What part of supply and demand does our coalition govt not understand?? It has tripled the housing problem since taking office:
The waitlist for public housing hit a new record in May, with close to 18,000 eligible households waiting for a state or community home. Of the 17,982 households waiting over 16,000 were “Priority A” – meaning they had been identified as being in urgent need. The waitlist has ballooned in recent years, trebling from the 5844 households on the waitlist when the current Government was elected in September 2017. https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/politics/300050573/waitlist-for-public-housing-hits-new-record-as-coronavirus-economic-crash-bites
This is a classic case of left/right collusion, and organised whining from both sides in an attempt to distract the public just makes Labour/National irresponsibility more evident. Commentators here may even figure it out. Eventually. Clue:
What part of "let's keep moving" in the wrong direction don't Labour folk understand?? When you import three or four times as many people as the number waiting for a house to live in, you make the problem three or four times worse. Government MPs will require remedial courses in primary school arithmetic to work this out! 🤢
I am willing to bet, amongst the landlord politicians, there is nothing wrong with their maths when it comes to: rental income, tax write-offs, interest rate %….
Do we believe in ghosts? They have plenty of dwellings going spare.
Much simpler would have been TOP's CCT that ensures all assets are taxed at a certain minimum rate on an annual basis. It might not fully eliminate the problem of ghost houses, but it would certainly increase the incentive to balance the cash flow by ensuring the home was occupied.
That's true enough, although without those fixed costs there might also be a lot more empty houses.
The way a CCT works though is well adapted to this problem. Take your average $1m Auckland house. It would be deemed to have a 'risk free rate of return' of 3% or $30,000 pa income that would be treated as an imputed income, and bundled into the owners total tax position even if they earned no income from the house.
If however the property earned the same $30,000 as real income from a tenant, then none of the CCT would apply, the real income would be taxed instead. There's a pretty powerful psychological incentive at work too.
I have to think a CCT would move the needle in the right direction, even if it only halved the number of ghost houses, this would still be a good thing.
How do you propose stopping Kiwis returning to NZ? Apparently, there are about one million waiting to hop on the plane back home. That will screw up any plan trying to deal with ‘demand & supply’. The problem with this ‘debate’ is that people seem to assume that net migration is mostly driven by people from ‘India, Pakistan, or Korea’. Those people should vote National or NZF, the parties for the un-thinking.
I wouldn't stop them. You make a fair point. Does our stats dept publish separate numbers for returning kiwis? If so, we can quantify the proportional effect. I cited the past couple of years because it constitutes most of the period that the coalition was enacting its housing policy. Those figures allow us to contrast the appearance of solving the problem with the appearance of immigration stats making it worse…
So, National via new spokesperson, Nicola Willis has told us that they were wrong to sell state housing during their last term in government.
Is this the beginning of a blood-letting purge of the stupidity of that nine year shameful shambles?
Is this the result of Paula Bennett's resignation and consequent reallocation of portfolios with Muller's accession?
Is this a tacit admission by National that it can't win in 2020 and instead is flensing, sloughing off and discarding all that dross of poor management and policy?
Problem is, it's still the same people just moved up the ladder a little as others got pushed off.
Where's the philosophic, spiritual and psychic renewal they need? From the religious right?
They need a good penitential progress, with flagellation and the tolling of beads………..
RNZ news item at 8 am today. News item with Willis also speaking. "We were wrong". She wants to continue building state houses, rather than let the numbers actually decline, as they did. She has tacitly admitted that current government policy to build up housing stock is a correct policy.
Willis admits the nats were wrong to sell state houses but thinks we're better to go back to them because they'll now build more state houses. Unbelievable, Nicola, just unbelievable.
Ms Willis sounds like she preloaded on coffee for this interview. She lies by omission several times, and is plain wrong on other points. Salvation Army and other social agencies would not touch Nationals flogged off state houses with the proverbial.
More people are on the waiting list now because they see a possible chance of securing a home with the Labour Govt. whereas National was on a “defund–run down–sell off” strategy regarding state housing.
Salvation Army's discussion's with Key's government fell over because they couldn't reach a deal – good result but was disappointing the discussions took place at all.
What did happen was that the filthy rich and despicably corporate community organisation called IHC stepped in, under its disguise 'Accessible Housing', and bought a whole stack of state houses. Price for IHC is no barrier because they're loaded. They then got to work kicking tenants out they didn't like to make way for their grandiois plans of dominating the disability housing sector with the aim of fattening its ill-gained coffers even more.
IHC operate under the “Idea Services” name in my area, and they are not great employers or service providers. Given that they substantially run on taxpayer funding they should be more accountable.
Idea Services, like Accessible Housing, are companies wholly owned by the overarching incorporated society IHC. The law reports are littered with employment dispute cases. Their hands are filthy.
IMO, the whole point, from some politicians view, of having a private outfit run on taxpayers money is so that they aren't accountable. Much easier to fleece the taxpayer that way.
Can we send her a list of all the other things Nact should not have done so that she can do a bulk apology and reset. BTW does John Key have much influence over the current nat management of Todd & Nikki?
It appears from the Stats March 2020 figures quoted by Dennis that offshore NZers reacted earlier than previously assumed to the threat of Covid and started coming back well before lockdown and resident NZers changed their minds about leaving equally early. Maybe we are more intelligent and aware than we give ourselves credit for. Of course the evidence that this is true is our reaction to the compliance with lockdown compared to just about every other country in the world.
There may be some real basis for your reasoning but seems to me it would only account for a small proportion of the whole. The stats I cited go back to March 2018 which was early in their term, eh?
I just had a look: “migrant arrivals in the March 2020 year, New Zealand citizens were the largest group with 42,800 (± 800) arrivals… For migrant departures in the March 2020 year, New Zealand citizens were the largest group with 35,700 (± 600) departures.”
So net returning kiwis around 7,000, about 10% of net incoming migrants the past year…
You have to add the pressure from 300 000 temporary visa holders and 3 million tourist arrivals to that mix also. Examplified by the addition of former air b and b's to the available housing stock.
Reply to Mac1:
Discarding the poor management and policy? So, let me think about that.
They had the genius of Key and English and Joyce, et al, wizards of the age (not to mention Nick Smith, chuckle) and their grand Comprehensive Housing Plan. Turns out that was shit.
Now they have the A Team, made up largely of flunkies from the last lot (not to mention Nick S) who have The Answers and I am to believe and trust them.
She was part of the renewal flouted with Bridges standing meaningfully grouped in the corridors of power. She is right to abjure the previous policy, of course. National's problem is partly that it is factionalised, and a sizeable contingent of illiberal and rural men competes with a group of liberals including some women like Willis. No way because the will to change properly is not there in the broader party.
Lprent summed it up very well in a post yesterday talking about middle management style and practice- there is little room in National for expansive and coherent long term thinking and planning.
I talked about this with the tradesman working here. I mentioned the middle management style of some firms like Fonterra whose practice was to delay bill paying to creditors when in business.
Surely a bit harsh with 'limited men of limited vision and goals.' The vision's there, about that trade being their road to the bigger bach, bigger car, more expensive house. Bugger about the holiday in Hawaii this year.
Mammon, Peter, Mammon. The vision itself is limiting. It's not only what they envision, it's that the vision limits their possible understanding that there is more than their own greed.
A person looking down a telescope of course has good vision; but of what, of how much, since so much is unseen?
Central to the pamphlet’s argument are two contentious claims: first that border restrictions are likely doomed to fail as a pandemic-busting strategy, and second that long-lasting border rules of the current form are economically unsustainable. Here is where a genuine conversation might start, if indeed the authors were serious about it.
On the first point, the pamphlet says simply “at what point will New Zealanders accept less than absolute elimination? Such a goal is likely unrealistic over a long term”. That’s the full extent of argument offered. Yet elsewhere the authors acknowledge absolute elimination is possible if "we are prepared to continue aggressive and foolproof testing and quarantine at the border for a long time". So having Covid-19 reintroduced into the community at a "predetermined very low level" is a choice, not destiny.
Something these 're-open the border' calls seem to ignore is the strong likelihood of some sort of vaccine or treatment or prophylaxis getting developed in a very short time period from now. The current situation of the disease continuing at unacceptably high levels overseas making our strict border controls the right answer is unlikely to be the new normal.
So a bit of patience to see what plays out is in order here, rather than a rush to take on a lot of risk for the sake of a few benefits flowing mostly to the already-privileged parts of our society.
Considering that young adults in the USA have deemed it more important to party than protect their community, I'm punting that they'll head to the worst case outcome … more than 200m cases and 1 -2m deaths. Not to mention tens of millions with long term complications. Combine this with an election that has no good outcomes on offer, a generation determined to have a social justice revolution and anything could happen.
That will take the USA offline from a global perspective for around a decade; and what happens next is unlikely to be pretty. We are heading into dangerous territory and the correct response is caution and watchfulness; we may have to adapt to some bad surprises very quickly.
Events here in Australia are alarming, it looks like Victoria is close to loosing control and the first new cases arrived in NSW this morning. This astonishingly adapted virus exploits every possible weakness in our defenses.
I'm punting that they'll head to the worst case outcome … more than 200m cases and 1 -2m deaths.
Perhaps it'll wake them up to the failure that is capitalism and individualism. After all, if they'd acted as a community rather than warring tribes, things wouldn't have gotten so bad.
Don't rely on any promises of a vaccine. It appears that the only survivors of Covid that have longer lasting antibodies are the ones that got near lethal doses of the disease, it therefore follows that possibly any vaccine to be effective will have to induce a very strong reaction to the dose. Polio as I recall had the same problems and in fact my father and sister had quite severe reactions to it with high fevers and feeling dreadful for a few days. Admittedly that was over 60 years ago and I'm sure the technology has improved but if it is the case that I'm even half right the anti-vaxxers and the chattering classes will quickly undermine any effective rollout.
My bet is that there may have to rely on a treatment rather than an effective vaccine.
The death rates and immunity are two different things. The first was allegedly caused by poor management and exposure of vulnerable people. The second may be induced by exposure of invulnerable people. Given that nobody really knows how an individual might respond to infection it seems prudent to limit exposure to anyone even if they have no known risk factors.
Wearing a mask in NZ now won't do any harm, and may give you a bit of protection from catching colds and flu. Plus, people won't think you're weird like they might have three months ago.
But for now, COVID had been eliminated within NZ (all current known cases have been detected in isolation facilities and the patients kept in quarantine) so COVID is just not a concern for anyone going about their daily business here.
Thanks Andre. I have been going around trustingly, but there is so much to think about without Covid that I am wondering if I should make an effort and not get all relaxed but keep a level of wariness.
And it gets out and about so readily, looking at Victoria, NSW. Here we only have to get a maddened National party-animal roaming the streets and who knows who it would affect. May have to be brought down with a tranquiliser dart full of spirulina juice before it bit someone.
This should be the end of the open plan, hot desking office hopefully.
At the bottom end the chairs and screens need massive readjusting each time and at the top end I've seen close to bare knuckle fights from some who didn't want to be near certain individuals (even though they carried nothing infectious.
Back when the polio vaccine was being developed, the only real options were killed or weakened viruses. Now there's a whole lot of other options – of the 17 candidates that wikipedia lists as already in human trials, only three are based on inactivated virus, and none on weakened virus.
It is indeed possible that idiot anti-vaxxers will hinder the uptake of a potential vaccine. After all, idiot anti-vaxxers basically killed the rollout of a vaccine against Lyme disease. But the impact of COVID is so substantial I suspect that if an effective vaccine actually gets developed, idiot anti-vaxxers will be more nuisance than real obstacle.
Here's a useful quick summary of the current state of COVID vaccine development.
The big open question at the moment is whether anyone anywhere will take a step into the ethical minefield of doing challenge trials, where vaccinated volunteers are deliberated exposed to the disease. As opposed to the usual method of simply following the vaccine trial participants to see how many get infected just going about their lives. Getting data the usual way for a disease that's still as rare as COVID still is would take fkn forever, so there's quite a lot of pressure to go to challenge trials.
