’t be a bad way to do so.Not that there aren’t other voices ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    5 days ago
  • LINDSAY MITCHELL: National needs to go further
    Lindsay Mitchell writes – In today’s State of the Nation speech Christopher Luxon talked repeatedly about getting young people off welfare. It seems that National has devised a traffic light system which will use increasing levels of sanctions – welfare deductions – when beneficiaries fail to meet their ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    5 days ago
  • Gordon Campbell on National spreading panic about the economy
    It is a political strategy as old as time. Scare the public with tales of disaster and stampede them into supporting your ideological agenda because they believe There Is No Alternative. Yet, if the NZ economy truly is as “fragile” as PM Christopher Luxon says it is… Then how come ...
    6 days ago
  • The promise of passive house design
    This is a re-post from Yale Climate Connections by Sarah Wesseler Imagine a home so efficient that it could be heated with a hair dryer. That’s the promise of a passive house, a design standard that’s becoming increasingly popular in the architecture community for its benefits to occupants and the climate. ...
    6 days ago
  • Deep in the Uncanny Valley of AI
    Hi,Before we get started, some very big fun Webworm news. I am launching a new journalism fund called Big Worm Farm!A really great thing that’s happened with Webworm over the last four years is that it’s grown. That’s great for a few reasons.Firstly — it means the work here gets ...
    David FarrierBy David Farrier
    6 days ago
  • Introducing: Big Worm Farm
    Hi,I’m excited to tell you about Big Worm Farm.Put simply, the main aim of Big Worm Farm is to support investigative journalists from around the world to be able to devote dedicated time to research and report on a specific story, to be published on Webworm.The stories will capture the ...
    David FarrierBy David Farrier
    6 days ago
  • Why Massey is broke
    The Tertiary Education Commission has named the two universities it says are at high risk financially. They are Massey and Victoria. The Commission appeared before Parliament’s Education Select Committee yesterday and offered a revealing and rare insight into the complex world of university economics. Its Briefing to the Incoming Minister ...
    PolitikBy Richard Harman
    6 days ago
  • You keep Luxin' when you oughta be thruthin'
    Christopher Luxon’s campaign to win last year's election continued yesterday with a speech.Channelling possibly Bruce Willis in Die Hard, he was all, I'm not going to dress it up, I'm going to level with you guys: the state of the nation is fragile.The thing he’s maybe missing is that it ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    6 days ago
  • The PM spoke of the need for tough choices – and then opted to beat a retreat when gays and Gaza a...
    Buzz from the Beehive The PM’s State of the Nation speech – according to a Newshub headline – was a ‘buffet of buzzwords’ and full of ‘nonsense’. Fair to say, the quoted words were attributed to Opposition politicians, who were unlikely to say the speech was visionary and inspiring: PM ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    6 days ago
  • Keynesian Wisdom.
    When the facts change, I change my mind - what do you do, sir?John Maynard Keynes (1883-1946)This posting is exclusive to Bowalley Road. ...
    6 days ago
  • BRIAN EASTON: Puffing policy
    Public policy towards tobacco consumption remains politically sensitive. Brian Easton writes – In 1983, a young researcher was told by a medium-level Treasury official that Treasury policy was to abandon excise duties on tobacco. The senior Treasury economist that I consulted, famed for his commonsense, snorted ‘we ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    6 days ago
  • Is 2.8% per year population growth too much?
    TL;DR: The Government is reviewing migration settings that produced 2.8% population growth last year and is looking at a longer-term strategy of matching population growth to the ‘absorbtive capacity’ of Aotearoa-NZ’s infrastructure.Our population grew last year at its fastest rate since 1947, when large numbers of troops returning from World ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    6 days ago
  • Tough Choices & Tough Love.
    I've been trying to hurt youI've been holding you tightI've been learning to love youAm I doing it right?How are you still breathingWith my hands all over your heart?How do we start healingIf we can't keep out the dark?Yesterday the Prime Minister delivered his State of the Nation, for no ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    6 days ago
  • Will the 2024 RLTP be yet another debacle?
