Two term Key?

Written By: - Date published: 8:39 pm, July 13th, 2010 - 47 comments
Categories: Politics - Tags: ,

In today’s ODT Colin James raises the question of how long Key will stay as the Prime Minister.

James has been around too long to get caught out by hanging his hat on a prediction but he’s not ruling out Key stepping down in his second term:

If in the next term National needs both parties for a majority (likely if, say, Labour gets 38 per cent and the Greens 6 per cent), managing their antithetical positions to pass contentious legislation will be very challenging — or paralysing.

Even if there is a super-majority again (a real possibility), can Key keep both in the tent?

He has given the Maori party some big mana wins and whanau ora. There is not much more mana he can deliver without upsetting conservative National members and voters. Whanau ora has potential to embarrass if not very tightly managed.

On the other side, Rodney Hide has had some big wins in deregulation and local government this term plus some totemic wins. What can Key give him in a second term that doesn’t scare the centre? (Might Hide look elsewhere to continue his career: for example, the Auckland mayoralty in 2013?)

And all the while, the economy will not be flying high and might even have another bad turn, given the debt-driven turmoil and huge uncertainties in the global economy. The 2014 election might look grim. Will Key want to risk a loss?

The point is that so far Key has not hit any big bumps in the road nor has he had to make any really hard decisions. That has maximised the openings in the clouds for his sunny personality to shine through on his party.

On one hand Key has steel (despite his carefully developed smile and wave persona) so he may stay for a third term if he wins a second.

On the other hand he’s a currency trader by nature and few traders have made their fortune by hanging on while their currency keeps diving and, as I pointed out in a previous post, there’s a strong chance that National’s stocks will take a hammering in a second term.

Part of the reason Key has not “had to make any really hard decisions” is because National’s backers have been held at bay. And a big part of what has held them back has been Key and his popularity and the role it will play in securing a second term..

But make no mistake – a second term will see the dogs being let off the leash which is why there’s a push for an early election from some parts of the party. The problem is Key won’t like having his carefully crafted “man of the people” image being eroded by having to front the endless unemployment/health crisis/privatisation issues. It just won’t be fun any more.

So unlike James I’m gonna make a prediction and that’s that Key will go before 2014 simply because he can. Unlike Bill English, Key hasn’t invested his life in the National Party. This has meant he’s got no nasty tory political back story but does have a pragmatic deal-making touch (just right for a frontman) but it also means there’s no reason for him to stick around and risk his legacy as a popular PM. As is so often the way in this game a politician’s strengths are ultimately also their weaknesses.

Key is a fair-weather prime minister but it’s not likely the fair weather will last for much longer.

47 comments on “Two term Key? ”

  1. loota 1

    When Key goes they will sell Kiwibank. He can take over as Chairman in his part time.

  2. Tanya 2

    Who knows what might happen? I never thought Kevin Rudd would be outed so soon. Is Key popular within his caucus, or are there rumblings of right-wing dissent? A one-term PM, I hope, since he doesn’t listen to the voters!

    • Zorr 2.1

      tbh, as much as I despise the grinning goit and the prospect of a 2nd term of National, I would much rather suffer under John Key than any of the other options. Brownlee? English? Someone else? No thanks… x_x

  3. Tanya 3

    At least English might have some staunchness though, and some true Conservative ideals. There are other options outside of team Blue, I’m sure.

    • Pascal's bookie 3.1

      …some staunchness though, and some true Conservative ideals. There are other options outside of team Blue, I’m sure.

      I hear Mel Gibson could use the work.

  4. I detected on the Nation last Saturday, a hint of frustration starting to show from Fran O,Sullivan.
    Listen carefully an you can hear the paparazzi turning. The lack of substance and long term planning from Smile and Wave is obviously starting to annoy her.

  5. bobo 5

    Predicting one year out is hard enough let alone 2014, sheesh, maybe ask Paul the Octopus how long Keys got or once Key has reached over 50000 ilikes on facebook he will achieved all he wanted to in politics, step aside and use some of his newly acquired international political contacts to make some serious wedge, what else is there left to achieve ?

  6. tsmithfield 6

    I don’t think Key feels driven to hold on to power at all costs as some of our previous PM’s have. So, I expect he will probably leave when he feels he doesn’t have anything more to offer.

    • Armchair Critic 6.1

      I’d have preferred he had left once he actually had nothing more to offer.

      • tsmithfield 6.1.1

        I did say “when HE feels he has nothing more to offer” not when YOU feel he has nothing more to offer.

        • Armchair Critic 6.1.1.1

          I did read your comment and understood it, and having you explain it again hasn’t added any extra meaning. But thanks anyway.
          FTR about the only thing that would be useful to me is the cycle. And he hasn’t/won’t/can’t even deliver that. So here’s a genuine “thanks for nothing” for little Johnnie.

    • Zaphod Beeblebrox 6.2

      Don’t neccessarily disagree with you- but how well do you know the guy?

      • tsmithfield 6.2.1

        I don’t know him. But considering that he has already had a very successful career, and clearly doesn’t need the job, why would he want to stick around if he feels he has contributed all he can?

        • loota 6.2.1.1

          ts – tend to agree with you there, our man Jonkey is going to want to leave on a high note – some kind of incident down the track with a high profile loss of party confidence or being turfed out by the electorate is *not* the way he will visualise himself exiting. He would (no doubt) rather go on his own terms at the apparent top of his game.

