The Price Isn’t Yet Right To Invade Ukraine

Written By: - Date published: 12:32 pm, January 26th, 2022 - 59 comments
Categories: energy, International, Russia, uncategorized - Tags:

The entity making the most money out of threatening the Ukraine is the Russian Federation government itself. Follow the money.

The Russian Federation owns Gazprom, Gazprom is the leading supplier of gas to the whole of Europe. Europe has had the Russian threat to the Ukraine the whole of winter (indeed since 2014), gas prices have soared. Gazpom and the Russian state are doing well thank you.

Russia as a petro-state needs to make as much money out of its remaining gas reserves as possible. To whom else will Germany turn when it shuts down all its nuclear and coal plants? NordStream, owned by Gazprom. And about a third of Russian gas supplies route through the Ukraine.

Gazprom’s share in the global and Russian gas reserves amounts to 16% and 71% respectively.

So this is yet another case of Russia leveraging energy exports, making it much less likely that Russia would launch a full invasion and much more likely Russia will just prolong the threat and sustain the super-high prices.

And in the reverse: if Russia needs to act to NATO armament moves, Gazprom needs only shut down or limit the gas, and just cream it as they scream from the cold. The 2020 shortages would pale quickly. Nothing the United States or any NATO member could do about it either.

Much has been made of the moral basis for action by NATO; that it is framed as a struggle between rival authoritarian, state-controlled systems and democratic ones; something as high-minded as a grand axis of evil between Chinese, Russian, Iranian, and North Korean worlds, quite antithetical to Western Enlightenment values and all those virtuous NATO members (ahem). I’ve even seen Churchill and Thomas Jefferson quoted.

What we saw in Kazakhstan a few weeks ago is pretty simple: protect the petro producers, ensure the leading oligarchical families get what they need to sustain that, and for God’s sake keep it flowing. Extend the era of petro-money as hard and as long as possible.

Europe needs to focus less on building its own standing army, less on expanding NATO, and a whole lot more on building total energy dependence from petroleum and gas. Or Russia will do this again.

That is also the approach that in the short and long run will do the least damage and most good for the world.

Too late for now however. But there’s less need to invade the Ukraine when NATO pays Putin through the gas bill every day.

59 comments on “The Price Isn’t Yet Right To Invade Ukraine ”

  1. Dennis Frank 1

    Yeah that all makes sense to me. Maximising regional leverage.

    In an era in which states use their interdependence against one another, power is no longer defined by control of land or oceans, or even the normative influence of “soft power”. It is now defined by control over flows of people, goods, money, and data, and via the connections they establish. As states compete to control such connections and the dependencies they create, these flows cut across overlapping spheres of influence – shaping the new map of geopolitical power. Only those who see this map clearly will be able to control the modern world.

    The purpose of this atlas is to describe the key terrains of power. The European Council on Foreign Relations commissioned seven essays that explore these seven terrains: economics, technology, climate, people, military, health, and culture. By studying each of the terrains closely, one can see how various states are already trying to seize what they view as the high ground, as well as what this means for the future of conflict and relative power. https://ecfr.eu/special/power-atlas/#introduction

    Russia has become the ‘disruptor in chief’. In the last few years, its foreign policy has shaped the behaviour of its neighbours and other powers through tactics including gas cut-offs, sanctions, the expulsion of workers, cyber-attacks, disinformation and propaganda campaigns, and attempts to gridlock Western-led international organisations ranging from the UN Security Council to the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe.

    In parallel, the country has worked to establish new organisations to extend its power, such as the BRICS, the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO), and the Eurasian Economic Union. But because Russia has not done enough to strengthen and diversify its economy – which relies overwhelmingly on hydrocarbon exports – its share of the global economy has declined. This will limit its ability to project power over time. https://ecfr.eu/about/

  2. Macro 2

    Hmmm and here was I thinking that actually Putie was after my bickies!

    Slavica Bakery Crunchy Sultana Biscuits 280g

    Made in Ukraine and packed in Hamilton NZ.

  3. Jenny how to get there 3

    Follow the money

    "Politics is the most concentrated expression of economics" Lenin

    Germany wants cheap energy.