    A couple of years ago, Auckland Council and Auckland Transport found themselves in court over the 2021 Regional Land Transport Plan (RLTP). A non-profit alliance for transport decarbonisation, All Aboard Aotearoa, argued that among other factors, the RLTP was unlawful because it failed to give effect to the 2021 Government ...
    7 days ago
  • 2024 SkS Weekly Climate Change & Global Warming News Roundup #07
    A listing of 31 news and opinion articles we found interesting and shared on social media during the past week: Sun, Feb 11, 2024 thru Sat, Feb 17, 2024. Story of the week Based on mission alignment, our Story of the Week is certainly Can we be inoculated against climate ...
    7 days ago
  • Immigration Issues.
    Help is comingI heard a whisperWhite caps turningThe breath of summerA distant drummingAnd liar birds callingEscape the anguish of our pastAnd prayOne of the major challenges of the the 21st century will be the mass migration of human beings around our globe.Some seeking economic opportunities, others fleeing repressive regimes, war ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    1 week ago
  • Trust us, we know what we’re doing
    The best trick the National Party ever pulled was to fabricate their reputation as the responsible ones.This would be the National Party that denied us the New Zealand Superannuation Scheme that—Brian Gaynor wrote back in 2007would be worth more than $240 billion today and would have transformed the New Zealand ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    1 week ago
  • The Left’s Timidity
    It is not just Karl Marx – even the most enthusiastic supporters of the market economy (not least Adam Smith) will concede that its normal operation inevitably leads to a concentration of wealth in relatively few hands. Some, at least, of these enthusiasts will accept that such a concentration is ...
    Bryan GouldBy Bryan Gould
    1 week ago
  • OLIVER HARTWICH: Absurd – NZ courts can now decide on climate change
    Oliver Hartwich writes – The World Justice Project ranks New Zealand 7th out of 142 countries on its ‘Rule of Law Index’, narrowly ahead of Australia’s 13th place. However, Australia still has hope – if only because of a recent decision by the Supreme Court of New Zealand. The ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    1 week ago
  • Still waiting on that turnaround
    Hello! Here comes the Saturday edition of More Than A Feilding, catching you up on the past week’s editions.Friday: Week in review, quiz style2. Shane Jones’ demeanour in mocking and deriding climate activists can be observed in what other realm of human behaviour?a. Gleeful little boys pulling wings off fliesb. ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    1 week ago
  • Can we be inoculated against climate misinformation? Yes – if we prebunk rather than debunk
    This article is republished from The Conversation under a Creative Commons license. Read the original article written by Christian Turney, University of Technology Sydney and Sander van der Linden, University of Cambridge and first published on February 14, 2024. Adrien Demers/Shutterstock Last year, the world experienced the hottest day ...
    1 week ago
  • Mihi Forbes and the great Atlas conspiracy
    Graham Adams writes — Last week, Mihingarangi Forbes made an extraordinary claim while interviewing David Seymour on Mata Reports, a taxpayer-funded current affairs programme which, she says, looks at events through an “indigenous lens”. She asked him about Act’s links to the Atlas Network, which fosters connections between centre-right ...
    Point of OrderBy gadams1000
    1 week ago
  • Puffing Policy
    Public policy towards tobacco consumption remains politically sensitive. In 1983, a young researcher was told by a medium-level Treasury official that Treasury policy was to abandon excise duties on tobacco. The senior Treasury economist that I consulted, famed for his commonsense, snorted ‘we need the money’. He explained that no-excise-duty ...
