Yes it is

Written By: - Date published: 1:56 pm, May 31st, 2015 - 53 comments
Categories: climate change, global warming - Tags: ,

53 comments on “Yes it is ”

  1. Yep we face 10,000 years worth of methane lifetimes in the next TEN. That is what getting to 400 ppm CO2 in about 1.7% of the time it has taken in the past will produce, as the East Siberian Arctic Shelf, the clatherates (?), and the Tundra are only just starting to catch up with 400 ppm.

    The numbers of people dying of heat stroke are way under the actual real deaths, they don’t include heat induced heart attacks for one thing. And I just learnt if you don’t cool down at night it gets worse the next day, so the deaths could go exponential ?
    I read 80,000 died in Europe in 2003, surly that would mean at least 100,000 Indians?

    • RedLogix 1.1

      And I just learnt if you don’t cool down at night it gets worse the next day, so the deaths could go exponential ?

      Yes from experience this is true. If it doesn’t drop below say about 30 degC by midnight the body doesn’t recover and over a period of about a week the stress builds. By the end of two weeks with daytime temperatures in the 40’s and night-times in the 30’s or worse, and the elderly, infirm or vulnerable start dying in mass numbers. Even healthy adults start to struggle.

      I’ve long believed that this is will be the first and most compelling sign of climate change – that some areas of the world will experience extreme heat-waves that will kill of millions within a matter of days.

      It will just take one or two such events and suddenly entire areas of the planet will have to be abandoned.

      • Colonial Rawshark 1.1.1

        India is labouring horrendously from the heat at the moment. The suffering must be hideous.

        • schwen 1.1.1.1

          it’s a problem of their own making. If they want to dig up and burn the amount of coal they do, well, there are repercussions and consequences…..

          • Colonial Rawshark 1.1.1.1.1

            Just remember that in the last 100 years it has been the UK and USA and other western countries who have burnt the most fossil fuels, on the way to becoming rich and powerful.

            • maui 1.1.1.1.1.1

              Yep, and if the rich western countries had any sense they would be throwing their expertise and money behind getting developing countries off fossil fuels as quickly as possible. The west has done very nicely using cheap labour from the third world, time to pay something back at least.. We’re all in this together after all.

              • the pigman

                I was gonna say this particular poster has been posting some pretty colourful non-sequiturs in the past week or so (I wondered whether it was some kinda bot-auto-posting thingy), but perhaps Mr. Wolfgang is more on point than any of us could imagine 😉

                • Anne

                  I’m sure I saw a couple of ‘very strange” responses from this ‘Wolfgang’ a few hours ago and then they disappeared. It is either a disturbed individual or as you say the pigman some kinda bot-auto posting thingy. Whatever, it would be nice if he/she/it was bundled off permanently into the ether.

                  Oops – its gone again?

                  • Spam, Anne. Well, for the most part.There’s screeds of it and it’s weirdly compelling. Like a Burroughs cut up of a Jeremy Kyle Show transcript.

      • Draco T Bastard 1.1.2

        It will just take one or two such events and suddenly entire areas of the planet will have to be abandoned.

        IMO, the equator won’t be habitable by humans sometime mid-century. This means that there will be hundreds of millions of people looking to migrate to cooler climes and there’s really nowhere for them to go without over-stressing the local environment and that’s without the stress that climate change will have on that environment.

        The Guardian article tells me that that migration will be starting soon if it hasn’t already.

    • dukeofurl 2.1

      They are saying:
      “Gasparrini and colleagues4 report that, first, cold-related deaths outnumbered heat-related deaths by a factor of nearly 20, overall. Second, deaths attributable to moderately non-optimum temperatures substantially outnumbered those attributable to extreme temperatures”

      I could think of a number of medical reasons why the deaths are skewed to cold rather than hot.
      Then, you have a very hot day followed by a cooler night, but when you have a very cold day, the night might not be much colder ?

    • Murray Simmonds 2.2

      Thanks, Poission – useful links.

      My interpretation of this is is that when it gets too hot you can always go stand under a cold shower. or leap into the nearest water-hole, river, lake, swimming pool , bathtup or whatever to cool down. (Unless others beat you to it first). This tends on the whole to be roughly true regardless of your socioeconomic status.

      When it gets too cold however, energy is required to redress the body-temperature problem. There are few places in the world that posses, for example, naturally occuring hot springs. Energy generally costs money and so the options are more limited for those who live in cold climates and are at the same time economically “stressed”.

      Hence the imbalance in death-rates in the two articles you quoted.

      Sounds crazy? Probably is!

  2. Paul 3

    Read Gwynne Dyers ‘Climate Wars.’
    Sobering.

  3. One Anonymous Bloke 4

    Hardly a glimpse of the future, considering the Russian and European heatwaves of 2010 and 2003 killed 55k and 71k respectively.

    It’s a vision of the present. It will get worse before it gets better.

    • exkiwiforces 4.1

      The weather god’s here are either crazy or drunk here in NT at the moment because it has been raining here all weekend and it suppose to be the dry season. So someone has bugger up season and i wonder who they are?

    • dukeofurl 4.2

      The Russian heatwave is considered to be a 500 year event and is not considered to be related to human caused warming. ( it was very high temperatures over about 2 months). Its considered similar the 1936 US heatwave

      But of course higher temperatures and above previous averages will continue because of warming

      India had a heatwave back in 2010 along with parts of Asia and Europe, so the one in India may not be that signifiv=cant

      • Macro 4.2.1

        “The Russian heatwave is considered to be a 500 year event and is not considered to be related to human caused warming”
        Wrong!
        http://www.nature.com/news/2004/041129/full/news041129-6.html

        • dukeofurl 4.2.1.1

          Wrong

          Surely you realise something published in 2004 isnt relevant to an event in 2010.