    • michaeljsavage 6.3

      He doesnt have anything to offer now – can he start to ‘feel’ that now … please

  7. Irascible 7

    Why accept the media idea that Key will go two terms? Like all john keys there is an instant return policy once they’ve been used. The NACT deposits are not good for the NZ community and economy despite the manure of puffery.
    This NACT govt will not succeed purely on the image of smile & wave. There is enough doubt about the probity of the present government MPs out there to cause the electorate to turn on the Key-Hide-English govt.

  8. Bill 8

    “Key is a fair-weather prime minister but it’s not likely the fair weather will last for much longer.”

    Em, nope. The Nats are playing Key as a front. Most people wrongly associate a political party with the person they (the party) choose to be their figurehead.

    Obama/ Democratic Party as an example as though the individual controls or influences the politics of the US…the great black hope….the ‘If only JFK hadn’t been bumped the world would be different and greater’ school of thought (and we’ll ignore the fact that JFK was a war pig and that Obama is, will we?)

    Anyway.

    Johnny Boy has said that this and that and the other won’t happen (mostly privatisation) as long as he’s PM. But Johnny Boy has no interest in being PM. Johnny Boy’s interest is in seeing National being government and in leading us up the garden path. And so Johnny Boy jumps post election. And everything goes through. And we all get shafted while Johnny Boy and his mates clean up. And Labour get the blame for hanging on to that un-votable Goff prick…’cause it’s all personality, remember?

    So 2014 ( forget 2011) becomes a struggle because of the farce that is today’s Labour Party.

    Why isn’t Goff being bumped? Someone care to explain in terms that are not all ego, b/s and politicking? Anyone care to explain in terms that are relevant to people?

  9. ak 9

    Contempt will see him off, and it won’t take long. The numbers later this year will destroy the “economic wizard” wishful thinking that is keeping his goofy wee poll up for now (along with the recent benny/maori-bash and Creditgate), and when the big C comes from former friends (MP and the Funders, already incubating), the end will be swift.

    Pity in a way. His successful “winning” in the polls has kept the real dogs at bay – and the serendipitous partial-lancing of the race boil is almost worth this short hiatus in wider Progression.

    He’ll be remembered as an affable caretaker of Helen’s legacy. But not by many, and not for long. Too light for an effective handbrake, too thin to leave a shadow.

  10. Zaphod Beeblebrox 10

    The National Party contributers will get rid of him- thats if his economic incompetence doesn’t send them all broke first.

    Nice irony- ideological hostility to government kills any chance of economic recovery (how many property developers are making money at the moment?) wiping out the profits of your own support base.

    • loota 10.1

      They can’t turf the guy until they have someone to fill his shoes. Who? English? Been there, done that.

      • Bill 10.1.1

        Furchristsakes!

        There’ll be an election based on personalities. Anyone versus Goff is a winner.

        The Nats don’t need anybody to fill his shoes. They just need to ride him and his affability for a ‘shoe in’.

        Then he goes and cashes in his chips and the Nats put in anybody…doesn’t matter who at that point. They’ll have secured power. And everything else becomes irrelevant… the leader…the promises made under whatever leader…public expectations.

        The fuckers will have three years to leave old Mrs Hubbard’s cupboards bare. Six years if you count in the current priming.

        Possibly nine years given the potential tragic legacy of ‘short circuiting vibrator up the arse’ Goff. ( ‘Cause, yes. These matters are perceived as questions of personality, regardless of political realities.)

        • coolas 10.1.1.1

          ‘Tragic’ was the word Goff used in saying, ‘it’s tragic Jeannette Fitzsimmons didn’t get a cabinet position.’

          Revealed a lot about the man. More concerned with position than ethic.

          Agree with Bill. Anyone but Goff. If he had the interest of the country at heart he’d move over now.

      • Zaphod Beeblebrox 10.1.2

        Isn’t that the irony. Do some succesion planning and set the seeds of your own demise. Set yourself as indispensible and you stuff your party for the next two terms.

        The save for the future, do nothing now approach may help with the government debt, but it sure as hell will test the patience of the Nats who are looking for government contracts and the spin off effects for business.

  11. michaeljsavage 11

    Theres a fair while of time to go until the election. The economy is biting deeper and deeper at average Kiwis backpockets. We need an old schooler like Phil Goff I think, to restore some faith in the political process.

    The right wing did us all a favour with Credit-card-gate … i dont think people like Shane Jones could have done the job.

    The skeleton (or perhaps rotting corpse) in Nationals closet is Rodney Hide and ACT. The media are trumpeting a 2 percent drop in food prices – largest drop since 1956. An old Managing Director of mine used to say that percentages lie. A percentage of what? Does that drop signal more affordability for the buying public. I hear substantiable rumours that some large national chains are sneaking incremental rises in advance of GST into the scheme of things. What would be nicer is if they said that we were back to 1956 prices for food perhaps.

    The Mandarins are on the move. They think they have this next election sewn up. I think they may be in for the shock of their lives.

    • millsy 11.1

      Might I also point out that while everyone was too busy about arguing whether prisoners should be allowed to smoke or not, Housing NZ sneaked through a plan to sell off about half the state housing stock in South Auckland, this measure is a guarantee, along with the rugby world cup, that rents will skyrocket in Auckland next year.