But in any case, to be useful to the point of enabling the resumption of trade and tourism, a vaccine or treatment or prophylaxis doesn't have to be completely effective. The existence of modestly effective prophylaxis against malaria makes tourism to tropical areas feasible. Even though quite a few tourists still get malaria, the prophylaxis knocks the risk down to acceptably low levels, and takes a bit of an edge off the disease for most of those who do get it making treatment and recovery easier and faster.
So if a vaccine and/or treatment and/or prophylaxis simply reduced the effects of COVID down to the level of being just like a bad flu, that would be enough for resumption of a lot of what is on hold right now.
Influenza spreads around the world in yearly outbreaks, resulting in about three to five million cases of severe illness and about 290,000 to 650,000 deaths.
Your prophylaxis will make it so that fewer will die but some still will. Still, it may be low enough for business as usual to make a profit.
The point being that's it's not necessary to reduce the risk to effectively zero – in fact it would be foolish to expect that. What is needed is to reduce the risks and harms to a level a bit lower than we routinely accept for other health issues. If we get a further reduction in risk and harm at negligible extra cost – bonus!
Too often we as a society hold ourselves back and impose silly costs on ourselves by requiring extremely stringent risk and harm reduction in one area, while being astonishingly lax in other broadly similar areas. GMOs being a case in point where we have effectively banned them here while allowing mutation-bred organisms with barely a batted eyelid.
That's the easy answer for NZers wanting to travel overseas. The tougher question is protecting NZers from overseas people that want to visit here.
Hypothetically, if a vaccine is developed, we could require proof of vaccination before allowing entry, as some countries still do for yellow fever vaccination and some used to require for cholera. Even though the cholera vaccine was fairly low effectiveness (60%ish) and didn't last long (a couple of years).
Another Twyford stuff up, hiring health economists to do a complex logistics/transport analysis.
As if it not enough the idiotic Twyford stuffed up Auckland Light Rail and Kiwibuild, the PM allows him to continue and waste yet more money on inappropriate reports that go nowhere. I guess the $2M wasted is not real money though, just taxpayers money.
Even a retarded chipmunk could see that using Manakau Harbour is a non starter.
With Twyford, Kelvin Davis and that other idiot Lees-Galloway still there, I think Labour will struggle in September.
Browns report was biased in favour of Northland simply because he had vested interests there being an elected official and therefore it skirted over the other possibilities.
If the Government had taken Browns report as verbatim it would be accused of not looking at other options, so Twyford did do the right thing to get another opinion.
I think Northport is the only one that makes sense though.
Agree re Browns bias and need for a second report, but Health Economists to study a complex and long term logistics policy?
The inadequacies of the consultants for the role handled to them is pretty obvious. Manakau is never going to be a starter, due to shallowness, bar and shifting sands and environmental impact, access for road and rail and so on.
The report quoted was, for all but one paragraph, an attack based on Brown's opinions. He of course has expertise in the matter but it is his report that is being criticised for not reporting on all options.
There is, in this whole report, one paragraph which gives the view of the government.
It is this.
"However, Finance Minister Grant Robertson and Transport Minister Phil Twyford approved $2m for another report after stating Brown's study had left unanswered questions about alternatives."
Alternatives plural, note. Brown's report was incomplete, they say. Let's see the entire picture, they say.
Imagine this scenario. "Government goes ahead on plans for new port based on incomplete report".
The article is another attempted 'gotcha' piece, and has little objectivity in putting government's point of view.
Did the reporter read any report, discuss with Robertson, before pronouncing?
He acknowledged that Twyford was unavailable for comment and that Goff was not well informed enough to comment.
So we get an attack piece because reporter could not wait for more complete information.
I'd say that we all could have waited a short time for more informed comment than a reportedly '’grumpy’ writer of a rejected first report.
Hey Peter, since you're happy to criticize ministers for actively trying to make improvements, I was interested in your opinion on on the Christchurch rebuild, and how competent the then Govt was rebuilding the city, I've certainly seen many comments myself, none portrays a competent Govt response, so. what's your view since your so quick to critisise other ministers for attempting to be Thourough.
"Hey Peter, since you're happy to criticize ministers for actively trying to make improvements,………"
Sorry to say @ Just Is, but I'd pick you up on the first part – i.e. the "actively trying to make improvements"
More like a Minister that's a damn sight better than anything the gNatz might dream up BUT deciding the easiest option is to kick the can down the road a teeny weenie bit further and call for another report.
Come on …………. ffs. Even the shipping companies are saying that getting insurance if this sort of diversionary shit goes ahead will be difficult.
Probably the only thing Manukau might be good for is shipping cement from the SI West Coast – but oops – that's right, they even did away with that.
The rebuild by the then government was ok. The CCC effort has not been.
And you think it is somehow wrong to criticize lame duck Ministers like Davis, Lee's Galloway, Twyford and Clark? So you think it should be government by a flag, whether blue or red, rather than competency?
Peter, I shifted your comment about charities out of the front end, because it was borderline whether it might cause legal problems for the people that own TS and I wanted other authors to take a look at it.
You may have meant Peter chch. I praise all Ministers (including the Prime one) doing their homework. I mean it's essential. They could do everything the CasinoKeyJoyce way.
However, you look at a map to the Auckland region and see the Manukau Harbour and say, "That could the the major port of Auckland." Then you look at history, topography, geography and reality and say, "but that would be the most bloody insane idea in ever come up with."
Do we know who commissioned the first report (Brown's), and why that report came back 'incomplete'?
If that's down to Twyford too then the whole thing is a cluster-f like Kiwibuild and light rail. Too much of what he does is controversial and that's just in the procurement phase. What's with this ambushing of process which has happened with Infratil and light rail, and now two competing reports for a new port?
Twyford gets these reports done but hasn't told anyone the overall vision!
I thought you were supposed to have a vision and framework about what you wanted to achieve, then get a report which looked at all the options within that framework, and then vote on the best one.
Twyford seems to haven no idea what is best practice on how to make a decision. Perhaps after Kiwibuild he's scared of pulling the trigger. If so, have to get rid of him and Chippie can do it.
Christ! There goes that "best practice" again. That was trotted out this morning by Worksafe – who in their defense as to questioning over their inability to investigate complete bloody fuckups said: "It's best practice".
I'd hate to think what a bloody shambles would be like. But then again, in the absence of a Minister interested in supporting investigative journalism, I guess the next best thing is for the dispossessed to resort to PR spin. And prostitution is after all legal – unless of course you're a stuck immigrant trying to feed yourself and wondering what's going to happen with the next visa application at great cost.
I was asked to appear last night on Te Ao with Moana on Maori TV to discuss the rising phenomena of the NZ Public Party which is led by the charismatic Billy Te Kahika.
Firstly it’s important to state that I don’t think Billy is being deceitful or malicious, he genuinely believes the things he’s saying and I’ve seen him play guitar. I don’t think you can play guitar that well and have a spiteful soul. I think Billy is a product of the post-knowledge death of experts culture we now live in.
The allegation, as I was able to piece together, is that Covid 19 is a bioengineered virus weapon that is helped in its spread by 5G technology (which apparently weakens your immune system) and was purposely released in Chinese labs to help inspire chaos that would allow for a shadowy one world Government to come out of the UN to take over the planet.
In fact there have been dozens of accidental releases from the L4 Labs and the risk analysis suggests that there is an 80% chance once every 12 years that a dangerous pathogen will be accidentally released from an L4 lab. The L3 and 4 Labs in Wuhan were working on the bat virus and there were complaints in 2018 that they weren’t secure enough.
China’s obtuseness about when and where the virus started doesn’t help of course. Their claim that it originated at the Wuhan wet market simply isn’t true. The timeline clearly shows the virus circulated into the Wuhan wet market and super spread from there and the latest research suggests it had been floating around well before then.
Occam’s Razor suggests what is most likely to have happened is probably what has happened, and I don’t think Billy TK appreciates how incompetent the UN is.
Your average classroom of 5 year olds would have more chance of an armed bank robbery while kidnapping the Prime Minister than the UN does of setting up a shadowy one world Government.
Bomber goes on to several further paragraphs explaining why some global conspiracies are better than others. Great to see him in fine form, getting readers properly revved up on a cold wintry morn… 🤩
"I think Billy is a product of the post-knowledge death of experts culture we now live in."
I'd like to see more elaboration and discussion of this which flies in the face of the entire education I received regarding knowledge and logical reasoning.
Is it that single issue campaigners and conspiracy theorists are at odds with knowledge and reasoning, and populist politicians are giving them credence?
Thank God for science and reasoning, I say. 66 days without Covid-19 community transmission, informed by proper science, good advice from civil servants, listened to by compassionate political leaders, compared to what populist politicians who pay more attention to their egos have allowed elsewhere.
Essentially it presents the idsa, in education anyway. that teachers will tend to acknkwledge and address pupils they share cultural and class understandings with and overlook others therefore disadvantaging them.
Estimates of the global death toll from Spanish flu range from 17 – 50 million, at a time when the global population was ~1.9 billion. So probably at least 1% of all humans succumbed to Spanish flu.
I hope that 100 years of scientific and technological development/evolution will mean that the global death toll from Covid-19 will be less than 80 million (roughly 1% of the current global population). But it's not the same virus, and there are no guarantees – viruses evolve too!
"Farmed salmon offers a very compelling environmental and human health story by comparison with other farming systems in New Zealand. Farmed salmon has a very low carbon footprint, low water use and low ‘land use’ from input of raw materials compared to all other animal farming systems. Farmed salmon are a very healthy choice for consumers offering significant health benefits over other animal protein sources. These two factors mean that there is and will continue to be a growing demand for farmed raised salmon for the foreseeable future."
I don't know where to look these days so as not to feel sad or guilty or despairing. That image of a polar bear perched on some ice is so telling. We could save the small group of cattle on that piece of hillside near Kaikoura. We can kill off coral at a distance, but the polar bears and other animals we can see that adapted to ice is hard to see; some are raiding rubbish tins on land. We need to learn the trade; that is all that will be left for many of us as the financiers frig around with out trade and systems and laws and personal initiative and intelligence.
We have to learn to make-do with the resources in our own area and cut our utter reliance on overseas trade. And bring in a good local currency to enable people to find their own trading networks. We will be similar to the polar bear with shrinking resources. Get good family and/or friend and neighbour interacting networks is the way. You can't always rely on family, but need to look at people to see if they are genuine and get the support going. Townspeople could get friendly with horticulturalists, smallholders, and help out at busy times, spend some time on the farm. Put them up when they have to come in for day visits to hospital etc. or just enjoy some event in town.
Air NZ putting a hold on bookings so quarantine systems are not overloaded. Instead of opening up faster we are having to dial it back for a while. Is this 'shambolic' or just another case of the well-being of New Zealanders being reliant on doing the opposite of what the National Party wants?
National are all in favour of more quarantine facilities … as long as they're not in Rotorua or Queenstown or Auckland Central or anywhere else with a local National MP.
Labour: Strongest Booth: Sir Edmund Hillary Collegiate, Otara, Manukau East, South Auckland. Labour Party-Vote 82%.
All contenders were low income / heavily Pasifika areas, including booths in Eastern Porirua, Mangere & (above all) other Otara booths. Pasifika populations ranged from a little over 60% in the catchment area around Cannons Creek School (Porirua), to more than 70% in parts of Mangere & more than 80% around each of the Otara booths.
A fitting stronghold given Sir Ed's affinity with the Labour Party & involvement in the Citizens for Rowling Campaign in 1975.
Otara, of course, is one of the poorest urban areas in New Zealand – wasn't for nothing that Pauly Fuemana ironically styled his pop duo Otara Millionaires Club. The median Personal Income was (2014) around just $15,000, compared to $30,000 in Auckland as a whole, $35,000 in Devonport-Takapuna on the North Shore, and $43,000 in East Auckland. (What's more, within Otara, the neighbourhood around the Ed Hillary booth stands out for having a particularly low median Personal Income – $13,500).
Similarly, Otara suffers unusually high Unemployment – around 22% compared to Auckland's 8% … scores a maximum 10 on the Deprivation Index, is home to unusually high proportions of manual labourers and very low numbers of Managers and Professionals,
The neighbourhood surrounding Cannons Creek School, meanwhile, is clearly Labour’s stronghold within the Wellington region.