          NOAA doesnt agree with you regarding this 500 year event. .

          “Despite this strong evidence for a warming planet, greenhouse gas forcing fails to explain the 2010 heat wave over western Russia. The natural process of atmospheric blocking, and the climate impacts induced by such blocking, are the principal cause for this heat wave. It is not known whether, or to what exent, greenhouse gas emissions may affect the frequency or intensity of blocking during summer. ”
          http://www.esrl.noaa.gov/psd/csi/events/2010/russianheatwave/prelim.html

          • RedLogix 4.2.1.1.1

            Are you familiar with the idea of fractals dof? The basic idea is that they have a shape which looks similar at any scale. Ice crystals are the classic example.

            It is useful to think of climate and weather as the large scale version of temperature and molecular motion.

            Temperature is nothing more than the average kinetic energy (and hence their average speed) of all the molecules of the medium you are measuring. Each individual molecule is travelling at a different speed in a different direction with a values that is random. (Or to use a more technical term – stochastic.)

            But the speed and direction of ALL molecules has a distribution that is highly predictable. (This is the same idea that says that you cannot predict the outcome of any single toss of the coin, but if you toss that coin a 1000 times you can make a quite accurate prediction of how many will be heads or tails.)

            Back to our molecules The average speed of their distribution is what we call temperature which despite the random speed of all the molecules – is highly predictable.

            But what ‘temperature’ does not direcly tell you is the proportion of molecules that have extremely high speeds. In simple terms, while the average speed (temperature) may increase a small percentage, the number of molecules with very high speeds can increase by a much large factor.

            Using the fractal scaling idea – it’s helpful to think of weather as stochastic events but whose long term spatial and temporal average is what we call climate. The parallel is not an exact one, but helpful.

            And from this we get the idea that a relatively small increase in climate (the average of all weather events) is very likely to be accompanied by a relatively large increase in the frequency of extreme weather events.

            As I said above – the parallel is not exact – and the precise maths is not something I’d pretend to be an expert on. But from some basic statistics and physics we know that the general idea is very likely correct.

            • Poission 4.2.1.1.1.1

              but if you toss that coin a 1000 times you can make a quite accurate prediction of how many will be heads or tails.

              Actually it is a well used example on ill conceived probability (counter intuitive) eg Fellers seminal paper

              http://chesswanks.com/txt/Feller.pdf

            • dukeofurl 4.2.1.1.1.2

              RedLogix, your logic is laughable.

              WE have found from US hurricane exposure, that the numbers of hurricanes has dropped since the devastating Katrina and New Orleans. Its not expected to be permanent but can only be natural variability as the area has continued to warm.

              You say …idea that a relatively small increase in climate (the average of all weather events) is very likely to be accompanied by a relatively large increase in the frequency of extreme weather events.

              Thats doesnt match up here as Ive shown with US hurricanes, and it seems very extreme russian heatwaves. People who’s expertise is in atmospheres and oceans( NOAA) dont see it in your terms, as a quick search has nothing they have produced regarding fractals.
              My guess is your theories are entirely of your own making. Could it be you have made the breakthrough no one else has thought of ?

              • One Anonymous Bloke

                Snark aside, some Climatology predicts a decrease in frequency of hurricanes, while also predicting an increase in intensity for those that do occur.

                As for the Russian heatwave, it’s an open question.

                …Rahmstorf and Coumou (2011) write that with a probability of 80% “the 2010 July heat record would not have occurred” without the large-scale climate warming since 1980, most of which has been attributed to the anthropogenic increase in greenhouse gas concentrations. The latter explicitly state that their results “contradict those of Dole et al. (2011).” Here we use the results from a large ensemble simulation experiment with an atmospheric general circulation model to show that there is no substantive contradiction between these two papers

                Otto et al 2012.

              • RedLogix

                Ah no – I was not proposing any kind of theory. Merely using some basic physics and statistical theory to explain something to you.

                If you want to measure the temperature (as the average speed of all the molecules in it) of a bucket of water, then you can use a thermometer. But if you want to measure climate (as the average of all the weather events on the planet) we don’t have any convenient instrument to tell us this. (Satellite data is a recent source of very helpful information in this respect. )

                But the ideas which work on one physical scale are often a useful tool to use as a starting point on another. Hence my simple analogy with fractals. If you think I’m completely wrong then I’d be happy to hear why. But snark is what you offered instead.

          • Macro 4.2.1.1.2

            Do you ever read anything you write?

            “Surely you realise something published in 2004 isnt relevant to an event in 2010. ”
            AOB stated:

            “Hardly a glimpse of the future, considering the Russian and European heatwaves of 2010 and 2003 killed 55k and 71k respectively.”

            The link I referred you to clearly showed that the 2003 event was attributable to AGW and that similar event were likely to occur in the future.

            The NOAA my have doubts about the most recent event quoting blocking as the immediate cause.

            Blocking events (caused by a shift in the jet stream around the Arctic Circle affecting the Arctic Oscillation) have been identified as being associated with increasing Global Temperatures – particularly in Polar regions. The greater increased temperatures are the poles (a noted prediction of Global Warming by the way) results in the troposphere increasing in height over the poles. This greater increase in height over the poles lowers the gradient between the height of the troposphere over the equator with respect to the height over the poles. The decreased gradient leads to a more meandering jet stream and blocking events.
            http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1029/2012GL051000/abstract

      • Richard Christie 4.2.2

        The Russian heatwave is considered to be a 500 year event and is not considered to be related to human caused warming. ( it was very high temperatures over about 2 months). Its considered similar the 1936 US heatwave

        But of course higher temperatures and above previous averages will continue because of warming

        You appear to be confused as to the nature and significance of climate change on the re-occurrence of adverse weather events.

