web analytics

Upper Harbour exists.

Written By: - Date published: 7:12 pm, April 17th, 2014 - 18 comments
Categories: election 2014 - Tags:

The new electorate boundaries are out.

Some noticeable changes around Port Hills, but mainly only tinkering from the previous proposals.

So Paula Bennett can go from committed Westie to Shore girl in the new Upper Harbour electorate.

Phil Goff & Ruth Dyson aren’t having their electorates painted quite so blue, but Jacinda gets a harder task.

Of course, what really matters is the party vote, and the boundaries don’t affect that.  But now it’s drawn up, we’re fully ready to go for the election.  Let’s get out there and wrest this country back – how many electorates can go left?

18 comments on “Upper Harbour exists. ”

  1. felix 1

    wrest 😉

    rest was last time.

    [Ben: write ewe arrh! Fixed, thanks]

  2. mickysavage 2

    Agreed Ben. I read Jadis’s post at Kiwiblog and I kept thinking WTF?

    I hear that John Key was really unhappy at the prospect of having to represent pretty well all of the Waitakere Ranges and I don’t blame him. There are a bunch of socially liberal and environmentally protective people there that will really make him work hard.

    My personal predictions is that in the new seat of Kelston Labour will shoe in and Labour will also win Maungakiekie and I would not be surprised if my mate Jerome Mika ran Judith Collins very close in Papakura.

    The rest of Jadis’s analysis is a joke. Trevor Mallard will very comfortably win Hutt South. You have to laugh at Chris Bishop’s announcement that he will be the National candidate on today. Someone obviously thought they would get an advantage by announcing today. And Christchurch Central is coming back to Labour.

    Napier is also on the way back. And I would not rule out Rotorua or Whangarei.

    But it is MMP and only party votes count …

    • David H 2.1

      Why the fuck is Mallard allowed within 5000 miles of Hutt South is beyond me. He needs to be GONE along with a few other dead wood dinosaurs.

  3. Sanctuary 3

    “…Napier is also on the way back…”

    Nash will win on the back of local issues, which only goes to show the importance in provincial seats of selecting candidates that resonate with the locals & have name recognition.

  4. Instauration 4

    Paula is a Shore Girl pretending Westie. Years of loyal service to Murray in ECB and commensurately comfortable and hospitable residence in Milford. The Yupper Harbourites still appear bluish – just like the bruises on Matt Blomfields face. Is essentially an Aspirant and Delusional zone – but they still sell plenty of Lotto.

  5. Tigger 5

    Paula’s looking very Shore matronish these days. No more pretending to be a Westie. Upper Harbour for her. Hope Craig wants it – seagulls over a soggy chip.

  6. hoom 6

    First: One thing Granny Herald has wound up being very good at is these interactive maps, the one in this article is really good.

    Second: (admittedly using imprecise eyeballing via the Herald map & noting that Party vote is vastly more important than Electorates) There seems to be an awful lot of cases where a few pro-Labor polling stations get hived off into either already strong Labor electorates leaving an apparent Nat majority in a previously close Electorate, or switches of several strong Nat stations into previously balanced/narrow Labor electorates.

    Third: A bunch of the Proposed changes that would have weakened small majority Nat Electorates have been reversed in the Final boundaries or additional Nat polling stations added to offset Labor stations & preserve .

    Unless there has been a huge swing to Labor which the polls don’t show I predict there will be very few Labour Electoral seats this Election but many of those few will have significantly increased majorities.
    Meanwhile many strong Nat seats will have reduced but still safe margins while the newly Nat electorates will have fairly narrow margins.

    Frankly has the apperance of a whole bunch of intentional gerrymandering which I find deeply troubling having previously believed the Electoral Commission to have been legitimately non-political.

    • hoom 6.1

      Can’t edit but: I had looked at the Proposed boundaries & felt they had a fair balance of loss/gain for both major parties.

      There appears to be strong gain to National in many electorates in the Final boundaries.

      Don’t mean to imply direct intentional bias by Electoral Commission but they may have been unwittingly swayed by a concerted campaign in submissions.

    • felix 6.2

      Very interesting, hoom.