National: Strongest Booth: Lee Stream School. 40km NW of Dunedin, Clutha-Southland. National Party-Vote: 96%.
Other contenders included Poolburn in Central Otago's Ida Valley (Nats 92.5%), the small South Taranaki settlement of Pihama (90.7%) & Dorie in the South Rakaia area of Mid-Canterbury (90%).
Unsurprisingly, all rural communities.
If I remember rightly, Whitford, Stonefields & one of the Remmers booths were the Bluest places not only in Auckland but within Urban NZ as a whole.
Greens: Strongest Booth: Onekaka, Golden Bay, West Coast-Tasman. Green Party-Vote: 54.7%.
Golden Bay Hippie / New Age community. Many Neils, not so many Riks, Vyvians or Mikes.
Other contenders: Aro Valley (a state unto itself), Wellington Central (45.4%). Wellington High School, Mt Cook, Wellington Central (40.8%), St Paul's Lutheran Church, Mt Cook, Wellington Central (37.7%).
Never got around to doing NZF. Ultimately lost interest in the whole thing.
That was 2014 … these days, with huge numbers voting in Advanced Booths, pinpointing strongholds becomes are much more difficult task.
* I combined both the General Electorate & Maori Electorate vote to capture all voters within each booth's catchment area.
I wonder if in those 90% plus Nat communities whether people run around giving each other the evil eye trying to work out who actually doesn't "support the team".
Personal favourite though was the remote SI booth a couple of decades back that voted 100% to legalise cannabis.
Vaguely remember that … West Coast-Tasman booth IIRR … & what made it particularly poignant was that it was one of the old mining Labour strongholds of the early-mid 20C … have a feeling it was either Denniston or Millerton but can't be entirely sure … from staunch Labour to Aotearoa Legalise Cannabis bastion.
On National intimidation of voters … apparently quite a lot of that in Rangitikei in the late 70s after Bruce Beetham scored his spectacular By-Election victory in a traditional Nat stronghold. Voters in certain communities there were threatened by young farmer activists that the Muldoon Govt would know who they were if they defected to Social Credit. And there’d be serious consequences.
That's interesting I wonder how much of that mentioning ‘serious consequences’ still goes on. Quiet, standover tactics.
I read through the summary of the McDonald-Guy case and was amazed at the damage that McD was prepared to do and someone go with him to help or was he pushed? And then there was a report that all had been cleared up and settled between McDonald and the Guy family so they were on good terms again. But the wife had had her puppies bashed on the head or something, and I don't think one would ever forgive or forget that. In town the cops would be round. What happens in the country? Does the one resident cop miles away, say okay I've made a note, let us know if it happens again? And they had a place set on fire too.
I encountered strange behaviour when driving through a quiet farm area – chap passed me and made the hand gesture of shooting in the head, apparently I had been going too slow. Violence by gesture, antipathy anyway.
I wonder how much intrinsic violence lurks amongst those green and pleasant lands.
Foreign students will not be allowed to stay in the US this autumn if their universities have moved classes fully online, unless they switch to a course with in-person tuition.
I mean, where to start with this? The one-word vocabulary? The nonsensical line that more Kiwis are coming back because of the quarantine facilities? As opposed to say, escaping from countries in the grip of a pandemic? The facilities are under pressure because people are in them. Where else would they be in Todd-land? It doesn't make any kind of sense … political, medical, mathematical, anything.
Zombie economics requires us to be open to community spread and the death of the aged and infirm.
Todd Muller will oppose the euthanasia legislation becauase he is pro life, but he is encouraging risk to the lives of fellow New Zealanders because he serves mammon.
The life of the god of the haves and sacrifice of the weak, its called herd immunity becuase the herd goes on its way and the weak are left behind to be eaten by predators (in this case a pandemic virus ravaging the body).
To use a past National campaign ad, throwing the old and infirm overboard.
But Todd has 'business experience' – so he can instantaneously and 'seamlessly' scale complex systems to handle increased load without any deleterious effects. 'Business experience' turns dull boys into magicians.
Todd's unimaginative repetition is bland and boring, but it does reflect his conservative and visionless persona quite well. Simon Bridges word salads were far more entertaining.
When NZ announced a 4 week lockdown from 26 March there were many on both sides of the Tasman saying NZ had got it wrong and you didn't need to be so strict because, the economy or something.
We eradicated the disease with this approach and our government was widely praised for it but still there were critics many pointing to Victoria's much less strict Covid 19 measures.
We had the National Party who got very upset at the positive coverage Jacinda Ardern got for our strategy.
The breaking news today is Victoria is considering a 4 week lockdown of its own, as if they have finally realised what is required to get on top of this pernicious disease.
Imagine how much better the health and economic outcomes for Victoria would have been if they'd just done what NZ did in the first place.
Sure, I was alarmed in early March when the world started shutting down. I felt at the time certain countries were over-reacting. That changed of course when the full picture became clear.
I keep on thinking that the cooperation of the 5 million is down to the remarkable leadership of Jacinda and Bloomfield. Just amazing that so many were on side!
Wherever there is expansion of infection there is indecisive leadership and Muller is demonstrating just how awful his leadership would have been
And his continuing undermining of the confidence of New Zealanders is unforgivable.
Sooner or later, like a gym bro flexing in the mirror, like a teen rolling their eyes, like a mansplainer patronisingly clearing his throat, the ACT party will start talking about privatisation.In the eyes of David Seymour and his LinkedIn ACTolytes, there's not a thing in this world that cannot ...
Confession: I used to follow US politics and UK politics - never as closely as this - but enough to identify the broad themes.I stopped following US politics after I came to the somewhat painful realisation that my perception was simply that - a perception. Mountain Tui is a reader-supported ...
Life is cruel, life is toughLife is crazy, then it all turns to dustWe let 'em out, we let 'em inWe'll let 'em know when it's the tipping point. The tipping point.Songwriters: Roland Orzabal / Charlton PettusYesterday, we saw the annual pilgrimage to Rātana, traditionally the first event in our ...
The invitation to comment on the proposed Regulatory Standards Bill opens with Minister David Seymour stating ‘[m]ost of New Zealand's problems can be traced to poor productivity, and poor productivity can be traced to poor regulations’. I shall have little to say about the first proposition except I can think ...
My friend Selwyn Manning and I are wondering what to do with our podcast “A View from Afar.” Some readers will also have tuned into the podcast, which I regularly feature on KP as a media link. But we have some thinking to do about how to proceed, and it ...
Don't try to hide it; love wears no disguiseI see the fire burning in your eyesSong: Madonna and Stephen BrayThis week, the National Party held its annual retreat to devise new slogans, impressing the people who voted for them and making the rest of us cringe at the hollow words, ...
Support my work through a paid subscription, a coffee or reading and sharing. Thank you - I appreciate you all.Luxon’s penchant for “economic growth”Yesterday morning, I warned libertarianism had penetrated the marrow of the NZ Coalition agenda, and highlighted libertarian Peter Thiel’s comments that democracy and freedom are unable to ...
A couple of recent cases suggest that the courts are awarding significant sums for defamation even where the publication is very small. This is despite the new rule that says plaintiffs, if challenged, have to show that the publication they are complaining about has caused them “more then minor harm.” ...
Damages for breaches of the Privacy Act used to be laughable. The very top award was $40,000 to someone whose treatment in an addiction facility was revealed to the media. Not only was it taking an age for the Human Rights Review Tribunal to resolve cases, the awards made it ...
It’s Friday and we’ve got Auckland Anniversary weekend ahead of us so we’ve pulled together a bumper crop of things that caught our attention this week. This post, like all our work, is brought to you by a largely volunteer crew and made possible by generous donations from our readers ...
Long stories short, the six things of interest in the political economy in Aotearoa around housing, climate and poverty on Friday January 24 are:PM Christopher Luxon’s State of the Nationspeech in Auckland yesterday, in which he pledged a renewed economic growth focus;Luxon’s focused on a push to bring in ...
Hi,It’s been ages since I’ve done an AMA on Webworm — and so, as per usual, ask me what you want in the comments section, and over the next few days I’ll dive in and answer things. This is a lil’ perk for paying Webworm members that keep this place ...
I’m trying a new way to do a more regular and timely daily Dawn Choruses for paying subscribers through a live video chat about the day’s key six things @ 6.30 am lasting about 10 minues. This email is the invite to that chat on the substack app on your ...
The podcast above of the weekly ‘Hoon’ webinar for paying subscribers on Thursday night features co-hosts & talking about the week’s news with regular and special guests, including: on Donald Trump’s first executive orders to reverse Joe Biden’s emissions reductions policies and pull the United States out of ...
The Prime Minister’s State of the Nation speech yesterday was the kind of speech he should have given a year ago.Finally, we found out why he is involved in politics.Last year, all we heard from him was a catalogue of complaints about Labour.But now, he is redefining National with its ...
Photo by Mauricio Fanfa on UnsplashKia oraCome and join us for our weekly ‘Hoon’ webinar with paying subscribers to The Kākā for an hour at 5 pm today.Jump on this link on YouTube Livestream for our chat about the week’s news with myself , plus regular guests and ...
Aotearoa's science sector is broken. For 35 years it has been run on a commercial, competitive model, while being systematically underfunded. Which means we have seven different crown research institutes and eight different universities - all publicly owned and nominally working for the public good - fighting over the same ...
One of the best speakers I ever saw was Sir Paul Callaghan.One of the most enthusiastic receptions I have ever, ever seen for a speaker was for Sir Paul Callaghan.His favourite topic was: Aotearoa and what we were doing with it.He did not come to bury tourism and agriculture but ...
The Tertiary Education Union is predicting a “brutal year” for the tertiary sector as 240,000 students and teachers at Te Pūkenga face another year of uncertainty. The Labour Party are holding their caucus retreat, with Chris Hipkins still reflecting on their 2023 election loss and signalling to media that new ...
The Prime Minister’s State of the Nation speech is an exercise in smoke and mirrors which deflects from the reality that he has overseen the worst economic growth in 30 years, said NZCTU Te Kauae Kaimahi President Richard Wagstaff. “Luxon wants to “go for growth” but since he and Nicola ...
People get readyThere's a train a-comingYou don't need no baggageYou just get on boardAll you need is faithTo hear the diesels hummingDon't need no ticketYou just thank the LordSongwriter: Curtis MayfieldYou might have seen Bishop Mariann Edgar Budde's speech at the National Prayer Service in the US following Trump’s elevation ...
Long stories short, the six things of interest in the political economy in Aotearoa around housing, climate and poverty on Thursday January 23 are:PM Christopher Luxon’s State of the Nation speech after midday today, which I’ll attend and ask questions at;Luxon is expected to announce “new changes to incentivise research ...
I’m trying a new way to do a more regular and timely daily Dawn Choruses for paying subscribers through a live video chat about the day’s key six things @ 6.30 am lasting about 10 minues. This email is the invite to that chat on the substack app on your ...
Yesterday, Trump pardoned the founder of Silk Road - a criminal website designed to anonymously trade illicit drugs, weapons and services. The individual had been jailed for life in 2015 after an FBI sting.But libertarian interest groups had lobbied Donald Trump, saying it was “government overreach” to imprison the man, ...
The Prime Minister will unveil more of his economic growth plan today as it becomes clear that the plan is central to National’s election pitch in 2026. Christopher Luxon will address an Auckland Chamber of Commerce meeting with what is being billed a “State of the Nation” speech. Ironically, after ...
This video includes personal musings and conclusions of the creator climate scientist Dr. Adam Levy. It is presented to our readers as an informed perspective. Please see video description for references (if any). 2025 has only just begun, but already climate scientists are working hard to unpick what could be in ...
The NZCTU’s view is that “New Zealand’s future productivity to 2050” is a worthwhile topic for the upcoming long-term insights briefing. It is important that Ministers, social partners, and the New Zealand public are aware of the current and potential productivity challenges and opportunities we face and the potential ...
The NZCTU supports a strengthening of the Commerce Act 1986. We have seen a general trend of market consolidation across multiple sectors of the New Zealand economy. Concentrated market power is evident across sectors such as banking, energy generation and supply, groceries, telecommunications, building materials, fuel retail, and some digital ...