        As climate continues to change, what was once in a 500 year event often becomes once in 450 year event, then 300 years etc.

        • Colonial Rawshark 4.2.2.1

          Robert Atack posted a presentation a couple of days ago which made it clear that mathematically, what was considered a 1 in 1,000,000 weather event is going to end up being an occasional occurrence in the next decade or two.

          In other words, we are fucked.

          • In Vino 4.2.2.1.1

            ♪ Always look on the bright side of life♫
            I hate feeling that we are all crucified, and that only a few are aware of it. It may be true.
            On the other hand, even though a grumpy old fart, I love seeing young people full of zest, spirit, and intelligence.
            I hope that they can build upon the shambles and disaster that we are likely to be leaving them.

          • Robert Atack 4.2.2.1.2

            Robert Atack posted a presentation a couple of days ago

            Here it is again

          • weka 4.2.2.1.3

            Robert Atack posted a presentation a couple of days ago which made it clear that mathematically, what was considered a 1 in 1,000,000 weather event is going to end up being an occasional occurrence in the next decade or two.

            In other words, we are fucked.

            Robert Atack also thinks that Cowspiracy is valid and reliable source of information. And I seem to remember he believed that because increasing temps meant industrial mono agriculture would fail in many places that we would alll starve. Sorry Robert, but some of your assertions fall over under scrutiny, which is why the ‘we’re doomed’ message is the thing that is fucked.

            • Colonial Rawshark 4.2.2.1.3.1

              Was the message of the video he linked to above not valid?

              • weka

                I’m not sure. I watched it the other day when Draco tweeted it. It looked convincing, but I’d like to hear an opinion from someone who knows statistics. I also don’t think the video says we’re fucked. Mostly my comments in response to Robert are an attempt to get some people to see the difference between fact and interpretation. Robert mixes them up and some of his sources are dodgy so I think it’s prudent to take his posts with a grain of salt.

          • dukeofurl 4.2.2.1.4

            Are you sure on those numbers?

            1 in 500 years or 1 in a million years ( if there is such a thing) is a probability not a prediction of when it will happen.

            • Colonial Rawshark 4.2.2.1.4.1

              true

            • RedLogix 4.2.2.1.4.2

              It depends by what you mean by ‘prediction’.

              If you mean predicting when any given single hurricane or weather event will occur – then no.

              But if you want to predict how many events will occur over a period of time – then yes.

        • dukeofurl 4.2.2.2

          NOAA scientists dont agree with you there. My understanding is that , in this instance, a natural event produced the extreme heat and it wasnt due to greenhouse gas forcing. But of course average temperatures over Russia are increasing.

          To use your own words, you appear to be confused about what is a very extreme natural event.

          • One Anonymous Bloke 4.2.2.2.1

            And you’re ignoring the fact that it’s still an open question. See my comment above.

            • dukeofurl 4.2.2.2.1.1

              Who to consider ?

              The people who based their work on the regional data and atmospheric conditions. [Dole , 2011]
              or
              fitting a non-linear trend to central Russian temperatures
              and showing that the warming which has occurred in this region since the 1960s has increased the risk of a heat wave that set a new temperature record for the region by around a factor of 5. [Rahmstorff 2011]

              • One Anonymous Bloke

                Otto et al seem to think there’s more to it than that. You know best though, I’m sure.

          • Colonial Rawshark 4.2.2.2.2

            The behaviour of Earth’s entire climate system is shifting. What used to be a one in a thousand year event is going to end up as a one in ten year event.

        • dukeofurl 4.2.2.3

          Richard you should check your probability. 1 in 500 is a Pe of 0.002 , or .2% in any one year, not a prediction of only 1 over 500 years.

  4. SMILIN 5

    The scariest part is that if our immigration keeps up from those exiting to colder climes we who are indigenous and poor may find ourselves on a boat to burn town as the rich buy us out with the help of our current political situation which any one would know is such a pack of bloody lies and when the inevitable destruction of this planet begins in at the very outside 200yrs well the spaceship will be the 50/50 choice for the rich so you might as well believe in Jesus he knew quite a bit about disasters

  5. https://robertscribbler.wordpress.com/2015/06/01/arctic-methane-alert-ramp-up-at-numerous-reporting-stations-shows-signature-of-an-amplifying-feedback/

    All this controversy aside, what we OBSERVE NOW is the following:

    1. Arctic methane and CO2 overburden — proxy indication of environmental release.
    2. Increasing rates of release, indications of increasing release, or possibly increasing release from single sources such as thermokarst lakes, peat bogs, wildfires, and sea bed hydrates and submerged tundra.
    3. A multiplication of observed or discovered methane release sources — thermokarst lakes, methane blow holes, wildfires etc.
    4. A ramping rate of atmospheric methane accumulation at reporting stations throughout the Arctic (most but not all stations).
    5. A ramping rate of atmospheric methane accumulation from global proxy monitors like Mauna Loa and in the global atmospheric average.

    Together, these observations represent a troubling trend that, should it continue, will be proceeding along or near a worst-case climate sensitivity track. As such, these new ramping rates of increase in Arctic atmospheric monitors are a very unfortunate indicator.

  6. Heat Wave Forecast For Russia Early June 2015
    Arctic News,
    1 June, 2015
    Following heat waves in Alaska and the north of Canada, the Arctic looks set to be hit by heat waves along the north coast of Russia in early June, 2015. The image below shows temperature anomalies at the top end of the scale for a large area of Russia forecast for June 6, 2015.

    http://robinwestenra.blogspot.co.nz/2015/06/a-heat-wave-for-russia.html

  7. http://www.monbiot.com/2015/05/27/a-prehistory-of-violence/

    According to a paper published in 2013, the current rate of ocean acidification, caused by the burning of fossil fuels, is faster than at any time in the past 300 million years. During the Permian mass extinction, the eruption of the Siberian Traps through the Tunguska basin seems to have produced between one and two gigatonnes of carbon dioxide a year. Today fossil fuel burning produces 30 gigatonnes a year.