    Russia wants to sell it to them.

    The US does not want Germany to become reliant on Russian gas, which would weaken US economic and political influence in Europe.

    Meantime the meteor is approaching.

    In the age of climate change fighting over a fossil fuel, approaches the stupidity of bald men fighting over a comb.

  4. joe90 4

    Shit kicks off and Poots is gonna go for the goolies.

    https://twitter.com/MacSDavid/status/1484882882808233986

    An undersea fiberoptic cable located between mainland Norway and the Svalbard archipelago in the Arctic Ocean has been put out of action in a still-mysterious incident. The outage on the subsea communications cable — the furthest north of its kind anywhere in the world — follows an incident last year in which different cables linking an undersea surveillance network off the Norwegian coast were severed, a story that we covered in detail at the time.

    https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/43828/undersea-cable-connecting-norway-with-arctic-satellite-station-has-been-mysteriously-severed

  5. McFlock 5

    Fair assessment. Money is always a motive.

    • Blazer 5.1

      Follow the money usually works,but on this occasion Ad is wrong.

      Gazprom has contracts with european energy companies.

      It is the energy companies who hydraulic the prices as resellers.

      • Ad 5.1.1

        In late December the Ukrainian head of the state gas transmission operator said Gazprom had reduced daily gas transit across Ukrainian territory to 87.7 million cubic metres (mcm) from 109 mcm:

        "The reduction in gas supplies to the European Union at a time when prices reached $2,000 suggests that these are not economic decisions but purely political ones, aimed at increasing pressure on the EU to launch Nord Stream 2 on terms of the Russian Federation."

        Putin himself of course said the same as what I'm saying and blamed EU policy for not approving Nordstream 2 fast enough:

        "The additional gas supplies on the European gas market would surely reduce the price on an exchange, on the spot (market)," Putin was quoted as saying by news agency RIA at a joint meeting of the State Council and a council on science and education."

        Putin says Europe only has itself to blame for surging gas prices | Reuters

        The politics of this is energy politics, not NATO.

        • Blazer 5.1.1.1

          Last year Russia increased gas supply by 15% …Putin explains the correlation between gas and international oil prices…and how the market works with contracts and..resellers..4 mins in.

          https://youtu.be/nT3TYZ8iTZ0

          • Ad 5.1.1.1.1

            Putin telling his audience that it is merely the market setting prices is unbelievably trite. Gazprom is the dominant supplier. It's best not to take the words of that kind of politician at face value.

            The gas supply crisis that hit Europe due to Gazprom limiting gas supplies is well attested and gripped European economies for months last year and is continuing – forcing the shutdown of factories, the collapse of major energy suppliers and one of the fastest rises on record for home energy bills . With that occurring, Gazprom has enjoyed its highest ever profits.

            The company reported a record net income of 582bn rubles (£5.86bn) from July to September compared with a net loss a year ago, and the company expects “even more impressive results in the fourth quarter”.

            • Blazer 5.1.1.1.1.1

              So buyers relying on the spot price instead of long term contracts are not a factor…and neither are oil prices (up 60%).

              So supply/demand, push/pull does not apply to Russias gas!

              Nordstream 2 is still awaiting certification…Germany want it…the U.S hates it.

  6. francesca 6

    contrast and compare

    "Russia, under international law, can take military exercises in international waters, but the fact they are choosing to do it on the west borders of the EU, off the Irish coast, is something that is in our view not welcome and not wanted right now, particularly in the coming weeks."

    Over 2,000 forces and 30 ships are taking part in exercise Breeze 2021 in the Black Sea. The Bulgarian-led maritime exercise, which began on 12 July and wraps up today (19 July), involves forces from 14 NATO Allies and partners – Albania, Belgium, Bulgaria, Georgia, Greece, Italy, Latvia, Poland, Romania, Spain, Turkey, Ukraine, United Kingdom, and the United States.

    • Macro 6.1

      Over 2,000 forces and 30 ships are taking part in exercise Breeze 2021 in the Black Sea.