The maxim is as true as it ever was: give a small boy and a pig everything they want, and you will get a good pig and a terrible boy.Elon Musk the child was given everything he could ever want. He has more than any one person or for that ...
A food rescue organisation has had to resort to an emergency plea for donations via givealittle because of uncertainty about whether Government funding will continue after the end of June. Photo: Getty ImagesLong stories short in Aotearoa’s political economy around housing, poverty and climate on Wednesday, January 22: Kairos Food ...
Leo Molloy's recent "shoplifting" smear against former MP Golriz Ghahraman has finally drawn public attention to Auror and its database. And from what's been disclosed so far, it does not look good: The massive privately-owned retail surveillance network which recorded the shopping incident involving former MP Golriz Ghahraman is ...
The defence of common law qualified privilege applies (to cut short a lot of legal jargon) when someone tells someone something in good faith, believing they need to know it. Think: telling the police that the neighbour is running methlab or dobbing in a colleague to the boss for stealing. ...
NZME plans to cut 38 jobs as it reorganises its news operations, including the NZ Herald, BusinessDesk, and Newstalk ZB. It said it planned to publish and produce fewer stories, to focus on those that engage audience. E tū are calling on the Government to step in and support the ...
Data released by Statistics New Zealand today showed that inflation remains unchanged at 2.2%, defying expectations of further declines, said NZCTU Te Kauae Kaimahi Economist Craig Renney. “While inflation holding steady might sound like good news, the reality is that prices for the basics—like rent, energy, and insurance—are still rising. ...
I never mentioned anythingAbout the songs that I would singOver the summer, when we'd go on tourAnd sleep on floors and drink the bad beerI think I left it unclearSong: Bad Beer.Songwriter: Jacob Starnes Ewald.Last night, I was watching a movie with Fi and the kids when I glanced ...
Last night I spoke about the second inauguration of Donald Trump with in a ‘pop-up’ Hoon live video chat on the Substack app on phones.Here’s the summary of the lightly edited video above:Trump's actions signify a shift away from international law.The imposition of tariffs could lead to increased inflation ...
An interesting article in Stuff a few weeks ago asked a couple of interesting questions in it’s headline, “How big can Auckland get? And how big is too big?“. Unfortunately, the article doesn’t really answer those questions, instead focusing on current growth projections, but there were a few aspects to ...
Today is Donald J Trump’s second inauguration ceremony.I try not to follow too much US news, and yet these developments are noteworthy and somehow relevant to us here.Only hours in, parts of their Project 2025 ‘think/junk tank’ policies — long planned and signalled — are already live:And Elon Musk, who ...
How long is it going to take for the MAGA faithful to realise that those titans of Big Tech and venture capital sitting up close to Donald Trump this week are not their allies, but The Enemy? After all, the MAGA crowd are the angry victims left behind by the ...
California Burning: The veteran firefighters of California and Los Angeles called it “a perfect storm”. The hillsides and canyons were full of “fuel”. The LA Fire Department was underfunded, below-strength, and inadequately-equipped. A key reservoir was empty, leaving fire-hydrants without the water pressure needed for fire hoses. The power companies had ...
The Waitangi Tribunal has been one of the most effective critics of the government, pointing out repeatedly that its racist, colonialist policies breach te Tiriti o Waitangi. While it has no powers beyond those of recommendation, its truth-telling has clearly gotten under the government's skin. They had already begun to ...
I don't mind where you come fromAs long as you come to meBut I don't like illusionsI can't see them clearlyI don't care, no I wouldn't dareTo fix the twist in youYou've shown me eventually what you'll doSong: Shimon Moore, Emma Anzai, Antonina Armato, and Tim James.National Hugging Day.Today, January ...
Is Rwanda turning into a country that seeks regional dominance and exterminates its rivals? This is a contention examined by Dr Michela Wrong, and Dr Maria Armoudian. Dr Wrong is a journalist who has written best-selling books on Africa. Her latest, Do Not Disturb. The story of a political murder ...
The economy isn’t cooperating with the Government’s bet that lower interest rates will solve everything, with most metrics indicating per-capita GDP is still contracting faster and further than at any time since the 1990-96 series of government spending and welfare cuts. Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāLong stories short in ...
Hi,Today is the day sexual assaulter and alleged rapist Donald Trump officially became president (again).I was in a meeting for three hours this morning, so I am going to summarise what happened by sharing my friend’s text messages:So there you go.Welcome to American hell — which includes all of America’s ...
This is a re-post from the Climate BrinkI have a new paper out today in the journal Dialogues on Climate Change exploring both the range of end-of-century climate outcomes in the literature under current policies and the broader move away from high-end emissions scenarios. Current policies are defined broadly as policies in ...
Long story short: I chatted last night with ’s on the substack app about the appointment of Chris Bishop to replace Simeon Brown as Transport Minister. We talked through their different approaches and whether there’s much room for Bishop to reverse many of the anti-cycling measures Brown adopted.Our chat ...
Last night I chatted with Northland emergency doctor on the substack app for subscribers about whether the appointment of Simeon Brown to replace Shane Reti as Health Minister. We discussed whether the new minister can turn around decades of under-funding in real and per-capita terms. Our chat followed his ...
Christopher Luxon is every dismal boss who ever made you wince, or roll your eyes, or think to yourself I have absolutely got to get the hell out of this place.Get a load of what he shared with us at his cabinet reshuffle, trying to be all sensitive and gracious.Dr ...
The text of my submission to the Ministry of Health's unnecessary and politicised review of the use of puberty blockers for young trans and nonbinary people in Aotearoa. ...
Hi,Last night one of the world’s biggest social media platforms, TikTok, became inaccessible in the United States.Then, today, it came back online.Why should we care about a social network that deals in dance trends and cute babies? Well — TikTok represents a lot more than that.And its ban and subsequent ...
Sometimes I wake in the middle of the nightAnd rub my achin' old eyesIs that a voice from inside-a my headOr does it come down from the skies?"There's a time to laugh butThere's a time to weepAnd a time to make a big change"Wake-up you-bum-the-time has-comeTo arrange and re-arrange and ...
Former Health Minister Shane Reti was the main target of Luxon’s reshuffle. Photo: Lynn Grieveson / The KākāLong stories short to start the year in Aotearoa’s political economy around housing, poverty and climate: Christopher Luxon fired Shane Reti as Health Minister and replaced him with Simeon Brown, who Luxon sees ...
Yesterday, Prime Minister Christopher Luxon announced a cabinet reshuffle, which saw Simeon Brown picking up the Health portfolio as it’s been taken off Dr Shane Reti, and Transport has been given to Chris Bishop. Additionally, Simeon’s energy and local government portfolios now sit with Simon Watts. This is very good ...
The sacking of Health Minister Shane Reti yesterday had an air of panic about it. A media advisory inviting journalists to a Sunday afternoon press conference at Premier House went out on Saturday night. Caucus members did not learn that even that was happening until yesterday morning. Reti’s fate was ...
Yesterday’s demotion of Shane Reti was inevitable. Reti’s attempt at a re-assuring bedside manner always did have a limited shelf life, and he would have been a poor and apologetic salesman on the campaign trail next year. As a trained doctor, he had every reason to be looking embarrassed about ...
A listing of 25 news and opinion articles we found interesting and shared on social media during the past week: Sun, January 12, 2025 thru Sat, January 18, 2025. This week's roundup is again published soleley by category. We are still interested in feedback to hone the categorization, so if ...
After another substantial hiatus from online Chess, I’ve been taking it up again. I am genuinely terrible at five-minute Blitz, what with the tight time constraints, though I periodically con myself into thinking that I have been improving. But seeing as my past foray into Chess led to me having ...
Rise up o children wont you dance with meRise up little children come and set me freeRise little ones riseNo shame no fearDon't you know who I amSongwriter: Rebecca Laurel FountainI’m sure you know the go with this format. Some memories, some questions, letsss go…2015A decade ago, I made the ...
In 2017, when Ghahraman was elected to Parliament as a Green MP, she recounted both the highlights and challenges of her role -There was love, support, and encouragement.And on the flipside, there was intense, visceral and unchecked hate.That came with violent threats - many of them. More on that later.People ...
It gives me the biggest kick to learn that something I’ve enthused about has been enough to make you say Go on then, I'm going to do it. The e-bikes, the hearing aids, the prostate health, the cheese puffs. And now the solar power. Yes! Happy to share the details.We ...
Skeptical Science is partnering with Gigafact to produce fact briefs — bite-sized fact checks of trending claims. This fact brief was written by Sue Bin Park from the Gigafact team in collaboration with members from our team. You can submit claims you think need checking via the tipline. Can CO2 be ...
The old bastard left his ties and his suitA brown box, mothballs and bowling shoesAnd his opinion so you'd never have to choosePretty soon, you'll be an old bastard tooYou get smaller as the world gets bigThe more you know you know you don't know shit"The whiz man" will never ...
..Thanks for reading Frankly Speaking ! Subscribe for free to receive new posts and support my work.The Numbers2024 could easily have been National’s “Annus Horribilis” and 2025 shows no signs of a reprieve for our Landlord PM Chris Luxon and his inept Finance Minister Nikki “Noboats” Willis.Several polls last year ...
This Friday afternoon, Māori Development Minister Tama Potaka announced an overhaul of the Waitangi Tribunal.The government has effectively cleared house - appointing 8 new members - and combined with October’s appointment of former ACT leader Richard Prebble, that’s 9 appointees.[I am not certain, but can only presume, Prebble went in ...
The state of the current economy may be similar to when National left office in 2017.In December, a couple of days after the Treasury released its 2024 Half Year Economic and Fiscal Update (HEYFU24), Statistics New Zealand reported its estimate for volume GDP for the previous September 24 quarter. Instead ...
So what becomes of you, my love?When they have finally stripped you ofThe handbags and the gladragsThat your poor old granddadHad to sweat to buy you, babySongwriter: Mike D'aboIn yesterday’s newsletter, I expressed sadness at seeing Golriz Ghahraman back on the front pages for shoplifting. As someone who is no ...
It’s Friday and time for another roundup of things that caught our attention this week. This post, like all our work, is brought to you by a largely volunteer crew and made possible by generous donations from our readers and fans. If you’d like to support our work, you can join ...
Note: This Webworm discusses sexual assault and rape. Please read with care.Hi,A few weeks ago I reported on how one of New Zealand’s richest men, Nick Mowbray (he and his brother own Zuru and are worth an estimated $20 billion), had taken to sharing posts by a British man called ...
The final Atlas Network playbook puzzle piece is here, and it slipped in to Aotearoa New Zealand with little fan fare or attention. The implications are stark.Today, writes Dr Bex, the submission for the Crimes (Countering Foreign Interference) Amendment Bill closes: 11:59pm January 16, 2025.As usual, the language of the ...
Excitement in the seaside village! Look what might be coming! 400 million dollars worth of investment! In the very beating heart of the village! Are we excited and eager to see this happen, what with every last bank branch gone and shops sitting forlornly quiet awaiting a customer?Yes please, apply ...
The Green Party is calling on the Government to stand firm and work with allies to progress climate action as Donald Trump signals his intent to pull out of the Paris Climate Accords once again. ...
The Green Party has welcomed the provisional ceasefire deal between Israel and Hamas, and reiterated its call for New Zealand to push for an end to the unlawful occupation of Palestine. ...
The Green Party welcomes the extension of the deadline for Treaty Principles Bill submissions but continues to call on the Government to abandon the Bill. ...
Foreign Affairs Minister Winston Peters has announced three new diplomatic appointments. “Our diplomats play an important role in ensuring New Zealand’s interests are maintained and enhanced across the world,” Mr Peters says. “It is a pleasure to announce the appointment of these senior diplomats from the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and ...
Ki te kahore he whakakitenga, ka ngaro te Iwi – without a vision, the people will perish. The Government has achieved its target to reduce the number of households in emergency housing motels by 75 per cent five years early, Associate Housing Minister Tama Potaka says. The number of households ...