    But its all good, we got kiwi Saver and ….. hope

    • Colonial Rawshark 8.1

      There’s always restarting the Cullen Fund

      And the bar on the Titanic is still serving cocktails to the First Class passengers; too early to be panicking

  8. Classic heat stroke during Chicago 1995 heat wave
    http://www.uchospitals.edu/news/1998/19980801-heatstroke-aim.html
    ICU patients from 1995 Chicago heat wave suffered long-term consequences
    August 1, 1998

    A study of patients admitted to intensive care units for heat stroke during the Chicago heat wave of July 1995 indicates that even the extraordinary level of weather-related mortality–more than 600 excess deaths in nine days–radically underestimates the real consequences of that episode.

    In addition to the pre-hospital deaths, nearly half of the patients admitted to Chicago-area ICUs for heat stroke died within a year–21 percent before discharge and another 28 percent after release from the hospital. Many of the survivors suffered permanent loss of independent function; one-third had severe functional impairment at discharge, and none of them had improved after one year.

    snip

    “In this unusual episode, we saw sicker patients with more severe disease than is customary. It taught us that classic heat stroke is a deadly disorder, more complex, more often fatal, and more permanently disabling than the literature on this disorder would predict. And it drove home the crucial importance of prevention and rapid diagnosis and treatment.”