      You have got to be kidding! Suppose each country in the world had 4 Forces – Police Navy, Army, Air – Oh! and the US has an extra one – Space Force! Now there are apparently around 168 nations world wide so (4 x 168) +1 would make 673.. But many wouldn't have any military to speak of – So how come so many different forces all crammed into 30 ships?

      Maybe aliens?

      • Gezza 6.1.1

        They obviously meant armed forces personnel, not separate defence forces.

        NATO ships are taking part in Exercise Breeze 2021 in the Black Sea. The Bulgarian-led maritime exercise, which began on 11 July and wraps up on 19 July, involves forces from 14 NATO Allies and partners – Albania, Belgium, Bulgaria, Georgia, Greece, Italy, Latvia, Poland, Romania, Spain, Turkey, Ukraine, the United Kingdom and the United States. Two of four NATO fleets are participating – Standing NATO Maritime Group Two (SNMG2) and Standing NATO Mine Countermeasures Group Two (SNMCMG2).

        https://www.natomultimedia.tv/app/asset/654704

        Not the first time I’ve seen or heard “forces” used to describe the number of military personnel. The US often refers to moving its forces when it means troops.

        • Macro 6.1.1.1

          Well having spent half my working life in the Forces I must say that I have never heard that usage. "Personnel" yes – but never "forces".

          BTW 2000 people in a military exercise is relatively small beer. Compare that to the estimated 100,000 Russian military exercising on the Ukrainian border.

          • Gezza 6.1.1.1.1

            The Americans have their own military shorthand phrases. It’s not unusual for them to announce they are pulling their forces out of somewhere or sending forces to somewhere. They generally mean troops & warfighting equipment.

            BTW 2000 people in a military exercise is relatively small beer

            It’s teeny. A US Nimitz class supercarrier alone has around 6,000 personnel on board.

            • Macro 6.1.1.1.1.1

              It’s teeny. A US Nimitz class supercarrier alone has around 6,000 personnel on board.

              Yes being a retired Naval Officer I'm well aware of the capabilities of the USN and other forces. Those supercarriers are immense.

      • francesca 6.1.2

        Marco says "You have got to be kidding!"

        Yeah, I would say that too

        Take it up with Nato

        It's a direct quote

        https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/news_185879.htm

    • joe90 6.2

      Bulgaria and invited friends will conduct their exercises off the Bulgarian coast and in proximity to Bulgarian Black Sea territorial waters. Russia will be exercising nearly 2000 kilometres from their territorial waters off the coast and in proximity to whose territorial waters?

      • Blazer 6.2.1

        I believe the Black Sea is quite close to Russia and quite a way from the U.K and the Netherlands.'

        'Additionally, ‘CSG21’ will participate in NATO exercises such as Exercise Steadfast Defender, and provide support to NATO Operation Sea Guardian and maritime security operations in the Black Sea.'

        • Gezza 6.2.1.1

          The Black Sea is bordered by 2 NATO countries – Bulgaria and Romania (as well as Russia, Georgia, Moldova, Turkey and Ukraine). So they can argue it’s within the NATO defence zone.

          It does make Russian complaints they’re constantly provoked by potential adversaries valid though.

        • lprent 6.2.1.2

          Turkey, is a NATO member with a significant economic and military interest in the Black Sea has a enormous interest in naval defence issues in the Black Sea. They control both sides of the only sea exit from the Black Sea.

          NATO is a defence alliance with participating members committed to repelling aggression against any member state with all required force.

          In an event of naval warfare involving non-NATO states (say Russia as the only non-participating Black Sea nation in that exercise) attacking NATO members, Russia want to get their warm water navy out of the Black Sea into the Med. The only way that they could do that outside of diplomatic means is to fight their way through Turkish waters.

          So the whole of NATO naval forces often do exercises in the Black Sea, usually with other interested NATO members and nations bordering the Black Sea. Just as they do in the Baltic and North Seas where the same military conditions apply.

          It isn't the geographical distance from NATO members that is the criterion for where NATO exercises happen, it is to know how to interdict actions against NATO members in potential conflict zones.