      The National Partys new found hold in some of the Auckland electorate might get pretty shaky indeed

    • just saying 11.2

      Genuine question: what is it about Goff that inspires your faith?
      I’m sure it’s not just length of service.

      • Carol 11.2.1

        I’m suspending judgement on Goff for a while longer. I think there’s something to be said for Labour keeping a relatively low profile while they re-think their policies and strategies.

        Goff does tend to pop up on the news fairly regularly with a comment on this or that. I think the MSM are either likely to mostly ignore him, or to try to portray him with a negative slant, right now. But I also do think the electorate needs time to shift their focus from Clark’s government, and to become more aware of where Key’s government is heading.

        And it does seem like stuff is going on behind the scenes, which show a bit of a shift in Labour policies. eg Idiot/Savant today comments on the small shifts away from neoliberal orthodoxy by Labour:

        http://norightturn.blogspot.com/2010/07/another-shift-for-labour.html

  12. Jenny 12

    Colin James though not dismissing the possibility of a “super majority” for National. Thinks that it is “likely” that to get another term, National will need both ACT and the Maori Party for a majority.

    Taking the fact that ACT barely scraped in last time, and also the fact that ACT inspired policy has been extremely unpopular. Personally I would be surprised if ACT are in any position to help their ideological mates gain a majority.

    This leaves the Maori Party in the frame as the Nats coalition partner for a second term.

    The resulting dissolution of the Maori Party would be the inevitable result.

    A fact that can’t have escaped the Maori Party leadership.

    To a big extent, the Maori Party leadership are being held hostage by the promise of a flagship policy gain around Whanau Ora.

    It reminds me of Jim Anderton and his flagship policy of founding Kiwi Bank. Like Whanau Ora the success or failure of Kiwi Bank lay in the details, ie. funding, independence, policy direction, all of which are controlled by the major party.

    Anderton made the real politik decision that the sacrifice of his party was worth the achievement of a viable Kiwi Bank.

    • just saying 12.1

      Hi Jenny,
      I’m interested in what you say about Anderton sacrificing the Alliance Party for kiwibank. I was a member of the party at the time, and this isn’t my understanding of what happened, so I’m intrigued!

  13. Santi 13

    I hope he is defeated soon. Unfortunately, it will not happen woth Goff as Labour leader.

  14. The Baron 14

    These soothsayer like postings on the future of the National govt and its personalities are all too common on the Standard, and unfortunately play out more like fantasy than reality – see for example the previous predictions on changes in polls.

    As I have said previously too – why not do your credibility a favour and wait until the changes happen before crowing about the success of the left? Doing otherwise makes you and this site look desparate and foolish.

    • Zaphod Beeblebrox 14.1

      Fair points all of them. Perhaps The Standard could hire Frank the Octopus- then we might get some more accurate claivoyancy!

  15. I’m coming round to letting Key get two terms if it means losing Goff and English to start with.

    Without getting all Mayan apocalyptic about 2012 though. It’ll be better for the long term Labour aspirations if Key and co were to navigate through whatever that date throws up and position themselves to pick up the pieces afterwards.

    It makes little difference to me who’s in gov’t. A politician by any other name still smells like money for jam, with your bread and butter tucked away up in their blind trusts.

  16. Len 16

    So refreshing to see a PM who smiles and waves unlike the ice cold granite face of the previous PM

    • Blue 16.1

      Helen Clark had a very warm, genuine smile, Len.

      Unlike your boy Key’s cheesy, plastic grin.

    • Craig Glen Eden 16.2

      Well Len if you like to see him smiling all the time we could probably get you oh I don’t know, say a picture maybe.You could hang it in the toilet or do with it what you like!

      Personally I would like a PM who actually did something and who is happy to be more than a joke on American TV.

      In fact a PM who could organise a Pissup would almost do.

  17. randal 17

    the thing is coling james is a would be tory flack anyway so he is just putting off the inevitable and that is this tory government will only lat one term.
    key might have it prsonally but the rest of the team just dont hve the horsepower.

  18. Olwyn 18

    With Helen Clark I felt we had a leader. With John Key I feel we have another celebrity. As time goes on I have increasing sympathy for the poor sod in Wellington who rang the police when he learned that national had won the election.

  19. Stan 19

    Ah Blue, are you talking about her air brushed pics ?

  20. Draco T Bastard 20

    The point is that so far Key has not hit any big bumps in the road nor has he had to make any really hard decisions.

    That’s because he’s been avoiding them. Putting them off until the next government comes in and has to fix things up again.

    Key is a fair-weather prime minister but it’s not likely the fair weather will last for much longer.

    Jonkey won’t want to be around when the depression hits, and it will hit, especially when the cause can be laid squarely at the financiers (his) feet.

    • loota 20.1

      Don’t know about a depression but a recession is definitely agitating an onset down here in Dunedin. I talked to a guy who does skip bins for almost 40 different Dunedin shops, cafes and restaurants, and he is saying that he is getting a tonne of calls saying “don’t bother to come around and pick up this week, there’s nothing for you its that quiet”.

      Yes, Winter is just starting proper as well and things do slow down a bit anyways…but there’s more than that to it I reckon.

  21. Stan 21

    Draco, It sounds like the exact mess the current goverment found itself in, remember Cullen gleafully saying that he had overspent our money and there was nothing left for a future government or not disclosing before the election the huge 3 billion blow out in the ACC accounts ? The left seem to think money grows on trees

    • Draco T Bastard 21.1

      It’s not that people think that money grows on trees is the problem. The problem is that people think money is a resource when it isn’t and, IMO, the right are more likely to believe that than the left.