Foreign Minister Winston Peters has announced the new membership of the Public Advisory Committee on Disarmament and Arms Control (PACDAC), who will serve for a three-year term. “The Committee brings together wide-ranging expertise relevant to disarmament. We have made six new appointments to the Committee and reappointed two existing members ...
Ka nui te mihi kia koutou. Kia ora, good morning, talofa, malo e lelei, bula vinaka, da jia hao, namaste, sat sri akal, assalamu alaikum. It’s so great to be here and I’m ready and pumped for 2025. Can I start by acknowledging: Simon Bridges – CEO of the Auckland ...
The Government has unveiled a bold new initiative to position New Zealand as a premier destination for foreign direct investment (FDI) that will create higher paying jobs and grow the economy. “Invest New Zealand will streamline the investment process and provide tailored support to foreign investors, to increase capital investment ...
Science, Innovation and Technology Minister Judith Collins today announced the largest reset of the New Zealand science system in more than 30 years with reforms which will boost the economy and benefit the sector. “The reforms will maximise the value of the $1.2 billion in government funding that goes into ...
Turbocharging New Zealand’s economic growth is the key to brighter days ahead for all Kiwis, Prime Minister Christopher Luxon says. In the Prime Minister’s State of the Nation Speech in Auckland today, Christopher Luxon laid out the path to the prosperity that will affect all aspects of New Zealanders’ lives. ...
The latest set of accounts show the Government has successfully checked the runaway growth of public spending, Finance Minister Nicola Willis says. “In the previous government’s final five months in office, public spending was almost 10 per cent higher than for the same period the previous year. “That is completely ...
The Government’s welfare reforms are delivering results with the number of people moving off benefits into work increasing year-on-year for six straight months. “There are positive signs that our welfare reset and the return consequences for job seekers who don't fulfil their obligations to prepare for or find a job ...
Jon Kroll and Aimee McCammon have been appointed to the New Zealand Film Commission Board, Arts Minister Paul Goldsmith says. “I am delighted to appoint these two new board members who will bring a wealth of industry, governance, and commercial experience to the Film Commission. “Jon Kroll has been an ...
Finance Minister Nicola Willis has hailed a drop in the domestic component of inflation, saying it increases the prospect of mortgage rate reductions and a lower cost of living for Kiwi households. Stats NZ reported today that inflation was 2.2 per cent in the year to December, the second consecutive ...
Two new appointed members and one reappointed member of the Employment Relations Authority have been announced by Workplace Relations and Safety Minister Brooke van Velden today. “I’m pleased to announce the new appointed members Helen van Druten and Matthew Piper to the Employment Relations Authority (ERA) and welcome them to ...
Prime Minister Christopher Luxon has delivered a refreshed team focused on unleashing economic growth to make people better off, create more opportunities for business and help us afford the world-class health and education Kiwis deserve. “Last year, we made solid progress on the economy. Inflation has fallen significantly and now ...
Veterans’ Affairs and a pan-iwi charitable trust have teamed up to extend the reach and range of support available to veterans in the Bay of Plenty, Veterans Minister Chris Penk says. “A major issue we face is identifying veterans who are eligible for support,” Mr Penk says. “Incredibly, we do ...
A host of new appointments will strengthen the Waitangi Tribunal and help ensure it remains fit for purpose, Māori Development Minister Tama Potaka says. “As the Tribunal nears its fiftieth anniversary, the appointments coming on board will give it the right balance of skills to continue its important mahi hearing ...
Almost 22,000 FamilyBoost claims have been paid in the first 15 days of the year, Finance Minister Nicola Willis says. The ability to claim for FamilyBoost’s second quarter opened on January 1, and since then 21,936 claims have been paid. “I’m delighted people have made claiming FamilyBoost a priority on ...
The Government has delivered a funding boost to upgrade critical communication networks for Maritime New Zealand and Coastguard New Zealand, ensuring frontline search and rescue services can save lives and keep Kiwis safe on the water, Transport Minister Simeon Brown and Associate Transport Minister Matt Doocey say. “New Zealand has ...
Mahi has begun that will see dozens of affordable rental homes developed in Gisborne - a sign the Government’s partnership with Iwi is enabling more homes where they’re needed most, Associate Housing Minister Tama Potaka says. Mr Potaka attended a sod-turning ceremony to mark the start of earthworks for 48 ...
New Zealand welcomes the ceasefire deal to end hostilities in Gaza, Foreign Minister Winston Peters says. “Over the past 15 months, this conflict has caused incomprehensible human suffering. We acknowledge the efforts of all those involved in the negotiations to bring an end to the misery, particularly the US, Qatar ...
The Associate Minster of Transport has this week told the community that work is progressing to ensure they have a secure and suitable shipping solution in place to give the Island certainty for its future. “I was pleased with the level of engagement the Request for Information process the Ministry ...
Associate Health Minister David Seymour says he is proud of the Government’s commitment to increasing medicines access for New Zealanders, resulting in a big uptick in the number of medicines being funded. “The Government is putting patients first. In the first half of the current financial year there were more ...
New Zealand's first-class free trade deal and investment treaty with the United Arab Emirates (UAE) have been signed. In Abu Dhabi, together with UAE President His Highness Sheikh Mohammed bin Zayed, New Zealand Prime Minister, Christopher Luxon, witnessed the signing of the Comprehensive Economic Partnership Agreement (CEPA) and accompanying investment treaty ...
The latest NZIER Quarterly Survey of Business Opinion, which shows the highest level of general business confidence since 2021, is a sign the economy is moving in the right direction, Finance Minister Nicola Willis says. “When businesses have the confidence to invest and grow, it means more jobs and higher ...
Events over the last few weeks have highlighted the importance of strong biosecurity to New Zealand. Our staff at the border are increasingly vigilant after German authorities confirmed the country's first outbreak of foot and mouth disease (FMD) in nearly 40 years on Friday in a herd of water buffalo ...
Associate Justice Minister Nicole McKee reminds the public that they now have an opportunity to have their say on the rewrite of the Arms Act 1983. “As flagged prior to Christmas, the consultation period for the Arms Act rewrite has opened today and will run through until 28 February 2025,” ...
Complaints about disruptive behaviour now handled in around 13 days (down from around 60 days a year ago) 553 Section 55A notices issued by Kāinga Ora since July 2024, up from 41 issued during the same period in the previous year. Of that 553, first notices made up around 83 ...
The time it takes to process building determinations has improved significantly over the last year which means fewer delays in homes being built, Building and Construction Minister Chris Penk says. “New Zealand has a persistent shortage of houses. Making it easier and quicker for new homes to be built will ...
Minister of Internal Affairs Brooke van Velden is pleased to announce the annual list of New Zealand’s most popular baby names for 2024. “For the second consecutive year, Noah has claimed the top spot for boys with 250 babies sharing the name, while Isla has returned to the most popular ...
Work is set to get underway on a new bus station at Westgate this week. A contract has been awarded to HEB Construction to start a package of enabling works to get the site ready in advance of main construction beginning in mid-2025, Transport Minister Simeon Brown says.“A new Westgate ...
Minister for Children and for Prevention of Family and Sexual Violence Karen Chhour is encouraging people to use the resources available to them to get help, and to report instances of family and sexual violence amongst their friends, families, and loved ones who are in need. “The death of a ...
At Rātana commemorations on Friday Christopher Luxon repeated his mantra that National would vote down the Act-authored Government Bill at its second reading. ...
The prime minister says he can mend the relationship with Māori after the bill is voted down, and he would refuse a future referendum in the next election's coalition negotiations. ...
By Lagipoiva Cherelle Jackson For Doddy Morris, a journalist with the Vanuatu Daily Post, the 7.3 magnitude earthquake that struck Vanuatu last month on December 17, 2024, was more than just a story — it was a personal tragedy. Amid the chaos, Morris learned his brother, an Anglican priest, had ...
Rupert Murdoch’s News Corporation has misled the Australian Parliament and is liable to prosecution — not that government will lift a finger to enforce the law, reports Michael West Media.SPECIAL REPORT:By Michael West Rupert Murdoch’s News Corporation has misled the Australian Parliament. In a submission to the Senate, ...
Opinion: Architecture has the power to shape our lives, not only in our homes and workplaces but in the public spaces that we all share. Civic architecture – our public libraries, train stations, swimming pools, schools, and other community facilities – is more than just functional infrastructure.These buildings are the ...
Asia Pacific Report A co-founder of a national Palestinian solidarity network in Aotearoa New Zealand today praised the “heroic” resilience and sacrifice of the people of Gaza in the face of Israel’s ruthless attempt to destroy the besieged enclave of more than 2 million people. Speaking at the first solidarity ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Michelle Grattan, Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra Neale Daniher, a campaigner in the fight against motor neurone disease and a former champion Essendon footballer, is the 2025 Australian of the Year, Himself a sufferer from the deadly disease Daniher, 63, who ...
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Michelle Grattan, Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra Peter Dutton has chosen a dark horse in naming David Coleman for the key shadow foreign affairs portfolio, in a reshuffle that also seeks to boost the opposition’s credentials with women. Coleman has been ...
By Harry Pearl of BenarNews Vanuatu’s top lawyer has called out the United States for “bad behavior” after newly inaugurated President Donald Trump withdrew the world’s biggest historic emitter of greenhouse gasses from the Paris Agreement for a second time. The Pacific nation’s Attorney-General Arnold Loughman, who led Vanuatu’s landmark ...
ACT leader David Seymour is being slammed for his "extreme right-wing policies" after saying Aotearoa needs to get past its "squeamishness" about privatisation. ...
By Moera Tuilaepa-Taylor, RNZ Pacific manager RNZ International (RNZI) began broadcasting to the Pacific region 35 years ago — on 24 January 1990, the same day the Auckland Commonwealth Games opened. Its news bulletins and programmes were carried by a brand new 100kW transmitter. The service was rebranded as RNZ ...
If you believe Prime Minister Chris Luxon economic growth will solve our problems and, if this is not just around the corner, it is at least on the horizon. It won’t be too long before things are “awesome” again. If you believe David Seymour the country is beset by much greater ...
The Angry LeftSummer in New Zealand, and what does Christopher Luxon do about it? He goes fishing. Unbelievable.And worse, he does it in a boat. How tone-deaf is that? There he is, fishing, at sea, in a boat that would be better put to some practical use, like housing. How ...
Opinion: New Zealand’s universities are failing to prepare students for the entrepreneurial realities of the modern economy. That is a key finding of the Science System Advisory Group report released Thursday as part of the Government’s major science sector overhaul.The report highlights major gaps in entrepreneurship and industry-focused training. PhD ...
I first met Neve at a house party in Mount Maunganui. She was tall, blonde and tanned. An influencer typecast. She wore a string of pearls and a shell necklace that sat around her collarbones, and a silk dress that barely passed her crotch. Her hair was in tight curls—I ...
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What part of supply and demand does our coalition govt not understand?? It has tripled the housing problem since taking office:
This is a classic case of left/right collusion, and organised whining from both sides in an attempt to distract the public just makes Labour/National irresponsibility more evident. Commentators here may even figure it out. Eventually. Clue:
There was "annual net migration gain – 55,800 (± 1,600), up from 50,200 (± 200)." https://www.stats.govt.nz/information-releases/international-migration-april-2019
And then there was " annual net migration gain – 71,500 (±1,700), up from 49,600 (± 200). https://www.stats.govt.nz/information-releases/international-migration-march-2020
What part of "let's keep moving" in the wrong direction don't Labour folk understand?? When you import three or four times as many people as the number waiting for a house to live in, you make the problem three or four times worse. Government MPs will require remedial courses in primary school arithmetic to work this out! 🤢
I am willing to bet, amongst the landlord politicians, there is nothing wrong with their maths when it comes to: rental income, tax write-offs, interest rate %….
Do we believe in ghosts? They have plenty of dwellings going spare.
https://i.stuff.co.nz/life-style/homed/latest/116105066/ghost-houses-on-the-rise-a-problem-of-our-own-making
Perhaps it is time for squatters rights with a sunset clause tied to the waiting list for housing.
Much simpler would have been TOP's CCT that ensures all assets are taxed at a certain minimum rate on an annual basis. It might not fully eliminate the problem of ghost houses, but it would certainly increase the incentive to balance the cash flow by ensuring the home was occupied.