          It isn’t provocative – it is just military common sense.

          • francesca 6.2.1.2.1

            Talking about provocation

            It's difficult to see this in any other way.

            https://www.politico.com/news/2021/06/30/putin-us-britain-black-sea-497162

            • lprent 6.2.1.2.1.1

              Sigh. Read the piece.

              The episode was the latest to raise tensions between Russia and the West since Russia's annexation of Ukraine’s Crimean Peninsula in 2014, a move not recognized by most countries but one that gives it access to a long Black Sea coast.

              Merely thieving by military force a chunk of territory from a neighbour without the permission of the country does not give a de facto right to claim that it changes international law.

              Britain has insisted the Defender was making a routine journey through an internationally recognized travel lane and remained in Ukrainian waters. The U.K., like most of the world, recognizes Crimea as part of Ukraine despite the peninsula’s annexation by Russia.

              Any destabilisation was done by Russia in their unlawful act of annexation in 2014. Which is why the most of Russia's non-dictatorial neighbours tend to view them like this..

              https://twitter.com/Ukraine/status/1468206078940823554

              • francesca

                Sigh

                Whereas when Russia sails through international waters like the English channel , the alarm! the outcry!

                When Russia conducts exercises in legitimate international waters, the jingoistic clamour , the threats of very serious sanctions.

                Yet when British warships manoeuvre in a clearly contentious and sensitive zone very close to Crimea it's "routine"

                Of course it was provocative .Quoting a loyal mouthpiece of the British establishment doesn't explain anything

                Read Richard Sakwa, his academic career has been been immersed in this subject

                • lprent

                  I didn't even remark on the Russian exercise south of Ireland.

                  I just pointed out the misconception that some people obviously have that NATO has no business doing routine operations under international law in the Black Sea just because a nation local to it has indulged in a some unlawful thievery.

                  Or that other evident misconception NATO doesn't have compelling strategic interests in the Black Sea when one of their long-time full members borders far more of the coast than Russia does.

                  Noticeably you were so puerile, that you haven't addressed either of those in your reply. Instead you just continued on a silly 'poor Russia' line. Rather boring and completely silly.

                  There is no provocation. That has been a pretty routine manoeuvre for NATO vessels since the 1950s, using established international procedures. The only provocation was Putin suggesting that the Russian navy might fire on a NATO vessel.

          • Gezza 6.2.1.2.2

            Embarrassing. Totally forgot that Turkey’s in NATO. Mixed up their being in NATO with their not being in the EU. Should’ve remembered Erdogan’s stoush with Trump over Turkey’s purchase of the Russian S-400 missile system that saw them kicked out of the F-35 programme.

  7. Stuart Munro 7

    Putin is a complicated fellow, and I fancy money alone will not satisfy him.

    There are a lot of folk expecting war on his side, and disappointing them may fatally injure his already flagging popularity.

    Europe has woken up to the threat too. Putin's flimflam isn't going to fly so well internationally for a good long while. Extracting himself, if he manages it, will be quite a trick.

    • pat 7.1

      Putin’s world dosnt require anything of him….dont make the mistake of thinking your world is his.

    • francesca 7.2

      Zelenskiy's ratings, Bojo's and Bidens are all falling way below that of Putin

      Zelenskiy at about 23%

      Putin round about 60%,

      I suspect they need the sabre rattling more than Putin does

      • Stuart Munro 7.2.1

        Putin's ratings follow a different path to those of western politicians.

        A despot has no friends – only faithful subordinates and bitter enemies. The trick is telling them apart.

        You can see something of the pattern in Belarus – Lugashenko evidently received 80% of the vote, which would have made him more popular than Jacinda – but he was somehow the object of mass street protests. A bit amateurish really. The first rule of made up percentages is not to use round numbers – they're a dead giveaway.

        • francesca 7.2.1.1

          Not really

          At it's peak Putin's ratings were 88%

          They've dropped to 60 .Are you saying that Putin is now not able to manipulate the ratings?

          The contortions Putinophobes go through to keep a consistent story!