      • loota 21.1.1

        DTB…I suggest that capital is a real resource…it lets you get useful work done just like coal can. The Left need to appreciate the power of capital, how to create it and use it (to benefit all citizens).

    • Zaphod Beeblebrox 21.2

      As opposed to those who are happy to hand out tax cuts to their mates.

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    This is a re-post from Yale Climate Connections Now in his ninth year as prime minister, Justin Trudeau has sought to position Canada as a global climate leader, touting one of the world’s highest taxes on carbon pollution, clean fuel regulations, and clean technology tax credits. Yet Canada’s per-person climate pollution remains stubbornly ...
    4 days ago
  • Untold back-stories: the little things media don't tell us but which are nevertheless pertinent
    ..Thanks for reading Frankly Speaking ! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.In an article entitled "School donations continue to yield millions of dollars for wealthier schools" on RNZ's website on 19 February, Data journalist Farah Hancock reported on the fees ("donations") that (some) schools were ...
    Frankly SpeakingBy Frank Macskasy
    4 days ago
  • Untold back-stories: the little things media don't tell us but which are nevertheless pertinent
    ..Thanks for reading Frankly Speaking ! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.In an article entitled "School donations continue to yield millions of dollars for wealthier schools" on RNZ's website on 19 February, Data journalist Farah Hancock reported on the fees ("donations") that (some) schools were ...
    Frankly SpeakingBy Frank Macskasy
    4 days ago
  • Efeso Collins – Gone Too Soon.
    My wife’s breathing was heavy beside me as I woke this morning, still dark. Yesterday, and it’s awful news, came crashing into my head and I lay there quietly crying.Thinking of Efeso’s family and loved ones. Of so many people who knew him and were devastated by the shocking news. ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    4 days ago
  • Efeso Collins spoke in Parliament only yesterday on bill which will regulate social workers (and vot...
    Buzz from the Beehive Prime Minister Christopher Luxon and other party leaders have been paying tribute to Green MP Fa’anānā Efeso Collins, who collapsed and died during a ChildFund charity run in central Auckland this morning, . The event, near Britomart, was to support local communities in the Pacific. Collins, ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    4 days ago
  • This is corrupt
    Earlier in the month, a panel of "independent" experts in Wellington produced recommendations for the future of housing in the city, and they were a bit shit, opposing intensification and protecting the property values of existing homeowners. Its since emerged that they engaged in some pretty motivated reasoning on the ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    5 days ago
  • Efeso Collins
    God, life can be cruel sometimes can’t it?If only everyone was like him. He was so very warm, so very generous, so very considerate, so very decent. Plenty of people have those qualities but I can think of hardly anyone I've met who had them as richly as he did.Let me ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    5 days ago
  • CHRIS TROTTER:  Is applying “tough love” to a “fragile” nation the right answer?
      The Question Christopher Luxon Needs To Ask –  And Answer:  How was it possible for a nation of barely three million citizens to create and maintain an infrastructure that functioned, schools and universities that turned out well-educated and enterprising citizens, a health system that kept its people healthy, and a ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    5 days ago
  • DON BRASH: Is an independent foreign policy really feasible?
    Don Brash writes – A week or so ago, Helen Clark and I argued that New Zealand would be nuts to abandon the independent foreign policy which has been a characteristic of New Zealand life for most of the last 40 years, a policy which has seen us ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    5 days ago
  • YVONNE VAN DONGEN: So proud
    Ratepayers might well ask why they are subsidising people who peddle the lie that it is possible to be born in the wrong body and people can change sex. The preponderance of events advertising as ‘queer’ is a gender ideology red flag. Yvonne Van Dongen writes –  It ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    5 days ago
  • S&P slams new Govt's council finance vacuum
    Wellington Water workers attempt to resolve a burst water main. Councils are facing continuing uncertainty over how to pay to repair and expand infrastructure. The Wellington Regional Council was one of those downgraded. File Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāTL;DR: Ratings agency Standard & Poor’s has downgraded the outlooks for ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    5 days ago
  • Grant Robertson Resigns.
    Yesterday the man that I admire most in NZ politics called time.Around the middle of yesterday news began to filter out. People were posting unconfirmed reports that Grant Robertson was taking a new role as Vice-Chancellor at Otago Uni. Within an hour it became clear that he was indeed retiring ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    5 days ago
  • Auckland’s City Rail Link will fail immediately… in the best possible way
    This post was originally published on Linked In by Nicolas Reid. It is republished here with permission. Here’s the thing: the City Rail Link is almost certainly going to be overcapacity from day one, with crowding on the trains at peak times. In the simple terms of popular transport ...
    Greater AucklandBy Greater Auckland
    5 days ago