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    We have some news on the upcoming War of the Rohirrim anime. It will apparently be two and a half hours in length, with Peter Jackson as Executive Producer, and Helm’s daughter Hera will be the main character. Also, pictures: The bloke in the middle picture is Freca’s ...
    4 days ago
  • Farmers get free pass on climate AND get subsidies
    The cows will keep burping and farting and climate change will keep accelerating - but farmers can stop worrying about being included in the ETS. Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāTL;DR: My six things to note in Aotearoa-NZ’s political economy around housing, climate and poverty on Wednesday, June 12 were:The ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    4 days ago
  • Six ideas to secure Te Huia’s Future
    This is a guest post by our friend Darren Davis. It originally appeared on his excellent blog, Adventures in Transitland, which features “musings about public transport and other cool stuff in Aotearoa/ New Zealand and around the globe.” With Te Huia now having funding secure through to 2026, now is ...
    Greater AucklandBy Darren Davis
    4 days ago
  • The methane waka sinks
    In some ways, there may be less than meets the eye to the Government announcement yesterday that the He Waka Eke Noa proposal for farmers to pay for greenhouse gas emissions has been scrapped. The spectre of farmers still having to pay at some point in the future remains. That, ...
    PolitikBy Richard Harman
    4 days ago
  • At a glance – Does positive feedback necessarily mean runaway warming?
    On February 14, 2023 we announced our Rebuttal Update Project. This included an ask for feedback about the added "At a glance" section in the updated basic rebuttal versions. This weekly blog post series highlights this new section of one of the updated basic rebuttal versions and serves as a ...
    5 days ago
  • Climate Change: Farmers get what they wanted – for now
    Since entering office, National has unravelled practically every climate policy, leaving us with no effective way of reducing emissions or meeting our emissions budgets beyond magical thinking around the ETS. And today they've announced another step: removing agriculture entirely. At present, following the complete failure of he waka eka noa, ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    5 days ago
  • Presumed Innocent?
    The blue billionaireDistraction no interactionOr movement outside these glazed over eyesThe new great divideFew fight the tide to be glorifiedBut will he be satisfied?Can we accept this without zoom?The elephant in the roomNot much happens in politics on a Monday. Bugger all in fact. Although yesterday Christopher Luxon found he ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    5 days ago
  • Gordon Campbell on our doomed love affair with oil and gas
    What if New Zealand threw a fossil fuel party, and nobody came? On the weekend, Resources Minister Shane Jones sent out the invitations and strung up the balloons, but will anyone really want to invest big time in resuming oil and gas exploration in our corner of the planet? Yes, ...
    WerewolfBy lyndon
    5 days ago
  • Building better housing insights
    This is a guest post by Meredith Dale, senior urban designer and strategist at The Urban Advisory. There’s a saying that goes something like: ‘what you measure is what you value’. An RNZ article last week claimed that Auckland was ‘hurting’ because of a more affordable supply of homes, particularly townhouses ...
    Greater AucklandBy Guest Post
    5 days ago
  • Putin would be proud of them
    A Prime Minister directs his public service to inquire into the actions of the opposition political party which is his harshest critic. Something from Orban's Hungary, or Putin's Russia? No, its happening right here in Aotearoa: Prime Minister Christopher Luxon has announced the Public Service Commission will launch an ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    6 days ago
  • Resources for debunking common solar and wind myths
    This is a repost from a Yale Climate Connections article by SueEllen Campbell published on June 3, 2024. The articles listed can help you tell fact from fiction when it comes to solar and wind energy. Some statements you hear about solar and wind energy are just plain false. ...
    6 days ago
  • Juggernaut
    Politics were going on all around us yesterday, and we barely noticed, rolling along canal paths, eating baguettes. It wasn’t until my mate got to the headlines last night that we learned there had been a dismayingly strong far right result in the EU elections and Macron had called a ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    6 days ago
  • Numbers Game.
    Respect Existence, Or Expect Resistance? There may well have been 50,000 pairs of feet “Marching For Nature” down Auckland’s Queen Street on Saturday afternoon, but the figure that impresses the Coalition Government is the 1,450,000 pairs of Auckland feet that were somewhere else.IN THE ERA OF DRONES and Artificial Intelligence, ...
    6 days ago
  • Media Link: AVFA on post-colonial blowback.
    Selwyn Manning and I discuss varieties of post colonial blowback and the implications its has for the rise of the Global South. Counties discussed include Palestine/Israel, France/New Caledonia, England/India, apartheid/post-apartheid South Africa and post-colonial New Zealand. It is a bit … Continue reading ...
    KiwipoliticoBy Pablo
    6 days ago
  • Policy by panic
    Back in March, Ombudsman Peter Boshier resigned when he hit the statutory retirement age of 72, leaving the country in the awkward (and legally questionable) position of having him continue as a temporay appointee. It apparently took the entire political system by surprise - as evinced by Labour's dick move ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    6 days ago
  • PSA: NZ's Richest Company, Zuru, Sucks
    Hi,Today the New Zealand press is breathlessly reporting that the owners of toy company Zuru are officially New Zealand’s wealthiest people: Mat and Nick Mowbray worth an estimated $20 billion between them.While the New Zealand press loses its shit celebrating this Kiwi success story, this is a Webworm reminder that ...
    David FarrierBy David Farrier
    6 days ago
  • Bernard's Dawn Chorus and pick 'n' mix for Monday, June 10
    TL;DR: The six things to note in Aotearoa-NZ’s political economy around housing, climate and poverty in the past day to 8:36 pm on Monday, June 10 were:20,000 protested against the Fast-track approval bill on Saturday in Auckland, but PM Christopher Luxon says ‘sorry, but not sorry’ about the need for ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    6 days ago
  • In Defence of Kāinga Ora
    Given the headlines around the recent findings of the ‘independent’ review of Kāinga Ora by Bill English, you might assume this post will be about social housing, Kāinga Ora’s most prominent role. While that is indeed something that requires defending, I want to talk about the other core purpose of ...
    Greater AucklandBy Connor Sharp
    6 days ago
  • Baby You're A Rich Man
    “How does it feel to beOne of the beautiful peopleNow that you know who you areWhat do you want to beAnd have you traveled very far?Far as the eye can see”Yesterday the ACT party faithful were regaled with craven boasts, sneers, and demands for even more at their annual rally.That ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    6 days ago
  • Stopping a future Labour government from shutting down gas exploration
    A defiant Resources Minister Shane Jones has responded to Saturday’s environmental protests by ending Labour’s offshore oil exploration ban and calling for long-term contracts with any successful explorers. The purpose would be to prevent a future Labour Government from reversing any licence the explorers might hold. Jones sees a precedent ...
    PolitikBy Richard Harman
    6 days ago
  • 2024 SkS Weekly Climate Change & Global Warming News Roundup #23
    A listing of 32 news and opinion articles we found interesting and shared on social media during the past week: Sun, June 2, 2024 thru Sat, June 8, 2024. Story of the week Our Story of the Week is Yale Climate Connection's Resources for debunking common solar and wind myths, by ...
    7 days ago
  • Fission by the river
    This is where we ate our lunch last Wednesday. Never mind your châteaux and castles and whatnot, we like to enjoy a baguette in the shadow of a nuclear power plant; a station that puts out more than twice as much as Manapouri using nothing more than tiny atoms to bring ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    1 week ago
  • Fact Brief – Is the ocean acidifying?
    Skeptical Science is partnering with Gigafact to produce fact briefs — bite-sized fact checks of trending claims. This fact brief was written by John Mason in collaboration with members from the Gigafact team. You can submit claims you think need checking via the tipline. Is the ocean acidifying? Acidification of oceans ...
    1 week ago
  • 20,000+ on Queen St.