        • Blazer 7.2.1.2

          Interesting Stuart…'A despot has no friends – '

          Reminds me of Kissinger…'America has no friends or enemies,just interests'

          and….'to be an enemy of America is…dangerous…to be a friend..is fatal'!

          • Stuart Munro 7.2.1.2.1

            Kissinger is a fanboi of Metternich – nothing good was ever going to come of him.

            The economy and living standards have improved.

            I'm not sure that's very different from the 'Hitler made the trains run on time' argument. Putin stifled Russia's nascent democracy and put it back on the path to isolation, a negative nationalism, and unparalleled corruption. The real issue is that you have to put that in context of soviet era incomes and economy. The last Russian ship I worked on (early 90s) had a crew of 80. I was making more money than all of them put together, and I was only on about $30k. It didn't take much to make things better than what went before, and by no means all of the improvement is down to Putin.

      • lprent 7.2.2

        It probably helps if you can easily toss pollsters into jail on spurious charges or prevent them entering the country to poll.

        Plus of course being able to close any media and jail journalists that are critical of you. It means that you can control the debate – something like what happens here if you deal with any of the NZME empire.

        Not to mention the obvious caution that people being polled will tend to show under the same threat.

        • francesca 7.2.2.1

          I'm very surprised that the pollsters of Levada haven't been thrown into jail for reporting such a drop in approval.The West was crowing when Putin's approval rates dropped over raising the pension eligibility age.They believed the polls then!!

          Disbelieve when the polls are up, believe when they're down .Who's the dupe?

  8. Subliminal 8

    It's kind of interesting really. Nato/EU/US stage a coup in the Ukraine. The Russia hating idiots they install as the government attempt a blood bath against ethnic Russians in the East. Russia steps in and forces the Minsk agreement as well as taking back control of the Crimean Peninsula. The Nato/EU/US blob scream about and implement sanctions. Biden calls their leader a murderer. But just like Aussie with China, for some reason, they think Russia should increase supply of gas above and beyond what they have contracted to supply on long term agreements. Gazprom says they will even make new long term agreements. But no, the EU is arrogant enough to believe that even given their support of ardent Russia haters in Ukraine they should be free to buy on the spot market and Russia should supply?? The question must be asked: who is sanctioning who? It's no wonder Lavrov can barely keep the grin off his face every time he sees Blinken. And the lifting of sanctions is a simple matter too. Stop arming the Ukraine and support international law by enforcing the Minsk agreememts. Everything will follow from there.

    • Scud 8.1

      Before you go bumping your glum’s at the Minsk Agreement, you need to read up on these two agreements that Ukraine signed when it gave on its Nukes after the Cold War and which Russia also signed as well. That Russia will also respect Ukraine’s borders & it’s right to self determination to make its own decisions.

      https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lisbon_Protocol

      https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Budapest_Memorandum

      • aj 8.1.1

        IMO Lavrov is a more important figure in Russian foreign policy that Putin. A very intelligent man with more charisma than Putin.

        The political chess team they present as a pair is pretty formidable

        • Scud 8.1.1.1

          When you throw in their love of Chess & Maskirovka (Russian Military Deception), Vlad & Lavro have got the West dancing to Swan Lake.

          My gut feeling Vlad will move on Ukraine, but not this yr as his window to mount the necessary Operation is closing very fast if wants to avoid clashing with Xi’s Winter Olympic Games.

          But it will happen one day, probably when everyone is sick & tired of the West calling out the Ukraine is about to be invaded. Just like the boy, who Wolf to many times which fits in with the Principles of Maskirovka. Which is worth reading & along the Chinese PLA Modern Interpretation of Sun Tsu.

  9. tsmithfield 9

    Nice article Advantage. Not much to disagree with.

    I understand there is a reasonably small window for an invasion due to the fact the ground is only frozen for so long, and it is difficult to mount an invasion when the ground gets slushy.

    Also, the Ukraine won't be a push over for the Russians due to them being equipped with a lot of American weaponry now. So, will be interesting to see if Putin is prepared to pull the trigger on this.

    • Blazer 9.1

      Would most certainly be a pushover.