    PunditBy Brian Easton
    1 week ago

  • Government backs police to crackdown on gangs
    The coalition Government is restoring law and order by providing police new tools to crack down on criminal gangs, says Justice Minister Paul Goldsmith and Police Minister Mark Mitchell.  “Over the last five years gangs have recruited more than 3000 members, a 51 per cent increase. At the same time, ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    9 hours ago
  • Northland’s new Kāeo Bridge officially open
    Transport Minister Simeon Brown has welcomed the official opening of the new State Highway 10 (SH10) Kāeo Bridge, which will improve safety and traffic flow for people heading to and from the Far North. “This is an important piece of infrastructure for the Northland region that will help members of ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 day ago
  • Dry weather triggers extra support for farmers and growers across the top of the South Island
    The coalition Government is providing support for farmers and growers as dry conditions worsen across the top of the South Island. “Conditions on the ground across the Marlborough, Tasman, and Nelson districts are now extremely dry and likely to get worse in the coming months,” Agriculture Minister Todd McClay said. ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Trade Minister heads to Abu Dhabi for key WTO negotiations
    Trade Minister Todd McClay travels to Abu Dhabi in the United Arab Emirates for the 13th Ministerial Conference of the World Trade Organisation (WTO) today, to take up his role as Vice Chair of the negotiations. The Ministerial Conference is the highest decision-making body within the WTO and meets every ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Appointment round for King’s Counsel announced
    Attorney-General Judith Collins today announced an appointment round for King’s Counsel will take place in 2024. Appointments of King’s Counsel are made by the Governor-General on the recommendation of the Attorney-General and with the concurrence of the Chief Justice. The Governor-General retains the discretion to appoint King’s Counsel in recognition ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Retiring Chief of Navy thanked for his service
    Defence Minister Judith Collins has thanked the Chief of Navy, Rear Admiral David Proctor, for his service as he retires from the Royal New Zealand Navy after 37 years. Rear Admiral Proctor will retire on 16 May to take up an employment opportunity in Australia.  “I would like to thank ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Indonesian Vice President to visit New Zealand
    Indonesia’s Vice President Ma’ruf Amin will visit New Zealand next week, the first here by an Indonesian leader since 2018, Deputy Prime Minister Winston Peters has announced. “New Zealand and Indonesia have a strong partnership,” Mr Peters says.  “The Vice President’s visit is an opportunity to discuss how we can strengthen ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Government boost to fight against caulerpa
    The battle to contain the fast-spreading exotic caulerpa seaweed has today received a $5 million boost to accelerate the development of removal techniques, says Biosecurity Minister Andrew Hoggard.  “The time is now to really lean in and build on the work of Biosecurity New Zealand, mana whenua, communities and local ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Minister attending Australian data, digital meeting
    Minister for Digitising Government Judith Collins is in Sydney to attend the first Data and Digital Ministers’ Meeting of 2024.  “This is a great opportunity to connect with our Australian counterparts and identify how we can work together on digital transformation,” Ms Collins says.   “Both our nations are looking into ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Appointments to Antarctica New Zealand Board
    Foreign Minister Winston Peters has appointed Leon Grice and Heather Simpson to serve on the Antarctica New Zealand board.  “Since taking office, the Coalition Government has become concerned about the direction of the Scott Base Redevelopment Project,” Mr Peters says.  “It is vital that Antarctica New Zealand has the right ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Strengthening the Single Economic Market
    Finance Minister Nicola Willis has met with Australian Treasurer Jim Chalmers to discuss the opportunities to lower business costs and increase the ease with which businesses and people can operate across the Tasman.     “I have met with Treasurer Chalmers and shared our new Government’s ambitious economic goals, our plans ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Government to address business payment practices
    The Government will repeal the Business Payment Practices Act 2023, Small Business and Manufacturing Minister Andrew Bayly announced today. “There is a major problem with large market players imposing long payment terms and routinely paying invoices late. “However, the Business Payment Practices Act is not an effective solution and would ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Greater focus on work will reduce child poverty
    Worsening child poverty rates support the Coalition Government’s focus on reducing the cost of living and getting people into work, Child Poverty Reduction Minister Louise Upston says. Figures released by Stats NZ today show child poverty rates have increased, with the rising cost of living, driven by inflation, making it ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • NZ announces new support for Ukraine
    Foreign Minister Winston Peters and Defence Minister Judith Collins have marked two years since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine by announcing further support and sanctions, and extending our military assistance. “Russia launched its illegal, full-scale invasion of Ukraine, in blatant violation of international law, including the UN Charter,” Mr Peters says. ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Finance Minister to meet Australian Treasurer
    Finance Minister Nicola Willis will travel to Australia today to meet her Australian counterpart, Treasurer Jim Chalmers.    “New Zealand and Australia have an incredibly strong trade and investment relationship. The Closer Economic Relations and Single Economic Market are powerful engines for growth on both sides of the Tasman.     “I will ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • PM shocked and saddened at death of Efeso Collins
    “I am truly shocked and saddened at the news of Efeso Collins’ sudden death,” Prime Minister Christopher Luxon says. “Efeso was a good man, always friendly and kind, and a true champion and advocate for his Samoan and South Auckland communities. “Our thoughts and deepest sympathies go to his family, ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Greater support for social workers
    The Coalition Government is enhancing the professionalism of the social work sector and supporting the vulnerable people who rely on them, Social Development and Employment Minister Louise Upston says.  The Social Workers Registration Legislation Amendment Bill passed its third reading in Parliament today. It amends the Social Workers Registration Legislation ...