  • You can’t always get what you want
    Grant Robertson is leaving Parliament for two new careers, having been frustrated and blocked from achieving some of his biggest political ambitions. So, he is returning to Dunedin, and, unusually for a former finance minister, with seemingly no ambitions to enter the business world. Instead, he will become Vice Chancellor ...
    PolitikBy Richard Harman
    5 days ago
  • At a glance – Was Greenland really green in the past?
    On February 14, 2023 we announced our Rebuttal Update Project. This included an ask for feedback about the added "At a glance" section in the updated basic rebuttal versions. This weekly blog post series highlights this new section of one of the updated basic rebuttal versions and serves as a ...
    5 days ago
  • Sharp-elbowed and loving it
    It doesn't seem to take a lot to persuade someone who feels they work their guts out that in fact no one is working as hard as me.It doesn't seem to take a lot to persuade someone who knows somebody taking the welfare system for a ride that they’re all ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    5 days ago
  • Sharp-elbowed and loving it
    It doesn't seem to take a lot to persuade someone who feels they work their guts out that in fact no one is working as hard as me.It doesn't seem to take a lot to persuade someone who knows somebody taking the welfare system for a ride that they’re all ...
    More than a fieldingBy David Slack
    5 days ago
  • Then why did she do it?
    Earlier in the month, Cancer Minister Casey Costello was caught lying to the media about whether or not she had requested advice on cutting tobacco excise tax to benefit the cancer industry. She repeated her lies in Parliament. But today, she stood up and pretended to apologise for "causing confusion" ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    5 days ago
  • Is Applying “Tough Love” To A “Fragile” Nation The Right Answer?
    The Question Christopher Luxon Needs To Ask –  And Answer: How was it possible for a nation of barely three million citizens to create and maintain an infrastructure that functioned, schools and universities that turned out well-educated and enterprising citizens, a health system that kept its people healthy, and a workforce ...
    5 days ago
  • The limits to realism.
    Realism is a school of thought in the field of international relations (IR). It provides a theoretical framework for analysing the behaviour of States in the world political system. Like other theories (which in the IR literature include idealism, liberalism, … Continue reading ...
    KiwipoliticoBy Pablo
    6 days ago
  • UNSOCIAL MEDIA – Following the Trolls
    From TODAY FM archives — Wilhelmina Shrimpton and Simon Morrow take a deep dive into trolling and cyberbullying. From the high profile to the general public, Kiwis across all walks of life are being targeted, and some are paying the ultimate price. So what drives us to troll, who is ...
    The PaepaeBy Peter Aranyi
    6 days ago
  • Govt prescribes stiff medicine for some beneficiaries while easing access to drugs containing pseudo...
    Buzz from the Beehive One of two new announcements on the government’s official website  – given plenty of publicity by the mainstream media over the past 24 hours – has been pitched as the first steps in a “reset” of the welfare system.  Stiff medicine for beneficiaries, in effect. The ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    6 days ago
  • We’re not as fragile or as lazy as Luxon says
    Luxon says his government is one that is “prepared to make those hard decisions”. File Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāTL;DR: Prime Minister Christopher Luxon has adopted the language of Ruth Richardson before her 1991 ‘Mother of All Budgets’ in arguing for benefit sanctions to bolster the Government finances, which ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    6 days ago
  • Talking over the Silence.
    Please open the doorNothing is different, we've been here beforePacing these hallsTrying to talk over the silenceIf I was to describe what I do, or at least the way it sometimes feels, then talking over the silence wouldn’t be a bad way to do so.Not that there aren’t other voices ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    6 days ago
  • LINDSAY MITCHELL: National needs to go further
    Lindsay Mitchell writes – In today’s State of the Nation speech Christopher Luxon talked repeatedly about getting young people off welfare. It seems that National has devised a traffic light system which will use increasing levels of sanctions – welfare deductions – when beneficiaries fail to meet their ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    6 days ago
  • Gordon Campbell on National spreading panic about the economy
    It is a political strategy as old as time. Scare the public with tales of disaster and stampede them into supporting your ideological agenda because they believe There Is No Alternative. Yet, if the NZ economy truly is as “fragile” as PM Christopher Luxon says it is… Then how come ...
    6 days ago
  • The promise of passive house design
    This is a re-post from Yale Climate Connections by Sarah Wesseler Imagine a home so efficient that it could be heated with a hair dryer. That’s the promise of a passive house, a design standard that’s becoming increasingly popular in the architecture community for its benefits to occupants and the climate. ...
    6 days ago
  • Deep in the Uncanny Valley of AI
    Hi,Before we get started, some very big fun Webworm news. I am launching a new journalism fund called Big Worm Farm!A really great thing that’s happened with Webworm over the last four years is that it’s grown. That’s great for a few reasons.Firstly — it means the work here gets ...
    David FarrierBy David Farrier
    6 days ago
  • Introducing: Big Worm Farm