      Large % of Ukrainians have Russian sympathies and the Ukraine is not a big economic success story.

      • Scud 9.1.1

        Ukraine has plenty of time to plan it’s Defensive Lines to fall back on (there are plenty of Rivers/ River Crossings, Rolling Country that can seriously f**k attacking Army Groups up ie the world’s biggest Tank Battle happened in 1943 in the Kursk Area in Ukraine & before that Manstein’s Winter Defensive Battles which concluded with one the most outstanding Counter Attacks in Modern Military History which is still taught today at all levels of Command) . It’s one thing for the Russian Army to break into the Ukraine Line but it’s a completely different story if Russia can maintain momentum when it breaks out of the 1st initial Defensive Line and keep sustaining to whatever the Vlad’s endstate is. If Russia starts losing momentum, Ukraine will have the upper hand & this would allow NATO/ the West to mobilise resources & or political means against Russia.

        Russian will attack in the Winter & defend in the Summer in order to negate the technology deficit that Russia has with certain aspects of the Russian Military still has with a Peer vs Peer Conflict.

        Also the Younger generation of Ukraine ie the X, Y & Z outnumbered the older Soviet Ukrainian Generation & if Vlad doesn’t move soon. Then Vlad is going face a very hostile environment and the clock is ticking as he has about 5-10yrs because there will no left who remembers life under Soviet USSR.

        At the moment Vlad ,holds all the cards. But if he attacks & it stalls he’s toast & if he’s successful there will a lot of losers from the US, to Western Democracies incl little old NZ & in the short to medium term Vlad will be the winner but ultimately it’s China who will be the real winner out of this unfortunate shit sandwich.

        • Blazer 9.1.1.1

          You dismissing Russian air power altogether.

          FWIW I don't think Russia is interested in invading Ukraine at…all.

          • Ad 9.1.1.1.1

            It already did in 2014, and the eastern Donbass war has only decreased but never stopped.

            Looks remarkably like they've been interested for 6 years.

          • Scud 9.1.1.1.2

            The much vaunted Russian Tactical Airforce, has got a few problems since the start of the Ukraine Conflict.

            The Ukraine is Airforce had barely any serviceable Aircraft & what Aircraft they had the operationally suffered from lack of Pilots training & sustainment issues. Thence the Russian Tactical Airforce was able to support its Ground & Naval forces at the start of Ukrainian Conflict, until the very limited Ukrainian Ground Base Air Defence Units got their act together as it overcome its morale & sustainment issues when it suddenly retired its BUK SAM’s some yrs early after a couple very nasty accidents involving Civilian Aircraft.

            But now it’s a different story, The Ukrainian Airforce is a lot better now, with increasing serviceability rates, Pilot training hrs are almost on par with its Western/ NATO counterparts and more importantly is its now sustainable.

            Where is Russia’s Tactical Airforce is now got some big issues, since the of the Ukrainian Conflict:

            1, Pilots are still only achieving about a 40-50% less Training than its Western/ NATO Counterparts vs the Russian Tactical Airforce Mandated Task and this is also reflected at training of the maintainers as well. Note: we have been to access those countries who fly Russia Aircraft, who reported that it’s getting hard to get Russian Maintenance maintainers to provide the necessary Training or for them to send its SNCO’s & Engineering Officers to Russia to provide the necessary Train the Trainer Courses.

            2, There appears to be a sustainment issues across the Russian Tactical Airforce atm, it appears that only about a 1/4 to 1/3 of the Russian Tactical Airforce is currently available for Operations & more importantly ongoing training. Again this data is reflected by those countries who use Russia Aircraft, who are experiencing similar sustainment problems compared to the Western Aircraft they also operate which are
            achieving 70-80% serviceability rates.

            3, The Russian Tactical Airforce, has far less exposure to Smart Weapons/ PGM’s and in fact China is well ahead of the Russians in this. What Smart Weapons that Russia have using in a number of Conflicts its currently involved with, 90% of all Smart Weapons/ PGM’s have failed. But in saying that all of it’s Dumb Weapons dropped have achieved a 90% success rate & there is still a concern that it’s still using Conventional Anti Area Denial Weapons. In plan English Cluster & Anti Personal Munitions.