Sounds like rates to me and these, together with fixed bills for water, power, insurance, etc., have not prevented those ghost houses.
That's true enough, although without those fixed costs there might also be a lot more empty houses.
The way a CCT works though is well adapted to this problem. Take your average $1m Auckland house. It would be deemed to have a 'risk free rate of return' of 3% or $30,000 pa income that would be treated as an imputed income, and bundled into the owners total tax position even if they earned no income from the house.
If however the property earned the same $30,000 as real income from a tenant, then none of the CCT would apply, the real income would be taxed instead. There's a pretty powerful psychological incentive at work too.
I have to think a CCT would move the needle in the right direction, even if it only halved the number of ghost houses, this would still be a good thing.
How do you propose stopping Kiwis returning to NZ? Apparently, there are about one million waiting to hop on the plane back home. That will screw up any plan trying to deal with ‘demand & supply’. The problem with this ‘debate’ is that people seem to assume that net migration is mostly driven by people from ‘India, Pakistan, or Korea’. Those people should vote National or NZF, the parties for the un-thinking.
I wouldn't stop them. You make a fair point. Does our stats dept publish separate numbers for returning kiwis? If so, we can quantify the proportional effect. I cited the past couple of years because it constitutes most of the period that the coalition was enacting its housing policy. Those figures allow us to contrast the appearance of solving the problem with the appearance of immigration stats making it worse…
Yes they do:
http://archive.stats.govt.nz/browse_for_stats/population/Migration/provisional-international-travel-statistics.aspx#weekly&gsc.tab=0
About one to two weeks behind. But in the past month it's gone from under 1000 per week, to over 3,000.
I've done a first order guess elsewhere, about half of the 200,000 kiwis in Australia who don't qualify for any assistance will return this year.
And of the 400,000 other ex-pat kiwis living and working around the world, maybe 25% will return over the next two years.
That's a total of maybe 200,000 returning kiwis over a period of about 70 weeks, or about 3,000 pw. That's the rate we've hit already.
So, National via new spokesperson, Nicola Willis has told us that they were wrong to sell state housing during their last term in government.
Is this the beginning of a blood-letting purge of the stupidity of that nine year shameful shambles?
Is this the result of Paula Bennett's resignation and consequent reallocation of portfolios with Muller's accession?
Is this a tacit admission by National that it can't win in 2020 and instead is flensing, sloughing off and discarding all that dross of poor management and policy?
Problem is, it's still the same people just moved up the ladder a little as others got pushed off.
Where's the philosophic, spiritual and psychic renewal they need? From the religious right?
They need a good penitential progress, with flagellation and the tolling of beads………..
Link?
RNZ news item at 8 am today. News item with Willis also speaking. "We were wrong". She wants to continue building state houses, rather than let the numbers actually decline, as they did. She has tacitly admitted that current government policy to build up housing stock is a correct policy.
https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/300050892/national-party-admits-it-sold-too-many-state-houses
Willis admits the nats were wrong to sell state houses but thinks we're better to go back to them because they'll now build more state houses. Unbelievable, Nicola, just unbelievable.
Ms Willis sounds like she preloaded on coffee for this interview. She lies by omission several times, and is plain wrong on other points. Salvation Army and other social agencies would not touch Nationals flogged off state houses with the proverbial.
https://www.rnz.co.nz/national/programmes/morningreport/audio/2018753809/national-party-says-public-housing-demand-shows-government-failure
More people are on the waiting list now because they see a possible chance of securing a home with the Labour Govt. whereas National was on a “defund–run down–sell off” strategy regarding state housing.
Salvation Army's discussion's with Key's government fell over because they couldn't reach a deal – good result but was disappointing the discussions took place at all.
What did happen was that the filthy rich and despicably corporate community organisation called IHC stepped in, under its disguise 'Accessible Housing', and bought a whole stack of state houses. Price for IHC is no barrier because they're loaded. They then got to work kicking tenants out they didn't like to make way for their grandiois plans of dominating the disability housing sector with the aim of fattening its ill-gained coffers even more.
IHC operate under the “Idea Services” name in my area, and they are not great employers or service providers. Given that they substantially run on taxpayer funding they should be more accountable.
Idea Services, like Accessible Housing, are companies wholly owned by the overarching incorporated society IHC. The law reports are littered with employment dispute cases. Their hands are filthy.
IMO, the whole point, from some politicians view, of having a private outfit run on taxpayers money is so that they aren't accountable. Much easier to fleece the taxpayer that way.
More likely, get the new kid to say we don't do it again, so we can deny it when we do it again.
Can we send her a list of all the other things Nact should not have done so that she can do a bulk apology and reset. BTW does John Key have much influence over the current nat management of Todd & Nikki?
Not happening. They're conservatives and its their job to conserve all the bad stuff that everyone else realises is bad.
It appears from the Stats March 2020 figures quoted by Dennis that offshore NZers reacted earlier than previously assumed to the threat of Covid and started coming back well before lockdown and resident NZers changed their minds about leaving equally early. Maybe we are more intelligent and aware than we give ourselves credit for. Of course the evidence that this is true is our reaction to the compliance with lockdown compared to just about every other country in the world.
There may be some real basis for your reasoning but seems to me it would only account for a small proportion of the whole. The stats I cited go back to March 2018 which was early in their term, eh?
I just had a look: “migrant arrivals in the March 2020 year, New Zealand citizens were the largest group with 42,800 (± 800) arrivals… For migrant departures in the March 2020 year, New Zealand citizens were the largest group with 35,700 (± 600) departures.”
So net returning kiwis around 7,000, about 10% of net incoming migrants the past year…
You have to add the pressure from 300 000 temporary visa holders and 3 million tourist arrivals to that mix also. Examplified by the addition of former air b and b's to the available housing stock.
Einstein
indeed.
https://www.interest.co.nz/property/105905/march-number-people-leaving-country-has-exceeded-those-arriving-substantial-margin
Reply to Mac1:
Discarding the poor management and policy? So, let me think about that.
They had the genius of Key and English and Joyce, et al, wizards of the age (not to mention Nick Smith, chuckle) and their grand Comprehensive Housing Plan. Turns out that was shit.
Now they have the A Team, made up largely of flunkies from the last lot (not to mention Nick S) who have The Answers and I am to believe and trust them.
Where there is a Willis there is a 'No Way.'
She was part of the renewal flouted with Bridges standing meaningfully grouped in the corridors of power. She is right to abjure the previous policy, of course. National's problem is partly that it is factionalised, and a sizeable contingent of illiberal and rural men competes with a group of liberals including some women like Willis. No way because the will to change properly is not there in the broader party.
Lprent summed it up very well in a post yesterday talking about middle management style and practice- there is little room in National for expansive and coherent long term thinking and planning.
I talked about this with the tradesman working here. I mentioned the middle management style of some firms like Fonterra whose practice was to delay bill paying to creditors when in business.
https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/country/355322/fonterra-named-and-shamed-over-invoice-payments
My tradesman knows about this style of business by the wealthy, giving me chapter and verse of the non-practice of wealthy local businessmen clients.
Limited men of limited vision and goals.
Surely a bit harsh with 'limited men of limited vision and goals.' The vision's there, about that trade being their road to the bigger bach, bigger car, more expensive house. Bugger about the holiday in Hawaii this year.
Mammon, Peter, Mammon. The vision itself is limiting. It's not only what they envision, it's that the vision limits their possible understanding that there is more than their own greed.
A person looking down a telescope of course has good vision; but of what, of how much, since so much is unseen?
Lol "Where there is a Willis there is a No Way" Brilliant.
https://www.newsroom.co.nz/ideasroom/every-degree-of-openness-at-the-border-adds-risk
haven’t read all of this yet. But the first two paragraphs were a good start.
Something these 're-open the border' calls seem to ignore is the strong likelihood of some sort of vaccine or treatment or prophylaxis getting developed in a very short time period from now. The current situation of the disease continuing at unacceptably high levels overseas making our strict border controls the right answer is unlikely to be the new normal.
So a bit of patience to see what plays out is in order here, rather than a rush to take on a lot of risk for the sake of a few benefits flowing mostly to the already-privileged parts of our society.
Considering that young adults in the USA have deemed it more important to party than protect their community, I'm punting that they'll head to the worst case outcome … more than 200m cases and 1 -2m deaths. Not to mention tens of millions with long term complications. Combine this with an election that has no good outcomes on offer, a generation determined to have a social justice revolution and anything could happen.
That will take the USA offline from a global perspective for around a decade; and what happens next is unlikely to be pretty. We are heading into dangerous territory and the correct response is caution and watchfulness; we may have to adapt to some bad surprises very quickly.
Events here in Australia are alarming, it looks like Victoria is close to loosing control and the first new cases arrived in NSW this morning. This astonishingly adapted virus exploits every possible weakness in our defenses.
https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2020/03/cdcs-worst-case-coronavirus-model-210m-infected-1-7m-dead.html
Perhaps it'll wake them up to the failure that is capitalism and individualism. After all, if they'd acted as a community rather than warring tribes, things wouldn't have gotten so bad.
They risk a revisit of the year 1918.
The Spanish flu began in Jan 1918. But a lot of people died in the second wave Sept-Dec 1918.
Don't rely on any promises of a vaccine. It appears that the only survivors of Covid that have longer lasting antibodies are the ones that got near lethal doses of the disease, it therefore follows that possibly any vaccine to be effective will have to induce a very strong reaction to the dose. Polio as I recall had the same problems and in fact my father and sister had quite severe reactions to it with high fevers and feeling dreadful for a few days. Admittedly that was over 60 years ago and I'm sure the technology has improved but if it is the case that I'm even half right the anti-vaxxers and the chattering classes will quickly undermine any effective rollout.
My bet is that there may have to rely on a treatment rather than an effective vaccine.
Incorrect. You should not limit your thinking about immunity to Covid to antibodies only but also include immune cells such as T-cells.
https://medicalxpress.com/news/2020-06-immunity-covid-higher-shown.html
I think you'll find this piece in Scoop very interesting.
https://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/HL2006/S00215/comparing-denmark-versus-sweden-on-coronavirus.htm
Comparing Denmark Versus Sweden On Coronavirus
Tuesday, 30 June 2020, 11:04 am
Article: Eric Zuesse
Some good stats from the end but all worthy of study:
Whereas Denmark’s death-rate on June 28th is 104, Sweden’s is 523. Denmark’s rose from 103 to 104, and Sweden’s rose from 499 to 523.
Sweden’s unemployment rate rose from 6% in December 2019 to 9% in May 2020. Denmark’s was 3.7% till February 2020 and shot up to 5.4% by April 2020.
.
And – Sweden and T-cells giving longer coverage than antibodies.
Jul.2/20 https://www.stuff.co.nz/national/health/coronavirus/122011921/coronavirus-was-sweden-right-study-suggests-significantly-higher-covid19-immunity
.
And further down in Scoop page – a new aspect: Binoy Kampmark:
Welcome Deaths: Coronavirus And The Open Plan Office
Ta
The death rates and immunity are two different things. The first was allegedly caused by poor management and exposure of vulnerable people. The second may be induced by exposure of invulnerable people. Given that nobody really knows how an individual might respond to infection it seems prudent to limit exposure to anyone even if they have no known risk factors.
So as an older person I should wear the simple mask I have whenever I go out you reckon. I'd like to think I was safe but all the same, not yet?
Do you live in Sweden?
But I got the idea that there were people out there who were able to pass it on though not having signs, perhaps these invulnerable people.
We are going to have to keep opening up at the border for some various reasons and might not be able to catch all the 'carriers'.
And I wonder what the attitudes of the international floating population are. They come in quietly in their yachts, boats and possibly some virus too.
You should do what’s best for you under the circumstances and depending on your condition. You may want to ask your GP.
And what Andre said @ 2:52 pm.
Wearing a mask in NZ now won't do any harm, and may give you a bit of protection from catching colds and flu. Plus, people won't think you're weird like they might have three months ago.
But for now, COVID had been eliminated within NZ (all current known cases have been detected in isolation facilities and the patients kept in quarantine) so COVID is just not a concern for anyone going about their daily business here.