    The largest protest I ever went on was in the mid 90s. There were 10,000 people there that day, and I’ve never forgotten it. An enormous mass of people, chanting together. Stretching block after block, bringing traffic to a halt.But I can’t say that’s the biggest protest I’ve ever been ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    1 week ago
  • Josh Drummond's Columns
    Hi there,I wanted to put all of Josh Drummond’s Webworm pieces all in one place. I love that he writes for Webworm — and all of these are a good read!David.Why Are So Many “Christians” Hellbent on Being Horrible?Why do so many objectively hideous people declare themselves “Christian”?Meeting the Master ...
    David FarrierBy David Farrier
    1 week ago
  • Bernard’s Saturday soliloquy and weekend Pick ‘n’ Mix for June 8/9
    Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāTL;DR: On reflection, the six things to note in Aotearoa-NZ’s political economy around housing, climate and poverty this week were:The Government-driven freeze in building new classrooms, local roads and water networks in order to save cash for tax cuts is frustrating communities facing massive population ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    1 week ago
  • The no-vision thing
    Hello! Here comes the Saturday edition of More Than A Feilding, catching you up on the past somewhat interrupted week. Still on the move!Share Read more ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    1 week ago
  • When Journalists are Disingenuous
    Hi,One of the things I like the most about Webworm is to be able to break down the media and journalism a little, and go behind the scenes.This is one of those times.Yesterday an email arrived in my inbox from journalist Jonathan Milne, who is managing editor at Newsroom.I don’t ...
    David FarrierBy David Farrier
    1 week ago
  • Me, elsewhere: Just say you’ll do the thing
    Wrote something over at 1/200 on a familiar theme of mine: The way we frame the economy as a separate, sacred force which must be sacrificed to, the way we talk about criminals as invaders who must be repelled, the constant othering of people on the benefit, people not in ...
    Boots TheoryBy Stephanie Rodgers
    1 week ago
  • A Voyage Among the Vandals: Accepted
    A nice bit of news today: my 4600-word historical fantasy-horror piece, A Voyage Among the Vandals, has been accepted by Phobica Books (https://www.phobicabooks.co.uk/books) for their upcoming Pirate Horror anthology, Shivering Timbers. This one is set in the Mediterranean, during the mid-fifth century AD. Notable for having one of history’s designated ...
    1 week ago
  • Ministerial conflicts of interest
    Since the National government came to power, it has been surrounded by allegations of conflicts of interest. Firstly, there's the fast-track law, which concentrates power in the hands of three Ministers, some of whom have received donations from companies whose projects they will be deciding on. Secondly, there's the close ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • The 2024 Budget Forecasts Are Gloomy Prognosis About The Next Three Years.
    There was no less razzamatazz about the 2024 Budget than about earlier ones. Once again the underlying economic analysis got lost. It deserves more attention.Just to remind you, the Budget Economic and Fiscal Update (BEFU), is the Treasury’s independent assessment and so can be analysed by other competent economists (although ...
    PunditBy Brian Easton
    1 week ago
  • A government that can't see twenty feet ahead
    There are two failings that consistently characterise a National government. One is a lack of imagination, the other is their willingness to look after their mates, no matter what harm it might do to everyone else.This is how we come to have thousands of enormous trucks carving up our roads. ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    1 week ago
  • A post I hope is incorrect
    In May, we learned that National MP David MacLeod had "forgotten" to declare $178,000 in electoral donations. Filing a donation return which is false in any material particular is a crime, and the Electoral Commission has now referred MacLeod to police, since they're the only people who are allowed to ...
    No Right TurnBy Idiot/Savant
    1 week ago
  • Māori Cannot Re-Write New Zealand’s Constitution By Stealth.
    The Kotahitanga Parliament 1897: A Māori Parliament – at least in the guise of a large and representative body dedicated to describing the shape of New Zealand’s future from a Māori perspective – would be a very good idea.THE DEMAND for a “Māori Parliament” needs to be carefully unpicked. Some Pakeha, ...
    1 week ago
  • Cowpats and Colonials.
    Dumbtown, is how my friend Gerard refers to people like ZB listeners - he’s not wrong.Normally on a Friday I start by looking at Mike Hosking’s moronic reckons of the week which he vomits down the throats of his audience like helpless baby birds in a nest, grateful for the ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    1 week ago
  • Gordon Campbell on cutting the sick leave of vulnerable workers
    Should sick leave be part and parcel of the working conditions from Day One on the job, just like every other health and safety provision? Or should access to sick leave be something that only gradually accumulates, depending on how long a worker has been on the payroll? If enacted ...
    WerewolfBy lyndon
    1 week ago
  • Nobody Move: Ageing Boomers, Laurie & Les, Talk Politics.
    So long as we live in a democracy, economic policy can never be anything other than social-democratic.“HEH!”, snorted Laurie, as he waved his debit card over the EFTPOS machine. “Same price as last week. I guess budgets aren’t what they used to be.”“I wouldn’t know,” replied the young barman, wearily, ...
    1 week ago
  • In Search Of Unity.
    Kotahitanga: New Zealand’s future belongs to those who do not fear a nation carved out of unity and solidarity, and are willing to trust the carvers. Some New Zealanders will be required to step up, and others, perhaps for the first time in their lives, will be expected to step ...
    1 week ago
  • Weekly Roundup 7-June-2024
    Welcome to another Friday roundup! Here are some recent links and stories that caught our eye, perfectly timed for your watercooler discussions and weekend reading. As always feel free to share more in the comments. Our header image this week is by Patrick Reynolds, and shows Te Komititanga from above. ...
    Greater AucklandBy Greater Auckland
    1 week ago
  • The Hoon around the week to June 7
    As Workplace Relations and Safety Minister, ACT’s Brooke van Velden is fronting proposed changes to sick pay regulations and The Holiday Act. Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāTL;DR: The podcast above of the weekly ‘hoon’ webinar for paying subscribers features talking with:The Kākā’s climate correspondent talking about the ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    1 week ago
  • Did we boil the oceans by cutting pollution?
    Lowering aerosol emissions from shipping has altered clouds, with potentially drastic effects. Photo: Getty ImagesTL;DR: Here’s the top six news items of note in climate news for Aotearoa-NZ this week, and a discussion above between Bernard Hickey and The Kākā’s climate correspondent Cathrine Dyer:New evidence is increasingly pointing at efforts ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    1 week ago
  • Skeptical Science New Research for Week #23 2024
    Open access notables Abrupt reduction in shipping emission as an inadvertent geoengineering termination shock produces substantial radiative warming, Yuan et al., Communications Earth & Environment: Human activities affect the Earth’s climate through modifying the composition of the atmosphere, which then creates radiative forcing that drives climate change. The warming effect ...
    1 week ago
  • Fragments
    The best observation I’ve read this week about the deep, profound harm Trump is doingTrump has hurled threats and smears at witnesses, jurors and the judge (including his family)... [he] has tried to intimidate witnesses and delegitimize the New York courts as corrupt. In continuing to incite his mob (that ...
    More Than A FeildingBy David Slack
    1 week ago
  • March for Nature
    Do do do do do do do doDo do do do do doDi di di di di di di di di di diNature enter me…In 2018 the Labour lead government banned new oil and gas exploration in Aotearoa. A change welcomed by those who care deeply for our environment and ...
    Nick’s KōreroBy Nick Rockel
    1 week ago
  • Bernard’s Dawn Chorus and pick ‘n’ mix for Thursday, June 6
    The Transport Minister is trying to push through urgent legislation that would allow him to change emissions standards for car imports without approval from Parliament, after only consulting car importers. Photo: Lynn GrievesonTL;DR: Just as two major reports showed fossil fuel burning was warming the planet to dangerous levels and ...
    The KakaBy Bernard Hickey
    1 week ago
  • A Better Broadway: Act 2
    This is a guest post by reader Grant A, the second of a pair about how to fix Broadway. If you missed the beginning of the show, here’s the link to Act 1 from yesterday. Yesterday, I discussed changing traffic circulation around Broadway in Newmarket. This included implementing a car-free ...
    Greater AucklandBy Guest Post
    1 week ago