            • Blazer 9.1.1.1.2.1

              You are very knowledgeable about this topic.

              yes

              • Scud

                No worries, I try to be helpful on most things in regards to Military Affairs here on The Standard as it’s not everyone cuppa tea as lefties like me are a rare bred within the Left Wing Spectrum.

                Plus it keeps me busy, by going back over what’s left of my notes & diaries that have survived since my laptop crashed & burned pardon the pun.

                Oh, here’s a H/T for you keep an eye out for this wee beastie the S400 & it’s latest variant the S500. When the S400 deployed to Syria under Russian Control on what ended up to be my final trip to the Sandpit when I finally lost my marbles etc.

                This Ground Base Air Defence System (GBADS) was actually Targeting our Air to Air Tankers, Airborne Early Warning & other such type as Air Transport Aircraft. Which put the willies up among the Coalition Airforces within the Sandpit including a few other Air Assets that I won’t mention incl one that has been around for a few decades.

                https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/S-400_missile_system

  10. Stuart Munro 10

    Robert Patman has a few words on the subject: What Putin really fears about Ukraine | Stuff.co.nz

  11. Blazer 12

    the lovely Palki on U.S sanctions…looks like Biden is running out of…gas.

    https://youtu.be/8-4BoIOxNTc

  12. Stuart Munro 13

    I don't want to put words in Shirvan's mouth, but recent events have him meditating on a Russian collapse: What would happen if Russia collapsed? – YouTube

  13. Ad 14

    A pertinent question from Al Jazeera examined here:

    Can Europe be weaned off Russian gas?