Thanks Andre. I have been going around trustingly, but there is so much to think about without Covid that I am wondering if I should make an effort and not get all relaxed but keep a level of wariness.
And it gets out and about so readily, looking at Victoria, NSW. Here we only have to get a maddened National party-animal roaming the streets and who knows who it would affect. May have to be brought down with a tranquiliser dart full of spirulina juice before it bit someone.
This should be the end of the open plan, hot desking office hopefully.
At the bottom end the chairs and screens need massive readjusting each time and at the top end I've seen close to bare knuckle fights from some who didn't want to be near certain individuals (even though they carried nothing infectious.
Back when the polio vaccine was being developed, the only real options were killed or weakened viruses. Now there's a whole lot of other options – of the 17 candidates that wikipedia lists as already in human trials, only three are based on inactivated virus, and none on weakened virus.
It is indeed possible that idiot anti-vaxxers will hinder the uptake of a potential vaccine. After all, idiot anti-vaxxers basically killed the rollout of a vaccine against Lyme disease. But the impact of COVID is so substantial I suspect that if an effective vaccine actually gets developed, idiot anti-vaxxers will be more nuisance than real obstacle.
Here's a useful quick summary of the current state of COVID vaccine development.
https://www.cnet.com/how-to/coronavirus-vaccine-are-we-close-to-finding-one-heres-whats-happening/
The big open question at the moment is whether anyone anywhere will take a step into the ethical minefield of doing challenge trials, where vaccinated volunteers are deliberated exposed to the disease. As opposed to the usual method of simply following the vaccine trial participants to see how many get infected just going about their lives. Getting data the usual way for a disease that's still as rare as COVID still is would take fkn forever, so there's quite a lot of pressure to go to challenge trials.
But in any case, to be useful to the point of enabling the resumption of trade and tourism, a vaccine or treatment or prophylaxis doesn't have to be completely effective. The existence of modestly effective prophylaxis against malaria makes tourism to tropical areas feasible. Even though quite a few tourists still get malaria, the prophylaxis knocks the risk down to acceptably low levels, and takes a bit of an edge off the disease for most of those who do get it making treatment and recovery easier and faster.
So if a vaccine and/or treatment and/or prophylaxis simply reduced the effects of COVID down to the level of being just like a bad flu, that would be enough for resumption of a lot of what is on hold right now.
A 'bad flu' kills.
Your prophylaxis will make it so that fewer will die but some still will. Still, it may be low enough for business as usual to make a profit.
The point being that's it's not necessary to reduce the risk to effectively zero – in fact it would be foolish to expect that. What is needed is to reduce the risks and harms to a level a bit lower than we routinely accept for other health issues. If we get a further reduction in risk and harm at negligible extra cost – bonus!
Too often we as a society hold ourselves back and impose silly costs on ourselves by requiring extremely stringent risk and harm reduction in one area, while being astonishingly lax in other broadly similar areas. GMOs being a case in point where we have effectively banned them here while allowing mutation-bred organisms with barely a batted eyelid.
Is it possible that before travelling you will get an innoculation as is the case with a lot of diseases that need protecting against?
That's the easy answer for NZers wanting to travel overseas. The tougher question is protecting NZers from overseas people that want to visit here.
Hypothetically, if a vaccine is developed, we could require proof of vaccination before allowing entry, as some countries still do for yellow fever vaccination and some used to require for cholera. Even though the cholera vaccine was fairly low effectiveness (60%ish) and didn't last long (a couple of years).
Good story – points out some major flaws and issues they didn't even bother addressing.
I can see us getting better testing and cheaper do it yourself checks ( spit on the paper strip daily) before we have widespread vaccinations.
Another Twyford stuff up, hiring health economists to do a complex logistics/transport analysis.
As if it not enough the idiotic Twyford stuffed up Auckland Light Rail and Kiwibuild, the PM allows him to continue and waste yet more money on inappropriate reports that go nowhere. I guess the $2M wasted is not real money though, just taxpayers money.
Even a retarded chipmunk could see that using Manakau Harbour is a non starter.
With Twyford, Kelvin Davis and that other idiot Lees-Galloway still there, I think Labour will struggle in September.
https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/news/article.cfm?c_id=1&objectid=12346001
Browns report was biased in favour of Northland simply because he had vested interests there being an elected official and therefore it skirted over the other possibilities.
If the Government had taken Browns report as verbatim it would be accused of not looking at other options, so Twyford did do the right thing to get another opinion.
I think Northport is the only one that makes sense though.
Agree re Browns bias and need for a second report, but Health Economists to study a complex and long term logistics policy?
The inadequacies of the consultants for the role handled to them is pretty obvious. Manakau is never going to be a starter, due to shallowness, bar and shifting sands and environmental impact, access for road and rail and so on.
The report quoted was, for all but one paragraph, an attack based on Brown's opinions. He of course has expertise in the matter but it is his report that is being criticised for not reporting on all options.
There is, in this whole report, one paragraph which gives the view of the government.
It is this.
"However, Finance Minister Grant Robertson and Transport Minister Phil Twyford approved $2m for another report after stating Brown's study had left unanswered questions about alternatives."
Alternatives plural, note. Brown's report was incomplete, they say. Let's see the entire picture, they say.
Imagine this scenario. "Government goes ahead on plans for new port based on incomplete report".
The article is another attempted 'gotcha' piece, and has little objectivity in putting government's point of view.
Did the reporter read any report, discuss with Robertson, before pronouncing?
He acknowledged that Twyford was unavailable for comment and that Goff was not well informed enough to comment.
So we get an attack piece because reporter could not wait for more complete information.
I'd say that we all could have waited a short time for more informed comment than a reportedly '’grumpy’ writer of a rejected first report.
Doing a comprehensive study before committing billions to a transport project is simple common sense. Unlike just, "build more roads".
Manukau is so ludicrous it shouldn't have even made it to the non-starters list.
Whoever has suggested it will probably move on to suggesting a 2.5km aeroplane runway be constructed on the top of Mt Everest.
Hey Peter, since you're happy to criticize ministers for actively trying to make improvements, I was interested in your opinion on on the Christchurch rebuild, and how competent the then Govt was rebuilding the city, I've certainly seen many comments myself, none portrays a competent Govt response, so. what's your view since your so quick to critisise other ministers for attempting to be Thourough.
"Hey Peter, since you're happy to criticize ministers for actively trying to make improvements,………"
Sorry to say @ Just Is, but I'd pick you up on the first part – i.e. the "actively trying to make improvements"
More like a Minister that's a damn sight better than anything the gNatz might dream up BUT deciding the easiest option is to kick the can down the road a teeny weenie bit further and call for another report.
Come on …………. ffs. Even the shipping companies are saying that getting insurance if this sort of diversionary shit goes ahead will be difficult.
Probably the only thing Manukau might be good for is shipping cement from the SI West Coast – but oops – that's right, they even did away with that.
The rebuild by the then government was ok. The CCC effort has not been.
And you think it is somehow wrong to criticize lame duck Ministers like Davis, Lee's Galloway, Twyford and Clark? So you think it should be government by a flag, whether blue or red, rather than competency?
Peter, I shifted your comment about charities out of the front end, because it was borderline whether it might cause legal problems for the people that own TS and I wanted other authors to take a look at it.
You may have meant Peter chch. I praise all Ministers (including the Prime one) doing their homework. I mean it's essential. They could do everything the CasinoKeyJoyce way.
However, you look at a map to the Auckland region and see the Manukau Harbour and say, "That could the the major port of Auckland." Then you look at history, topography, geography and reality and say, "but that would be the most bloody insane idea in ever come up with."
Do we know who commissioned the first report (Brown's), and why that report came back 'incomplete'?
If that's down to Twyford too then the whole thing is a cluster-f like Kiwibuild and light rail. Too much of what he does is controversial and that's just in the procurement phase. What's with this ambushing of process which has happened with Infratil and light rail, and now two competing reports for a new port?
Twyford gets these reports done but hasn't told anyone the overall vision!
I thought you were supposed to have a vision and framework about what you wanted to achieve, then get a report which looked at all the options within that framework, and then vote on the best one.
Twyford seems to haven no idea what is best practice on how to make a decision. Perhaps after Kiwibuild he's scared of pulling the trigger. If so, have to get rid of him and Chippie can do it.
Twyford.
Christ! There goes that "best practice" again. That was trotted out this morning by Worksafe – who in their defense as to questioning over their inability to investigate complete bloody fuckups said: "It's best practice".
I'd hate to think what a bloody shambles would be like. But then again, in the absence of a Minister interested in supporting investigative journalism, I guess the next best thing is for the dispossessed to resort to PR spin. And prostitution is after all legal – unless of course you're a stuck immigrant trying to feed yourself and wondering what's going to happen with the next visa application at great cost.
Seems that the problem was that the first report was BS and that it should be Brown giving the money back.
I suppose, if they did increase the port in Manukau, the canals would be back as a viable option.
Moving PoA to Northland is now dead in the water. This report was commissioned solely to kill it off.
Bomber does cultural analysis of new political party: https://thedailyblog.co.nz/2020/07/07/the-special-madness-of-the-nz-public-party/
Bomber goes on to several further paragraphs explaining why some global conspiracies are better than others. Great to see him in fine form, getting readers properly revved up on a cold wintry morn… 🤩
"I think Billy is a product of the post-knowledge death of experts culture we now live in."
I'd like to see more elaboration and discussion of this which flies in the face of the entire education I received regarding knowledge and logical reasoning.
Is it that single issue campaigners and conspiracy theorists are at odds with knowledge and reasoning, and populist politicians are giving them credence?
Thank God for science and reasoning, I say. 66 days without Covid-19 community transmission, informed by proper science, good advice from civil servants, listened to by compassionate political leaders, compared to what populist politicians who pay more attention to their egos have allowed elsewhere.
You have to realise that not everyone eats at the same table in the education system – have you come across the concept of cultural capital?
No. I see from a quick scan it's a 70's sociological concept. I never studied sociology and I predate that anyway in terms of Uni. Any pointers?
Essentially it presents the idsa, in education anyway. that teachers will tend to acknkwledge and address pupils they share cultural and class understandings with and overlook others therefore disadvantaging them.
I predate it too but I went back again as a 'mature student' lol
I would praise the sound reasoning too – we're using the same simple public health measures that worked in a pandemic one hundred years ago.
But 100 years of scientific development hasn't been much help to us at all.
Estimates of the global death toll from Spanish flu range from 17 – 50 million, at a time when the global population was ~1.9 billion. So probably at least 1% of all humans succumbed to Spanish flu.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Spanish_flu
I hope that 100 years of scientific and technological development/evolution will mean that the global death toll from Covid-19 will be less than 80 million (roughly 1% of the current global population). But it's not the same virus, and there are no guarantees – viruses evolve too!
"Farmed salmon offers a very compelling environmental and human health story by comparison with other farming systems in New Zealand. Farmed salmon has a very low carbon footprint, low water use and low ‘land use’ from input of raw materials compared to all other animal farming systems. Farmed salmon are a very healthy choice for consumers offering significant health benefits over other animal protein sources. These two factors mean that there is and will continue to be a growing demand for farmed raised salmon for the foreseeable future."
https://www.biosecurity.govt.nz/dmsdocument/40778/direct
Meanwhile, Antarctic animals starve as krill are plundered so we can enjoy that nice, pink salmon.
I don't know where to look these days so as not to feel sad or guilty or despairing. That image of a polar bear perched on some ice is so telling. We could save the small group of cattle on that piece of hillside near Kaikoura. We can kill off coral at a distance, but the polar bears and other animals we can see that adapted to ice is hard to see; some are raiding rubbish tins on land. We need to learn the trade; that is all that will be left for many of us as the financiers frig around with out trade and systems and laws and personal initiative and intelligence.
We have to learn to make-do with the resources in our own area and cut our utter reliance on overseas trade. And bring in a good local currency to enable people to find their own trading networks. We will be similar to the polar bear with shrinking resources. Get good family and/or friend and neighbour interacting networks is the way. You can't always rely on family, but need to look at people to see if they are genuine and get the support going. Townspeople could get friendly with horticulturalists, smallholders, and help out at busy times, spend some time on the farm. Put them up when they have to come in for day visits to hospital etc. or just enjoy some event in town.
