- Date published:
8:30 am, December 29th, 2019 - 124 comments
Categories: abortion, discrimination, Donald Trump, immigration, International, jacinda ardern, politicans, tax, us politics, workers' rights - Tags:
We may as well prepare ourselves for Trump overperforming his popularity again and winning. Trump is historically more popular than when he won in 2016 (Gallup 61% unfavorable on election eve). We’ve had to deal with left’s retreat in most of the world in 2019.
So let’s prepare and plot some likely accelerated changes in Trump’s second term.
With Republicans retaining the Senate majority, there’s harsher-tilted benches throughout the higher Circuit, Appeals, and Supreme courts. With RBG unable to last and Thomas fading, they get 2 more slots. So get ready for:
Coherent Federal government really retreats, for many decades.
Maybe we get a lot more Dems emigrating to Canada, Australia, and us.
U.S. interests in the world retreat other than in the Pacific east. In the Middle East they may simply be a formal defense treaty with Israel, keep their Gulf bases, and keep supplying arms to the Saudis. Otherwise out.
Potentially, he breaks NATO. Russia and China are then enabled to bind and to expand their influence. Maybe he merges the State Department with Commerce, putting the merchant back into mercantile “diplomacy”.
With the WTO unable to make binding decisions due to US interference, strong companies and countries may bully smaller ones like ours with impunity (other than within regional bloc disciplines such as they are).
Diplomacy and international cooperation rapidly shrinks everywhere.
U.S. MSM commentariat will increasingly reflect the right-shifting voters and unregulated right wing surging social media. Democracy as the peaceful removal of the powerful gets weakened.
Who knows maybe local activists will revive the very idea of the Republic. Or New Zealand may become the last, lost, loneliest and loveliest of the strong democracies with centre- left governments.
We weren’t prepared for 2019’s losses.
2020: brace yourself.