    Hi,I’m excited to tell you about Big Worm Farm.Put simply, the main aim of Big Worm Farm is to support investigative journalists from around the world to be able to devote dedicated time to research and report on a specific story, to be published on Webworm.The stories will capture the ...
    David FarrierBy David Farrier
    6 days ago
  • Why Massey is broke
    The Tertiary Education Commission has named the two universities it says are at high risk financially. They are Massey and Victoria. The Commission appeared before Parliament’s Education Select Committee yesterday and offered a revealing and rare insight into the complex world of university economics. Its Briefing to the Incoming Minister ...
    PolitikBy Richard Harman
    6 days ago
  • You keep Luxin' when you oughta be thruthin'
    Christopher Luxon’s campaign to win last year's election continued yesterday with a speech.Channelling possibly Bruce Willis in Die Hard, he was all, I'm not going to dress it up, I'm going to level with you guys: the state of the nation is fragile.The thing he’s maybe missing is that it ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    6 days ago
  • The PM spoke of the need for tough choices – and then opted to beat a retreat when gays and Gaza a...
    Buzz from the Beehive The PM’s State of the Nation speech – according to a Newshub headline – was a ‘buffet of buzzwords’ and full of ‘nonsense’. Fair to say, the quoted words were attributed to Opposition politicians, who were unlikely to say the speech was visionary and inspiring: PM ...
    Point of OrderBy Bob Edlin
    7 days ago
  • Keynesian Wisdom.
    When the facts change, I change my mind - what do you do, sir?John Maynard Keynes (1883-1946)This posting is exclusive to Bowalley Road. ...
    7 days ago
  • BRIAN EASTON: Puffing policy
    Public policy towards tobacco consumption remains politically sensitive. Brian Easton writes – In 1983, a young researcher was told by a medium-level Treasury official that Treasury policy was to abandon excise duties on tobacco. The senior Treasury economist that I consulted, famed for his commonsense, snorted ‘we ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    7 days ago
  • Is 2.8% per year population growth too much?
    TL;DR: The Government is reviewing migration settings that produced 2.8% population growth last year and is looking at a longer-term strategy of matching population growth to the ‘absorbtive capacity’ of Aotearoa-NZ’s infrastructure.Our population grew last year at its fastest rate since 1947, when large numbers of troops returning from World ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    7 days ago
  • Tough Choices & Tough Love.
    I've been trying to hurt youI've been holding you tightI've been learning to love youAm I doing it right?How are you still breathingWith my hands all over your heart?How do we start healingIf we can't keep out the dark?Yesterday the Prime Minister delivered his State of the Nation, for no ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    7 days ago
  • Will the 2024 RLTP be yet another debacle?
    A couple of years ago, Auckland Council and Auckland Transport found themselves in court over the 2021 Regional Land Transport Plan (RLTP). A non-profit alliance for transport decarbonisation, All Aboard Aotearoa, argued that among other factors, the RLTP was unlawful because it failed to give effect to the 2021 Government ...
    7 days ago
  • 2024 SkS Weekly Climate Change & Global Warming News Roundup #07
    A listing of 31 news and opinion articles we found interesting and shared on social media during the past week: Sun, Feb 11, 2024 thru Sat, Feb 17, 2024. Story of the week Based on mission alignment, our Story of the Week is certainly Can we be inoculated against climate ...
    1 week ago
  • Immigration Issues.
    Help is comingI heard a whisperWhite caps turningThe breath of summerA distant drummingAnd liar birds callingEscape the anguish of our pastAnd prayOne of the major challenges of the the 21st century will be the mass migration of human beings around our globe.Some seeking economic opportunities, others fleeing repressive regimes, war ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    1 week ago
  • Trust us, we know what we’re doing
    The best trick the National Party ever pulled was to fabricate their reputation as the responsible ones.This would be the National Party that denied us the New Zealand Superannuation Scheme that—Brian Gaynor wrote back in 2007would be worth more than $240 billion today and would have transformed the New Zealand ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    1 week ago
  • The Left’s Timidity
    It is not just Karl Marx – even the most enthusiastic supporters of the market economy (not least Adam Smith) will concede that its normal operation inevitably leads to a concentration of wealth in relatively few hands. Some, at least, of these enthusiasts will accept that such a concentration is ...
    Bryan GouldBy Bryan Gould
    1 week ago
  • OLIVER HARTWICH: Absurd – NZ courts can now decide on climate change
    Oliver Hartwich writes – The World Justice Project ranks New Zealand 7th out of 142 countries on its ‘Rule of Law Index’, narrowly ahead of Australia’s 13th place. However, Australia still has hope – if only because of a recent decision by the Supreme Court of New Zealand. The ...
    Point of OrderBy poonzteam5443
    1 week ago
  • Still waiting on that turnaround
    Hello! Here comes the Saturday edition of More Than A Feilding, catching you up on the past week’s editions.Friday: Week in review, quiz style2. Shane Jones’ demeanour in mocking and deriding climate activists can be observed in what other realm of human behaviour?a. Gleeful little boys pulling wings off fliesb. ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    1 week ago