    Can Europe be weaned off Russian gas? | Inside Story – YouTube

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    4 days ago
  • Middle East, Africa deployments extended
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    5 days ago
  • Climate Change Commission Chair to retire
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    5 days ago
  • Inaugural Board of Integrity Sport & Recreation Commission announced
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    5 days ago
  • A balanced Foreign Affairs budget
    Foreign Minister Winston Peters confirmed today that Vote Foreign Affairs in Budget 2024 will balance two crucial priorities of the Coalition Government.    While Budget 2024 reflects the constrained fiscal environment, the Government also recognises the critical role MFAT plays in keeping New Zealanders safe and prosperous.    “Consistent with ...
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    5 days ago
  • New social housing places to support families into homes
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    5 days ago
  • New Zealand’s minerals future
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    6 days ago
  • Government sets out vision for minerals future
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    6 days ago
  • Government progresses Māori wards legislation
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    6 days ago
  • First RMA amendment Bill introduced to Parliament
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    6 days ago
  • Government welcomes EPA decision
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    6 days ago
  • Speech to Employers and Manufacturers Association: Relief for today, hope for tomorrow
    Kia ora, Ngā mihi nui ki a koutou kātoa Tāmaki Herenga Waka, Tāmaki Herenga tangata Ngā mihi ki ngā mana whenua o tēnei rohe Ngāti Whātua ō Ōrākei me nga iwi kātoa kua tae mai. Mauriora. Greetings everyone. Thank you to the EMA for hosting this event. Let me acknowledge ...
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    6 days ago
  • Government invests in 1,500 more social homes
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    1 week ago
  • $24 million boost for Gumboot Friday
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    1 week ago
  • Residential Tenancies Amendment Bill passes first reading
    The Coalition Government’s Residential Tenancies Amendment Bill, which will improve tenancy laws and help increase the supply of rental properties, has passed its first reading in Parliament says Housing Minister Chris Bishop. “The Bill proposes much-needed changes to the Residential Tenancies Act 1986 that will remove barriers to increasing private ...
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    1 week ago
  • Montecassino Commemorative Address, Cassino War Cemetery
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    1 week ago
  • First Reading – Repeal of Section 7AA of the Oranga Tamariki Act 1989
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    1 week ago
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    The Bill to repeal Section 7AA of the Oranga Tamariki Act has had its first reading in Parliament today. The Bill reaffirms the Coalition Government’s commitment to the care and safety of children in care, says Minister for Children Karen Chhour.  “When I became the Minister for Children, I made ...
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    1 week ago
  • China Business Summit 2024
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    1 week ago
  • Assisted depatures from New Caledonia
    Foreign Minister Winston Peters has confirmed a New Zealand Government plane will head to New Caledonia in the next hour in the first in a series of proposed flights to begin bringing New Zealanders home.    “New Zealanders in New Caledonia have faced a challenging few days - and bringing ...
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    1 week ago
  • Assisted departures from New Caledonia
    Foreign Minister Winston Peters has confirmed a New Zealand Government plane will head to New Caledonia in the next hour in the first in a series of proposed flights to begin bringing New Zealanders home.  “New Zealanders in New Caledonia have faced a challenging few days - and bringing them ...
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    1 week ago
  • Government to rollout roadside drug testing
    The Coalition Government will introduce legislation this year that will enable roadside drug testing as part of our commitment to improve road safety and restore law and order, Transport Minister Simeon Brown says.  “Alcohol and drugs are the number one contributing factor in fatal road crashes in New Zealand. In ...
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    1 week ago
  • Minister responds to review of Kāinga Ora
    The Government has announced a series of immediate actions in response to the independent review of Kāinga Ora – Homes and Communities, Housing Minister Chris Bishop says. “Kāinga Ora is a large and important Crown entity, with assets of $45 billion and over $2.5 billion of expenditure each year. It ...
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    1 week ago
  • Pseudoephedrine back on shelves
    Associate Health Minister David Seymour is pleased that Pseudoephedrine can now be purchased by the general public to protect them from winter illness, after the coalition government worked swiftly to change the law and oversaw a fast approval process by Medsafe. “Pharmacies are now putting the medicines back on their ...
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    1 week ago
  • New Zealand-China Business Summit
    Tēnā koutou katoa. Da jia hao.  Good morning everyone.   Prime Minister Luxon, your excellency, a great friend of New Zealand and my friend Ambassador Wang, Mayor of what he tells me is the best city in New Zealand, Wayne Brown, the highly respected Fran O’Sullivan, Champion of the Auckland business ...
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    1 week ago
  • New measures to protect powerlines from trees
    Energy Minister Simeon Brown has announced that the Government will make it easier for lines firms to take action to remove vegetation from obstructing local powerlines. The change will ensure greater security of electricity supply in local communities, particularly during severe weather events.  “Trees or parts of trees falling on ...
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    2 weeks ago
  • Wairarapa Moana ki Pouakani win top Māori dairy farming award
    Wairarapa Moana ki Pouakani were the top winners at this year’s Ahuwhenua Trophy awards recognising the best in Māori dairy farming. Māori Development Minister Tama Potaka announced the winners and congratulated runners-up, Whakatōhea Māori Trust Board, at an awards celebration also attended by Prime Minister Christopher Luxon and Finance Minister ...
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    2 weeks ago
  • DJ Fred Again – Assurance report received
    "On the 27th of March, I sought assurances from the Chief Executive, Department of Internal Affairs, that the Department’s correct processes and policies had been followed in regards to a passport application which received media attention,” says Minister of Internal Affairs Brooke van Velden.  “I raised my concerns after being ...
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    2 weeks ago
  • District Court Judges appointed
    Attorney-General Judith Collins has announced the appointment of three new District Court Judges, to replace Judges who have recently retired. Peter James Davey of Auckland has been appointed a District Court Judge with a jury jurisdiction to be based at Whangarei. Mr Davey initially started work as a law clerk/solicitor with ...
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    2 weeks ago
  • Unions should put learning ahead of ideology
    Associate Education Minister David Seymour is calling on the Post Primary Teachers’ Association (PPTA) to put ideology to the side and focus on students’ learning, in reaction to the union holding paid teacher meetings across New Zealand about charter schools.     “The PPTA is disrupting schools up and down the ...
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    2 weeks ago
  • Craig Stobo appointed as chair of FMA
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    2 weeks ago
  • Budget 2024 invests in lifeguards and coastguard
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    2 weeks ago

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