  • High Court Judge appointed
    Attorney-General Judith Collins today announced the appointment of Auckland King’s Counsel Gregory Peter Blanchard as a High Court Judge. Justice Blanchard attended the University of Auckland from 1991 to 1995, graduating with an LLB (Honours) and Bachelor of Arts (English). He was a solicitor with the firm that is now Dentons ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Health workforce numbers rise
    Health Minister Dr Shane Reti says new data released today shows encouraging growth in the health workforce, with a continued increase in the numbers of doctors, nurses and midwives joining Health New Zealand. “Frontline healthcare workers are the beating heart of the healthcare system. Increasing and retaining our health workforce ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Government to overhaul firearms laws
    Associate Justice Minister Nicole McKee has today announced a comprehensive programme to reform New Zealand's outdated and complicated firearms laws. “The Arms Act has been in place for over 40 years. It has been amended several times – in a piecemeal, and sometimes rushed way. This has resulted in outdated ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Government delivers landmark specialist schools investment
    The coalition Government is delivering record levels of targeted investment in specialist schools so children with additional needs can thrive. As part of Budget 24, $89 million has been ringfenced to redevelop specialist facilities and increase satellite classrooms for students with high needs. This includes: $63 million in depreciation funding ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Major health and safety consultation begins
    A substantial consultation on work health and safety will begin today with a roadshow across the regions over the coming months, says Workplace Relations and Safety Minister Brooke van Velden.  This the first step to deliver on the commitment to reforming health and safety law and regulations, set out in ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Growing the potential of New Zealand’s forestry sector in partnership
    Forestry Minister Todd McClay, today announced the start of the Government’s plan to restore certainty and confidence in the forestry and wood processing sector. “This government will drive investment to unlock the industry’s economic potential for growth,” Mr McClay says. “Forestry’s success is critical to rebuilding New Zealand’s economy, boosting ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Government cancels forestry ETS annual service charges for 2023-24
    Annual service charges in the forestry Emissions Trading Scheme (ETS) will be cancelled for 2023/24, Forestry Minister Todd McClay says. “The sector has told me the costs imposed on forestry owners by the previous government were excessive and unreasonable and I agree,” Mr McClay says. “They have said that there ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Speech to the LGNZ Infrastructure Symposium
    Introduction Thank you for having me here today and welcome to Wellington, the home of the Hurricanes, the next Super Rugby champions. Infrastructure – the challenge This government has inherited a series of big challenges in infrastructure. I don’t need to tell an audience as smart as this one that ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    2 days ago
  • Government boosts Agriculture and food trade with China
    Trade and Agriculture Minister Todd McClay and Food Safety Minister Andrew Hoggard welcomed outcomes to boost agricultural and food trade between New Zealand and China. A number of documents were signed today at Government House that will improve the business environment between New Zealand and China, and help reduce barriers, including on infant formula ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • NZ and China launch Services Trade Negotiations
    Trade Minister Todd McClay, and China’s Commerce Minister Wang Wentao, today announced the official launch of Negotiations on Services Trade between the two countries.  “The Government is focused on opening doors for services exporters to grow the New Zealand’s economy,” Mr McClay says.  As part of the 2022 New Zealand-China Free Trade Agreement Upgrade ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Prime Minister Luxon meets with Premier Li
    Prime Minister Christopher Luxon met with Chinese Premier Li Qiang at Government House in Wellington today.  “I was pleased to welcome Premier Li to Wellington for his first official visit, which marks 10 years since New Zealand and China established a Comprehensive Strategic Partnership,” Mr Luxon says. “The Premier and ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Government and business tackling gender pay gap
    The coalition Government is taking action to reduce the gender pay gap in New Zealand through the development of a voluntary calculation tool. “Gender pay gaps have impacted women for decades, which is why we need to continue to drive change in New Zealand,” Acting Minister for Women Louise Upston ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Funding Boost for Rural Support Trusts
    The coalition Government is boosting funding for Rural Support Trusts to provide more help to farmers and growers under pressure, Rural Communities Minister Mark Patterson announced today. “A strong and thriving agricultural sector is crucial to the New Zealand economy and one of the ways to support it is to ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Latest data shows size of public service decreasing
    Spending on contractors and consultants continues to fall and the size of the Public Service workforce has started to decrease after years of growth, according to the latest data released today by the Public Service Commission. Workforce data for the quarter from 31 December 23 to 31 March 24 shows ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Speech to the Law Association
    Thank you to the Law Association for inviting me to speak this morning. As a former president under its previous name — the Auckland District Law Society — I take particular satisfaction in seeing this organisation, and its members, in such good heart. As Attorney-General, I am grateful for these ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • 25 years on, NZ reaffirms enduring friendship with Timor Leste
    New Zealand is committed to working closely with Timor-Leste to support its prosperity and resilience, Foreign Minister Winston Peters says.   “This year is the 25th anniversary of New Zealand sending peacekeepers to Timor-Leste, who contributed to the country’s stabilisation and ultimately its independence,” Mr Peters says.    “A quarter ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Inquiry requested into rural banking
    Promoting robust competition in the banking sector is vital to rebuilding the economy, Finance Minister Nicola Willis says.  “New Zealanders deserve a banking sector that is as competitive as possible. Banking services play an important role in our communities and in the economy. Kiwis rely on access to lending when ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Ministry for Regulation targets red tape to keep farmers and growers competitive