Marvelous…many people are saying..
https://twitter.com/sarahcpr/status/1280189253637607424
Morans.
https://twitter.com/lachlan/status/1280164763507572736
The infamous Civil War general and slave owner.
Update: no community transfer of Covid in NZ. Over 60 days since last case.
13 days since leader of the opposition said he suspected community transfer.
2 days since he sat in a large crowd at a rugby game, with no mask.
Air NZ putting a hold on bookings so quarantine systems are not overloaded. Instead of opening up faster we are having to dial it back for a while. Is this 'shambolic' or just another case of the well-being of New Zealanders being reliant on doing the opposite of what the National Party wants?
The well-being of NZers is almost always dependent upon doing the opposite of what National wants.
Draco, ha!!!
National are all in favour of more quarantine facilities … as long as they're not in Rotorua or Queenstown or Auckland Central or anywhere else with a local National MP.
From an unfinished 2014 draft post on my Blog:
Pinpointing Party Strongholds :
Labour: Strongest Booth: Sir Edmund Hillary Collegiate, Otara, Manukau East, South Auckland. Labour Party-Vote 82%.
All contenders were low income / heavily Pasifika areas, including booths in Eastern Porirua, Mangere & (above all) other Otara booths. Pasifika populations ranged from a little over 60% in the catchment area around Cannons Creek School (Porirua), to more than 70% in parts of Mangere & more than 80% around each of the Otara booths.
A fitting stronghold given Sir Ed's affinity with the Labour Party & involvement in the Citizens for Rowling Campaign in 1975.
Google Maps Streetview of Sir Ed Booth.
https://www.google.com/maps/@-36.9518419,174.877251,3a,75y,87.84h,93.23t/data=!3m6!1e1!3m4!1sn9ldVWEz_BLbu4g51_zmFQ!2e0!7i16384!8i8192
Otara, of course, is one of the poorest urban areas in New Zealand – wasn't for nothing that Pauly Fuemana ironically styled his pop duo Otara Millionaires Club. The median Personal Income was (2014) around just $15,000, compared to $30,000 in Auckland as a whole, $35,000 in Devonport-Takapuna on the North Shore, and $43,000 in East Auckland. (What's more, within Otara, the neighbourhood around the Ed Hillary booth stands out for having a particularly low median Personal Income – $13,500).
Similarly, Otara suffers unusually high Unemployment – around 22% compared to Auckland's 8% … scores a maximum 10 on the Deprivation Index, is home to unusually high proportions of manual labourers and very low numbers of Managers and Professionals,
The neighbourhood surrounding Cannons Creek School, meanwhile, is clearly Labour’s stronghold within the Wellington region.
National: Strongest Booth: Lee Stream School. 40km NW of Dunedin, Clutha-Southland. National Party-Vote: 96%.
Google Maps Streetview of Lee Stream booth.
https://www.google.com/maps/@-45.7820022,170.0969832,3a,90y,130.02h,81.94t/data=!3m6!1e1!3m4!1sCc73K80DzBLkdkCQeBbLXQ!2e0!7i13312!8i6656
Other contenders included Poolburn in Central Otago's Ida Valley (Nats 92.5%), the small South Taranaki settlement of Pihama (90.7%) & Dorie in the South Rakaia area of Mid-Canterbury (90%).
Unsurprisingly, all rural communities.
If I remember rightly, Whitford, Stonefields & one of the Remmers booths were the Bluest places not only in Auckland but within Urban NZ as a whole.
Greens: Strongest Booth: Onekaka, Golden Bay, West Coast-Tasman. Green Party-Vote: 54.7%.
Golden Bay Hippie / New Age community. Many Neils, not so many Riks, Vyvians or Mikes.
Other contenders: Aro Valley (a state unto itself), Wellington Central (45.4%). Wellington High School, Mt Cook, Wellington Central (40.8%), St Paul's Lutheran Church, Mt Cook, Wellington Central (37.7%).
Never got around to doing NZF. Ultimately lost interest in the whole thing.
That was 2014 … these days, with huge numbers voting in Advanced Booths, pinpointing strongholds becomes are much more difficult task.
* I combined both the General Electorate & Maori Electorate vote to capture all voters within each booth's catchment area.
2014?
Do us a favour and catch up with yourself.
Yes 2014. Interesting to make comparisons. Swordfish keeps good stats. Don't bite the hands that feeds you.
LOL
Love it.
I wonder if in those 90% plus Nat communities whether people run around giving each other the evil eye trying to work out who actually doesn't "support the team".
Personal favourite though was the remote SI booth a couple of decades back that voted 100% to legalise cannabis.
Vaguely remember that … West Coast-Tasman booth IIRR … & what made it particularly poignant was that it was one of the old mining Labour strongholds of the early-mid 20C … have a feeling it was either Denniston or Millerton but can't be entirely sure … from staunch Labour to Aotearoa Legalise Cannabis bastion.
On National intimidation of voters … apparently quite a lot of that in Rangitikei in the late 70s after Bruce Beetham scored his spectacular By-Election victory in a traditional Nat stronghold. Voters in certain communities there were threatened by young farmer activists that the Muldoon Govt would know who they were if they defected to Social Credit. And there’d be serious consequences.
Yeah I can imagine national doing that.
I always wondered if the cops raided that west coast settlement on Monday morning. They were prone to doing things like that back then.
That's interesting I wonder how much of that mentioning ‘serious consequences’ still goes on. Quiet, standover tactics.
I read through the summary of the McDonald-Guy case and was amazed at the damage that McD was prepared to do and someone go with him to help or was he pushed? And then there was a report that all had been cleared up and settled between McDonald and the Guy family so they were on good terms again. But the wife had had her puppies bashed on the head or something, and I don't think one would ever forgive or forget that. In town the cops would be round. What happens in the country? Does the one resident cop miles away, say okay I've made a note, let us know if it happens again? And they had a place set on fire too.
I encountered strange behaviour when driving through a quiet farm area – chap passed me and made the hand gesture of shooting in the head, apparently I had been going too slow. Violence by gesture, antipathy anyway.
I wonder how much intrinsic violence lurks amongst those green and pleasant lands.
Atlas Bludged.
https://twitter.com/PatFitzgerald23/status/1280217058677084160
Awww, cute, just like our own bastions of the free market & supermen, The Tax Payer Bozos.
191 new cases in Victoria today.
https://www.twitter.com/chelsea_hetho/status/1280332212529885186
Odds on the bluebloods getting locked down in their macmansions with the police all around?
At 2550km that is a tough border to police. How are the cobbers going to do it?
Breakdown of today's new cases in Victoria. 37 linked to known outbreaks. 154 under investigation. Zero from returning overseas travelers.
Foreign students will not be allowed to stay in the US this autumn if their universities have moved classes fully online, unless they switch to a course with in-person tuition.
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-53315651
OK, now I'm starting to believe he really is satire:
National Party leader Todd Muller has again described the government's handling of border quarantine as shambolic.
In response to the Air New Zealand announcement, Muller said any New Zealander who wanted to come home should be allowed to return.
He said it was the government's shambolic handling of the border in recent weeks which had put the facilities under pressure.
https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/national/420658/air-nz-putting-a-temporary-hold-on-new-international-bookings-to-nz
I mean, where to start with this? The one-word vocabulary? The nonsensical line that more Kiwis are coming back because of the quarantine facilities? As opposed to say, escaping from countries in the grip of a pandemic? The facilities are under pressure because people are in them. Where else would they be in Todd-land? It doesn't make any kind of sense … political, medical, mathematical, anything.
I wonder what the one word to describe muller's party leadership might be? The word to be used incessantly in place of any more nuanced criticism?
deflating?
anaemic?
Maybe a portmanteau: hambolic? lackadaisedandconfused?
Absentibolic
Sham bucolic?
Sham hyperbolic?
allbollocks
Thinking musically for going up and down, in and out and all about – Sneezebox, Conz-iteena, Harmoniker.
Zombie economics requires us to be open to community spread and the death of the aged and infirm.
Todd Muller will oppose the euthanasia legislation becauase he is pro life, but he is encouraging risk to the lives of fellow New Zealanders because he serves mammon.
The life of the god of the haves and sacrifice of the weak, its called herd immunity becuase the herd goes on its way and the weak are left behind to be eaten by predators (in this case a pandemic virus ravaging the body).
To use a past National campaign ad, throwing the old and infirm overboard.
But Todd has 'business experience' – so he can instantaneously and 'seamlessly' scale complex systems to handle increased load without any deleterious effects. 'Business experience' turns dull boys into magicians.
To Todd Conehead it makes political sense – as does endlessly repeating the word "shambolic" he is an arsehole end of story
Todd's unimaginative repetition is bland and boring, but it does reflect his conservative and visionless persona quite well. Simon Bridges word salads were far more entertaining.
When NZ announced a 4 week lockdown from 26 March there were many on both sides of the Tasman saying NZ had got it wrong and you didn't need to be so strict because, the economy or something.
We eradicated the disease with this approach and our government was widely praised for it but still there were critics many pointing to Victoria's much less strict Covid 19 measures.
We had the National Party who got very upset at the positive coverage Jacinda Ardern got for our strategy.
The breaking news today is Victoria is considering a 4 week lockdown of its own, as if they have finally realised what is required to get on top of this pernicious disease.
Imagine how much better the health and economic outcomes for Victoria would have been if they'd just done what NZ did in the first place.
https://www.newshub.co.nz/home/world/2020/07/australian-state-considering-four-week-lockdown.html
Weren't you arguing for no or little lock down in NZ and likening this corona virus to a bit of a 'flu' just a few months ago ?
Diversion trolling much there SM?
DNFTT!
Sure, I was alarmed in early March when the world started shutting down. I felt at the time certain countries were over-reacting. That changed of course when the full picture became clear.
Red card, Melbourne. Six week suspension.
What about NSW, Queensland, SA, WA etc. Only reason Vic is in the poo is lax isolation protocol. Hmmm that sounds like something I have heard before.
NZ got bloody lucky, Vic not so much
You must have been hiding from the news for ages if you think what happened in Victoria "sounds like" NZ in any way at all.
I can teach you how to use a search engine called Google, it will give you all the details, just ask.
I'm sure you are disappointed and you need the virus spreading in NZ, but you'll just have to keep watching the 1 pm updates and hoping for the worst.
Or, the breach in NZ was not as serious as those in VIC and the holes in procedure were not as serious either.
More likely you have been captured by our tabloid like media.
"NZ got bloody lucky,…"
No luck involved, good leadership from good advice, followed by high levels of compliance, compassion, care and patience.
I keep on thinking that the cooperation of the 5 million is down to the remarkable leadership of Jacinda and Bloomfield. Just amazing that so many were on side!
Wherever there is expansion of infection there is indecisive leadership and Muller is demonstrating just how awful his leadership would have been
And his continuing undermining of the confidence of New Zealanders is unforgivable.
Muller. You are fired!
Hamish Walker supplied the spreadsheet of those in quarantene and supplied by Michelle Boag!
Oh boy!
Wonder how Boag got the spreadsheet? If it was done in a way that looks / is malicious (as opposed to ‘shambles’), then Nats are done for. Yay!
Kia Ora
Newshub.
Support for drug addiction is needed.
That's is cool investing $761 million dollars to help council fix their water infrastructure.
Ka kite Ano.
Kia Ora
Te Ao Maori Marama.
Te Kaumara never says how sweet it is.
Read NZ that's cool telling Matariki storys with high profile tangata and orchestra music.
Congratulations Rangi for your prize in teaching Maori tamariki science.
Ka kite Ano
Kia Ora
The Am Show.
Global warming is causing all sorts of problems around the world.
Science has great subjects for tamariki to study.
Ka kite Ano
Kia Ora
Te Ao Maori Marama.
In a few years time we will see all this good mahi of planting trees and other plants in the wetlands and around Awa thriving and filtering the Wai
Its good to see some Iwi getting compensation for their Tipuna loss.
Ka kite Ano