  • Government backs police to crackdown on gangs
    The coalition Government is restoring law and order by providing police new tools to crack down on criminal gangs, says Justice Minister Paul Goldsmith and Police Minister Mark Mitchell.  “Over the last five years gangs have recruited more than 3000 members, a 51 per cent increase. At the same time, ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    16 hours ago
  • Northland’s new Kāeo Bridge officially open
    Transport Minister Simeon Brown has welcomed the official opening of the new State Highway 10 (SH10) Kāeo Bridge, which will improve safety and traffic flow for people heading to and from the Far North. “This is an important piece of infrastructure for the Northland region that will help members of ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Dry weather triggers extra support for farmers and growers across the top of the South Island
    The coalition Government is providing support for farmers and growers as dry conditions worsen across the top of the South Island. “Conditions on the ground across the Marlborough, Tasman, and Nelson districts are now extremely dry and likely to get worse in the coming months,” Agriculture Minister Todd McClay said. ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Trade Minister heads to Abu Dhabi for key WTO negotiations
    Trade Minister Todd McClay travels to Abu Dhabi in the United Arab Emirates for the 13th Ministerial Conference of the World Trade Organisation (WTO) today, to take up his role as Vice Chair of the negotiations. The Ministerial Conference is the highest decision-making body within the WTO and meets every ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Appointment round for King’s Counsel announced
    Attorney-General Judith Collins today announced an appointment round for King’s Counsel will take place in 2024. Appointments of King’s Counsel are made by the Governor-General on the recommendation of the Attorney-General and with the concurrence of the Chief Justice. The Governor-General retains the discretion to appoint King’s Counsel in recognition ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Retiring Chief of Navy thanked for his service
    Defence Minister Judith Collins has thanked the Chief of Navy, Rear Admiral David Proctor, for his service as he retires from the Royal New Zealand Navy after 37 years. Rear Admiral Proctor will retire on 16 May to take up an employment opportunity in Australia.  “I would like to thank ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Indonesian Vice President to visit New Zealand
    Indonesia’s Vice President Ma’ruf Amin will visit New Zealand next week, the first here by an Indonesian leader since 2018, Deputy Prime Minister Winston Peters has announced. “New Zealand and Indonesia have a strong partnership,” Mr Peters says.  “The Vice President’s visit is an opportunity to discuss how we can strengthen ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Government boost to fight against caulerpa
    The battle to contain the fast-spreading exotic caulerpa seaweed has today received a $5 million boost to accelerate the development of removal techniques, says Biosecurity Minister Andrew Hoggard.  “The time is now to really lean in and build on the work of Biosecurity New Zealand, mana whenua, communities and local ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Minister attending Australian data, digital meeting
    Minister for Digitising Government Judith Collins is in Sydney to attend the first Data and Digital Ministers’ Meeting of 2024.  “This is a great opportunity to connect with our Australian counterparts and identify how we can work together on digital transformation,” Ms Collins says.   “Both our nations are looking into ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Appointments to Antarctica New Zealand Board
    Foreign Minister Winston Peters has appointed Leon Grice and Heather Simpson to serve on the Antarctica New Zealand board.  “Since taking office, the Coalition Government has become concerned about the direction of the Scott Base Redevelopment Project,” Mr Peters says.  “It is vital that Antarctica New Zealand has the right ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Strengthening the Single Economic Market
    Finance Minister Nicola Willis has met with Australian Treasurer Jim Chalmers to discuss the opportunities to lower business costs and increase the ease with which businesses and people can operate across the Tasman.     “I have met with Treasurer Chalmers and shared our new Government’s ambitious economic goals, our plans ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Government to address business payment practices
    The Government will repeal the Business Payment Practices Act 2023, Small Business and Manufacturing Minister Andrew Bayly announced today. “There is a major problem with large market players imposing long payment terms and routinely paying invoices late. “However, the Business Payment Practices Act is not an effective solution and would ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Greater focus on work will reduce child poverty
    Worsening child poverty rates support the Coalition Government’s focus on reducing the cost of living and getting people into work, Child Poverty Reduction Minister Louise Upston says. Figures released by Stats NZ today show child poverty rates have increased, with the rising cost of living, driven by inflation, making it ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • NZ announces new support for Ukraine
    Foreign Minister Winston Peters and Defence Minister Judith Collins have marked two years since Russia’s invasion of Ukraine by announcing further support and sanctions, and extending our military assistance. “Russia launched its illegal, full-scale invasion of Ukraine, in blatant violation of international law, including the UN Charter,” Mr Peters says. ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • Finance Minister to meet Australian Treasurer
    Finance Minister Nicola Willis will travel to Australia today to meet her Australian counterpart, Treasurer Jim Chalmers.    “New Zealand and Australia have an incredibly strong trade and investment relationship. The Closer Economic Relations and Single Economic Market are powerful engines for growth on both sides of the Tasman.     “I will ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • PM shocked and saddened at death of Efeso Collins
    “I am truly shocked and saddened at the news of Efeso Collins’ sudden death,” Prime Minister Christopher Luxon says. “Efeso was a good man, always friendly and kind, and a true champion and advocate for his Samoan and South Auckland communities. “Our thoughts and deepest sympathies go to his family, ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Greater support for social workers
    The Coalition Government is enhancing the professionalism of the social work sector and supporting the vulnerable people who rely on them, Social Development and Employment Minister Louise Upston says.  The Social Workers Registration Legislation Amendment Bill passed its third reading in Parliament today. It amends the Social Workers Registration Legislation ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Government delivers greater freedom and choice for sick New Zealanders
    The coalition government is delivering on its commitment to making principled decisions by getting rid of red tape that doesn’t make sense and allowing sick New Zealanders greater freedom and choice to purchase effective cold and flu medicines. A bill amending the Misuse of Drugs Act 1975 is being introduced, and changes to the Medicines ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • Government begins reset of welfare system
    The Coalition Government is taking early action to curb the surge in welfare dependency that occurred under the previous government by setting out its expectations around employment and the use of benefit sanctions, Social Development and Employment Minister Louise Upston says. In 2017, 60,588 sanctions were applied to beneficiaries who ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • State of the Nation