    Regulation Minister David Seymour, Environment Minister Penny Simmonds, and Food Safety Minister Andrew Hoggard have today announced a regulatory sector review on the approval process for new agricultural and horticultural products.    “Red tape stops farmers and growers from getting access to products that have been approved by other OECD countries. ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Government to reverse blanket speed limit reductions
    The Coalition Government will reverse Labour’s blanket speed limit reductions by 1 July 2025 through a new Land Transport Rule released for public consultation today, Transport Minister Simeon Brown says.  The draft speed limit rule will deliver on the National-ACT coalition commitment to reverse the previous government’s blanket speed limit ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Chair appointments for NZSO, CNZ and NZ On Air
    Minister Paul Goldsmith is making major leadership changes within both his Arts and Media portfolios. “I am delighted to announce Carmel Walsh will be officially stepping into the role of Chair of the New Zealand Symphony Orchestra, having been acting Chair since April,” Arts Minister Paul Goldsmith says.  “Carmel is ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Government focus on long-term food, fibre growth
    Food and fibre export revenue is tipped to reach $54.6 billion this year and hit a record $66.6b in 2028 as the Government focuses on getting better access to markets and cutting red tape, Agriculture Minister Todd McClay and Oceans and Fisheries Minister Shane Jones say. “This achievement is testament ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    3 days ago
  • Govt consulting on cutting red tape for exporters
    A new export exemption proposal for food businesses demonstrates the coalition Government’s commitment to reducing regulatory barriers for industry and increasing the value of New Zealand exports, which gets safe New Zealand food to more markets, says Food Safety Minister Andrew Hoggard.  “The coalition Government has listened to the concerns ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    4 days ago
  • New Zealand and Philippines elevating relationship
    New Zealand and Philippines are continuing to elevate our relationship, Foreign Minister Winston Peters says.   “The leaders of New Zealand and Philippines agreed in April 2024 to lift our relationship to a Comprehensive Partnership by 2026,” Mr Peters says. “Our visit to Manila this week has been an excellent ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Paid Parental Leave increase to help families
    Workplace Relations and Safety Minister, Brooke van Velden says paid parental leave increase from 1 July will put more money in the pockets of Kiwi parents and give them extra support as they take precious time off to bond with their newborns. The increase takes effect from 1 July 2024 ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Defence increases UN Command commitment
    The number of New Zealand Defence Force (NZDF) personnel deployed to the Republic of Korea is increasing, Defence Minister Judith Collins and Foreign Minister Winston Peters announced today.  NZDF will deploy up to 41 additional personnel to the Republic of Korea, increasing the size of its contribution to the United ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • New Zealand to attend 'Summit on Peace in Ukraine' in Switzerland
    New Zealand will be represented at the Summit on Peace in Ukraine by Minister Mark Mitchell in Switzerland later this week.    “New Zealand strongly supports Ukraine’s efforts to build a comprehensive, just, and lasting peace,” Foreign Minister Winston Peters says.   “Minister Mitchell is a senior Cabinet Minister and ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Big step forward for M.bovis programme
    Farmers’ hard work is paying off in the fight against Mycoplasma bovis (M. bovis) with the move to a national pest management plan marking strong progress in the eradication effort, says Biosecurity Minister Andrew Hoggard.  “The plan, approved by the Coalition Government, was proposed by the programme partners DairyNZ, Beef ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Build To Rent opening welcomed by Housing Minister
    Prime Minister Christopher Luxon and Housing Minister Chris Bishop formally opened a new Build to Rent development in Mt Wellington this morning. “The Prime Minister and I were honoured to cut the ribbon of Resido, New Zealand’s largest Build to Rent development to date.  “Build to Rent housing, like the ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Agriculture to come out of the ETS
    The Government will deliver on its election commitment to take agriculture out of the New Zealand Emissions Trading Scheme (NZ ETS) and will establish a new Pastoral Sector Group to constructively tackle biogenic methane, Coalition Government Agriculture and Climate Change Ministers say. Agriculture Minister Todd McClay says New Zealand farmers ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    5 days ago
  • Luxon Tokyo-bound for political and business visit
    Prime Minister Christopher Luxon will travel to Japan from 16-20 June, his first visit as Prime Minister.   “Japan is incredibly important to New Zealand's prosperity. It is the world’s fourth largest economy, and our fourth largest export destination.  “As you know, growing the economy is my number one priority. A strong economy means ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • Bayly travels to Singapore for scam prevention meetings
    Minister of Commerce and Consumer Affairs, Andrew Bayly, travels to Singapore today to attend scam and fraud prevention meetings. “Scams are a growing international problem, and we are not immune in New Zealand. Organised criminal networks operate across borders, and we need to work with our Asia-Pacific partners to tackle ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    6 days ago
  • More help for homeowners impacted by severe weather
    People who were displaced by severe weather events in 2022 and 2023 will be supported by the extension of Temporary Accommodation Assistance through to 30 June 2025. Social Development and Employment Minister Louise Upston says the coalition Government is continuing to help to those who were forced out of their ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Government to reverse oil and gas exploration ban
    Removing the ban on petroleum exploration beyond onshore Taranaki is part of a suite of proposed amendments to the Crown Minerals Act to deal with the energy security challenges posed by rapidly declining natural gas reserves, Resources Minister Shane Jones says. “Natural gas is critical to keeping our lights on ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • New Zealand and Malaysia to intensify connections
    New Zealand and Malaysia intend to intensify their long-standing, deep connections, Foreign Minister Winston Peters says.    “Malaysia is one of New Zealand’s oldest friends in South-East Asia – and both countries intend to get more out of the relationship," Mr Peters says.   "Our connections already run deep and ...
    BeehiveBy beehive.govt.nz
    1 week ago
  • Ending contracted emergency housing motels in Rotorua
    The end of Contracted Emergency Housing (CEH) motels in Rotorua is nearing another milestone as the Ministry of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) announces it will not renew consents for six of the original 13 motels, Associate Housing Minister Tama Potaka says. The government is committed to stop using CEH ...
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