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    5 days ago
  • Government delivers greater freedom and choice for sick New Zealanders
    The coalition government is delivering on its commitment to making principled decisions by getting rid of red tape that doesn’t make sense and allowing sick New Zealanders greater freedom and choice to purchase effective cold and flu medicines. A bill amending the Misuse of Drugs Act 1975 is being introduced, and changes to the Medicines ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Government begins reset of welfare system
    The Coalition Government is taking early action to curb the surge in welfare dependency that occurred under the previous government by setting out its expectations around employment and the use of benefit sanctions, Social Development and Employment Minister Louise Upston says. In 2017, 60,588 sanctions were applied to beneficiaries who ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • State of the Nation
    Ka nui te mihi kia koutou. Kia ora, good morning, talofa, malo e lelei, bula vinaka, da jia hao, namaste, sat sri akal, assalamu alaikum. Thank you for coming to my first State of the Nation as Prime Minister. Thank you for coming to a speech where I don’t just ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • West Coast tourism attractions officially open
    Regional Development Minister Shane Jones will attend the official opening of two highly anticipated tourism projects on the West Coast today – Pike29 Memorial Track, dedicated to the memory of the Pike River miners, and Pounamu Pathway. “The Pike29 Memorial Track is a way to remember and honour the men ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Independent ferry service advisory group in place
    Appointments to the Ministerial Advisory Group tasked with providing independent advice and assurance on the future of KiwiRail’s inter-island ferry service have been made, State Owned Enterprises Minister Paul Goldsmith says. “It’s important for New Zealand that KiwiRail is focused on ensuring safe, resilient, and reliable ferry services over the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Joint statement from the Prime Ministers of Australia, Canada, and New Zealand
    The Prime Ministers of Australia, Canada and New Zealand today issued the following statement on reports of Israel’s planned military operation in Rafah. We are gravely concerned by indications that Israel is planning a ground offensive into Rafah.   A military operation into Rafah would be catastrophic. About 1.5 million Palestinians ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Govt will deliver on expanded breast screening
    The coalition Government has made the first steps in delivering on its promise to  extend free breast screening to women aged 70-74, Health Minister Shane Reti says. “As part of the 100 day plan, the Government has now met with officials and discussed what is needed in order for the ...
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    1 week ago
  • Government announces woolshed roadshows in support of sheep farmers
    The Government celebrates National Lamb Day (15 February 24) and congratulates sheep farmers on the high-quality products they continue to produce. Agriculture Minister McClay hosted bipartisan celebrations of National Lamb Day with industry representatives at Parliament this week to mark the anniversary of the first frozen lamb exports that left ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Speech: Address to the NZ Economics Forum
    It’s great to be back at the New Zealand Economics Forum. I would like to acknowledge everyone here today for your expertise and contribution, especially the Pro Vice-Chancellor, Head of the Waikato Management School, economists, students and experts alike. A year has passed since I was last before you, and ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Government tackling high construction costs
    The Government is focused on reducing sky-high construction costs to make it more affordable to build a home, Building and Construction Minister Chris Penk says.  Stats NZ data shows the cost of building a house has increased by 41 per cent since 2019, making housing even more unaffordable for Kiwi ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Labour’s Three Waters legislation repealed
    The Coalition Government’s legislative plan to address longstanding issues with local water infrastructure and service delivery took an important step today, with the repeal of Labour’s divisive and unpopular Three Waters legislation, Local Government Minister Simeon Brown says. “Repealing this legislation is a necessary first step in implementing our Local ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Cost of living support for beneficiary households
    The Coalition Government is delivering on its commitment to ease the cost-of-living by increasing main benefit rates in line with inflation and ensuring the Minimum Family Tax Credit threshold remains aligned with this change, Social Development and Employment Minister Louise Upston says. The Social Security (Benefits Adjustment) and Income Tax ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Government announces agriculture delegations to better support Primary sector
    The coalition Government has announced ministerial delegations to support key areas across the Primary sector to deliver for New Zealand’s food and fibre sector, Agriculture Minister Todd McClay announced today. “I will be supported in my roles as Minister of Agriculture, Trade, Forestry and Hunting and Fishing, by three Associate ...