    Ka nui te mihi kia koutou. Kia ora, good morning, talofa, malo e lelei, bula vinaka, da jia hao, namaste, sat sri akal, assalamu alaikum. Thank you for coming to my first State of the Nation as Prime Minister. Thank you for coming to a speech where I don’t just ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • West Coast tourism attractions officially open
    Regional Development Minister Shane Jones will attend the official opening of two highly anticipated tourism projects on the West Coast today – Pike29 Memorial Track, dedicated to the memory of the Pike River miners, and Pounamu Pathway. “The Pike29 Memorial Track is a way to remember and honour the men ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Independent ferry service advisory group in place
    Appointments to the Ministerial Advisory Group tasked with providing independent advice and assurance on the future of KiwiRail’s inter-island ferry service have been made, State Owned Enterprises Minister Paul Goldsmith says. “It’s important for New Zealand that KiwiRail is focused on ensuring safe, resilient, and reliable ferry services over the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Joint statement from the Prime Ministers of Australia, Canada, and New Zealand
    The Prime Ministers of Australia, Canada and New Zealand today issued the following statement on reports of Israel’s planned military operation in Rafah. We are gravely concerned by indications that Israel is planning a ground offensive into Rafah.   A military operation into Rafah would be catastrophic. About 1.5 million Palestinians ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Govt will deliver on expanded breast screening
    The coalition Government has made the first steps in delivering on its promise to  extend free breast screening to women aged 70-74, Health Minister Shane Reti says. “As part of the 100 day plan, the Government has now met with officials and discussed what is needed in order for the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Government announces woolshed roadshows in support of sheep farmers
    The Government celebrates National Lamb Day (15 February 24) and congratulates sheep farmers on the high-quality products they continue to produce. Agriculture Minister McClay hosted bipartisan celebrations of National Lamb Day with industry representatives at Parliament this week to mark the anniversary of the first frozen lamb exports that left ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Speech: Address to the NZ Economics Forum
    It’s great to be back at the New Zealand Economics Forum. I would like to acknowledge everyone here today for your expertise and contribution, especially the Pro Vice-Chancellor, Head of the Waikato Management School, economists, students and experts alike. A year has passed since I was last before you, and ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Government tackling high construction costs
    The Government is focused on reducing sky-high construction costs to make it more affordable to build a home, Building and Construction Minister Chris Penk says.  Stats NZ data shows the cost of building a house has increased by 41 per cent since 2019, making housing even more unaffordable for Kiwi ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Labour’s Three Waters legislation repealed
    The Coalition Government’s legislative plan to address longstanding issues with local water infrastructure and service delivery took an important step today, with the repeal of Labour’s divisive and unpopular Three Waters legislation, Local Government Minister Simeon Brown says. “Repealing this legislation is a necessary first step in implementing our Local ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Cost of living support for beneficiary households
    The Coalition Government is delivering on its commitment to ease the cost-of-living by increasing main benefit rates in line with inflation and ensuring the Minimum Family Tax Credit threshold remains aligned with this change, Social Development and Employment Minister Louise Upston says. The Social Security (Benefits Adjustment) and Income Tax ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Government announces agriculture delegations to better support Primary sector
    The coalition Government has announced ministerial delegations to support key areas across the Primary sector to deliver for New Zealand’s food and fibre sector, Agriculture Minister Todd McClay announced today. “I will be supported in my roles as Minister of Agriculture, Trade, Forestry and Hunting and Fishing, by three Associate ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Waikato MoU reinforces Govt’s commitment to increase NZ doctors
    The Government has taken an important step forward in addressing a critical shortage of New Zealand-trained doctors, with today’s signing of a Memorandum of Understanding for a third medical school, Minister of Health Dr Shane Reti has announced.  “Today’s signing by the Ministry of Health and the University of Waikato ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Speech – Lunar New Year 2024
    Annyeonghaseyo, greetings and welcome all. It is my pleasure as the Minister for Ethnic Communities to welcome you to the first Lunar New Year Event in Parliament. Thank you to our emcees for greeting us in the different languages that represent the many cultures that celebrate the Lunar New Year. ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • More funding to Hawke’s Bay and Tairāwhiti
    Urgent work to clean-up cyclone-affected regions will continue, thanks to a $63 million boost from the Government for sediment and debris removal in Hawke’s Bay and Tairāwhiti.                                                                                                   The funding will help local councils continue urgent work removing and disposing of sediment and debris left from Cyclone Gabrielle.   “This additional ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Budget will be delivered on 30 May
    Plans to deliver tax relief to hard-working New Zealanders, rebuild business confidence and restore the Crown’s finances to order will be unveiled on 30 May, Finance Minister Nicola Willis says. The plans will be announced in the Budget which is currently being developed by Ministers.  “The last government’s mismanagement of ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Government advances Local Water Done Well
    The Coalition Government is continuing work to restore council ownership and control of water assets by repealing Three Waters and appointing a Technical Advisory Group to provide expert advice on the implementation of Local Water Done Well, Local Government Minister Simeon Brown says. “The Government will pass a bill to ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Minister congratulates NZQA Top Scholars
    Education Minister Erica Stanford congratulates the New Zealand Scholarship recipients from 2023 announced today.  “Receiving a New Zealand Scholarship is a fantastic achievement and is a testament to the hard work and dedication the recipients have put in throughout the year,” says Ms Stanford.  “New Zealand Scholarship tests not only ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • New diplomatic appointments
    Foreign Minister Winston Peters has today announced five new diplomatic appointments.  "Strong and effective diplomacy to protect and advance our interests in the world is needed now more than ever," Mr Peters says.  “We are delighted to appoint senior diplomats from the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade to these ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Speech to the Committee for Auckland
    It is great to be here today at this event as Minister for Auckland and Minister ofTransport. Let me start by acknowledging each one of you and thanking the Committee forAuckland for hosting this event and inviting me to speak here today. The Committee for Auckland has been a symbol ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
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