      Also interesting is that if instead of following the link in the article we go directly to the infographic from the herald dropdown menu, we find some actual factual analysis which notes exactly what you point out: http://www.nzherald.co.nz/infographics/news/article.cfm?c_id=1503250&objectid=11163748

    • Draco T Bastard 6.3

      And all of that is why we need to get rid of electorates and go purely proportional.

    • karol 6.4

      Labour – you’re not in Ausie now, Mr Hoom.

      Interesting analysis.

    • Lanthanide 6.5

      How do you know the electoral commission even looked at voting tendencies when drawing the boundaries?

      If they had had any sense, they would have deliberately not looked at the voting pattern, so as to avoid accusations of bias, as you’ve just made.

      • felix 6.5.1

        Yes you would hope not. I suppose that’s why it seems odd that almost all of the changes swing in one direction.

        Also: “Don’t mean to imply direct intentional bias by Electoral Commission but they may have been unwittingly swayed by a concerted campaign in submissions.

  7. Jeff 7

    When you zoom out the blue overlaps red which looks like National dominate….would expect nothing less from the Herald.

    • Markymark 7.1

      Umm…..thats cause do National dominate. They won nearly double the votes of labour(48% to 27% in a landslide in 2011).

      The map is based on that – hate to break it to ya, but labour ain’t popular

  8. tricledrown 8

    Mark my mark.
    Carry on thinking FPP.
    What’s the govts majority Zero plus P () Dunny.
    We have had MMP for 18 years now.
    MyM your out of date.

  9. Mike the Savage One 9

    Like a friend tells me, the success of Paula Bennett, who may run in this electorate after all, is based on Labour’s failings in welfare. It is not quite so easy to understand, but when you realise that Labour was heading down the same direction as this present government, just pretended it was “more humane”, then you may get it.

    They brought in reforms in the 2004 to 2007 time frame, and it was going the way the reforms in the UK went, and that has to do with such ones as a Mr Aylward and here a Dr Bratt, and add that together , you learn what it was about. Do some google search, and more, and I think you will find some information on what I am talking about.

    Bennett is a nasty one, but Labour are dishonest about where they stand, they do not even mention welfare in their program now, so in secret they agree with Bennett. Try running a candidate against her, I think Labour will have a battle at their hands, for pure hypocrisy reasons, none else.

Links to post

Recent Comments

Recent Posts

  • How we’re preparing for Omicron
    As countries around the world experience Omicron outbreaks, we’re taking steps now to ensure we’re as prepared as possible and our communities are protected. ...
    17 hours ago
  • What’s Labour achieved so far?
    Quite a bit! This Government was elected to take on the toughest issues facing Aotearoa – and that’s what we’re doing. Since the start of the pandemic, protecting lives and livelihoods has been a priority, but we’ve also made progress on long-term challenges, to deliver a future the next generation ...
    1 week ago
  • Tackling the big issues in 2022
    This year, keeping Kiwis safe from COVID will remain a key priority of the Government – but we’re also pushing ahead on some of New Zealand’s biggest long-term challenges. In 2022, we’re working to get more Kiwis into homes, reduce emissions, lift children out of poverty, and ensure people get ...
    1 week ago