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    2 weeks ago
  • Waikato MoU reinforces Govt’s commitment to increase NZ doctors
    The Government has taken an important step forward in addressing a critical shortage of New Zealand-trained doctors, with today’s signing of a Memorandum of Understanding for a third medical school, Minister of Health Dr Shane Reti has announced.  “Today’s signing by the Ministry of Health and the University of Waikato ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Speech – Lunar New Year 2024
    Annyeonghaseyo, greetings and welcome all. It is my pleasure as the Minister for Ethnic Communities to welcome you to the first Lunar New Year Event in Parliament. Thank you to our emcees for greeting us in the different languages that represent the many cultures that celebrate the Lunar New Year. ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • More funding to Hawke’s Bay and Tairāwhiti
    Urgent work to clean-up cyclone-affected regions will continue, thanks to a $63 million boost from the Government for sediment and debris removal in Hawke’s Bay and Tairāwhiti.                                                                                                   The funding will help local councils continue urgent work removing and disposing of sediment and debris left from Cyclone Gabrielle.   “This additional ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Budget will be delivered on 30 May
    Plans to deliver tax relief to hard-working New Zealanders, rebuild business confidence and restore the Crown’s finances to order will be unveiled on 30 May, Finance Minister Nicola Willis says. The plans will be announced in the Budget which is currently being developed by Ministers.  “The last government’s mismanagement of ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Government advances Local Water Done Well
    The Coalition Government is continuing work to restore council ownership and control of water assets by repealing Three Waters and appointing a Technical Advisory Group to provide expert advice on the implementation of Local Water Done Well, Local Government Minister Simeon Brown says. “The Government will pass a bill to ...
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    2 weeks ago
  • Minister congratulates NZQA Top Scholars
    Education Minister Erica Stanford congratulates the New Zealand Scholarship recipients from 2023 announced today.  “Receiving a New Zealand Scholarship is a fantastic achievement and is a testament to the hard work and dedication the recipients have put in throughout the year,” says Ms Stanford.  “New Zealand Scholarship tests not only ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • New diplomatic appointments
    Foreign Minister Winston Peters has today announced five new diplomatic appointments.  "Strong and effective diplomacy to protect and advance our interests in the world is needed now more than ever," Mr Peters says.  “We are delighted to appoint senior diplomats from the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade to these ...
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    2 weeks ago
  • Speech to the Committee for Auckland
    It is great to be here today at this event as Minister for Auckland and Minister ofTransport. Let me start by acknowledging each one of you and thanking the Committee forAuckland for hosting this event and inviting me to speak here today. The Committee for Auckland has been a symbol ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Getting Transport Back on Track in Auckland
    Transport Minister Simeon Brown has today confirmed his high-level transport priorities for Auckland, in the lead up to releasing the draft Government Policy Statement on Land Transport. “Our economic growth and productivity are underpinned by a transport network that enables people and freight to move around safely and efficiently. At ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Government to axe Auckland Regional Fuel Tax
    Transport Minister Simeon Brown has confirmed that the Auckland Regional Fuel Tax will end on 30 June 2024. “Today, I can confirm that the Government has agreed to remove the Auckland Regional Fuel Tax in line with our coalition commitments, and legislation will be introduced to parliament to repeal the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago

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