  • Quarterly benefit numbers show highest number of exits into work
    The Government’s strong focus on supporting more people into work is reflected in benefit figures released today which show a year-on-year fall of around 21,300 people receiving a main benefit in the December 2021 quarter, Minister for Social Development and Employment Carmel Sepuloni said. “Our response to COVID has helped ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    18 hours ago
  • Northland to move to Orange, NZ prepared for Omicron 
    Northland to move to Orange Rest of New Zealand stays at Orange in preparedness for Omicron All of New Zealand to move into Red in the event of Omicron community outbreak – no use of lockdowns Govt planning well advanced – new case management, close contact definition and testing rules ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    19 hours ago
  • RNZAF C-130 Hercules flight departs for Tonga as Navy vessels draw nearer to Tongatapu
    A Royal New Zealand Air Force C-130 Hercules has departed Base Auckland Whenuapai for Tonga carrying aid supplies, as the New Zealand aid effort ramps up, Foreign Affairs Minister Nanaia Mahuta and Defence Minister Peeni Henare said today. “The aircraft is carrying humanitarian aid and disaster relief supplies, including water ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    21 hours ago
  • New Zealand prepared to send support to Tonga
    New Zealand is ready to assist Tonga in its recovery from Saturday night’s undersea eruption and tsunami, Foreign Affairs Minister Nanaia Mahuta and Defence Minister Peeni Henare said today. “Following the successful surveillance and reconnaissance flight of a New Zealand P-3K2 Orion on Monday, imagery and details have been sent ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Aotearoa New Zealand stands ready to assist people of Tonga
    The thoughts of New Zealanders are with the people of Tonga following yesterday’s undersea volcanic eruption and subsequent tsunami waves, Foreign Affairs Minister Nanaia Mahuta says. “Damage assessments are under way and New Zealand has formally offered to provide assistance to Tonga,” said Nanaia Mahuta. New Zealand has made an ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Record high of new homes consented continues
    In the year ended November 2021, 48,522 new homes were consented, up 26 per cent from the November 2020 year. In November 2021, 4,688 new dwellings were consented. Auckland’s new homes consented numbers rose 25 per cent in the last year. Annual figures for the last nine months show more ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Report trumpets scope for ice cream exports
    Latest research into our premium ice cream industry suggests exporters could find new buyers in valuable overseas markets as consumers increasingly look for tip top quality in food. Economic Development Minister Stuart Nash has released a new report for the Food and Beverage Information Project. The project is run by ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Honouring the legacy of legendary kaumātua Muriwai Ihakara
    Associate Minister for Arts, Culture, and Heritage Kiri Allan expressed her great sadness and deepest condolences at the passing of esteemed kaumātua, Muriwai Ihakara. “Muriwai’s passing is not only a loss for the wider creative sector but for all of Aotearoa New Zealand. The country has lost a much beloved ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Have your say on proposed changes to make drinking water safer
    Associate Minister for the Environment Kiri Allan is urging all New Zealanders to give feedback on proposed changes aimed at making drinking water safer. “The current regulations are not fit for purpose and don’t offer enough protection, particularly for those whose water comes from smaller supplies,” Kiri Allan said. “This ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Planting the seeds for rewarding careers
    A boost in funding for a number of Jobs for Nature initiatives across Canterbury will provide sustainable employment opportunities for more than 70 people, Conservation Minister Kiri Allan says. “The six projects are diverse, ranging from establishing coastline trapping in Kaikōura, to setting up a native plant nursery, restoration planting ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • New Zealand congratulates Tonga's new Prime Minister on appointment
    Minister of Foreign Affairs Nanaia Mahuta today congratulated Hon Hu'akavameiliku Siaosi Sovaleni on being appointed Prime Minister of the Kingdom of Tonga. “Aotearoa New Zealand and Tonga have an enduring bond and the Kingdom is one of our closest neighbours in the Pacific. We look forward to working with Prime ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • High-tech investment extends drought forecasting for farmers and growers
    The Government is investing in the development of a new forecasting tool that makes full use of innovative climate modelling to help farmers and growers prepare for dry conditions, Agriculture Minister Damien O'Connor said.  The new approach, which will cost $200,000 and is being jointly funded through the Ministry for ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Support for fire-hit Waiharara community
    The government will contribute $20,000 towards a Mayoral Relief Fund to support those most affected by the fires in Waiharara in the Far North, Minister for Emergency Management Kiri Allan says. “I have spoken to Far North Mayor John Carter about the effect the fires continue to have, on residents ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • Manawatū’s ‘oases of nature’ receive conservation boost
    The Government is throwing its support behind projects aimed at restoring a cluster of eco-islands and habitats in the Manawatū which were once home to kiwi and whio. “The projects, which stretch from the Ruahine Ranges to the Horowhenua coastline, will build on conservation efforts already underway and contribute ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 weeks ago
  • New Zealand to continue Solomon Islands support
    A New Zealand Defence Force and Police deployment to help restore peace and stability to Solomon Islands is being scaled down and extended. The initial deployment followed a request for support from Solomon Islands Government after riots and looting in capital Honiara late last month. They joined personnel from Australia, ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 weeks ago